Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust Data Pack 9th July, 2013 Overview Sources of Information On 6th February the Prime Minister asked Professor Sir Bruce Keogh to review the quality of the care and treatment being provided by those hospital trusts in England that have been persistent outliers on mortality statistics. The 14 trusts which fall within the scope of this review were selected on the basis that they have been outliers for the last two consecutive years on either the Summary Hospital Mortality Index or the Hospital Standardised Mortality Ratio. Document review Trust information submission for review These two measures are being used as a ‘smoke alarm’ for identifying potential quality problems which warrant further review. No judgement about the actual quality of care being provided to patients is being made at this stage, or should be reached by looking at these measures in isolation. The review will follow a three stage process: Stage 1 – Information gathering and analysis Stage 2 – Rapid Responsive Review Benchmarking analysis Information shared by key national bodies including the CQC Stage 3 – Risk summit This data pack forms one of the sources within the information gathering and analysis stage. Information and data held across the NHS and other public bodies has been gathered and analysed and will be used to develop the Key Lines of Enquiry (KLOEs) for the individual reviews of each Trust. This analysis has included examining data relating to clinical quality and outcomes as well as patient and staff views and feedback. A full list of evidence sources can be found in the Appendix. Given the breadth and depth of information reviewed, this pack is intended to highlight only the exceptions noted within the evidence reviewed in order to inform Key Lines of Enquiry. Slide 2 Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust Context A brief overview of the Colchester and Tendring areas and Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust. This section provides a profile of the area, outlines performance of local healthcare providers and gives a brief introduction to the Trust. Mortality An indication of the Trust’s mortality data based on the HSMR and SHMI indicators. This section identifies the key areas within the Trust which are outliers. Patient Experience A summary of the Trust’s patient experience feedback from a range of sources. This section takes data from the annual patient experience surveys. Safety and Workforce A summary of the Trust’s safety record and workforce profile. Clinical and Operational Effectiveness A summary of the Trust’s clinical and operational performance based on nationally recognised key performance indicators. This section compares the Trust’s performance to other national trusts and targets and includes patient reported outcome measures (PROMs). Leadership and Governance An indication of the Trust's leadership and their governance procedures. This section identifies any recent changes in leadership, current top risks to quality and outcomes from external reviews. Slide 3 Context Slide 4 Context Overview: Summary: This section provides an introduction to the Trust, providing an overview, health profile and an understanding of why the Trust has been chosen for this review. Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust in Essex services a population of 508,000 across both Colchester and Tendring, which makes the Trust slightly larger than the size recommended by the Royal College of Surgeons. 8% of Colchester’s population belong to non-White ethnic minorities, particularly Chinese and other Asians, while only 2.5% of Tendring’s population belong to the same category. Smoking in pregnancy and a high rate of statutory homelessness are among the most prominent health and social problems in Colchester. In Tendring, adult physical education is significantly below the national average as is the proportion of the population achieving 5 Cs or better in their GCSEs. Review Areas: To provide an overview of the Trust, we have reviewed the following areas: • Local area and market share; • Health profile; • Service overview; and • Initial mortality analysis. Data Sources: • Trust’s Board of Directors meeting 30th Jan, 2013; • Department of Health: Transparency Website, Dec 12; • Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED); • NHS Choices; • Office of National Statistics, 2011 Census data; • Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2011; • © Google Maps; • Public Health Observatories – Area health profiles; and • Background to the review and role of the national advisory group. All data and sources used are consistent across the packs for the 14 trusts included in this review. The Trust has two main hospital sites, Colchester General Hospital and Essex County Hospital. In addition, the Trust provides services at three community hospitals. Colchester became a Foundation Trust in 2008 and has a total of 644 beds. It has a 76% market share of inpatient activity within a 5 mile radius of the Trust sites. However, the Trust’s market share falls to 72% within a radius of 10 miles, and 45% within a radius of 20 miles. A review of ambulance response times shows that the East of England Trusts meet the national 8min response target, but not the 19min response target. Finally, Colchester’s SHMI level has been above the expected level for the last 2 years and the Trust was therefore selected for this review. Slide 5 Trust Overview Colchester became a Foundation Trust in 2008. The Trust provides core services for the population of North East Essex with a population of approximately 370,000 people. The Trust also provides specialist services for oncology/radiotherapy for the population of Mid Essex and hosts inpatient vascular services for the population of Suffolk. The Trust owns two hospital sites (Colchester General Hospital and Essex County Hospital) and provides outreach services in three community hospitals (Clacton, Harwich, and Halstead). These community hospital sites are owned and run by the local community providers. The Trust has a lower bed occupancy than the national average. It offers a substantial range of services, and in 2012, the Trust saw 495,731 Outpatient attendances and 94,812 Inpatient attendances. Colchester Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust Acute Hospital Colchester General Hospital Outpatient Hospital Essex County Hospital Outreach services to Community Hospitals Clacton Hospital, Harwich Hospital, Halstead Hospital Trust Status Foundation Trust (2008) Number of Beds and Bed Occupancy (Oct12-Dec12) Beds Available Percentage Occupied National Average Total 644 81.1% 86% General and Acute 597 83.5% 88% Maternity 47 49.8% 59% Source: Department of Health: Transparency Website Inpatient/Outpatient Activity Inpatient Activity Elective 50,699 (53%) Outpatient Activity Non Elective 44,113 (47%) Total 94,812 Total 495,731 (Jan12-Dec12) Day Case Rate: 84% Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED) Source: NHS Choices Departments and Services Finance Information 2012–2013 Income £258m 2012–2013 Expenditure £236m 2012–2013 EBITDA £22m 2012–2013 Net surplus (deficit) £9m 2013-14 Budgeted Income N/A 2013-14 Budgeted Expenditure N/A 2013-14 Budgeted EBITDA N/A 2013-14 Budgeted Net surplus (deficit) N/A Source: Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust, Board of Directors’ Meeting, 9 May 2013, Quarter 4 Performance Report 2012/13 A map of Colchester General Hospital is included in the Appendix. Accident & Emergency, Breast Surgery, Cardiology, Children’s & Adolescent Services, Dermatology, Diabetic Medicine, Diagnostic Pathology, Diagnostic Physiological Measurement, Dietetics, ENT, Endocrinology and Metabolic Medicine, Gastro Intestinal and Liver Services, General Medicine, General Surgery, Geriatric Medicine, Gynaecology, Haematology, Maternity Service, Neurology, Nephrology, Ophthalmology, Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Orthopaedics, Pain Management, Physiotherapy, Plastic Surgery, Respiratory Medicine, Rheumatology, Urology, Vascular Surgery Source: NHS Choices Slide 6 Trust Overview continued... General Surgery and Clinical Oncology are the largest inpatient specialties while Allied Health Professional Episodes and Nursing Episodes are the largest for outpatients. Outpatient Activity by Trust 300 1200 250 1000 200 Colchester 94,812 150 100 Number of Outpatient Spells (Thousands) Colchester is a medium sized Trust for inpatient activity, relative to both the 14 Trusts selected for this review and the rest of England. However, the Trust is in the upper quartile of all those nationally for outpatient activity. Inpatient Activity by Trust Number of Inpatient Spells (Thousands) The graphs show the relative size of Colchester against national trusts in terms of inpatient and outpatient activity. 50 800 Colchester 495,731 600 400 200 0 0 Trusts Trusts Covered by Review Trusts National Inpatient Activity Curve Top 10 Inpatient Main Specialties as a % of Total Inpatient Activity Trusts Covered by Review Bottom 10 Inpatient Main Specialties and Spells National Outpatient Activity Curve Top 10 Outpatient Main Specialties as a % of Total Outpatient Activity General Surgery 13% Nursing Episode 24 Allied Health Professional Episode 26% Clinical Oncology 9% Rheumatology 217 Nursing Episode 10% Paediatrics 8% Neurology 259 Midwifery 9% General Medicine 8% Radiology 352 Trauma & Orthopaedics 8% Gastroenterology 7% Plastic Surgery 502 Ophthalmology 7% Gynaecology 7% Dental Medicine 644 Gynaecology 5% Urology 7% Anaesthetics 912 General Surgery 4% Trauma & Orthopaedics 7% Dermatology 1157 Ear, Nose & Throat (ENT) 3% Geriatric Medicine 5% Nephrology 1200 Clinical Oncology 3% Clinical Haemotology 5% Allied Health Professional Episode 1263 Paediatrics 3% Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED); Jan 12-Dec 12 Slide 7 Colchester Area Overview Essex, in which Colchester is situated, is not a particularly deprived region of England. The age distribution in Colchester is largely similar to that of England as a whole; however, Colchester has significantly more women and men in their 20s. Smoking in pregnancy is a particular health concern in this region, where statutory homelessness is also much more common than in England as a whole. 8% of Colchester’s population belong to non-White minorities, particularly including Chinese and other Asians. Colchester Area Demographics 0-9 10-19 FACT BOX Population The Royal College of Surgeons recommend that the "...catchment population size...for an acute general hospital providing the full range of facilities, specialist staff and expertise for both elective and emergency medical and surgical care would be 450,000 500,000." IMD Of 149 English unitary authorities, Essex is the 119th most deprived. Ethnic diversity In Colchester, 8.0% belong to nonWhite minorities, including 1.4% Other Asian and 1.0% Chinese. Rural or Urban Colchester is a rural-urban region. Smoking in pregnancy In Colchester, smoking in pregnancy is significantly more common than in the country as a whole. Statutory homelessness Statutory homelessness is significantly more common in Colchester than in the country as a whole. 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 370,000 60-69 70-79 80+ Female/COL 20% 15% 10% Female/ENG 5% Male/COL 0% 5% Male/ENG 10% 15% Source: Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust website; Office of National Statistics, Census 2011; IMD Source: Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2010 20% Slide 8 Tendring Area Overview The district of Tendring in Essex is a slightly deprived local authority of England. The population of Tendring is old compared to the population of England as a whole and has a significantly larger proportion of people aged 60 and above. Lack of adult physical activity is a particular health concern in Tendring, where education levels are also relatively low compared to England as a whole. 2.5% of Tendring’s population belongs to non-White ethnic minorities, with the largest minority of 0.4% being White and Black Caribbean. Tendring Area Demographics 0-9 10-19 FACT BOX Population 138,000 IMD Of 326 English local authorities, Tendring is the 86th most deprived. Ethnic diversity In Tendring, 2.5% belong to nonWhite minorities, including 0.4% White and Black Caribbean. Rural or Urban Tendring is a rural-urban district. Adult physical activity In Tendring, adult physical activity is significantly below the national average. Education In Tendring, the proportion of the population achieving 5 Cs or better in their GCSEs is significantly below the national average. 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Female/TEN 20% 15% 10% Female/ENG 5% Male/TEN 0% 5% Male/ENG 10% 15% 20% Source: Office of National Statistics, Census 2011; IMD Source: Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2010 Slide 9 Colchester and Surrounding Areas Geographic Overview The map on the right shows the location of Colchester geographically within Essex, a rural-urban area located in the East of England. As shown on the map, Colchester is located near several larger roads, and in-between the urban areas of Chelmsford and Ipswich. Market share analysis indicates from which GP practices the referrals that are being provided for by the Trust originate. High mortality may affect public confidence in a Trust, resulting in a reduced market share as patients may be referred to alternative providers. Source: © Google Maps The wheel on the left shows the market share of Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust. From the wheel it can be seen that Colchester has a 76% market share of inpatient activity within a 5 mile radius of the Trust. As the size of the radius is increased, the market share falls to 72% within 10 miles and 45% within 20 miles. The wheel shows that the main competitors in the local area are Ramsay Healthcare UK Operations Ltd and Mid Essex Hospital Services NHS Trust. Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED), Dec 11 – Nov 12 Slide 10 Colchester’s Health Profile Health Profiles, depicted on this slide and the following, are designed to help local government and health services identify problems in their areas, and decide how to tackle these issues. They provide a snapshot of the overall health of the local population, and highlight potential differences against regional and national averages. The graph shows the level of deprivation in Colchester and Tendring compared nationally. Deprivation by unitary authority area Tendring Colchester The tables below outline Colchester and Tendring’s health profile information in comparison to the rest of England. 