The Value of RFID in Transportation: From Greater Operational Efficiency to Collaborative Transportation Management by Antoine Guitton M.S. in Mechanical Engineering, 1987 Universite de Technologie de Compiegne, France Submitted to the Engineering Systems Division in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of MASTER OF ENGINEERING IN LOGISTICS at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY JUNE 2004 MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY JUL 2 7 2004 0 Antoine Guitton. All rights reserved. LIBRARIES The author hereby grants to MIT permission to reproduce and to distribute publicly paper and electronic copies of this thesis document in whole or in part. Signature of Author ................................................. naineerinSyste nDivision y 7 t,2004 C ertified by ..................................... 7 Christopher Caplice Program Executive Director, Master of Engineering in Logis upervisor T/ L/ Accepted by......................... MASSACHUSETTS INSTT1JTE OF TECHNOLOGY .. ...... ...... ...... ........... ...... .... ...... . .... Yos si Sheffi Professor, Engineering Systems Division Environmental Engineering Department and Civil Professor, Director, MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics JUL 2 7 2004 LIBRARIES BARKER The Value of RFID in Transportation: From Greater Operational Efficiency to Collaborative Transportation Management by Antoine Guitton Submitted to the Engineering Systems Division in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Engineering in Logistics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology ABSTRACT This paper assesses the value of Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) in the transportation forecasting, planning, and execution processes for truckload (TL) and less than truckload (LTL) services. The results show that the value of RFID in transportation highly varies according to the sub-process and the player which are considered. The value in forecasting and planning is high for consignees and TL carriers, but low for shippers. For the execution process, the value is high for consignees, moderate for shippers, low for TL carriers and potentially high for LTL carriers. Fundamentally, the common value that RFID can bring to each player is labor cost reduction, obtained by automation of dock and clerical activities, and better service in tracking and reconciling, thanks to accurate and up-to-date information. The potential for dramatic improvement in transportation through RFID exists. Achieving such improvement will be possible only if information sharing rules, such as those espoused by Collaborative Transportation Management (CTM), and well formalized procedures are implemented. RFID can give to CTM invaluable "raw material", while CTM can enable the transportation players to fully take advantage of this material. Thesis Supervisor: Christopher Caplice Title: Executive Director, Master of Engineering in Logistics Program 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS It is a pleasure to thank those who helped me to achieve the research and writing of this thesis. I am most grateful for the guidance, insight, and support of my thesis supervisor, Dr. Chris Caplice, who provided valuable advice and analysis at every step along the way. Jim Rice gave generously of his time and offered much needed assistance in arranging meetings and providing advice. Prof. Brian Subirana was important in helping me to frame this thesis. My research is indebted to all the people who allowed me to visit their facilities and took the time out of their busy schedules to review their procedures and answer my questions. In particular, Jim S., Ray H., Chris N., Larry A. and Tim M, at anonymous companies. I would also like to thank my colleagues and friends in the MLOG program for their insights and solidarity, in particular Rose Mei, with whom I conducted most of the field research. And finally, Judith Surkis, who fought off sleep to proofread my manuscript and otherwise offered significant 'soutien moral'. 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS I GENERAL PRESENTATION AND OVERARCHING QUESTION OF RESEARCH............ SCOPE AND ASSUM PTIONS................................................................................ .. .... THESIS OUTLINE .................................................................................. 1.1 1.2 1.3 2 LITERATURE REVIEW ..................................................................................... RFID : OVERVIEW ................................................................................... 2.1 TRANSPORTATION: OVERVIEW AND CHALLENGES .......................................... 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 An overview of transportation:basic processes andplayers ................ Transportationmanagement ................................................................. Collaborative TransportationManagement........................................ RFID AND TRANSPORTATION ........................................................................ 2.3 9 ..9 17 17 21 23 27 27 Benefits of RFIDfor transportation..................................................... Positive impacts of other RFID-enabledprocesses on transportation...31 Positive impacts of RFID-enabledtransportationon otherprocesses..... 32 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT KNOWLEDGE.......................................................... 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 What is covered, what is missing or poorly documented?.................... What is worthy offurther investment?................................................. METHODOLOGY ........................................................................................... 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4.1 3.4.2 3.4.3 4 6 7 8 How has RFID been covered in the literatureso far?............................ 9 10 EPC Network and RFID technology ..................................................... 14 Capabilitiesand benefits ofRFID........................................................ 16 Impediments to RFID implementation...................................................... 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 3 6 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ INFORMATION COLLECTION........................................................................... PROCESS A NA LY SIS......................................................................................... EVALUATION OF NEW PROCESSES................................................................... METHODS AND APPROACHES USED................................................................ 32 32 34 37 37 37 38 38 Relationship between replenishmentlead time and safety stock level... 38 Relationship between lead time variability and safety stock level......... 39 40 Restrictions to the use of these approaches........................................... RESEARCH: INVESTIGATIONS AND RESULTS......................................42 4.1 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.2.4 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 ...... 42 ....... SCOPE AND APPROACH ................................................................. FROM "FORECAST" PROCESS TO "RECONCILIATION" PROCESS........................ 44 "Forecastand Plan Transportation"process................................. "Execute Transportation"process - TL carriers.......................... "Execute Transportation"process - LTL carriers....................... "Reconcile"process ....................................................................... 44 52 66 90 RFID AND COLLABORATIVE TRANSPORTATION MANAGEMENT..................... 94 The The The The RFID - CTM: a mutual need ................................................................. CTM and RFID at work, afew illustrations............................................. Difficulties and opportunities.............................................................. 4 94 94 96 5 97 CONCLUSION .................................................................................................... RESEARCH FINDINGS: ANALYSIS AND SIGNIFICANCE....................................... 5.1 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 5.1.4 5.2 5.3 Forecastandplan transportation......................................................... Execute transportation- TL carriers................................................... Execute transportation- LTL carriers................................................... Assessment offindings ........................................................................... REMAINING GAPS, QUESTIONS, LIMITATIONS.............................................. SUGGESTIONS FOR FUTURE WORK ................................................................... 6 APPENDICES......................................................................................... 7 GLOSSARY ...................................................................................... 8 REFERENCES .................................................................................. 5 97 97 98 100 102 103 104 ... 106 .........-111 .... 112 1 INTRODUCTION Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) is not a new technology: the fact that it was used during World War II, as a way to recognize allied fighter planes, has been widely mentioned. RFID technology is frequently used currently, at automatic tolls or to enter secure areas. Thanks to new technical capabilities, such as chip miniaturization and the Internet, new and promising applications are emerging. It has been extensively announced that massive use of RFID throughout supply chain will revolutionize its functioning and significantly improve its performance in the coming years. An abundant literature has been produced on the subject recently. 1.1 General presentation and overarching question of research Yet, in further investigating the broad scope of supply chain activities, we noticed that the use of RFID in transportation does not raise as much enthusiasm as it does in other areas. It is neither easy nor clear to find the reasons for this lack of interest. It may be due to the usual disaffection from which transportation suffers compared to supposedly more exciting logistics areas. Alternatively, it may have been already proven that benefits are not tangible or investments too high. Between these extremes, it is most likely that analysts do not have a clear view of possible RFID benefits in transportation, and face difficulties in identifying and quantifying intrinsic and cross-functional gains. The overarching question of our research is the following: "Can RFID technology bring any value to the transportation process?" In order to address this question, we assign to our research the two following objectives: first, to perform an in-depth review of what has already been studied within the transportation area and its surrounding processes; second, to carry out a thorough analysis of transportation sub-processes, in order to assess if there may be opportunities to enhance their efficiency and performance using RFID. To achieve this second objective, we break up the transportation process into its elementary components, describe the role of different players involved and their mutual 6 exchanges, identify the main problems they confront as well as their possible causes, and then assess if RFID may be of interest to improve the current situation. A secondary purpose is to evaluate how the use of RFID should be beneficial for all players involved in transportation (the carrier, the shipper and the consignee), and not only to some of them, as well as to examine how RFID-enabled transportation may positively impact other logistic processes, such as inventory management or control on the whole supply chain. More than only involving the technical aspect of RFID, these two latter objectives address organizational prerequisites to RFID implementation, in particular in terms of collaboration between players. 1.2 Scope and assumptions We specify below the general scope of the research and some of the important assumptions we have made: " We study transportation from shipping to receiving, through physical transportation and consolidation in cross-docking terminals. * This research focuses only on the US Truckload (TL) and Less-than-Truckload (LTL) industry. * We analyze the relationships between the three main players: the shipper, the carrier and the consignee. " RFID tags are applied at case/pallet level and not at item level. " Tagging is performed at source by vendors, on all products; however, this assumption may not be realistic in a short term horizon and could be relaxed in some cases. * Technical problems are addressed, meaning systems may allow 100% perfect reads, and there will not be any interference or interoperability problems. * Available RFID-generated data are shared between players. 7 1.3 Thesis outline We first carry out a literature review, which presents an overview of the Electronic Product Code (EPC) network and RFID technology, and "standard" RFID capabilities and benefits. We then present an overview of processes and players in transportation, transportation management basics, and identified RFID benefits for transportation. We conclude the literature review by assessing what has been covered, what is missing, and what is worthy of further investment. The next chapter presents the methodology used, in terms of data collection, process analysis, evaluation of processes, and methods employed to carry out these evaluations. The core research is then performed: we first describe the scope and approach we have taken, then analyze all the processes we identified earlier, following the pre-defined methodology, and lastly consider the organizational implication. We conclude our research by first summarizing our findings and assessing their significance, second listing the remaining gaps, questions and limitation of our results, and finally suggesting some leads for future work on the subject. 8 LITERATURE REVIEW 2 RFID: overview 2.1 2.1.1 How has RFID been covered in the literature so far? Year 2003 saw an exponential growth in the number of white papers, articles, conferences and reports on RFID (Radio Frequency Identification). The Wal-Mart and DoD (Department of Defense) mandates issued in 2003 have certainly been one of the main causes for this increased attention, directed not only to industry players, but also to the general public. As an introduction to this literature review, we propose to examine the profile of this "offer" in resources about RFID. Figure 1 shows the number of articles published on the subject in the last ten years (Factiva, database of 8,000 news and business publications, by Dow Jones & Reuters). 6000 5000 ------- 4000 1 - 3000 - ----- (D 2000 - E 1000 Z 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2mths Figure] In the same period, we find 13 books or theses registered at the MIT libraries that respond to the keyword "RFID". All of them were published in the past 5 years, 10 of which as recently as 2002 and 2003. They essentially deal with the technical aspects of RFID. Only one of them is related to the use of RFID in the supply chain. To complete our view on the information sources, we launched a Google search. It retrieved around 1.3 million results. In order to categorize the kind of information discussed, we tried to find which words were the most often associated with RFID. 9 30 25 0 Google - 20 15- Factiva - 0 0 Privacy Security Supply Chain Inventory Transportation Warehouse Figure2 The analysis of Figure2 highlights two factors. First, a great deal of articles are about either the technical side of the subject or on the impacts of the technology on the general public, in particular in the fields of privacy and security. Second, even if "supply chain" or "logistics" are often cited, the number of hits decreases when it comes to more specific areas such as inventory, and even more so for transportation and warehousing. Our intent in this chapter is twofold. First, we aim to briefly explain the current state of the knowledge in terms of technology, challenges, benefits and impediments of RFID, referring to the sources that are accepted as authoritative. Second, we intend to point out the work that we consider as an important contribution in the understanding of RFID use, which have brought something new or original to the area of study. Due to constraints of space, we will not explain RFID technology in detail nor address implementation issues. Our goal is to remain focused on sources that describe both how the logistics processes are impacted and how RFID can enable changes to or improvements on these processes. 2.1.2 EPC Network and RFID technology Functioning of a RFID system RFID systems are a particular type of Automated Identification (Auto ID) systems, which can be defined as involving "the automated extraction of the identity of an object" (Sheffi & McFarlane, 2003). 10 Basically, a RFID system transmits to a reader a product's identity code embedded in a tag, itself affixed to the product, through radio waves. Once the code has been read, a data processing system enables access to the product information associated with the code through networked databases. In order to make the whole system economically viable, it is critical to lower the cost of the tag as much as possible. One way to achieve this goal is to minimize the tag's functionality. The resulting cheap tag stores only a unique identifier for the object, the Electronic Product Code (EPC) (Engels et al, 2002). This short introduction has presented the basic components of an RFID system: " The identity code of a product is given by the Electronic Product Code " Tags host the code and readers get the code emitted by the tag and transmit it downstream; different types of tags and readers may be used, depending on utilization and needs " Software then links the captured code to the global Internet and permits access to a large amount of information about the product The network is schematically represented in Figure 3, and we will briefly describe these various elements in the next sections. ONS Server EPC IPAddress IP Address RFID Tag EPC EPC (avant Local ServerPMSrv) Information Figure 3 11 Sre The Electronic Product Code Brock (2001) defined the EPC as a "naming scheme to enumerate and uniquely identify physical objects". He added that the EPC must have the following critical characteristics: be sufficiently large to enumerate all objects, be, as much as possible, universally and globally accepted, and be extensible to allow future expansion in size and design. As represented in Figure 4, the EPC scheme consists of four distinct, hierarchical partitions: version number, domain manager number, class code, and serial number. The version number partition contains information on the length and structure of the code being used. The three remaining partitions contain the actual unique identifier for the object. ELECTRONIC PRODUCT CODE - 96 bits O1 0000A40 01963F 00250570A n Domain Manager Number Class Code Serial Number 28 bits 24 bits 36 bits 8 bits Figure 4 In the 96-bit EPC, the version number spans 8 bits, allowing 256 possible versions, the second partition spans 28 bits, encoding a maximum of 268 million manufacturers, the object class partitions, with 24 bits, permits each manufacturer to manage 16 million SKUs, and finally, the 36 bits of the serial number partition authorize to encode 68 billion unique object identification number (Engels et al, 2002). RFID Tags and readers EPCs are embedded in special tags and transmitted through radio waves to a reader. RFID tags have a small radio antenna that transmits information over a short range to an RFID tag reader. Basically, a tag contains a microchip and an antenna. Tags come in a variety of sizes and design, and may be categorized according three main criteria: power source, frequency, and encoding method. 12 Tags may or may not use a battery to transmit data. Tags that use batteries are called "active tags" and can transmit data to a more distant reader than tags without batteries, called "passive tags". Passive tags draw power from the reader (which sends out electromagnetic waves that induce a current in the tag antenna) to transmit data. "Semipassive" tags use a battery to run the chip's circuitry, but draw the power from the reader to broadcast data. Frequencies employed are low (LF), high (HF), and ultra-high (UHF). The frequency used has a great impact on the tag's range and on the data transfer rate. Tags may be "read-write", "write once-read many" (encoded on demand) or "read-only" (encoded during tag's manufacturing process). It is important to point out again that the constant objective of the Auto ID Center has been to design tags at the lowest possible cost. For this reason they only considered the passive tags, and focused on read-only tags. For complete information on the components of a tag, for explanations on how to reduce its cost, and for cost model benchmarks and simulations, see Sarma (2001) and Swamy and Sarma (2003). Readers have two basics roles: to transmit a signal that empowered the tag; and to receive the signal that the tag sends back. Contrary to a bar code scanner, a reader can read multiple tags within its transmission field, but must use an anti-collision scheme to avoid signal interferences. Readers can be fixed, at portals or at storage area, or they can be mobile, on handheld devices or on vehicles. The software: Savant, ONS and PML - Linking the EPC network All information transmitted by readers must be processed before being routed to application systems. First, a software technology called "Savant" controls, filters and transmits data. Second, the Object Name Service (ONS) locates where information is stored for a specific EPC. Third, the Physical Markup Language (PML) is used to convey information through the Internet all over the EPC network and stores files in dedicated servers (Singer, 2003). 13 The Savant manages the flow of information: it performs data capture, data monitoring and filtering and data transmission. Networked Savants react to the EPC values communicated to the tag readers, and act as gateways to local networks, devices, data storage and inference engines. The savant systems are deployed in a hierarchical, distributed framework, well suited for business application. It may, for example, provide accurate real-time information to corporate ERP systems (Engels et al, 2002). ONS indicates where to locate information on the Internet about ay object carrying an EPC, meaning that it gives a web address or Uniform Resource Locator (URL) for every EPC. All information about this EPC resides at this address, in an EPC-IS server (formerly called PML server). The PML language provides the means for the requesting application to retrieve the information. Using the XML principles, PML includes a set of schema describing common aspects of physical objects, like matter, physical properties (mass, volume,...), measurable states (temperature, pressure,...). To get more information, the reader can refer to "Savant Guide" (Goyal, 2003) and "The Physical Markup Language. Core Components: Time and Place", (Brock et al, 2001). 