2013 Driving wealth creation & social development in British Columbia 2013 GEM BRITISH COLUMBIA Brian Wixted Adam Holbrook with assistance from Kaily Furlot and Graeme Webb GEM British Report 2013 OntarioColumbia Report 2013 Executive Summary ....................................................................................1 1. CONTENTS Innovation and clusters, entrepreneurship and people .......................................................3 2. The context for entrepreneurship: The British Columbia economy ...................................................5 2.1. The Labour Force ................................................................................5 2.2. Sectoral composition of the BC economy............................................8 3. Core GEM Entrepreneurship Indicators for British Columbia ..............................................................................10 3.1. Entrepreneurship in GEM .................................................................10 3.2. The GEM Methodology in Brief ........................................................10 3.3. Different Entrepreneurial Structures ................................................11 3.4. The 2013 Canadian Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Survey ........13 4. British Columbia: Provincial Special Topics .......................20 4.1. Introduction ......................................................................................20 4.2. Entrepreneurship by economic activity ...........................................20 4.3. Immigrants ........................................................................................22 4.4. Demography (seniors / youth) .........................................................24 4.5. Discussion ..........................................................................................25 i 5. Entrepreneurship Framework Conditions...............................26 5.1. Analysis ..............................................................................................27 5.2. Discussion .........................................................................................30 6.Conclusions .........................................................................................31 6.1. BC’s Policy and Economic Context ....................................................31 6.2. Observations from the GEM British Columbia Survey 2013 ............31 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 CONTENTS Appendix: The GEM Framework .......................................................33 Adult population survey (APS) ................................................................35 Expert survey (NES) ................................................................................36 References ....................................................................................................37 About the Authors ....................................................................................40 Sponsors ........................................................................................................41 GEM Canada Team ...................................................................................43 About THECIS ............................................................................................44 ii GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 1. Self-Employment Rates in Canada .....................................................6 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2. Types of Self-Employment in British Columbia ............................... 7 Figure 3. British Columbia Incorporations ..................................................... 8 Figure 4. Employee Entrepreneurial Activity and Independent Entrepreneurial Activity .....................................................12 Figure 5. TEA in BC and Benchmark Innovation Driven Economies ........... 14 Figure 6. Overview of entrepreneurship across Canada ...................................15 Figure 7. Are there good opportunities near you ..............................................15 Figure 8. Do you have the skills to start a business ..........................................16 Figure 9. Intentions to start a business and TEA ..............................................17 Figure 10. Provincial TEA and 3yr economic growth average ..........................18 Figure 11. Established Businesses .....................................................................19 Figure 12. TEA by economic sector ..................................................................20 Figure 13. Competitive Analysis .......................................................................22 Figure 14. Immigrant Entrepreneurs ...............................................................23 Figure 15. TEA and established business rates by age group ...........................24 Figure 16. BC PES & Canadian NES .................................................................28 iii Figure 17. BC PES and Canadian Provincial PES .............................................29 Figure 18. Education and Training -BC PES and Rest of Canada PES ............30 Figure 19. The GEM Model ...............................................................................34 Figure 20. The Entrepreneurship Process ........................................................35 Table1. Distribution of TEA initiatives over four sectors- G7 ..........................21 Table 2. New markets – few or no competitors ................................................22 LIST OF TABLES GEM British Columbia Report 2013 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM - http://www. gemconsortium.org/, www.gemcanada.org) has developed a rich understanding of global entrepreneurship for about 15 years. It is the largest survey of entrepreneurship in the world covering 70 countries in 2013. Canada last participated in the survey year 2003. However, after a 10 year lapse, not only did Canada participate at the national level but fully seven provinces