Short-Run Response & Long-Term Local Considerations to Wind Energy Development Richard S. Krannich, PhD Utah State University Richard.Krannich@usu.edu http://www.nardep.info/ Rapid Growth in U.S. Wind Power Continued Growth for the Foreseeable Future Projected: Multiple Advantages of Wind Power Low Environmental & Socioeconomic Impacts It's a clean energy source: No air pollution or carbon emissions. Wind turbines may allow for mixed land use: Can be built on existing farms or ranches. It can be economically competitive: Costs are increasingly competitive with conventional power production options. Reduced potential for localized boom-bust effects: Modest shortterm construction workforce requirements; small operational workforce. Strong public support for wind power: In a 2013 Gallup poll, 71% of respondents indicated that more emphasis should be placed on wind energy. BUT… Public Response to Renewable Energy is Decidedly Mixed • A majority of individuals in the U.S. and Europe are supportive of renewable energy. • HOWEVER… localized renewable development often initiates debate and opposition… a “social gap” between general attitudes and response to local developments. • Some residents see “opportunities”… whether in a general sense (e.g., “clean energy” and “progress”) or in terms of specific local benefits (jobs, lease payments, tax revenues, etc.). • Others see “liabilities”… often centered on aesthetics, but also frequently about potential for negative impacts on property values and on the environment. Support for Wind Power is Highly Variable… Both Within and Across Local Communities Monticello, Utah (Under construction) Milford, Utah (Installed) Ammon, Iona, E. Idaho Falls, Idaho (Installed) Rawlins, Wyoming (Proposed) Saratoga, Wyoming (Proposed) Why the Social Gap? A Number of Important Liabilities • • • • • Visual disruption Impacts to birds & other wildlife Habitat fragmentation Fear of property value declines Landscape change and disturbance of socially-valued places & spaces • Localized noise • Loss of access to previously-accessible public and private lands • Impacts to host communities, but benefits to other people & places • Construction boom/bust effects • Limited local employment benefits • Uncertainties and inconsistencies in revenues for local governments • Opposition to government subsidies Some Important Opportunities Can Accompany Renewable Energy Projects • Potential Income Source: • Landowners who lease property for wind farm developments typically receive payments of $2,000 to $10,000/tower per year, or $2,000-$6,000/MW per year. • But, who captures these benefits? • How many local landowners can receive such benefits? • Are leased lands locally owned, or do benefits go to absentee landowners? -- Often few participating landowners…meanwhile nonparticipants receive few if any direct benefits, but do experience negative externalities. • “Community wind” projects • Involve collective ownership and localized investment, and can create more broad-based distribution of financial benefits. Some Important Opportunities Can Accompany Renewable Energy Projects • Job creation and employment opportunities do exist, though at modest levels: • For Nebraska’s 10 operating utility-scale wind farms: • 383 short-term construction-phase jobs for local area workers (949 jobs total) • 91 operations-phase jobs for local area workers (137 jobs total) • Promises and expectations about jobs are often unmet… contributing to disappointment and reduced support for further development. Some Important Opportunities Can Accompany Renewable Energy Projects • Revenue generation for state and local government • For example, Nebraska’s 10 operating utility-scale wind farms: • $5,000,000 in annual local revenues from taxes on real property and on turbines • $281,000 (est.) in construction-phase sales taxes generated from spending associated with construction wage and salary earnings. • Unlike some other forms of energy production (e.g., major oil & gas developments), wind projects create few public fiscal obligations due to limited population growth, infrastructure & public service demands. • However, highly varied nature of state property tax systems and depreciation schedules for taxable capital equipment can limit revenues, and may cause them to decline rapidly. • In a few states, more stable longer-term local revenue effects from distribution of a state-imposed wind energy production tax: Minnesota: $1.20/MW hour; Wyoming $1.00/MW hour. Tax Policies Have Large Implications on Economic Impacts of Wind Developments H Source: Haggerty et al., 2014 People Generally Believe Renewable Energy is a Good Idea… But it must match local views that limits and controls should be placed on its development, and that it may be inappropriate in some locations. Radar Ridge Wind Project Southwest Washington “This decision is a major victory in the ongoing work to restore critical habitat for Murrelets,” said Shawn Cantrell, Executive Director of Seattle Audubon. “The key for any