1. Colchester are performing better than 1 the national average on all community indicators apart from Statutory homelessness. Tendring have higher rates of children in poverty and unemployment than the national average. 2. Children’s and 2 young people’s health indicators highlight that smoking in pregnancy is higher than the average in Colchester and Tendring. Tendring also has a higher number of obese children. Slide 11 Colchester’s Health Profile 3. Adult health in Colchester shows all indicators to be close to the national average. Increasing and higher risk drinking is below the national average but is still within the expected range. In Tendring, there are fewer physically active adults than the national average. 3 4 4. Disease and poor health indicators highlight acute sexually transmitted infections as being above the national average. Tendring has a high number of people diagnosed with diabetes and is above the national average. 5. The number of excess winter deaths and road injuries and deaths are higher than the national average in Colchester but within the expected range. Slide 12 Colchester’s Health Profile 3. The number of excess winter deaths and road injuries and 5 deaths are higher than the national average in Colchester but within the expected range. Tendring also has a higher number of road injuries and deaths than the national average but is not significantly higher than the national average. Slide 13 Performance of Local Healthcare Providers To give an informed view of the Trust’s performance it is important to consider the service levels of non-acute local providers. For example, slow ambulance response times may increase the risk of mortality. The graphs on the right represent some key performance indicators for England’s Ambulance services. The East of England Ambulance Trust meets the 8min response target. However, the ambulance trust fails to meet the 19min response target. Proportion of calls responded to within 8 minutes 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Isle of Wight NHS Trust South West South Central Western Midlands Ambulance Ambulance Ambulance Service NHS Service NHS Service NHS Foundation Foundation Trust Trust Trust South East East of London North West Great North East Yorkshire East Midlands Coast England Ambulance Ambulance Western Ambulance Ambulance Ambulance Ambulance Ambulance Service NHS Service NHS Ambulance Service NHS Service NHS Service NHS Service NHS Service NHS Trust Trust Service NHS Trust Trust Trust Foundation Trust Trust Trust Ambulance Trust England Proportion of calls responded to within 19 minutes 100% 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% Source: Department of Health: Transparency Website Dec 12 Isle of Wight NHS Trust West London South East Yorkshire South Great North East North West South Central East of East Midlands Midlands Ambulance Coast Ambulance Western Western Ambulance Ambulance Ambulance England Ambulance Ambulance Service NHS Ambulance Service NHS Ambulance Ambulance Service NHS Service NHS Service NHS Ambulance Service NHS Service NHS Trust Service NHS Trust Service NHS Service NHS Trust Trust Foundation Service NHS Trust Trust Foundation Foundation Trust Trust Trust Trust Trust Ambulance Trusts England Slide 14 Why was Colchester chosen for this review? Based on the Summary Hospital level Mortality Indicator (SHMI) and Hospital Standardised Mortality Ratio (HSMR), 14 trusts were selected for this review. The table includes information on which trusts were selected. An explanation of each of these indicators is provided in the Mortality section. Where it does not include the SHMI for a trust, it is because the trust was selected due to a high HSMR as opposed to its SHMI. The SHMI for all 14 trusts can be found in the following pages. Initially, five hospital trusts were announced as falling within the scope of this investigation based on the fact that they had been outliers on SHMI for the last two years (SHMI data has only been published for the last two years). Subsequent to these five hospital trusts being announced, Professor Sir Bruce Keogh took the decision that those hospital trusts that had also been outliers for the last two consecutive years on HSMR should also fall within the scope of his review. The rationale for this was that it had been HSMR that had provided the trigger for the Healthcare Commission’s initial investigation into the quality of care provided at Mid Staffordshire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust. Colchester has been above the expected level for SHMI over the last 2 years and was therefore selected for this review. Trust SHMI 2011 SHMI 2012 HSMR FY 11 HSMR FY 12 Within Expected? Basildon and Thurrock University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 1 1 98 102 Within expected Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 1 1 112 114 Above expected Buckinghamshire Healthcare NHS Trust 112 110 Above expected Burton Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 112 112 Above expected Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust 1 1 107 102 Within expected East Lancashire Hospitals NHS Trust 1 1 108 103 Within expected George Eliot Hospital NHS Trust 117 120 Above expected Medway NHS Foundation Trust 115 112 Above expected North Cumbria University Hospitals NHS Trust 118 118 Above expected Northern Lincolnshire And Goole Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 116 118 Above expected Sherwood Forest Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 114 113 Above expected 101 102 Within expected The Dudley Group Of Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 116 111 Above expected United Lincolnshire Hospitals NHS Trust 113 111 Above expected Tameside Hospital NHS Foundation Trust 1 1 Banding 1 – ‘higher than expected’ Source: Background to the review and role of the national advisory group Financial years 2010-11, 2011-12 Slide 15 Why was Colchester chosen for this review? The way that levels of observed deaths that are higher than expected deaths can be understood is by using HSMR and SHMI. Both compare the number of observed deaths to the number of expected deaths. This is different to avoidable deaths. An HSMR and SHMI of 100 means that there is exactly the same number of deaths as expected. This is very unlikely so there is a range within which the variance between observed and expected deaths is statistically insignificant. On the Poisson distribution, appearing above and below the dotted red and green lines (95% confidence intervals), respectively, means that there is a statistically significant variance for the trust in question. The funnel charts for 2010/11 and 2011/12, the period when the trusts were selected for review, show that Colchester’s SHMI is statistically above the expected range, supported by the time series which shows the SHMI being consistently higher than the expected. Colchester’s HSMR is within the expected range, and the time series shows the HSMR has recently risen back above the expected level. SHMI Time Series SHMI Funnel Chart Colchester Selected trusts Outside Range Selected trusts w/in Range HSMR Time Series HSMR Funnel Chart Colchester Selected trusts Outside Range Selected trusts w/in Range Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED); Apr 10-Mar12 Slide 16 Mortality Slide 17 Mortality Overview: Summary: This section focuses upon recent mortality data to provide an indication of the current position. All 14 trusts in the review have been analysed using consistent methodology. The Trust has an overall HSMR of 106 for the period January 2012 to December 2012, meaning that the number of actual deaths is higher than the expected level. However, this is statistically within the expected range. The measures identified are being used as a ‘smoke alarm’ for highlighting potential quality issues. No judgement about the actual quality of care being provided to patients is being made at this stage, nor should it be reached by looking at these measures in isolation. Review areas To undertake a detailed analysis of the trust’s mortality, it is necessary to look at the following areas: • Differences between the HSMR and SHMI; • Elective and non-elective mortality; • Specialty and Diagnostic groups; and • Alerts and investigations. Data sources • Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED); • Health & Social Care Information Centre – SHMI and contextual indicators; • Dr Foster – HSMR; and • Care Quality Commission – alerts, correspondence and findings. All data and sources used are consistent across the packs for the 14 trusts included in this review. Further analysis of this demonstrates that non-elective admissions are the primary contributing factor to this figure, with a similar HSMR of 107, also within the expected range. Elective admissions are within the expected range also, at 93 Currently, Colchester has a SHMI of 118, which is statistically above the expected range. Similar to HSMR, non-elective admissions are seen to be contributing primarily to the overall Trust SHMI, with a similar figure of 118. Elective admissions are within the expected range, with a SHMI of 123. Colchester has had three high mortality alerts for diagnostic groups since 2007. A common theme has arisen around Elderly Care, with much higher than expected mortality for patients aged 75+. The Trust has an initiative to reduce the number of avoidable admissions for patients at end of life, possibly reflected in its high but declining use of palliative care codes. Other areas previously identified for improvement action include earlier recognition and escalation of the deteriorating patient, the quality of documentation such as the ceiling of care and clinical coding. Slide 18 Mortality Overview Mortality The following overview provides a summary of the Trust’s key mortality areas: Overall HSMR Elective mortality (SHMI and HSMR) Overall SHMI* Non-elective mortality (SHMI and HSMR) Weekend or weekday mortality outliers Palliative care coding issues Outcome 1 (R17) Respecting and involving e who use services Emergency specialty groups much worse than expected 30-day mortality following specific surgery / admissions Emergency specialty groups worse than expected Mortality among patients with diabetes Diagnosis group alerts to CQC Diagnosis group alerts followed up by CQC SHMI* Outside expected range of the HSCIC for Mar 11 – Sep 12 Outside expected range Outside expected range based on Poisson distribution for Dec 11 – Nov 12 Within expected range Within expected range *The detailed following analysis on SHMI is based upon a narrower set of confidence intervals compared to the Random effects model, which the HSCIC use to report whether the SHMI is within, below or above the expected range and was the range used to select the 14 trusts for this review. The narrower range is used here to increase the sensitivity to the data and serves to give an earlier warning for the purposes of this review. Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED). Dec 11 – Nov 12 Health & Social Care Information Centre – SHMI and contextual indicators, Dr Foster – HSMR, Care Quality Commission – alerts, correspondence and findings Slide 19 HSMR Definition What is the Hospital Standardised Mortality Ratio? The Hospital Standardised Mortality Ratio (HSMR) is an indicator of healthcare quality that measures whether the mortality rate at a hospital is higher or lower than you would expect. Like all statistical indicators, HSMR is not perfect. If a hospital has a high HSMR, it cannot be said for certain that this reflects failings in the care provided by the hospital. However, it can be a warning sign that things are going wrong. How does HSMR work? The HSMR is a ratio of the observed number of in-hospital deaths at the end of a continuous inpatient spell to the expected number of inhospital deaths (multiplied by 100) for 56 specific CCS groups; in a specified patient group. The expected deaths are calculated from logistical regression models taking into account and adjusting for a case-mix of: age band, sex, deprivation, interaction between age band and co-morbidities, month of admission, admission method, source of admission, the presence of palliative care, number of previous emergency admissions and financial year of discharge. How should HSMR be interpreted? Care is needed in interpreting these results. Although a score of 100 indicates that the observed number of deaths matched the expected number in order to identify if variation from this is significant confidence intervals are calculated. A Poisson distribution model is used to calculate 95% and 99.9% confidence intervals and only when these have been crossed is performance classed as higher or lower than expected. Slide 20 SHMI Definition What is the Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator? The Summary level Hospital Mortality Indicator (SHMI) is a high level hospital mortality indicator that is published by the Department of Health on a quarterly basis. The SHMI follows a similar principle to the general standardised mortality ratio; a measure based upon a nationally expected value. SHMI can be used as a potential smoke alarm for potential deviations away from regular practice. How does SHMI work? 1. 2. 3. 4. Deaths up to 30 days post acute trust discharge are considered in the mortality indicator, utilising ONS data The SHMI is the ratio of the Observed number of deaths in a Trust vs. Expected number of deaths over a period of time The Indicator will utilise 5 factors to adjust mortality rates by a. The primary admitting diagnosis; b. The type of admission; c. A calculation of co-morbid complexity (Charlson Index of co-morbidities); d. Age; and e. Sex. All inpatient mortalities that occur within a Hospital are considered in the indicator How should SHMI be interpreted? Due to the complexities of hospital care and the high variation in the statistical models used all deviations from the expected range are highlighted using a Random Effects funnel plot. Slide 21 Some key differences between SHMI and HSMR Indicator HSMR SHMI Are all hospital deaths included? No, around 80% of in hospital deaths are included, which varies significantly dependent upon the services provided by each hospital If a patient is transferred between hospitals within 2 days the death is counted multiple times Yes all deaths are included Does the use of the palliative care code reduce the relative impact of a death on the indicator? Yes No Does the indicator consider where deaths occur? Only considers in-hospital deaths Considers in-hospital deaths but also those up to 30 days post discharge anywhere too. Is this applied to all health care providers? Yes No, does not apply to specialist hospitals When a patient dies how many times is this counted? 