obtained funding from various sources to conduct their own GEM surveys. This report presents an analysis of the data gathered for British Columbia and develops comparisons with other provinces, Canada and relevant nation–states where appropriate. British Columbia (BC) ranks highly within Canada which ranks very highly against comparable economies for entrepreneurial start-ups. BC also performs strongly for the number of businesses that last longer than 42 months. This report provides comparisons of how BC residents view opportunities for starting a new business, whether they have the skills to start a business, whether they intend to start a new business 1 and the differences between males and females on some of these indicators. We also report on the policy and framework conditions for entrepreneurship in BC. The GEM Methodology The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor is an annual survey that takes place in approximately 70 countries, with exactly the same core set of questions in each. The data is processed centrally to ensure it meets quality control standards. GEM requires a minimum of 2000 responses to its Adult Population Survey (APS) for each participating country and 36 completed expert surveys. In 2013 GEM adult population surveys in Canada were carried at the national level and in seven of the ten provinces (British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec and Newfoundland and Labrador). Participating provinces were oversampled in the APS to get statistically meaningful results for that province. Alongside the population survey, GEM includes a survey of the opinions of experts on the framework conditions for entrepreneurship in a region. Separate expert surveys were conducted for each province and Canada nationally to maximise the richness of the dataset. More details can be found in chapters three and five as well as the appendix to this report. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Results for 2013 (Canada and BC) The data indicates: • BC is in the middle for Canadian provinces in the perception of good business opportunities; • BC is at the high end for intentions to start a new business; • 1st generation immigrants to BC start a new business at about the same rate as 1st generation non-immigrants, which is higher that the BC Total early stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) rate; • BC has a higher percentage of its population owning businesses established for more than 42 months than the rest of Canada; and • Canada and BC rank high in comparison with most developed economies in terms of TEA. TEA is a measure of the degree of entrepreneurship in an economy. The indicator is derived from a number of variables collected through the APS. TEA in BC and Benchmark Innovation Driven Economies 14.0 12.2 12.6 12.7 12.0 10.7 10.0 TEA % of 18-64 Pop 10.0 8.2 8.0 6.3 6.0 4.6 4.0 3.4 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.3 6.5 6.9 7.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.7 9.2 9.3 7.3 5.5 3.7 2.0 .0 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY For BC the key “take home” messages from the Provincial Expert Surveys were: • Generally, expert opinion in BC on the factors affecting entrepreneurship mirrors that of the rest of Canada; • BC experts are more optimistic about the quality of education and training compared to the rest of Canada; • BC lags in terms of attention to finance and market openness; and • Importantly, BC’s framework conditions deemed essential for entrepreneurship are rated neither weak nor strong – just average for Canada. 1. INNOVATION AND CLUSTERS, ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND PEOPLE In the early 1990s, innovation studies scholars (Chris Freeman1, BengtAke Lundvall2, Richard Nelson3 amongst others), seeking to explain the international patterns of R&D expenditure, the development of technology and broader topics of business innovation, suggested that there were national institutional histories and trajectories influencing 3 behaviours. The National Innovation Systems concept started with the notion that businesses did not compete solely on their own merits but existed in a particular milieu (a concept that links well with Porter’s4 clusters as well), and that policy could possibly alter the trajectories of national innovativeness and competitiveness. This insight spurred the development of an extensive literature focussed on different geographic scales of innovation activity. Researchers in Canada, in view of its vast physical geography and its considerable differences in economic geography and population, determined that ‘regional systems’ and ‘clusters’ were the most appropriate analytical lens for innovation studies. The Innovation Systems Research Network5 existed in three funding formats between 1998 and 2012. The findings on the patterns of innovation systems across Canada are as diverse as the regions and industry clusters being examined. History, industrial context, geographic place6 and local universities have all played significant roles in the evolution of GEM British Columbia Report 2013 competitiveness. However, these studies focused either on conducting interviews with business leaders about their firms or on economic data from statistical agencies, for the purpose of aggregating upwards to draw conclusions regarding the innovation dynamics of particular 1. INNOVATION AND CLUSTERS, ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND PEOPLE places. GEM provides a completely different perspective on place. The APS telephone interviews a statistically significant sample of individuals and asks them about their personal experiences of (or not) starting their own business. The expert survey (NES) asks a targeted group of individuals to rank the framework conditions of a particular place for entrepreneurship (Likert scale). We see significant complementarity between the GEM and innovation systems analytical perspectives. The innovation systems approach helps us be aware of the broader context but focusses on firms and geographies. Innovation in firms, however, comes from its people. Further, the people who start businesses (entrepreneurs) must be considered innovators. 