Marist College Bureau Of Economic Research
MIGRATION REPORT
of the HUDSON VALLEY
2007-2012
MARIST COLLEGE
Dr. Christy Huebner Caridi
Marist Bureau of Economic Research
School of Management
Poughkeepsie, New York 12601
November 2015
The support of student research assistants Kristen Sandberg and
Kristen Lawler is acknowledged and appreciated.
This report is available on the Bureau of Economic Research homepage
http://www.marist.edu/management/bureau
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Hudson Valley Migration
Five-Year Summary —2007-2012
•
Over the five-year period, migratory activity across the Hudson Valley resulted in a net loss of
21,517 households.
•
The region lost 36,615 households to interstate migration; intrastate migration resulted in a net gain
of 15,010 households.
•
On average, one out of every 18.1 households left the region. The ratio of migrants to non-migrants
ranged from a high of 1:15.5 in Putnam to a low of 1:20.8 in Rockland.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $991.47 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
In all cases, intrastate migratory activity exceeded that of interstate migratory activity.
•
Putnam County experienced the highest level of intrastate migration at 77.27 percent of all inflows
and 62.78 percent of all outflows. Rockland the lowest, at 55.21 percent and 43.63 percent,
respectively.
•
Consistent with trend, the largest net inflow (17,417) came from New York City (NYC) with the
majority of these households migrating from Bronx County (The Bronx).
•
In both Rockland and Westchester the most important migratory activity occurred with NYC. Across
the balance of the region, the most important was intra-regional.
•
A non-trivial migratory activity with contiguous counties—interstate and intrastate—is a strong
indicator that an important level of migratory activity was due to a reason other than a change in
employment.
•
Putnam County was the most likely to experience migratory activity with a contiguous county while
Rockland and Dutchess were the least likely.
•
Consistent with trend, the Northeast Region was the most important source of inflows into the
Hudson Valley while the Southern Region was the most important destination for households
leaving the Hudson Valley.
o
Outbound migration to the Southern Region as a percent of all interstate migration was the
highest in Sullivan followed by Orange and Ulster.
o
Northeast Regional migration as a percent of all interstate migration was the highest in
Rockland County at more than one-half of both inflows and outflows.
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
In
New York State
Out
In
Hudson Valley
Out
In
New York City
Out
In
Contiguous Counties
Out
In
Different State
Out
In
All Migration
Out
Hudson
Valley
Westchester
Ulster
Sullivan
Rockland
Putnam
Orange
Flow
Area
Dutchess
Summary 5-year Migration 2007-2012
17,306
15,197
20,443
17,676
8,233
7,273
11,566
11,200
5,329
4,947
11,918
11,087
53,491
45,896
128,286
113,276
10,286
8,204
10,653
10,245
5,614
5,291
4,432
5,005
3,100
2,850
6,819
6,236
8,642
11,715
49,546
49,546
4,088
3,096
7,399
4,503
2,088
1,331
5,906
4,810
1,434
1,039
2,305
1,672
39,758
29,110
62,978
45,561
7,720
7,483
13,153
11,723
5,852
6,001
5,893
6,893
2,964
2,902
6,989
6,692
28,805
26,196
71,376
67,890
8,392
12,798
14,511
21,397
2,367
4,221
8,913
13,993
2,188
3,569
5,079
7,411
30,695
45,371
72,145
108,760
26,222
28,365
35,452
39,652
10,655
11,585
20,950
25,672
7,569
8,589
17,190
18,667
86,474
93,499
204,512
226,029
Summary 5-year Migration 2007-2012: Percent of Totals
Putnam
Rockland
Sullivan
Ulster
Westchester
New York State Percent
of ALL
66.00%
57.66%
77.27%
55.21%
70.41%
69.33%
61.86%
62.73%
Out
53.58%
44.58%
62.78%
43.63%
57.60%
59.39%
49.09%
50.12%
In
59.44%
52.11%
68.19%
38.32%
58.17%
57.22%
16.16%
Hudson Valley Percent of
State
38.62%
Out
53.98%
57.96%
72.75%
44.69%
57.61%
56.25%
25.53%
43.74%
New York City Percent of
State
In
23.62%
36.19%
25.36%
51.06%
26.91%
19.34%
74.33%
49.09%
Out
20.37%
25.48%
18.30%
42.95%
21.00%
15.08%
63.43%
40.22%
In
29.44%
37.10%
54.92%
28.13%
39.16%
40.66%
33.31%
Contiguous Counties
Percent of ALL
34.90%
Out
26.38%
29.56%
51.80%
26.85%
33.79%
35.85%
28.02%
30.04%
In
32.00%
40.93%
22.21%
42.54%
28.91%
29.55%
35.50%
Different State Percent
of All
35.28%
Out
45.12%
53.96%
36.44%
54.51%
41.55%
39.70%
48.53%
48.12%
Hudson
Valley
Orange
In
Flow
Dutchess
Area
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Northeast
Out
In
Midwest
Southern
Out
In
West
Out
In
Different
State
Out
Hudson
Valley
Westchester
Ulster
Sullivan
Rockland
Putnam
3,035
5,822
1,100
4,951
872
1,690
13,982
31,452
4,151
6,643
1,975
7,041
1,131
2,047
20,186
43,174
815
1,309
166
587
151
494
2,455
5,977
Out
In
Orange
In
Dutchess
Area
Flow
Summary 5-Year Interstate Migration by Region 2007-2012
925
1,662
175
601
191
570
2,690
6,814
3,190
5,583
765
2,511
929
2,077
10,308
25,363
5,894
10,431
1,572
4,998
1,852
3,604
17,104
45,455
1,352
1,797
336
864
236
818
3,950
9,353
1,828
2,661
499
1,353
395
1,190
5,391
13,317
8,392
14,511
2,367
8,913
2,188
5,079
30,695
72,145
12,798
21,397
4,221
13,993
3,569
7,411
45,371
108,760
West
In
Out
In
Out
In
Out
Westchester
Rockland
40.12%
46.47%
55.55%
39.85%
33.27%
45.55%
43.60%
32.43%
31.05%
46.79%
50.32%
31.69%
27.62%
44.49%
39.70%
9.71%
9.02%
7.01%
6.59%
6.90%
9.73%
8.00%
8.28%
7.23%
7.77%
4.15%
4.30%
5.35%
7.69%
5.93%
6.27%
38.01%
38.47%
32.32%
28.17%
42.46%
40.89%
33.58%
35.16%
46.05%
48.75%
37.24%
35.72%
51.89%
48.63%
37.70%
41.79%
16.11%
12.38%
14.20%
9.69%
10.79%
16.11%
12.87%
12.96%
14.28%
12.44%
11.82%
9.67%
11.07%
16.06%
11.88%
12.24%
Hudson
Valley
36.17%
Putnam
Ulster
Southern
Out
Sullivan
Midwest
In
Orange
Northeast
Dutchess
Area
Flow
Summary 5-Year Interstate Migration By Region 2007-2012: Percent of Interstate Migration
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Hudson Valley Migration
Year-over-Year Summary —2011-2012
•
Year-over-year, migratory activity across the Hudson Valley resulted in a net loss of 5,955
households.
•
The region lost 8,081 households to interstate migration while intrastate migration resulted in a net
gain of 2,535 households.
•
On average, one out of every 16.8 households left the region. The ratio of migrants to non-migrants
ranged from a high of 1:14.6 in Sullivan to a low of 1:18.8 in Rockland.
•
More than 40 Percent ($411.38 million) of the five-year loss in AGI occurred in the 2011-2012
period).
•
In all cases, intrastate migratory activity exceeded that of interstate migratory activity.
•
Putnam County experienced the highest level of intrastate migration at 75.29 percent of all inflows
and 62.00 percent of all outflows. Rockland the lowest, at 52.87 percent and 40.40 percent,
respectively.
•
Consistent with trend, the largest net inflow (2,853) came from New York City (NYC) with the
majority of these households migrating from Bronx County (The Bronx).
•
In both Rockland County and Westchester County, the most important source of migratory inflows
was the five counties of NYC.
•
The non-trivial migratory activity with contiguous counties—interstate and intrastate—is a strong
indicator that an important level of region-wide migratory activity was due to a reason other than a
change in employment.
•
Within the region, Putnam County was the most likely to experience migratory activity with a
contiguous county while Rockland and Dutchess were the least likely.
•
With the exception of Rockland and Westchester, the most important source of new household
creation was intra-regional.
•
Consistent with trend, the Northeast Region was the most important source of inflows into the
Hudson Valley while the Southern Region was the most important destination for households
leaving the Hudson Valley.
•
Northeast Regional migration as a percent of all interstate migration was the highest in Rockland
County.
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Outbound migration to the Southern Region was the highest in Sullivan followed by Ulster at more
than one-half of all interstate outflows, each.