1 death is counted once, and if the patient is transferred the death is attached to the last acute/secondary care provider Slide 22 SHMI overview Month-on-month time series The Trust’s SHMI level for the past 12 months (Dec11-Nov12) is 118, which means, as shown below, it is statistically above the expected range and so classified as an outlier, based on the 95% confidence interval of the Poisson distribution. The time series show a very slight general trend of increasing SHMI month-on-month, and a stable trend year-on-year. SHMI funnel chart –12 months Year-on-year time series Colchester Selected trusts Outside Range Selected trusts w/in Range Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Dec 2011 – Nov 2012 Slide 23 SHMI Statistics This slide demonstrates the number of mortalities in and out of hospital for Colchester. As SHMI includes mortalities that occur within the hospital and outside of it for up to 30 days following discharge, it is imperative to understand the percentage of deaths which happen inside the hospital compared to outside. This may contribute to differences in HSMR and SHMI outcomes. The data shows that 70.2% of SHMI deaths occur in hospital at Colchester, which is less than the national average of 73.3%. Percentage of patient deaths in hospital 90% 85% 80% Colchester 70.2% 75% 70% 65% 60% Trusts selected for review All Trusts Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Dec 2011 – Nov 2012 Slide 24 Treatment Specialties SHMI 123 - - - - Gynaecology Podiatry Clinical oncology (265, 7) Interventional Radiology - - Orthoptics Clinical Oncology Interventional Radiology - - Geriatric Medicine Dental medicine Obstetrics - - Geriatric Medicine (123, 50) Obstetrics (1846, 6) Gynaecology Paediatrics Clinical Neurophysiology Neonatology (402, 14) Neurology - Nephrology Paediatrics Thoracic Medicine - Dermatology Rheumatology Cardiology - Diabetic Medicine Clinical Neurophysiology Clinical Haematology - Endocrinology Neurology Gastroenterology - General Medicine (124, 252) Nephrology Paediatric Nephrology - - Critical Care Medicine Thoracic Medicine - Not a Treatment Function - Pain Management - Accident & Emergency (A&E) Dermatology Plastic Surgery - Oral surgery - Oral surgery - Ophthalmology Cardiology Ophthalmology - Ear, Nose and Throat (ENT) - Ear, Nose and Throat (ENT) - Trauma & Orthopaedics Clinical Haematology Trauma & Orthopaedics - Vascular Surgery - Vascular Surgery - Colorectal Surgery Gastroenterology Breast Surgery - Breast Surgery - Treatment Specialties SHMI 118 Slide 25 Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED). Dec 11 – Nov 12 - - Urology Diagnosis (100 ; 1 ) Urology - General Surgery Key - The tree shows that Colchester has a SHMI of 118 which is above the expected range. General Surgery SHMI 118 - - Observed deaths that are higher than the expected SHMI Non Elective The number of observed deaths are highlighted as being above the expected level in Clinical Oncology for elective admissions, and in General medicine, Neonatology, Geriatric Medicine and Obstetrics for non-elective admissions. These are potential areas for review. Elective Mortality trees provide a breakdown of SHMI into elective and nonelective admissions. The SHMI score for nonelective admissions has a greater impact on the overall indicator due to a higher number of expected deaths. Overall Trust Higher than expected (above the 95th confidence interval) Within expected range Lower than expected (below the 95th confidence interval) Mortality - SHMI Tree SHMI sub-tree of specialties The SHMI sub-tree highlights the specialties for non-elective admissions with a statistically higher SHMI than expected and highlights the diagnostic groups with at least four more observed deaths than expected. When identifying areas to review, it is important to consider the number of deaths as well as the SHMI. Higher than expected (above the 95th confidence interval) Within expected range Lower than expected (below the 95th confidence interval) General medicine has the highest number of greater than expected deaths, shown on the next slide. Within Geriatric medicine, Acute cerebrovascular disease (8) and Urinary tract infections (9) are seen as the main diagnostic groups contributing to this. Obstetrics and Neonatology both have one diagnostics group with four or more observed deaths above the expected level. Overall (118; 337) Elective (123; 9) Other perinatal conditions ( 14980 5) Geriatric Medicine (123, 50) Acute cerebrovascular disease Acute and unspecified renal failure Urinary tract infections ( 116 8 ) Neonatology (402, 14) Short gestation; low birth weight; and fetal growth retardation ( 285 \ Obstetrics (1846, 6) \ \ Diagnostic Groups Non-elective (118; 328) Treatment Specialties \ Clinical Oncology (265, 7) 118.2 General Medicine (124, 252) 6) (Full table shown on the next slide) ( 144 4 ) ( 190 9 ) Key Diagnosis (100 ; 1 ) SHMI Observed deaths that are higher than the expected Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Dec 2011 – Nov 2012 The diagnostic groups with 1 to 3 more observed deaths than the expected are listed in the Appendix. Slide 26 SHMI sub-tree of specialties continued Non-elective (118; 328) Higher than expected (above the 95th confidence interval) Within expected range Lower than expected (below the 95th confidence interval) \ Treatment Specialties General Medicine (124, 252) Within General medicine, the diagnostic groups with the highest numbers of observed deaths above the expected level are pneumonia (28), acute cerebrovascular disease (16) and urinary tract infections (15). Diagnostic Groups Key Diagnosis (100 ; 1 ) SHMI Observed deaths that are higher than the expected Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Dec 2011 – Nov 2012 Acute bronchitis Acute cerebrovascular disease Aspiration pneumonitis; food/vomitus Cancer of bladder Cancer of bronchus; lung Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchiectasis Chronic ulcer of skin Congestive heart failure; nonhypertensive Coronary atherosclerosis and other heart disease Diabetes mellitus with complications Gastrointestinal hemorrhage Intestinal infection Leukemias Malignant neoplasm without specification of site Non-Hodgkin`s lymphoma Open wounds of head; neck; and trunk Other gastrointestinal disorders Other injuries and conditions due to external causes Other lower respiratory disease Other upper respiratory disease Peripheral and visceral atherosclerosis Pneumonia Residual codes; unclassified Secondary malignancies Senility and organic mental disorders Septicemia (except in labor) Skin and subcutaneous tissue infections Spondylosis; intervertebral disc disorders; other back problems Urinary tract infections ( 134, 9) ( 128, 16) ( 125, 5) ( 205, 4) ( 127, 8) ( 124, 10) ( 208, 5) ( 114, 9) ( 149, 4) ( 274, 4) ( 141,9) ( 124, 4) ( 164, 4) ( 169, 4) ( 227, 4) ( 194, 4) ( 159, 7) ( 290, 6) ( 139, 5) ( 260, 6) ( 190, 4) ( 115,28) ( 205, 6) ( 142, 6) ( 142, 7) ( 114, 4) ( 163, 7) ( 200, 4) ( 131, 15) Slide 27 HSCIC SHMI overview The Health and Social Care Information Centre (HSCIC) publish the SHMI quarterly. This official statistic covers a rolling 12 month reporting period using a model based on a 3-year dataset refreshed quarterly. The earliest publication was in October 2011, for the period from April 2010 to March 2011. The HSCIC produce two sets of upper and lower limits. One set uses 99.8% control limits from an exact Poisson distribution based on the number of expected deaths. The other set uses a Random effects model applying a 10% trim for over-dispersion, based on the standardised Pearson residual for each provider excluding the top and bottom 10% of scores. This latter set is broader than the Poisson and is the one against which the HSCIC report whether the SHMI is within, below or above the expected range. SHMI published by HSCIC, Colchester FT 120 115 110 113 115 117 118 118 116 117 105 100 95 90 85 80 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Rolling 12 months ending Lower limit Upper limit SHMI The SHMI for Colchester was 117 in the year to Sept-12 (England baseline = 100) and has been above the expected range in all but the earliest period. Source: Health & Social Care Information Centre – SHMI Slide 28 HSMR overview Month-on-month time series The Trust’s HSMR for the past 12 months (Jan 12-Dec 12) is 106, which means, as shown below, although it is above 100, it is within the expected range and so not classified as an outlier. The time series show no real trend for HSMR year-on-year and month-on-month time series shows no real trend. Further to this, the month-on-month time series fluctuates between extremes of 93 and 126. HSMR funnel plot –12 months Colchester Selected trusts Outside Range Selected trusts w/in Range Year-on-year time series Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Jan 2012 – Dec 2012 Slide 29 HSMR Statistics The table to the right shows Colchester’s HSMR broken down by admission type. The breakdown illustrates the overall HSMR is 106 which is within the expected range. The table identifies that both elective and nonelective admissions have an HSMR within the expected range. Mortality from weekend admissions are highlighted as being above the expected level, due to the high nonelective admissions. Key – colour by alert level: HSMR Weekend Week All Elective 160 91 93 Non-elective 121 102 107 Red – Higher than expected (above the 95% confidence interval) All 121 102 106 Blue – Within expected range Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Jan 2012 – Dec 2012 Green – Lower than expected (below the 95th confidence interval) Slide 30 HSMR CCS Diagnostic Group Overview The darker colour boxes have the highest HSMR while the size of the boxes represent the number of observed deaths that are higher than the expected deaths. The larger and darker boxes within the tree plot will highlight potential areas for further review. From this tree plot it is clear that the following areas have the greatest number of above expected deaths: • Pneumonia (HSMR of 111, and 25 observed deaths that are higher than the expected); • Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchiectasis (132, 14); • Urinary tract infections (117, 9); • Skin and subcutaneous tissue infections (159, 8); • Intestinal obstruction without hernia (154, 8); and • Acute bronchitis (130, 8). Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Jan 2012 – Dec 2012 Slide 31 Mortality - HSMR Tree Elective HSMR 93 Interventional Radiology Gynaecology - - Geriatric Medicine Clinical Oncology - Paediatrics - - Thoracic Medicine Nephrology - Cardiology - - Clinical Haematology Ear, Nose and Throat (ENT) - - Trauma & Orthopaedics Gastroenterology - Vascular Surgery HSMR 107 - - Breast Surgery Non Elective Treatment Specialties - - - - - - - - - Neurology Clinical Neurophysiology Paediatrics Neonatology Geriatric Medicine Obstetrics (2090, 13) Gynaecology Clinical Oncology Interventional Radiology Endocrinology Nephrology - Gastroenterology - - General Medicine (116, 117) Thoracic Medicine - Critical Care Medicine - - Not a Treatment Function Dermatology - Ophthalmology - - Ear, Nose and Throat (ENT) Cardiology - Trauma & Orthopaedics - - Vascular Surgery Diabetic Medicine - Breast Surgery - - Urology Clinical Haematology - General Surgery - - *Obstetrics was not highlighted as an outlier on HED, however with HSMR of 2090 and with 13 observed deaths above the expected level, it is an area for potential review. - Within non-elective admissions General Medicine and Obstetrics have the highest number of observed deaths above the expected level. Urology General Surgery HSMR 106 Treatment Specialties - Overall Trust - The tree shows that the HSMR for Colchester is 106 which is within the expected range. When breaking this down by admission type, it is clear that it is driven by non elective admissions, which are at similar level, however both admission types are within the expected range. Higher than expected (above the 95th confidence interval) Within expected range Lower than expected (below the 95th confidence interval) Key Diagnosis (100 ; 1 ) HSMR Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED). Jan 12 – Dec 12 Observed deaths that are higher than the expected Slide 32 HSMR sub-tree of specialties Higher than expected (above the 95th confidence interval) Within expected range Lower than expected (below the 95th confidence interval) The HSMR sub-tree indicates the specialties with a statistically higher HSMR than expected and with diagnostic groups with at least four more observed deaths than expected. When identifying areas to review, it is important to consider the number of deaths as well as the HSMR. The sub-tree indicates that General Medicine has the highest number of above expected deaths. These are spread over numerous diagnostic groups such as pneumonia (27) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchiectasis (10).Within Obstetrics, other perinatal conditions has the highest number of above expected deaths (13). Overall118.2 (106, 78) Non-elective (107; 79) Treatment Specialties Obstetrics* (2090, 13) Other perinatal conditions General Medicine (116, 117) (2099, 13) Diagnostic Groups Key Diagnosis (100 ; 1 ) HSMR Observed deaths that are higher than the expected *Obstetrics was not highlighted as an outlier on HED, however with HSMR of 2090 and with 13 observed deaths compared to an expected level of 0.3, it is an area for potential review. Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED). Dec 11 – Nov 12 The diagnostic groups with 1 to 3 more observed deaths than the expected are listed in the Appendix. Acute bronchitis (144, 9) Acute cerebrovascular disease (107, 4) Aspiration pneumonitis; food/vomitus (125, 5) Cancer of bronchus; lung (128, 6) Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchie (127, 10) Congestive heart failure; nonhypertensive (110, 5) Deficiency and other anemia (216, 5) Gastrointestinal hemorrhage (132, 5) Other lower respiratory disease (183, 7) Pneumonia (except that caused by tuberculosis or s (115, 27) Septicemia (except in labor) (113, 4) Skin and subcutaneous tissue infections (166, 6) Urinary tract infections (113, 5) Slide 33 HSMR – Dr Foster The HSMR time series for Colchester from Dr Foster shows variation in the HSMR since 2008/09. This measures the observed in-hospital death rate against an expected value based on all the data for that year. An HSMR (or SHMI) of 100 means that there is exactly the same number of deaths as expected. The HSMR is classified as above expected if the lower 95% confidence limit exceeds 100, which was the case in each year from 2008/09. Colchester FT’s latest SHMI published by the HSCIC, for Oct 11 to Sept 12, is higher than the Dr Foster HSMR for the same period, which may be due to a number of factors. Dr Foster have made the following adjustments to show differences explained by these factors: • Adjustment for palliative care: used the SHMI observed deaths but changed expected deaths to take account of palliative care. • Adjustment for in-hospital deaths: • Removed out-of-hospital deaths from the observed figure, and • Reduced expected deaths to only those in-hospital. Time series of HSMR, Colchester FT 120 115 110 107 105 102 100 98 95 90 2008/09 2009/10 HSMR I I 2010/11 2011/12 95% Confidence interval Com parison of m ortality m easures, Colchester FT 125 120 115 The remaining variances are largely due to: • The scope of deaths included (SHMI covers all deaths whereas HSMR covers clinical areas accounting for an average of around 80% of deaths), and • The definition of spells, which includes those provider(s) the death attributes to. 112 117 115 112 110 105 101 100 95 90 85 SHMI SHMI adjusted for palliative care SHMI in hospital deaths only HSMR Source: Dr Foster HSMRs, HSCIC SHMI Slide 34 Coding Diagnosis coding depth has an impact on the expected number of deaths. A higher than average diagnosis coding depth is more likely to collect co-morbidity which will influence the expected mortality calculation. When looking at the depth of coding for Colchester, it is apparent that for elective admissions, the Trust has been consistently performing below the national average. However, it should be noted that the Q2/Q3 average diagnosis coding depth is close to the national average. The average diagnosis coding depth for non-elective admissions has also been close to the national average and the most recent quarter shows the trust is above the national average and the average of the 14 trusts in this review. Average Diagnosis Coding Depth Elective 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Non-elective 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 National Average Diagnosis Coding Depth National Average Diagnosis Coding Depth 14 Trusts' Average Diagnosis Coding Depth 14 Trusts' Average Diagnosis Coding Depth Colchester Colchester 2012/13 Source: Health Evaluation Data (HED) – Jan 2012 – Dec 2012 Slide 35 Palliative care Percentage of admissions with palliative care coding Accurate coding of palliative care is important for contextualising SHMI and HSMR. HSMR takes into account that a patient is receiving palliative care, but SHMI does not. 2.5 Colchester’s percentage of admissions with palliative care coding is consistently above the national average. However, there has been a recent reduction. This may relate to an initiative at the Trust, due for completion by April 2013, to reduce the number of avoidable admissions for patients at end of life. 1.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Colchester 35 Jul-12 Oct-12 National Jan-13 Apr-13 SHMI publication Percentage of deaths with palliative care coding 30 25 20 15 10 5 - Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Colchester Jul-12 National Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 SHMI publication Source: Health & Social Care Information Centre – SHMI contextual indicators Slide 36 Care Quality Commission findings Emergency specialty groups much worse than expected Care Quality Commission (CQC) review mortality alerts for each Trust on an ongoing basis. These alerts, which indicate observed deaths significantly above expected for specialties or diagnoses, come from different sources based on either HSMR or SHMI. Where these appear unexplained, CQC correspond with the Trust to agree any appropriate action. For Colchester, the common theme that has arisen across the patient groups alerting since 2007 is Elderly Care, with much higher than expected mortality for patients aged 75+. Sep 11 to Aug 12 3 Respiratory medicine Neurology (but small numbers) Dermatology Emergency specialty groups worse than expected Sep 11 to Aug 12 2 Other injuries due to external causes Nephrology Diagnosis group alerts (2007 to date) Alerts to CQC 3 There are common themes arising from responses to the CQC from the Trust around deteriorating patients at end of life stage, clinical coding of co-morbidities and clinical pathways and ceiling of care. Alerts followed up by CQC 3 Colchester appear to have been active in monitoring and investigating mortality concerns. In addition to reducing avoidable end of life admissions, areas previously identified for improvement action include earlier recognition and escalation of the deteriorating patient, the quality of documentation such as the ceiling of care and clinical coding. Complex elderly with a respiratory system primary diagnosis (Nov 10) Intestinal obstruction without hernia (Nov 11) Diabetes mellitus with complications (Sep 12) Recent diagnosis group alerts pursued by CQC Any related patient groups alerting more than once since 2007 None Source: Care Quality Commission – alerts, correspondence and findings Slide 37 SMRs for Diagnostic and Procedure groups – Dr Foster The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) is used to calculate the mortality rate for diagnosis and procedure groups. This is available for the 56 diagnosis groups that are included in the HSMR and the 96 procedure groups that are part of the Real Time Monitoring system. SMRs are not yet remodelled for the year but are projected, rebased estimates. SMRs are classified as above expected if their lower 95% confidence limit exceeds 100 (excluding those with fewer than four more observed deaths than expected). From Apr 12 to Mar 13, there were three diagnosis groups and no procedure groups with above expected SMRs in Colchester, which may highlight potential areas for review. Two diagnosis groups had evidence of above expected mortality for weekend admissions but not for weekday ones. One of these, deficiency and other anaemia, had a high SMR overall, although the other, senility and organic mental disorders, did not. Apr 2012 to Mar 2013 Diagnosis groups Procedure groups SMRs above expected 3 0 CUSUM alerts 3 0 Diagnosis groups with SMRs above expected Deficiency and other anaemia Other upper respiratory disease Pneumonia SMR 230 210 117 Obs – Exp deaths 10 6 40 CUSUM alerts show how many early warning flags arose within the diagnosis and procedure groups during the year. These are based on cumulative sum statistical process control charts with 99% thresholds that trigger alerts once breached. The same groups may alert multiple times. During the year, Colchester had a CUSUM alert for deficiency and other anaemia. It also had alerts for two other diagnostic groups that did not have a high SMR. Source: Dr Foster HSMR, SMRs, CUSUM alerts Slide 38 Mortality – other alerts Variable Life Adjusted Display (VLAD) charts are produced by the Health & Social Care Information Centre (HSCIC) to visualise the cumulative number of “statistical lives gained” over a period. A downward trend indicates a run of more deaths than expected compared to the national baseline and one with a sustained downward trend and multiple dips to the lower control limit may warrant further investigation. VLAD charts with a negative SHMI trend (year to Jun-12) Acute cerebrovascular disease No. dips to the lower control limit 4 On a review of the data it was apparent that although there was not only one area with a negative trend, there was only one area with a significant negative trend and several dips to the lower control limit in the year to June 2012: acute cerebrovascular disease. Colchester had high observed deaths above the expected for ccute cerebrovascular disease (37 deaths, 33% more than expected) and pneumonia (32 deaths, 14% more than expected) in the HSCIC’s SHMI to September 2012. Source: Health & Social Care Information Centre (HSCIC) – SHMI and contextual indicators, Dr Foster – HSMR. Slide 39 Patient Experience Slide 40 Patient Experience Overview: Summary: The following section provides an insight into the Trust’s patient experience. Of the 9 measures reviewed within Patient Experience and Complaints, Colchester is rated ‘red’ on just one: The Ombudsman’s rating of their complaints processes, where the Trust is C-rated (the lowest category). Review Areas: To undertake a detailed analysis of the Trust’s Patient Experience it is necessary to review the following areas: • Patient Experience, and • Complaints. Data Sources: • Patient Experience Survey; • Cancer Patient Experience Survey; • Peoples’ Voice Summary; and • Complaints data. All data and sources used are consistent across the packs for the 14 trusts included in this review. There is an above average rate of escalation for complaints becoming complaints to the Ombudsman, high average compensation payments and one case of service failure indicating wider organisation failure. The Trust scores reasonably well on patient surveys, with some concerns about consistency of information provided by staff, the quality of hospital food, information provided on post-discharge danger signals, and waiting times. Slide 41 Patient Experience Patient Experience This page shows the Patient Experience measures which are considered to be the most pertinent for this review. Further analysis, where relevant, is detailed in the following pages. Inpatient PEAT : environment Cancer survey PEAT : food PEAT : privacy and dignity Friends and family test Complaints about clinical aspects Patient voice comments Ombudsman’s rating Outside expected range Within expected range Slide 42 Inpatient Experience Survey Clean, Comfortable, Friendly Place to Be Building Closer Relationships Better Information, More Choice Safe, High Quality, Coordinated Care Access and Waiting Colchester scores above average on survey questions relating to coherent discharge processes and the appropriateness of language used by doctors in front of patients, but below average on those relating to the length of time spent on waiting lists, the consistency of staff communication, the degree of information provided on post-discharge danger signals, and the quality of hospital food. Overall Length of time spent on waiting list Alteration of admission date by hospital Length of time to be allocated a bed on a ward Overall Delay of patient discharge Consistency of staff communication Information provided on post-discharge danger signals Overall Staff communication on purpose of medication provided Patient involvement in decision-making Staff communication on medication side-effects Overall Clarity of doctors’ responses to important questions Language used by doctors in front of patients Clarity of nurses’ responses to important questions Language used by nurses in front of patients Overall Hospital food Patient noise levels at night Degree of privacy provided Staff noise levels at night Level of respect shown by staff Hospital/ward cleanliness Overall staff effort to ease pain Above expected range Source: Patient Experience Survey 2012/13 Within expected range Below expected range Slide 43 Patient experience and patient voice Inpatient Survey Overall patient experience score: Inpatients 2012 The national inpatient survey 2012 measures a wide range of aspects of patient experience. A composite ‘overall measure’ is calculated for use in the Outcomes Framework. This measure uses a pre-defined selection of 20 survey questions to rate the Trust on aspects including access to services, coordination of care, information & choice, relationship with staff and the quality of the clinical environment. • England Average: 76.5 • Colchester: 75.3 (average) 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 Cancer Survey • Of 58 questions, 10 were in the ‘top 20%’ and 6 were in the ‘bottom 20%’ (including two questions about treatment as a day case or outpatient) Patient Voice • The quality risk profiles compiled by the Care Quality Commission collate comments from individuals and various sources. In the two years to 31st January 2013, there were 126 comments on Colchester of which 42 were negative (33%). Negative comments highlighted communication from staff, lack of clear information, responsiveness of staff, as well as some concerns about waiting times and discharge processes. Friends and Family Test (FFT) • In the Midlands & East FFT, Colchester has consistently scored in the top quartile. Colchester 75.3 95 England average Trusts in this review National results curve Source :Patient Experience Survey, Cancer patient experience survey Complaints Handling • Data returns to the Health and Social Care Information Centre showed 551 written complaints in 2011-12. The number of complaints is not always a good indicator, because stronger trusts encourage comments from patients. However, central returns are categorised by subject matter against a list of 25 headings. For this Trust, 48% of complaints related to clinical treatment (in line with the national average of 47%). • A separate report by the Ombudsman rates the Trust as C-rated for satisfactory remedies and low-risk of noncompliance. This is the worst rating. There is an above average rate of escalation of complaints to the Ombudsman, high average compensation payments and one case of service failure indicating wider organisation failure. Slide 44 Safety and workforce Slide 45 Safety and Workforce Overview: Summary: The following section provides an insight into the Trust’s workforce profile and safety record. This section outlines whether the Trust is adequately staffed and is safely operated. Colchester is ‘red rated’ in three of the safety indicators: reporting of patient safety incidents, medication errors and clinical negligence scheme payments. Review Areas: The Trust may be recognising and reporting patient safety incidents less fully and completely than similar trusts. It recorded 158 incidents reported as either moderate, severe or death between April 2011 and March 2012. Since 2009, two ‘never events’ have occurred at Colchester, classified as that because they are incidents that are so serious they should never happen. Similarly, Colchester has a rate of medication errors of 8.14, that is higher than the mean rate of 7.17 for all acute trusts. To undertake a detailed analysis of the Trust’s Safety and Workforce it is necessary to review the following areas: • General Safety; • Staffing; • Staff Survey; • Litigation and Coroner; and • Analysis of patient safety incident reporting. Data Sources: • Acute Trust Quality Dashboard, Oct 2011 – Mar 2012; • Safety Thermometer, Apr 12 – Mar 13; • Litigation Authority Reports; • GMC Evidence to Review 2013; • National Staff Survey 2011, 2012; • 2011/12 Organisational Readiness Self-Assessment (ORSA); • National Training Survey, 2012; and • NHS Hospital & Community Health Service (HCHS), monthly workforce statistics. All data and sources used are consistent across the packs for the 14 trusts