SOCIAL MEDIA AND WEATHER WARNINGS: EXPLORING THE NEW PARASOCIAL RELATIONSHIPS IN WEATHER FORECASTING A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE MASTER OF SCIENCE BY ADAM M. KLOTZ DR. DAVID CALL, ADVISOR BALL STATE UNIVERSITY MAY 2011 Table of Contents List of Figures ........................................................................................................................... ii List of Tables............................................................................................................................. ii Acknowledgments ................................................................................................................. iii Chapter 1: Introduction .........................................................................................................1 Chapter 2: Literature Review...............................................................................................6 2.1 Growth in Mobile and Social Media ..................................................................................... 7 2.2 Understanding Parasocial Relationships ....................................................................... 13 2.3 Weather Warning Reactions ............................................................................................... 18 Chapter 3: Methods .............................................................................................................. 23 3.1 Discussion of Subjects ........................................................................................................... 24 3.2 Discussion of Interviews ...................................................................................................... 26 Chapter 4: Trust, Weather forecasting, and Social Media ....................................... 29 4.1 Background: Fort Wayne Media Geography .................................................................. 30 4.2 Critics of Weather Forecasting ........................................................................................... 34 4.3 Framework: Social Media Users......................................................................................... 38 4.4 Case Study: October 2010 Storms ..................................................................................... 41 4.5 Discussion of Findings........................................................................................................... 45 4.5.1 Audience and Trust............................................................................................................. 47 4.5.2 New parasocial relationships.......................................................................................... 52 4.5.3 Weather warnings............................................................................................................... 54 4.6 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................. 56 Chapter 5: Online Presence ............................................................................................... 59 5.1 WANE­TV’s social media strategy...................................................................................... 60 5.2 Case Study: WANE­TV’s Online Presence ........................................................................ 62 5.3 Discussion of Findings........................................................................................................... 71 5.3.1 TV talent need online presence ...................................................................................... 72 5.3.2 Stations need to promote social­media presence .................................................... 74 5.4 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................. 76 Chapter 6: Conclusion.......................................................................................................... 79 6.1 Summary of Findings ............................................................................................................. 79 6.2 Implications and recommendations ................................................................................ 81 6.3 Limitations and further research ...................................................................................... 83 6.4 Epilogue: Overly tan and perfect teeth, but now ‘interesting’ ................................. 84 Appendix 1 .............................................................................................................................. 87 Appendix 2 .............................................................................................................................. 88 Bibliography ........................................................................................................................... 89 i List of Figures Figure Page 4.1 October 26th EF1 Tornado Path 44 4.2 October 26th EF1 Tornado Damage 44 4.3a Severe Weather Thread 50 4.3b Severe Weather Thread Continued 51 5.1 WANE‐TV Website 63 5.2 WANE‐TV Site Tools 65 5.3 WANE‐TV’s Tool Bar 67 5.4 WANE‐TV’s Facebook Screenshot 68 5.5 WFFT’s Facebook Screenshot 69 5.6 WANE‐TV Twitter Screenshot 70 5.7 INC Twitter Screenshot 71 ii List of Tables 3.1 Interview Subject Demographics 26 ii Acknowledgments This thesis would not have been possible without my advisor, Dr. David Call, whose guidance from its initial level allowed me to gain both a direction in my research and an understanding of the topic. I owe my deepest gratitude to Dr. Matthew Wilson whose mentorship over the last year has meant so much to me both academically and personally. I would like to show gratitude to Dr. Maria Williams‐Hawkins for her support and interest throughout my collegiate career. Lastly, it is an honor for me to thank my favorite English teacher and mother, Terri Klotz, whose hours of peer reviews have helped my thesis take shape. iii Chapter 1: Introduction On Friday October 1st, 2010, after nearly 24 years in the Fort Wayne, Indiana, television market, WANE‐TV’s weather specialist Sandy Thompson signed off for the last time. The station’s general manager decided not to renew her contract but noted, “She did everything we asked her to do; she was a great on‐air personality and a great ambassador for WANE.” She was let go because she was a weather specialist, her degree being in broadcast television instead of meteorology. WANE’s general manager described the decision as one of the toughest of his career: “Sandy’s popularity stands on its own.” He acknowledged that the station might “take some hits” from her fans. Jessica Kristy*, age 38, works in retail and is married with two children, ages 10 and 13 years old. She is also one of those fans that WANE‐TV’s general manager feared he might lose when he replaced Sandy Thompson. Jessica is unaware that Sandy was purposely let go; she is under the impression that Sandy recently retired. Kristy is having a hard time deciding whom to watch now. When it comes time to choose a local channel for weather, she admits that she is “not sure anymore, I really like the other people on WANE, but the new weather person at 6:00 pm is not easy getting used to. So, I have been surfing.” * Pseudonyms are used in place of interviewees’ names throughout this research paper. Jessica Kristy liked Sandy because she was comfortable with her, and because over the past 24 years she has built a pseudo‐relationship with her. Jessica liked, “her humor. She seemed like an aunt or something. It is hard to describe: Sandy wasn’t afraid of making mistakes; she would roll with it.” Now Jessica is left looking for a new weathercaster; she feels the new person at WANE is not “real.” Her complaints include that he is overly tan with perfect teeth, something she equates to seeming “fake.” She cannot picture this new person with his family or coming into work with a cold. Years of watching Sandy Thompson on TV allowed Jessica Kristy to develop what Horton and Wohl (1956) identified as a parasocial relationship: the one sided relationship the audience builds with media personalities. She learned to trust Sandy. According to Kathleen Sherman‐Morris (2005), her parasocial relationship and trust meant that Jessica was more likely to take potential life‐saving precautions during severe weather if Sandy Thompson told her to. So, with Sandy’s departure, Jessica finds she is “channel surfing,” looking for a person with whom she connects, unknowingly trying to build a new parasocial relationship. But how is a new weathercaster going to break through to her and become what Jessica describes as “real”? The explosion of social media in recent years has created a way of building parasocial relationships that Horton and Wohl (1956) never dreamed of. Kathleen Sherman‐Morris(2005) showed that strong parasocial bonds result in higher trust 2 between audiences and their weathercasters, resulting in an increased likelihood that viewers will adhere to weathercasters’ calls to take shelter during severe weather. Social media provides a way to increase that parasocial bond and then communicate with the audience directly and personably, increasing both warning‐ reaction time and the likelihood of viewers taking preventative measures. We will see that stations are using some social media tactics in local news and local weathercasts, but this new medium is not fully being taken advantage of. Potential exists through social media to create much stronger parasocial bonds than have been previously created. Along with this, a large portion of the population remains underserved. Creating larger social networks will give weathercasters unprecedented influence over community populations, allowing them to warn and mobilize groups in danger more quickly and more efficiently than ever before. Truly, the parasocial relationship between viewer and broadcaster weather forecasters has become more complex alongside dynamic changes in the media geography of local TV markets. To address these issues, we first must know the research that has led up to this issue’s current standing. The next chapter begins with an explanation of the long history geographers have had studying weather, climate and environmental change. Then, further within the literature review, works discussing the growth of mobile media, the Internet, and social media are analyzed to show their importance in all aspects of daily life. The literature review chapter then transitions into a discussion of the history of the parasocial relationship from its first conception by 3 Horton and Wohl in 1956, to its quantification in 1985 by Rubin, Perse, and Powell, and then into today’s continued application. Next, the chapter examines literature involving weather‐warning systems: where and how quickly populations get their weather warnings, how they react to the warnings, and how successful the warnings can be in saving life and property. Finally, these three areas are brought together to indentify the gap in the literature, a place where this study attempts, through qualitative research, to explore and understand local news stations’ use of social media to distribute severe weather. Chapter 3 details the methodology of this study, beginning with the goals of the research. Next the chapter details how the interview subjects were selected and the questions they were asked, how the interviews were conducted, and finally, the manner in which the data was analyzed. Chapter 4 begins with a background and history of Fort Wayne’s television media, followed by a discussion with a weather critic to demonstrate an insight into trust in weather forecasting. Following this demonstration, I present a conceptual framework to assist in analyzing social media users. I then evaluate this framework using a case study of severe storms in October, 2010. Using this case study, I present a discussion of my findings, highlighting previously unrecognized social media pervasiveness. In support of the scholarly literature, I examine how audiences inherently come to trust their weathercasters. Social media has provided a new vehicle for the building of parasocial relationships, and, therefore, trust. Finally, in 4 chapter 4 this study claims that viewers no longer rely primarily on television for severe weather warnings. The second empirical chapter, chapter 5, begins with a discussion with WANE‐TV’s Internet content manager to illustrate the typical social media strategy employed by television stations. From this case study I present a discussion of my findings, highlighting the importance of talent maintaining individual social media profiles and the station’s need to better promote its social media presence. Finally, I revisit user and professional interviews to underscore the ways in which social media is not being utilized to its full capability. Chapter 6 reiterates this studies findings. Followed by a discussion of research limitations and suggestions for future research. 5 Chapter 2: Literature Review This literature review takes a focused look at literature in three topical areas: growing mobile and social media usage, the history and current application of parasocial relationships, and weather warnings and subsequent public reaction. Shortcomings in the literature are targeted in this study for further. Prior to discussing the three major literature topics, we must first briefly introduce the importance of weather‐related topics to geographers. There is a rich history of discussion among geographers about how weather, climate, and environmental change affect daily practices of people worldwide. In recent years there has been a rejuvenated interest in these topics as a new generation of geographers has begun to tackle age‐old questions (Jankovic and Barboza 2009; Rayner 2009; Turner 2009; Pennesi 2009). In Under the Weather, Tom Fort (2006) explores the role of weather in the daily life and history of Great Britain. Geographers have even probed the weatherman’s role in society. Mark Monmonier’s Air Apparent (1999) examines how meteorologists learned to map, predict, and dramatize the weather for an audience. With this brief background into the historical discussion of weather among geographers, we can now read further to understand how social media and parasocial relationships are affecting weather warnings. 