2.1.3 Capabilities and benefits of RFID The capabilities of RFID Before describing the potential benefits of RFID, let us review briefly what RFID systems can perform that other systems (like bar coding) cannot. Sheffi & Mc Farlane (2003) provide an exhaustive summary of the basic capabilities that RFID has compared to barcodes. RFID systems: " Have a continuous and automatic (non-human) capture of data, " Get simultaneous reads of multiple tags, 14 * Do not require line-of-sight, meaning that manual scanning is not required, " Provide a less fragile data support: weather-proof, scratch-proof, dirt-proof, " Can provide the location of an object, " When coupled with EPC system, allow to have a unique identification for any single object. The generic benefits of RFID These basic capabilities can benefit many processes within a company or an extended network of companies. In this section, we describe the common benefits that RFID can provide, without detailing them process by process, which will be addressed later in the chapter. The most frequently cited benefits can be categorized as follows: * Higher visibility " Better accuracy * Labor costs reduction " Increased speed " Shrinkage reduction Higher Visibility - By being provided with a continuous flow of data, stakeholders have real-time and up-to-date information at their disposal and have a subsequent visibility all along the supply chain. This means more effective tracking and improved traceability. This also should indirectly lead to a better accountability of the data transmitted from one entity to another. The availability of information does not necessarily mean sharing it. However, information sharing, by facilitating communication between entities, inside or outside a company, is viewed as one of the most promising uses of RFID. "Using RFID to collaborate across enterprise boundaries is an area that holds great opportunity" (Fontanella & Bilodeau, 2003). Better accuracy - Accuracy in data acquisition is a key benefit of RFID. By eliminating human errors in reading an identification (whatever the technology is), RFID improves greatly the quality of data acquired (Singer, 2003). The major impact on 15 operations is the reduction of unexpected events such as misreads or miscounting. It should also lead to a claims reduction, making the whole reconciliation process easier and leaving fewer grounds to dispute. Labor cost reduction - By eliminating manual tasks, such as scanning or counting, as well as by reducing clerical activities, such as data entry or data reconciliation, RFID will eliminate or greatly reduce labor expenses. It should also significantly improve efficiency, leading to a less expensive acquisition of data. "RFID basically eliminates waste and inefficiencies created from process non-compliance" (Fontanella & Bilodeau, 2003). Increased speed - Manual processes cause friction and slow down the flow of goods. Speed may be increased by automating them through RFID. Goods flow faster, thus reducing the order cycle time and allowing faster inventory turns (Dinning & Schuster, 2003). Moreover, RFID may enable earlier detection of discrepancies, which result in saving the precious time that would have been necessary to solve a problem. Shrinkage reduction - Finally, by applying tags on products (at "item level"), visibility, traceability and accuracy in information gathering should reduce shrinkage and theft at every stage of the supply chain. 2.1.4 Impediments to RFID implementation Some technical issues still remain to be addressed and fixed before RFID can be widely adopted. Read problems, due to a wrong tag's antenna orientation or presence of metal or liquid, and interferences with a proliferation of wireless devices are still frequently reported (Sheffi & Mc Farlane, 2003). Interoperability between readers and tags of different vendors and read ranges, which appear to be much shorter than announced by vendors are also not matching user's expectations (Fontanella & Bilodeau, 2003) 16 The impact of the enormous amount of data that will have to be stored, processed and accessed has not been fully addressed by software vendors and future users. RFID should facilitate collaboration between players, notably through information sharing. But a key issue that may arise is the determination of ownership of the data (Sheffi & Mc Farlane, 2003). Finally, one of the most important and visible issue is privacy. Privacy advocates such as CASPIAN (Consumers Against Supermarket Privacy Invasion and Numbering) have issued a position statement on the use of RFID on consumer products (CASPIAN, ACLU, EFF, EPIC, 2003). They respect businesses' interests in tracking products in the supply chain, but emphasize individuals' rights not to be tracked within stores and after products are purchased. Acceptable uses of RFID include the tracking of pharmaceuticals and the tracking of manufactured goods if tags are confined to the outside of product packaging and permanently destroyed before consumers interact with them. Their main concerns are hidden placement of tags (embedded into objects) without knowledge of the buyer, link of unique object's identifier to a purchaser performed at POS, hidden readers (incorporated invisibly in tiles, carpeting, doorways,...), and individual tracking and profiling (e.g., through a tag embedded in a shoe). 2.2 Transportation: overview and challenges 2.2.1 An overview of transportation: basic processes and players The place of transportation in logistics Total logistics cost as a percentage of US GDP (Figure5) has been decreasing for the two last decades, and each of the components of this cost (i.e. inventory related costs, transportation costs and administrative costs) has decreased as well. 17 Cost of Business Logistics in Relation to GDP 18.00% 16.00% - 14.00% 12.00% 10 .00% 8.00% -U-Inventory carrying costs Transportation costs -+- Administrative costs f-I 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% -oo C) 00) M) 00 Figure 5 00 C) M) - 00) ) Source: m C) 14 M M) M O M) M M Total logistics costs C) M C > " Annual State of Logistics Report - Delaney & Wilson (2003) However, as shown in Figure 6, the relative weight of transportation costs in the total logistics cost has constantly increased during the last twenty years. Transportation costs grew more than other costs during this period, mainly due to JIT trends that tend to drastically reduce inventory, resulting in a decrease in carrying costs as well as an increase in transportation costs due to more frequent replenishment (Frazelle, 2002). 1982 1992 2002 3.85% 3.77% 3.80% -. 37.26% 449.37% 58 46.84% 96 63.412 * Inventory carrying costs *Transportation costs U Inventory carrying costs U Inventory carrying costs UTransportation costs E Transportation costs O Administrative costs OAdministrative D Administrative costs Figure 6 - Source: 1 4 th costs Annual State of Logistics Report - Delaney & Wilson (2003) In the literature, it is extensively claimed that RFID should help to reduce even more inventory costs, thanks to better visibility and to streamlined operations in warehouses. The impact of RFID on transportation costs is not expected to be as high as it is in inventory, but some savings should be attained through a reduction of expedited shipments and a better utilization of assets. Administrative costs should also decrease, but the gross reduction should be very small with respect to the total logistics cost. We will more extensively address the impacts of RFID and the related benefits and savings later in the chapter. 18 The players In a basic and typical transportation transaction, a shipper pays a carrierto transport cargo from an origin to a destination, where the consignee receives the cargo. The document describing and contracting the movement of the goods is called a Bill Of Lading (BOL). In the trucking industry, the carrier could be a parcelcarrier (UPS, Fedex), a less-than-truckload(LTL) trucking company (Yellow, Overnite, Roadway), a full-truckload (TL) trucking company (JB Hunt, Werner). Carriers may also be ocean liners, railroad companies and air carriers. Finally, shippers and consignees may operate their own privatefleet (Frazelle, 2002). We will focus here only on for-hire TL and LTL carriers processes. As shown in Figure 7 and 8, TL carriers manage relatively simple operations, with very few break loads. A full truckload may be constituted by shipments from several shippers and/or for several consignees, but generally, their number does not exceed three entities. One of the main challenges for TL carriers is to find backhauls, especially when they operate spot contracts. Line haul P osge TL Carrier - Point-to-Point Figure 7 Consgee 2 Shipper 2 haul Pc-pLine 0osge C3~ Shipper3 TL Carrier - Deliery Cnin e ~ ~ Multi Stop Figure8 LTL carriers have to manage much more complex operations to carry smaller shipments from one shipper to one consignee, as illustrated in Figure 9. Transportation is segmented in several parts, each having its own resources and constraints. The multiple break loads make the routing and tracking of the goods more subject to errors than for TL carriers. However, these carriers follow regular routes, and the planning of capacity and 19 backhaul may be simpler than for TL carriers. As LTL operations are likely to present more opportunities for using RFID than TL operations , we describe in the section below some of their key specificities. 4 3 Em L Shuttle Line haul Shuttle De er LTL Carrier Figure 9 Specificities and challenges faced by the LTL Carriers LTL carriers can be divided into regional carriers and long-haul carriers. The regional LTL carriers cover up to 1000 miles and offer an overnight or a two-day service. They focus primarily on service and are required to be highly reliable. The biggest challenge they face is that they have so little time to move a shipment that they have to make decisions very quickly. The long-haul LTL carriers cover 1000 to 3000 miles and can deliver in from two to five days. They focus on cost, with an acceptable level of service. They can take advantage of day-to-day variation to fill the trailers to different destination as opportunities arise (Powell, 2002). Speed is critical for LTL carriers. They must develop abilities to respond quickly to changing requirements (Bradley, 2004). For this reason, and also because of the extreme variability of shipment size, planning LTL activities is not an easy exercise. Contrary to TL carriers, which handle full loads, and to parcel carriers, which handle almost exclusively very small shipments, LTL carriers must deal with considerably more variability in the day-to-day flows. They also have to build separate planning for pickup and delivery operations and for line haul operations (Powell, 2002). Tracking is essential for LTL carriers because of its shipments' tortuous path, punctuated with many break loads. Reducing the number of blind spots reduces the inventory; it is achieved by getting real-time information (Frazelle, 2002). A "waybill" is created at the 20 first terminal for each shipment and follows the shipment up, from this point to the last terminal, where a delivery receipt is generated for the last section to the final customer. This waybill, generally materialized by a bar code, is critical to track the shipment. Systematic bar code scanning at terminals is a must, as it allows carriers to know exactly when a shipment was pulled from one trailer and loaded to another one. On the other hand, as they follow fixed routes between their terminals, on-board vehicle tracking is less necessary for them than for TL carriers (Powell, 2002). 2.2.2 Transportation management Transportation management covers a wide range of activities, from strategic decisions to execution tasks. We will not here describe the strategic questions such as network design, nor the tactical transportation modeling tasks like mode choice and routing options, nor transportation procurement. We rather focus on activities going from medium and short-term transportation planning to execution and monitoring to reconciliation. Our main sources are Frazelle (2002) and the model developed by the VICS CTM sub-committee (2004). As seen earlier, the three players are the shipper (vendor), the consignee (customer) and the carrier. The relationship with the carrier may be led by either the vendor or the consignee, depending on the freight term ("prepaid" if led by the vendor, "collect" if led by the customer). We use the term proposed in the VICS CTM white paper (2004): "owner of carrier relationship" (In this thesis, we assume that the owner of carrier relationship is the shipper, as it is more frequently the case). Product order fulfillment "end-to-end process" is schematically represented in Figure 10, from forecast to delivery, through planning, transportation and reconciliation. The diagram presents the respective roles of the three players and their exchanges, in chronological order. Note that a distinction has been made between the corporate and the operational level functions for the vendor and the customer. 21 END-TO-END PROCESS Schedule -0 L) 0 > ~ o Retailer sales history cc Update / Use DC inventory Replenish DC Forecast orders & shipments planning Bidshipment, pa TAT) Plan picking waves Ship orders Create supy oDCe' shimn Cripmen caaFir T Consumer E Fulfill orders C SaDs 0 PO 06 _9Soe Psodr FORECAST &oecs Insdodsre DC stre C ~ecve PLAN EXECUTE Trac Shipments Concerns all tasks involved in the execution process Figure 10 From product order forecast to shipment forecast The first task is to convert a product order forecast into a shipment forecast. Having a product order forecast, the owner of the carrier relationship aggregates the product orders on different horizons (day, week, month,...) and builds planned shipments. Depending on the relationships with its carriers, it may assign shipments and send them the shipment forecasts. Carriers have then the possibility to compare shipment forecast with their planned capacity and to identify discrepancies, and may update their capacity planning. The two players then resolve the shipment forecast exceptions. Shipment consolidation and carrier selection: building the transportation plan When the owner of the carrier relationship gets the firm orders, it creates shipments from these orders and assigns them to containers trying to maximize their utilization. Shipments are then tendered, and carriers are chosen. Appointments are scheduled with shipper and consignee, allowing resources to be allocated for shipping and receiving. 22 Transportation execution, tracking and reconciliation Products are shipped, and shipment documentation and Advanced Shipment Notice (ASN) are generated by the shipper. The carrier must be able to track the shipment and to provide some visibility to the owner of carrier relationship, for him to monitor the status of shipment. The carrier invoices the owner of carrier relationship. Freight invoices are audited and paid. 2.2.3 Collaborative Transportation Management Introduction to CPFR Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR) is one form of collaboration between trading partners' supply chains. The main objective of CPFR is to better align supply and demand through trading partners' data interchange, exception-based management, and structured collaboration to eliminate issues and constraints in fulfilling customer expectations. The benefits of CPFR are clear. CPFR not only helps to realize cost savings, but more importantly, by developing new efficiencies, it helps companies to maintain or gain a competitive advantage. The goal of CPFR is to change the relationship paradigm and create significantly more accurate information that can drive the value chain to greater sales and profits (VICS, 2002). An extension of CPFR: Collaborative Transportation Management In 2000, the Voluntary Inter-industry Commerce Standards Association (VICS) committee - a non-profit organization that takes a global leadership role in the improvement of the flow of product and information throughout the entire supply chain recognized transportation as the "the missing link" of CPFR. Collaborative Transportation Management (CTM) is thus a new extension of CPFR (Russell, 2002; Sutherland, 2003a). 23 CPFR results in a more accurate forecast, and is a win-win relationship between suppliers and retailers. By including carriers in the collaboration process and by converting the order forecast developed via CPFR into a shipment forecast, CTM extends CPFR to a win-win-win relationship between suppliers, carriers and retailers (Esper, 2003). Actually, the concurrent use of these two collaboration practices should ease the convergence of companies' planning and execution processes (Browning, 2000). In short, we can say that "CTM reduces transit time and inventory carrying cost for retailers and its suppliers, while increasing asset utilization for carriers" (Cooke, 2000). One of the main reasons for keeping a high level of inventory is to protect against uncertainties. Better visibility and more information sharing contributes to lower uncertainties, and will help to reduce inventory. It also helps to get more accurate inventory and in-transit information, which will ultimately lead to a reduction of the variance between order forecast and final order generation, resulting in a better planning of capacities for carriers (Browning, 2000). Cross-functional benefits of CTM One of the most promising benefits of CTM is to provide a better visibility that would allow a more efficient tracking of freight in the supply chain, and consequently improve service level (less stock-outs) and on-time performance (Karolefski, 2002). A better tracking should also permit an easier and faster processing of claims, leading to a reduction of related administrative costs (Esper, 2003). Another benefit of CTM is the cycle time reduction. By reducing the loading and unloading time, by implementing more efficient cross-docking operations, by loading trailers directly, bypassing the staging phase, the replenishment lead time will diminish, leading to a decrease in safety stocks (Esper, 2003). It should be mentioned that, if CTM enables more efficient cross-docking, loading and unloading operations, the coordination of the flow of inbound and outbound shipments 24 requires a pinpoint planning of a number of variables. CTM is also an opportunity to secure comprehensive and useful documentation (Urbanski, 2002). Benefits for retailers For retailers, CTM improves end-customer satisfaction through more perfect orders from the vendor. It thus may also increase its revenue, thanks to a better on-shelf availability (Karolefski, 2002). For example, the Wal-Mart - P&G - JB Hunt 2000 pilot test demonstrated that the early obtaining of forecasted shipping information helps to secure the right amount of capacity for a specific location, and therefore helps to meet retailers' service needs. Finally, lead time variability is also expected to decrease, which should improve reliability of delivery (VICS, 2001; Russell, 2002). Benefits for vendors A better forecast and more information allowed P&G to avoid premium freight costs (VICS, 2001). In another CTM pilot, Best Buy asserted that better communication with carriers led to a 20% reduction in administrative costs, that on-time performance rates rose by 35%, and that it lowered its freight costs due to new opportunities to consolidate LTL into TL freight (Field, 2004). Benefits for carriers By better communicating on shipment forecast and shipper's and receiver's docks' availability, empty backhauls and dwell time can be significantly reduced, allowing transportation costs to decrease (Karolefski, 2002). According to a 2003 VICS/CPFR presentation, waiting time per driver to load and unload shipments reaches 33.5 hours each week! The same source cites a 15% improvement in percentage of deadhead miles and a 15% reduction in dwell time (Sutherland, 2003a). We find these results (too) exceptionally good; the way they were obtained have not been detailed Longer windows of visibility would also permit carriers to plan further ahead and reduce empty miles, leading to an increase of asset utilization (Karolefski, 2002). Moreover, if advance notices are longer, carriers may have more time to find other loads to 25 consolidate, resulting also in a better utilization of assets (Field, 2004). This has been confirmed by the pilot test in 2000, when JB Hunt saw some opportunities to better plan and maximize its assets (VICS, 2001; Russell, 2002). Various other tests have brought encouraging results. Autozone, the largest US auto parts retailer, reported a 33% improvement of truck-fill rate. In another pilot, Best Buy took the responsibility of transportation to its facilities (passing from "prepaid" term to "collect" term) and decided to share key information about forecasts with its carriers and suppliers. Best Buy then saw over-the-road driver turnover improved by 15%, "days onhand" inventory passed from 12.3 to 6.5 days, on-time performance from 32% to 65% of deliveries, and average lead time from 19 to 17 days (Field, 2004). The role of technology What makes CTM technically possible is technology, which permits instant and cheap communication, and devices that gather information such as on-board computers, cell phones and all other devices that get real-time status (Field, 2004). The merging of common technologies such as Global Positioning System (GPS) and bar code (and soon RFID tags) make deft management of freight possible, with the help of some softwarebased decision aids, feeding with real time information. The need for such digital aids are clear to retailers (Urbanski, 2002). The future of CTM Some important questions remain to be more thoroughly addressed: how can companies leverage the investments? how can the value created by the different players actually be shared? Some resistance may have been perceived against CTM, but events such as the new rules governing truckers' hours of service are an opportunity to turn the tide against this resistance. The fact is that CTM is still a work in progress (Sutherland, 2003b). But one may reasonably be optimistic, as more and more major companies use CPFR and should see CTM as a continuation of that process (Karolefski, 2002). 26 We can conclude this overview of CTM with this citation, which is of particular interest in our study: "The collaborative piece is all information. Getting the right information its accuracy and timeliness - and integrating it correctly has been the Achilles' heel of CTM" (Karolefski, 2002). 2.3 RFID and Transportation RFID, enabler of process changes As is the case with many new technologies, it is important to point out that RFID will not be the magic bullet that will solve all problems related with long lead times, lack of visibility or inaccurate information. RFID will not cure a bad business process, and will deliver value only when applied to well defined and controlled business processes (Fontanella & Bilodeau, 2003). Every player should be prepared to make process changes to accommodate the technology and take advantage of its key benefits (Kinsella, 2003). A major CPG retailer has recently said that in order to maximize the benefit of RFID, extensive rework has to be done with internal operational processes. It considers this one of its biggest challenges, but also one of the most rewarding (Fontanella, 2003). 