included in this review. Throughout the last 12 months, Colchester has been consistently below the national rate for new pressure ulcers, though it has breached this figure on two occasions. The prevalence rate of total pressure ulcers for Colchester is also below the national average and below the average of the selected 14 trusts in this review. The Trust’s Clinical Negligence payments have exceeded contributions to the ‘risk sharing scheme’ over the last two years, and flagged once in Rule 43 Coroner’s reports. Colchester is ‘red rated’ in ten of the workforce indicators. It notably has a sickness absence rate for medical staff above the national mean rate and spends more on agency staff than the median within the region. For training of its doctors, it has a lower score on ‘undermining’ than the national average. In addition, Colchester has a joining rate double the national average whilst the leaving rate is below the national average. Slide 46 Safety This page shows the safety measures which are considered to be the most pertinent for this review. Further analysis, where relevant, is detailed in the following pages. Litigation and Coroner Specific safety Measures General Reporting of patient safety incidents Number of harm incidents reported as ‘moderate, severe or death’ from April ‘11 to March ’12 158 Number of ‘never events’ (2009-2012) 2 Medication error x Pressure ulcers MRSA “Harm” for all four Safety Thermometer Indicators C diff Clinical negligence scheme payments Rule 43 coroner reports Outcome 1 (R17) Respecting and involving people who use services Outside expected range Within expected range Slide 47 Safety Analysis The Trust has reported fewer patient safety incidents than similar trusts. Organisations that report fewer incidents may have a weaker and less effective safety culture. Colchester has a rate of 5.3 for its patient safety incident reporting per 100 admissions. The rate of medication errors for Colchester is 8.14, which is higher than the mean rate of 7.17 for all acute trusts. Rate of reported patient safety incidents per 100 admissions (April – September 2012) Colchester Median rate for medium acutes 5.3 6.7 Source: incidents occurring between 1 April 2012 to 30 September 2012 and reported to the National Reporting and Learning System Rate of medication errors per 1,000 bed days (October 2011 – March 2012) Colchester Mean rate for all acute 8.14 7.17 Source: Acute Trust Quality Dashboard Winter 2012/13 Slide 48 Safety Incident Breakdown Since 2009, two ‘never events’ have occurred at Colchester, classified as that because they are incidents that are so serious they should never happen. Never Events Breakdown (2009-2012) The patient safety incidents reported are broken down into five levels of harm below, ranging from ‘no harm’ to ‘death’. 78% of incidents which have been reported at Colchester have been classed as ‘no harm’, with 19% ‘low’, 3% ‘moderate’, 0.4% ‘severe’ and no occurrences classified as ‘death’. However, the Trust is aware of a maternal death for this period. Retained foreign object post-operation 2 Total 2 Source: Freedom of information request, BBC http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-22466496 When broken down by category, the most regular occurrences of patient incident at Colchester are in ‘patient accident’ and ‘medication’. Breakdown of patient incidents by degree of harm 3500 Breakdown of patient incidents by incident type Access, admission, transfer, discharge 3250 3000 2500 66 Medical device / equipment 182 Consent, communication, confidentiality 195 Documentation 211 Clinical assessment 225 2000 Implementation of care and ongoing… 1500 1000 257 Treatment, procedure 332 Infrastructure 339 774 All others categories 500 143 Medication 15 0 Severe Death 0 No Harm Low Moderate Source: National Patient Safety Agency (NPSA) Apr 11 – Mar 12 A definition of serious harm is given in the Appendix. Patient accident 363 641 1371 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Source: National Patient Safety Agency (NPSA) . Apr 11 – Mar 12 Slide 49 Pressure ulcers 1.9% 12 This slide outlines the total number of pressure ulcers and the number of new pressure ulcers broken down by category for the last 12 months. Due to the effects of seasonality on hospital acquired pressure ulcer rates, the national rate has been included which allows a comparison that takes this in to account. This provides a comparison against the national rate as well as the 14 trusts selected for the review. Throughout the last 12 months, Colchester has been consistently below the national rate for new pressure ulcers, though it has breached this figure on two occasions. From the data, it is apparent that the prevalence rate of total pressure ulcers for Colchester is also below the national average and below the average of the selected 14 trusts in this review. The data shows that the total pressure ulcer rate has been below the national average in all but four months over the previous year. Total pressure ulcers prevalence New pressure ulcers prevalence 1.5% 10 8 1.0% 6 4 0.5% 0.3% 2 - Category 2 2.0% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%0.2%0.2% 0.2% 0.0% Category 3 Category 4 45 8.0% 6.9% 6.1% 40 5.7% 35 5.3% 25 7.0% 6.0% 5.2%5.1% 4.8% 4.4% 30 20 5.6% 6.6% 5.0% 3.7% 4.0% 2.8% 3.0% 15 10 2.0% 5 1.0% - 0.0% Rate Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Rate New pressure ulcer analysis Number of records submitted Trust new pressure ulcers Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 604 602 618 592 584 569 610 572 608 614 642 620 2 3 6 9 11 3 4 8 1 1 1 2 Trust new pressure ulcer rate Selected 14 trusts new pressure ulcer rate 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% National new presseure ulcer rate 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% Total pressure ulcer prevalence percentage Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 604 602 618 592 584 569 610 572 608 614 642 620 17 22 35 41 31 25 29 32 37 32 33 41 Trust total pressure ulcer rate Selected 14 trusts total pressure ulcer rate 2.8% 3.7% 5.7% 6.9% 5.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% 6.1% 5.2% 5.1% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 6.3% 5.5% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% National total pressure ulcer rate 6.8% 6.7% 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.3% Number of records submitted Trust total pressure ulcers Source: Safety Thermometer Apr 12 to Mar 13 Slide 50 Litigation and Coroner Clinical negligence scheme analysis Colchester’s Clinical Negligence payments have exceeded contributions to the ‘risk sharing scheme’ for the last two years. Over the last 3 years payouts exceeded contributions by a total of £4.7m over this period. Coroner’s rule Coroner’s rule 43 reports flagged one item: • Clinical negligence payments 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 Payouts (£000s) 2,648 7,154 6,754 Contributions (£000s) 3,405 3,878 4,597 Variance between payouts and contributions (£000s) 757 -3,276 -2,157 To consider keeping a record of the location of scanners that can accommodate obese patients. Source :Litigation Authority Reports Slide 51 Workforce Staff Surveys and Deanery Workforce Indicators This page shows the workforce measures which are considered to be the most pertinent for this review. Further analysis, where relevant, is detailed in the following pages. WTE nurses per bed day Sickness absence- Overall Medical Staff to Consultant Ratio 2.55 Spells per WTE staff Sickness absence- Medical Nurse Staff to Qualified Staff Ratio 2.07 Vacancies –medical Sickness absence -Nursing staff Staff to Total Staff Ratio Outcome 1 (R17) Respecting and involving eNon-clinical who u Vacancies - Non-medical Consultant appraisal rates Agency spend Response Rate from National Staff Survey 2012 Staff Engagement from NSS 2012 Training Doctors – “undermining” indicator se services 0.38 Sickness absence - Other staff Consultant Productivity (FTE/Bed Days) 574.62 Staff leaving rates Nurse Hours per Patient Bed Day 7.43 Staff joining rates Overall Rate of Patient Safety Concerns x Care of patients / service users is my organisation’s top priority I would recommend my organisation as a place to work If a friend or relative needed treatment: I would be happy with the standard of care provided by this organisation GMC monitoring under “response to concerns process” Outside expected range Within expected range Slide 52 General Medical Council (GMC) National Training Scheme Survey 2012 Anaesthetics The below summarises the output from the General Medical Council National Training Scheme 2012 Survey Results. Given the volume of data only specialties with red outliers are noted below (where those specialties also have green outliers, they are included). Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Cardiology Feedback Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Feedback Green outlier Within expected range Red outlier Slide 53 General Medical Council (GMC) National Training Scheme Survey 2012 continued… Clinical oncology The GMC Survey results continue as follows. Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Emergency Medicine Feedback Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Feedback Green outlier Within expected range Red outlier Slide 54 General Medical Council (GMC) National Training Scheme Survey 2012 continued… Gastroenterology Endocrinology and diabetes mellitus The GMC Survey results continue as follows. Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Feedback Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Feedback Green outlier Within expected range Red outlier Slide 55 General Medical Council (GMC) National Training Scheme Survey 2012 continued… Paediatrics Intensive care medicine The GMC Survey results continue as follows. Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Feedback Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Feedback Green outlier Within expected range Red outlier Slide 56 General Medical Council (GMC) National Training Scheme Survey 2012 continued… Respiratory Medicine The GMC Survey results continue as follows. Overall satisfaction Induction Clinical supervision Undermining Workload Access to educational resource Handover Local teaching Adequate experience Study leave Educational supervision Regional teaching Feedback Green outlier Within expected range Red outlier Slide 57 Workforce Analysis The Trust has a patient spell per whole time equivalent rate of 27, which is a slightly above average capacity in relation to the other trusts in this review and nationally. Number of FTEs (Dec 11-Nov 12 average) 3,549 Agency Staff (2011/12) The consultant appraisal rate of Colchester is 55.6% which is the lowest of the trusts under review. Colchester’s staff leaving rate is 5.9% which is lower than the median average of 7.6%. The joining rate of 19.8% is more than double the national average. Colchester Expenditure Percentage of Total Staff Costs Median within Region £8.2m 5.6% 4.6% The data shows that the agency staff costs, as a percentage of total staff costs, is higher than the median within the region WTE nurses per bed day December 2012 Colchester National Average 1.61 1.96 Spells per WTE for Acute Trusts Colchester East of England SHA Median Joining Rate 19.8% 8.1% Leaving Rate 5.9% 7.6% Source: Health and Social Care Information Centre (HSCIC) Source: Acute Trust Quality Dashboard, Methods Insight 50 (Sep 11 – Sep 12) Staff Turnover Consultant appraisal rate, 2011/12 100% 45 Spells per WTE 40 35 30 Ed 80% Colchester: 27 Colchester 55.6% 60% 25 40% 20 15 20% 10 5 0% 0 Trusts covered by review All Trusts Source: NHS Hospital & Community Health Service (HCHS) monthly workforce statistics Trusts covered by review Colchester All other trusts Source: 2011/12 Organisational Readiness Self-Assessment (ORSA) Data based on the appraisal year from April 2011 to March 2012 Slide 58 Workforce Analysis continued… Colchester’s total sickness absence rate is lower than the East of England Strategic Health Authority average and the national average. This pattern is replicated in the more granular nursing and other staff categories, both of which are lower than their respective national averages, although the figure for medical staff is higher than the average for all trusts in England. Colchester has a medical staff to consultant ratio below the national average, as is its nurse staff to qualified staff ratio. The Trust’s registered nurse hours to patient day ratio is also lower than the average for all trusts in England. However, its non-clinical staff to total staff ratio is above the national average. The Trust’s consultant productivity ratio is above the national average. Colchester’s three month vacancy rate for its medical staff is above the national average. 