2.1 Growth in mobile and social media Because of social media’s newness, its definition varies depending on the source. Most recent definitions of “social media” build upon user‐generated content that can be shared amongst users’ peers. For the purpose of this study, social media is best defined as a category of website that are based on user participation and user‐generated content. This content can be video, audio, text, or multimedia that is published, and most importantly, shared in a social environment. Some types of social media are forums, message boards, blogs, wikis, and video hosting sites. The most popular of these sites include Facebook, YouTube, Flickr, Twitter, and Wikipedia. Social media websites and the portability of the web have become a part of the human experience. Smartphones, such as the iPhone, offer advanced PC (personal computer)‐type functionality and full Internet access and are growing in popularity (Ling, et al. 2010). In many cases the desire to be connected to social media has driven the sales of smartphones (ibid.). The International Telecommunications Union projects 5.3 billion mobile cell phone subscriptions worldwide at the start of 2011; of these, 940 million are subscriptions to 3G services, the type needed for full access to the Internet and for PC‐type functionality. Access to these mobile networks is now available to 90% of the world’s population in 143 countries (ibid.). Developed countries show an average of 116 mobile phone subscriptions for every 100 inhabitants. This market saturation has led to an explosion in short message service (SMS) messaging, the system on which standard 7 phone‐to‐phone texts are transmitted. But, SMS has also been tapped into by Twitter and Facebook, allowing users’ tweets and Facebook status updates to be sent out to any person’s phone in the world that subscribes, perhaps explaining the ITU’s report of SMS messaging tripling in the last three years to nearly 200,000 messages every second. The increase of mobile service is a major cause of the advancement of social media, but just as important is the continually increasing size of the online community. According to the ITU (2010), in 2005 approximately 1 billion people were online; by 2010 this number doubled to 2 billion. Just under half of the Internet users, 800 million, are in developed countries. While it is expected that stronger growth trends will continue to be seen in developing countries, continued growth in developed countries is expected, as only 65.6% of people in developed countries have Internet access. A number of developed countries such as Estonia, Finland, and Spain have declared access to the Internet a legal right. U.S. based research has found a significant increase in online use and in social media usage in the last half‐decade (Dimmick 2003; Dimmick 2004; Jenkins 2004; Lehart 2009). Wellman (2004) documents ten years of Internet growth, saying the Internet as a tool of social communication has “become embedded in everyday life.” Wellman adds that we have evolved from “a world of internet wizards to a world of ordinary people routinely using the Internet.” But what are ordinary people routinely using the Internet for? In 2008 Bill Tancer, the general manager of global research at Hitwise, a company dedicated to understanding Internet users’ behavior, 8 says that social media has overtaken pornography as the number one use of the Internet. The most popular of these social media sites is Facebook, a social networking site that connects its users with their “friends.” Facebook allows users to create individual profile pages that allow them to share the happenings in their lives by uploading pictures and videos and by posting written messages. The site recently passed 500 million users, more than the populations of the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France and Spain combined (facebook.com 2010). In spring, 2010, Facebook overtook Google as the most‐visited website on the Internet (www.guardian.uk 2010). Its creation and astonishing success and growth spawned the critically acclaimed, high‐grossing movie* The Social Network. Mike Elgan (2009), a technology writer and former editor of Windows Magazine, argues that social media have already begun to replace television, pointing out that major news stories about the US Airways flight landing in the Hudson River and the terrorist attacks in Mumbai were communicated much more quickly on Twitter and other social media sites than on television. This is a slightly presumptuous statement as 98% of Americans have TV’s compared to 65.6% who have Internet access (ITU Report). Nonetheless, social media have changed the way traditional mainstream media work. Wright and Hinson (2009) note that social media “bypass traditional news media and, as such, throw a major wrench in the * As of February 1st 2011 The Social Network grossed $213,824,288 in worldwide box office sales. http://boxofficemojo.com 9 suggestion that these traditional news media set any agenda for public thought.” In a 2008 study, Wright and Hinson found that 89% of public relations firm employees think social media have influenced news coverage in the traditional media. Only 72% of respondents think that traditional media have, in return, influenced social media. In that same study, the authors observed a gap in accuracy, credibility, trust, and ethics between traditional and social medias. Traditional media outlets showed, by receiving upwards of 60% of the votes, a large advantage in all of these categories. Fewer than 20% believe social media provide the most accurate, credible, or trustworthy information. Interestingly, even though social media is less trusted than traditional forms of media, 56% said they agree that social media serves as a watchdog for traditional mainstream media. Still, 75% expect mainstream media to be honest, to tell the truth, and to be ethical; whereas expectations for blogs and other social media in these areas are considerably less at 44%. While research does not show high trust in the information provided through social media, it does show that social media has changed how traditional media outlets do their jobs. . . . Understanding how the Internet is changing communication is essential to television stations and weathercasters, especially for the purpose of getting out severe weather warnings. In the business world quicker communication has kept businesses consumer‐focused; 84 % of Fortune‐500 employees said that blogs and 10 other social media have made communications more instantaneous because they force organizations to respond more quickly to criticism (Wright and Hinson 2008). Many websites (outside of Facebook and Twitter) are changing communication practices by providing places to instantly share ideas and information with large audiences. The video sharing site YouTube claims some 350 million monthly visitors. Nearly 10 million registered users have contributed to the user‐edited online dictionary Wikipedia. More than 35 million have posted and tagged more than 3 billion photos and videos on Flickr. (Kelly 2009). Those who actively take part in the online revolution of social media communicate in a different way than the rest of the world. In a suburb near Toronto, the two‐thirds of residents who had always‐on, super‐fast internet access knew the names of three times as many of their neighbors as their unwired neighbors. They also spoke with twice as many neighbors and visited neighbors’ homes 1.5 times as often (Hampton and Wellman 2003). With new rules in communication, there needs to be changes in the way the media reaches these online consumers. Businesses have been racing to get recognized online by this new and rapidly growing online population, but there is still ample room for growth. In 2009, Ganim (2010) showed that 22% of Fortune 500 companies were blogging, a large increase from the 9% reported blogging in 2007. In addition, 35% of Fortune 500 companies have included the social networking and micro‐blogging site Twitter into their marketing plans. The steady adoption of blogs, Facebook, and Twitter by Fortune 11 500 companies expresses a necessary and important interest in the growing online audience. This growth illustrates how important it is for the local news and local news personalities to be visible in this growing medium. Unfortunately, David Meerman Scott (2008) says, “Only a small number of practitioners are effectively using blogs and other social media when communicating to the public, even though the web is usually free as opposed to purchasing space through other traditional advertising medium.” The value of a television personality on Twitter might be best understood in terms of dollars. Advertising company Ad.ly reports that reality‐television star Kim Kardashian is paid $10,000 per endorsed tweet to her over 2.7 million followers (New York Post 2009). According to a 2004 Businessweek article, companies including Microsoft and Dell encourage employee blogging, believing that; “Done well, they can humanize faceless behemoth. The Evil Empire of Redmond can instead become the home of ‘The Schobleizer,’ Microsoft’s most famous blogger.” This is something television news stations have long realized; by putting anchors’ and weathercasters’ pictures on billboards and park benches, they are selling the person, not the faceless company. But, they have not yet taken full advantage of how the Internet could help them do this. Ultimately making the television experience as personal as possible will only help the station because “Real human 12 beings speak like real human beings, which is something companies have forgotten how to do.” (Businessweek 2004) In summary, there has been an explosion in popularity of social media in the last five years. With this, we must also understand how parasocial relationships have affected broadcast weather forecasting. 2.2 Understanding Parasocial Relationships While the shift towards social media has been quite recent, over half a century has been spent examining the relationship individuals develop with television personalities. Horton and Wohl first recognized this relationship between viewer and audience, or the parasocial interaction (1956). This interaction is also described as an “illusion of intimacy” between media personalities and the audience members. Television personalities encourage parasocial involvement with viewers by using conversational style and gestures along with informal settings that invite interactive responses (Horton and Wohl 1956). Horton and Wohl’s ideas have been adopted and expanded since their conception (Rosengren &Windahl 1972; Rosengren, Windahl, Hakansson, and Johnsson‐Smaragdi 1976; Levy 1979; Hedinsson 1981). In 1985, Rubin, Perse, and Powell developed a conceptual model to predict parasocial interaction in television news. From this model, the first empirical evidence of parasocial interaction, or PSI, was shown to exist between the audience and the newscaster. Since 1985, adapted models have been used to show that this relationship exists for a number of public 13 media figures such as athletes (Brown 2003), television characters (Rubin and Mchaugh 1987), news anchors (Perse 1990), radio hosts (Rubin and Step, 2000), and television weathercasters (Sherman‐Morris 2005). Giles and Maltby (2006) named the strong bonds between the audience and the performer “celebrity worship.” To measure celebrity worship, Giles and Maltby built from the Parasocial Interaction Scale (PSI) of Rubin et al. (1985) as well as from Wann’s Sports Fan Motivation Sale and The Celebrity Appeal Questionnaire. Wann’s (1995) Sport Fan Motivation Scale identified eight factors predicting sport fandom: source of self‐esteem, an avenue for escape, as entertainment, family affiliation, group affiliation, aesthetic appeal, excitement, and for economic reasons. The Celebrity Appeal Questionnaire (Stever 1991) emphasized the entertainer as a role model. Using large United Kingdom samples, three aspects of celebrity worship were isolated (Maltby et al. 2002, Maltby et al 2005, Maltby et al. 2001). The vast majority of fans are described as “Entertainment‐social.” “These fans are attracted to a favorite celebrity because of their perceived ability to entertain and to become a source of social interaction and gossip”(Giles and Maltby 2006). Fans included into this category agreed with statements such as “My friends and I like to discuss what my favorite celebrity has done” and “Learning the life story of my favorite celebrity is a lot of fun.” This one‐sided relationship between the audience and the media figures should come as little surprise. Throughout history public figures from kings to outlaws have been idolized. Only recently have we had access to our idolized public 14 figures through social media such as Facebook and Twitter. Giles and Maltby (2006) suggest that celebrity may be an extreme form of popularity. Hartup (1996) notes that we always flock to attractive people in our immediate environment; even in preschool social groups there seem to be ‘stars’ that command extra attention. But what is it that attracts us to these different public figures? According to Maltby et al. (2002), most fans’ favorite celebrity choice is tied to their entertainment value. Favorite celebrities are also identified having qualities such as intelligence, talent, and social skills that make them deserving of their celebrity status. PSI has been shown to exist between audience populations and a variety of celebrities, athletes included. Brown (2003) showed a parasocial relationship existed between large audiences and baseball star Mark McGwire during his historic 72‐homerun baseball season in 1998. Brown attributes higher than usual strength in the parasocial relationship due to the publicity that exposed McGwire to millions surrounding his homerun chase. His homerun chase was a focus of media outside the sporting world and was discussed on radio, local, and national news programs. Sixty percent of those interviewed in the study reported not to follow baseball regularly, yet they still followed his season, showing that his repeated media exposure was a key factor in the parasocial relationships involving McGwire. While local news anchors do not command the national attention of star athletes, they have other advantages to building strong parasocial relationships with their audience. A conversational‐style and a face‐to‐face setting mirror 15 interpersonal communication. Production techniques such as close‐ups and camera zooms increase intimacy (Horton and Wohl 1956). The regularity of television news broadcasts has also been highlighted as a reason for strong PSI scores. Altman and Taylor (1973) noticed that the more often people interact, the more likely they are to achieve deep states of intimacy. Friendship is also based, in part, on how others help us meet our needs (Wright 1978). Television news anchors, then, provide us with information about our communities that we desire, meeting a need. While not national stars, newscasters often become celebrities in a broadcast market, appearing on local interview programs, making personal appearances, and being topics of discussion in local print media (Rubin, Perse, and Powell 1985). While high PSI scores of television newscasters has not shown an increase in knowledge gain by the audience, scores do affect emotional reactions to the news (Rubin, Perse, Powell 1985). Thus, it follows that the newscaster can influence viewers’ behavior to some extent. Talk‐radio hosts have stronger PSI scores than other celebrities (Rubin 2001). One reason for this is that the perceived distance between radio listeners and their program is closer or more immediate than for other media (Rubin 2001). Talk radio is personality‐driven and offers listeners an opportunity for conversation and interpersonal involvement (Rubin and Rubin 1985). Talk‐radio listeners often pay attention to hosts who share their same opinions. Since audiences find it satisfying to have their beliefs and opinions confirmed, the audience‐host bond is strengthened. Rubin and Step (2000) found that interacting with talk radio hosts 16 predicted frequent listening to that host. They also found that audiences treat the host as an important and credible source of information. The host influences attitudes and actions about societal issues, and as the degree of PSI increases, listeners believe their attitudes are stronger in agreement with the host. Developing the relationship increases desire for more interaction through regular listening. This highlights the importance of building parasocial relationships. They benefit the host by increasing his popularity and job security at the radio station while generating more revenue. Having this kind of influence of an audience is helpful for any broadcaster, but especially important for weathercasters who provide warnings during severe weather. Recently, the Parasocial Interaction Scale, or PSI Scale, of Rubin et al. (1985) was used to test the relationship of local television weathercasters. Sherman‐Morris (2005) measured PSI in the Memphis, Tennessee market. The survey results indicate a stronger‐than‐expected degree of PSI with local weathercasters compared to other studies focusing on talk show hosts, sitcom actors, or even local newscasters. Sherman‐Morris suggests the high regularity of interaction between the audience and weathercaster and the relevance of the information to daily activities as reasons for the higher than average PSI scores. Sherman‐Morris also concludes that strong PSI scores result in higher trust, meaning the audience is more likely to seek shelter when warned by a trusted weathercaster. Therefore, building a strong parasocial relationship with the audience could increase safety. 