2.3.1 Benefits of RFID for transportation In the sections below, we describe the major benefits of RFID within the transportation process that have been identified so far. The processes we examine are: " Pick-up at shipper's " Movement of goods: line haul and shuttle operations, pick-up and delivery cycles * Delivery at consignee's * Consolidation / cross-docking at end-of-line and break-bulk terminals 27 LnhalConsignee Shipper TL Carrier - Point-to-Point Consignee 2 Shipper 2 Pck-up Shipper 3 Line haul Consign e 1 Delivery Con signee 3 Shipper 1 TL Carrier - Pick-up and/or Delivery cycles 4e Pk-p EOL cycle tr Shuttle Line haul Shuttle EOL a natr Dlvr cycle LTL Carrier Figure 11 In Figure 11, we have highlighted, with dots and bold frames and arrows, the different components of the transportation process. We should note that the number of tasks impacted in a single transportation operation is particularly high for a LTL carrier. Pick-up process The main benefit identified in the pick-up operation is the suppression of systematic verification, and all that this entails: less labor, better accuracy, higher speed, both for the carrier and the shipper. As Dinning points out, manual counting and verification is purely an error reduction process that adds no value. With RFID technology, products can be instantly checked to ensure that shipment has the right products at the right quantities (Dinning & Schuster, 2003). An immediate effect is a significant verification cost reduction for the shipper, as it may eliminate the need for the shipper's auditors and loaders (as loading can be made directly by the order picker, suppressing the need for staging) and precious time saving for the driver. The sending of Advanced Shipment Notices (ASNs) is much simplified, and 28 documents are created with fewer errors, which may critically help shipping the "perfect order" and increase the order fill rate (Alexander et aL., 2002). Some more subtle improvements are made possible by using RFID technology. Having at one's disposal real-time information on loaded trailers, shippers may exchange the content of these trailers when waiting for carriers if priorities change (Sheffi & Mc Farlane, 2003). Late orders and emergency shipments may also be handled more efficiently (McFarlane & Sheffi, 2003). Delivery process Benefits at delivery are not very different from those listed for pick-up, as they involve almost the same players and the same tasks performed in reversed. Manual verification is eliminated, the consignee automatically checking the data captured and transmitted at shipping. Moreover, a electronic Proof-of-Delivery can be obtained by reading a shipment's tags through a portal when unloading it (Sheffi & Mc Farlane, 2003). Delivery / receiving is often cited as the operation that can benefit the most from RFID. In particular, case receiving would benefit much more than pallet receiving as all cases can be simultaneously read, even if they are "hidden" in the interior of a pallet (Singer, 2003). More advanced benefits include automatic detection of item shortage, wrong item, wrong quantity or wrong location, which may be valuable inputs for the Supply Chain Event Management (SCEM) process aimed at reacting and making decisions when specific events and variations are detected (McFarlane & Sheffi, 2003). Transportation process Through increased visibility, RFID may first enable a better operational efficiency. Automatic generation of Bill Of Lading (BOL) will provide a carrier with shipment content and let him know exactly what he has picked up. Notifying downstream locations of these inbound shipments will allow a consignee to access quickly the actual 29 shipment, verify it against purchase orders and send an alert in case of mismatches missing goods, excess goods - allowing the problem to be addressed earlier, and potentially suppressing extra trips (Boushka et al., 2002). RFID should also enable management of events and variations in transportation, by anticipating delays (when detected at shipping), identifying misrouted packages, diverting a trailer at the last minute (McFarlane & Sheffi, 2003). Claim processing should greatly benefit from RFID technology and the accuracy it provides. Automatic BOL, invoice and Proof Of Delivery, directly generated by physical movement of goods, will minimize human error and interpretation. Less time and effort will be spent in reconciliation, leading to a reduction of both charge-backs and claim processing costs (AT Kearney, 2003). Carriers will be able to track and trace the assets and the detention and demurrage. The reduction of the "invisibility" of their assets should allow them to better plan their capacity and enhance asset utilization and productivity (Chappell et al., 2002). Finally, financial management may also be facilitated, a coherence between documentation and physical movements being ensured thanks to automatic generation of invoice for freight in accordance with the BOL. The compliance of pricing to contract will be easier to verify as invoices, based on shipping information, will be very accurate (Boushka et al., 2002). Consolidation process As Fontanella points out, process steps that create an interrupted flow because of manual scanning and data entry at each step are the prime targets for RFID technology (Fontanella &Bilodeau, 2003a). As seen in Figure 10, LTL carriers constantly transfer goods from one point to another to go from the shipper to the consignee. Almost each point involves counting and documentation tasks, which cause "friction", slowing down the flow of goods (Dinning & Schuster, 2003). Speeding these tasks will reduce cost, 30 benefit vehicles waiting to be processed, reduce driver wait time and lead to a better utilization of vehicles (Boushka et al., 2002). Moreover, goods are staged with other parties' items before being reloaded on a truck. This constitutes one of the major sources of error, with the constant risk of goods left behind or loaded onto the wrong truck, leading to lost inventory and late and incorrect deliveries. By continuously providing visibility on goods that sit on a dock, RFID technology will reduce these errors. For those that could not be avoided, the data captured and stored at each point of the supply chain should significantly ease the reconciliation of disputes (Dinning & Schuster, 2003). The real-time availability of data about all merchandise present in a terminal will allow the operator to alert consignees of the status of each case in the hub (Singer, 2003), and further, it will increase visibility of drop shipments. 2.3.2 Positive impacts of other RFID-enabled processes on transportation Our discussion so far has concerned the benefits that could be attained within the extended transportation process, i.e. including pick-up, delivery and consolidation operations. In what follows, we present the benefits that RFID can bring to upstream processes and that may indirectly benefit transportation. Demand planning can greatly benefit from RFID. On the supply side, having a precise knowledge of what is on hand gives a more accurate base for replenishment. On the demand side, sales (POS) and shrinkage can be captured, making the projection of demand more accurate, and leading to better in-stock position, less out-of-stocks and less average inventory, increasing sales while decreasing inventory cost. (Kambil & Brooks, 2002). 31 The use of RFID in the warehouse will have some beneficial effect on transportation as it will improve the accuracy of its inputs. For example, RFID will enable continuous inventory count, which, in addition to suppressing time cycle-counting or wall-to-wall inventories, will give an exact picture of inventory at every stage. RFID will also provide the ability to verify putaways, replenishments, picks, counts. These capabilities will reduce erroneous putaways and mis-picks and allow for error correction before the final step of shipping (Alexander et aL., 2002; Singer, 2003). 2.3.3 Positive impacts of RFID-enabled transportation on other processes RFID used in transportation can also profit downstream processes. If, by speeding several intermediary tasks within the transportation process, RFID can decrease the total transportation lead-time and then contribute to a decrease in the order lead time between the vendor and the customer, safety stocks should also decrease at every echelon, as it is directly related to lead time. (Chappell et aL., 2002) By knowing perfectly what has been sent, a vendor or a intermediary terminal can notify a downstream location of the exact content they will receive, allowing them to better manage their personnel and their equipment to handle fluctuations (Boushka et aL., 2002). 2.4 Assessment of current knowledge 2.4.1 What is covered, what is missing or poorly documented? As mentioned at the very beginning of this chapter, articles, white papers and reports have been abundant, particularly in the last two years, dealing with many aspects: technical, business, financial, sociological, etc... 32 The most covered area is the technical one. We must cite the clear and thorough papers published by the Auto ID Center, which address numerous questions and have constituted a valuable source of information. This field has also been treated by many IT vendors or consulting firms, and by the specialized press. By contrast, the financial side is certainly least well documented, due to the fact that costs (tags, equipment) are far from being stabilized, and that gains are very difficult to assess. The impacts of RFID on business has been quite well documented too on most areas of the supply chain, mainly by consulting firms. Academics' production on the subject is not very developed yet. The business press has well covered RFID, but could not go very far due to a lack of tangible examples. All in all, capabilities and benefits are extensively described, and every reader interested in the subject can have a clear view of the potential the technology presents. As most papers have not gone much further than a list of expected benefits, the impact that RFID will have on current business processes have been rarely addressed, nor have the concrete ways to integrate the technology into these processes in order to achieve the promised benefits been well described. While we may assume that many pilots are currently being led, very few results have been disclosed and presented yet. RFID and transportation Some functions, like warehousing and demand planning, are well covered. Store operations and manufacturing have also been described, but with fewer details. Transportation is often briefly cited, mainly because its strategic situation between the two ends of the supply chain, the shipper and the receiver. As a result, the shipping and receiving parts of the process are quite well described. Many papers assert that functions that should be the best impacted by RFID in transportation are asset management and yard management. However, these functions are, in a certain sense, disconnected from the other components of the supply chain, first because they concern only one player, the carrier, and second, because these functions use active tags whereas most other logistics 33 processes use passive tags: there is only a distant link between them from a "RFID point of view" Yet, if we remain in the "passive tag world", the potential value that RFID can generate within the transportation process itself, as well as in upstream and downstream processes, deserves a deeper analysis in many respects. We list some possible further investigations in the next section. 2.4.2 What is worthy offurther investment? Again, theoretical capabilities of RFID in transportation have been well described, from visibility, to accuracy, to speed, to automation and so on. The expected benefits - better service to customer, less labor, fewer claims, more flexibility, better financial management,... - have similarly received considerable treatment. However, we find that a few aspects and subjects have been overlooked, or at least, have not been given sufficient attention. We list below some that we will try to address in the core part of this thesis. 1. More attention has been given to physical operations than to planning or to reconciliation 2. Transportation has been considered as a homogeneous field, rather than an area composed of different type of carriers (TL, LTL), or players of different sizes 3. Benefits have been described from a "holistic point of view" rather than player by player, making it difficult to assess the value of RFID for each player 4. The organizational implications have been rarely analyzed, or, if they have been, it has not been very thoroughly performed 5. Finally, some areas have not been very well studied; we may cite impacts of lead time reduction, asset utilization, driver's productivity, etc... 34 We briefly describe below what we intend to do to address these points. 1. Analysis of all transportation operations Our first task will be to make an "extended" transportation process mapping. It will go from forecasting transportation, to planning, to execution of physical and administrative operations, to reconciliation. We have a sense that the main part will be dedicated to execution, but we are willing to see how RFID could directly or indirectly benefit the other processes. 2. Distinction between TL and L TL operations We do not assert even before having made any analysis that the results should be very different for TL and LTL carriers in their use of RFID technology. However, as it is clear that their operations are quite different, in terms of organizations, materials, constraints, customers, etc..., it should not be surprising that RFID could apply in different ways, have different prerequisites and bring different benefits to these two different types of carriers. 3. Analysis of the value of RFID for the various players involved in transportation The players we cite here are those which "use" transportation, from the point of origin to the point of destination: the shippers (we will also often call them "vendors"), the carriers, and the consignees (often called "customers"). Actually, we will try to separate, for each RFID application we will identify, who invests in RFID and who benefits from the investment, in order to assess the value of RFID for each player. We will not do it in a rigorous quantitative way as we did not have the resources nor the time to do so, but we will try to give a general evaluation of these RFID values. 35 4. Organizational implications of RFID implementation on the players This theme has been mentioned several times in our literature review, in particular through Collaborative Transportation Management (CTM). However, it is not clear to us to what extent RFID will be an enabler for the development of CTM, or whether, on the contrary, the full benefits of using RFID will not be highly dependant of a better collaboration between players. In other words, will it be possible to implement RFID in the transportation world only if we can achieve a better collaboration between shippers, carriers and consignees. 5. Other issues We will try to address here various subjects. It has often been mentioned, for example, that lead times and lead time variability reduction should have many impacts, from safety stock reduction to better use of assets to enhanced driver's productivity. We will try to go further than what we may have found on these subjects to assess to what extent these assumptions are justified. 36 3 METHODOLOGY 3.1 Information collection Information has been mainly collected through literature (see previous chapter). We have also taken advantage of our past professional experience in logistics and transportation. Finally, we have also worked closely with a few companies that gave us some very valuable information. For confidentiality reasons, we will not cite their names. However, we may specify which kind of company it was: " A major CPG manufacturer (3 interviews, 1 field visit) " A major and a mid-size retailer (3 interviews, 3 field visits) " A major LTL carrier (2 interviews, 1 field visit) 3.2 Process analysis We will present in the first section of chapter 4 the scope of the research and how we have divided it up; each process will be analyzed following this "analysis road map": 1. Mapping of the current process ("As-Is") 2. Main issues we have to cope with 3. Identification of problems' causes 4. RFID capabilities that can address the problems 5. Mapping the RFID-enabled process ("To-Be") 6. Main changes or improvements The following methodologies were used to perform these analyses: " Process mapping: current process ("As-Is") and RFID-enabled process ("To-Be") * [. Cause and effect diagram (also called: Ishikawa diagram and fishbone analysis). [1] Precious information and guidance have been provided by the following resources: "Process innovation", by Davenport (1993) and "Business process change", by Grover and Kettinger (1995). 37 3.3 Evaluation of new processes Each process is then assessed, following these steps: 1. Expected benefits of RFID implementation 2. Assumptions and prerequisites (technical; financial; organizational) 3. Estimation of the value of proposed changes 4. Evaluation of the changes 3.4 Methods and approaches used We further measure the impact of lead time and lead time variability reduction on safety stocks. We present below the method we will use: " Relationship between replenishment lead time and safety stock level * Relationship between lead time variability and safety stock level * Limitations of these approaches 3.4.1 Relationship between replenishment lead time and safety stock level The safety stock is the amount of inventory that is kept to protect against the deviations from average demand during the replenishment lead time (Simchi-Levi et aL., 2003). The quantity is calculated as follows: - Safety stock = z * *Y - (1) Where: " z = "safety factor"; it is chosen from statistical tables, and corresponds to the service level (i.e. the probability of not stocking out during the replenishment lead time) that we wish to reach * T = standard deviation of the demand, that characterizes demand variability * L = replenishment lead time 38 We may infer from (1) that for a given demand variability and a given service level, the safety stock depends only on the lead time, and most precisely is proportional to the square root of the replenishment lead time. For example, if we want to have a 96% service level, which corresponds to z= 1.75 assuming a normal distribution, and if the demand is 100/day, with a variability 7 = 20, then the safety stock will be proportional to 35* JT. Consequently, if the lead time is one day, the safety stock is 35, whereas it is 50 with a lead time of two days. 3.4.2 Relationship between lead time variability and safety stock level Most of the time, it appears that the lead time itself may be subject to great variations. The classical example is in ocean transportation, where bad weather conditions may have a strong effect on total transit time. In road transportation, events like delays at loading or unloading, road works, traffic jams or truck breakdown have the same effect. If we assume that demand at any time is normally distributed, with average demand during lead time g and standard deviation of the demand (, and that lead time also follows a normal distribution, with average replenishment lead time L and standard deviation of the lead time SL, then it has been shown that the standard deviation of demand during lead time is (L*2 + p2 *S 2 ) (Nahmias, 2001). Strictly following the assumptions above, and considering the safety factor z, we can express the safety stock as follows (Simchi-Levi et al., 2003): - Safety stock = z * 1(L*&2 + g2*L 2 ) (2) When using this model later in the research, we will not go into such details (that is, we will not consider all these parameters at the same time). In particular, we will not calculate the safety stock considering different average demands and demand variability. 39 However, in order to take these two variables into account, we use the coefficient of variation, which is the ratio between the demand standard deviation and the average demand (cv = a/g). Using the coefficient of variation, we can quantify the safety stock as follows: - Safety stock z* * (L + (SL2 / cv 2 )) (3) We can infer from this formula that decreasing lead time will mechanically decrease safety stock. If we reduce the lead time variability, the effect will also be a reduction of the safety stock. Finally, if we can reduce both lead time and lead time variability, the safety stock reduction should be even more significant. 3.4.3 Restrictions to the use of these approaches Chopra et aL. (2004) reminds us that the validity of this approach depends to a great extent on the assumption that the demand during lead time (a) is normally distributed. Their analysis indicates that this approach cannot be used all the time. In particular, they demonstrate that for service levels situated between 50% and a certain threshold (they chose a 70% threshold), the prescriptions of the normal approximation are flawed, and that in fact, reducing lead time variability increases the required safety stock. For a service level of 95%, however, using the prescriptions of the normal approximation is correct. The problem is that in most cases, companies' managers think that they operate at a service level of at least 95%, when in fact they have a Fill Rate of 95% (the proportion of demand that is met from stock), which is very different. Actually, their service level is comprised between 50% and 70% (which corresponds to a fill rate of 95-99%). So, contrary to what has been stated in the previous section, reducing lead time variability does not necessarily have a greater impact than simply reducing lead time. However, 40 Chopra et al. conclude their study by the two following remarks: First, it makes sense to use the demand normal approximation if the lead time follows a normal distribution, but it absolutely does not if it follows a distribution closer to the gamma. Second, the flaws are less pronounced if the coefficient of variation of the demand is low. As a result, in our research, we will have chosen to study the impact of the lead time reduction, and when studying the effect of lead time variability reduction, we will consider only low coefficients of variation. 41 RESEARCH: INVESTIGATIONS AND RESULTS 4 Scope and approach 4.1 A "process-by-process" study Simplifying the chart presented in Figure 10, we can represent the transportation process as follows (see Figure 12). We have divided up the whole process into four processes: Forecast, Plan, Execute and Reconcile. "Track" can be considered as a part of the "Execute" process, as tracking is present in any of the execution elementary tasks. I SIMPLIFIED REPRESENTATION OF TRANSPORTATION PROCESS plan (TL/LTL) CD 0 0. Forecast orders Forecast shipments process final orders 0 Sh ments capacity E E 00 CL =0. M L_ Forecast orders Create 'final orders orders FORECAST EXECUTE PLAN Concerns all Tra Tracein Shipments tasks involved the execution process Figure 12 Distinction by type of carrier This research focuses on TL and LTL carriers' processes. As mentioned in Chapter 2, TL and LTL operations are different. If transportation management can be quite complex for TL carriers (material positioning, drivers' management, backhauling and deadheading management,...), the point-to-point physical operations are relatively simple to handle. 42 By contrast, LTL physical operations are composed of a succession of stages that must be well coordinated. In particular, routing and tracking of shipments is more complicated, while transportation management (notably assets and personnel management) is relatively simpler for LTL, due to a better regularity of daily operations. Knowing these differences, we will present the processes as follows: " The Forecast and Planning processes described in the next section apply to TL carriers, as these processes are more critical for them than for LTL carriers, whose planning is more or less similar every day. " Execution is quite different for the two types of carriers: the execution process will be analyzed separately for TL and LTL carriers. " Reconciliation process applies more or less identically for TL and LTL carriers. The fundamental principles are the same, although it is more complicated for LTL carriers due to their multiple stages. Approach taken In the sections below, we present a detailed analysis and evaluation of the four processes. For each one, we aim to stick to the following I 0-step template: 1. Mapping of the current process ("AS-IS") 2. Main issues we have to cope with 3. Identification of problems' causes 4. RFID capabilities that can address the problems 5. Mapping the RFID-enabled process ("TO-BE") 6. Main changes or improvements brought by RFID 7. Expected benefits 8. Prerequisites to RFID implementation (technical, financial, organizational) 9. Estimation of the value of proposed changes 10. Evaluation of the changes 43 4.2 From "Forecast" process to "Reconciliation" process 4.2.1 The "Forecastand Plan Transportation "process We discuss here the "Forecast transportation" and "Plan transportation" processes together. These processes have already been briefly described in the "Transportation Management" section in chapter 2. AS-IS "Forecast & Plan Transportation" process mapping "AS-IS" - FORECAST & PLAN TRANSPORTATION Un Sdefine Create shipts by lane, C(TULTL) re s Forecast F FAnsszign li mode blaecrir Convert order reg Set pick-up schedule shipments to one or more carriers n lane volumes h No CD Q Ernsi at FAcceps Chnsemk Yes 0 orders L_ 0 hstory' 4 z1 00 final orders Pon of[ etdeivery na nr 0n PLAN FORECAST Figure 13 Note on the terminology used: "orders" refers to "product orders", passed by the customer to the vendor. The orders passed by a shipper to a carrier to transport products are referred to as "transportation orders", "shipment orders" or simply "shipments". Basically, the process is initiated by the creation of product order forecasts by the "owner of the carrier relationship" (we will consider in this research that it is the shipper/vendor). 