4 Not all innovators are entrepreneurs but all entrepreneurs should be understood as innovators – regardless of how technologically sophisticated (or not) their product or service. GEM simply asks, as its key indicator (TEA) “have you started a business and, if so, has it been running for less than 42 months”. Doing something new at this level we think qualifies as a most basic of Schumpeter’s ‘new combinations’7 (Schumpeter, 1934:65-6). Knowing a little about individuals (their attitudes and behaviours) is an invaluable resource for learning about the people who innovate and the places in which they do it, quite apart from the corporate structures so typically the focus of innovation studies. GEM informs us of the innovative/entrepreneurial culture of places, but not about the performance of firms in those places. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 2. THE CONTEXT FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP: THE BRITISH COLUMBIA ECONOMY British Columbia is a unique region in Canada, and needs to be understood in the context of its economic, geographic and political environment. It appears to share some attitudes and cultural values towards freer markets with other Western Provinces (Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta) but it is neither (currently) a large agricultural or oil and gas producer. It does not have the manufacturing base of Ontario and Quebec but its economy is more dynamic than the Maritime Provinces. Bordered by the Pacific and the U.S., BC looks west to Asia as much as it does east to the rest of Canada or south to the U.S. markets. Metro-Vancouver, home to half the province’s population, is also home to the fourth largest port in North America (by tonnage). BC’s distinctiveness is reflected in both its labour force and its sectoral composition, which includes a number of cultural and digital industries (movies and new media etc.). 2.1. The Labour Force The GEM data provide a range of demographic and geographic information on persons establishing new enterprises. However, 5 the GEM data need an economic context. All regions are not alike and policy makers and analysts need to understand the economic environment. In the case of British Columbia this is particularly important; Statistics Canada data suggest that there is a higher rate of self-employment as a share of the employed workforce here than in other GEM Canada comparator provinces and that this has been a consistent pattern since the late 1990s. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 1. Self-Employment Rates in Canada 30.0 25.0 20.0 Canada Newfoundland and Labrador Quebec 15.0 Ontario Manitoba 10.0 Saskatchewan Alberta 5.0 British Columbia Sources: Statistics Canada8 0.0 Notes – percentage of total employed all classes of workers, all industries, 15 and over – both sexes. There are two notable features of Figure 1. First there is an observable break, the point where BC separates from Saskatchewan in 2001, in maintaining a high self-employment rate. While other provinces cycle they do so in a slightly downward trajectory. The two obvious 2. THE CONTEXT FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP: THE BRITISH COLUMBIA ECONOMY peaks in self-employment in BC during the 2000s have resulted in self-employment rates that are quite similar across three peaks and troughs. The late 1990s boom led to a fall in the rate of selfemployment. In the wake of the early 2000s bubble economy, while it took some time to creep up, the downward trend in self-employment stopped very quickly. The rate then slowly edged up to a peak in 20045. A return to a strong economy led to a decrease in self-employment, which stopped again with the global financial crisis of 2008-09. As the economy improved, the rate of self-employment fell again. The BC rate of self-employment is very cyclical and suggests that entrepreneurship policy must take account of this pattern. While there is a difference between male and female rates of self-employment, the pattern for BC is both genders engage in self-employment at a higher rate than the Canadian average. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 6 Figure 2. Types of Self-Employment in British Columbia 250 200 '000 employed 150 Self-employed incorporated, with paid help Self-employed incorporated, no paid help Self-employed unincorporated, with paid help Self-employed unincorporated, no paid help 100 50 7 0 Sources: Statistics Canada9 2. THE CONTEXT FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP: THE BRITISH COLUMBIA ECONOMY It is not surprising that the largest category for self-employment in BC is micro businesses – those that are unincorporated with no paid help (Figure 2). The latest data for the very smallest of businesses10 suggest their share of the business population is similar between BC, Alberta and Canada. In the absence of firm formation data, there are ‘incorporation’ data tracked by BC Stats. Figure 3 compares the number of incorporations for BC as a whole alongside the number for the Vancouver (economic) Regional District. Vancouver accounts for a high percentage of all incorporations, as would be expected, but perhaps a little surprisingly, the ratio between the two is essentially static at around 70 percent (Vancouver v BC) for the period 1990-2012. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 3. British Columbia Incorporations 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 British Columbia Greater Vancouver RD 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Data Source: BC Stats11 8 2.2. Sectoral composition of the BC economy British Columbia has traditionally been understood as a resource driven economy. While resources (forestry, mining etc.) are still important, new clusters of activity in film and new media software have 2. THE CONTEXT FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP: THE BRITISH COLUMBIA ECONOMY emerged in the last fifteen years. As with most other innovation driven economies in North America and Europe, service sectors have become important. However, what stands out in a comparison of the different sectors shares of GDP between British Columbia and Canada is that in BC, real estate and retail trade sectors account for more activity relative to the size of economy than they do for Canada as a whole12. The following economic sectors in BC are notable for being below the Canadian benchmark: • Manufacturing • Mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction • Wholesale trade GEM British Columbia Report 2013 2. THE CONTEXT FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP: THE BRITISH COLUMBIA ECONOMY The following economic sectors in BC are notable for being above the Canadian benchmark: • Finance, insurance and real estate (almost entirely due to real estate activities) • Owner occupied dwellings • Retail trade • Transport and warehousing (Canada’s western ports) • Accommodation and food services Some of these outcomes could be considered as outcomes of a strong tourism sector. 9 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 3.1. Entrepreneurship in GEM Entrepreneurship is defined in the GEM context as: …”any attempt at new business or new venture creation, such as self-employment, a new business organisation, or the expansion of 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA an existing business, by an individual, a team of individuals, or an established business”13. Entrepreneurship comes in many shapes and sizes. The spectrum ranges from persons who need income and go into self-employment, to those with new products or services to offer that have significant growth potential and everyone in between. Of course entrepreneurship is not the only factor in a vibrant economy, but increasingly it is viewed as significant for the long term dynamism of the economy of cities and nations. Entrepreneurship in every case is about an innovation – a new product or service, a new market etc. A particular person in a particular geographic setting within a very specific market setting, not all will be globally important, but each new venture is an individual innovating. Too often we pay little attention to individuals. 10 The GEM data cannot identify the high growth business gazelles14, which are the focus of policy analysis in some nations. GEM instead, measures a huge variety of demographic characteristics of those in the process of starting new businesses across the globe. Age, gender, education, entrepreneurial intentions, success, failure, and owning an existing business (to choose a few indicators) capture the population’s view of entrepreneurship as well as the moment of entrepreneurial activity. This is a rich and diverse dataset from which to develop an understanding of who is being entrepreneurial. 3.2. The GEM Methodology in Brief GEM is divided into two components – the Adult Population Survey (APS) and the National Expert Survey (NES + Provincial Expert Surveys in Canada). The expert survey is discussed in Chapter five (below). For each country, at least 2000 respondents are required for the APS who must meet both statistical standards of gender and age demographic (18-64). In Canada we sampled 18-99 year olds to explore senior entrepreneurship in future research. More information on the GEM framework is in the appendix at the back of this report. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA The APS is identical in every country in which it is conducted. In innovation-driven economies experienced telephone polling / research companies are engaged while, in comparison, for the factor-driven economies (the least developed cohort of countries) researchers conduct the survey in person. In Canada, we employed the services of Opinion Search which is the same organisation that has carried out the USA’s surveys for a number of years. For the provincial data, we oversampled to obtain roughly 400 valid responses (an error of + or – 5 per cent). The oversampling collection standards were loosened a little in comparison to the national data as collection costs per valid response rise steeply. Nevertheless, the quality of the BC data is very good both for male/female balances and indeed, by good fortune, on a geographic basis of the Lower Mainland vs. the rest of BC. 3.3. Different Entrepreneurial Structures It is easy to fall into the trap with indexes such as GEM, that entrepreneurship is a contest where the highest number ‘wins’. This of course would be a mistake, Baumol15 as one example of many, 11 has characterised different types of entrepreneurship; productive, unproductive and destructive. Productive entrepreneurship yields growth and quality of life benefit as well as jobs. Unproductive entrepreneurship simply reshuffles the locus of accumulation of money. Still, net employment may increase. Destructive entrepreneurship, such as criminal inventiveness, is outside the scope of GEM study, but may result in negative economic outcomes. Beyond such useful taxonomies, it is becoming clearer that entire economies are arranged differently – their core structural properties of innovation and entrepreneurship have diverse operating systems. For example, recent work by GEM scholars on entrepreneurial employee activity (EEA)16 survey results indicates differing levels among groups of economies. The survey results on EEA, which could also be called intrapreneurship because it occurs within existing organisations, reveal that societies can foster innovation and entrepreneurship in quite different and distinct styles. This is even without the third dimension of social entrepreneurship (which was not surveyed). GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 4. Employee Entrepreneurial Activity and Independent Entrepreneurial Activity 10 Sweden 9 Entrepreneurial Employee Activity With Medium-High Job Expectations 8 7 6 Denmark