HAPPY FRIDAY THE 13th!!!!! February 13, 2009 Conditional Probability/Analyzing Data REMINDER: If A and B are mutually exclusive events: If A and B are not mutually exclusive events REMEMBER: Example 1: About 53% of U.S. college students are under 25 years old. About 21% of U.S. college students are over 34 years old. What is the probability that a college student chosen at random is under 25 or over 34? Example 2: Suppose you reach into a bowl of 3 red apples, 3 green apples, 1 lime, 1 lemon, and 2 oranges. What is the probability that the fruit is an apple or green? REMEMBER: : “the probability of the event B, given the event A” Formula: Researchers asked people who exercise regularly whether they jog or walk. Fiftyeight percent of the respondents were male. Twenty percent of all respondents were males who said that they jog. Find the probability that a male respondent jogs. A student in Buffalo, New York, made the observations below: ◦ Of all snowfalls, 5% are heavy (at least 6 in.) ◦ After a heavy snowfall, schools are closed 67% of the time ◦ After a light snowfall (less than 6 in.) schools are closed 3% of the time. Find the probability that the snowfall is light and the schools are open. Look over last night’s homework with the people next to you. Ask questions and help each other with the problems you struggled with last night. Analyzing Data Measures of central tendency help describe a data set Mean: the average of all the data values Median: middle value or mean of the two middle values Mode: the most frequently occurring value Find the mean, median, and mode for the following values: 1. 98, 95, 99, 97, 89, 92, 97, 62, 90 2. 2.4, 4.3, 3.7, 3.9, 2.8, 5.4, 2.8 There are 5 parts to a box and whisker plot: 1. Minimum Value Quartile 1 (Q1): The median of the lower half Quartile 2 (Q2): The median of the entire data set Quartile 3 (Q3): The median of the upper half Maximum Value 2. 3. 4. 5. Median of the lower part (Q1) = 83 Median of the upper part (Q3) = 83 56 58 58 63 65 71 74 78 82 84 85 86 Median of the set of data (Q2) = 72.5 Make a box-and-whisker plot for the following values: 84, 79, 90, 73, 95, 88, 92, 81, 67 Percentile: a number that indicates the percent of data that is less than or equal to a particular number in the data set. Find the values at the 20th and 65th percentiles for the following values: 54, 98, 45, 87, 98, 64, 21, 61, 71, 82, 93, 65, 98, 87, 24, 65, 97, 31, 47 Step 1: Put the values in numerical order: 21, 24, 31, 45, 47, 54, 61, 62, 64, 65, 65, 71, 82, 87, 87, 93, 97, 98, 98, 98 Step 2: Find the number of values that fall below the 20th percentile and the number of values that fall below the 65th percentile Find the value at the 0th percentile of the last data set. Find the value at the 45th percentile of the last data set. Outlier: An item of a data set with a value substantially different from the rest of the items in the data set. Find the outlier for this set of values. Describe how it would affect the mean of the data: 56, 65, 73, 59, 98, 65, 59 Suppose the values in Example 6 are measurements of the water temperature of a lake. Would you discard the outlier? Why? Suppose the data represent the number of customers in a small restaurant each night during one week. Would you discard the outlier? Why? Pg 664 #1, 2, 4, 5, 8-10, 12, 14-17, 19