wind power project is appropriate siting, and the Radar Ridge project was proposed in absolutely the wrong location” (Durban, The Columbian 2011). “The direct environmental harm caused by this proposed project, including impacts to Marbled Murrelets, far outweigh the benefits that it would provide in other areas such as reduced carbon output,” Cantrell noted. “There are significantly better locations to site renewable energy projects than Radar Ridge” (Durban, The Columbian 2011) Summary and Implications Considerable variability in responses to largescale renewable energy development: • A number of key liabilities that need to be acknowledged: • • • • Visual impact concerns Wildlife impact concerns Property value concerns Disturbance of socially-valued places and spaces • Potential opportunities for rural people & communities: • Income for some landowners • Jobs and employment opportunities • Local revenue generation • Citizen perspectives on liabilities & opportunities are important determinants of support or opposition to such projects Summary and Implications When attempting to anticipate local reactions to large-scale renewable energy development, a mixed response is very likely 1. Framing developments as “clean and green” may encourage positive response in some settings, while framing as “economic development” may be more effective in other settings. 2. Concerns about “liabilities” such as visual impacts, wildlife impacts, and property value impacts have important consequences, but views about such issues will vary across development contexts. 3. Context does matter… some local communities tend to be enthusiastic supporters under at least some development conditions, while others are likely to exhibit broad-based opposition. 4. A “one size fits all” approach to siting efforts and communicating about development plans does not work. Summary and Implications Some policy recommendations: 1. Establish and maintain consistent and predictable policies affecting investment in utility-scale wind energy projects. 2. Promote coordinated planning at the federal, regional, state, utility, and local levels. 3. Promote strategies that broaden the distribution of financial incentives beyond a limited number of participating landowners. 4. Promote local-level revenue generation standards that enhance longer-term opportunities and benefits. 5. Promote local job creation and hiring policies. 6. Promote ‘best practice’ siting standards to minimize visual impacts, wildlife impacts, and other potential liabilities. Thank You • Questions? References: Aakre, D. and R. Haugen. 2009. “Wind turbine lease considerations for landowners.” North Dakota Extension Service, North Dakota State University, EC-1394, February. Ansolabehere, S. and D.M. Konisky. 2014. Cheap and Clean: How Americans Think About Energy in the Age of Global Warming. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Bell, D., T. Gray and C. Haggett. 2005. “The ‘social gap’ in wind farm siting decisions: Explanations and policy responses.” Environmental Politics 14 (4): 460-477. Bell, D., T. Gray, C. Haggett and J. Swaffield. 2013. “Revisiting the ‘social gap’: Public opinion and relations of power in the local politics of wind energy.” Environmental Politics 22 (1): 115-35. Dai, K., A. Bergot, C. Liang, W. Xiang and Z. Huang. 2015. “Environmental issues associated with wind energy: A review.” Renewable Energy 75: 911-921. Fergen, J. and J.B. Jacquet. 2016. “Beauty in motion: Expectations, attitudes, and values of wind energy development in the rural U.S.” Energy Research and Social Science 11: 133-141. Haggerty, J.H., M. Haggerty and R. Rasker. 2014. “Uneven local benefits of renewable energy in the U.S. West: Property tax policy effects.” Western Economics Forum 13 (1):8-22. Jacobe, D. 2013. “Americans want more emphasis on solar, wind, natural gas.” www.gallup.com/poll/161519/americans-emphasis-solar-wind-natural-gas.aspx . Accessed 26 October 2015. Krannich, R.S., P.G. Robertson and S.K. Olson. 2013. “Wind and solar energy in the U.S.: Policy recommendations for rural development.” Policy Brief #13 (November), National Agricultural and Rural Development Policy Center. www.nardep.info/uploads/Brief13_WindSolar.pdf. Krannich, R.S., P.G. Robertson and S.K. Olson. 2015. “Renewable energy in the United States: Trends, prospects, and implications for rural development.” Pp. 125-146 in D. E. Albrecht (ed.), Our Energy Future: Socioeconomic Implications and Policy Options for Rural America. New York: Routledge. Tabassum-Abbasi, M.P., T. Abbasi and S.A. Abbasi. 2014. “Wind energy: Increasing deployment, rising environmental concerns.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 31: 270-288. University of Nebraska, Bureau of Business Research. 2014. Final Report: The Economic and Tax Revenue Impact of the Nebraska Wind Energy Industry. Lincoln, NE: Department of Economics, College of Business Administration. U.S. Energy Information Administration. 2014. 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