In
Out
In
Out
In
Out
In
Out
In
Out
In
Out
New York State
Hudson Valley
New York City
Contiguous Counties
Different State
All Migration
3,464
3,287
1,975
1,704
869
686
1,577
1,625
1,786
2,733
5,296
6,121
4,072
3,791
2,194
2,252
1,411
999
2,670
2,554
2,881
4,385
7,058
8,276
1,703
1,493
1,151
1,063
441
300
1,209
1,214
539
888
2,262
2,408
2,475
2,407
942
961
1,272
1,137
1,303
1,408
2,100
3,366
4,681
5,958
1,182
1,090
688
619
318
257
679
639
508
743
1,704
1,844
2,492
2,428
1,439
1,387
512
423
1,504
1,464
1,186
1,601
3,723
4,074
12,174
10,531
1,875
2,278
8,978
7,146
6,308
6,074
7,409
10,774
19,950
21,948
Hudson
Valley
Westchester
Ulster
Sullivan
Rockland
Putnam
Flow
Orange
Area
Dutchess
Summary 1-Year Migration 2011-2012:
27,562
25,027
10,264
10,264
13,801
10,948
15,250
14,978
16,409
24,490
44,674
50,629
Putnam
Sullivan
Ulster
Westchester
65.41%
57.69%
75.29%
52.87%
69.37%
66.94%
61.02%
61.70%
53.70%
45.81%
62.00%
40.40%
59.11%
59.60%
47.98%
49.43%
57.02%
53.88%
67.59%
38.06%
58.21%
57.74%
15.40%
37.24%
51.84%
59.40%
71.20%
39.93%
56.79%
57.13%
21.63%
41.01%
25.09%
34.65%
25.90%
51.39%
26.90%
20.55%
73.75%
50.07%
20.87%
26.35%
20.09%
47.24%
23.58%
17.42%
67.86%
43.74%
29.78%
37.83%
53.45%
27.84%
39.85%
40.40%
31.62%
34.14%
26.55%
30.86%
50.42%
23.63%
34.65%
35.94%
27.67%
29.58%
33.72%
40.82%
23.83%
44.86%
29.81%
31.86%
37.14%
36.73%
44.65%
52.98%
36.88%
56.50%
40.29%
39.30%
49.09%
48.37%
Rockland
Orange
In
Out
Hudson Valley
In
Percent of State
Out
New York City
In
Percent of State
Out
Contiguous Counties In
Percent of ALL
Out
Different State
In
Percent of All
Out
Dutchess
Area
New York State
Percent of ALL
Hudson Valley
Summary 1-Year Migration 2011-2012: Percent of Interstate Migration
Flow
•
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Northeast
In
672
893
179
210
665
1,253
270
377
1,786
2,733
Out
Midwest
In
Out
Southern
In
Out
West
In
Out
Different
State
In
Out
1,166
1,350
200
329
1,152
2,142
363
564
2,881
4,385
228
396
34
30
200
351
77
111
539
888
1,184
1,637
99
166
623
1,264
194
299
2,100
3,366
Hudson
Valley
Westchester
Ulster
Sullivan
Rockland
Putnam
Orange
Flow
Area
Dutchess
Summary 1-Year Interstate By Region Migration Summary 2011-2012
204
365 3,312
241
417 4,715
35
103
529
31
135
739
215
518 2,671
373
802 4,041
54
200
897
98
247 1,279
508 1,186 7,409
743 1,601 10,774
7,131
9,649
1,179
1,640
6,044
10,226
2,055
2,975
16,409
24,490
Midwest
Southern
West
In
Out
In
Out
In
Out
In
Out
Hudson
Valley
Westchester
Ulster
Sullivan
Rockland
Putnam
Orange
Flow
Northeast
Dutchess
Summary 1-Year Interstate Migration by Region 2011-2012: Percent of Interstate Migration
Area
37.63%
40.47%
42.30%
56.38%
40.16%
30.78%
44.70%
43.46%
32.67%
30.79%
44.59%
48.63%
32.44%
26.05%
43.76%
39.40%
10.02%
6.94%
6.31%
4.71%
6.89%
8.68%
7.14%
7.19%
7.68%
7.50%
3.38%
4.93%
4.17%
8.43%
6.86%
6.70%
37.23%
39.99%
37.11%
29.67%
42.32%
43.68%
36.05%
36.83%
45.85%
48.85%
39.53%
37.55%
50.20%
50.09%
37.51%
41.76%
15.12%
12.60%
14.29%
9.24%
10.63%
16.86%
12.11%
12.52%
13.79%
12.86%
12.50%
8.88%
13.19%
15.43%
11.87%
12.15%
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Dutchess County
Five-year analysis — 2007-2012
•
During the period, the number of households in Dutchess County increased at an annualized
rate of less than 1.00 percent (4,123 households), rising from 104,606 households in 2007 to
108,729 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 6,266 new households; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of
2,143 households. For the period,
o
26,222 households moved into the county;
o
28,365 households moved out of the county.
•
On average, one out of every 18.8 households left the region.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $45.29 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
Migratory activity among contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted
for 29.44 percent of all inflows and 26.38 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity constituted 66.00 percent of all inflows and 53.58 percent of all outflows.
•
Consistent with trend, the most significant intrastate activity was intra-regional at 59.44
percent of all intrastate inflows and 53.98 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
With the exception of Ulster, Dutchess gained households from every county in the
region. The largest net inflow occurred with Westchester County at 1,231 households,
followed by Putnam County at 765 households (Chart 1, Table 1). See Chart 2 for income
data.
•
Migratory activity with the five counties of New York City (NYC) represented 23.62 percent of
all intrastate inflows and 20.37 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Consistent with trend, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow of 992
households, with 32.51 percent of inflows migrating from Bronx County and 25.12
percent from New York County (Manhattan; see Chart 3, Table 2). See Chart 4 for
income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 32.00 percent of all inflows and 45.12 percent of all outflows.
More than one-third of all interstate flows were within the Northeast Region (Chart 5, Table 3).
See Chart 6 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was relatively small at 2.0 percent of all inflows and 1.30 percent of all
outflows.
Chart 1: Dutchess County Inflow/Outflow
Intra‐Regional 2007‐2012
10,286 8,204 3,451 1,890 1,980 1,802 Orange
County
2,568 1,125 Putnam
County
127 270 217 Rockland
County
2,722 2,220 118 Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
Ulster County Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 2: Dutchess County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2007‐2012
$62,144
$50,551
$52,618
$49,500
$44,567
$45,611
Orange
County
$42,090
$42,169
$59,478
$58,406
Putnam
County
Rockland
County
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
$69,313
$43,052
$40,213
Ulster County Westchester
County
07‐12 Outflow Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Table 1: Dutchess County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households
Aggregate AGI
07‐12 Inflow $55,573
07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI
07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Orange County 1,980 1,802 $90,310,000 $80,310,000 $45,611 $44,567 Putnam County 1,890 1,125 $110,387,000 $56,870,000 $58,406 $50,551 Rockland County 270 217 $16,059,000 $11,418,000 $59,478 $52,618 Sullivan County 127 118 $5,107,000 $4,976,000 $40,213 $42,169 Ulster County 2,568 2,722 $110,558,000 $114,568,000 $43,052 $42,090 Westchester County 3,451 2,220 $239,199,000 $137,959,000 $69,313 $62,144 10,286 8,204 $571,620,000 $406,101,000 $55,573 $49,500 Hudson Valley Chart 3: Dutchess County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2007‐2012
4,088 3,096 1,329 660 823 1,027 1,015 705 814 675 41 95 Bronx County
Kings County
New York
County
Queens County
Total Inflow
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 4:Dutchess County Average AGI New York City Migration 2007‐2012
$76,787
$52,006
$43,285
$36,871
$118,620
$58,567
$52,199
Bronx County
$45,902
$39,019
$54,296
Kings County
New York
County
Queens County
Total Inflow
$70,596
$52,663
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 2: Dutchess County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households 07‐12 Inflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Bronx County 1,329 660 $69,373,000 $24,335,000 $52,199 $36,871 Kings County 823 705 $48,201,000 $30,516,000 $58,567 $43,285 1,027 1,015 $121,823,000 $77,939,000 $118,620 $76,787 814 675 $44,197,000 $26,338,000 $54,296 $39,019 95 41 $5,003,000 $1,882,000 $52,663 $45,902 4,088 3,096 $288,597,000 $161,010,000 $70,596 $52,006 New York County Queens County Richmond County New York City Chart 5: Dutchess County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2007‐2012
5,894 4,151 3,190 3,035 815 Northeast: Region 1
1,352 925 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
1,828 West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 6 :Dutchess County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2007‐2012
$56,292
$48,621
$56,476
Northeast: Region 1
$43,968
$48,345
$41,425
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
$50,429
$52,529
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 3: Dutchess County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Northeast: Region 1 Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow 3,035 4,151 $171,405,000 $233,668,000 $56,476 $56,292 815 925 $35,834,000 $44,974,000 $43,968 $48,621 South: Region 3 3,190 5,894 $132,147,000 $309,603,000 $41,425 $52,529 West: Region 4 1,352 1,828 $65,363,000 $92,185,000 $48,345 $50,429 Midwest: Region 2 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Dutchess County
Year-over-year analysis — 2011-2012
•
Year-over-year, the number of households in Dutchess County increased 2.67 percent (2,827
households), from 105,902 in 2011 to 108,729 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 3,652 new households, while migration resulted in a net loss of 825
households. For the period,
•
o
5,296 households moved into the county;
o
6,121 households moved out of the county.
More than 80.00 percent ($37.08 million) of the five-year loss in adjusted gross income (AGI)
occurred in 2011-2012.
•
Overall, one out of every 17.8 households moved out of the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
29.78 percent of all inflows and 26.55 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for the majority of all migratory activity at 65.41 percent of all
inflows and 53.70 percent of all outflows.
•
The most important migratory activity occurred within the Hudson Valley at 57.02 percent of
all intrastate inflows and 51.84 percent of all intrastate outflows. This finding is consistent with
trend.
o
With the exception of Ulster and Sullivan, Dutchess gained households from all counties
in the region. The largest net inflow occurred with Westchester at 134 households,
followed by Putnam at 96 households (Chart 7, Table 4). See Chart 8 for income data.
•
The second most important migratory activity occurred with the five counties of NYC, at 25.09
percent of all intrastate inflows and 20.87 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
As is typically the case, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow (183
households), with the majority of these households migrating from Bronx County (Chart
9, Table 5). See Chart 10 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 33.72 percent of all inflows and 44.65 percent of all outflows.
Consistent with the five-year trend, the majority of interstate flows were within the Southern
Region (Chart 11, Table 6). See Chart 12 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was negligible, at less than one percent of all inflows and 1.65 percent of all
outflows.