17 This literature has shown that parasocial relationships do give broadcasters influence over audiences. To understand how this influence can affect behavior during sever weather events; we must first examine research investigating severe weather‐warning reactions. 2.3 Weather warning reactions Consumers’ demand for ever‐evolving weather information is driven by always‐changing audiences. Even in the newspaper industry, weather maps are continuously evolving to better illustrate to future weather events (Call 2005). It is important to understand how persons react to severe weather warnings so that we can appreciate how this reaction might be changing with the introduction of new media and new ways of warning the public. Those who take the proper precautions following a warning have the lowest injury and death rate (Hammer and Schimidlin 2002). R. Denise Blanchard‐Boehm and M. Jeffrey Cook (2004) found that people who have had previous experience with a tornado, especially an intense one, were most likely to be prepared for future severe weather events. It may seem obvious that behavior is affected by direct experience, but does this apply to individuals only, or can society as a whole learn from previous disasters? Craig E. Colten and Amy R. Sumpter’s (2009) study entitled “Social Memory and Resilience in New Orleans” examines the lessons learned from 1965’s Hurricane Betsy and how these 18 lessons were applied prior to Hurricane Katrina in 2005. After Betsy, plans to complete massive earthworks and structures protecting the city were put into place. These structures were to be finished by 1978, but they remained unfinished when Katrina struck in 2003, as the money needed to complete the project was spent elsewhere. Betsy also demonstrated that eastern New Orleans was at the greatest vulnerability to flooding, yet 20,000 homes were built below sea level during the 40 years following the hurricane. Betsy also showed that post‐flooding, water would be slow to leave and sit in the city like water in a bowl. Nonetheless, when Katrina hit New Orleans, the city was not prepared to pump the resulting water out of the city, and water stood for weeks. Colten and Sumpter found that as a society, New Orleans did not learn its lesson, and they point out the importance for future generations to learn from Katrina’s destruction. Montz and Gruntfest (2002) claim that newer technologies and increased warning times have not affected flood losses. According to a 2005 study, scientists often disagree on flood prediction because of the “complexity of meteorological and hydrological processes” (Downton et al.). Beyond the collective society’s memory and increased warning times, what is it that makes individuals adhere to severe weather warnings? Studies show varying responses during severe weather. During the May 3rd, 1999, Oklahoma City Tornado, 65% of residents left their homes when instructed to do so through various warning systems (Hammer and Schimidlin 2002). According to a 2010 study 86% of respondents were not concerned about false alarms or close 19 calls reducing their confidence in future tornado warnings. This same study showed that over half of respondents would take shelter from a tornado under a highway overpass if they were driving, indicating that people need educated and warned on the dangers of using highway overpasses as shelter from severe weather (Schultz et al.). Overpasses create a wind tunnel meaning wind speeds will actually be higher underneath them during tornados. A 2005 study showed that nearly 90% of the severe weather warnings are discovered through the television medium (Sherman‐Morris 2005). Sherman‐Morris also discovered that during severe weather on a university campus, text message alerts were the most effective way of alerting the student body and faculty of a tornado. Faculty often knew that severe weather was coming from having seen it on local news coverage prior to its arrival, whereas students were less often informed. However, as the storm approached, more students than faculty say they learned of it from television. In the conclusion of the study, respondents were asked which would be the best way of communicating storm warnings in the future. Students overwhelmingly choose cell phone messages, while the faculty preferred emails. A 2010 study by Silver and Conrad documented Hurricane Juan’s strike of the Atlantic Canada coast on September 29, 2003, and showed the public’s unpreparedness for severe weather events. Fifty‐eight percent interviewed indicated that they checked the forecast at least once per day. Non‐government Internet sources ranked as the most reliable sources for weather information. The most commonly used media by respondents over age 60 years was local news and 20 radio, whereas the most common form of media for respondents’ ages 20‐40 was the Internet. From this, researchers concluded the importance of understanding that different age groups obtain their severe weather information in different ways, emphasizing the importance in the future to develop forecasts for all target groups. This lack of tailored media coverage coincides with the rising use of social media, especially in portable mobile devices, leaving the perfect opportunity for local media to provide a needed and profitable service to the public. Once warned, teachers and students both search out more information about the storm. Other literature has confirmed similar behavior. A 1995 study showed that only 8% of west Tennessee residents constantly listened to NOAA Weather Radio. That percentage raised to nearly 25 after hearing of approaching severe weather (Redmond 1995). Sherman‐Morris studied how the parasocial relationship between the weathercaster and viewer is stronger than any other previously demonstrated PSI relationship (2005). She also was able to demonstrate how this relationship gives the audience more confidence in the severe weather warnings. But still, in 2005, the majority of people surveyed had learned of the severe weather on television. Since this time, the above literature has shown that there has been an incredible upsurge in social media applications. How this upsurge in the use of social media affects the relationship between the weathercaster and the audience has yet to be explored. Nor has it been explored how and if these trusted local weathercasters using social media to alert audiences has helped populations take heed to warnings more quickly. Furthermore, it is not yet fully known if local news stations or 21 weathercasters are taking full advantage of the social media at their fingertips to reach an audience that is relying less and less on television. These are all questions that this study will explore. 22 Chapter 3: Methods To gain an understanding of how respondents’ growing use of social media and other emerging media have impacted the relationship with the local television weathercaster and how this growing use has ultimately changed how people receive weather warnings, respondents in this study participated in a semi‐structured interview designed to explore the following topics: ‐ Understand amount of time spent on social networking sites such as Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, MySpace, Bloggs, etc. ‐ Understand how social media sites have changed where respondents hear about breaking news and how they pass along that information ‐ Understand the respondents’ attitudes toward their weathercaster and if they use social media to stay connected to that weathercaster ‐ Learn where respondents turn during severe weather as well as where they first hear it. Also if they feel they are alerted in a timely manner. Respondents were selected through a non‐probability sampling technique, known as snowball sampling, in which existing research subjects help recruit future subjects from their acquaintances. Other non‐probability sampling techniques considered include reliance on available subjects sampling, judgment sampling, and quota sampling. Available subject sampling stops respondents at a given location. 23 This was not selected because it is overly used and a risky sampling method (Babbie 2008). Quota sampling is the most thorough sampling technique, resulting in demographics that best mimic that of the entire population. This non‐probability sampling technique was not used because of time and expense constraints. Judgmental sampling allows more exact sections of a population to be targeted. This was not proper for this study because such exact sections of the larger population were difficult to identify. Snowball sampling is most like judgmental sampling, but in snowball sampling, only a small number of the desired population must be identified. Those identified then led to other respondents. Once initial snowball sample respondents were identified, they were provided with informational sheets describing the study as seen in Appendix 1. 3.1 Discussion of subjects Two interview subjects were selected specifically as experts in different areas, Mitch Manning, CEO of the RRRgroup, and Joel Jackson, Internet content manager at WANE‐TV. Two more interviewees were found through WANE‐TV’s Facebook fan page. These subjects were contacted based on the high quality of the comments they had posted on a thread discussing the October 26th tornados. These interviewees then helped recruit additional subjects, and those subjects helped recruit more subjects until the interview questions no longer received previously unmentioned responses. 24 Six of the subjects are women representing all different ages (see Table 1). Jessica Kristy, described earlier as a “power user,” is searching for a new weathercaster after her favorite, Sandy Thompson, was fired at WANE‐TV. Kristy is married with two children and works in retail. The 38‐year‐old Kristy is one of two female research subjects that are not educated beyond high school. The youngest of the women is 22‐year‐old, single, with a high school education. The next oldest is a 23‐year‐old college student who provided a unique perspective into the use of social media as she is a marketing major. Another of the younger subjects is a 25‐year‐old married woman who recently settled just outside of Fort Wayne after finishing graduate school. Another female subject is a 38‐year‐old wife and mother of two. She has taken some college courses but never finished. Currently she has her own online business selling jewelry she makes to people around the world. The oldest of the female respondents is a 54‐year‐old nurse. She is married and has adult children. Unintentionally but fortuitously, this subject pool had subjects representing every level of education, from the high school dropout to doctoral degree. The youngest of the men is a high school dropout. The 25‐year‐old single man grew up in Tennessee but moved to Fort Wayne a year ago; he remains unemployed. The only interview subject with a weather background was the high school‐educated, retired firefighter, a 60‐year‐old divorcee. During his time as a firefighter, he volunteered as a storm spotter for the National Weather Service in Northern Indiana. He now lives 25 next door to one of his two adult children. The last of the interview subjects has his Doctorate in Veterinary Medicine. He is 65, married and has adult children. Table 3.1 – Interview Subject Demographics Respondents Gender/Age Education Marital Status Employment #1 Jessica K. Female/38 High School Married Retail Sales #2 Marie M. Female/22 High School Single Unemployed #3 Brenda A. Female/23 In College Single Full‐Time Student #4 Jenna F. Female/25 Grad School Married At home mother #5 Patty S. Female/54 College Married Nurse #6 Katie J. Female/38 Some College Married Self Employed #7 Matt S. Male/25 Some HS Single Unemployed #8 David D. Male/60 High School Divorced Retired #9 Rajiv K. Male/65 Doctorate Married Veterinarian 3.2 Discussion of interviews Interviews were conducted in two different manners. On several occasions, trips were made to Ft. Wayne, where in‐person interviews were conducted. These interviews typically lasted no more than thirty minutes and were recorded by hand‐ written field notes; a digital recording device was not used during these interviews. Another portion of the interviews was conducted with an Internet chat service, 26 Google Chat or Facebook Chat. These interviews took much longer to conduct, slightly over an hour in most cases, but less time was spent summarizing the interview, as the entire conversation could be copied and saved into a Microsoft Word document. Subjects were interviewed with a layout of 12 questions. Questions evolved during each interview; respondents’ answers led to new questions. An outline of the questions asked can be found in Appendix 2. In an attempt to understand the social attitude towards weathercasters and social media in Fort Wayne, the respondents were asked to provide information about themselves. This provided a composite picture of the group that the individual informants represent. There is no way to be certain that non‐probability sampling demonstrates the attitude of the entire population, but it does provide a starting point for understanding the influence of social media when it is used by television weathercasters. Interview field notes and transcripts were analyzed; themes were indentified, separated, and reorganized according to their place in the study. To do this, transcripts of all subject interviews were reviewed and coded according to theme. The themes identified are • Pervasiveness of social media. • Trust in weather forecasters. • Perceived social media awareness of television stations. • Information gathering behavior. 27 • Changing parasocial interaction. • Reactions to severe weather. Coded responses were then pulled from original transcripts and put into separate documents based on themes. In conclusion, the use of the non‐probability snowball sampling method allowed original respondents to recruit new respondents. Twelve semi‐structured questions led to interview responses that were coded by themes and used to gain an understanding of how respondents’ growing use of social media and other emerging media has impacted the relationship with the local television weathercaster and how this has ultimately changed how the respondents receive weather warnings. 