44 These forecasts are aggregated, converted into a shipment forecast and transmitted to the carrier. This allows the carrier to have better visibility on its long and medium term activity, and to check its capacity. On the short term, the customer sends firm orders to the vendor. They are aggregated again, and incorporated into TL or LTL shipments. Depending on the lane and/or on contracts that have been passed, the vendor tenders the shipment to one (preferred) or several carriers. Carriers check if they can handle the shipment. In case of negative response, the shipment is tendered to another carrier, and so on until it is awarded. The chosen carrier then contacts both the vendor and the customer to schedule the pick-up and delivery times. Main issues we have to cope with We see in Figure 14 that the feasibility of short term transportation directly stems from the carrier's capacity forecast, itself drawn from the vendor's forecast. We also see that short term shipments received from the vendor are based on actual customer's orders. "AS-IS" - FORECAST & PLAN TRANSPORTATION Craesipts Fiaie I cOby Assign 01w w CL oU wek schedule or Caecar 01 day) Convert order F orders ist eek Set pick-up ents byfnV lane v beso (weeksi (months) No raa caca h by lane (months) consumer E o 0 3 0 salmmme o $ c yln Accept hipme (1day)(1dy smmm.~eneee history (months 3 =0 (_eek_ 03 Sr' inetre PLAN FORECAST I --- ) ) Customer / Vendor forecast & plan path Figure 14 45 Vendor / Carrier forecast & plan path Plan shiprment The dotted line corresponds to the forecast between the customer and the vendor, the continuous line represents the process between the vendor and the carrier. These two different paths merge extremely late in the process. At this particular moment, the carrier has at its disposal a fleet that it had dimensioned according to vendor's forecast, and then receives a firm order from the vendor, that corresponds to actual customer's orders. It is only at this last moment that the carrier is asked to confirm whether or not its capacity will match the shipper's next days' needs. Needless to say, the carrier's ability to react to unexpected fluctuations is not optimum. The consequences are negative for all players: " The shipper is in trouble when confronted with a higher than forecasted demand, as it cannot rely 100% on its usual carrier, and may be led, in the last instance, to resort to an expedited shipment. " The carrier may face two different problems. In case of higher demand (than forecasted), it cannot respond to the shipper's needs, and therefore looses potential revenue. In case of lower demand, it has idle assets which were "reserved" for this shipper, and inherent immobilization costs. " For the customer, the risk of unexpected higher volumes is that the shipper cannot find alternate carriers quickly, leading to possible stock-outs. Such situations are therefore not desirable for any of the players. In order to see if RFID can resolve some of these problems, we list below the main causes of these difficulties in forecast. Identification of problems' main causes The following cause-and-effect diagram lists the root causes of the problem. 46 Materials Manpower Variation of customer demand Coordination between players No rules on information sharing Variation of consumer demand Separate forecast processes Promotions, seasonalities... Different sources infrequent data update information No shared access to data Nof Forecat horizon too long inappropriate forecast parameters Synchronization of information Methods Machines Figure 15 The primary cause of the variation is predictably the variation in customer demand, which may depend on final consumers demand but also on promotions initiated by the customer, or on seasonality. These causes cannot be addressed directly by the carrier, and must be handled by customer and vendor. However, it is critical to inform the carrier about these predictable variations. A second cause may be the use of inappropriate parameters, like length of forecast horizon and level of aggregation. Forecast accuracy is better within a shorter horizon and a higher level of aggregation. The third cause is a weak coordination between players and has been described earlier (the "two parallel paths"). The cause is again organizational, as information sharing between customers and vendors is generally poor. It seems to be even poorer with carriers, at least on a long horizon. The final cause we identify is feeble information synchronization between players. First, data comes from different sources, and not surprisingly leads to different results when processed. Second, even though it comes from different sources, information could be shared, but this is rarely the case, perhaps for reasons of confidentiality. Finally, even when data is shared, the update frequency is low, and players tend to work with old information. 47 This review of poor transportation forecast's root causes shows that it is due to deficient coordination between players and insufficient information sharing. However, even if everyone were inclined to improve these two aspects, the limits both on information homogeneity and current technology would not allow for a high level of data synchronization, nor, consequently, a more efficient joint forecast process. RFID capabilities that can apply to this process One of the main capabilities of RFID is to provide visibility on every tagged object across the extended network of customers and vendors, with high accuracy, and in real time. It seems that it is exactly what would enable an efficient data sharing, and allow the players to exchange on a common base. TO-BE RFID-enabled "Forecast & Plan Transportation" process mapping "TO-BE" - FORECAST & PLAN TRANSPORTATION co Creat d0iemoe &t ipts - 7 S(TLTL) Finalize freight plan by lanelcarrier epikp shdl Assign -- shipments to carrier CL 0retailer L- IX Convert order forecast to lane volumes sales history yrgn No $D ) hipmenh *mmm8iw conser u e Eom 0CL *m a am w gmm Vs sales ent Create final orders 0U 0o eiv"r Sescedue 06 *ge PLAN FORECAST Impacted data exchange New data exchan Figure 16 48 Main changes or improvements RFID-impacted processes include inventory management at Distribution Centers (DCs) of both vendor and customer, and at customer's store's backrooms. Implementing RFID will enable a real time visibility on inventory at these locations. Moreover, and most importantly, RFID-generated data will be at customer's and vendor's disposal, so that everybody has the same level of information. Finally, a strong relationship must be developed between the customer and the vendor in order to fully take advantage of the common data and develop "joint forecast orders". Expected value From a pure "product order" forecast point of view, a joint forecast should allow the vendor to obtain a far better supply planning, with the ultimate goal for the whole channel to better match the demand. Improvements should lead to a reduction of product order forecast variability, which should reflect in shipment forecast variability. From the carrier point of view, less variability in shipment forecast should enable a better capacity planning, for the long term forecast, and a better asset utilization planning for the short term shipments, with these two following direct consequences: " A prevention of truck unavailability, avoiding shipper's dissatisfaction and possible penalties because of missing trucks. * An avoidance of lost sales, preventing the shipper to turn to another carrier. It should also be beneficial for the other players, as the shipper could avoid paying a premium for an expedited shipment, and the customer should avoid a stock-out. Prerequisites Technically speaking, implementing this requires that products be tagged at the source by vendors. However, item level tagging is not mandatory. Case level is sufficient, as we need information only from DCs and stores' backrooms. Readers and appropriate software must be installed at vendors' DCs and at customers' DCs and stores. 49 Financially, the burden is mainly on vendors, with tags' cost and investment in readers and software. Customers must also invest in readers and software. We may note that no investment is required from carriers. It is from an organizational point of view that the challenge seems to be the greatest. First, implementing an efficient RFID network and fully using the newly available information requires that the players broadly agree to share information. Beyond implying only tools and procedures, it necessitates trust and long-term relationship commitment. Second, if information is used not only to forecast product demand, but also shipments, RFID has to be comprehensively implemented by vendors. In other words, a vendor cannot decide to tag some products (i.e. fast-moving or high-value products) and not to tag other ones, as a shipment will be made of both types of products. Evaluation of the changes Our purpose is to briefly evaluate the value for the different players, by summarizing: " Who has to invest in RFID, what is the nature of the investment " Who benefits from the investment, what is the nature of the benefit, is it quantifiable " What is the value for each player in investing and/or using RFID Value Noe Comments Tags at case level Information Better supply planning = avoidance of premium software better service offered (better matching of customer's demand) (comprehensive sharing on tgging), readers, product forecast eaders, Aifware Information sharing on product forecast tagig) redes prdc foecs o investment + for expedited shipments Better demand planning Reduction of risk of = better matching of final stock-out, avoidance of consumer's demand product lost sales High investment, moderate gain +++ Moderate investment, high gain +++ No investment, (bteIacigooeaegi Better visibility on long- Communication of N/A shipment forecast term capacity; better ability to manage assets in the short-term; avoidance of penalties by vendor Carrier and/or shipment lost sales Table 1 50 high gain What is striking here is that investment required by the vendor is quite high while the benefits are rather limited. The value for this player to apply RFID in its forecasting process is not high. By contrast, the benefits generated for the customer are quite high (less stock-out, less lost sales), with a moderate investment. It is even better for the carrier, as it does not need to invest at all and can potentially significantly improve its capacity planning and its short-term asset utilization (we remind the reader that for the forecasting process, we consider only the TL carriers). However, this value generated for customers and carriers leans on the assumption of a perfect information sharing. RFID can technically enable it, but most importantly, what is needed is a collaborative attitude between the three players. We will see later in this research that Collaborative Transportation Management is a way to make this possible. 51 4.2.2 The "Execute Transportation"process - TL carriers This process is composed of shipping, transportation and receiving AS-IS "Execute Transportation" process mapping, for TL carriers "AS-IS" - EXECUTE TRANSPORTATION o Q C Sendntcickup Schedule P0k~ peni shipment, EDI 216 pick-up , Load trailer -- TL CARRIER - Issue ASK BOL &invoice, BOL filed i 0 Carrier 0 orANprdcs)noc or 1 ickNu for Yes aRecive 0 de ED 856 products, Unload trailer Shipment status EDI 214 Check again t -+ 1. & ASN, Establish POD Track I trace shipment OK? Sign BOL with annotations, File PD fil 0 FlPO claim Freight claim EDI 920 Figure 17 After having planned the transportation, the carrier contacts both the shipper and the consignee to schedule the pick-up time and the delivery time. With this information, the truck is dispatched to the shipper, where verification and documentation tasks are performed and goods are loaded. The truck then leaves the facility and goes to the destination point. Once arrived at the destination, goods are unloaded, and verification and documentation tasks are performed by consignee. 52 Main issues we have to cope with As shown in Figure 17, the number of documents handled is quite high (yet, it does not include the Purchase Order, which initiates the whole process). Every document has the specific purpose of describing and recording a transaction between at least two of the three players. For this reason, some information is specific to these two players, while the remaining data is common to the three. Consequently, even before the intervention of any of the players, the primary challenge is to ensure that data is coherent in these various documents. In TL transportation, potential problems principally happen at the two ends, that is during the shipping and the receiving operations, rather than during transportation itself. Counting and verification tasks, which are very error-prone, must moreover be performed at a fast pace. In addition, a number of documentation tasks have to be carefully executed. By contrast, transportation, from a shipment's tracking perspective, is quite simple for TL carriers, as products are not handled until they are unloaded (for carriers, it is sufficient to locate the truck, which is nowadays simple and cheap with GPS). Identification of problems' main causes Materials Manpower IDocumentationi Human errors Spoiled Mis-routing code label Hidden packet Mis-counting Data keying orlabelMis-loading Mis-labelling Not reliable content Documentation No auto-detection tasks complexity Poor management of priorities Sequential reading Shipping & receiving procedures Bar code system Methods Machines Figure 18 Since bar codes have been massively used almost everywhere that goods are handled, problems due to misidentification have been significantly reduced. However, as long as 53 human intervention is needed, and because of some of its inherent limits like sequential and line-of-sight reading, bar-code systems still present some flaws. Figure 18 presents the root-cause analysis for delays and discrepancies within the current system. By far, human errors are the greatest sources of errors: wrong data entry, miscounting and mislabeling of cases and pallets, loading of pallet on a wrong truck. Moreover, the "raw material" necessary to handle these tasks (labels, delivery notes, bills of lading,...) may be damaged and often leaves room for interpretation. In addition, the sequential functioning makes fast work more difficult and more error-prone. Documentation procedures may be complex and time consuming, as they refer to various documents with various formats and information. Errors are easy to make but hard to detect. Procedures that handle exceptions are and will remain complicated, as long as "manual" identification and location of goods are needed. RFID capabilities that can apply to this process RFID technology, can be very useful here, maybe more so than anywhere else. Coming back to its main capabilities - visibility, accuracy and speed - most of the problems we have identified above should be solved by the use of RFID. RFID can acquire automatically the data without keying it, creating errorless documents (ASN, BOL, POD,...), and storing them. It suppresses counting, checks if loading is done on the right trailer, suppresses some labeling. Tasks are performed quickly, leading to a significant time reduction in staging, loading and unloading. Finally, the technology allows for the detection of goods' location and provides time stamps at every (equipped) place and at every moment. 54 TO-BE RFID-enabled "Execute Transportation" process mapping, for TL carriers "TO-BE" - EXECUTE TRANSPORTATION 0 10 0 a)0 C Schedute pCiokup Sn -TL CARRIER iku Sn iku notice EDI 216 a) >0 0 a) Tranap. oEder 0 orI 204 Dispatch ruck for pick-up 4a) ___ 0 0 0 CD E 0 0 *C 0 Schedule delivery 0 * Impacted data exchange Figure 19 Main changes or improvements Obviously, this is one of the most impacted of the four processes. RFID can be used fully here, allowing labor reduction, data accuracy, speeding up and global visibility. Suppressed task Transportabton Figure20 Figure20 shows how RFID capabilities can lead to suppress or improve some tasks. 55 At receiving, as data can be collected automatically when a pallet passes through a portal, the need for scanning shipments' bar codes is eliminated, potentially leading to a suppression of the scanning task. At the same time, the data captured can be compared to what is expected to be received (what has been sent by shipper through an Advanced Shipment Notice - ASN), avoiding manual verification, and reducing the possible mistakes. At shipping, documents such as ASN and Bill Of Lading (BOL) can be automatically generated when trailers are loaded. At the receiving end, data captured at unloading can be compared automatically with the RFID-generated ASN and BOL, and an automatic Proof of Delivery (POD) can be created. Finally, by systematically passing through a portal before being loaded, shipment's destination can be checked, avoiding the goods to be misrouted. Expected value Early detection of loading and routing errors, as well as speeding up of documentation, loading and unloading tasks should allow for a reduction of delayed deliveries. Delays in TL transportation may be a few hours, but also days (if a shipment is mis-loaded, or because of hours of service,...). This may lead to a delivery in two days instead of one, or three instead of two. By reducing delays, the average lead time and the lead-time variability should decrease, allowing shippers and consignees to reduce their safety stocks. The automatic verification and generation of documents at shipping (ASN, BOL, invoice) and at receiving (POD) will reduce auditor and clerk cost, improve accuracy and therefore allow further savings in reconciliation for all players. Elimination of misshipments will result in less need for expedition. Tracking will offer a better service to shippers and consignees, through shorter and more consistent transit times. Finally, automatic generation of documents as well as automatic detection of staging locations will also help to reduce loading, unloading, searching and waiting times for the driver, helping to comply with the new Hours Of Service (HOS) regulations. 56 Prerequisites Basically, the technical prerequisites for using RFID in transportation are no different than in forecast or planning: it requires that products be tagged by the vendor at the case level, and that readers and software be installed by shippers and consignees. Financially speaking, we are in a similar situation, meaning that the burden falls mainly on the shipper, with tags, readers and software, and on the consignee with readers and software. Again, no investment is specifically required from the TL carrier, as there is no break load between the shipping and receiving stages. Organizationally, the prerequisites are quite different from forecasting. Some agreements will also be required between players to share information, and here too, it implies trust and long-term commitment. But whereas implementation had to be comprehensive to be effective in forecasting (at least for carriers), it can be more selective in transportation. Selectivity can be applied at several levels: " Not all of a specific vendor's products necessarily needs to be tagged. The vendor may decide to target only sensitive or expensive items. * Not all "routes" need to be followed: some facilities can be equipped with readers, and others not. For example, only routes from factories to DCs, or from vendor's DCs to customer's DCs can be followed up; or only the Northeastern region can be targeted. " Finally, it may also be selectively implemented with certain customers (for a vendor) or certain vendors (for a customer). Estimation of the value of proposed changes RFID can generate the following value when applied in TL transportation. We will try to quantify the gains for the two first points, and give estimates for the others. 1. Reduction of vendors' and customers' safety stocks 2. Reduction of labor cost, for all players 3. Faster and more regular service offered to vendors and customers 57 4. Help for carriers to better comply with Hours of Service 1. Reduction of vendors' and customers' safety stocks Delays should be reduced thanks to early detection of loading and routing errors, and to the acceleration of several operations, leading to a reduction of average lead time and lead-time variability, then to a reduction of safety stock (see Chapter 3). Approach used to quantify the potential safety stock reduction Assumptions: " If a shipment is delayed, the delay will never be more than one day. For example, if a one-day trip (announced lead time) is delayed, the delivery will be done in two days; for a two-day trip, it will take three days, etc... " Thanks to RFID capabilities, a certain proportion of delayed deliveries will be avoided. For example, instead of delivering 92% of the shipments on time, RFID will permit a 96% on-time delivery performance. Method: * For three different TL transportation lead times (we make the study for a 1, 2 and 3 day lead time), we calculate the corresponding average lead time and the lead time variability, for different values of on-time delivery rate (OTD rate). To do so: o We use a large population of trips: 100 trips/day during 20 days = 2000 trips. o We then fix an OTD rate objective, generate 100 random numbers between 0 and 1, and identify the proportion of trips that are "above the on-time rate": these trips are considered late. o For example: we set a global OTD rate at 96%. We then generate 100 random numbers, and identify which ones are above 0.96 (a table with this example is displayed in Appendix A). For this particular day, 6 trips were late, leading to an OTD rate of 94%. 58 * We repeat this 20 times, running the model as long as we reach the desired average OTD rate on the 20 days. We obtain for each day a specific rate, with a specific lead time and lead time variability. " In our example (see Appendices B), day 1 has an average lead time of 1.03, a variability of 0.171, and an OTD rate of 97%; for day 2, it is 1.06, 0.239 and 94%; for day 3, 1.07, and 0.256 and 93%; etc... Appendices B displays the 20-day average lead time (1.04) and lead time variability (0.189), for a theoretical lead time of 1 day and an OTD rate of 96%. We repeat the same operation for each lead time (1, 2, 3 days), and for OTD rates spanning from 90% to 100%, which correspond more or less to the current range of performance, from the poorest to the best TL carriers. Results are displayed below in Table 2. On-time delivery rate Standard deviation Coefficient of SL variation CVL 1.10 1.08 1.06 1.04 1.02 1.00 0.297 0.268 0.234 0.190 0.125 0.000 27% 25% 22% 18% 12% 0% 2.10 2.08 2.06 2.04 2.02 2.00 0.298 0.269 0.232 0.191 0.123 0.000 14% 13% 11% 9% 6% 0% 3.10 3.08 3.06 3.04 3.02 3.00 0.297 0.267 0.232 0.189 0.125 0.000 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 0% Actual Lead time L TL Lead time 1 day 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% TL Lead time 2 days 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% TL Lead time 3 days 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% Table 2 Effect of lead time reduction on the safety stock As shown in chapter 3, the safety stock is equal to z*T* .