Hypothesis Testing for One Proportion p (one sample) 1. State Hypotheses: H0 : p = p 0 Ha : p > p0 Ha : p < p0 Ha : p 6= p0 2. Test Statistic: z=s p̂ − p0 p0 (1 − p0 ) n We use p0 instead of p̂ in standard deviation (denominator) since we are assuming H0 is true. Note: Find p-values as test for µ when σ is known, using standard normal distribution (Table A) 3. p-value: probability of getting more extreme test statistic than z given H0 is true Ha : p > p0 p-value = P (Z > z) Ha : p < p0 p-value = P (Z < z) Ha : p 6= p0 p-value = 2P (Z > |z|) = 2P (Z < −|z|) 4. Decision: Reject H0 if p − value ≤ α 5. Conclusion: If reject H0 ⇒ statistically significant evidence to support the claim made in Ha If fail to reject H0 ⇒ no statistically significant evidence to support the claim made in Ha 1 Example: In a recent year, 73% of 1st-year college students responding to a national survey identified “being very well-off financially” as an important personal goal. In a random sample of 200 of its 1st-year students, a state university finds that 132 students say that this goal is important. Test the hypothesis that the proportion of 1st-year students at this university who think this goal is important differs from the national value of 73% at the 0.10 significance level. 1. State Hypotheses: 2. Test statistic: 3. p-value: 4. Decision: significant evidence to conclude that the 5. Conclusion: There is proportion p of students at this university, who think being very well-off is important, differs from the national value of 73% (i.e., p 6= 0.73). 2