28 Chapter 4: Trust, Weather Forecasting, and Social Media Trust is central to unpacking the complexity of the relationship between weather forecasting and new social media. As Sherman‐Morris argues, parasocial relationships and trust are interrelated. Higher measures of parasocial interaction equate to higher levels of trust. However, Sherman‐Morris’s work is limited in at least two ways, which this chapter seeks to address. First her method is quantitative and cannot fully explore the nuances of audience trust in weather forecasting. Second, her studies do not consider the role of social media in contemporary parasocial relationships. Therefore, this research employs qualitative interviews with both professionals and viewers to understand the complex relationship between weather forecasting and social media. This argument is situated by the Fort Wayne, Indiana, media geography. According to Nielsen (2011), Fort Wayne is the 107th‐largest television market in the nation, making it a medium‐sized market. In proceeding, this chapter begins with a background and history of television media in Fort Wayne, followed by a discussion with a weathercaster critic, which illustrates an example of the issues of trust in television weather forecasting. His interview provides both insight into social media use in Fort Wayne and makes assumptions about weathercasters that are later addressed in the findings. Following this illustration, I present a conceptual framework to assist in analyzing social media users. I then evaluate this framework using a case study of severe storms in October, 2010, demonstrating the importance of trust in viewers’ response to severe weather warnings by weathercasters. From this case study, I present a discussion of my findings, highlighting previously unrecognized social media pervasiveness. In support of the scholarly literature, I examine how audiences inherently come to trust their weathercasters. Social media has provided a new vehicle for the building of parasocial relationships, and therefore, for building trust. Finally, this study claims that viewers no longer exclusively rely on television for severe weather warnings. In conclusion, I return to the weathercaster critic to underline the ways in which trust is a dynamic and shifting relationship. Indeed, the parasocial relationship between viewer and broadcast weather forecasters has become more complex alongside dynamic changes in the media geography of local TV markets. 4.1 Background: Fort Wayne media geography To properly understand the relationship among weathercasters, the audience, and weather warnings, we must first understand the media geography in the Fort Wayne television market. The city of just over 250,000 residents is home to all four of the major networks. NBC affiliate WKJG‐TV, now WISE‐TV, became Fort Wayne’s first television station in 1953. One year later, CBS affiliate WINK‐TV, now WANE‐TV, joined WISE‐TV to become the city’s second TV station. In 1957 WPTA‐ 30 TV became ABC’s Fort Wayne affiliate. WFFT launched in December of 1977 as an independent station. It was not until the day of Fox network’s launch, October 6th, 1986, that the station WFFT‐TV became its affiliate. For most of Fort Wayne’s television history, there have been three local daily broadcast news programs from which to choose. That fact remains the same today, but the choices have changed over the years. For the majority of the last 50 years, WISE‐TV, WANE‐TV, and WPTA‐TV all offered local news coverage. On April 6th, 2009, WFFT‐TV launched a nighttime hour‐long news program, Fox Fort Wayne News First at 10. Currently they produce one daily one‐hour show through the week. Other stations produce at least 4 shows daily through the week, along with weekend editions. Even with the addition of WFFT‐TV to the marketplace, viewers only have three news teams from which to choose. In what remains one of the most unpopular moves in Fort Wayne television media history, NBC’s WISE‐TV news department was merged with ABC’s WPTA in 2005. In the process, 57 employees were fired, including on‐air and production staff. Only the lead anchor from WISE‐TV was integrated into the WPTA news production. The move to combine stations was wildly ostracized by the public. Fort Wayne’s News­Sentinel became a fashionable place for viewers to voice their complaints. Nothing angered fans more than the release of WISE‐TV’s lead meteorologist. Seizing the opportunity, CBS’s WANE‐TV quickly hired the recently fired weathercaster and put him to work on the weekday morning and noon forecasts. According to Nielsen Media Research, WPTA and 31 WISE‐TV immediately saw a drop in ratings while WANE‐TV took over as the market’s news leader (2005). Just as the NBC and ABC affiliates now share news staff, they also share a website. The site provides a video of the weather forecast, along with a written 7‐ day forecast. Tabs on the weather page offer viewers links to live skyview cameras, interactive radar, and information on school closings. CBS affiliate WANE‐TV can also be found online. The website provides more weather information and tools over the web than any of their competitors. The site offers current conditions for surrounding areas, video forecasts, weather blogs from staff meteorologists, live satellite and radar feeds, and a number of other options. Fort Wayne’s newest news team, WFFT, resides at fortwaynehomepage.net. The site includes live local radar, school closings, and a weather warnings page. All three of the news teams have created at least some kind of social media identity. Leading the way in that category seems to be WANE‐TV. They are by far the most “liked” television station fan page in the Fort Wayne market. When Facebook users visit WANE‐TV or any other fan page, they have the option of “liking” that page. If they choose to do so, they will be informed when that is updated. WANE‐ TV’s fan page had been “liked” by 6,856 people in late 2010(October 18th http://www.facebook.com/#!/wane15 ). WANE‐TV is the most active of the stations in updating its fan page with stories they are covering on television. From their Facebook page, they often link to stories on their own website, bringing them higher traffic and more possibility for add revenue. From their Facebook page, one 32 can also find a link to their station‐run Twitter account. A review of their tweeting history in late 2010 shows 1,084 followers (October 18th http://twitter.com/#!/wane15). Their Twitter status updates indicate that it is not attended to as actively as the Facebook page. An overview of Indiana’s News Center’s (WPTA and WISE‐TV) Facebook page shows what appears to be the most well‐thought out and most updated of all of the fan pages in the television market. Updates are very frequent on their fan page, and the number of people commenting on their stories is equal to those commenting on the posts of WANE‐TV. Yet, Indiana’s News Center had only been “liked” by 2,909 people in late 2010(October 18th http://www.facebook.com/#!/IndianasNewsCenter). The fan page is set up well to send people to their stations website. The Facebook page also connects fans to their Twitter account. 1,272 are following them (October 18th http://twitter.com/#!/inctoday) , but their updates are infrequent. There are gaps of days during which no updates are sent out at all. Finally, the youngest station in the market has left the smallest social network fingerprint to date. As of late 2010, WFFT’s fan page had a total of 590 followers (October 18th http://www.facebook.com/#!/FOXFortWayne). WFFT offers updated posts that appear on their follower’s walls. Links in their updates guide traffic to their own webpage. A link to any Twitter profile is missing from both the Facebook page and the station webpage. Missing from all of the stations’ social media profiles are connections to the individual reporters, anchors, and weathercasters. Nowhere are Twitter accounts 33 for the television personalities displayed, nor are there ways to friend the television personalities on Facebook. There is a give and take between the station and the audience on Facebook walls, but not between the audience and the personalities who are on the news every day. If stations wish to take advantage of parasocial relationships, they will need to promote and require their talent to maintain social media profiles. 4.2 Critics of weather forecasting InterAmerica Incorporated is a company based in Fort Wayne that is responsible for hosting hundreds of blogs. The RRRGroup is a construct of the larger InterAmerica Inc. This smaller group is responsible for some of the company’s most important blogs. Of the RRRGroup’s 300‐some blogs ranging on all topics, twelve are updated daily. None is more important to the business than Fort Wayne Media Watch, a watchdog blog that editorializes on the quality of coverage by Fort Wayne media outlets, primarily television stations. According to InterAmerica Inc. CEO Mitch Manning, Media Watch has been published for 21 years, first as a fax‐send and then as a website in 2001. Media Watch is not beloved by Fort Wayne media. Even while making enemies with Fort Wayne media outlets, Media Watch remains a powerful voice in the city. As Manning describes the blog, “We’re often mean, but everyone reads it, despite words to the contrary.” 34 Manning is an expert in both Fort Wayne media and the use of social media such as blogging. Starting in ad sales at a small paper in Michigan, he later became a reporter for Mellus Newspapers and then for The Detroit News. Manning then spent several years as a radio host at Detroit’s WLIN‐FM before finally working for the RRRGroup. Throughout the 1980’s, he and his team at the RRRGroup worked as news correspondents for Fort Wayne’s The News‐Sentinel, the Indianapolis Star, the Toledo Blade, and the Fort Wayne Television station WANE‐TV. In the last two decades, Manning and the RRRGroup have made a name for themselves among television broadcasters in Fort Wayne. As part of his duties at Media Watch, Manning records and views all of the television broadcasts from all of the stations on a daily basis; and as might be expected from someone who makes a living and name for himself as a critic who holds the media to the highest of standards, Manning is not full of complimentary statements about Fort Wayne television. Of his complaints, perhaps he is hardest on weather broadcasting. “Media managers in television think of weather as entertainment, a break between hard‐core news and sports,” says Manning. “The more gadgets and glitz that the segment can incorporate the better; (that way) viewers think they are getting a valuable service from the station.” Media Watch CEO’s lack of trust in weather forecasting does not stop there; he continues, “The station managers pretend to have the public’s concerns as a priority, but, if you can get them candid, you’ll hear just what I’m telling you.” According to Manning, viewers are only concerned if it will be hot or cold or if there are any “caveats” on 35 the day’s drive to work. He puts even less importance on weather warnings, “They are not locale specific and are only a gambler’s guess to where bad weather might hit.” Manning points out that, in many cases, a station’s frequent use of weather warnings is doing more harm than good: “Generic tornado warnings merely increase, unnecessarily, the anxiety of the viewers, and when storms don’t actually follow those alerts, viewers loose trust in future warnings and alerts.” Manning believes, “It’s a matter of crying wolf by the TV stations and is such a matter of practice that many viewers, most perhaps, take such alerts with a grain of salt.” And as for local weathercasters being able to warn audiences in time for them to take action, Manning claims, “Indiana weathercasters have never predicted a situation that is preventative; they have always presented scenarios that are too little, too late.” While pessimistic of the weathercaster’s ability to correctly identify severe weather in time to help audiences, Manning does feel that social media have shortened notification time. He says that the stations in Fort Wayne are either just starting, or at least planning, to send warnings and other information via Facebook and Twitter. He notes that doing so will, “certainly provide a cachet for TV stations, and will allow ad revenue to be accrued by such practices.” But currently, weathercasters are overlooking the possibilities of social media; for the most part it is only the station as a whole and not individual television personalities that is starting to try to take advantage of social media to further its cause. Manning says that TV personalities can attain “cachet” by having Facebook and/or Twitter 36 accounts, “although most remain aloof.” Manning believes that social networking humanizes television personalities that stations have built up to be celebrities. He says, “They really think they are stars or celebrities, which TV stations have fostered over the years, but Facebook and Twitter have humanized TV persons and taken them down a peg or two as far as ego goes.” Manning points out that social networking has forever changed local media. He argues that these sites have democratized media. To Manning, this can be both a good and a bad thing. He says, “Media can become more likable but loses stature in the process; that is, media becomes less austere at the expense of professional cachet or credibility.” Manning is clearly skeptical of the trustworthiness of weathercasters in any medium or small market. However, he is quick to point out the possibilities that social media sites offer to local stations as well as to local television broadcasters of all types. For personalities themselves, he sees Facebook and Twitter as a way to humanize themselves to the audiences. Manning believes, however, that in doing so, credibility is going to be sacrificed. One would imagine then, that a lack in credibility would result in lower trust between the television personality and the audiences. His opinion is in contrast to research that suggests that strengthening parasocial relationships between weathercasters and the audience results in higher trust, and ultimately in faster reaction times during severe weather events (Sherman‐Morris, 2005). The issues raised by Manning will be recurring and addressed later in this chapter. 