Chart 7:Dutchess County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2011‐2012
1,975 1,704 407 344 347 514 545 251 57 43 629 495 26 21 Orange County Putnam County Rockland County Sullivan County
Total Inflow
Ulster County
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 8: Dutchess County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2011‐2012
$60,479
$50,020
$48,209
$49,204
$45,038
$44,771
Orange
County
$40,769
$80,456
$61,351
$61,190
Putnam
County
$41,699
Rockland
County
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
$59,288
$44,123
$40,714
Ulster County Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Table 4: Dutchess County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Orange County Putnam County Rockland County Sullivan County Ulster County Westchester County Hudson Valley Households
11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow 407 344 347 251 57 43 21 26 514 545 629 495 1,975 1,704 Aggregate AGI
11‐12
11‐12
Inflow Outflow $18,222,000
$15,493,000 $21,233,000
$12,555,000 $3,497,000
$2,073,000 $855,000
$1,060,000 $22,679,000
$22,726,000 $50,607,000
$29,937,000 $117,093,000
$83,844,000 Average AGI
11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow $44,771 $45,038
$61,190 $50,020
$61,351 $48,209
$40,714 $40,769
$44,123 $41,699
$80,456 $60,479
$59,288 $49,204
Chart 9: Dutchess County Inflow/Outflow
New York City 2011‐2012
869 686 225 254 189 149 159 237 176 141 25 Bronx County
Kings County
New York County
Queens County
Total Inflow
Total Outflow
‐
Richmond County
New York City
Chart 10: Dutchess County Average AGI New York City Migration 2011‐2012
$75,059
$58,456
$66,933
$44,582
$38,069
$107,756
$0
$59,794
$49,213
Bronx County
Kings County
New York County
Total Inflow
$68,944
$50,494
$51,240
Queens County
Richmond County
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 5: Dutchess County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Bronx County 225 159 $11,073,000 $6,053,000 $49,213 $38,069 Kings County 189 149 $11,301,000 $9,973,000 $59,794 $66,933 New York County 254 237 $27,370,000 $17,789,000 $107,756 $75,059 Queens County 176 141 $8,887,000 $6,286,000 $50,494 $44,582 Richmond County New York City 25 869 ‐ 686 $1,281,000 $0 $51,240 NM $59,912,000 $40,101,000 $68,944 $58,456 Chart 11: Dutchess County Inflow/Outflow
Interstate 2011‐2012
1,253 893 672 665 377 179 Northeast: Region 1
270 210 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 12: Dutchess County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2011‐2012
$56,887
$51,771
$63,034
$52,542
$58,372
$51,022
Northeast: Region 1
Midwest: Region 2
$49,356
$40,502
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 6: Dutchess County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Northeast: Region 1 672 893 Midwest: Region 2 179 South: Region 3 665 West: Region 4 270 377 11‐12 Inflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12 Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow $39,226,000 $50,800,000 $58,372 $56,887 210 $9,133,000 $10,872,000 $51,022 $51,771 1,253 $26,934,000 $65,835,000 $40,502 $52,542 $13,326,000 $23,764,000 $49,356 $63,034 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Orange County
Five-year analysis — 2007-2012
•
During the period, the number of households in Orange County increased at an annualized
rate of 1.29 percent (6,717 households), rising from 127,935 households in 2007 to 134,652 in
2012.
•
Existing residents created 10,917 new households; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of
4,200 households.
o
35,452 households moved into the county.
o
39,652 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $109.95 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
On average, one out of every 16.6 households left the region.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
37.10 percent of all inflows and 29.56 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 57.66 percent of all inflows and 44.58 percent of all outflows.
•
Consistent with trend, the most significant intrastate activity was intra-regional at 52.11
percent of all intrastate inflows and 57.96 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Orange gained households from Rockland, Westchester, and Putnam counties. As is
typically the case, the largest net inflow occurred with Rockland at 697, followed by
Westchester at 312 households. Orange lost 237 households to Ulster, 216 to Sullivan,
and 178 to Dutchess (Chart 1, Table 1). See Chart 2 for income data.
•
Migratory activity with the five counties of NYC accounted for 36.19 percent of all intrastate
inflows and 25.48 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Consistent with trend, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow of 2,896
households. The most significant activity occurred between Orange and Bronx County at
more than 56.00 percent of the net inflow (Chart 3, Table 2). See Chart 4 for income
data.
•
Interstate activity represented 40.93 percent of all inflows and 53.96 percent of all outflows.
Slightly more than one-quarter of all interstate outflows were to the Southern Region (Chart 5,
Table 3). See Chart 6 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was relatively small at 1.40 percent of all inflows and 1.46 percent of all
outflows
Chart 1: Orange County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2007‐2012
10,245 10,653 1,802 1,980 Dutchess
County
1,901 2,553 1,856 223 193 Putnam
County
Rockland
County
2,117 Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
2,571 2,808 1,603 1,291 Ulster County Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 2: Orange County Average AGI
Intra‐Regional Migration 2007‐2012
$56,036
$54,871
$56,331
$45,611
$44,567
Dutchess
County
$41,630
$56,839
Putnam
County
$59,330
Rockland
County
$39,583
$40,525
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
$47,259
$42,565
$60,822
Ulster County Westchester
County
$48,943
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Table 1: Orange County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 07‐12 07‐12 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow
Dutchess County 1,802 1,980 $80,310,000
$90,310,000 $44,567 $45,611
Putnam County 223 193 $12,675,000
$10,815,000 $56,839 $56,036
Rockland County 2,553 1,856 $151,469,000 $104,551,000 $59,330 $56,331
Sullivan County 1,901 2,117 $75,247,000
$88,130,000 $39,583 $41,630
Ulster County 2,571 2,808 $104,189,000 $119,522,000 $40,525 $42,565
Westchester County 1,603 1,291 $97,497,000
$70,838,000 $60,822 $54,871
Hudson Valley 10,653 10,245 $521,387,000 $484,166,000 $48,943 $47,259
Chart 3: Orange County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2007‐2012
7,399 4,503 2,889 1,257 1,400 1,029 1,366 1,103 1,457 981 287 Bronx County
Kings County
New York
County
Total Inflow
Queens County
133 Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 4: Orange County Average AGI
New York City Migration 2007‐2012
$76,498
$41,322
$56,157
$81,152
$53,697
Bronx County Kings County
New York
County
Total Inflow
$65,531
$51,387
$44,985
$39,197
$61,949
$74,359
Queens
County
Richmond
County
$62,153
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 2: Orange County Migration Activity within New York City Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Bronx County Kings County New York County Queens County Richmond County New York City Households 07‐12 Inflow 2,889 1,400 1,366 1,457 287 7,399 07‐12 Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 1,257 $162,237,000 $51,837,000
1,029 $75,176,000 $38,505,000
1,103 $110,854,000 $78,680,000
981 $90,260,000 $41,709,000
133 $21,341,000
$9,868,000
4,503 $459,868,000 $220,599,000
Average AGI 07‐12 Inflow $56,157 $53,697 $81,152 $61,949 $74,359 $62,153 07‐12 Outflow $41,239
$37,420
$71,333
$42,517
$74,195
$48,989
Chart 5: Orange County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2007‐2012
10,431 5,822 6,643 5,583 Northeast: Region 1
1,797 1,662 1,309 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
2,661 West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 6: Orange County Average AGI
Interstate Migration 2007‐2012
$59,190
$47,275
$48,030
$43,085
$66,370
$41,037
Northeast: Region 1
$41,479
$37,005
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 5: Orange County Migration Activity Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Northeast: Region 1 Midwest: Region 2 South: Region 3 West: Region 4 Households 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12 Inflow Average AGI 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow
5,822 6,643 $386,407
$393,199 $66,370
1,309 1,662 $53,718
$78,571 $41,037 $47,275
5,583 10,431 $206,597
$501,003 1,797 2,661 $74,537
$37,005
$59,190
$48,030
$114,649 $41,479 $43,085
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Orange County
Year-over-year analysis — 2011-2012
•
Year-over-year, the number of households in Orange County increased 2.01 percent (2,654
households), from 131,998 in 2011 to 134,652 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 3,872 new households, while migration resulted in a net loss of 1,218
households.
o
7,058 households moved into the county.
o
8,276 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net gain of $16.77 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
For the period, one out of every 16.3 households moved out of the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
37.83 percent of all inflows and 30.86 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate migration accounted for the majority of all activity at 57.69 percent of all inflows and
45.81 percent of all outflows.
•
Consistent with the five-year trend, intra-regional activity represented 53.88 percent of all
intrastate inflows and 59.40 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Migratory activity within the Hudson Valley Region resulted in an overall loss of 58
households. The county lost households to Dutchess, Sullivan, and Ulster and gained
households from Rockland, Putnam, and Westchester counties (Chart 6, Table 4). See
Chart 8 for income data.
•
Migratory activity with the five counties of NYC accounted for 34.65 percent of all intrastate
inflows and 26.35 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Consistent with previous years, inflows exceeded outflows, resulting in a net gain of 412
households; the majority migrated from Bronx County (Chart 9, Table 5). See Chart 10
for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 40.82 percent of all inflows and 52.98 percent of all outflows
(Chart 11, Table 6). See Chart 12 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was negligible at 1.49 percent of all inflows and 1.21 percent of all outflows.