[ (z= safety factor, a-= standard deviation of demand, L = lead time). For given demand variability and service level, the safety stock is proportional to the square root of the lead time. 59 I Actual Lead time L On-time delivery rate r Safety stock Safpotetia Safety stock reduction de to transportation lead time reduction reduction TL Lead time I day 1.10 90% 1.08 92% 1.06 94% 1.04 96% 1.02 98% 1.00 100% TL Lead time 2 days 2.10 90% 2.08 92% 2.06 94% 2.04 96% 2.02 98% 100% 2.00 TL Lead time 3 days 3.10 90% 3.08 92% 3.06 94% 3.04 96% 3.02 98% 3.00 100% 5.0% 0.0%_ 0.9%_ 1.8%_ 2.8% 3.7% 4.7% 1.05 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.00 4.5% o 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 1.45 1.44 1.44 1.43 1.42 1.41 0.0% 1.76 1.75 1.75 1.74 1.74 1.73 0.0%_ 0.3% 0.6% 1.0%_ 1.3% 1.6% , 2.0% S1.5% 0.5% 1.0%_ 1.4% 1.9%_ 2.4% . 1 .0 % 0.5% 0.0% 4 100% 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% On-time delivery ratio -- -- TL Lead time 2 days --- TL Lead time 1 day TL Lead time 3 days Figure 21 Table 3 Effect of lead time variabilityreduction on the safety stock As shown in chapter 3, when we take into account the variability of the transportation lead time, the safety stock is equal to z* (L*2 + g 2 *SL 2 ) (g - average demand, SL standard deviation of lead time). Using the coefficient of variation of the demand (c.v.demand 7/g), we can quantify the safety stock as z*T*I(L + = (SL 2 given service level, the safety stock is then proportional to (L + (SL 2 / On-time Actuai delivery rate TL Lead time Lead 1 time Lead standard time L (L + (S / CVa)) deviation SL I da _ Safety stock potential 2 (L + (S, / cv )) reduction ay Safety stock potential / 2 Cv Cv 2 )). For a )). I cv )) 2 (L + (S reduction Safety stock potential reduction C__._-_ "100% 1.82 1.70 1.56 0.0% 1.21 1.17 1.13 0.0% 3.0% 6.2% 1.09 1.07 1.06 0.0% 6.7% 14.3% 0.125 1.39 1.19 23.3% 34.7% 1.09 1.04 9.7% 13.7% 1.04 1.02 4.8% 6.6% 1.00 0.000 1.00 45.0% 1.00 17.0% 1.00 90% 2.10 0.298 2.08 0.0% 1.57 0.0% 1.48 0.0% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% 2.08 2.06 2.04 2.02 2.00 0.269 1.97 1.85 1.72 1.55 1.41 5.1% 11.2% 17.3% 25.5% 32.0% 1.54 1.51 1.48 1.44 1.41 1.8% 3.7% 5.6% 7.9% 9.7% 1.47 1.45 1.44 1.43 1.41 0.8% 1.7% 2.6% 3.6% 4.4% 2.30 0.0% 1.86 0.0% 1.79 2.21 4.3% 1.83 1.3% 1.78 2.10 8.9% 13.9% 1.81 1.78 2.6% 4.0% 1.76 1.75 19.8% 24.8% 1.76 1.73 5.5% 6.8% 1.74 1.73 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% 0.297 1.10 1.08 1.06 0.268 0.234 0.190 1.04 1.02 TL Lead time 2 day TL Lead time 3 da 0.123 0.000 _ 90% 3.10 92% 3.08 94% 96% 3.06 98% 100% 0.232 0.191 3.04 3.02 3.00 77 0.125 0.000 1.98 1.85 1.73 Table 4 60 8.3% 100% _ 0.297 0.267 0.232 0.189 1.5% 3.1% 1 0.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% lead time variability reduction, Safety stock reduction due to lead time variability reduction, Safety stock reduction due to lead time variability reduction, cv(demand)=20% cv(demand)=50% cv(demand)=100% Safety stock reduction due to 18.0% 9.0%- 16.0% C 0 .0 8.0%_ 14.0% 0/7.0% 12.0% C6.0% 10.0% 5.0% 4.0%- 8.0%_- 3.0% 6.0% 5 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%1i 0.0% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% On-time delivery ratio -- TL Lead time 1 day -U-TL Lead time 2 days -4- TL Lead time 3 days -e-TL Lead time 1 day -TL Lead time 2 days -TL Lead time 3 days - 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 1000/ On-time delivery ratio -TL Lead time 1 day -U-TL Lead time 2 days -TL Lead time 3 days Figure 22 Comments On the graphs represented in Figures21 and 22, it is important to note that the "point zero" for the reduction corresponds to an initial OTD rate of 90%. That means that if the situation were initially worse than 90%, the potential safety stock reduction would be greater, whereas it would be smaller if the situation were better than 90%. Examining Table 3 and Figure21, we see that the gain on safety stock due to lead time reduction is not very high, going from a maximum of 1.5% (for a 3-day lead time trip) to 4.5% (for a 1-day trip), when we pass from on OTD rate of 90% to 100%. It seems to be too low to be considered as a strong reason to invest in RFID. If we analyze Table 4 and Figure22, which represents the safety stock reduction due to lead time variability reduction, the results appear to be more promising. We must recall here what has been said in Chapter 3 (Chopra et al., 2004) concerning the validity of the model: 1) the lead time is normally distributed (this is what we assumed), 2) this model applies well for low coefficient of variation (c.v.): in order to be cautious, we will not examine c.v. that are greater than 20%. 61 Under these constraints, we find that the safety stock could potentially be reduced by 25% (if we consider a 3-day trip) up to 45% (if we consider a 1-day trip), if we pass from a 90% OTD rate to a 100% one. Even if we consider that attaining 100% is not likely to occur, because of unpredictable events like severe weather conditions or traffic jams, a 98% OTD rate would lead to 20% (3-day trip) to 35% (1-day trip) reduction of the safety stock, if the current performance is 90%. However, if the current OTD rate is rather around 95% or 96%, which actually is the case now for "good carriers", using RFID in order to pass from a 95-96% to a 98-99% OTD rate would lead to a 10% to 20% safety stock reduction for shippers and consignees. Depending on the goods' value, this gain may be significant (for expensive goods) or, on the contrary, insufficient (for cheap goods), to justify an investment in RFID. 2. Reduction of labor cost In this section, we will consider RFID benefits separately for each player. We will not precisely quantify the gains, as we could find as many different organizations as there are companies in the US. Instead, we will give some qualitative gain or estimated ratios. Labor cost reduction for the shipper / vendor The function that is the most beneficially impacted is the auditor. Auditors are in charge of verifying the shipments either on the staging area or during the loading process. We can consider that this cost will be eventually 100% suppressed. The second labor cost that should greatly benefit from RFID is related to clerical activities. Many documents (ASN, BOL, invoices, POD) should be automatically generated, as data will be directly drawn from the tags and related networked information. Moreover, the resulting documentation should be sent and stored electronically, reducing paper manipulation. As the transition time should be quite long, we cannot expect to reduce the workforce by more than 30 to 50% in the short term. 62 Finally, all the work associated with reconciliation, and more broadly, with customer relationship (including shipment tracking), should also be positively affected. Access to information should be faster and easier, and allow disputes to be solved more quickly. This workforce will not necessarily decrease largely, but the personnel could be assigned to more proactive and value-added tasks in dealing with customers. Labor cost reduction for the customer / consignee We find almost the same sources of labor cost reduction as for shipper, but these reduction may not come from the same functions. It could be for example difficult to suppress 100% auditors at receiving, because there will always be exceptions to handle. However, the verifications at receiving are generally more difficult and time consuming than at shipping, and necessitate more forces. So, even if only 75% of the workforce is suppressed, as opposed to 100% for shippers, the absolute cost eliminated could be higher. Clerk labor cost is less important than for the shipper, as fewer documents are created. Moreover, administrative treatment of received documentation should disappear in the long run. Concerning customer service oriented functions (shipment tracking, reconciliation), benefits should be equivalent to those of shippers. Labor cost reduction for the carrier For the carrier, driver-related costs and support function costs are affected by RFID. If RFID can effectively reduce the loading and unloading time, the driver's productivity will be enhanced. It does not apply however to cases in which the driver comes to drop an empty trailer and hook a filled one. It may apply if RFID can provide information about the presence or readiness of goods (or lack thereof), and may therefore keep the driver from waiting (and to be paid for waiting). In any case, labor savings for drivers, and especially TL drivers, will not be very high, certainly no more than a few percentage points 63 Concerning transportation support functions, RFID should bring the same benefits for the reconciliation tasks that it brings to shippers and consignees. For tracking, RFID should remove a great burden, but it would require a perfect information sharing on the part of vendors and customers. In this case, the tracking function at carriers' should be significantly lightened, far more than a few percentage points. 3. Faster and more regular service offered to vendors and customers We have assumed that RFID can entail a lesser variability in lead time. In addition to potential safety stock reduction, it may also significantly impact shippers and consignees from an organizational point of view. Actually, the work schedule of DCs' and store's backrooms' personnel is often based on shipping and receiving tasks. Delays in pick-ups and deliveries can disorganize these schedules, resulting in useless labor expenses, and probably in a worse level of service, as tasks may then be fulfilled in a hurry or with less personnel. From this point of view, an investment in RFID by shippers and customers, associated with a willingness on their part to share RFID-generated information with carriers should be beneficial from a service point of view to the three players. 4. Help for carriers to better comply with Hours of Service As we noted earlier, by speeding up loading, unloading and documentation tasks, as well as by reducing waiting time, RFID should help drivers to use their available time more effectively and to better comply with new Hours of Service regulations. Evaluation of the changes Our purpose here is to briefly evaluate the RFID-changes' value for the different players, rather qualitatively, but also quantitatively when possible. In Table 5, we summarize: " Who invests in RFID and what is the nature of the investment. " Who benefits from RFID, what is the nature of the benefit, is it quantifiable. " Confronting investments and benefits, what is the value for each player. 64 Tags, readers, software 10 to 35% Better reduction organization of workforce, better quality of service Suppression of auditors, reduction of clerks Reduction of reconciliation costs, redeployment of customer service workforce Better visibility on outbound shipments Readers, software 10 to 35% Better Reduction of reduction organization auditors, of workforce reduction of clerks Reduction of reconciliation costs, redeployment of vendor relationship workforce Better visibility on inbound shipments Nothing N/A Reduction of Compliance reconciliation costs, to Hours of redeployment of Service customer relationship workforce Better productivity N/A Carrier ++ Hg investment, high gain +++ Moderate investment, high gain + No investment, moderate gain Table 5 A particularly interesting characteristic of RFID in TL transportation is that its implementation can be quite selective. A shipper, a customer, or both, can decide on which products they want to use RFID, that would maximize benefits while minimizing investment. For example, it could be interesting to tag very expensive item in order to reduce inventory carrying cost. It may be interesting too to tag sensitive items in order to provide better service. Other products will not be tagged, reducing RFID-related investment costs. Selectivity could also apply to facilities (some will be equipped, others not), in order to reduce investment in readers and software. 65 4.2.3 The "Execute Transportation "process - LTL carriers In this section, we will deal with what is specific to LTL carrier compared to TL carriers. Figure 23 depicts which LTL tasks are almost the same or resemble TL tasks, and which ones are "new activities" that concern only LTL carriers. Shipper TL transportation SConsignee Ship. Rec. Almost the same Almost the same Shipper Consignee Ship. Rec. / Sh Rceiving S Receiving Unloading \ Verification , Resembling"\POD (1St term/ receivingat ,,** consignee Staging Waybill Sorting Pooling Staging New activities e, \ p n Verification* Loading Delivery receipt \(last terminal) Resembling 'b Shipping ,' shippingat shipper Figure 23 Even if the size of shipments and appointment scheduling (less tight for LTL) are different, the basic physical and administrative operations of shipping at vendor and receiving at consignee are quite similar, involving verification of goods and creation and/or verification of documents. Receiving and shipping within the LTL carrier terminals are also very comparable to operations at vendor and consignee, with maybe less emphasis on the verification stage, as it is assumed that initial verifications and documentation has been performed well, and that there is no subsequent need to spend additional time re-verifying. Consequently, we will not describe these tasks in detail again. 66 It seems more interesting to focus on the different types of LTL carriers. We mentioned in Chapter 2 that regional LTL carriers generally provide an overnight or a two-day service, while long haul LTL carriers propose 2-day to 5-day services. Organization of transportation does not differ very much, but the physical path is different as it is constituted by a number of stages from initial pick-up to final delivery. We can see, from Figure24 to Figure 26, how different and complex LTL transportation can be. LTL 1-day Lead Time Shipper Terminal 9am Consignee 3pm 9pm 0.5 day 9am 0.5 day Figure24 Figure24 represents the simplest LTL "overnight" operation, in which the products pass through only one terminal before being delivered to the customer. At the other end of the spectrum, we find the long haul LTL carrier, with lead times of three to five days (Figure25). A shipment going from Massachusetts to California will typically go through all these stages. LTL 3 to 5-day Lead Time Shipper 9am EOL terminal I 3pm 0.5 day Regional hub 9pm I 3am 0.5 day Regional hub 9am 9am' I to 3 days 3pm 0.5 day EOL terminal Consignee 1 112am 6pm 0.5 I 9am day Figure25 Between these two extremes, we can find multiple configurations. Figure 26 depicts a two to three day lead time trip, which involves two intermediary terminals, and are typically used for deliveries within the boundaries of a region (Northeast, Midwest,...). 67 Shipper LTL 2 to 3-day Lead Time Terminal I 9am 9pm 3pm Terminal 12am 0.5 day 6am I to 2 days Consignee 9am 0.5 day Figure26 AS-IS "Execute Transportation" process mapping, for LTL carriers "AS-IS" - EXECUTE TRANSPORTATION o - LTL CARRIER - part I Send pick-up * Plan pick-up 4) B Go from ouigin Verify ED]D21 in O tria simn-D 1 . t Figure 27 Figure27 to 29 present the LT L transportation execution process. As seen in the TL process, execution tasks start after a transportation order has been passed and pick-up and delivery times have been scheduled. It then follows the same steps of verification, documentation and loading, before being shipped to the first LTL terminal. Figure 28 depicts the route from the first to the last LTL terminal. The important (and different from TL) task here is the creation of the waybill, an internal document that will follow the shipment from its reception at the first terminal to its shipment to the final customer at the last terminal. During a VICS Logistics Committee meeting (VICS, 2002b), Roadway reported that 90% of all bills of lading are tendered to the carrier as a 68 piece of paper, 30% of which are hand-written! (October 2002). This information, comprised of hundreds of characters (including key information such as PO number, customer references, SKU number, quantities, etc...) must be manually entered. A single error at this step is thus carried through the multiple stages of the LTL path. "AS-IS" - EXECUTE TRANSPORTATION . '70i E . E 2 S-c 0 _j -- 0 - LTL CARRIER - part 2 Cross- Receive, Create -ayll waybill ck, Ship Verify, Receive, Break- - bulk, Ship .= (I iEne-I f dsia 1)Tasot ~ Trnr Tr an Transport sp ort raspr -- de IEOL Sto WI V ___ 2 retailer Shp I n terminaI I 0 C bulk, I ME 0 0I It I - Receive, Cross- delivery receipt Verify, create dock, It Ship Track /trace shipment Figure 28 Figure 29 "AS-IS" - EXECUTE TRANSPORTATION -part 3 I Carrier CL invoice SEDI >0 210 SFn OL File POD Send SInvoice 2 E CARRIER I T 0 T -LTL ST 408products, Unload trailer Receive 2OL - -- against &ASN Establish POD, Sign delivery receipt tcCheck - OK? * S ignBlO , Fl Track / trace shipment Sign POD file 2 No Shipment status ED 214 PDfile BOL with annotations, File claim 69 Freight claim EDI 920 Main issues we have to cope with The first specificity of LTL is that pick-ups and deliveries are made in a sequential way. Any delay occurring at one stage of the cycle may have an impact on following stages. For example, because of an accumulation of delays during a single cycle, it may be impossible to pick-up or to deliver a shipment to the last facility in the cycle, as this one may be closed. Another specificity of LTL carriers is the sorting and pooling made at the terminals. The risk of misloading and misrouting is here very high, as each terminal has to deal with several dozen inbound and outbound trailers every day. Moreover, the sorting and pooling operations must generally be performed in short time slots, and at high speed. Finally, LTL transportation faces the same problems that TL faces, in counting, verification and documentation tasks. As mentioned earlier, the verification and documentation tasks made at the first terminal are critical. Moreover, these problems may occur at each break load between the initial pick-up and the final delivery. Actually, while the sources of the problem are identical, the risk of discrepancies is multiplied. Identification of problems' main causes The reader can refer to the root-cause analysis diagram presented earlier in Figure 18. The causes are almost identical (human errors, wrong initial documentation, complex procedures, rudimentary systems,...), but errors can potentially be repeated at each terminal, multiplying the risk that problems might occur along the whole chain. RFID capabilities that can apply to this process Here again, the basic capabilities of RFID, in particular accuracy and visibility, will be extremely useful to enhancing operations within the terminals. By automatically acquiring data without keying it, the initial waybill will be far more accurate and will greatly reduce the risks of initial misrouting. At the other end of the trip, the RFID 70 system will automatically generate a delivery receipt with the exact content of the shipment, reducing the risk of dispute with the final customer. Use of RFID within the terminals will help to eliminate or reduce misloadings, first by directing shipments to the right docks, second by verifying while loading if a shipment's destination corresponds to trailer's destination. Moreover, by providing the content and location of any shipment staging in the terminal, RFID may help to know how the various docks are utilized, and to quickly locate any shipments (that may have been "lost"). Finally, if vendors and customers are RFID-equipped and are willing to share information about RFID-tagged product staging on their docks, LTL carriers will have very useful information that would permit dynamic changes in the scheduling of pick-up or delivery cycles, if they are informed of delays in shipment availability, or docks' unavailability. TO-BE RFID-enabled "Execute Transportation" process mapping for LTL carriers "TO-BE" - EXECUTE TRANSPORTATION 0 V CD CDrasp a o ) Schedule pick-up order or ALN EDI 20 LTL CARRIER - part I Send pick-up ntc ED[ 216 Plan pick-up in a pick-up cycle G frmogn "na !teri to ved, Dr to EOL[< 00 0 E 0 o M - Schedule delivery Impacted data exchange Figure 30 71 "TO-BE" - EXECUTE TRANSPORTATION - LTL CARRIER - part 2 Impacted 0 data exchange 1.0 (U1 M 0 rJ .0 .! .c C) C 0 ICm CD0 U Figure 31 UTE TRANSPORTATION Cmpc7e - LTL CARRIER - part 3 impacted *0I data exchange 4 -0 CL >1. Kr 2*Y C 0 Figure32 Main changes or improvements 72 Suppressed task Receiv in g Cross-docking Shipping Figure 33 RFID capabilities can suppress some tasks. Automatic reading when a pallet passes through a portal can suppress the tasks of bar code scanning or manual counting, and the data collected can be automatically verified by comparing it with what was expected (for example, comparison with an ASN at receiving). Documents, which previously required some manual data entry before being printed or electronically created, can be generated automatically, in coherence with what was read from the tags. Finally, in cross-docking operations, mis-sorting and mis-pooling can be avoided. Expected value More than for TL carriers, elimination or early detection of loading and routing errors, as well as information allowing a prioritization of shipment unloading and loading, should allow delays not to pile up. In Figures 34 to 36, we show the case of a trailer's late arrival in a hub or at an EOL terminal (a pick-up cycle being highly dependant on the time spent at each shipper, a delay at one or several locations may have a negative impact on trailer's on-time arrival at the terminal). The time spent to unload a late trailer, to generate shipment waybills, to sort the goods and to load them may be very long, and some products may miss the outbound departure. RFID, can help in two ways: first, waybills may be created very quickly, and sorting may be very fast; second, using a specific software (that has to be developed) that could compare the actual arrival time of goods and the planned departure time of these goods, "late or urgent shipments" could be easily identified, and information could be sent to handle and load the critical goods in 73 priority, in order for them to catch the outbound departure and not remain one additional day at the cross-docking terminal. This is illustrated in the 3 figures below. 1Oam 12pm 4pm 2pm 10pm 8pm 6pm Nrmal schedul Pick-up cycle or; Inbound arrivals [ Outbound deparqures Figure34 1Oam 12pm 4pm 2pm 8pm 6pm Probable 10pm schedule without RFID Orgent shipmebts not LATE 2hv/ Pick-up cycle or ----------- Inbound arrivals: identified and elayed 24 hour Outbound deparqures Figure35 1Oam 6pm 4pm 2pm 12pm 8pm 10pm Probable schedule with RFID Urgent shlpments identified and haddled in priority, shipmehts not delayea LATE 2h1/2 Pick-up cycle or :---i. Inbound arrivals Outbound deparures Figure36 In the end, the reduction of delays will lead to a reduction of the average lead time and lead-time variability, allowing shippers and consignees to reduce their safety stocks. 