37 4.3 Framework: Social media users Interviews of the nine participants in the study showed different levels of social media usership and competence. From the interviews, I was clearly able to define three different types of social media users: “power users,” “social users,” and “new users”. “Power users” are the most comprehensive social media users, spending up to 5 hours each day. “Social users” use the site to connect to friends and spend around an hour each day. “New users” have been social media users for less than a year. They only spend 15 minutes a day connecting to friends they otherwise would not ever see. Power Users: “Power users” spend the most time on social networking sites each day by far (up to 5 hours in several cases). Often, but not always, they spend a good portion of that time logged on through a smartphone. These users see social media as a viable way to communicate, just as effective as phones, texting, and email. “Power users” more often have social networking accounts beyond Facebook, including Twitter, Youtube, personal blogs, and Linkedin. These users depend on social media to keep them informed of the happenings of their world on a day‐to‐day basis. “Power users” go out and 38 actively find sources that can provide them with this information; they then subscribe to these sources, checking back with them frequently to be updated. “Power users” do not stop at passively taking information in; they instead have a much more symbiotic relationship with their social media. They give by finding stories that affect their lives and communities and sharing them with their friends, family, and colleges via social media. They use these sites to actively network with people, to make business connections, and to meet clients. “Power users” most effectively make social media work for them. Social Users: “Social users” spend significantly less time each day (usually no more than an hour) on social networking. Just like “power users,” these users see social media as a viable way to communicate. These users are less likely to have an account outside of Facebook; those who do most often have accounts with Twitter that they pay less attention to. While on social media sites, these users spend the majority of their time looking through friends’ photos or reading status updates. These users will read articles and links posted by their friends, but rarely take the initiative to share an article or information on their own walls. These users are also less likely to actively pursue sources of information available to them over social media, yet are still just as likely 39 to follow information sources if the provider is offered to them without the effort of their own searching. Ultimately these users view social media as a way to connect with friends and family and use it only in a small way to gather information and to share information. New Users: These users spend 15 minutes or less on social media each day. These “new users” are often, but not always, new to social media as a whole. The majority of these users have had Facebook accounts for less than 6 months. Unlike the “power users” and “social users,” these users do not use social media to communicate in the same manner. These users limit social media‐based communication to those who live great distances away or those to whom they have not talked in many years. The other two groups of users are just as likely to share information with someone a room away. These users rarely, if ever, have social media accounts outside of Facebook. “New users” do not share articles and information through social media sites. These “New Users” are often surprised to discover that they can receive alerts and updates from news organizations. This group of people will not actively hunt down sources of information on social media sites. Nonetheless, this group is very important because my interviews suggest this is a rapidly evolving group. Nearly all will eventually become “social users” and some will become 40 “power users.” As a result, this group is still in the beginning stages of social media use and needs to be more aggressively sought out by the media entities themselves. Interviews show that “power users” have stronger connections to specific weather casters than either of the two user groups. This suggests that parasocial relationships are being built primarily or even completely through social media, something that has yet to be recognized by other studies. 4.4 Case Study: October 2010 storms A case study of storms moving through Fort Wayne provids a context to evaluate how respondents interact with social media and how they responded to the severe weather warnings associated with that storm. On October 26th, 2010, a well‐documented and forewarned widespread weather event that was unusual for that time of year took place across the Midwest; this event challenged the participants of this study to make decisions about where to turn for potentially life‐saving information, how to share this information with family and friends, and ultimately how to put that information into action to protect themselves and their loved ones. 41 According to the National Weather Service, a record‐breaking low‐pressure system over Minnesota pushed a strong cold front through the lower Midwest on the morning of October 26th. This cold front aided in the creation of a line of strong thunderstorms known as a squall line. In the early morning hours, the squall line developed and stretched from northern Wisconsin through Illinois and into Missouri. This line then pushed east, eventually affecting Indiana, Michigan, Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and Ohio, before breaking up over the east coast. The squall line produced 50‐60 mile per hour winds with gusts recorded at over 75 miles per hour. In addition to strong, straight‐line winds, storms produced tornados in Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. This line of storms passed through northern Indiana during the mid– to‐ late morning hours. Television stations in Fort Wayne put the watch and warning graphics onto their regular programming early in the morning, allowing ample warning for those who checked the television for updates. Additionally, two of the three stations, WANE‐TV and Indiana’s News Center, provided live cut‐ins from regularly scheduled programs with more detailed weather updates. At 8:37AM, WANE‐TV’s morning meteorologists posted information and video on WANE‐TV’s Facebook fan page concerning the coming severe weather. That was the only warning by any of the stations sent out via social media prior to the storms’ arrival. Conversations did develop among Facebook users on the fan page walls of all three stations about what was happening during the storms. 42 Ultimately, the area covered by Fort Wayne television media, northeastern Indiana and northwestern Ohio, received the brunt of the tornados, with 13 confirmed by the National Weather Service. Of the 13 confirmed tornados, 8 were classified as EF1 and the rest were classified as EF0 on the Enhanced Fujita Scale, which rates the strength of tornados in the United States based on the damage caused. Winds in EF0 tornados range from 65‐85 miles per hour, while winds inEF1 tornadoes range from 86‐110 miles per hour. There were no deaths or injuries as a result of the storms on October 26th, but there was a significant amount of property damage across the region. One EF1 tornado that touched down in Allen County left a seven‐mile damage path up to a half‐mile wide in some places (figure 4.1). As a result of the 95 mile per hour winds associated with the tornado, moderate damage to many structures was observed to. Numerous barns were completely destroyed as well. Similar destruction was seen throughout the region (figure 4.2). 43 Figure 4.1­ October 26th EF1 Tornado Path Figure 4.2­ October 26th EF1 Tornado Damage 44 4.5 Discussion of findings The participants of this study were broken into three groups of social media users: “power users,” “social users,” and “new users.” Literature has pointed out that the online population has doubled from one to two billion users in the last five years (Ling, Bjelland, Canright, Engo‐Monson 2010), and we also know that Facebook recently surpassed 500 million users (facebook.com, 2010). Still, one might assume a population of social media users to be a younger generation, perhaps between the ages of 20‐30, but this is not the case. Perhaps even more surprising is that age does not play a role as to which of the three groups participants fell into. Two of the strongest “power users” were middle‐aged women, one woman near 40 years old with preteen children and the other a woman an empty‐nester just over 50. Both of these women spend over three hours a day on Facebook and other social networking sites. This somewhat surprising “power user” demographic has discovered the power of social media and, as a result, has put it to work for them in their personal lives, saving them time, money, and giving them more mobility. “I am a fan of different news sites; I get their notifications. Depending on what it is, I may join the conversation and I may repost it. Since I got my smart phone in April, I don’t have to spend as much time on my computer and I don’t watch as much television.” ‐Patty Middle‐Aged “Power User” 45 Another participant, David, a retired volunteer firefighter, is now disabled. Being a social networking “power user” has allowed him to maintain a social life when getting out is increasingly difficult. The self‐proclaimed weather junkie spends over 4 hours each day on Facebook, connecting with old firefighting friends and keeping track of his daughters, because according to David, “I keep track of my family with Facebook because it is just so easy.” And of course, as a former public servant and weather junkie, David likes to post weather warnings as they come out, so that all of his friends from the area can see them. Jokingly David adds, “Sometimes I think people get sick of me posting warnings, but like it because they want to be able to take cover.” None of the participants grasp the power of social media quite like the 23‐ year‐old senior marketing student who spends up to 6 hours connected to social media each day. Again, the smartphone is a common factor among these users and it keeps them more connected and more mobile than the rest of the interview population. “If something big was happening, I’d be checking Twitter, because it’s so instant. I always know what is happening. I get emails from ABC telling me about breaking news, and I don’t have to wait for a TV to find out what’s happening in the world.” The participants who fell into the “social user” and “new user” groups did not follow a stereotypical group demographic either. Two of the younger participants fell into 46 the “new user” category, showing less of an understanding of social media than many participants much older than themselves. Of course, the pervasiveness of social media use by the members of this study was largely influenced by the self‐selection of those participating. Presumably, those who do not use social media of any kind would not have found the topic interesting and thus not volunteered to take part. Still, it would be suspected that those who did volunteer of their own free will would have been of a similar demographic age wise. This proved not to be the case, as participants in all stages of life showed varying levels of social media sophistication and aptitude. 4.5.1 Audience and trust Just as pervasive in the subject population as the use of social media is the inherent trust participants have in their local weathercasters. Despite Media Watch CEO’s assertion that “sophisticated viewers do not accept weathercasts as bon‐a‐ fide,” interviews suggest that a high level of trust is given to the weathercaster. All of the participants indicated that they value the predictions made by a trusted weathercaster. This holds especially true during severe weather, when every interviewee agreed that he or she would take cover if told to do so by his or her television weathercaster. One participant said she trusts warnings from television weathercasters, but she trusts Internet, coworkers, and friends warnings just as much. This was not the case for most of the interview population. Further 47 questioning showed that this was not a trust tied solely to the threat of dangerous severe weather, but instead it was a trust tied directly to the fact it was provided by a weathercaster. One participant said she has gotten to the point where she does not trust the tornado siren in her neighborhood anymore. During the severe weather on October 26th, she was following the track of the storms with her favorite local weather station while the tornado siren was sounding off. The television showed that tornados were not a threat in her area, yet her neighborhood siren was going off. She never doubted that the television weathercaster was the provider of accurate information, and she was correct. There is no doubt, during severe weather; consumers do trust the predictions of weather forecasters. Even with high trust in television weathercasters, citizens are turning to different locations to receive the trusted weather warning information. Previous studies have shown that television provides a major source of warning information during severe weather (Hammer and Schmidlin, 2002; Legates and Biddle, 1999, Paul et al., 2003). Subjects in this study displayed reliance on television for severe warnings also, but people are turning to other sources outside of television for information, primarily to secondary information sources. Literature has shown that people exhibit a level of dependency on mass media and television to fulfill certain needs during normal conditions (Ball‐Rokeach et al., 1985), but once an event occurs that challenges normal expectations, people begin information‐seeking behavior, creating a stronger dependency on mass media during these times (Mileti and Darlington, 1997). Interviews support this previous literature: All of the 48 interview subjects recall searching out secondary sources of information after hearing of the approaching severe weather on October 26th. It appears, however, that first and secondary sources are changing due to the wide application of social and mobile media. Television remains an important part of the process, but it is no longer the biggest component in information gathering for the public. Media consumers now turn to the Internet as their primary source of weather information during severe weather. Seeing an online alert may lead consumers to turn on the television for secondary information. One participant labeled as a “power user” who still relies on television as an important information source had this to say about the storms on October 26th: “I got the alert on my phone and then I turned on the TV before going about my usual cooking and cleaning. I continued to get texts from friends and family talking about the weather. I read a lot of (weather related) Facebook posts about what was going on in other areas. I was glad when I got another alert to my phone that the warning was cancelled and the storm was dissipating. I passed that information on to my parents and brother who had lost power and only had their cell phones to keep up to date with things while they hid in their bathrooms.” Building on the literature, these interviews suggest more people are turning to online and mobile sources for their secondary information. Even those who heard of severe weather through television generally still went to the Internet for more information. A number of respondents said they loaded a radar loop from either a local or national website to follow the weather on their own. Over half of the subjects visited the fan page of their favorite local television station to post 49 comments and to join the conversation of how the weather was affecting different people (figure 4.3a and figure 4.3b). Figure 4.3­ Severe Storm Thread 50 Figure 4.4­ Severe Storm Thread Continued 51 The 23‐year‐old marketing student spent October 26th at her workplace where she has access to a computer. “I sat on the computer at work on the (television) station’s website and kept clicking refresh. I was on Facebook and Twitter the entire time. I was seeking more information about the storms. I know its kind of lame, but I don’t want to die.” 4.5.2 New parasocial relationships This increasing importance to the audience of online sources of information has changed the nature of the parasocial relationship in the last five years. Taking advantage of social media allows weathercasters to be more accessible to the