Belgium 5 Finland 4 Netherlands United States 3 12 Australia Ireland UK France Slovenia 2 Japan Germany Singapore Korea Czech Republic Switzerland Spain Taiwan Portugal 1 UAE Greece 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Independent Entrepreneurial Activity With Medium-High Job Expectations Note: these data do not reflect all TEA as it had been reduced to those with ‘medium-high job expectations’. The four quadrants in Figure 4, breakdown into interesting patterns. • Q1 – Top Left. 3 Scandinavian countries have high EEA but below average high-expectation independent entrepreneurial activity, suggesting that entrepreneurship is encouraged but operates within the structures of established and probably large 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA corporations; GEM British Columbia Report 2013 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA • Q2 – Top Right. Some countries have above average EEA and above average independent entrepreneurial activity – suggesting mixed economies. In this quadrant are economies such as the USA and Australia; • Q3 – Bottom left – Instantly recognisable is that this quadrant is the location for European economies plus Japan (with Korea only marginally outside). Three of these economies (Germany, Japan and Korea) are heavily focused on engineering and manufacturing. For the others, explanations may vary from European traditions to particular specialisation of countries (business services (UK) – admittedly at the high end of the group) or pharmaceuticals or other research-intensive activities in Switzerland. It is worth noting that two centroids in this group Japan and Germany were the early archetypes of ‘innovation systemness’ – perhaps this has something to teach us about the actual con-cept of innovation systems; and • Q4 – Bottom right. Low EEA and high independent 13 entrepreneurship. If we exclude the marginal case of Korea, curiously, three of four economies in this quadrant are very small geographically – one being an old-fashioned city state. This begins to highlight how different economies can be entrepreneurial in different ways and why the data on TEA that follows is not the complete picture. If it had been surveyed at that time, we would expect Canada as a whole be located in Quadrant 2, alongside Australia and the USA. If Ontario and Quebec have low EEA, then Canada will be somewhere in Quadrant 4. British Columbia would probably be in Quadrant 4,having a high TEA, but due to a lack of larger f irms (particularly manufacturing) in the province it is unlikely to have a high EEA. 3.4. The 2013 Canadian Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Survey British Columbia has a TEA rate just less than the USA and greater than that for Canada (Figure 5). TEA is a calculation based on those who have started a business or who are running a business that has been in existence for less than 42 months. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 5. TEA in BC and Benchmark Innovation Driven Economies 14.0 12.2 12.6 12.7 12.0 10.7 10.0 TEA % of 18-64 Pop 10.0 8.2 8.0 6.3 6.0 4.6 4.0 3.4 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.3 6.5 6.9 7.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.7 9.2 9.3 7.3 5.5 3.7 2.0 .0 Notes: These are selected ‘innovation driven countries’ as defined by the World Economic Forum, a classification used by GEM. Population = 18-64. Within Canada, British Columbia’s TEA rate is not higher than any of the prairie provinces (Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta). 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA Figure 6 shows a series of key indicators of entrepreneurial activity. The indicators compared here are: business angels (those that have invested in a new enterprise), nascent businesses (have not made payments to staff or the owners), baby business (enterprises that have paid staff or the owners but less than 42 months old) and TEA (nascent +new) by male and female. The Prairie provinces, where growth rates are presently perceived as high, are also high in early stage entrepreneurship. The data reveals that Alberta, which has the strongest TEA in Canada, specialised in nascent businesses – it’s baby business numbers are not particular high when compared with other provinces. Alberta is very strong in male and female entrepreneurship, while Manitoba is only strong in male entrepreneurship. BC and Saskatchewan have the lowest difference between male and female TEA. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 14 Figure 6. Overview of Entrepreneurship Across Canada 25 20 % 18-64 Population 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA 15 Business Angels 10 Nascent Businesses Baby Businesses 5 TEA Male BRITISH COLUMBIA ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN MANITOBA ONTARIO QUEBEC 0 NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR TEA Female When asked whether there would be good opportunities for starting a business in the area where they live in the next 6 months, the 18-64 population across Canada responded quite positively (Figure 7). 15 Figure 7. Good Opportunities for Starting a Business Figure 7 here. 80.0 70.0 % 18-64 population 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 BRITISH COLUMBIA ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN MANITOBA ONTARIO QUEBEC 0.0 NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR 10.0 Allowing for the statistical uncertainty in these analyses, perceptions in British Columbia of ‘good opportunities’ is on par with three other provinces. Residents of Saskatchewan have the highest perceived opportunities and Ontario the lowest. 