74 Another benefit is the automatic generation of documents at terminal (waybill at the first terminal, delivery receipt at the last). More than only reducing auditors' and clerks' costs, it will greatly reduce the error rate and improve accuracy, allowing a further reduction in reconciliation costs. Being able to track the shipments at every intermediary point will permit carriers to offer a better service to shippers and consignees. If shippers handle tagged products and are equipped with RFID readers, it should allow a faster, or least a more regular shipping process (thanks to automatic generation of documents, reduction of loading, unloading and waiting times), that will benefit the entire pick-up cycle as it will reduce random delays. Prerequisites We will not repeat the prerequisites for shipping at vendor and receiving at customer. We will focus here on the prerequisites for LTL carrier'sinternalterminaloperations. One of the problems a LTL carrier may face is that only a small proportion of its shippers will use RFID. If these shippers tag their products, LTL terminals may then have "only" to invest in readers and software. For these shippers, the service should be enhanced, with fewer risks of misrouted goods, a more consistent lead time (and then, less safety stock), and the ability to track their shipments. However, for the LTL carrier, as long as the number of "RFID-shippers" remains low, this investment will not necessarily lead to other potential benefits like reduction of dock, clerical and reconciliation costs. At this point, the LTL carrier may have two choices: " Wait for a greater number of shippers to be equipped, before investing in RFID readers and software in its terminal (which will then allow to reduce its labor cost). " Invest in readers and software, but also in tagging capabilities, in order to apply tags to products that would not have been tagged prior to their arrival at the terminal. This second - obviously more costly - option would nevertheless allow the terminal to fully benefit from RFID. However, it will not eliminate the need for initial data entry 75 (i.e. creation of the EPC and its associated information), which has been identified as one of the most error-prone tasks. Financially speaking, the burden of implementing RFID in LTL terminal is now displaced onto the carrier. It may be a relatively low investment if it concerns only readers and software, but in this case, there will be also few benefits. It may be a higher investment if products are tagged at the terminal, here with higher rewards. We may note in the latter case that for shippers that had decided not to tag their products, the fact that the carrier does it for them would provide them a far better service: fewer mis-shipments, more regular deliveries, less safety stock. From a collaboration perspective with vendors and shippers, either the LTL carrier does not invest and therefore does not need to coordinate with shippers and consignee, or the LTL carrier invests, mainly in order to enhance its own internal operations, and in this case too, it is not an obligation for it to cooperate with vendors and customers. However, in the latter case, it would be an excellent service to offer them. The last question we may address is if the implementation of RFID in terminals needs to be comprehensive or can be selective, i.e. done in certain terminals and not in others. In the case of a "full investment" (tagging capabilities + readers), it appears that it does not make sense to be selective. First, it will not permit the LTL carrier to track shipments from initial pick-up to final delivery. But most importantly, if only a few terminals are fully equipped (with the goal of efficiently reducing these terminals' costs), they should be able to track 100% of the products, but that will not be the case, as products coming from "non-RFID-equipped terminals" will not be tagged, and will consequently not be tracked. The full investment in tagging capabilitiesin terminal also requires this investment to be geographicallycomprehensive. On the other hand, a "partial investment" (readers only) will not profoundly change the way terminals work (because all the non-RFID tagged products will need to be handled) but will only improve the routing and tracking of shipper-tagged products. As the carrier does not have any obligation towards its partners, but rather wants to propose them an 76 additional service, the LTL carrier is not "obliged" to install readers comprehensively and may choose selectively the terminals for which the "soft" benefits should be the highest. Estimation of the value of proposed changes Obviously, the greatest interest for a LTL carrier to implement RFID in its terminals are to reduce its labor cost, to improve its accuracy (which, at the end, will also lead to a reduction of reconciliation costs and of deductions applied by the owner of carrier relationship), to maximize its asset utilization, and to propose a better service in terms of shipment tracking to the shippers and the consignees. We will again quantify the potential reduction of safety stock for vendors and customers. Use of RFID in LTL terminals should permit delays to be avoided even more than for TL carriers and to reduce mis-shipments, and consequently to reduce average lead time and lead time variability, leading to gains on safety stocks. As we have done with TL transportation, we will try to quantify the gains in term of labor cost and safety stock reduction, and to estimate the qualitative gain in terms of service. 1. Reduction of terminal overhead's costs for the LTL carrier 2. Reduction of drivers' costs for the LTL carrier 3. Better asset utilization 4. Reduction of vendors' and customers' safety stocks 1. Reduction of terminal overhead costs for the LTL carrier We have already assessed which labor cost reductions RFID could enable for shippers and consignees. We will focus here on labor cost reduction that a LTL carrier can achieve within its terminal. For the terminal's receiving and shipping functions, we have the same gain as described for shippers and consignees: less verification of shipments, fewer clerical activities, less 77 time spent on reconciliation. As we estimated before, auditors' jobs may be suppressed or reduced by 75% in the long run, and clerical activities by 30 to 50% in the short term. 2. Reduction of driver costs for the L TL carrier Thanks to a reduction of searching time (looking for the right person, the dock, the products to load,...), waiting time, and loading / unloading time, the driver's cycle time should decrease. As shown in Figure37, the daily schedule of a driver working at a LTL End-Of-Line (EOL) terminal is composed of a delivery cycle and a pick-up cycle. The delivery cycle consists of delivering the products arriving from other terminals during the night (inbound arrivals). When deliveries are done, leaving the trailer empty, the driver starts the pick-up cycle, which consists in loading products at various places in the same local area. After the last pick-up, the driver comes back to the terminal and unloads the trailer. Goods are sorted in order to be sent the same evening to other terminals (outbound departures). 12am 6pm 6pm 12pm 6am Delivery 6am 12am cycle Deliy cycle Pick-up cycle Day 0 Day 2 Da 1 Driver's cycle Figure37 In order to evaluate the possible benefits of RFID in this operation, we will use some information that we have obtained from a medium-sized LTL terminal (76 doors). The terminal receives on average 15 trailers a day (inbound arrivals), which are transferred in approximately 450 deliveries to customers. The drivers picks up an average of 300 shipments a day at shippers, which then constitute about 12 trailers a day (outbound departures). 78 Each driver operates its delivery cycle and pick-up cycle in a row, generally in 8 hours, but in some cases in up to 10 hours, being then paid overtime. An average delivery takes 30 minutes (this includes: time on the road, searching the dock, waiting, unloading and dealing with documents). A pick-up takes longer than a delivery, about 45 minutes, and is composed of the same tasks. Table 6 presents the nominal times for each task, based on interviews at the LTL terminal, and on our own experience. Delivery operations Time on the road Time searching (person, dock) Time waiting Time unloading Time spent on documentation Total Minutes 10 5 5 5 5 30 Hours 0.17 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.50 Pick-up operations Time on the road Time searching (person, dock, goods) Time waiting Time spent on documentation Time loading Total Minutes 10 10 10 10 5 45 Hours 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.08 0.75 Table 6 In this terminal, a driver makes on average 10 deliveries and 5 to 6 pick-ups every day. Our assumption is that RFID should not reduce the unitary time of the basic tasks (the mileage will not change, the loading time will not be faster, etc....). Rather, RFID should reduce the "time variability" in performing these tasks. We have been told during our interviews that each task performed during deliveries and pick-ups may commonly last up to 30% more than its nominal time, because of poor information or lack of information. For example, searching for the right person to deliver a shipment may take 6.5 minutes instead of 5 minutes, or dealing with documentation at pick-up may take up to 13 minutes instead of 10. We estimate that with real time and accurate information provided by RFID, drivers should be able to perform these operations more efficiently. For example, goods can be found more quickly, as their staging location can be deducted 79 from the tags reads. Or a carrier can be informed by the shipper that goods are not ready, the shipper being able to see what is on its dock, or, even more efficiently, the carrier could be able to see that the goods are not ready by consulting the EPC network; the carrier's dispatcher could then divert the truck to another facility, avoiding long waiting time. As no pilots have been performed, it is hard to estimate what the gain could be. We make an arbitrary rough estimate here, and consider that variability of extra time (relative to the nominal time) spent at shippers or at consignees could slightly decrease, passing from a 0-30% range to 0-10% range. To assess the effect of this improvement, we use a method similar to the one we have used to assess the effect of transportation lead time on safety stocks. For the deliveries, we have built a table with 450 deliveries, the time of each delivery being the sum of elementary tasks (road, loading,...), with a nominal time being randomly increased from 0 to 30% (if no RFID) or from 0 to 10%" (if RFID). We simulate a month of activity, and then obtain the average time and the standard deviation for delivery, for both cases (no RFID: nominal time + 0-30%; RFID: nominal time + 0-10%). The first rows of the table are displayed below (see Table 7 and 8). Deliv. Number Average Std dev. 4501 34. 11.26 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Road Search Wait Unload Doc. 5 30.0 10 5 5 5 35.9 37.1 34.9 34.3 35.8 35.1 34.4 33.2 36.3 35.9 35.5 35.1 32.8 34.5 35.9 35.7 35.6 35.8 36.1 35.3 11.5 12.3 12.1 10.4 12.9 12.9 10.8 12.6 13.0 11.8 12.7 12.4 10.2 11.1 12.7 11.3 12.8 12.3 12.6 10.7 6.2 5.9 5.7 6.4 6.0 6.0 6.2 5.1 5.4 6.2 5.3 5.9 5.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 5.8 6.1 6.2 5.9 6.3 6.5 5.1 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 6.4 5.2 6.0 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.3 5.8 5.0 6.0 6.1 6.0 5.8 6.4 5.9 5.5 5.5 5.3 6.3 5.2 5.3 6.5 5.6 5.4 5.6 6.2 5.3 6.1 6.2 6.4 5.4 6.4 Table 7 80 6.1 6.0 6.2 5.8 5.61 5.2 5.6 5.1 6.31 6.1 6.0 6.3 6.2 5.3 6.3 6.3 5.7 5.0 5.7 6.31 Road Search Wait Unload Doc. Random (+ 30%) 1.15 1.23 1.21 1.04 1.29 1.29 1.08 1.26 1.30 1.18 1.27 1.24 1.02 1.11 1.27 1.13 1.28 1.23 1.26 1.07 1.24 1.19 1.13 1.28 1.20 1.20 1.25 1.03 1.08 1.24 1.05 1.17 1.08 1.26 1.26 1.25 1.16 1.21 1.24 1.19 1.26 1.30 1.01 1.24 1.15 1.12 1.07 1.04 1.27 1.05 1.19 1.02 1.08 1.13 1.05 1.16 1.00 1.21 1.23 1.19 1.16 1.28 1.18 1.10 1.11 1.06 1.27 1.04 1.06 1.30 1.12 1.08 1.12 1.24 1.06 1.21 1.24 1.28 1.08 1.28 1.22 1.20 1.24 1.16 1.12 1.05 1.13 1.03 1.26 1.23 1.20 1.26 1.24 1.06 1.25 1.26 1.14 1.00 1.14 1.25 I Defiv.1 Road|Searchl Number 450 Average Std dev. 31. 30.01 # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 0.41 Doc.I I RoadiSearchi WaitUnloadi Doc.I I 101 31.5 31.8 31.5 31.6 31.3 31.4 31.4 31.7 31.8 31.0 31.4 31.6 31.1 31.9 31.6 31.7 31.6 31.7 31.7 31.4 WaitiUnloadi 51 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.0 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.7 10.9 10.1 10.1 10.5 10.1 10.9 10.8 10.7 10.4 10.7 10.9 10.7 51 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.1 5.4 5.0 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.1 5.5 5.0 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.5 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.1 51 51 5.3 5.4 5.0 5.5 5.1 5.4 5.2 5.0 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.25.2 5.4 5.0 5.2 5.1. 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.0 5.3. 5.3 Random (+ 10%) i 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.00 1.06 1.04 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.01 1.01 1.05 1.01 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.02 1.07 1.01 1.10 1.07 1.03 1.01 1.03 1.09 1.00 1.05 1.02 1.06 1.01 1.10 1.01 1.04 1.02 1.05 1.04 1.07 1.08 1.06 1.03 1.10 1.07 1.07 1.01 1.10 1.03 1.08 1.04 1.01 1.05 1.07 1.06 1.08 1.10 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.10 1.03 1.07 1.08 1.07 1.04 1.05 1.08 1.00 1.05 1.01 1.08 1.06 1.02 1.04 1.03 1.07 1.06 1.04 1.03 1.07 1.04 1.06 1.04 1.08 1.06 1.07 1.09 1.07 1.09 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.08 1.05 1.04 1.00 1.05 1.06 Table 8 The same method is applied for the 300 daily pick-ups. The results are displayed below in Table 9 and 10. Pick-up Road Number 300 Average Std dev. 51.8 1.85 # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Search Wait Load Road Search Doc. 45.0 10 10 10 10 5 50.4 52.2 54.1 55.8 51.0 50.0 52.2 51.9 47.6 52.1 52.5 51.0 51.5 48.6 53.7 52.3 55.2 53.3 50.5 55.2 11.6 10.3 11.7 11.7 12.0 10.0 10.2 10.1 10.6 10.5 10.8 12.0 11.4 11.3 12.2 10.3 12.8 11.8 12.6 11.5 10.4 12.5 12.2 12.8 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.8 10.2 11.5 11.9 11.5 10.1 10.8 12.5 11.9 11.8 11.4 10.3 12.0 11.9 12.5 12.7 12.2 10.5 11.1 12.3 12.0 10.1 12.2 11.1 12.0 12.5 10.0 12.9 12.2 12.2 12.4 10.3 13.0 10.1 11.9 11.3 12.8 10.1 10.5 10.9 11.5 10.6 12.7 12.7 10.4 12.3 10.9 10.9 12.2 12.1 12.6 12.1 13.0 6.4 5.1 6.2 6.3 6.21 5.9 6.2 5.4 6.21 5.2 6.0 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.2 5.6 6.2 5.1 5.2 5.61 Table 9 81 Wait Load Doc. Random (+ 30%) 1.16 1.03 1.17 1.17 1.20 1.00 1.02 1.01 1.06 1.05 1.08 1.20 1.14 1.13 1.22 1.03 1.28 1.18 1.26 1.15 1.04 1.25 1.22 1.28 1.23 1.25 1.26 1.28 1.02 1.15 1.19 1.15 1.01 1.08 1.25 1.19 1.18 1.14 1.03 1.20 1.19 1.25 1.27 1.22 1.05 1.11 1.23 1.20 1.01 1.22 1.11 1.20 1.25 1.00 1.29 1.22 1.22 1.24 1.03 1.30 1.01 1.19 1.13 1.28 1.01 1.05 1.09 1.15 1.06 1.27 1.27 1.04 1.23 1.09 1.09 1.22 1.21 1.26 1.21 1.30 1.29 1.02 1.25 1.26 1.23 1.19 1.25 1.09 1.24 1.05 1.20 1.02 1.07 1.10 1.04 1.13 1.24 1.03 1.04 1.13 I Pick-up Road Search Number 300 Average Std dev. 47.2 0.60 #1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Wait Doc. 45.0 10 10 10 10 47.0 47.4 46.9 46.9 47.0 48.1 47.7 47.4 47.1 47.4 47.2 47.3 46.8 48.3 46.9 47.1 47.4 47.0 47.7 47.5 10.6 10.8 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.8 10.4 10.4 10.8 10.7 10.5 10.6 10.3 10.5 10.3 10.3 10.9 10.9 10.0 10.6 10.2 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.6 10.9 10.4 10.4 10.2 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.2 11.0 11.0 11.0 10.6 10.1 10.8 10.7 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.5 10.6 10.4 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.9 10.0 10.5 10.8 10.0 10.3 10.6 10.5 11.0 10.2 10.7 11.0 10.5 10.8 10.1 10.8 10.7 10.8 10.3 10.8 10.1 10.8 10.9 10.9 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.9 Road Search Load 5 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.51 5.2 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.1. 5.2 5.4 5.0 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.5 5.1 Wait Doc. Load Random (+ 10%) 1.06 1.08 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.08 1.04 1.04 1.08 1.07 1.05 1.06 1.03 1.05 1.03 1.03 1.09 1.09 1.00 1.06 1.02 1.01 1.03 1.03 1.06 1.09 1.04 1.04 1.02 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.02 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.06 1.01 1.08 1.07 1.05 1.05 1.07 1.05 1.06 1.04 1.09 1.08 1.06 1.04 1.09 1.00 1.05 1.08 1.00 1.03 1.06 1.05 1.10 1.02 1.07 1.10 1.05 1.08 1.01 1.08 1.07 1.08 1.03 1.08 1.01 1.08 1.09 1.09 1.04 1.02 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.09 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.10 1.04 1.05 1.01 1.03 1.01 1.04 1.09 1.01 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.02 1.09 1.01 Table 10 We see in these tables that the average time spent per delivery and pick up is above the nominal time. Expectedly, the average time is 34.5 minutes, but if we want to take 95% of the deliveries in account, we must add to this mean approximately twice the standard deviation (Y = 1.26). Then we should plan 37.0 minutes for each delivery. With RFID, and a 0-10% range instead of 0-30% range, the average time is 31.5 minutes, and the standard deviation T being 0.41 minutes, we should plan 32.3 minutes for a delivery. Applying the same rationale for the pick-ups, we find respectively 55.5 minutes for the 030% range, and 47.2 minutes for the 0-10% range. Compiling delivery and pick-up times in Table 11, we obtain the following results: 82 0 Best possible situation ossi e vanation A eac stage: Delivery Pick-up Number of stops per day 450 300 Unit average time spent (hours) 0.50 0.75 225.00 225.00 Total time spent (hours) Driver's work day, minimum hours Theoretical number of driversl Minimum number of drivers requiredi Current situation without RFID [Possible variation at each stage: 30%Y Delivery Numberofstopsperday Unit average time spent (hours) Total time spent (hours) Driver's work day, minimum hours Theoretical number of drivers Minimum number of drivers requiredJ JPick-up j 450 300 0.62 0.93 277.50 277.50 Total 750 450.00 9.50 47.37 48 Total1_ 750 555.00 9.50 58.42 59 Situation with RFID [Possible variation at each stage: 107 Delivery Number of stops per day Unit average time spent (hours) Total time spent (hours) Driver's work day, minimum hours Theoretical number of driversj Minimum number of drivers requiredj Pick-up 450 300 0.54 0.80 242.25 239.00 Total 750 481.25 9.50 50.66 _51 Gain from 30% to 10% 1 13.6% Table 11 The "theoretical calculation" (using the "nominal times") indicates that the terminal needs 48 drivers. With an uncertainty on task times up to 30%, the number of drivers increases up to 59, and with an uncertainty up to 10%, we need "only" 51 drivers. The gain compared to the + 0-30% is 13.6%, which is not inconsiderable. However, it is very important to note that this potential reduction implies a 100% implementation of RFID at shippers and consignees. This will certainly not be the case before several years, if ever. Yet, if we consider that 20% of the "big customers" represent 80% of the activity, and that these 20% are solid enough to invest in the next two to five years, the potential gain in drivers could pass from 2-3% in 2 years to 10% in 5 years, corresponding, for this particular terminal, to a reduction of 2 to 6 drivers. 83 3. Better asset utilization The "assets" we are talking about in this section are the trucks and trailers used in the End-of-Line terminals (and not the long haul trucks or trailers used between terminal and hubs; for those, we had estimated in a previous section the reduction of lead time, that did not appear to be high enough to entail a significant reduction of assets). The number of drivers and number of tractors are quite similar in an EOL terminal, each driver (with a few exceptions, due to flexibility needs) being responsible of his tractor. We may then apply the study we performed for drivers in the previous section to the assets: basically, the gains we found there can apply for tractors. 4. Reduction of vendors'and customers' safety stocks Even more than for TL transportation, because LTL transportation is composed of multiple successive stages, delays should be reduced in LTL transportation. Misshipments will be detected earlier, and errors will be fixed more quickly (according to what we have learned during interviews, it may currently take days to find a shipment that has been lost without documentation). This reduction of delayed shipment will lead to a reduction of average lead time and lead-time variability, which will entail, as seen in Chapter 3, a reduction of safety stocks. The approach used to quantify the potential safety stock reduction, the assumptions and the method are almost the same as those used in the previous section for TL transportation. One difference is in the lead times. We have here studied three different lead times: 1, 3 and 5 days (see lead time decomposition in Figures24 to 26). " 1-day lead time: 0.5 + 0.5 " 3-day lead time: 0.5 + 2 + 0.5 " 5-day lead time: 0.5 + 0.5 + 3 + 0.5 + 0.5 84 In order to set an on-time delivery (OTD) rate for the whole trip, we set various OTD rates on each section of the trip. For example, for the 3-day lead time, if the first section (0,5 day) has a 90% OTD rate, the second section (2 days) a 94% OTD rate, and the third section (0,5 day) a 92% OTD rate, then the overall on-time delivery is 78%. You can see in Appendices C, D and E the results for the three lead times, for different OTD rates (1-day lead time for a global OTD rate of 90%, 3-day lead time for a global OTD rate of 78%, 5-day lead time for a global OTD rate of 85%), with the average lead time and the lead time variability for each case. We repeat the same operation for each lead time (1, 3, 5 days), and for on-time delivery rates spanning from 70% to 100%, which correspond more or less to the current range of performance, from the poorest to the best LTL carriers. Results are displayed in Table 12. Standard deviation On-time delivery A jActual Lead time L rate LTL Lead time 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% LTL Lead time 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% LTL Lead time 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% I [Lcf Lead time vaition ofL variation cvL day 1.33 1.27 1.21 1.15 1.10 1.05 1.00 0.52 0.47 0.42 0.38 0.30 0.22 0.00 39% 37% 35% 33% 27% 21% 0% 3.33 3.27 3.21 3.16 3.10 3.05 3.00 0.55 0.51 0.45 0.39 0.32 0.22 0.00 17% 16% 14% 12% 10% 7% 0% 5.34 5.28 5.22 5.16 5.11 5.05 5.00 0.55 0.51 0.45 0.39 0.32 0.22 0.00 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 0% 3 days 5 days Table 12 Effect of lead time reduction on the safety stock As seen in chapter 3, the safety stock is equal to z*Y* 1L . For given demand variability and service level, the safety stock is proportional to the square root of the lead time. 85 On-mdeliyJAdjLead tire LTL Leadtim 1 d*y 70% 75% 800/ 85% 90% 95% 100% LTL Load tIm 3 70% 75% 80%/o 85% 3.33 3.27 3.21 3.16 3.10 3.05 3.00 stock . 1.15 1.13 1.10 1.07 1.05 1.02 1.00 2.3% 4.6% 7._0%__ 9.1% 11.1% 13.3% 1.82 1.81 1.79 1.78 1.76 1.75 1.73 0.0% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.1% 2.31 2.30 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.25 2.24 0.0% 1.33 1.27 1.21 1.15 1.10 1.05 1.00 900/0 95% 100% LTL Led tinme 70% 75% 80%/0 85% 90% 95% 100% JSafety 0.0/ 5dys 5.34 5.28 5.22 5.16 5.11 5.05 5.00 Safety stock reduction due to transportation lead time reduction 14.0% 12.0% S S10.0% 4.0% 2.0%--2 0% 0% 0.0% i 0 70% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% On-time delivery ratio -LTL -+- Lead time 1 day -.- LTL Lead time 3 days LTL Lead time 5 days Table 13 Figure 38 Effect of lead time variabilityreduction on the safety stock As seen in chapter 3, the safety stock is equal to z*I(L*(2 + g2*S L) when we take into account the variability of the transportation lead time. Using the coefficient of variation of the demand (c.V.demand = T/g), we can quantify the safety stock as z*1*/(L + (SL2 / cv2)). For a given service level, the safety stock is then proportional to Ch- timne delive Actual Lead rattie LTL Lead time I day_ L Stnar devatin S. ) 4L +(SL /cv2)) (L +(SL 2 / cV2)). Safety stock Safety stock potential (L+(t2/c2) potential (L +(S / cv2)) Waety stock potential _____ 70% 1.33 0.52 2.84 0.0% 1.55 0.0% 75% 80% 85% 1.27 1.27 1.21 1.15 0.0% 0.47 0.42 0.37 2.61 2.37 2.14 8.4% 16.7% 24.8% 1.47 1.38 1.30 5.5% 10.9% 16.1% 90% 1.10 1.22 1.18 1.13 3.5% 6.9% 10.3% 0.30 1.83 35.7% 1.21 22.2% 1.09 95% 1.05 0.22 1.50 47.1% 100% 1.12 1.00 28.2% 0.00 1.05 1.00 17.2% 64.8% 1.00 35.6% 1.00 21.0% 3.33 3.27 3.21 3.16 3.10 3.05 3.00 0.55 0.51 0.45 0.39 0.32 0.22 0.00 3.30 3.13 2.88 2.64 2.38 2.06 1.73 LTL Lead time 5 days 70% 5.34 75% 5.28 80% 5.22 85% 5.16 90% 5.11 95% 5.05 100% 5.00 0.0% 5.3% 12.9% 20.0% 27.9% 37.5% 47.5% 2.13 2.08 2.00 1.94 1.87 1.80 1.73 0.0% 2.6% 5.9% 8.9% 12.1% 15.5% 18.7% 1.91 1.88 1.85 1.82 1.79 1.76 1.73 0.55 0.51 0.45 0.39 0.32 0.22 0.00 3.59 3.43 3.21 2.99 2.77 2.50 2.24 0.0% 4.4% 10.7% 16.7% 22.9% 30.3% 37.7% 2.56 2.51 2.46 2.40 2.35 2.29 2.24 0.0% 1.8% 4.1% 6.2% 8.2% 10.5% 12.6% 2.38 2.35 2.33 2.30 2.28 2.26 2.24 LTL Lead time 3 day. 