Chart 7:Orange County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2011‐2012
2,194 470 344 407 418 405 478 2,252 614 643 297 289 51 30 Dutchess County Putnam County Rockland County Sullivan County
Total Inflow
Ulster County
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 8: Orange County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2011‐2012
$65,500
$62,810
$64,410
$44,771
$45,038
Dutchess
County
$48,711
$58,431
Putnam
County
$50,594
Rockland
County
$46,322
$45,538
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
$51,913
$45,412
$60,606
$49,102
Ulster County Westchester Hudson Valley
County
Total Outflow
Table 4: Orange County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow
Dutchess County 344 407 $15,493
$18,222 $45,038 $44,771
Putnam County 51 30 $2,980
$1,965 $58,431 $65,500
Rockland County 470 405 $23,779
$26,086 $50,594 $64,410
Sullivan County 418 478 $19,035
$23,284 $45,538 $48,711
Ulster County 614 643 $28,442
$29,200 $46,322 $45,412
Westchester County 297 289 $18,000
$18,152 $60,606 $62,810
Hudson Valley 2,194 2,252 $107,729
$116,909 $49,102 $51,913
Chart 9: Orange County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2011‐2012
1,411 999 513 292 285 223 278 286 257 195 49 Bronx County
Kings County
New York County
Queens County
Total Inflow
32 Richmond County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 10: Orange County Average AGI New York City Migration 2011‐2012
$76,498
$53,234
$52,505
Bronx County Kings County
$97,385
New York
County
Total Inflow
$62,608
$51,387
$65,531
$44,985
$39,197
$41,322
$64,080
$64,592
Queens
County
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 4: Orange County Migration Activity within New York City Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Bronx County Kings County New York County Queens County Richmond County New York City Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow 513 292 285 223 278 257 286 195 49 32 1,411 999 Aggregate AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow $27,309,000 $12,066,000 $14,964,000
$8,741,000 $27,073,000 $19,660,000 $17,906,000
$8,772,000 $3,165,000
$2,097,000 $90,417,000 $51,336,000 Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow
$53,234 $41,322
$52,505 $39,197
$97,385 $76,498
$62,608 $44,985
$64,592 $65,531
$64,080 $51,387
Chart 11: Orange County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2011‐2012
2,142 1,166 1,350 1,152 564 200 Northeast: Region 1
363 329 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 12: Orange County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2011‐2012
$59,152
$52,808
$45,228
$127,361
$47,235
Northeast: Region 1
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
$39,763
South: Region 3
$45,098
$39,656
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 6: Orange County Migration Activity Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Northeast: Region 1 Midwest: Region 2 South: Region 3 West: Region 4 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow
1,166 1,350 $148,503,000
$79,855,000 $127,361 $59,152
200 329 $9,447,000
$14,880,000 $47,235 $45,228
1,152 2,142 $45,807,000 $113,114,000 $39,763 $52,808
363 564 $14,395,000
$25,435,000 $39,656 $45,098
Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Putnam County
Five-year analysis — 2007-2012
•
During the period, the number of households in Putnam County increased at an annualized rate
of 1.46 percent (2,094 households), rising from 35,056 in 2007 to 37,150 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 3,024 new households; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of 930
households.
o
10,655 households moved into the county.
o
11,585 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net gain of $20.03 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
On average, one out of every 15.5 households left the region.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
54.92 percent of all inflows and 52.00 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 77.27 percent of all inflows and 62.78 percent of all outflows.
•
Consistent with trend, the most significant intrastate activity was intra-regional at 68.19
percent of all intrastate inflows and 72.75 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Putnam gained 323 households overall. The largest net inflow occurred from
Westchester County at 1,123 households created; the largest net loss was to Dutchess
County at 765 households lost (Chart 1, Table 1). See Chart 2 for income data.
•
The second most significant intrastate activity occurred between Putnam and the five counties
of NYC at 25.36 percent of all inflows and 18.30 percent of all outflows.
o
As is typically the case, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow of 757
households. The most important activity occurred with Bronx County at 485 households
created (Chart 3, Table 2). See Chart 4 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 22.21 percent of all inflows and 36.44 percent of all outflows.
More than 47.00 percent of all flows took place within the Northeast Region (Chart 5, Table 3).
See Chart 6 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was insignificant at less than 1.00 percent of all inflows and all outflows.
Chart 1: Putnam County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2007‐2012
5,614 5,291 4,093 2,970 1,125 1,890 193 223 Dutchess
County
Orange County
121 85 82 123 Rockland
County
Ulster County
Total Inflow
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 2: Putnam County Average AGI
Intra‐Regional Migration 2007‐2012
$75,471
$63,087
$66,885
$56,839
$58,406
$46,065
$50,551
$81,355
$56,036
Dutchess
County
Orange County
Rockland
County
Total Inflow
$67,851
$42,098
Ulster County
Westchester
County
$63,893
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Table 1: Putnam County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow 1,125 1,890 $56,870,000 $110,387,000 $50,551 $58,406 Orange County 193 223 $10,815,000 $12,675,000 $56,036 $56,839 Rockland County 121 85 $9,844,000 $6,415,000 $81,355 $75,471 82 123 $3,452,000 $5,666,000 $42,098 $46,065 Westchester County 4,093 2,970 $277,714,000 $198,649,000 $67,851 $66,885 Hudson Valley 5,614 5,291 $358,695,000 $333,792,000 $63,893 $63,087 Dutchess County Ulster County Chart 3: Putnam County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2007‐2012
2,088 1,331 859 374 Bronx County
324 235 Kings County
496 466 409 256 New York County Queens County
Total Inflow
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 4: Putnam County Average AGI
New York City Migration 2007‐2012
$81,032
$59,847
$44,945
$47,144
$53,520
$219,131
$103,963
$77,663
$64,898
Bronx County
$64,429
Kings County
New York County Queens County
Total Inflows
New York City
Total Outflows
Table 2: Putnam County Migration Activity within New York City Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12
07‐12 Inflow Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Bronx County 859 374 $55,747,000 $17,632,000 $64,898 $47,144 Kings County 324 235 $20,875,000 $10,562,000 $64,429 $44,945 New York County 496 466 $108,689,000 $37,761,000 $219,131 $81,032 Queens County 409 256 $31,764,000 $13,701,000 $77,663 $53,520 2,088 1,331 $217,075,000 $79,656,000 $103,963 $59,847 New York City Chart 5: Putnam County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2007‐2012
1,975 1,572 1,100 765 166 Northeast: Region 1
175 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
499 336 South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 6: Putnam County Average AGI
Interstate Migration 2007‐2012
$66,490
$76,577
$65,223
$74,875
Northeast: Region 1
$52,681
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
$52,697
$42,591
$43,699
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 3: Putnam County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Northeast: Region 1 Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow 1,100 1,975 $82,362 $131,317 $74,875 $66,490 Midwest: Region 2 166 175 $8,745 $13,401 $52,681 $76,577 South: Region 3 765 1,572 $32,582 $102,531 $42,591 $65,223 West: Region 4 336 499 $14,683 $26,296 $43,699 $52,697 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Putnam County
Year-over-year analysis — 2011-2012
•
Year-over-year, the number of households in Putnam County increased 4.05 percent (1,445
households), from 35,705 in 2011 to 37,150 in 2012.
•
Households created internally numbered 1,591, while migration resulted in a net loss of 146
households.
o
2,262 households moved into the county.
o
2,408 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net gain of $41.98 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
For the period, one out of every 15.4 households moved out of the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
53.45 percent of all inflows and 50.42 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 75.29 percent of all inflows and 62.00 percent of all outflows.
•
Consistent with trend, the most significant intrastate activity was intra-regional at 67.59
percent of all intrastate inflows and 71.20 percent of all intrastate outflows.
•
Intra-regional migration resulted in a net gain of 88 households.
o
Putnam gained households from Westchester (202) and Rockland (8). Households were
lost to Dutchess (96), Orange (21), and Ulster (5). There was no migratory activity
between Putnam and Sullivan County (Chart 7, Table 4). See Chart 8 for income data.
•
Migratory activity with the five counties of NYC accounted for 25.90 percent of all intrastate
inflows and 20.09 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
As is typically the case, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow of 141
households, with the vast majority of these migrating from Bronx County (Chart 9, Table
5). See Chart 10 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 23.83 percent of all inflows and 36.88 percent of all outflows.
More than 44.00 percent of all interstate activity occurred within the Northeast Region (Chart
11, Table 6). See Chart 12 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was negligible at less than one percent of all inflows and 1.12 percent of all
outflow
Chart 7: Putnam County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2011‐2012
1,151 832 251 347 51 30 Dutchess
County
21 Orange County
13 Rockland
County
Total Inflow
1,063 630 22 17 Ulster County
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 8: Putnam County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2011‐2012
$78,308
$41,409
$71,265
$78,751
$58,431
$61,190
$107,571
$65,500
$50,020
$56,471
Dutchess County Orange County Rockland County Ulster County
Total Inflow
$71,139
$66,835
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Table 4: Putnam County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12
11‐12
Inflow Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow 251 347 $12,555 $21,233 $50,020 $61,190 Orange County 30 51 $1,965 $2,980 $65,500 $58,431 Rockland County 21 13 $2,259 $1,018 $107,571 $78,308 Ulster County 17 22 $960 $911 $56,471 $41,409 Dutchess County Westchester County Hudson Valley 832 630 $59,188 $49,613 $71,139 $78,751 1,151 1,063 $76,927 $75,755 $66,835 $71,265 Chart 9: Putnam County Inflows/Outflows
New York City 2011‐2012
441 300 183 81 Bronx County
124 112 64 82 38 Kings County
New York County Queens County
Total Inflows
57 New York City
Total Outflows
Chart 10: Putnam County Average AGI New York City Migration 2011‐2012
$30,919
$44,657
$432,866
$58,351
$55,079
$60,339
$158,404
$51,160
Bronx County
$70,016
Kings County
$71,366
New York County Queens County
Total Inflow
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 5: Putnam County Migration Activity within New York City Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 Inflo
11‐12 w Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Bronx County 183 81 $11,042,000 $4,144,000 $60,339 $51,160 Kings County 64 38 $4,481,000 $2,093,000 $70,016 $55,079 112 124 $48,481,000 $3,834,000 $432,866 $30,919 Queens County 82 57 $5,852,000 $3,326,000 $71,366 $58,351 New York City 441 300 $69,856,000 $13,397,000 $158,404 $44,657 New York County Chart 11: Putnam County Inflows/Outflows
Interstate 2011‐2012
396 351 228 200 111 77 34 Northeast: Region 1
30 Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 12: Putnam County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2011‐2012
$78,577
$67,831
$89,467
$57,076
$61,879
Northeast: Region 1
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
$68,237
$53,804
$48,320
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 6: Putnam County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12
11‐12
Inflow Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Northeast: Region 1 228 396 $33,713,000 $28,168,000 $147,864 $71,131 Midwest: Region 2 34 30 $1,146,000 $2,623,000 $33,706 $87,433 South: Region 3 200 351 $8,764,000 $22,365,000 $43,820 $63,718 West: Region 4 77 111 $3,447,000 $6,396,000 $44,766 $57,622 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Rockland County
Five-year analysis — 2007-2012
•
During the period, the number of households in Rockland County grew at an annualized rate of
1.89 percent (2,094 households), rising from 103,734 households in 2007 to 111,799 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 12,787 new households; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of
4,722 households. Over the period,
o
20,950 households moved into the county;
o
25,672 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $390.31 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
On average, one out of every 20.8 households left the region.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
28.13 percent of all inflows and 26.85 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 55.21 percent of all inflows and 43.63 percent of all outflows.