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA It is a logical thought process for a potential entrepreneur to ask whether there are good opportunities and then ask whether he/she has the necessary skills. Figure 8 reveals the high level of self-belief in their knowledge, skill, and experience required to start a new business that exists within the Canadian population. Figure 8. Self-Assessment of Skills to Start Business Figure 8 here. 80 % 18-64 Pop 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Skills - pop Skills Male British Columbia Alberta Saskatchewan Manitoba Ontario Quebec 16 Newfoundland and Labrador 0 Skills Female The BC population stands out as being very confident of their skills. Although females are a little less confident than the male population, only the female population of Alberta is more confident. The next step from a population perspective is to know the difference between those that intend to start a business and those that actually do start one. GEM allows for a wide temporal window (3 years) as well for a wide conceptual space of intention / expectation to start a business. Therefore, we compare intentions with actual TEA. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure9.9.Intend Intend to TEATEA Indicator Figure to Start Starta aBusiness Indicator Figure 9Business here. andand 20 20 18 18 16 16 14 12 % 18-64 Pop % 18-64 Pop 14 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 2 4 0 2 ENT Intentions (next 3 yrs) TEA 2013 17 0 ENT Intentions (next 3 yrs) Newfoundland and Labrador 13.33 10.9 Newfoundland and Labrador 13.33 TEA 2013 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA 10.9 Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia 13.48 4.97 15.67 16.69 15.67 17.04 9.6 11.9 13.7 14.0 18.6 12.6 Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia 13.48 4.97 15.67 16.69 15.67 17.04 9.6 11.9 13.7 14.0 18.6 12.6 BC is at the high end for the intentions to start a new business (Figure 9), yet the actual rate of establishing a new business is more moderate. This would be the expected relationship – intentions exceeding behaviour. However, in both Alberta and Ontario the percentage of the population that has established a business (less that 42 months) strongly exceeds the percentage of the population expecting to start a business in the next three years (ENT). The significantly different rates of TEA across Canadian provinces suggests the obvious question of why. One speculation arising from the TEA profile is whether the perception that the western provinces have been performing better economically, perhaps from those industries associated with, or supplying services to, resource-based industries, translates into start-ups. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 10 hereTEA and 3yr Economic Growth Average Figure 10. Provincial 20 TEA 5 of 18-64 Pop & #yr growth av 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Newfoundland Quebec and Labrador TEA 2013 10.9 9.6 Original Data: GEM Consortium (3yr growth) 1.4 1.9 Ontario Manitoba and11.9 Statistics 2.4 18 13.7 Canada . 2.3 14.0 18.6 British Columbia 12.6 3.8 4.7 2.5 Saskatchewan Alberta Thus, Figure 10 compares 3 year average growth rates across 20102011-2012 and the TEA which covers businesses created approximately between January 2010 and June 2013. The 3 year growth average, on the face of it appears to have little correspondence to the TEA rates. Canada 12.2 2.6 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA Such a relationship, if it did exist would, however, have been difficult to explain because it would have been somewhat at odds with the Statistics Canada data (Figure 1) that indicate that down cycles lead to an increase in self-employment rates. This then circles back to a fundamental point; to what extent does entrepreneurial activity lead to sustained businesses. Earlier, we noted (Fig 1) BC’s high rate of self-employment. GEM data (Figure 11) bear this out as well. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 18 3. CORE GEM ENTREPRENEURSHIP INDICATORS FOR BRITISH COLUMBIA Figure 11. 11. Established Established Businesses Figure Businesses Figure 11: 12 12 % 18-64 Pop % 18-64 Pop 10 10 8 6 4 8 6 4 2 BRITISH COLUMBIA BRITISH COLUMBIA ALBERTA ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN SASKATCHEWAN MANITOBA MANITOBA ONTARIO ONTARIO QUEBEC QUEBEC 0 AND LABRADOR 0 NEWFOUNDLAND ANDNEWFOUNDLAND LABRADOR 2 19 Notes: Percentage of all respondents (18-64): involved in established firms as owner and manager for which salaries or wages have been paid for more than 42 months. [GEM - Established Business Prevalence Rate] While BC’s TEA may not be particularly high in Canadian terms, its businesses survive to a much greater extent than in other provinces. This result, which reinforces results from Statistics Canada surveys, lends significant credibility to the GEM survey methodology and the results for 2013. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 4. BRITISH COLUMBIA: PROVINCIAL SPECIAL TOPICS 4.1. Introduction Beyond the core GEM comparisons reported in Chapter 3, there are a number of topics, which because of the economic and demographic structure of the province appear to be particularly relevant for closer study. The three topics chosen for this report are: • the economic sectors of the new businesses; • the role of immigrant entrepreneurs; and • demography of entrepreneurship; 4.2. Entrepreneurship by economic activity GEM collects data in a number of ways on the area of economic activity of the nascent and baby businesses (TEA). The most useful is the foursector approach that categorises businesses as: • Extractive (agriculture, mining, forestry etc.); • Transformative (equivalent to manufacturing in some form); • Businesses serving business markets; and • Businesses serving consumer markets. 