public than ever before, giving them a new avenue to build the parasocial relationship that has proved to increase their value across a spectrum of media outlets (Horton and Wohl, 1956; Rubin, 2001; among others). The potential for social media in building parasocial relationships is just now beginning to be taken advantage of, and it is already making a difference for some viewers. The majority of those interviewed said they had a specific weathercaster they enjoyed the most. One person had this to say when describing why she likes a particular weathercaster: “He is more personable than other meteorologists. I feel like he is talking directly to me. He is funny, too.” From earlier in the paper, Jessica Kristy described her favorite weathercaster with similar intimacy; 52 “I like her personality and her humor. She seems like she could be my Aunt. It is hard to describe but she is not afraid of making mistakes and just rolling with it.” Kristy’s complaint of other weathercasters was that they appeared more artificial and that they were not real people. Unknowingly, Kristy has built the textbook case of a parasocial relationship that was first recognized by Horton and Wohl (1956) and first described as a relationship with the illusion of intimacy between a viewer and audience . Horton and Wohl also pointed out television stations’ promotion of such relationships by manipulating camera angles. Kathleen Sherman‐Morris was the first to point out this relationship among weathercasters and audiences (2005). The advent of social media, however, has begun to change the nature of the relationship entirely. While the majority of the subjects have social networking connections to a news organization, only one subject has built social networking connections with particular “personalities” at a station. The interviewee that has made the connection appears to be more attached to that weathercaster than those whose relationship has been built solely through watching television. The interviewee talked fondly of seeing her favorite weathercaster’s posts on the station’s Facebook page. She enjoys looking at the posted pictures of the pumpkin he designed for Halloween. This seemingly intimate sharing led her to name him as her favorite weathercaster because “It’s fun to know someone who is regularly on TV.” 53 Interviews show that there is a new way to create a stronger parasocial relationship, but television stations have failed in using social media to do what they have become experts in doing through traditional forms of media. Social media campaigns have focused so much on getting viewers to notice the station’s online presence they have forgotten to promote the “talent” that they work so hard encourage with television and print adds. The next chapter explores and postulates a plan that can help better utilize social networking websites to create stronger parasocial relationships. 4.5.3 Weather warnings Finally, this study is meant to study how people react to severe weather warnings in an age in which people are increasingly getting those warnings from different sources. Also, we want to further understand how getting warnings from favorite weathercasters via social media might change reactions during severe weather warnings. Literature from Kathleen Sherman‐Morris in 2005 has already shown that a strong PSI, Parasocial Interaction, results in higher trust and a higher probability that viewers will take cover, but she does not look at how the social media influences this decision to take heed to warnings. These interviews showed that respondents who fell into the “power users” group were the most likely to take action when told to do so by a trusted weathercaster with portable social media. These respondents proactively sought 54 out trusted information and then followed instructions. One of the “power users” took cover in a lower level hallway, bringing with her her smartphone continually to be updated on when it would be safe to resume her normal responsibilities. Another respondent who lives in a trailer park followed the storm on television and Facebook all morning. This respondent is disabled and the closest storm shelter is a quarter mile away; he decided to take cover in the next best place. When the storm arrived, he and his dog sat in the bathroom and rode out the storm. When it is suggested one moves to a safer location, literature shows trailer park residents are less likely than homeowners to take shelter (Schimidlin et al., 2008). Another subject limits her weather media coverage to The Weather Channel’s website. She did, however, know there were local tornados on October 26th because of posts she had seen from friends on Facebook. She sat and watched the weather on her computer the entire time the storm moved through, but she felt safe enough not to take cover beyond that. When another interviewee heard of the storms while visiting a friend, she and her friend headed straight to the computer upstairs. She signed on Facebook but did not see a warning from her “liked” news station. Her friend turned on the TV to be able to follow the storm. She then kept one eye on the national radar and another on the window, ready to move to the bathroom if needed. These interviews found that people individually decided if they were in danger or not, but it was not a lack of information that kept any of the respondents from taking cover. All the respondents knew about approaching bad weather. 55 Perhaps more importantly, all of the respondents had quick access to secondary information. So while the respondents did not necessarily take cover, they were all well aware of approaching bad weather and took an extra step to calculate their own danger by gathering information from radars and weathercasters. 4.6 Conclusion Despite Media Watch’s Mitch Manning’s suggestion that weathercasters are merely charlatans and that sophisticated viewers do not generally accept their forecasts, research suggests this is far from the case. Weathercasters are, in fact, the most trusted media personality (Sherman‐Morris 2005). Along with this trust is a relationship built through a number of factors, an increasing factor being social media’s role in the newsroom and its increasing importance in an individual’s everyday life. Whether a “power user,” “social user,” or a “new user,” the pervasiveness and impact of social media is influencing how people first hear of severe warnings, where they turn for secondary information‐seeking, and how they share severe weather information with the world. During the unusually severe weather across the Midwest on October 26th residents in Fort Wayne, Indiana turned to their television, computer, and mobile phones to find information that could help them. The source of the weather information is more mobile than ever before, but the message is still the same. Those who are warned in time prepare 56 themselves as much as they feel is needed. And because of mobile media, more people are warned earlier of severe weather than anytime in our history. The first interview with Media Matters’ CEO Mitch Manning took place a week prior to October 26th’s unusually strong storms. As a Fort Wayne media critique and blogger, Manning was quick to point out the potential for social media as a tool for increasing the station’s profit and as a way to quickly communicate during severe weather. “TV weather warnings are optimal when they occur early enough to get the attention of the viewers and are pinpointed so that those viewers can tell if they are in the tornadic path.” And; “TV stations, in Fort Wayne, plan on or are already using Facebook and Twitter for weather alerts. Such use will certainly provide cachet for TV stations and will ad revenue to be accrued by such practices. “ Furthermore, Manning thinks stations have more to do before they perfect their social media use. Other interviewees agreed that stations are not taking full advantage of social media. There was one topic, were Mitch Manning’s view of public opinion proved to be incorrect. Manning says, “I generally loathe weather people, and have said so at the Media Watch site and blogs. They are “charlatans” in my estimation.” “Our experience is that sophisticated viewers do not accept weathercasts as bona fide.” 57 Interviews showed that people do trust their weather forecaster. When people learn of weather warnings, they most often turn to their local weathercaster, either on TV or increasingly online, for confirmation and advice of how to react to the information. Literature has shown that those who have had experience with severe weather in the past are more likely to pay closer attention in the future (Blanchard‐ Boehm and Cook, 2004), and perhaps this was the case for Mitch Manning. In a follow up interview after the storms producing 13 tornados and straight‐line wind gusts up to 75 miles per hour, the mood of Mitch Manning, Media Watch and RRRGroup CEO, had changed towards Ft. Wayne’s weather presentation proclaiming, “The weather people here did an excellent job with the storms last week, interrupting shows of course, but rightfully so. When bad weather hit, stations here put on their meteorological hats and stopped the foolishness. Weather people are schizophrenic that way: they can be silly and irrelevant but when storms enter their area, they become professional and do their jobs with gusto.” 58 Chapter 5: Online Presence As discussed in the previous chapter and demonstrated through interviews with users and experts, understanding the parasocial relationship is an important means to understanding the connection between viewers and television weathercasters. This chapter will argue that users who are connected with TV stations through social media have even stronger parasocial relationships than those limited to traditional television viewership and that TV stations have an opportunity to capitalize on these emerging relationships. For the past 50 years, television stations have purposely exploited parasocial relationships, but, today, the nature of these relationships is changing due to the rise in social and mobile media. A procedure first pointed out by Horton and Wohl (1956), TV stations promote this one‐sided relationship using camera zooms and other tricks such as conversational style, gestures, and informal settings to invite interactive responses. It is common that TV anchors, reporters, and weathercasters are seen in print adds, billboards, and told to attend public events, all increasing their public exposure and ultimately their parasocial relationships with the community (Rubin Perse, and Powell 1985; Brown 2003, et al.). It also has been established that in radio, the higher the PSI (parasocial interaction), the more likely the viewer is to frequent that station and radio personality (Rubin and Step 2000). For weathercasters, a higher PSI has shown to result in higher trust (Kathleen Sherman‐Morris 2005), which ultimately increases the likelihood that a person will take appropriate cover when instructed to do so by a trusted weathercaster. This chapter begins with a discussion with WANE‐TV’s Internet content manager to illustrate the typical social media strategy employed by television stations. His interview provides insight into both the growing importance of social media to stations and the room left for improvement in utilizing social media. I then evaluate this illustration using a case study of WANE‐TV’s complete online presence, the station shown through comparisons in section 4.1 to have the most comprehensive online presence in Fort Wayne, demonstrating both the strengths and the weaknesses in their online campaign. From this case study I present a discussion of my findings, highlighting the importance of talent maintaining individual social media profiles and the station’s need to better promote its social media presence. In conclusion, I shall return to user and professional interviews to emphasize the ways in which social media is not being utilized to its full potential. Indeed, due to the shifting parasocial relationship between viewer and weathercasters as discussed in Chapter 4, there are clear opportunities for TV stations to integrate social media in this emerging media geography. 5.1 WANE­TV’s social media strategy 60 Even the most well established online station, WANE‐TV, requires nothing from their personalities online. That duty falls only on the Internet department, which takes care of the online content for Wane.com, as well as Facebook and Twitter on a secondary level. The station’s Internet Content Manager, Joel Jackson, describes the strategy for social media use as “loose.” Jackson has worked for WANE‐TV for 23 years and full time in the Internet department as content manager for nearly four years. His education and background are in television news. He received his BA in Radio and Television Broadcasting, now commonly called Telecommunications. He became the television news producer in his first years at WANE‐TV, eventually becoming assistant news director, until finally holding the position he does now. Jackson’s job requires that he oversee the content on wane.com and its mobile platform that can be accessed through smart phones. Less important aspects include managing the station’s Facebook page and Twitter account. According to Jackson, because his background is in news, he concentrates on having timely updates, “The Internet can be compared to a living and breathing thing as opposed to a newspaper, which is dated the moment it’s printed.” Even though WANE‐TV has the most extensive Fort Wayne news station social media presence, Jackson describes their social media strategy as a secondary concern. He adds, 61 “We don’t want to bombard fans with constant updates, just ones that are critically important, weather, for example, or ones that fans will find interesting. You want to stay away from controversial topics as the discussion threads can turn ugly.” Even with the relaxed nature of the social media strategy at WANE‐TV, Jackson does not underestimate its importance, admitting, “ They (Facebook and Twitter) are definitely growing in importance and as far as the job goes, you can’t ignore either one and expect to keep your job.” Indeed, this chapter will argue that weathercasters can’t ignore either one and expect to keep their job. But to understand where mid‐level market stations succeed and where there remains room for improvement, we must examine the online presence of one station. 5.2 Case Study: WANE­TV’s online presence As described earlier, Fort Wayne’s CBS affiliate WANE‐TV leads in television ratings and has the most comprehensive online presence of any of the Fort Wayne stations. Because of this, they were selected as the best station to examine, knowing that all other stations in the market would show even more weaknesses in their online campaign than WANE‐TV. As described by Joel Jackson, WANE‐TV’s Internet content manager, the Internet department’s primary concern is the content on the station’s website, 62 wane.com, and the mobile platform of that website for smartphones. This website is well maintained and updated frequently. A screen shot of the top of the page shown in figure 5.1, then zoomed in on, shows a number of links and options to guide users throughout the website, but not among these are any indications of their social media presence. Figure 5.1­ View of Wane.com links along the top of their homepage. Links along the top of the page lead to important content. Note the absence of links to social media sites. 