•
The most important intrastate migratory activity occurred with the five counties of NYC,
accounting for 51.06 percent of all intrastate inflows and 42.95 percent of all intrastate
outflows.
o
Migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow of 1,096 households, with more than
two-thirds of the net flows occurring between Rockland and Bronx County (Chart 1,
Table 1). See Chart 2 for income data.
•
The second most important migratory activity was intra-regional at 38.32 percent of all
intrastate inflows and 44.69 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Intra-regional activity resulted in a net loss of 573 households. Rockland gained 276
households from Westchester and lost households to Orange, Dutchess, Ulster, Putnam,
and Sullivan counties. The largest net outflow was to Orange at 697 households (Chart
3, Table 2). See Chart 4 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 42.54 percent of all inflows and 54.51 percent of all outflows.
More than 50.00 percent of both interstate inflows and outflows occurred within the Northeast
Region (Chart 5, Table 3). See Chart 6 for income data.
•
Foreign migration accounted for 2.25 percent of all inflows and 1.87 percent of all outflows.
Chart 1: Rockland County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2007‐2012
5,906 4,810 1,799 1,045 1,408 916 1,479 1,907 1,093 860 127 Bronx County Kings County
New York
County
Queens
County
Total Inflow
82 Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 2: Rockland County Average AGI
New York City Migration 2007‐2012
$88,983
$40,882
$60,467
$76,848
$60,418
Bronx County Kings County
$66,780
$44,217
$92,410
$62,732
New York
County
$68,071
Queens
County
Total Inflow
Richmond
County
$67,840
$69,037
New York City
Total Outflow
Bronx County Table 1: Rockland County Migration Activity within New York City Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12
07‐12
07‐12
07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow 1,799 1,045 $108,781,000 $42,722,000 $60,467 $40,882 Kings County New York County 1,408 1,479 916 1,907 $85,068,000 $136,674,000 $70,393,000 $169,691,000 $60,418 $76,848 $92,410 $88,983 Queens County Richmond County 1,093 127 860 82 $68,566,000 $8,645,000 $38,027,000 $5,476,000 $62,732 $44,217 $68,071 $66,780 New York City 5,906 4,810 $407,734,000 $326,309,000 $69,037 $67,840 Chart 3: Rockland County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2007‐2012
5,005 4,432 1,856 2,553 217 270 1,997 116 85 121 Dutchess
County
Orange
County
Putnam
County
133 Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
161 1,721 207 Ulster County Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 4: Rockland County Average AGI
Intra‐Regional Migration 2007‐2012
$81,355
$67,188
$61,812
$59,330
$59,478
$41,767
$52,618
$56,331
Dutchess
County
Orange
County
$75,471
$47,981
$41,560
Putnam
County
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
$52,237
$75,071
$64,270
Ulster County Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Table 2: Rockland County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Dutchess County Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow 217 270 Orange County Putnam County 1,856 85 2,553 121 Sullivan County Ulster County 116 161 133 207 1,997 4,432 1,721 5,005 Westchester County Hudson Valley Aggregate AGI 07‐12
07‐12 Inflow Outflow $11,418,000 $16,059,000 $104,551,000 $151,469,000 $6,415,000 $9,844,000 Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow $52,618 $59,478 $56,331 $75,471 $59,330 $81,355 $5,555,000 $10,813,000 $41,560 $47,981 $41,767 $52,237 $149,916,000 $115,631,000 $284,846,000 $309,371,000 $75,071 $64,270 $67,188 $61,812 $4,821,000 $7,725,000 Chart 5: Rockland County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2007‐2012
7,041 4,951 4,998 2,511 587 Northeast: Region 1
1,353 864 601 Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Inflow
Chart 6: Rockland County Average AGI
Interstate Migration 2007‐2012
$75,551
$57,915
$59,863
$62,234
$71,347
Northeast: Region 1
$64,039
$49,250
$42,976
Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table3: Rockland County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Northeast: Region 1 Households
07‐12 Inflow Aggregate AGI
07‐12 Outflow 4,951 7,041 587 601 South: Region 3 2,511 4,998 West: Region 4 864 1,353 Midwest: Region 2 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12 Outflow $353,240,000 $531,957,000 Average AGI
07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow $71,347 $75,551 $34,807,000 $64,039 $57,915 $107,913,000 $311,044,000 $42,976 $62,234 $49,250 $59,863 $37,591,000 $42,552,000 $80,995,000 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Rockland County
Year-over-year analysis — 2011-2012
•
Year-over-year, the number of households in Rockland County increased 5.57 percent (5,900
households), from 108,899 in 2011 to 111,799 in 2012.
•
Households created internally numbered 7,177, while migratory activity resulted in a net loss
of 1,277 households.
o
4,681 households moved into the county.
o
5,958 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $104.42 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
For the period, one out of every 18.8 households moved out of the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
27.84 percent of all inflows and 23.63 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 52.87 percent of all inflows and 40.40 percent of all outflows.
•
The most significant intrastate activity occurred with the five counties of NYC at 51.39 percent
of all intrastate inflows and 47.24 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
The county gained 135 households overall; but unlike the rest of the region, it lost 115
households to New York County (Manhattan). The most significant inflows came from
Kings County (Brooklyn) at 111 and Bronx County at 94 (Chart 7, Table 4). See Chart 8
for income data.
•
The second most significant intrastate activity was intra-regional at 38.06 percent of all
intrastate inflows and 39.93 percent of all intrastate outflows.
•
Intra-regional migration resulted in a net loss of 19 households. Rockland gained households
from Westchester, but lost households to each of the remaining five counties. The largest
single loss was to Orange County at 65 households (Chart 9, Table 5). See Chart 10 for income
data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 44.86 percent of all inflows and 56.50 percent of all outflows.
The most significant interstate inflows and outflows occurred within the Northeast Region
(Chart 11, Table 6). See Chart 12 for income data.
•
Foreign migration accounted for 2.26 percent of all inflows and 3.11 percent of all outflows.
This is the highest relative level of foreign migration within the Hudson Valley Region during
the one-year period.
Chart 7: Rockland County Inflows/Outflows New York City 2011‐2012
1,272 1,137 382 288 325 293 408 247 206 214 25 21 Bronx County Kings County
New York
County
Queens
County
Total Inflow
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 8: Rockland County Average AGI New York City Migration 2011‐2012
$193,000
$127,407
$102,905
$81,465
$53,832
$103,563
$47,607
$43,399
Bronx County Kings County
$96,171
$92,000
$55,789
New York
County
Total Inflow
Queens
County
$71,775
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 4: Rockland County Migration Activity within New York City Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 11‐12
Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12
11‐12
Inflow Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Bronx County 382 288 $20,564,000 $12,499,000 $53,832 $43,399 Kings County 325 214 $26,476,000 $41,302,000 $81,465 $193,000 New York County 293 408 $28,178,000 $51,982,000 $96,171 $127,407 Queens County 247 206 $13,780,000 $9,807,000 $55,789 $47,607 25 21 $2,300,000 $2,161,000 $92,000 $102,905 1,272 1,137 $91,298,000 $117,751,000 $71,775 $103,563 Richmond County New York City Chart 9: Rockland County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2011‐2012
942 405 470 429 352 43 57 Orange
County
25 24 21 13 Dutchess
County
Putnam
County
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
961 28 36 Ulster County Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 10: Rockland County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2011‐2012
$107,571
$48,209
$62,381
$50,594
$61,351
$78,308
$64,410
Dutchess
County
Orange
County
$46,357
$45,875
Putnam
County
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
$56,003
$45,083
$28,120
$72,392
$66,488
Ulster County Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Table 5: Rockland County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow 43 57 $2,073,000 $3,497,000 $48,209 $61,351 Orange County 405 470 $26,086,000 $23,779,000 $64,410 $50,594 Putnam County 13 21 $1,018,000 $2,259,000 $78,308 $107,571 Sullivan County 24 25 $1,101,000 $703,000 $45,875 $28,120 Ulster County 28 36 $1,298,000 $1,623,000 $46,357 $45,083 Westchester County 429 352 $31,056,000 $21,958,000 $72,392 $62,381 Hudson Valley 942 961 $62,632,000 $53,819,000 $66,488 $56,003 Dutchess County Chart 11: Rockland County Inflows/Outflows Interstate 2011‐2012
1,637 1,264 1,184 623 99 Northeast: Region 1
299 194 166 Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 12: Rockland County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2011‐2012
$78,577
$67,831
$89,467
$61,879
Northeast: Region 1
$68,237
$57,076
$53,804
Midwest: Region 2
$48,320
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 6: Rockland County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Northeast: Region 1 Midwest: Region 2 Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow 1,184 Aggregate AGI 11‐12
11‐12
Inflow Outflow 1,637 $105,929,000 Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow $128,630,000 $89,467 $78,577 99 166 $6,126,000 $11,260,000 $61,879 $67,831 South: Region 3 623 1,264 $33,520,000 $72,144,000 $53,804 $57,076 West: Region 4 194 299 $9,374,000 $20,403,000 $48,320 $68,237 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Sullivan County
Five-year analysis — 2007-2012
•
During the period, the number of households in Sullivan County grew very little (314
households), rising from 26,608 households in 2007 to 26,922 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 1,334 new households; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of
1,020 households. For the period,
o
7,569 households moved into the county;
o
8,589 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net gain of $8.5 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
On average, one out of every 15.57 households left the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
39.16 percent of all inflows and 33.79 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 70.41 percent of all inflows and 57.60 percent of all outflows.