20 i gu ruer 1e2 .1T2EFigure . ATbEyAE12 FFi g cbo y n oE mc i coSneoc m t o ri c here Sector 100100 0 23.0 3.4 18.4 9.2 3.3 7.1 4.7 0.0 45.1 30.1 0.0 21.0 TEA Consumer Services 26.6 21.0 6.1 18.4 4.7 32.9 45.1 45.7 36.8 27.8 MANITOBA 10 3.4 21.0 44.6 20.9 32.9 43.2 26.6 ONTARIO 20 0 23.0 35.7 20.9 45.7 36.8 ONTARIO 30 10 39.3 44.6 QUEBEC 30 40 20 35.7 QUEBEC 40 N E W F O U N DN L A FNODU N D L A N D EW A N D L A B R AA D N DOLRA B R A D O R 50 39.3 29.3 43.2 27.8 21.0 6.1 9.2 14.9 30.1 TEA Business Services TEA Consumer TEA - Transforming Sector TEA - ExtractiveTEA sectorBusiness 14.9 3.3 7.1 BRITISH COLUMBIA 70 60 60 50 29.3 32.2 BRITISH COLUMBIA 43.3 32.2 ALBERTA 34.4 43.3 S A S K A T C H E W A NA L B E R T A 80 70 34.4 MANS I TA O BA SKATCHEWAN 80 % of TEA Businesses % of TEA Businesses 90 90 Services Services TEA - Transforming Sector TEA - Extractive sector GEM British Columbia Report 2013 4. BRITISH COLUMBIA: PROVINCIAL SPECIAL TOPICS While the western Provinces of Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta and British Columbia are collectively thought of as natural resource based, new enterprises are not started in these sectors directly (see Figure 12). Indeed only a small percentage of firms are engaged in extractive operations. BC is high nationally, but lower than might have been expected without these data. In contrast, as other data suggests (see discussion in section 2.2), few firms are established in the transformative / manufacturing sector in British Columbia. All the Canadian provinces have a high start-up (TEA) rate for businesses oriented towards serving other businesses – 45% in BC, Alberta and Ontario. The core national sample (2000 respondents) for Canada also reports a high rate of business services of 42.6 per cent (Table 1). This is quite high by international standards (G7 economies). Table1: Distribution of TEA initiatives over four sectors- G7 21 Sector/%TEA Canada US UKGermanyFrance Italy Japan Extractive 4.0 3.40.3 0.1 7.012.81.2 Transformative 20.2 16.618.5 15.9 17.730.116.5 Business oriented services 42.6 27.0 35.8 30.1 30.1 24.6 23.5 Consumer oriented services 35.2 53.0 45.3 54.0 45.2 32.5 41.9 The lack of ‘pure’ extraction-oriented businesses is not an indication that natural resource industries are not important. It is entirely possible that many business-oriented services could be supplying the larger and more established businesses that dominate the mining and forestry sectors in particular. The innovation studies literature has recently emphasized the role of knowledge-intensive business services, KIBS19. Such KIBS have increasingly been associated with the flow of knowledge in the economy. The GEM questionnaire also asks questions on technology usage, new products, and perceptions of competitors. This latter topic provides a valuable window into the individual’s perceptions of innovativeness at the population level. The indicator is TEA firms focussed on markets with few or no competitors. Canada’s performance is healthy, similar to that of the US. The percentage of TEAs reporting that they operate in such markets for the G7 countries appear in Table 2. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Table2: New markets – few or no competitors Canada US UK GermanyFrance Italy Japan 32.4%34.2%27.9%26.0%27.6%19.0%22.4% 4. BRITISH COLUMBIA: PROVINCIAL SPECIAL TOPICS TEA by province are interesting. Figure 13 indicates that across Canadian around 60 percent of new business owners have the perception that they face few or no competitors for their products or services. BC ranks in the middle for Canada. Saskatchewan is at the low end at around 50 per cent and Alberta at a high of nearly 70 percent. Figure 13. Figure Competitive 13 here.Analysis 80 70 % OF TEA 60 50 40 30 22 TEA reporting no competitors 20 TEA reporting few competitors BRITISH COLUMBIA ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN MANITOBA ONTARIO QUEBEC 0 NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR 10 4.3. Immigrants Foreign-born persons represented 27.5 per cent of BC’s resident population in 200620. Across Canada nearly 20% of the population is foreign born. Therefore, the issue of immigrant entrepreneurship is more important to BC as compared to Canada. GEM has two categories of immigrants. First-generation immigrants are defined as those who were born outside the relevant country (Canada) and then later moved. Second-generation immigrants are people born in Canada, but with at least one parent who was born abroad. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 14. Immigrant Entrepreneurs Figure 14 here. 35 30 % OF TEA 25 20 TEA-1ST GEN IMMIGRANTS 15 TEA-2ND GEN IMMIGRANTS 10 BRITISH COLUMBIA ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN MANITOBA TEA 2ST GEN NONIMMIGRANTS ONTARIO 0 QUEBEC TEA 1ST GEN NONIMMIGRANTS NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR 5 Note: this data is based on a small survey sample. 23 4. BRITISH COLUMBIA: PROVINCIAL SPECIAL TOPICS One of the key features of the data (Figure 14) for Canada is the remarkable similarities among provinces for the first generation immigrants (around 15 per cent in Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia). Another interesting measure is the low rate at which 2nd generation immigrants are starting businesses in BC, but across Canada there is little pattern to the data. Curiously, there is also little pattern to the non-immigrant TEA rates. Labour market outcomes for 2nd generation immigrants is complex (Statistics Canada21) with ethnic background and geography being particularly important. There is no clear evidence on the drivers of entrepreneurship, whether second generation are more likely to entire the traditional labour market or join the family business. One possibility for BC is that the boom in immigration during the 1990s is simply too recent to see an impact on statistics for 2nd generation immigrants. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 4. BRITISH COLUMBIA: PROVINCIAL SPECIAL TOPICS 4.4. Demography (seniors / youth) The final piece of analysis that we wish to highlight in this report is the age profile of those with either TEA activities or established business activities. Figure 16 compares the provinces for the age brackets used in GEM. With a little over 40 respondents for TEA in BC, breaking them down into 5 age brackets as we have done obviously increases the likelihood that if the survey was run again there could be significant shifts in the results. Figure TEA and EstablishedBusiness BusinessRates Ratesby byAge Age Group Group Figure 15.15. TEA and Established 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 Figure 15 here. 