63 To find WANE‐TV’s social media links on the main page, users scroll midway down the page, and, on the right side, a box of tools and links are displayed. (see figure 5.2) Figure 5.2­ WANE­TV Site Tools: Found on the right side bar midway down wane.com’s homepage a site tools bar offers several options allowing users to follow Wane­TV online and on their cell­phones. 64 The tools include (figure 5.2) ‐RSS Feeds button, which stands for “Really Simple Syndication” and allows users to subscribe to timely updates in brief summaries that provide a link back to the original article if the user wishes to read more in depth. ‐ Mobile button, which allows users with smart‐phones to view the webpage in a version that compliments their phone better than the traditional computer‐viewed site. ‐Twitter button, links users to WANE‐TV’s twitter profile where users can decide to follow WANE‐TV. ‐SMS/Text Alerts button, allows users to subscribe to the station cell phone text messaging service. ‐Weather Alerts, allows users to subscribe to receive weather alerts. ‐Newsletters, allows users to subscribe to emailed newsletters. ‐Facebook button, takes users to WANE‐TV’s Facebook fan page, where users can like WANE‐TV to receive updates in their news feeds. ‐Download ipulse button, allows users to download WANE‐TV’s desktop widget which is a small application that would be placed on a user’s desktop screen and receive updates from WANE‐TV. 65 This “Tool Bar” box can be found on any page of the website, even on pages with news stories, but a new tool‐box also appears on these secondary pages This new tool‐box offers ways to use and share the article itself. In order from left to right the buttons are Figure 5.3­ wane.com’s tool bar can be found on any page of the website ‐Bookmark This and Star Icon, allows users to save the page in their Internet browser to return to at a later time. ‐Digg Icon is a popular website that users can “Digg” websites they enjoy. Websites that receive this vote often get higher traffic as more Digg users are sent to it. ‐Stumble Upon is a popular site similar to Digg, from which users are directed to highly “liked” websites based on their tastes. “Liking” that site will bring more Stumble Upon users to it. ‐Yahoo Icon takes users to Yahoo email so they can share the story. 66 ‐Delicious is a less known site like Digg and Stumbleupon where users vote on top sites. ‐Google Icon takes users to Google’s Gmail to share the story. ‐Redd.It is a site like Digg and Stumbleupon, much less‐used and known. ‐Windows Icon connects to Windows Email to send story. ‐Email This button uses wane.com email to share story. *Notice that there is not an easy Facebook share or Twitter share button included on wane.com’s tool‐box which is common on many websites. Once on WANE‐TV’s Facebook fan page (see figure 5.4), one sees the most well‐maintained fan page of any of the Fort Wayne television stations. The other stations’ facebook pages average only 3‐4 updates each day. WANE‐TV’s page averages over 10 updates each day, many of which include video that links Facebook users back to wane.com to watch the story and read more information about the topic. Other posts include questions posted by users, which appear to be well attended to by WANE‐TV with answers being posted within a couple hours. Questions are not always responded to quickly though; one interview subject complained that she notices questions that go unanswered. She asked a question after severe storms moved through the area, wondering why a certain tornado siren went off when tornadoes were not close to her location. Her question went 67 unanswered and made her doubt if she would interact with WANE‐TV again via Facebook. This is a major sin for any organization attempting to have a successful social media campaign. If interacting with stations has allowed consumers to build loyalty, neglecting that interaction will surely disenfranchise consumers to that same station. Figure 5.4­ WANE­TV’S Facebook Fan Page: In this screen shot we see the most recent post, posted 1­ hour earlier. Also, 4­hours earlier a question was posted on their wall, which was answered 2­hours later. 68 Figure 5.5­ WFFT Fox’s Facebook Fan Page: In this screen shot we see two posts in the last 6 hours. Notice the low level of user feedback. Also, a much smaller amount of “likes.” From WANE‐TV’s fan page, one can easily link to WANE‐TV’s home webpage and their Twitter account. While WANE‐TV has a larger following on Facebook than any other station, they are behind Indiana News Center (ABC’s 21 Alive and NBC33) in the number following them on Twitter. At WANE‐TV, Twitter is given much less attention than the Facebook page, as updates are much more infrequent. There is not the same consistency in updates as there is on the Facebook page. On some days WANE tweets 10 times, while other times there are three and four day gaps 69 between tweets. So while they make use of the features Facebook offers, they are neglecting Twitter’s ability to share information quickly (figure 5.5), even if all WANE‐TV wanted was to link back to their Facebook page. Still, even with an infrequency of updates and a smaller following, WANE‐TV still tweets more often than Indiana’s News Center (figure 5.6) Figure 5.6­ WANE­TV Twitter Account: A screen shot shows the most recent tweet taking place an hour earlier. Prior to that the station posted 2 tweets four hours earlier. 70 Figure 5.7­ Indiana’s News Center Twitter Account: A screen shot shows the most recent tweet taking place the previous day March 1st. The station tweeted twice on March 1st, prior to that they tweeted February 24th. As described in section 4.1 and highlighted in this section, WANE‐TV is superior to the other stations in Fort Wayne at presenting itself through social media, yet it still leaves some room for improvements that could have major effects on the parasocial relationship between its viewers and its anchors, reporters, and weathercasters. With weaknesses existing at the top station in Fort Wayne, it is fair to assume that the majority of mid‐level market stations across the country have room for improvement on this very important front. 5.3 Discussion of findings 71 Just as television uses TV camera tricks, print ads, and community involvement to promote parasocial relationships with the audience for the purpose of building brand loyalty and trust, so could news stations with social media. This aspect of social media goes overlooked by both stations and talent alike. Joel Jackson says of social media: “Social media has allowed consumers to interact with us which is something they really couldn’t do before. It’s a way to build loyalty to your on‐air product and your web site” The growing importance of social media is not what is lost on the news industry, but how to use it to build the parasocial relationship is being overlooked. As media blogger, Mitch Manning says: “Individual TV personalities attain cachet by having Facebook and Twitter account, although most TV types remain aloof.” Most markets do not require social media profiles of their talent. Markets that do not require their talent to have social media profiles are either more concerned with their station’s social media accounts, or they remain ignorant of the power of social media entirely. While some individual anchors and weathercasters choose to maintain social media profiles on their own, it is infrequent in the business. This also can be attributed to ignorance on the part of the weathercaster about the positive impacts social media use can have in his or her careers. 5.3.1 TV talent need online presence 72 Interviews and literature suggest that the audience would rather connect to individuals along with, or even opposed to, friending stations as a whole. Companies such as Dell and Microsoft said of social media in a 2004 Businessweek article, “Done well, (it) can humanize faceless behemoths.” Interview subjects were asked if they were mostly happy with the content offered to them on Facebook and Twitter from news organizations; participants overwhelming agreed that they were. Still, when asked if they preferred getting information by following that organization or by following an admired “television personality” representing that company, nearly all respondents choose an individual person over the business as a whole. Once stations begin to push and promote the broadcast personalities’ social media presence along with or even instead of their own, they also must determine how to get larger numbers of viewers to become involved in their social media campaigns. When participants were asked if Fort Wayne television stations were doing a good job at reaching out to the social media population, 100% said improvements still need to be made. There are differences among how individuals think stations can better reach out to the social media population. As defined in section 4.3, many of the “power users” are already getting updates in their Facebook news feeds from a local news station because they have taken the initiative to find them. None of these users interviewed follow any of the individual personalities; yet, when asked, most showed an interest in doing so, some 73 even planed after the interview to look to see whom they could follow. These people would be easily transitioned from station fans to also fans of personalities if the opportunity to do so was posted on the stations Facebook page or advertised during the newscast. These users were also commonly shown to have a secondary social media account, usually Twitter, outside Facebook. These users spend less time on Twitter, but show interest in following weathercasters if access is made available to them. One “power user” said she would rather watch a weathercaster on TV that tweets than one that does not, saying, “I like reading tweets, so I’d like the one (weathercaster) that tweets. It’s like I know them better.” 5.3.2 Stations need to promote social­media presence The knowledge of talents’ online profiles could easily be made available, through (1) improved in‐program marketing and (2) viral marketing. Currently, stations place the talent’s name under that person when he is introduced to the newscast. Technology and entertainment based cable channels have been including Twitter account names along with the talents’ names to promote their social media presence. The evidence gathered and discussed in the previous chapter about the pervasiveness of social media throughout all age groups would lend to the conclusion that local media stations could also exploit this tactic. Such in‐programming tactics would be useful to gain the attention of all groups; specifically “power users” and “social users” would benefit. A majority of the 74 “social users” interviewed commented that they had noticed stations mentioning Facebook and Twitter as they signed off, but the stations did not provide enough emphasis for users to remember to seek them out the next time they were online. They thought stations mentioning their social media accounts at the top of the broadcast and during commercials would be helpful in getting audiences to remember them the next time they were online. The strategy would likely catch the attention of the “new users” also. “New users” often said they did not know they could follow stations on Facebook. Reminding them with graphics during programming is one way of doing so. Unfortunately, interviews suggest there will be a small number of “social users” and a larger number of “new users” that are interested in following local news online, but will not remember to sit down at the computer and hunt them out. These users will need to be sought out while on the computer. Interviews, specifically with “new users,” showed that while interested in following local news online, they were not likely to go to the computer just to search stations out. For these users, the best way to target them is with viral marketing while they are sitting at their computers. Viral marketing typically targets pre‐existing social network sites to create brand awareness. Its aim is a word‐of‐mouth type delivery of information, delivered or enhanced by the social network effects of the Internet. One interview subject asked if news stations advertised along the sidebar, because if they did, he thought he would have remembered that and certainly would have clicked on it. Stations in Fort Wayne have not used this tactic, and with Facebook’s 75 advertising, it is possible to be very selective of who exactly sees the side banners. Just Facebookers living in Fort Wayne’s television market could be easily targeted. Creative marketing could get users to post links to the stations Facebook page on their own walls, creating this viral campaign. From this point, users recruit other users almost unknowingly. Such practices will be key in gathering “new users” and “social users.” 5.4 Conclusion One interviewee said that she enjoys watching her favorite weathercaster on TV more because, after following him on Facebook she, feels as if she knows him: “It’s fun to know that you personally know someone who is regularly on TV.” Yet, the majority of weathercasters are missing out on the opportunity to build this relationship. Another interviewee had this to say about following her favorite weathercaster on Twitter: “If he would say he would tweet about the weather then I would follow him, because I trust him and I like him, and I feel like I would be in the know before other people possibly could.” With this, we see the desire of the audience to connect with the weathercaster exists, but TV stations and weathercasters have been slow to either notice the demand or react to it. 76 Joel Jackson is Internet Content Manager at the most well‐developed Internet department in all of Fort Wayne TV news. He knows the importance of the Internet first hand. He has also seen how the growth and pervasiveness of social media have changed how he does his job in the last several years saying, “Particularly with Facebook, social media has allowed consumers to interact with us, which is something they really couldn’t do before. It’s a way to build loyalty to your on‐air product and your web site. “ Even with apparent appreciation of the power of social media, Jackson describes the strategy as, “a loose one.” The opportunity to develop long sought‐after parasocial relationships through social media is being neglected. Stations are catching on, but it has been a slow learning curve. As with most new technologies, they can often take awhile to implement. It is not that doing so is too difficult or too time consuming, it is that its advantages are still underrated or misunderstood by many in the industry. But this is changing; some stations are beginning to make the most of social networks, and much like in Darwin’s Origin of Species, those stations that do not adapt to this changing environment could themselves become extinct. Currently inFort Wayne, Indiana’s CBS affiliate WANE‐TV is not making their talent maintain their own online profiles. As explained by Jackson, “Talent aren’t mandated to have Facebook profiles; however, they do have to have a bio that appears in the “about us” section of wane.com.” 77 The fact remains; there is an opportunity not only metaphorically to dip one’s toe in the water, but to dive right into social media and make it really work for the station, ultimately producing stronger parasocial relationships, which will result in higher ratings and greater trust in weathercasters. Then, after implementing tactics to increase the number following the weathercasters, warnings will be relayed faster than ever. The trust will already be there so that people are not only informed, but will take necessary measures. 