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% - 13.8% 100 Table 14 86 C.V 0.0% 1.4% 3.1% 4.5% 6.1% 7.6% 9.1% 100% 0.0% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.9% 4.9% 5.9% time variability reduction Safety stock reduction due to lead time variability reduction cv(demand)=20% cv(demand)=50% Safety stock reduction due to lead 70.0% 40.0% 60.0%- 35.0% 50.0% 30.0% - - -- Safety stock reduction due to lead time variability reduction cv(demand)=100% 25.0% - - 20.0% O 25.0%- 15.0% 40.0% 3 30.0% 20.0%- _ 10.0% 15.0% 200% 10.0% 5.0% 10.0% 0.0% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 0.0% i 70% On-time delivery ratio i 75% i 80% i 85% i 90% 0.0% 95% On-time delivery ratio -*-LTL Lead time 1 day -*- LTL Lead time 1 day -U-LTL Lead time 3 days -4- LTL Lead time 5 days --- LTL Lead time 3 days LTL Lead time 5 days -- 100% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% On-time delivery ratio -- LTL Lead time 1 day -- LTL Lead time 3 days -+- LTL Lead time 5 days Figure 39 Comments Preliminary remark: In the graph represented on Figures38 and 39, the "point zero" for the reduction corresponds to an initialon-time delivery rate of 70%. This may seem very low. The LTL carrier we have interviewed has reported an average on-time delivery rate of 90%, but this carrier is known as one of the best in its industry. Information we have gathered from numerous articles - which never cited official surveys or sources, though - rather gave us an average rate comprised between 65% and 75%. Again, this may seem low, but if we consider a 5-stage LTL trip with an OTD rate of 95% at each stage, we obtain a final OTD rate - on the whole trip - of only 77%). Anyway, if a carrier has actually a 80 to 90% OTD rate, it will be possible for it to use the table, starting from this level. Examining Table 13 and Figure38, we see that the gain in safety stock due to lead time reduction is going from a maximum (corresponding to a 100% on-time delivery rate) reduction of 3% for 5-day lead time trips to 4.5% for 3-day lead time trips and 13% for the 1-day lead time trips. It is not very high, but it is however higher than the gain we obtained for a reduction of lead time in TL transportation (1.5% for the 3-day lead time, 4.5% for the 1-day). 87 Analyzing Table 14 and Figure39 (reduction due to lead time variability), the results are far better than those due to lead time reduction, as it was the case for TL. Applying what we have said in Chapter 3, we will only examine c.v.'s not greater than 20%. We then find that the safety stock could potentially be reduced by around 40% for 5-day trips up to 65% for 1-day trips. We must consider that it is extremely difficult to reach a near100% rate for a LTL carrier. Our studies and interviews have shown that good rates are around 90% for LTL nowadays (with an average close to 70-75%). Starting from the already good result of 90% to reach, thanks to RFID capabilities, a rate from 95% to 98% would lead to a 10% (5-day LT) to 20% (1-day LT) reduction of the safety stock. Again, depending on the goods' value, this gain may be significant, or may be insufficient, to justify an investment in RFID. Evaluation of the changes As has been done for TL carriers, Table 15 summarizes: " Who invests in RFID, what is the nature of the investment, what is its weight " Who benefits from RFID, what is the nature of the benefit, is it quantifiable " What is the value for each player in investing and/or using RFID Value Note Comments Tags, 10 to 65% IBetter Suppression Reduction of Better readers, reduction of auditors, visibility software Readers, software Tags, readers, software Carrier organization reconciliation costs, Iof workforce, reduction of redeployment of better quality clerks customer service of service workforce ++ on outbound High gain, but high investment shipments 10 to 65% Better reduction organization of workforce Reduction of auditors, reduction of clerks Reduction of reconciliation costs, redeployment of vendor relationship workforce Better visibility on inbound shipments +++ High gain, moderate investment N/A Reduction of a uditors, reduction of Clerks Reduction of reconciliation costs, redeployment of customer relationship workforce Better service to customer (tracking) ++ Moderate to high gain, high investment Better productivity of drivers and better utilization of assets (2-3 to 10%) Table 15 88 For the shippers and the consignee, the conclusions are quite similar to those of the previous section, with even higher potential of savings on safety stock, depending on the performance of their current carriers. Concerning LTL carriers, contrary to what we concluded for TL carriers, RFID has to be implemented in a quite comprehensive way to bring some value. Selectivity can help LTL carrier to offer a better service to some of its customers, but at a cost (readers + software in all terminals) that will certainly not be compensated by the benefits. On the other hand, if the LTL carrier wants RFID to benefit its internal terminal operations, it will have to invest both in tagging capabilities and in readers + software. This will imply not only investments in tags, but also in tagging machines and personnel. However, in addition to providing internal benefits, it will also allow carriers to propose a very high end service offer to its customers, and will provide a certain competitive advantage. 89 4.2.4 The Reconciliation process We have noted throughout this chapter that reconciliation will certainly be the process that will benefit the MOST from RFID implementation. Reconciliation consists of looking for information and evidence regarding unclear events (that had or should have been traced), and one of the purposes of RFID is to make information flow and resulting documentation as clear and visible as possible. It thus seems obvious that RFID will significantly help to make reconciliation easier and more efficient. Our intent here is not to review all the capabilities that RFID could offer, but rather to focus on "painful" reconciliation tasks in transportation that may become easier to handle with RFID. We will follow the same template as earlier: issues, main causes, RFID capabilities, proposed changes, expected value, prerequisites and evaluation of changes. AS-IS " Reconcile" process mapping "AS-IS" - RECONCILIATION PROCESS 6 5 products, Issue 801. BOL deduction Yes mu.t No Apply~ No Cei~ Yes Pay carrier in1 InOiL e Isuagaso POD Receive Chec agapPO D )invoice Figure4ndo products, ASN Chc PODjn inBI, againstPOFile PO -O -i -pp -cas -r -11)0 Sin 1 prod u c a itnoice e Nodc hets 81)d o vaper Figurie 40 90 arefadn -5--0 iiilB d-ED (E Pa8y inDic E- O: ro fDlvey(~nd 1 a euine(a rorE!20 t eno Main issues we have to cope with The issues we have to deal with can be easily drawn from Figure 40. Actually, each "test box" (the diamonds) correspond to a comparison of either two documents or one document with physical products. We list these "tests" below, in the same order as they have been numbered (which corresponds actually to the chronological process). The questions reflecting the issues are the following: 1. Is the ASN coherent with the Purchase Order (PO)? 2. Are the received products coherent with the ASN? 3. Is the ASN coherent with the products' invoice? 4. Are the received products coherent with the products' invoice? 5. Is the initial BOL coherent with the POD? 6. Is the carrier freight invoice coherent with the BOL and/or POD? Identification of problems' main causes The causes are multiple and have been already addressed several times in the previous sections. They span from human errors (in entering data, in counting - at shipping or at receiving, in establishing documents - ASN, BOL, invoices, POD -, in not complying to procedures, etc...), to system errors (bar code system dysfunction, reading or transmission problem,...), to malpractice. All these causes have been identified for a long time, but as long as operators have to perform repetitive and sometimes complex tasks, or to follow constraining procedures, the risk of human error will not disappear. RFID capabilities that can apply to this process The RFID capabilities that can address these causes are quite obvious: automatic capture of data, storage of data, universal (when rights granted) access to data through the EPC network. Moreover, the development of software that would allow automatic verification and coherence between documents will not only remove a burden from operators, but should also lead to a proactive handling of detected mistakes and discrepancies. 91 A second big advantage that RFID provides is the building of huge databases, that may be used to perform various analyses of problems in order to enhance processes. TO-BE RFID-enabled "Reconcile" process mapping 0 4) E 0 impacted data exchange PO: Purchase Order (EDI 850) ASN: Advance Notice Shipment (EDI 856) invoice (paper orEDI 810) > > BOL Bi POD: P Carder Figure41 A quick look at Figure41 shows that almost every task, and the links between tasks, are impacted by RFID. Basically, that means that every "manual" or semi-manual process of information acquisition and information comparison can potentially be automated. Moreover, all documents (that often already exist as "EDI entities") should be not only electronically captured, but also stored. Prerequisites The prerequisite is a massive investment in the technology by every player. A first investment by vendors and customers should already bring a number of benefits: coherence between physical shipments and related ASN, easier ways to check the 92 coherence between ASN and PO, ASN and invoice and physical products and invoices. In addition, automatic generation of BOL at shipping and POD at receiving should allow the carrier to enter into the reconciliation process. However, as long as the carrier itself (in particular the LTL carrier) does not invest in RFID technology, the visibility of the transportation section will be limited. Expected value for transportation Concerning transportation, implementing RFID will be particularly helpful for two documents: the Bill of Lading (BOL) and the Proof of Delivery (POD). Automatic generation of these documents and possible confrontation between the three involved players (shipper, carrier, consignee) should greatly reduce the disputes, as all of them would have access to tangible, and a priori neutral, information. The generation, payment and follow up of freight invoices will also be greatly facilitated, removing another burden for the players, mainly for the carrier. Evaluation of the value The first big value for all players will be a reduction of personnel in charge of handling the claims. It is hard to estimate how much RFID will enable in terms of savings, but it should certainly be more than 50% of the workforce dedicated to this task. Another direct financial impact is on deductions. Having at one's disposal, in quasi realtime, up-to-date and accurate information will permit a quicker processing of all the claims and an avoidance of painful automatic deductions and charge-backs. This will first diminish the administrative work it entails, but also reduce the net losses resulting from non-settlement of disputes. Finally, the building of a huge database will permit further analysis of historical data, detection of recurring problems and handling of these problems. 93 4.3 RFID and Collaborative Transportation Management 4.3.1 RFID - CTM: a mutual need For all people who have expressed an interest in both CTM and RFID, the convergence between the objectives of the first and the benefits of the second is quite clear. An excerpt from our literature review stipulates that "a better visibility and more information sharing contribute to lower uncertainties" (the management of uncertainties being one of the greatest challenge that every supply chain faces today). This citation associates quite naturally the expressions "information sharing", one of the cornerstones of CTM, and "visibility", one of the major benefit of RFID. Many statements issued by CTM adepts insist - with good reason - that a key factor of success for collaboration is having such visibility. On the other hand, a majority of announcements on RFID praise its wonderful capabilities, but seldom mention the level of collaboration (or transparency, or willingness to share data,...) that its implementation would require, or the way to obtain and to process RFID-generated data. Yet, everybody knows that it is not sufficient to install a wonderful machine to automatically get all the benefits it is supposed to bring. Our point here is to highlight that regardless of how wonderful a new technology can be, and RFID is in this category, it will not bring all the expected benefits as long as the various organizations that will use it jointly will not set some rules to use the technology. 4.3.2 CTM and RFID at work, a few illustrations To support the assertion we just made, we present a few cases, drawn from the previous chapters, which illustrate first how RFID can be very helpful in providing data to various players and facilitate collaboration between them, and second, how RFID data can be 94 used and bring benefits only because some prior collaboration between players has permitted access to and processing of the data. The "Forecast and Plan Transportation" example We described earlier how shipment forecast (and consequently, capacity planning) was performed while being totally disconnected from a customer order forecast, leading to mismatch between vendor's requirements in terms of trucks and carrier's ability to provide these trucks 100% of the time. We assumed that newly available RFID data would flow from one player to another, without any concern. Yet, beyond being a technical issue (RFID data should be accessible through the EPC network), the transmission, sharing and use of the data is here a real challenge. More than a single temporary agreement, such exchanges require that the players trust each other, because of possible commercially sensitive data, and longterm relationship commitments may have to be set. In this case, it appears that RFID without CTM (meaning: no transmission of forecast to the carrier) would still lead to poor shipment forecast. The "Execute Transportation, for TL carriers" example We have seen in the previous example that CTM enabled an efficient use of RFID data. The example we aim to present now shows that RFID can also be an enabler of CTM. By installing RFID readers in strategic locations, every tagged object can be potentially tracked, providing visibility all along the supply chain. This tracking information can be accessed by all players, and may trigger different actions if information given by the system is different than information awaited. The storage and access to historical data should also facilitate the reconciliation process, reduce the number of disputes, and consequently lead to a reduction of claims cost and deductions. We can see with this example that the simple fact of having at one's disposal common data can greatly help to collaborate on many tasks. With the current technology, many of these tasks are processed separately and with non-coherent data, by the different players, 95 leading to discrepancies, disputes and inefficiencies. RFID here "helps" CTM because it may provide data and tools that are critical to efficiently working together. However, it is right that the players have to agree on information sharing rules, but contrary to the forecasting process, it is rather easy and not risky to commit on that. 4.3.3 Difficulties and opportunities It has been mentioned that retailers were not as interested as carriers and vendors in implementing CTM. Similarly, it appears that carriers are not as interested as retailers and vendors in implementing RFID. Understandably, we may notice that the players with least incentive to invest and/or use these new procedures or technology are the ones which are the more reluctant to adhere. One of the challenges of both CTM and RFID project managers will be to convince the players that the joint utilization of CTM and RFID will be beneficial for all. As it has been recently reasserted in a Forrester report (Tohamy et al., 2004), everybody must be aware that it is illusory to try to implement RFID in an environment where the basics are not present. First, it is critical to have a good understanding and a perfect mastery of the processes. Second, the rules of information sharing must be very clearly defined. Third, the players must already have an efficient existing information system, in particular for the tracking/tracing operations. If all these conditions are fulfilled, then RFID will definitely help. 96 5 CONCLUSION In this thesis, we have gathered and analyzed a significant amount of information on an area that had not previously been the subject of a comprehensive and thorough analysis: the use of RFID in transportation. We have mapped the core processes, found out some possible improvements, figured out how these improvements may be enabled using RFID technology, and assessed qualitatively the value generated by the changes. The main purpose of the following sections is to evaluate our findings. We will first sum up what we found and sort out, among the results we obtained, what is of importance and brings a new or different perspective to the field. We will then list gaps and limitations of the study, and questions that remain to be addressed. Finally, we will give some suggestions for future work on the subject. 5.1 Research findings: analysis and significance Each of the transportation main process as for both TL and LTL carriers has been analyzed following an identical template, which included process description, identification of main problems and their root causes, changes that RFID may enable, results obtained, prerequisites to implementation and estimation of the value of proposed changes (assessment benefits / investment). The processes are Forecast, Plan and Execute. 5.1.1 Forecast and plan transportation Difficulties in transportation forecast and planning, i.e. shipment forecasts / capacity planning and short-term shipment-to-carrier assignments, mainly stem from a poor coordination between shippers, consignees and carriers (the "two parallel paths" of forecasting), poor data synchronization between players and use of old information. RFID can bring some changes, intervening very upstream in the process. 97 The use of RFID will permit to more accurately inventory management at shipper's and customer's DCs, and in store's backrooms. It will lead to a better product order forecast (lowering its variability) and, as a result, will permit a more precise shipment forecast, leading to better capacity planning and short term asset management. We must note that better initial product forecast will be critically facilitated by CTM. In terms of prerequisites, investments are mainly on the manufacturer/shipper side (tags and readers), and partly on consignee's side (readers), but absolutely not on the carriers. Organizationally, a hurdle could be the setting of rules on information sharing between vendor and customer. Moreover, a carrier will benefit from shipment forecast only if the products managed by vendors are comprehensively tagged. If all these prerequisites are satisfied, benefits apply to shippers - better matching of demand, less expedited shipments, to customers - fewer stock-outs, and to carriers better capacity planning and asset utilization, fewer lost sales. If we assess the value for each player, comparing benefits to necessary investment, it appears that it is moderate for shippers, high for consignees, and even higher for carriers that do not have to invest at all, but must be very much involved in CTM processes. 5.1.2 Execute transportation - TL carriers The root causes of problems in TL transportation are related first to human errors on data keying, counting, and mis-loading, and second to various documentation errors. The use of RFID in this process will permit the automation of some tasks, by reducing or suppressing time spent on verification. It will also permit the automatic generation and transmission of documents. Mis-loading and misrouting will be avoided thanks to readers at portals, lowering the average transportation lead time and its variability. 98 The first benefit, ensuing from task automation, will be an important labor cost reduction. However, this reduction will not apply identically to all players. Shippers should be able to reduce their auditor costs by 100% in the long run, and their clerical costs by 30 to 50%. Consignees should reduce these costs as well, but to a lesser extent. It is not clear if carriers may be able to reduce drivers' costs, even in a moderate way. All players, however, will see their reconciliation costs reduced. A second benefit, due to the automatic generation of documentation, is the significant improvement of data quality and shipment visibility. A better service will be provided, and it will also help to better plan and manage the workforce at shippers' and consignees' facilities. A third benefit is linked to the reduction of mis-loading and mis-routing: the reduction of mis-shipments due to these errors will improve the average on-time delivery rate, which in turn will entail a diminution of both average transportation lead time and lead time variability. This decrease will, in turn, lead to a reduction of shippers' and consignees' safety stock levels. Our calculations show that for an OTD rate passing from 90% to 100%, the reduction of safety stock due to a lower lead time goes from 1.5% (for a 3-day trip) to 4.5% (for a 1-day trip). More importantly, still for an OTD rate passing from 90% to 100%, the reduction of safety stock due to a lower lead time variabilitycan vary from 20% to 35% for a medium-performance carrier, and from 10% to 20% for a high-performance carrier. What is shown here is that, more than simply reducing the lead time, it is critical to reduce its variability if we want to reduce significantly the safety stocks. The prerequisites are the same as in forecasting, in technical and financial terms. But for this particular process, RFID implementation will not need to be comprehensive. Selectivity can apply on products, routes or targeted vendors or customers. For this process, the value is high for the consignee, as its investment is moderate (readers only) whereas its benefits are very high. For the shipper, the benefits are also high, but the investment are higher too because of products' tagging: consequently, the 99 value for the shippers is not as high as for the consignee. Finally, the carrier does not get much benefit, but does not invest either: its value is relatively small. 5.1.3 Execute transportation - LTL carriers The root causes of problems in LTL transportation are quite different from those in TL, and are mainly due to its multi-stage and sequential nature. At a local level, deliveries and pick-ups are sequential, and delays are very prone to accumulation. Similar phenomena apply at a shuttle and long haul level. Moreover, the causes already cited for TL carriers (data keying, counting, and mis loading, and various documentation errors) apply too. The use of RFID in this process should suppress data entry for waybill, and automate the verification of sorting and pooling within a terminal. If shippers and customers are also equipped with RFID, it could allow for a dynamic change of delivery or pick-up cycles in case of delays. The labor cost reduction benefit will also apply to LTL terminals, with auditor and clerk reduction, due to the automation of their tasks. Reconciliation costs will also decrease. The results that can be obtained are almost identical to those seen in earlier sections. A second benefit will be a far better handling of delays at terminals, as RFID will enable a faster creation of waybills and delivery notes, ensuring errorless sorting of shipments (fewer mis-loaded and mis-routed shipments), and prioritization management in case of emergency. More than in TL transportation, the delays that produced weak on-time delivery rates should significantly decrease, entailing a far better average lead time and reducing considerably lead time variability, diminishing in turn the level of safety stock at shippers and customers . The figures here are the following: If the OTD rate passes from 70% to 100%, the reduction of safety stock due to a lower lead time goes from 3% (for a 5-day trip) to 13% (for a 1-day trip). More realistically, i.e. with a current OTD rate of 70% and a target OTD rate of 90%, the reduction should be between 2% and 9%. 