3 month Vacancy Rates by Staff Category Colchester (March 2010) National Average Medical Staff 1.6% 1.4% Non-medial Staff 0.0% 0.4% Source: The Health and Social Care Information Centre Non-Medical Workforce Census (Sept 2009), Vacancies Survey March 2010 Workforce indicator calculations are listed in the Appendix. Sickness Absence Rates (2011-2012) Colchester East of England SHA Average National Average 3.59% 4.03% 4.12% All Staff Source: Health and Social Care Information Centre (HSCIC) Sickness Absence Rates by Staff Category (Dec 12) Colchester National Average Medical Staff 1.7% 1.3% Nursing Staff 3.9% 4.8% Other Staff 4.4% 4.7% Source: Acute Trust Quality Dashboard, Methods Insight Staff Ratios Colchester National Average Medical Staff to Consultant Ratio 2.55 2.59 Nurse Staff to Qualified Staff Ratio 2.07 2.50 Non-Clinical Staff to Total Staff Ratio 0.38 0.34 Registered Nurse Hours to Patient Day Ratio * 7.43 8.57 Source: Electronic Staff Record (ESR), Apr 13 *Patient Bed Days Data: Healthcare Evaluation Data Apr 12 – Mar 13 Staff Productivity Consultant Productivity (Spells/FTE) Source: Electronic Staff Record (ESR), Apr 13 Colchester National Average 575 492 Slide 59 Workforce Analysis continued… National Staff Survey results Colchester response rate to the staff survey is significantly below average and has fallen in 2012. The staff engagement score is below average when compared with trusts of a similar type, although it improved in 2012. Colchester is significantly below the national average for the percentage of staff who would be happy with the standard of care if a friend or relative needed treatment. It is below average on recommending it as a place to work which has fallen in 2012 compared with 2011. Colchester 2011 Average for all trusts 2011 Colchester 2012 Average for all trusts 2012 57% 50% 39% 50% 3.60 3.62 3.62 3.69 Care of patients/service users in my organisation’s top priority 57% 69% 64% 63% I would recommend my organisation a place to work 54% 52% 53% 55% If a friend or relative needed treatment, I would be happy with the standard of care provided by this organisation 56% 62% 58% 60% Response rate Overall staff engagement Source: National Staff Survey 2011, 2012 Source: 2011/12 Organisational Readiness Self-Assessment (ORSA) Source: GMC evidence to Review 2013 Data based on the appraisal year from April 2011 to March 2012 Slide 60 Deanery The Trust was subject to enhanced monitoring in January 2010, when concerns were raised by the CQC. The GMC asked the Deanery to visit the Trust, and they provided assurance that there were no major education concerns. National Training Scheme (NTS) Outliers – Programme Groups by Trust/Board between 2010-12 Obstetrics and Gynaecology and General Surgery were the programmes with the most activity below outliers between 2010 and 2012. Anaesthetics was the programme with the most above outliers reported during the same period. Trainees at the Trust reported a similar number of outliers in each year, and no indicator was an outlier in two or more years. NTS 2012 Patient Safety Comments 10 doctors in training commented, representing 5.99% of respondents. This was higher than the national average of 4.7%. Their concerns, which were raised in relation to specific training posts, and may apply to a single or multiple departments, related to: • Low staffing levels, especially at night and weekends; • Lack of formal handover; • Informal patient handover between consultants; • Long waiting times; • Patients move between wards frequently; and • Unsafe rota design. Source: GMC evidence to Review 2013 Slide 61 Deanery Reports The Deanery Report in 2012 identified a number of concerns, including a breach of information governance (use of passwords), the board level governance of education and training, compliance with mandatory training requirements (E&D and safeguarding), provision of safe clinical services at Essex County Hospital and the lack of adequate infrastructure to ensure timely access to patient results and reports. Monitored under the response to concerns process? Undermining Yes, the Trust was monitored, but this case is now closed. A concern at Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust was raised by Postgraduate Medical Education and Training Board (PMETB) in January 2010, following a CQC report. For doctors in training, Colchester has a score of 92.6 on “undermining,” below the national average of 94, which is the rationale for the Trust’s red rating on this measure. The Trust’s score is among the lowest of all 14 trusts covered by the review. The Deanery undertook a programme of visits to the Trust at PMETB’s request; reports back to PMETB stated that there were no major educational concerns, and that quality control of training at the Trust was being dealt with appropriately. Mean Score on 'Undermining' 105 100 Colchester 92.6 95 90 85 80 Trusts covered by review All other non specialist trusts Slide 62 Source: National Training Survey 2012 Clinical and operational effectiveness Slide 63 Clinical and Operational Effectiveness Overview: The following section provides an insight in to the Trust’s clinical and operational performance based on nationally recognised key performance indicators. Review Areas: To undertake a detailed analysis of the Trust’s clinical and operational performance it is necessary to review the following areas: • Clinical Effectiveness; • Operational Effectiveness; and • Patient Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs) for the review areas. Data Sources: • Clinical Audit Data Trust, CQC Data Submission; • Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED), Jan – Dec 2012; • Department of Health; • Cancer Waits Database, Q3, 2012-13; and • PROMs Dashboard. All data and sources used are consistent across the packs for the 14 trusts included in this review. Summary: Colchester is at the lower end of the distribution for the proportion of women receiving ante-natal steroids, and some way short of the 85% national standard. The Trust sees 96.6% of A&E patients within 4 hours which is above the 95% target level. The percentage of patients seen within 4 hours was relatively consistent during 2012. 93.8% of patients start treatment within the 18 week target time which is above the target level. This has been a consistent trend from April 2012 to March 2013. Colchester’s crude readmission rate is among the lower readmission rates of the trusts in the review as well as nationally, at 10.9%. Similarly, their standardised readmission rate shows a level of performance that is statistically below what is expected. The Trust’s average length of stay is shorter than that of the national average. The PROMs dashboard shows that Colchester was an average performer overall. None of the indicators fell outside of the control limits for the 3 years shown in the dashboard. Slide 64 Clinical and Operational Effectiveness Clinical effectiveness This page shows the Clinical and Operational Effectiveness measures which are considered to be the most pertinent for this review. Further analysis, where relevant, is detailed in the following pages. Neonatal – women receiving steroids Coronary angioplasty Heart failure Adult Critical care Peripheral vascular surgery Lung cancer Diabetes safety/ effectiveness Carotid interventions Bowel cancer PROMS safety/ effectiveness Acute MI Hip fracture - mortality Joints – revision ratio Acute stroke Severe trauma Elective Surgery Cancelled Operations Emergency readmissions PbR Coding Audit Operational Effectivenes s RTT Waiting Times Cancer Waits A&E Waits PROMs Dashboard Hip Replacement EQ-5D Knee Replacement EQ-5D Varicose Vein EQ-5D Hip Replacement OHS Knee Replacement OKS Outcome 1 (R17) Respecting and involving people who use services Groin Hernia EQ-5D Outside expected range Within expected range Slide 65 Clinical Effectiveness: National Clinical Audits The National Clinical Audits provide a valuable source of evidence on clinical effectiveness. These two tables show the clinical audit results considered as part of this review. Clinical Audit Diabetes Elective Surgery Safety Measure Clinical Audit Proportion with medication error Proportion experiencing severe hypoglycaemic episode Neonatal intensive and special care (NNAP) Proportion of women receiving antenatal steroids Diabetes Proportion foot risk assessment Adult Critical Care Standardised hospital mortality ratio Proportion of patient reported post-operative complications Coronary angioplasty Acute Myocardial Infarction Proportion receiving primary PCI within 90 mins Elective abdominal aortic aneurysm post-op mortality Proportion having surgery within 14 days of referral Proportion discharged on beta-blocker Acute Stroke Proportion compliant with 12 indicators Heart Failure Proportion referred for cardiology follow up 90 day post-op mortality Peripheral vascular surgery Adult Critical Care (ICNARC CMPD) Effectiveness Measures Proportion of night-time discharges Carotid interventions Bowel cancer Hip Fracture Elective surgery (PROMS) Severe Trauma Hip, knee and ankle Lung Cancer Source: Clinical Audit Data Trust, CQC Data Submission. 30 day mortality Proportion operations within 36 hrs Mean adjusted post-operative score Proportion surviving to hospital discharge Standardised revision ratio Proportion small cell patients receiving chemotherapy Slide 66 Clinical effectiveness: Clinical Audits In the National Clinical Audit for Neonatal intensive and special care (NNAP), a key measure of effectiveness is the percentage of women receiving ante-natal steroids. Proportion of women receiving ante-natal steroids (level 2) On this measure, Colchester is at the lower end of the distribution, and some way short of the national average. Colchester Hospital Slide 67 PROMs Dashboard The PROMs dashboard shows that Colchester was an average performer overall. None of the indicators fell outside the control limits for the 3 years shown in the dashboard. Hip Replacement EQ-5D 0.5 0.4 England Average 0.3 Colchester 0.2 Upper Control Limit Lower Control Limit 0.1 2 20 11 /1 1 20 10 /1 20 09 /1 0 0 Source: PROMs Dashboard and NHS Litigation Authority Slide 68 Operational Effectiveness – A&E wait times and Referral to Treatment (RTT) times Colchester sees 96.6% of A&E patients within 4 hours which is above the 95% target level. The time series graph shows that this has been a consistent trend January 2012 to December 2012. A&E Percentage of Patients Seen within 4 Hours 105% 100% Colchester 4 Hour A&E Waits Attendances (Thousands) A&E wait times and RTT times may indicate the effectiveness with which demand is managed. Colchester 96.6% 95% 90% 85% 98.0% 7 97.5% 6 97.0% 5 96.5% 4 96.0% 3 95.5% 2 95.0% 1 94.5% 0 94.0% 80% 75% Number of patients seen within 4 hours 70% Patients Not Seen Trusts Covered by Review All Trusts A&E Target 95% Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED). Jan – Dec 12 Seen within 4 hours (%) Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED). Jan – Dec 12 Referral to Treatment (Admitted) Colchester Referral to Treatment Performance 105% 93.8% of patients are seen within the 18 week target time which is above the target level. In addition, the time series shows that Colchester has been consistently performing above the target rate. 8 100% 95% Colchester 93.8% 98% 96% 94% 90% 92% 85% 90% 80% 88% 86% 75% Trusts Covered by Review Source: Department of Health. Feb 13 All Trusts RTT Target 90% Referral to Treatment Rate RTT Target 90% Source: Department of Health. Apr 12 – Feb 13 Slide 69 Operational Effectiveness – Emergency Re-admissions and Length of Stay The standardised readmission rate, most importantly, accounts for the trust’s case mix and shows Colchester is statistically lower than expected having one of the lowest standardised readmission rates of the 14 selected trusts. Colchester’s average length of stay is 4.0 days, which is shorter than the national mean average of 5.2 days. 25% Crude Readmission Rate Colchester’s crude readmission rate is among the lower readmission rates of the trusts in the review as well as nationally, at 10.9%. Standardised 30-day Readmission Rate Crude Readmission Rate by Trust 20% Colchester 10.9% 15% 10% 5% 0% Trusts Covered by Review Colchester Selected trusts Outside Selected trusts w/in Range All Trusts Average Length of Stay by Trust 10 9 Spell Duration (Days) Readmission rates may indicate the appropriateness of treatment offered, whilst average length of stay may indicate the efficiency of treatment. 8 7 Colchester 3.96 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Trusts Covered by Review Source: Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED); Jan 12 – Dec 12 All Trusts Slide 70 Operational Effectiveness – Payment by Results coding audit The Payment by Results (PbR) Data Assurance Framework has a national clinical coding audit programme managed by the Audit Commission, which provides assurance around the quality of data underpinning PbR payments. Inpatient coding was audited for all Trusts from 2007/08. In 2010/11 it was only audited for the 30 Trusts with previously consistently high error rates (using a sample of episodes and targeted using local knowledge). Outpatient coding was added in 2009/10 and the most poorly performing 20% of Trusts were followed up in 2010/11. Colchester was identified among the 30 Trusts with a consistently high inpatient coding error rate up to 2009/10. In 2010/11 it remained in the worst performing category. It had 12% of HRGs derived incorrectly and 19.4% of clinical codes (procedures and diagnoses) recorded incorrectly, based on 300 cases reviewed by accredited clinical coding auditors. QRP data shows the proportion of secondary procedures recorded incorrectly remains worse than expected in 2011/12, at 15.7%. However the error rates for primary procedures and for primary and secondary diagnoses were within an expected range. Colchester was also identified as being in the worst performing 20% of Trusts for outpatient coding in 2009/10. It showed improvement in attendance errors in 2010/11, but the recording of outpatient procedures showed a 24% error. There were no issues at the Trust with the coding of reference costs. Source: PbR Data Assurance Framework, Audit Commission Slide 71 Leadership and governance Slide 72 Leadership and governance Overview: Summary: This section provides an indication of the Trust’s governance procedures. The Trust Board is comprised of primarily substantive appointments (except the Director of Nursing and the Director of Workforce), and has been relatively stable for the past two years. The Chair and Chief Executive took up their posts at the Trust in late summer 2010 following the removal of the previous Chair (Monitor intervention) and the retirement of the previous Chief Executive. Review Areas: To provide this indication of the Trust’s leadership and governance procedures we have reviewed the following areas: • Trust Board; • Governance and clinical structure; and • External reviews of quality. Data Sources: • Board and quality subcommittee agendas, minutes and papers; • Quality strategy; • Reports from external agencies on quality; • Board Assurance Framework and Trust Risk Register; and • Organisational structures and CVs of Board members. All data and sources used are consistent across the packs for the 14 trusts included in this review. The Board sub-committee with responsibility for quality governance is the Quality and Patient Safety Committee. This sub-committee is chaired by a non-executive director. A recent review by the CQC has identified minor concerns in relation to outcome 1 (Respecting and involving people who use services) and moderate concerns in relation to outcome 16 (Assessing and monitoring the quality of service provision ). Key risks for the Trust relate to mortality (in particular perinatal mortality), end of life provision across the community, serious incidents in obstetrics, surgical site infections, learning from experience, staffing levels and the emergency assessment unit. The latest serious incident report (for the period 1 Nov 2012 to 8 Feb 2013) has identified 44 serious incidents including two never events (retained swab and suboptimal care). Slide 73 Leadership and governance This page shows the latest rating against regulatory standards, the items rated ‘red’ or ‘amber’ below are discussed in more detail in the following pages. Leadership and governance Monitor governance risk rating Monitor finance rating CQC Outcomes 4 Governance risk rating Red - Likely or actual significant breach of terms of authorisation Amber-red - Material concerns surrounding terms of authorisation Amber-green - Limited concerns surrounding terms of authorisation