78 Chapter 6: Conclusion Years of watching Sandy Thompson on WANE‐TV in Fort Wayne, Indiana, allowed Jessica Kristy to unknowingly build a textbook parasocial relationship. To Kristy, Sandy was “real,” and Kristy was comfortable enough with Sandy to compare her to an aunt, a member of the family. With Sandy Thompson’s departure, Jessica Kristy turned to “channel surfing,” trying to find a new favorite and trusted weathercaster. According to Kristy, the person who replaced Sandy seems “fake,” and she cannot identify with him. While Jessica Kristy is a “power user” who actively sought out and followed WANE‐TV on Facebook, she never went to that next level to search out any of her favorite newscasters. She said she had never thought about looking up individual weathercasters on her own, something that could be a quick fix for a “power user.” By simply knowing the information or personal connection is out there, Kristy and users like her will seek out that contact on their own. 6.1 Summary of Findings The primary argument of this research is that the emergence and popularity of mobile and social media has transformed the nature of the parasocial relationship between the weathercaster and the audience, thus increasing the weather forecaster’s influence while allowing him or her to quickly provide severe weather warnings with increased likelihood of action. This argument is based on four findings. First, I have demonstrated social media’s popularity among diverse age groups and that user demographics did not indicate any level of social media literacy. Social media websites have grown beyond allowing users a simple connection to friends and have evolved into an information hub of gathering and sharing. Second, this research has also shown that individuals trust their local weather forecasters. Just as the literature suggests, during times of severe weather people engage in information seeking behavior. However, this study also found that in addition to turning to television, people are going online to gather secondary information. As a result, viewers are forgoing standard safety practices by choosing not to react to storm warnings until the information they have collected pinpoints their exact location as a hazardous area. Third, this research supports the argument of the transformation of parasocial relationships. Social media has begun to allow a give and take that has changed how consumers interact with local television news and in return how local news informs the consumer. Fourth, this study suggests that stations should promote the television personalities’ online social profiles instead of corporate social profiles. Users have shown a desire to make a personal connection, yet few personalities maintain social media profiles. Finally, this research has offered suggestions that will allow stations to fully take advantage of the power of new media. The argument was supported by a foundation of literature discussing the growth and popularity of mobile and social media, literature focusing on the history of the parasocial relationship, and literature examining population’s reactions to severe weather warnings. Further support for this argument was generated using qualitative interviews with experts in the Fort Wayne, Indiana television market, 80 including a prominent media critic and blogger as well as an Internet content manager from one station. The argument is further supported by qualitative interviews of “normal” Fort Wayne media consumers. From these qualitative interviews, several types of social media users based on frequency and type of social use revealed themselves. These groups were labeled “power users,” “social users,” and “new users.” 6.2 Implications and recommendations Interviews suggest that better on‐air advertising would likely encourage a larger number of “power users,” like Kristy, to start following individual weather forecasters. The pervasiveness of social media throughout all age groups provides an opportunity for weathercasters the potential to communicate with a large following during severe weather. Not only will these followers be able to be contacted more quickly through social media than through traditional media, this research has shown that these followers will have higher trust in their weathercaster and pass on the warning to friends and family more quickly through social and mobile media. For this to happen, television stations must take the necessary steps to promote their broadcast personalities by creating online profiles. We saw that WANE‐TV has biographies on its homepage for all of their talent, but that does not provide the symbiotic relationship viewers are requesting. In other words, the webpage allows Internet users to briefly read about the broadcast personality, but 81 itdoes not allow the weathercaster to share his or her own thoughts or allow the Internet users to communicate directly with the weathercaster. Interviews showed that viewers want to be able to communicate directly with anchors, reporters, and weathercasters. For some, specifically “new users,” a viral campaign is the most appropriate way to get their attention. Research also found that placing graphics with Twitter or Facebook under TV personality names would be enough to get the attention of most “power users” and some “social users.” Additionally, most “social users” said that more of this type of in‐program marketing of Facebook and Twitter would get them to follow a station, or an individual, if it were offered. Getting “power users” to follow individual talent is even easier yet. Research shows that “power users” are almost all following a local news organization; they just need to know that they can follow a “personality” from that station. Finally, I recommend social media training for all future broadcast meteorologists. Just as broadcast news training classes have implemented social media into their curriculum so should classes for broadcast meteorologists. Having social media skills will be crucial for job stability in the future of this rapidly changing industry. Academically, there has been a rich history of research surrounding weather warnings. Scholars have conducted interviews after disasters to discover at what rate populations receive severe weather warning information and at what rate they react to those weather warnings. In doing so, researchers have long hoped to understand why individuals take cover, so that future warnings can reach populations more effectively. While sending severe weather warnings through 82 mobile and social media is already being practiced, this is the first study to advocate that the parasocial relationship between weathercasters and audience via social media leads to the weather forecaster having an increased influence over the audience's decision‐making during severe weather. 6.3 Limitations and further research This study focused on the Fort Wayne, Indiana television market by gathering information from two expert witnesses and nine media consumers living within the viewing area of that market. Fort Wayne is the 72nd largest city in the country and the 107th largest media market. While the results from this study could likely be recreated in many other markets, they may not be accurate in every market, presumably becoming less accurate in the nation’s largest markets where station have more quickly adopted social media. This study was also limited by a small sample size. There may also be a bias in the sample population as the first two subjects were found and contacted through Facebook. These subjects obviously already have an appreciation of social media, which certainly affects their response to my questions. From there, previous subjects recruited new subjects. Subjects that agreed to take part in the study likely had some interest and knowledge of social media or television weather. As Babbie (2008) discusses, this type of snowball sample is appropriate to identify populations that are otherwise “difficult to locate” (pg. 205). The sampling strategy used in this 83 study worked to grow the subject pool by drawing upon the existing social networks of those already contacted by the study. Repeating this study using focus groups to collect data could be beneficial. A lack of time and difficulty locating subjects made using this technique impossible for this study, but doing so would have made it possible to speak to several groups equal to this study’s entire sample size. Focus groups offer shared perceptions of everyday life, but problems arise when attempting to indentify the individual’s view from the group’s view. Still, this study was suited for obtaining several perspectives about the same topic, which focus groups allow. The results and questions from this study could benefit those in creating focus groups for future research. Further research should more closely examine the strength of the parasocial relationship that is developed by means of social media. While this study set out to better understand why and how this evolving relationship is affecting weather forecasting, a quantitative study using an adaptation of Rubin, Perse, and Powell’s Parasocial Interaction Scale could numerically identify how strong this new form of the parasocial relationship is. This would allow the parasocial relationship built via social media to be compared to the PSI scores that have been shown to exist across many other forms of media. 6.4 Epilogue: Overly tan and perfect teeth, but now “interesting” 84 For Kristy, it was that simple because, while she has followed WANE‐TV, she has never thought to follow an individual weathercaster until she was asked in an interview about doing so. “I have never thought of a weathercaster seeking me out. I usually friend the network or store or whatever. I have never thought of friending an individual weathercaster, DJ, or something like that; which is a ‘duh’ for me.” Kristy continued: “I will now be friending both (DJs and weathercasters) in the future to maybe get to know more about the individuals that make up the weathercast teams. I may have done this had they mentioned it at the end of their weathercast or during the show or in a commercial. You always hear them telling you to follow the show and network on Twitter and such, but I either haven’t noticed it or they don’t do it as individuals.” With that, the interview, taking place via Google’s chat feature, shifted to a focus on weather warnings. We started to discuss where Kristy first gets her severe weather warnings and what kind of action she takes once having that initial information. But Kristy, being the definition of a “power user,” was also on Facebook seeking out the information that was important to her life. “I have to interrupt you with a thank‐you for piquing my curiosity about the new weather guy (Sandy Thompson’s replacement). I just read his profile and it’s interesting.” 85 Ten minutes earlier the new weathercaster at WANE‐TV was “fake,” overly tan with perfect teeth. To Kristy, he was someone that she could never see being on television while sick. But, Kristy is a “power user,” and the new weathercaster has a Facebook profile, “Turns out he is a storm chaser and spent some time in Oklahoma chasing storms. I am a fan of Storm Chasers on discovery channel.” Can ten minutes of time on Facebook reading a profile change the new weathercaster from “fake” into a source Kristy will seek out to have a parasocial relationship with, increasing her trust in him and ultimately his influence over how quickly and seriously she takes storm warnings? According to Kristy: “Yes, his profile is changing my opinion a little. Lol.” 86 Appendix 1 Who am I and what am I doing here? My name is Adam Klotz and I am a graduate student with the Department of Geography at Ball State University. This study aims to understand the role of the weathercaster can play in social media and how that can be used to warn the audience of severe weather. What is your role in this study? I am interested in learning how you use social media, gather your weather information, and how you react during times of severe weather. What about privacy? Some people may feel that providing information for research is an invasion of privacy. For the purposes of this project only, I will take notes during our interview. All field notes will be destroyed at the end of the study. You may remain anonymous if you desire. How can you contact me about this study? If you would like to talk to me more about this study, please feel free to email me at amklotz@bsu.edu. You may also contact my faculty sponsor Dr. David Call at dacall@bsu.edu. Study Purpose and Rationale This study aims to understand the relationship between the weathercaster and the viewer as it has shifted from the traditional television-based relationship to a more interactive social media driven-relationship. I will also attempt to better understand what has driven this shift from television to online, and how this shift has changed where consumers go to gather information during severe weather. Having a better understanding of the nature of the relationship between weathercaster and audience will help weathercasters better tailor weather warnings for maximum effectiveness. Inclusion Criteria To be included in the study, subjects must be willing to talk about their social media use, their attitudes towards their local weathercaster, and their reactions during severe weather. Participation Procedures and Duration Interviews will be conducted at a location agreed upon by interviewer and subject. Conversations will last approximately 45 minutes. Risks This research involves very minimal risk. Interviewees may perceive loss of confidentiality as a risk, but I will eliminate names and identifiers from the study as per request. Benefits During the last decade social media, along with other emerging media has become a part of Americans daily life. It is known that the local television weathercaster becomes trusted through a viewers daily television consumption of that weathercaster. This study can provide insight into the trust gained through following weathercasters using social media. This ultimately can lead to a higher reaction rate during severe weather warnings and to a way of delivering severe weather warnings to a new generation of tech savvy media consumers. Voluntary Participation Your participation in this study is completely voluntary and you are free to withdraw your permission at anytime for any reason without penalty or prejudice from the investigator. Please feel free to ask any questions of the investigator at any time during the study. IRB Contact Information For more on your rights as a research subject: Research Compliance, Sponsored Programs Office, Ball State University, Muncie, IN 47306, 765-285-5070, irb@bsu.edu. Appendix 2 Questions Outline: How much time do you spend on social networking sites each day? ‐ Where are you, and how do you access social media websites throughout the day? ‐ How has the emergence of social media changed the way you connect to other people? ‐ If you have news to share with others, what medium do you use to do so? 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