•
Consistent with trend, migratory activity within the Hudson Valley accounted for 58.17 percent
of all intrastate inflows and 57.61 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Intra-regional migration resulted in a net gain of 250 households. The largest net gain
was with Orange County at 216, followed by Westchester County at 38 (Chart 1, Table
1). See Chart 2 for income data.
•
Migratory activity with NYC accounted for 26.91 percent of all intrastate inflows and 21.00
percent of all intrastate outflows. As is typically the case, migratory activity with NYC resulted
in a net inflow (395 households). The largest net inflow occurred with Kings County (Brooklyn)
at 115, followed by Bronx County at 90 (Chart 3, Table 2). See Chart 4 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 28.91 percent of all inflows and 41.55 percent of all outflows.
Activity with the Southern Region accounted for 42.46 percent of all interstate inflows and
51.89 percent of all interstate outflows (Chart 5, Table 3). See Chart 6 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was insignificant at 0.69 percent of all inflows and 0.85 percent of all
outflows.
Chart 1:Sullivan County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2007‐2012
3,100 2,117 1,901 554 118 133 127 Dutchess
County
2,850 Orange County
566 178 116 Rockland
County
Ulster County
Total Inflow
140 Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 2: Sullivan County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2007‐2012
$47,229
$39,583
$40,213
$39,251
$41,560
$35,475
$42,169
Dutchess
County
$41,767
$41,630
Orange County
$55,236
$35,116
Rockland
County
Ulster County
Total Inflow
$41,273
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Table 1: Sullivan County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Aggregate AGI
07‐12 Outflow 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12
Outflow Average AGI
07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 118 127 $4,976,000 $5,107,000 $42,169 $40,213 2,117 1,901 $88,130,000 $75,247,000 $41,630 $39,583 Rockland County 133 116 $5,555,000 $4,821,000 $41,767 $41,560 Ulster County 554 566 $19,454,000 $20,079,000 $35,116 $35,475 Westchester County 178 140 $9,832,000 $6,612,000 $55,236 $47,229 3,100 2,850 $127,947,000 $111,866,000 $41,273 $39,251 Dutchess County Orange County Households 07‐12 Inflow Hudson Valley Chart 3: Sullivan County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2007‐2012
1,434 1,039 267 394 279 177 Bronx County
Kings County
350 261 334 278 New York
County
89 Queens County
Total Inflow
44 Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 4: Sullivan County Average AGI New York City Migration 2007‐2012
$71,935
$46,518
$33,502
$34,780
$157,377
$43,011
Bronx County
$59,225
$56,977
$53,140
$40,547
$36,477
Kings County
New York
County
Queens County
Total Inflow
Richmond
County
$76,388
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 2: Sullivan County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Aggregate AGI Average AGI 07‐12
07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Bronx County 267 177 $10,826,000 $6,156,000 $40,547 $34,780 Kings County 394 279 $20,937,000 $9,347,000 $53,140 $33,502 New York County 334 278 $52,564,000 $19,998,000 $157,377 $71,935 Queens County 350 261 $19,942,000 $11,226,000 $56,977 $43,011 89 44 $5,271,000 $1,605,000 $59,225 $36,477 1,434 1,039 $109,540,000 $48,332,000 $76,388 $46,518 Richmond County Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow New York City Chart 5: Sullivan County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2007‐2012
1,852 1,131 929 872 395 Northeast: Region 1
236 191 151 Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 6: Sullivan County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2007‐2012
$42,467
$32,592
$46,587
$33,596
Northeast: Region 1
$35,273
$42,147
$32,462
$29,321
Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 3: Sullivan County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12
07‐12 Inflow Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Northeast: Region 1 872 1,131 $40,624,000 $48,030,000 $46,587 $42,467 Midwest: Region 2 151 191 $5,073,000 $6,225,000 $33,596 $32,592 South: Region 3 929 1,852 $27,239,000 $78,056,000 $29,321 $42,147 West: Region 4 236 395 $7,661,000 $13,933,000 $32,462 $35,273 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Sullivan County
Year-over-year analysis — 2011-2012
•
The number of households in Sullivan County increased by 422 units, from 26,500 in 2011 to
26,922 in 2012.
•
Households created internally numbered 562; 1,704 moved into the county while 1,844 moved
out of the county. The net result was a loss of 140 households.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $3.3 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
For the period, one out of every 14.6 households moved out of the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
39.85 percent of all inflows and 34.65 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 69.37 percent of all inflows and 59.11 percent of all outflows.
•
Migratory activity within the Hudson Valley accounted for 58.21 percent of all intrastate
inflows and 56.79 percent of all intrastate outflows. This finding is consistent with the five-year
trend.
o
Intra-regional migration resulted in a net gain of 69 households. Sullivan gained
households from four counties, with the greatest net inflow (60 households) coming
from Orange County. There was no migratory activity between Putnam and Sullivan, and
Sullivan lost 10 households to Westchester County (Chart 7, Table 4). See Chart 8 for
income data.
•
Overall, inflows from NYC accounted for 26.90 percent of all intrastate inflows and 23.58
percent of all intrastate outflows. Migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow of 61
households, with the most significant numbers coming from Kings County (Brooklyn) at 19 and
Bronx County at 18 (Chart 9, Table 5). See Chart 10 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 29.81 percent of all inflows and 40.29 percent of all outflows
(Chart 11, Table 6). See Chart 12 for income data.
•
Foreign migration accounted for 0.82 percent of all inflows and 0.60 percent of all outflows.
Chart 7: Sullivan County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2011‐2012
688 619 478 418 26 25 21 Dutchess
County
Orange County
137 124 24 Rockland
County
Ulster County
Total Inflow
32 22 Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 8: Sullivan County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2011‐2012
$45,538
$42,454
$40,714
$45,875
$48,711
$40,769
$28,120
Dutchess
County
Orange County
Rockland
County
Total Inflow
$32,944
$37,594
$44,186
$34,759
$26,864
Ulster County
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Table 4: Sullivan County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Dutchess County Orange County Rockland County Ulster County Westchester County Hudson Valley Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow 26 21 $1,060 $855 $40,769 $40,714 478 418 $23,284 $19,035 $48,711 $45,538 25 24 $703 $1,101 $28,120 $45,875 137 124 $4,762 $4,085 $34,759 $32,944 22 32 $591 $1,203 $26,864 $37,594 688 619 $30,400 $26,279 $44,186 $42,454 Chart 9: Sullivan County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2011‐2012
318 257 58 91 Bronx County
75 72 40 Kings County
76 64 69 18 New York
County
Queens County
Total Inflow
12 Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 10: Sullivan County Average AGI New York City Migration 2011‐2012
$88,422
$44,667
$51,023
$32,833
$38,475
$43,696
$115,067
$105,889
$29,448
Bronx County
$64,745
$54,934
$45,824
Kings County New York County Queens County
Total Inflow
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 5: Sullivan County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 Inflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12 Outflow 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Bronx County 58 40 $1,708,000 $1,539,000 $29,448 $38,475 Kings County 91 72 $4,170,000 $2,364,000 $45,824 $32,833 New York County 75 64 $8,630,000 $5,659,000 $115,067 $88,422 Queens County 76 69 $4,175,000 $3,015,000 $54,934 $43,696 Richmond County 18 12 $1,906,000 $536,000 $105,889 $44,667 318 257 $20,589,000 $13,113,000 $64,745 $51,023 New York City Chart 11: Sullivan County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2011‐2012
373 241 215 204 98 35 Northeast: Region 1
54 31 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 12: Sullivan County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2011‐2012
$43,378
$41,162
$36,371
Northeast: Region 1
$41,852
$32,172
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
$37,724
$49,842
$36,903
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 6: Sullivan County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12
11‐12
Inflow Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Northeast: Region 1 204 241 $8,397,000 $10,454,000 $41,162 $43,378 Midwest: Region 2 35 31 $1,273,000 $1,144,000 $36,371 $36,903 South: Region 3 215 373 $6,917,000 $18,591,000 $32,172 $49,842 West: Region 4 54 98 $2,260,000 $3,697,000 $41,852 $37,724 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Ulster County
Five-year analysis — 2007-2012
•
During the period, the number of households in Ulster County grew at an annual rate of 0.65
percent (1,730 households), rising from 66,400 households in 2007 to 68,130 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 3,207 new households; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of
1,477 households. For the period,
o
17,190 households moved into the county;
o
18,667 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $6.11 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
On average, one out of every 17.9 households left the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
40.66 percent of all inflows and 35.85 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 69.33 percent of all inflows and 59.39 percent of all outflows.