Green - No material concerns CQC Concerns Red – Major concern Amber – Minor or Moderate concern Green – No concerns Financial risk rating rated 1-5, where 1 represents the highest risk and 5 the lowest Slide 74 Leadership and governance Trust Board The Trust Board is comprised of primarily substantive appointments, and has been relatively stable for the past two years. The Chair and Chief Executive took up their posts at the Trust in late summer 2010 following the removal of the previous Chair (Monitor intervention) and the retirement of the previous Chief Executive. The Director of Nursing is an ‘acting’ role, appointed in April 2013, and the Director of Workforce is an interim role. Governance and clinical structures The Trust Board receives assurance from four sub-committees; the Quality & Patient Safety Committee, Finance & Resourcing Committee, Performance Assurance Committee and Audit & Risk Assurance Committee. These sub-committees are chaired by non-executive directors. Board priorities for 2012/13 1. Inspiring our employees 2. Delivering high quality services 3. Strengthening our centre of excellence 4. Shaping the future, ready to respond 5. Building a sustainable future External reviews and regulation Monitor amended the financial risk rating for the Trust from 3 to 4 in November 2012 due to an improvement in the Trust's financial position. The governance risk rating for this foundation trust was amended from green to amber-red in December 2012 due the Trust breaching the C difficile target in Q3 2012/13. A recent review by the Care Quality Commission found that the Trust was not meeting two outcomes: • Respecting and involving people who use services (minor concerns); • Assessing and monitoring the quality of service provision (moderate concerns); and The Trust has also had a number of external reviews, which we consider further on the following pages. A diagram of board members and committee structure can be found in the Appendix. Slide 75 Top risks to quality The table includes the top risks and significant challenges to quality identified by the Trust. Trust identified risks Trust response Relative risk and observed mortality SHMI significantly above the expected level with the current reported HSMR in line with the expected level. Mortality performance including progress against the improvement work is routinely reported by the Medical Director and Chief Executive to the Board and the Board actively debates mortality issues. Copies of detailed reviews are also submitted to the Board as and when they arise. Examples of such reports include the report commissioned from Dr Foster Group to investigate the unaccounted for variance between the Trust’s reported SHMI and HSMR and the detailed patient review of mortalities such as that undertaken for deaths in August 2012. Since December 2010 the Trust has operated a weekly mortality review process where10% of deaths are randomly selected and the responsible consultant and matron are invited to present the case to a group of clinical peers, executives and clinical safety managers. More recently GP representation has joined this weekly review to enable improvements in the patient pathway that straddle multiple organisations. The Trust operates a monthly alerts review process using the Dr Foster Intelligence tool to identify diagnosis or procedure groups where the relative risk is higher than expected or where there is an emerging risk. This process has been co-ordinated by the Associate Director of Service Improvement who supports the Medical Director in improving clinical and documentation processes that impact on mortality since October 2012. This process is supported through the Trust Quality Hub. End of life provision across the economy Clinical reviews and audits have identified that a high proportion of deaths occur in patients admitted at the end of their life. A review of end of life provision was undertaken by Marie Curie Cancer Centre in 2011 as part of the “Delivering Choice Agenda”. This identified that end of life care in North East Essex is provided by a variety of organisations and professional groups. Consequently a very complex system has arisen, with limited joined-up working and out-of-hours /weekend provision and fewer hospice beds compared with the national. Implementation of key recommendations from this review has been slow and has been impacted by transition from PCTs to CCGs. However, work is now in train to implement end of life transformational change in 2013/14, including a single point of access (through transition funding) increasing the number of patients on the GSF Register (through Locally Enhanced Services) and improving discharge communication (through CQUINs). Slide 76 Top risks to quality The table includes the top risks and significant challenges to quality identified by the Trust. Trust identified risks Trust response Perinatal mortality The Trust has a higher observed mortality compared to the historical national. In the absence of contemporary national benchmark data Professor Elizabeth Draper, Professor of Perinatal & Paediatric Epidemiology, University of Leicester was asked to review the Trust’s mortality. She identified that we are ‘obviously very rigorous in our reporting of any signs of life for all possible cases of live birth and that there is large variation in the registration of live births around the time of viability across England which has a major impact upon neonatal mortality and infant death rates. The national variability makes it difficult for the department to assess whether the higher observed rate seen is as a result of clinical quality of care or national variability. All mortalities undergo a full clinical review as part of the Divisions’ governance process. Obstetric serious incidents Following six Serious Incidents over a 16-month period including a maternal death in 2011, the Trust invited the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists to undertake a review. Overall the college identified that the service was safe, complied with the majority of standards, that satisfactory governance processes were in place and that there was evidence of good practice. Several recommendations to improve patient flow and communication were also identified. A task group to implement the recommendations has been set up and progress is being made. This is being kept under regular review and is monitored through the Quality & Patient Safety Committee. Surgical site infections The Trust invited the Health Protection Agency to support improvements in surgical site infection rates in large bowel surgery. Working with the clinical teams to develop an improvement plan, the Trust has set up a surveillance group to provide assurance on progress against the plan to deliver the improvements. Learning from experience The processes for reporting incidents, themes from complaints and closing down Learning from Experience Action Plans (LEAPs) has been identified as an area for improvement within the Trust. This has been demonstrated through the recent Care Quality Commission (CQC) inspection where a moderate concern to compliance was raised and through a contract query from the CCG. A review has identified areas for improvement related to the reporting of serious incidents in line with national guidance and the documentation of the actions taken to conclude LEAPs. Although evidence suggests actions have been taken at Divisional level this is not comprehensively documented. Independent internal audit of current processes has been undertaken and a detailed plan has been submitted to the CQC and CCG to both close LEAPs and ensure reporting structures and processes are robust going forward. Slide 77 Top risks to quality The table includes the top risks and significant challenges to quality identified by the Trust. Trust identified risks Trust response Staffing levels and recruitment The number of nursing staff has increased by 105 and the number of consultants has increased by 16 in the last three years. Recruitment of sufficient numbers of nurses has proven difficult locally and a recruitment strategy has been agreed including seeking opportunities outside of the local population area. A review of midwifery numbers identifies a gap to meet the Birthrate plus standards. The economy currently does not have an agreed position on how this gap will be funded. The Trust is funding these additional posts whilst the Director to Director discussions with the CCG continue. Emergency Assessment Unit (EAU) Although some improvement in hospital standardised mortality rates (HSMR) had been made this was not reducing at the rate the Board would have liked. As 98% of deaths are in the emergency pathway the Trust invited the Emergency Care Intensive Support Team (ECIST) in February 2011 to support improvements in emergency care and patient safety. Good progress has been made delivering phase 1 improvements in early and timely senior medical review (expanded consultant presence on site until midnight), timely assessment and treatment in the emergency department, reduction in outliers, structured ward board rounds and development of core quality standards across the patient pathway. ECIST have included the work undertaken at the Trust as an example of good practice in work they have undertaken in other organisations as part of their improving emergency pathway work programmes. While good progress has been made in the first phase of work, further work is required to improve the patient flow, capacity and capability within the EAU to improve the quality and consistency of the care provided. Work has started to restructure the senior nursing and management leadership within the department. Facilitated patient flow workshops have been arranged to develop the next phase of the change programme. Slide 78 Leadership and governance External reviews A recent CQC inspection of Colchester General Hospital in January 2013 considered the Trust’s compliance with six outcomes (respecting and involving people who use services, care and welfare of people who use services, meeting nutritional needs, management of medicines, supporting workers and assessing and monitoring the quality of service provision. The Trust was found to be compliant with all but two of these standards: • Respecting and involving people who use services (minor concerns). • Assessing and monitoring the quality of service provision (moderate concerns). In particular, this review identified 21 incidents from 1 April to 31 December 2012 that the CQC felt should have been classified as a serious incident but weren’t. The Trust has reviewed these incidents; a paper presented to the March Board concluded that four of these incidents should be reclassified. The Trust has engaged with a number of external bodies to review its services including Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Emergency Care Intensive Support Team, Dr Foster, Professor Elizabeth Draper (Professor of Perinatal and Paediatric Epidemiology, University of Leicester), the Health Protection Agency, Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists and Foresight Partnership LLP. A number of these reviews have focused on historic issues with the maternity services provided by the Trust. As noted in the risks section above, the Trust has had a higher than expected perinatal mortality, and experienced six serious untoward incidents in maternity over a 16 month period around 2011. Concerns were also raised in relation to serious incidents in maternity historically being reported on an incorrect system. Cost Improvement Programme In 2012/13 the Trust achieved cost improvement programmes of £4.5m (£1.8m pay, £2.7m non-pay). The largest projects related to bed reductions and estates and facilities. In 2013/14, the Trust plans to achieve cost improvements of £9.7m (of which £3.1m relates to income generation, and £6.6m relates to cost savings). Each CIP is developed by the divisions with sign off from clinical leadership within the divisions. The planned CIPs are then approved by the Medical Director and Director of Nursing, prior to Executive Team and Trust Board sign off. Slide 79 Appendix Slide 80 Trust Map – Colchester General Hospital Source: Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust website Slide 81 Serious harm definition A serious incident requiring investigation is defined as an incident that occurred in relation to NHS-funded services and care resulting in one of the following: • Unexpected or avoidable death of one or more patients, staff, visitors or members of the public; • Serious harm to one or more patients, staff, visitors or members of the public or where the outcome requires life-saving intervention, major surgical/medical intervention, permanent harm or will shorten life expectancy or result in prolonged pain or psychological harm (this includes incidents graded under the NPSA definition of severe harm); • A scenario that prevents or threatens to prevent a provider organisation's ability to continue to deliver healthcare services, for example, actual or potential loss of personal/organisational information, damage to property, reputation or the environment, or IT failure; • Allegations of abuse; • Adverse media coverage or public concern about the organisation or the wider NHS; and • One of the core set of "Never Events" as updated on an annual basis. Source: UK National Screening Committee Slide 82 Workforce Indicator Calculations Indicator WTE nurses per bed day Spells per WTE staff Medical Staff to Consultant Ratio Nurse Staff to Qualified Staff Ratio Numerator / Denominator Calculation Source Numerator Nurses FTE’s Denominator Total number of Bed Days Acute Quality Dashboard Numerator Total Number of Spells Denominator Total number of WTE’s Numerator FTEs whose job role is ‘Consultant’ Denominator FTEs in ‘Medical and Dental’ Staff Group Numerator FTEs in ‘Nursing & Midwifery Registered’ Staff Group Denominator FTEs of Additional Clinical Services – 85% of bands 2, 3 and 4 Numerator FTEs not in ‘Nursing and Midwifery Registered’, ‘Additional Clinical Services,’ ‘Allied Health Professionals’ or ‘Medical and Dental’ staff groups Denominator Sum of FTEs for all staff groups Numerator Number of Inpatient Spells Denominator FTEs whose job role is ‘Consultant’ Numerator Nurse FTEs multiplied by 1522 (calculated number of hours per year which takes into account annual leave and sickness rates) Denominator Total Bed Days Non-clinical Staff to Total Staff Ratio Consultant Productivity (Spells/FTE) Nurse hours per patient day Note: ESR Data only includes substantive staff. HED ESR ESR ESR ESR HED ESR ESR HED Board members Slide 84 Committee structures Slide 85 Data Sources No. Data Source name 1 Board of Directors Meeting 30th January, 2013 2 