100 Similarly, the maximum reduction of safety stock due to a lower lead time variabilitywill be between 40% and 65% (if OTD rate passes from 70% to 100%), but more realistically, it should be between 20% to 35% (OTD from 70% to 90%). A third benefit is a better productivity for drivers who perform local delivery and pickups. We have shown in our study that realistic assumptions in terms of better regularity in local operation led to a potential maximum reduction of the number of drivers of approximately 10%. This reduction applies also to the assets the terminal manages. The prerequisites in the case of LTL carriers are very critical parameters to consider. Out of the three benefits cited above, the two first can be attained if all the LTL carrier's terminals are fully equipped with RFID. That means that they must have the "basic" readers and software installation, but they also need to implement tagging capabilities, that would allow non-initially-tagged products to be tagged within the LTL facility and to be further followed up through the LTL network. Interestingly, the last benefit we have mentioned (drivers' productivity and reduction of assets) could be reached even if terminals did not invest. However, reaching this benefit would necessitate that all products be tagged at source, and that all shippers and consignees included in the delivery and pick-up cycles be equipped. For this process, the value for the carrier will differ according to its level of investment. If the carrier invests massively in terminals (tags, readers and software), it will have high benefits. But high investments + high benefits do not necessarily entail high value, as it depends on the specific ratio benefits / investment. The critical parameter to evaluate here a realistic potential workforce reduction level. In the long run, the value should be high, a "one-time investment" generating durable gains in terms of personnel. But a specific discounted cash flow analysis is necessary to back up this assumption. If the carrier does not invest in terminals, but only takes advantage of shippers' and consignees' investments, the value should be moderate (a few percentage points progress in drivers' productivity and asset utilization). But as it will be obtained "at no cost", there will be a value - even if moderate . The difficulty in this case will be to assess which level of investment at shippers and consignees is likely to have a positive impact. 101 5.1.4 Assessment offindings Table 16 below presents a synthesis of Table 1, Table 5 and Table 15 displayed earlier. Execute transportation LTL Carriers ee note High investment, + moderate gain +++ Carrier High investment, high to moderate ++ ++ High gain, but high investment +++ High gain, moderate investment ++ Moderate to high gain, high investment gain Moderate investment, high gain +++ No investment, high gain + Moderate investment, high gain No investment, moderate gain Comments Table 16 Note that it is only a qualitativeevaluation, as no real figures have been gathered, processed and presented in our research, at least in terms of dollars (some ratios have been estimated, though). However, it gives a rough idea on where the value stands for RFID in transportation. Table 17 gives an estimate of the repartition of the value, both between transportation sub-processes and between players. Again, this is a qualitative and relative grading. Execute transportation LTL Carriers + carrier ++ I+ +++ j 5 + ++ 6 6 7 20 I+ I I ++ 7 Table 17 102 Roughly, it appears that consignees are the most likely to benefit from implementation of RFID in transportation. It is not very surprising, as it had been stated very often (actually, some voices regularly denounced Wal-Mart and DoD as the great beneficiaries of RFID, at the expense of other players). However, the announced benefits, like "better product availability", "less out-of-stocks" and "increased revenue" were mainly supposed to come from a better handling of the demand planning process, thanks to RFID, and not necessarily from RFID-enabled transportation. It is interesting, however, to note that carriers will not necessarily be the losers in this game. It appears, at least through our qualitative reading, that they can benefit from RFID as much, if not more, than shippers. Again, this has to be confirmed by a more quantitative analysis. Table 17 also tends to show that a better RFID-enabled forecast should greatly benefit transportation. On this latter point, we must remind the reader that the technology alone will not be sufficient, and that Collaborative Transportation Management is here a must if carriers want to fully take advantage of RFID technology. 5.2 Remaining gaps, questions, limitations We have voluntarily led a "qualitative study". Therefore, the most important gap in our research is the lack of concrete figures that may quantify the supposed benefits we mentioned. The difficulties here were multiple: " The scope was very broad, both in term of processes (forecast to reconciliation) and players (shipper, carrier, consignee). " Within each of these players, we find various situations (national or local TL firms, regional or long haul LTL carriers, large or small vendors or retailers, etc...). Specific studies should be done considering these differences. * Likewise, the processes differ from one player to another (for example, Wal-Mart does not manage its inventory nor its relationships with carriers in the way other stores do). Here again, further studies will have to take these differences into account. 103 " It was also extremely difficult to put a cost on necessary equipment. One talks about the five-cents tag, but tags are until now rather in a $0.5-$1 range, the cheapest cost reported being around $0.40. We had the same problem when trying to quantify readers' and software's cost, first because there are many types of readers, corresponding to different capabilities (and our intent was not to perform a technical study), and second because these costs are still far from being stabilized. * We did not rely on very specific metrics concerning companies' or carriers' logistics performance (for example, the on-time delivery rates, or the number of workers in terminals). We rather obtained our data from general studies or from "rough assessments" made by the persons we interviewed, which were not drawn from companies' official reports. " We have not estimated either the impact or prerequisites on Information Systems used in transportation, from ERPs to TMS, nor considered how the expected so-called deluge of data would impact clerical or management tasks. " Finally, we have assumed that information sharing was adopted by all players, even if we know that this will certainly be one of the most difficult challenges the players will confronted. Here again, implementation of CTM seems to be critical to enable an effective sharing of information. These various possible configurations, as well as many not-well-defined parameters (costs,...) would have pushed us to make arguable assumptions, and forced us to perform broad sensitivity analyses, which was not the purpose of our research. 5.3 Suggestions for future work Our first suggestion is to go through the list of gaps and questions we covered in the previous section and to evaluate which points are worthy of further research. To do so, it would first be useful to divide the whole scope into more "manageable parts" (in term of size). 104 We list below some additional leads that we find of interest, which could be studied in order to better assess the place that RFID could take in transportation, and how it could be efficiently implemented. From a financial point of view, we have noted that sometimes an investment in RFID in a field by certain players could mainly profit other players (for example, in forecast, investments made by shippers and consignees can be very beneficial to carriers if information is well shared; or a sizeable investment by LTL carriers in terminals may highly benefit consignees). It will be interesting to study if they are some ways to share both investment and benefits along the whole channel, and which incentives may be set to reach a "win-win" situation or play a "non-zero-sum game". Here again, CTM should have an essential role to play. From an organizational point of view, studies will have to assess how the introduction of such a new technology (RFID) and a new concept (sharing of information through the EPC network) can be successfully implemented in the rather conservative and technologically under developed world of transportation. Finally, from a "supply chain concepts and tools" point of view, it would be interesting to see how RFID capabilities may be used in the deployment of SCEM (Supply Chain Event Management). By putting some triggers that indicate that something does not occur as it was supposed to, and sending automatic alerts to the right persons or systems, SCEM should be the next generation of tools that will give information that may automate or facilitate decision making. RFID-generated data can be a great "input", and it may be interesting to see how it could be applied in transportation. Following the few leads we mentioned should contribute to better quantify the required investments and the potential gains, and to address more deeply the collaboration and implementation issues. Eventually, it should help to effectively implement and use RFID in transportation. 105 6 APPENDICES Appendix A Random # Trip 1 Trip 2 Trip 3 Trip 4 Trip 5 Trip 6 Trip 7 Trip 8 Trip 9 Trip 10 Trip 11 Trip 12 Trip 13 Trip 14 Trip 15 Trip 16 Trip 17 Trip 18 Trip 19 Trip 20 Trip 21 Trip 22 Trip 23 Trip 24, Trip 25 Trip 26 Trip 27 Trip 28 Trip 29 Trip 30 Trip 31 Trip 331 Tri 4 0.03 0.87 0.96 0.04 0.39 0.18 0.86 0.83 0.62 0.46 0.52 0.51 0.63 0.72 0.67 0.22 0.31 0.48 0.62 0.20 0.02 0.46 0.25 0.85 0.76 0.98 0.88 0.99 0.85 0.50 0.02 0.12 0.37 0.67 Late Yes:1 No:0 Lead time 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Late: Random 0 01 01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tri 35 Trip 36 Trip 37 Trip 38 Trip 39 Tri 40 Trip 41 Tri 42 Trip 43 Trip 44 Trip45 Trip 46 Trip 47 Trip 48 Trip 49 Trip 50 Trip 51 Trip 52 Trip 53 Tri 54 Trip 55 Trip 56 Tri 57 Trip 58 Trip 59 Trip 60 Trip 61 Trip 62 Trip 63 Trip 64 Trip 65 Trip 66 Trip 67 0.27 0.22 0.43 0.76 0.65 0.65 0.72 0.83 0.73 0.03 0.54 0.59 0.50 0.74 0.74 0.57 0.29 0.68 0.39 0.23 0.08 0.69 0.91 0.82 0.47 0.83 0.60 0.35 0.58 0.14 0.93 0.03 0.97 Late Yes:1 No:0 Lead time 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Late: 2 Random Late Yes:1 No:O Lead time Trip 68 Trip 69 Trip 70 Trip 71 Trip 72 Trip 73 Trip 74 Tri 75 Trip 76 Trip 77 Trip 78 Trip 79 Trip 80 Trip 81 Trip 82 Trip 83 Trip 84 Trip 85 Trip 86 Trip 87 Trip 88 Trip 89 Tri 90 Trip 91 Tri 92 Trip 93 Trip 94 Trip 95 Trip 96 Trip 97 Trip 98 Trip 99 Trip 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 0 0 1 | 0.40 0.31 0.62 0.87 0.58 0.01 0.07 0.02 0.49 0.02 0.83 0.56 0.03 0.98 0.57 0.40 0.71 0.35 0.97 0.23 0.56 0.88 0.86 0.12 0.02 0.85 0.63 0.08 0.13 0.17 0.99 0.30 0.64 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Late: 3 Total shipments late: 1 On-time delivery rate: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 61 94% I 106 0 Appendix B EZZZZtl Monthly av lead ti DL 100 trips on Day 1 100 trips on Day 2 100 trips on Day 3 100 trips on Day 4 100 trips on Day 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 trips on Day 7 100 trips on Day 8 100 trips on Day 9 100 trips on Day 10 100 trips on Day 11 100 trips on Day 12 100 trips on Day 13 100 trips on Day 14 100 trips on Day 15 100 trips on Day 16 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 18 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 Monthly average lead time s-ddev SL 100 trips on Day 1 100 trips on Day 2 100 trips on Day 31 100 trips on Day 41 100 trips on Day 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 trips on Day 7 100 trips on Day 8 100 trips on Day 9 100 trips on Day 10 100 trips on Day 11 100 trips on Day 12 100 trips on Day 13 100 trips on Day 14 100 trips on Day 15 100 trips on Day 16 100 trips on Day 17 100 trips on Day 18 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 lead Theoretical lead time Theoretical 12 98% average on-time 98% averae on-time Lead time 1.04 1.03 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.05 1.04 1.05 1.01 1.05 1.03 1.00 1.01 1.04 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.06 1.02 1.06 %ontime #trips late Lead 96.00% 4. 3 6 7 7 5 4 5 1 5 3 0 1 4 3 4 4 4 6 2 6 2.04 # trips late 4.,0 2.04 2.07 2.02 2.03 2.02 2.04 2.04 2.02 2.05 2.03 2.03 2.05 2.06 2.06 2.04 2.02 2.08 2.01 2.04 2.05 4 7 2 3 2 4 4 2 5 3 3 5 6 6 4 2 8 1 4 5 tim 97% 94% 93% 93% 95% 96% 95% 99% 95% 97% 100% 99% 96% 97% 96% 96% 96% 94% 98% 94% time % ontime 96.00% 96% 93% 98% 97% 98% 96%1 96% 98% 95% 97% 97% 95%1 94% 94% 96% 98% 92% 99% 96% 95% Thoretical 3 lead tirme 9% averae on-time Lead ti F-7" # trips % ontime late 4.00 96.00% 2 6 3 2 3 3 4 4 4 2 8 1 3 5 3 5 4 7 5 6 3.02 3.06 3.03 3.02 3.03 3.03 3.04 3.04 3.04 3.02 3.08 3.01 3.03 3.05 3.03 3.05 3.04 3.07 3.05 3.06 98% 94% 97% 98% 97% 97% 96% 96% 96% 98% 92% 99% 97% 95% 97% 95% 96% 93% 95% 94% lead time Theoretical lead time Theoretical lead time 2 96% avera e on-time 96% average on-time_ 96% average on-time Lead time variability SL Lead time variability SL 0.197 0.I90 0.197 0.141 0.239 0.171 0.141 0.171 0.171 0.197 0.197 0.197 0.141 0.273 0.100 0.171 0.219 0.171 0.219 0.197 0.256 0.219 0.239 Lead time variability SL 0.189 | 0.171 0.239 0.256 0.256 0.219 0.197 0.219 0.100 0.219 0.171 0.000 0.100 0.197 0.171 0.197 0.197 0.197 0.239 0.141 0.239 0.256 0.141 0.171 0.141 0.197 0.197 0.141 0.219 0.171 0.171 0.219 0.239 0.239 0.197 0.141 0.273 0.100 0.197 0.219 107 Teretical 3 j Appendix C LTL 1-day lead time Input Monthly average lead time L Theoreticallead time Lead time 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.53 0.58 0.54 0.56 0.54 0.61 0.56 0.54 0.57 0.62 0.54 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.58 0.56 0.56 Monthly average SL 0.24 100 trips on Day 1 100 trips on Day 2 100 trips on Day 3 100 trips on Day 4 100 trips on Day 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 trips on Day 7 100 trips on Day 8 100 trips on Day 9 100 trips on Day 10 100 trips on Day 11 100 trips on Day 12 100 trips on Day 13 100 trips on Day 14 100 trips on Day 15 100 trips on Day 16 100 trips on Day 17 100 trips on Day 18 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 110.5 94% avera e on-time 100 trips on Day 1 100 trips on Day 2 100 trips on Day 3 100 trips on Day 4 100 trips on Day 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 trips on Day 7 100 trips on Day 8 100 trips on Day 9 100 trips on Day 10 100 trips on Day 11 100 trips on Day 12 100 trips on Day 13 100 trips on Day 14 100 trips on Day 15 100 trips on Day 16 100 trips on Day 17 100 trips on Day 18 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 lead time std dev SIL Theoreticallead time 0.5 96% average on-time # trips % on_late [time _ 6.10 93.90% 6 7 8 3 8 4 6 4 11 6 4 7 12 4 3 4 5 8 6 6 1 94% 93% 92% 97% 92% 96% 94% 96% 89% 94% 96% 93% 88% 96% 97% 96% 95% 92% 94% 94% Lead # trips % ontime late time 0.541 4.05 95.95% 0.51 0.54 0.51 0.60 0.57 0.56 0.53 0.55 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.58 0.57 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.51 0.53 SL 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.17 0.27 0.20 0.24 0.20 0.31 0.24 0.20 0.26 0.33 0.20 0.17 0.20 0.22 0.27 0.24 0.24 108 1 4 1 10 7 6 3 5 2 2 1 8 7 4 3 3 4 6 1 3 99% 96% 99% 90% 93% 94% 97% 95% 98% 98% 99% 92% 93% 96% 97% 97% 96% 94% 99% 97% Lead # trips % ontime late time 1.10 10.001 90.00% 1.07 1.11 1.09 1.13 1.15 1.10 1.09 1.09 1.13 1.08 1.05 1.15 1.19 1.08 1.06 1.07 1.09 1.14 1.07 1.09 SL 0.19 L 0.30 0.10 0.20 0.10 0.30 0.26 0.24 0.17 0.22 0.14 0.14 0.10 0.27 0.26 0.20 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.24 0.10 0.17 0.26 0.31 0.29 0.34 0.36 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.34 0.27 0.26 0.39 0.42 0.27 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.35 0.26 0.29 7 11 9 13 15 10 9 9 13 8 4 14 18 8 6 7 9 14 7 9 93% 89% 91% 87% 85% 90% 91% 91% 87% 92% 96% 86% 82% 92% 94% 93% 91% 86% 93% 91% Appendix D LTIL 3-day lead time Theoretical lead time 2 10 Theoreticallead time 0.5 Inut Monthly average lead time IL 100 trips on Day 1 100 trips on Day 2 100 trips on Day 3 100 trips on Day 4 100 trips on Day 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 trips on Day 7 100 trips on Day 8 100 trips on Day 9 100 trips on Day 10 100 trips on Day 11 100 trips on Day 12 100 trips on Day 13 100 trips on Day 14 100 trips on Day 15 100 trips on Day 16 100 trips on Day 17 100 trips on Day 18 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 Monthly averagel lead time std dev SLJ 100 trips on Day 1 100 trips on Day 2 100 trips on Day 3 100 trips on Day 4 100 trips on Day 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 trips on Day 7 100 trips on Day 8 100 trips on Day 9 100 trips on Day 10 100 trips on Day 11 100 trips on Day 12 100 trips on Day 13 100 trips on Day 14 100 trips on Day 15 100 trips on Day 16 100 trips on Day 17 100 trips on Day 18 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 90% average on-time Lead # tripsI % onlate time time 2.07 6.50193.50%1 Lead # trips % on-i time] time late 0.60 10.15 89.85% 0.59 0.63 0.61 0.63 0.61 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.59 0.56 0.62 0.58 0.66 0.63 0.56 0.59 0.56 0.61 0.60 SL 0.30 0.29 0.34 0.31 0.34 0.31 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.29 0.24 0.33 0.27 0.37 0.34 0.24 0.29 0.24 0.31 0.30 9 13 11 13 11 9 10 10 11 9 6 12 8 16 13 6 9 6 11 10 94% average on-time 91% 87% 89% 87% 89%. 91% 90% 90% 89% 91% 94% 88% 92% 84% 87%1 94%1 91%1 94% 89% 90% I 2.08 2.03 2.06 2.06 2.05 2.07 2.06 2.08 2.12 2.09 2.06 2.04 2.07 2.06 2.11 2.06 2.07 2.01 2.07 2.05 8 3 6 6 5 7 6 8 12 9 6 4 7 6 11 6 7 1 7 5 92% 97% 94% 94% 95% 93% 94% 92% 88% 91% 94% 96% 93% 94% 89% 94% 93% 99% 93% 95% Theoreticalead time 92% average on-time Lead #trips % onlate time time 0.58 7.7592.25% 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.60 0.60 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.57 0.60 0.56 0.61 0.55 0.55 0.58 0.57 0.61 0.56 0.60 6 7 7 10 10 7 7 7 8 7 10 6 11 5 5 8 7 11 6 10 94% 93% 93% 90% 90% 93% 93% 93% 92% 93% 90% 94%/ 89% 95% 95% 92% 93% 89% 94% 90% Lead time % ontime 3241 22.0078.00% 3.23 3.23 3.24 3.29 3.26 3.23 3.23 3.25 3.31 3.25 3.22 3.22 3.26 3.27 3.29 3.20 3.23 3.18 3.24 3.22 SL SL 0.24 0.27 0A8 0.27 0.17 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.26 0.24 0.27 0.33 0.29 0.24 0.20 0.26 0.24 0.31 0.24 0.26 0.10 0.26 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.30 0.30 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.30 0.24 0.31 0.22 0.22 0.27 0.26 0.31 0.24 0.30 0.47 0.47 0.53 0.54 0.48 0.45 0.47 0.50 0.56 0.52 0.42 0.50 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.45 0.45 0.41 0.43 0.52 109 # trips late 21 21 19 25 24 22 21 22 26 21 22 18 24 24 26 18 22 17 24 23 79% 79% 81% 75% 76% 78% 79% 78% 74% 79% 78% 82% 76% 76% 74% 82% 78% 83% 76% 77% Appendix E LTL 5-day lead time In Monthly average lead time L 100 tripsonDay1 100tripsonDay2 100 tripson Day 3 100 trip on Day 4 100 tripson Day 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 trips on Day 7 10tri sonDay 8 100 trip on Day 9 100tri onDay 10 0trssonDay 11 100 tripson Da 12 100 trips onDa 13 100_tripsonDay 14 100t rips onDay 15 100 tripson s Day 16 100tripsonDayl7 100trips onDay_8 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 Monthly average load time StddvS 100 trips on Da 1 100 trips on Da 2 100 trips on Day 3 100 trips onDa 4 100 trips on Da 5 100 trips on Day 6 100 tri sonDa 7 100 trips on Day 8 100 trips on Day 9 100 trips on Day 10 100 trips on Day 11 100 trips on Day 12 00 trips onDay 13 100 trips on Day 14 100 trips on Day 15 100 trips on Day 16 100trips on Day 17 100 trips on Day 18 100 trips on Day 19 100 trips on Day 20 Theoretical lead time 0.5 96% average on-time Lead time 0 0.530 0.550 0.520 0.550 0.540 0.570 0.520 0.510 0.560 0.550 0.530 0.520 0.560 0.520 0.520 0.530 0.540 0.560 0.530 0.550 # trips %onlate time . 96.2% 3 5 2 5 4 7 2 1 6 5 3 2 6 2 2 3 4 6 3 5 97% 95% 98% 95% 96% 93% 98% 99% 94% 95% 97% 98% 94% 98% 98% 97% 96% 94% 97% 95% Theoretical lead time 0.5 97% average on-time Lead time 0.530 0.510 0.540 0.540 0.550 0.570 0.530 0.540 0.520 0.530 0.520 0.510 0.520 0.530 0.540 0.510 0.520 0.510 0.520 0.540 0.550 # trips % onlate time .0 % 1 4 4 5 7 3 4 2 3 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 1 2 4 5 99% 96% 96% 95% 93% 97% 96% 98% 97% 98% 99% 98% 97% 96% 99% 98% 99% 98% 96% 95% Theoretical lead ti 3 Theoretical lead time 0.5 Theoretical lead time 0.5 98% average on-time 97% avrage on-time Lead #trips % ontime late time 3.017 165 98.35% Lead # trips %ontime late tme 0.532 3.2 96.80% Lead time 3.000 3.020 3.010 3.020 3.030 3.010 3.010 3.030 3.010 3.010 3.030 3.030 3.030 3.010 3.000 3.010 3.020 3.020 3.020 3.010 0.520 0.530 0.530 0.510 0.560 0.510 0.530 0.580 0.550 0.530 0.550 0.550 0.550 0.540 0.560 0.550 0.570 0.550 0.570 0.530 0.550 0.530 0 2 1 2 3 1 1 3 1 1 3 3 3 1 0 1 2 2 2 1 100% 98% 99% 98% 97% 99% 99% 97% 99% 99% 97% 97% 97% 99% 100% 99% 98% 98% 98% 99% 0.550 0.550 0.510 0.550 0.520 0.500 0.520 0.530 0.520 0.540 0.540 0.550 0.520 0.520 0.540 0.550. 0.560 0.520 ____ 2 3 5 5 1 5 2 0 2 3 2 4 4 5 2 2 4 5 6 2 98% 97% 95% 95% 99% 95% 98% 100% 98% 97% 98% 96% 96% 95% 98% 98% 96% 95% 94% 98% 96% average on-time 0.187 0.165 0.118 It.68 [ 0.203 0.17 0.22 0.14 0.22 0.20 0.26 0.14 0.10 0.24 0.22 0.17 0.14 0.24 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.24 0.17 0.22 0.10 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.26 0.17 0.20 0.14 0.17 0.14 0.10 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.10 0.14 0.10 0.14 0.20 0.22 0.00 0.14 0.10 0.14 0.17 0.10 0.10 0.17 0.10 0.10 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.10 0.14 0.17 0.22 0.22 0.10 0.22 0.14 0.00 0.14 0.17 0.14 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.14 0.14 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.14 0.17 0.10 0.24 0.10 0.17 0.27 0.22 0.17 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.20 0.24 0.22 0.26 0.22 0.26 0.17 0.22 0.17 L L SL 110 SL SL #trips % onlate time 4 54 .50% 3 1 6 1 3 8 5 3 5 5 5 4 6 5 7 5 7 3 5 3 97% 99% 94% 99% 97% 92% 95% 97% 95% 95% 95% 96% 94% 95% 93% 95% 93% 97% 95% 97% Lead time 5.162 5.090 5.150 5.180 5.180 5.180 5.240 5.140 5.090 5.170 5.160 5.140 5.150 5.220 5.170 5.120 5.130 5.180 5.180 5.200 5.160 SL 0.396 0.32 0.39 0.39 0.46 0.41 0.49 0.35 0.29 0.43 0.37 0.38 0.36 0.50 0.40 0.33 0.34 0.44 0.41 0.43 0.44 #trips % onlate time 15.0085 8 14 18 15 17 21 14 9 15 16 13 15 19 16 12 13 16 17 19 13 92% 86% 82% 85% 83% 79% 86% 91% 85% 84% 87% 85% 81% 84% 88% 87% 84% 83% 81% 87% 7 GLOSSARY ALN Advanced Loading Notice ASN Advanced Shipment Notice BOL Bill Of Lading CPFR Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment CPG Consumer Packaged Goods CTM Collaborative Transportation Management CV Coefficient of Variation DC Distribution Center EDI Electronic Data Interchange EOL End Of Line (terminal) EPC Electronic Product Code GPS Global Positioning System HOS Hours Of Service LT Lead Time LTL Less Than Truckload ONS Object Name Service OTD On-Time Delivery PML Physical Markup Language PO Purchase Order POD Proof Of Delivery POS Point Of Sales RFID Radio-Frequency Identification SCEM Supply Chain Event Management TL Truckload 111 8 REFERENCES Alexander, K., Gilliam, T., Gramling, K., Kindy, M., Moogimane, D., Schultz, M. 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