•
Consistent with trend, migratory activity within the Hudson Valley accounted for 57.22 percent
of all intrastate inflows and 56.25 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Ulster was the only Hudson Valley county to gain households from across the region.
Overall, the county gained 583 new households; the largest net gain was with Orange
County at 237, followed by Dutchess at 154 (Chart 1, Table 1). See Chart 2 for income
data.
•
Migratory activity with NYC accounted for 19.34 percent of all intrastate inflows and 15.08
percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
As is typically the case, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow (633
households). The largest net inflow occurred with New York County (Manhattan) at 221,
followed by Kings County (Brooklyn) at 179 (Chart 3, Table 2). See Chart 4 for income
data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 29.55 percent of all inflows and 39.70 percent of all outflows.
Activity with the Southern Region accounted for more than 40.00 percent of all interstate
inflows and more than 48.00 percent of all interstate outflows (Chart 5, Table 3). See Chart 6
for income data.
•
Foreign migration was insignificant at 1.12 percent of all inflows and 0.91 percent of all
outflows.
Chart 1: Ulster County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2007‐2012
6,819 2,722 2,568 2,808 2,571 207 123 82 Dutchess
County
6,236 Orange
County
Putnam
County
161 Rockland
County
Total Inflow
566 554 393 300 Sullivan
County
Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 2: Ulster County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2007‐2012
$70,420
$42,090
Dutchess
County
$47,981
$42,098
$40,525
$43,052
$42,736
$35,116
$52,237
$46,065
$42,565
Orange
County
Putnam
County
Rockland
County
Total Inflow
$60,000
$35,475
Sullivan
County
$43,148
Westchester
County
Hudson
Valley
Total Outflow
Table 1: Ulster County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Dutchess County 2,722 2,568 $114,568,000 $110,558,000 $42,090 $43,052 Orange County 2,808 2,571 $119,522,000 $104,189,000 $42,565 $40,525 Putnam County 123 82 $5,666,000 $3,452,000 $46,065 $42,098 Rockland County 207 161 $10,813,000 $7,725,000 $52,237 $47,981 Sullivan County 566 554 $20,079,000 $19,454,000 $35,475 $35,116 Westchester County 393 300 $23,580,000 $21,126,000 $60,000 $70,420 6,819 6,236 $294,228,000 $266,504,000 $43,148 $42,736 Hudson Valley Chart 3: Ulster County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2007‐2012
2,305 1,672 823 666 287 487 602 446 351 184 Bronx County
Kings County
New York
County
Queens County
Total Inflow
83 48 Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 4: Ulster County Average AGI New York City Migration 2007‐2012
$80,264
$55,733
$46,335
$32,538
$46,843
Bronx County
$41,328
$126,270
$54,388
$51,438
Kings County
New York
County
$78,086
$49,518
Queens County
Total Inflow
$37,688
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 2: Ulster County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Aggregate AGI 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Bronx County 287 184 $13,444,000 $5,987,000 $46,843 $32,538 Kings County 666 487 $34,258,000 $22,565,000 $51,438 $46,335 New York County 823 602 $103,920,000 $48,319,000 $126,270 $80,264 Queens County 446 351 $24,257,000 $14,506,000 $54,388 $41,328 83 48 $4,110,000 $1,809,000 $49,518 $37,688 2,305 1,672 $179,989,000 $93,186,000 $78,086 $55,733 Richmond County Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow New York City Chart 5: Ulster County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2007‐2012
3,604 2,047 2,077 1,690 1,190 494 Northeast: Region 1
818 570 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 6: Ulster County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2007‐2012
$44,266
$39,138
$39,818
$33,721
$46,748
$35,014
Northeast: Region 1
$43,742
$29,930
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 3: Ulster County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Northeast: Region 1 Households 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Average AGI 07‐12 07‐12 Inflow Outflow 1,690 2,047 $79,004,000 $90,613,000 $46,748 $44,266 494 570 $17,297,000 $19,221,000 $35,014 $33,721 South: Region 3 2,077 3,604 $62,165,000 $143,504,000 $29,930 $39,818 West: Region 4 818 1,190 $35,781,000 $46,574,000 $43,742 $39,138 Midwest: Region 2 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Ulster County
Year-over-year analysis — 2011-2012
•
Year-over-year, the number of households in Ulster County increased 3.18 percent (2,102
households), from 66,028 in 2011 to 68,130 in 2012.
•
Households created internally numbered 2,453; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of 351
households.
o
3,723 households moved into the county.
o
4,074 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $21.48 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
For the period, one out of every 16.7 households moved out of the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
40.40 percent of all inflows and 35.94 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate migration accounted for 66.94 percent of all inflows and 59.60 percent of all
outflows.
o
Year-over-year, intra-regional activity slowed to 37.8 percent of all intrastate inflows
and 39.58 percent of all intrastate outflows compared to the five-year trend of 57.22
percent of all intrastate inflows and 56.25 percent of all intrastate outflows (Chart 7,
Table 8). See Chart 4 for income data.
•
Intra-regional migration resulted in a net loss of 19 households. Ulster gained 77 households
from Westchester but lost households to each of the remaining five counties. The largest loss
was to Orange County at 65 households.
•
The second most significant intrastate activity occurred with the five counties of NYC, at 20.55
percent of all intrastate inflows and 17.42 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net gain of 89 households, with the largest net
inflow coming from Queens County (34) followed by Kings County (Brooklyn) at 30
households (Chart 9, Table 5). See Chart 10 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 31.86 percent of all inflows and 39.30 percent of all outflows.
The most important activity occurred with the Southern Region at 43.68 percent of interstate
inflows and 50.09 percent of interstate outflows (Chart 11, Table 6). See Chart 12 for income
data.
•
Foreign migration accounted for 1.21 of all inflows and 1.10 percent of all outflows.
Chart 7: Ulster County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2011‐2012
1,439 545 514 Dutchess
County
1,387 643 614 Orange
County
22 17 36 28 124 137 Putnam
County
Rockland
County
Sullivan
County
Total Inflow
69 77 Westchester Hudson Valley
County
Total Outflow
Chart 8: Ulster County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2011‐2012
$117,169
$46,322
$44,123
$56,471
$48,423
$46,357
$34,759
$41,699
Dutchess
County
$45,412
$45,083
$41,409
Orange
County
Putnam
County
Rockland
County
Total Inflow
$52,072
$32,944
Sullivan
County
$43,181
Westchester Hudson Valley
County
Total Outflow
Table 4: Ulster County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Aggregate AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Dutchess County 545 514 $22,726,000 $22,679,000 $41,699 $44,123 Orange County 643 614 $29,200,000 $28,442,000 $45,412 $46,322 Putnam County 22 17 $911,000 $960,000 $41,409 $56,471 Rockland County 36 28 $1,623,000 $1,298,000 $45,083 $46,357 Sullivan County 124 137 $4,085,000 $4,762,000 $32,944 $34,759 69 77 $3,593,000 $9,022,000 $52,072 $117,169 1,439 1,387 $62,138,000 $67,163,000 $43,181 $48,423 Westchester County Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Hudson Valley Chart 9: Ulster County Inflow/Outflow
New York City 2011‐2012
512 423 155 56 171 125 162 113 79 35 Bronx County
22 17 Kings County
New York
County
Queens County
Total Inflow
Richmond
County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 10: Ulster County Average AGI New York City Migration 2011‐2012
$107,852
$69,610
$42,952
$48,057
$34,714
Bronx County
$49,595
$45,636
$93,404
$55,535
$50,327
Kings County
$41,765
$64,299
New York County Queens County Richmond County New York City
Total Inflow
Total Outflow
Table 5: Ulster County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Aggregate AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Bronx County 56 35 $1,944,000 $1,682,000 $34,714 $48,057 Kings County 155 125 $8,608,000 $5,369,000 $55,535 $42,952 New York County 171 162 $15,972,000 $17,472,000 $93,404 $107,852 Queens County 113 79 $5,687,000 $3,918,000 $50,327 $49,595 17 22 $710,000 $1,004,000 $41,765 $45,636 512 423 $32,921,000 $29,445,000 $64,299 $69,610 Richmond County Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow New York City Chart 11: Ulster County Inflow/Outflow
Interstate 2011‐2012
802 518 365 417 103 Northeast: Region 1
135 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
247 200 South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 12: Ulster County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2011‐2012
$33,457
$50,806
$34,489
$48,213
$76,180
$51,699
$53,315
$33,164
Northeast: Region 1
Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 6: Ulster County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Aggregate AGI 11‐12
11‐12
Inflow Outflow Northeast: Region 1 365 417 $19,460,000 Midwest: Region 2 103 135 South: Region 3 518 802 West: Region 4 200 247 $15,236,000 Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow $21,186,000 $53,315 $50,806 $5,325,000 $4,656,000 $51,699 $34,489 $17,179,000 $38,667,000 $33,164 $48,213 $8,264,000 $76,180 $33,457 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Westchester County
Five-year analysis — 2007-2012
•
During the period, the number of households in Westchester County grew at an annual rate of
2.30 percent (31,776 households), rising from 333,229 households in 2007 to 365,005 in 2012.
•
Existing residents created 38,801 new households; migratory activity resulted in a net loss of
7,025 households.
o
86,474 households moved into the county.
o
93,499 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $468.32 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
On average, one out of every 18.3 households left the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate —accounted for
33.31 percent of all inflows and 28.02 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 61.86 percent of all inflows and 49.09 percent of all outflows.
•
The most significant intrastate activity occurred between Westchester and the five counties of
NYC, accounting for 74.33 percent of all intrastate inflows and 63.43 percent of all intrastate
outflows.
o
Consistent with trend, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow (10,648
households), with the majority of these coming from Bronx and Queens counties (Chart
1, Table 1). See Chart 2 for income data.