Department of Health: Transparency Website, Dec 12 3 Healthcare Evaluation Data (HED) 4 NHS Choices 5 Office of National Statistics, 2011 Census data 6 Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2011 7 © Google Maps 8 Public Health Observatories – Area health profiles Area Context Context Context, Mortality, Clinical and Operational Effectiveness Context Context Context Context Context 9 Background to the review and role of the national advisory group Context Health & Social Care Information Centre – SHMI and contextual 10 indicators 11 Dr Foster – HSMR Mortality Mortality 12 Care Quality Commission – alerts, correspondence and findings 13 Patient Experience Survey 14 Cancer Patient Experience Survey 15 Peoples Voice Summary 16 Complaints data Mortality Patient Experience Patient Experience Patient Experience Patient Experience 17 Acute Trust Quality Dashboard, Oct 2011 – Mar 2012 18 Safety Thermometer, Apr – Dec 2012 19 Litigation Authority Reports 20 GMC Evidence to Review 2013 21 National Staff Survey 2011, 2012 Safety and Workforce Safety and Workforce Safety and Workforce Safety and Workforce Safety and Workforce 22 2011/12 Organisational Readiness Self-Assessment (ORSA) 23 National Training Survey, 2012 Safety and Workforce Safety and Workforce NHS Hospital & Community Health Service (HCHS), monthly workforce 24 statistics 25 Clinical Audit Data Trust, CQC Data Submission 26 Department of Health 27 Cancer Waits Database, Q3, 2012-13 28 PROMs Dashboard Safety and Workforce Clinical and Operational Effectiveness Clinical and Operational Effectiveness Clinical and Operational Effectiveness Clinical and Operational Effectiveness 29 Board and quality subcommittee agendas, minutes and papers 30 Quality strategy 31 Reports from external agencies on quality Leadership and Governance Leadership and Governance Leadership and Governance 32 Board Assurance Framework and Trust Risk Register Leadership and Governance 33 Organisational structures and CVs of Board members Leadership and Governance 34 Colchester Hospital University NHS Foundation Trust website 35 UK National Screening Committee Appendix Appendix Slide 86 SHMI Appendix Observed Deaths that are higher than the expected Admission Method Treatment Specialty Diagnostic Group SHMI Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) 264.6 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Cancer of head and neck Pneumonia (except that caused by tuberculosis or sexually transmitted disease) 641.8 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Acute bronchitis 553.6 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Other upper respiratory disease 16093 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Cancer of colon 1755 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Melanomas of skin 7037 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Non-Hodgkin`s lymphoma 397.8 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Malignant neoplasm without specification of site 2851 2 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Other nutritional; endocrine; and metabolic disorders 1614 1 Elective 800 - Clinical oncology (previously known as Radiotherapy) Deficiency and other anemia 207.8 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Conduction disorders 128.3 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cardiac dysrhythmias 106.1 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cardiac arrest and ventricular fibrillation 113.1 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other circulatory disease 181.8 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Phlebitis; thrombophlebitis and thromboembolism 191.6 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of esophagus 131.7 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine ther diseases of veins and lymphatics 301.3 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Asthma 236.7 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of stomach 132 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Lung disease due to external agents 312.2 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Disorders of teeth and jaw 990.2 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of colon 126.9 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other disorders of stomach and duodenum 592 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Abdominal hernia 207 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Regional enteritis and ulcerative colitis 411.4 3 Slide 87 SHMI Appendix Diagnostic Group Observed Deaths that are higher than the expected Admission Method Treatment Specialty SHMI Non-elective 300 - General medicine Diverticulosis and diverticulitis 255.8 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Peritonitis and intestinal abscess 694.4 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Biliary tract disease 133.5 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of liver and intrahepatic bile duct 191.7 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Calculus of urinary tract 536.6 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other diseases of kidney and ureters 589.7 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Inflammatory conditions of male genital organs 1736 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of pancreas 121.5 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine 222.5 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of other GI organs; peritoneum Infective arthritis and osteomyelitis (except that caused by tuberculosis or sexually transmitted disease) 182.1 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Osteoarthritis 352.7 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other non 113 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of bone and connective tissue 223.8 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Systemic lupus erythematosus and connective tissue disorders 3243 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other connective tissue disease 108.7 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cardiac and circulatory congenital anomalies 2966 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Skull and face fractures 207.3 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other fractures 156.1 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Intracranial injury 124.3 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Complication of device; implant or graft 181 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Complications of surgical procedures or medical care 193.9 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Superficial injury; contusion 116.9 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of breast 162.5 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Poisoning by psychotropic agents 361.1 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Abdominal pain 141.1 1 Slide 88 SHMI Appendix Diagnostic Group Observed Deaths that are higher than the expected Admission Method Treatment Specialty SHMI Non-elective 300 - General medicine Allergic reactions 192.3 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of ovary 151.3 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of kidney and renal pelvis 293.4 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of thyroid 292.8 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Mycoses 342.6 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Multiple myeloma 248.1 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer; other and unspecified primary 233.1 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Nutritional deficiencies 223.1 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Gout and other crystal arthropathies 213.9 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Fluid and electrolyte disorders 111.4 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Deficiency and other anemia 145 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other psychoses 145 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other CNS infection and poliomyelitis 566.2 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Parkinson`s disease 244.3 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Epilepsy; convulsions 136.2 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Coma; stupor; and brain damage 210.8 3 Non-elective 422 - Neonatology Nervous system congenital anomalies 8243 1 Non-elective 422 - Neonatology Intrauterine hypoxia and birth asphyxia 5792 3 Non-elective 422 - Neonatology Respiratory distress syndrome 1059 1 Non-elective 422 - Neonatology Other perinatal conditions 408.5 2 Non-elective 422 - Neonatology Residual codes; unclassified 20235 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Pulmonary heart disease 242.6 2 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Cardiac dysrhythmias 139.2 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Congestive heart failure; nonhypertensive 122.1 2 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Cancer of head and neck 266.3 1 Slide 89 SHMI Appendix Diagnostic Group Observed Deaths that are higher than the expected Admission Method Treatment Specialty SHMI Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Phlebitis; thrombophlebitis and thromboembolism 606.9 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Pneumonia (except that caused by tuberculosis or sexually transmitted disease) 106.9 2 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Acute bronchitis 168.2 3 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchiectasis 162.6 3 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Asthma 359.9 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Aspiration pneumonitis; food/vomitus 126.2 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Other lower respiratory disease 267.6 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Diseases of mouth; excluding dental 3683 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Cancer of colon 338 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Abdominal hernia 220 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Biliary tract disease 194.2 2 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Pancreatic disorders (not diabetes) 2299 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Noninfectious gastroenteritis 284.8 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Other diseases of kidney and ureters 727.3 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Genitourinary symptoms and ill 1411 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Cancer of pancreas 148.5 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Skin and subcutaneous tissue infections 218.2 2 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Other inflammatory condition of skin 317.1 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Chronic ulcer of skin 185.4 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Septicemia (except in labor) 129.2 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Osteoarthritis 624.2 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Spondylosis; intervertebral disc disorders; other back problems 368.6 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Other connective tissue disease 183.9 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Other fractures 467.2 2 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Open wounds of head; neck; and trunk 490.9 2 Slide 90 SHMI Appendix Diagnostic Group Observed Deaths that are higher than the expected Admission Method Treatment Specialty SHMI Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Superficial injury; contusion 302.4 2 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Nausea and vomiting 281.7 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Residual codes; unclassified 435.4 3 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Cancer of bladder 272.5 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Senility and organic mental disorders 161.9 3 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Parkinson`s disease 407.5 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Other hereditary and degenerative nervous system conditions 221.1 1 Non-elective 430 - Geriatric medicine Epilepsy; convulsions 261.5 2 Non-elective 501 - Obstetrics Short gestation; low birth weight; and fetal growth retardation 4401 1 Slide 91 HSMR Appendix Admission Method Treatment Specialty Diagnostic Group Non-elective 300 - General medicine Abdominal pain Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of bladder Non-elective 300 - General medicine Non-elective Observed Deaths that are higher than the expected HSMR 266.9 3 156 2 Cancer of ovary 157.9 1 300 - General medicine Cancer of pancreas 112.7 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of rectum and anus 176.8 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cancer of stomach 166.2 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cardiac arrest and ventricular fibrillation 105.4 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Cardiac dysrhythmias 134.2 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Chronic ulcer of skin 147.2 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Complication of device; implant or graft 129.2 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Coronary atherosclerosis and other heart disease 143.6 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Fluid and electrolyte disorders 127 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Intestinal obstruction without hernia 188.5 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Malignant neoplasm without specification of site 133.1 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Non-Hodgkin`s lymphoma 219.8 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other circulatory disease 205.7 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other fractures 135.2 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other gastrointestinal disorders 114.2 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other liver diseases 127.3 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Other upper respiratory disease 178.7 3 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Peripheral and visceral atherosclerosis 174.8 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Peritonitis and intestinal abscess 243 1 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Secondary malignancies 126 2 Non-elective 300 - General medicine Senility and organic mental disorders 118.6 2 Slide 92 Higher than Expected Diagnostic Groups HSMR / SHMI Summary (Elective) Treatment Specialty Clinical oncology HSMR SHMI X Slide 93 Higher than Expected Diagnostic Groups HSMR / SHMI Summary (Nonelective) Treatment Specialty General medicine HSMR SHMI X X Geriatric medicine X Neonatology X Obstetrics X X Slide 94