•
The second most important intrastate activity was intra-regional, at 16.16 percent of all
intrastate inflows and 25.53 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Intra-regional migration resulted in a net loss of 3,073 households. Westchester lost
households to every county in the region, with the most significant outflows occurring
with Dutchess and Putnam counties (Chart 3, Table 2). See Chart 4 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 35.50 percent of all inflows and 48.53 percent of all outflows.
More than 42.00 percent of all interstate activity was within the Northeast Region, and more
than 46.00 percent was within the Southern Region (Chart 5, Table 3). See Chart 6 for income
data.
•
Foreign migration was relatively small, at 2.65 percent of all inflows and 2.39 percent of all
outflows. This is the highest relative level of foreign migration within the Hudson Valley
Region.
Chart 1: Westchester County Inflow/Outflow New York City 2007‐2012
39,758 29,110 19,196 11,502 11,231 3,869 Bronx County
10,568 4,816 3,486 Kings County
New York County
3,561 375 Queens County
Total Inflow
264 Richmond County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 2: Westchester County Average AGI New York City Migration 2007‐2012
$136,948
$38,399
$51,239
Bronx County
$76,725
$46,470
$50,272
$180,459
$82,520
Kings County
New York County
Total Inflow
$66,440
Queens County
Richmond County
New York City
Total Outflow
07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Bronx County 19,196 11,231 $983,578,000 $431,264,000 $51,239 $38,399 Kings County 3,869 3,486 $319,271,000 $161,993,000 $82,520 $46,470 11,502 10,568 $2,075,642,000 $1,447,266,000 $180,459 $136,948 4,816 3,561 $342,885,000 $179,018,000 $71,197 $50,272 375 264 $24,915,000 $13,930,000 $66,440 $52,765 39,758 29,110 $3,746,291,000 $2,233,471,000 $94,227 $76,725 New York County Queens County Richmond County $94,227
$71,197
Table 1: Westchester County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI $52,765
New York City Chart 3: Westchester County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2007‐2012
11,715 8,642 2,220 3,451 2,970 4,093 1,997 1,721 1,291 1,603 300 393 140 178 Dutchess County Orange County Putnam County Rockland County Sullivan County
Total Inflow
Ulster County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 4 : Westchester County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2007‐2012
$60,000
$75,071
$67,851
$69,313
$68,095
$60,822
$55,236
$62,144
$54,871
$67,188
$66,885
$70,420
$47,229
Dutchess County Orange County Putnam County Rockland County Sullivan County
Total Inflow
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow Dutchess County 2,220 3,451 $137,959,000 $239,199,000 $62,144 $69,313 Orange County 1,291 1,603 $70,838,000 $97,497,000 $54,871 $60,822 Putnam County 2,970 4,093 $198,649,000 $277,714,000 $66,885 $67,851 Rockland County 1,721 1,997 $115,631,000 $149,916,000 $67,188 $75,071 140 178 $6,612,000 $9,832,000 $47,229 $55,236 Sullivan County Ulster County
Table 2: Westchester County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI $63,737
Ulster County 300 393 $21,126,000 $23,580,000 $70,420 $60,000 Hudson Valley 8,642 11,715 $550,815,000 $797,738,000 $63,737 $68,095 Chart 5: Westchester County Inflow/Outflow Interstate 2007‐2012
20,186 17,104 13,982 10,308 2,455 Northeast: Region 1
3,950 2,690 Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
5,391 West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 6: Westchester County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2007‐2012
$93,048
$99,227
$109,420
$80,002
$92,853
Northeast: Region 1
$101,638
$94,631
$67,271
Midwest: Region 2
South: Region 3
Total Inflow
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 3: Westchester County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2007‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI 07‐12 Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12
Inflow 07‐12 Outflow 07‐12 Inflow $1,298,266,000 $2,003,006,000 $92,853 $99,227 $93,048 07‐12 Outflow Northeast: Region 1 13,982 20,186 Midwest: Region 2 2,455 2,690 $249,521,000 $250,299,0000 $101,638 South: Region 3 10,308 17,104 $693,431,000 $1,368,360,000 $67,271 $80,002 West: Region 4 3,950 5,391 $373,793,000 $589,885,000 $94,631 $109,420 Marist College Bureau of Economic Research
Westchester County
Year-over-year analysis — 2011-2012
•
Year-over-year, the number of households in Westchester County increased 7.99 percent
(27,019 households), from 337,986 in 2011 to 365,005 in 2012.
•
Households created internally numbered 29,017, while migratory activity resulted in a net loss
of 1,998 households.
o
19,950 households moved into the county.
o
21,948 households moved out of the county.
•
Total migratory activity resulted in a net loss of $333.86 million in adjusted gross income (AGI).
•
On average, one out of every 16.6 households left the county.
•
Migratory activity with contiguous counties — both intrastate and interstate — accounted for
31.62 percent of all inflows and 27.67 percent of all outflows.
•
Intrastate activity accounted for 61.02 percent of all inflows and 47.98 percent of all outflows.
•
The most significant intrastate activity occurred between Westchester and the five counties of
NYC, accounting for 73.75 percent of all intrastate inflows and 67.86 percent of all intrastate
outflows.
o
Consistent with trend, migratory activity with NYC resulted in a net inflow (1,832
households), with the majority of these coming from Bronx County (Chart 7, Table 4).
See Chart 8 for income data.
•
Migratory activity within the Hudson Valley accounted for 15.40 percent of all intrastate
inflows and 21.63 percent of all intrastate outflows.
o
Consistent with trend, intra-regional migration resulted in a net loss of 403 households.
With the exception of Sullivan and Ulster, Westchester lost households to every county
in the region. The most significant outflow was to Putnam County at 202 households
(Chart 9, Table 5). See Chart 10 for income data.
•
Interstate activity accounted for 37.14 percent of all inflows and 49.09 percent of all outflows.
More than 41.00 percent of all interstate activity was within the Northeast Region (Chart 11,
Table 6). See Chart 12 for income data.
•
Foreign migration was insignificant, at 1.84 percent of all inflows and 2.93 percent of all
outflows.
Chart 7: Westchester County Inflow/Outflow
New York City 2011‐2012
8,978 7,146 4,222 2,816 2,676 2,597 1,050 793 956 878 74 Bronx County
Kings County
New York County
Total Inflow
Queens County
62 Richmond County
New York City
Total Outflow
Chart 8: Westchester County Average AGI New York City Migration 2011‐2012
$240,453
$115,229
$49,131
$37,331
$48,772
Bronx County
$231,462
$88,585
Kings County
New York County
Total Inflow
$56,403
$59,537
$110,010
$69,676
$60,959
Queens County
Richmond County
New York City
Total Outflow
Table 4: Westchester County Migration Activity within the New York City Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 11‐12 Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow Inflow Outflow Bronx County 4,222 2,816 $205,917,000 $105,123,000 $48,772 $37,331 Kings County 956 878 $84,687,000 $43,137,000 $88,585 $49,131 New York County 2,676 2,597 $619,392,000 Queens County 1,050 793 $73,160,000 $624,457,000 $231,462 $47,213,000 $69,676 $240,453 $59,537 Richmond County 74 62 $4,511,000 $3,497,000 $60,959 $56,403 New York City 8,978 7,146 $823,427,000 $110,010 $115,229 $987,667,000 Chart 9: Westchester County Inflow/Outflow Intra‐Regional 2011‐2012
2,278 1,875 832 630 495 629 429 352 297 289 32 77 69 22 Dutchess County Orange County Putnam County Rockland County Sullivan County
Total Inflow
Ulster County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Chart 10: Westchester County Average AGI Intra‐Regional Migration 2011‐2012
$52,072
$71,139
$80,456
$60,606
$26,864
$78,751
$62,810
$60,479
$71,569
$72,392
$69,272
$62,381
$37,594
Dutchess County Orange County Putnam County Rockland County Sullivan County
Total Inflow
Ulster County
Hudson Valley
Total Outflow
Table 5: Westchester County Migration Activity within the Hudson Valley Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI $117,169
11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflo
w 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow Dutchess County 495 629 $29,937,00 $50,607,000 $60,479 $80,456 Orange County 289 297 $18,152,000 $18,000,000 $62,810 $60,606 Putnam County 630 832 $49,613,000 $59,188,000 $78,751 $71,139 Rockland County 352 429 $21,958,000 $31,056,000 $62,381 $72,392 Sullivan County 32 22 $1,203,000 $591,000 $37,594 $26,864 Ulster County 77 69 $9,022,000 $3,593,000 $117,169 $52,072 Hudson Valley 1,875 2,278 $129,885,000 $163,035,000 $69,272 $71,569 Chart 11: Westchester County Inflow/Outflow
Interstate 2011‐2012
4,715 4,041 3,312 2,671 1,279 529 Northeast: Region 1
897 739 Midwest: Region 2
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Chart 12: Westchester County Average AGI Interstate Migration 2011‐2012
$153,121
$105,389
$93,329
$86,863
$102,111
$98,325
Northeast: Region 1
Midwest: Region 2
$104,687
$70,718
Total Inflow
South: Region 3
West: Region 4
Total Outflow
Table 6: Westchester County Migration Interstate Inflows and Outflows 2011‐2012 Households Aggregate AGI Average AGI 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow 11‐12 Inflow 11‐12 Outflow 3,312 4,715 $338,192,000 $496,909,000 $102,111 $105,389 529 739 $52,014,000 $68,970,000 $98,325 $93,329 South: Region 3 2,671 4,041 $188,887,000 $351,014,000 $70,718 $86,863 West: Region 4 897 1,279 $93,904,000 $195,842,000 $104,687 $153,121 Northeast: Region 1 Midwest: Region 2