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 15.00 24 10.00 10.00 5.00 5.00 0.00 TEA 18-24 Newfoundland 0.00 10.81 Est and Labrador TEA 18-24 Newfoundland Quebec 10.8111.18 and Labrador Ontario 8.53 Quebec 11.18 Manitoba 21.12 Ontario 8.53 Saskatchewan 16.52 Manitoba 21.12 Alberta 12.13 Saskatchewan British Columbia 16.52 4.86 Alberta 12.13 British Columbia 4.86 Est Bus 18-24 4.20 Bus 18-24 4.20 0.98 0.98 2.43 2.43 TEA 25-34 13.71 TEA 25-34 13.25 13.71 20.89 13.25 17.98 20.89 17.30 17.98 32.04 17.30 14.58 Est Bus 25-34 Est Bus 25-34 1.96 2.16 32.04 1.96 2.02 2.16 3.87 2.02 5.39 3.87 12.83 5.39 14.58 12.83 TEA 35-44 TEA 45-54 Est Bus 45-54 5.20 Est Bus 35-44 TEA6.09 45-54 7.1845-54 Est Bus 8.07 12.76 12.41 8.07 19.97 12.41 18.28 19.97 20.35 18.28 16.67 7.82 5.20 7.84 7.82 7.42 7.84 13.90 7.42 8.73 13.90 12.64 15.10 6.09 10.77 15.10 7.67 10.77 11.27 7.67 15.84 11.27 13.42 12.09 7.18 14.35 12.09 14.42 14.35 8.53 14.42 14.75 8.53 13.41 4.02 6.27 7.71 4.02 7.19 7.71 10.72 8.56 17.56 13.26 13.09 17.56 10.24 13.09 12.12 16.67 12.64 13.42 13.41 10.72 12.12 TEA 12.76 35-44 20.35 Est Bus 35-44 8.73 15.84 14.75 TEA 55-64 12.15 TEA 55-64 Est Bus 55-64 Est3.37 Bus 55-64 12.15 8.56 3.37 6.27 13.26 7.19 10.24 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 4. BRITISH COLUMBIA: PROVINCIAL SPECIAL TOPICS As already highlighted, the TEA for Alberta is very high for both men and women. Building an age profile of TEA is very helpful in that it reveals that Alberta’s TEA for 25-34 year olds is very high (Figure 15). BC’s TEA peaks in the age group 35-44. Curiously, however, the only bracket that BC does really well relative to the other provinces is that of 55-64. But TEA rate is not the whole story, as this report has repeatedly emphasised. Figure 15 also shows that BC’s established business rate starts to have a different profile even in the youth age bracket 18-24. It is the highest in 25-34s, strong in 35-44s, similar to that of the other provinces. 4.5. Discussion There is a wealth of other data in the GEM dataset which provides indicators on interesting questions. For example, it was agreed among the three GEM teams of USA, Mexico and Canada that each would each run a small number of questions related to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The results indicate while in essence there is some Canada-U.S. activity, there is barely any evidence of 25 Canada-Mexico activity in either direction, possibly due to the way entrepreneurs understand these trade flows through the US. The results simply indicate that at the individual level most start-ups are not focussed on trade relationships in the North American context. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Since its inception, the GEM project has proposed that entrepreneurial activity is shaped by a distinct set of factors called Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions (EFCs). These EFCs are “the necessary oxygen 5. ENTREPRENEURSHIP FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS of resources, incentives, markets, and supporting institutions to the growth of new firms”. These EFCs could be also be called the ‘rules of the game’ that determine to what extent entrepreneurial activity in a given society is productive. Hence, it is expected that different countries and regions have different EFCs or different ‘rules of the game’22, and that these affect the inputs and outputs of entrepreneurial activity. The original and revised GEM models established a clear relationship between the EFCs, entrepreneurship dynamics and economic growth. Methodology: In Canada, the expert survey was completed by 43 respondents at the national level. In addition there were seven Provincial Experts Surveys (PES): Alberta, BC, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, Newfoundland and Labrador, and Saskatchewan). In BC 40 experts responded to the 2013 PES. In total, across the rest of Canada (excluding BC, provinces plus the NES) we had 287 respondents in 26 total. Experts were selected to fit a profile of four experts in each of nine categories – 36 being necessary for a full complement for each region. The questionnaire was conducted online with opinions registered on a 108 questions spread across 19 topics with a 5 point Likert scale. The questions topics were: Finance (6 qs) Government policies (7 qs) Governmental programs (6 qs) Education and Training (6 qs) R&D Transfer (6 qs) Commercial and services infrastructure (5 qs) Market openness (6 qs) Physical infrastructure (5 qs) Cultural and social norms (5 qs) Opportunities to start up (5 qs) Abilities and knowledge to start up (5 qs) GEM British Columbia Report 2013 5. ENTREPRENEURSHIP FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS Entrepreneur social image (5 qs) Intellectual property rights (5 qs) Women’s support to start-up (5 qs) Attention to high growth (5 qs) Interest in innovation (6qs) Wellbeing (4 qs) Youth (8 qs) Young adults (8 qs) The Likert scales used in the survey of experts were: • Completely True (5) • Somewhat True (4) • Neither True Nor False (3) • Somewhat False (2) • Completely False (1) Opinions differ on how to analyse Likert scale data. Most argue that averages are completely inappropriate, although GEM uses averages in its Global Report. Most statisticians only use mode and median counts 27 as useful measures. Depending upon whether median (a numerical value separating the upper half of a data sample from the lower half) or the mode (the value that appears most often in a data set) is chosen there will be slightly different results. The following analysis was constructed using the mode score for each individual question and then a mean was developed to be able to meaningfully compare the topics. 5.1. Analysis In the first analysis of the BC data we compare BC Provincial Expert Survey (PES) results with the Canadian National Expert Survey (NES). Figure 16 highlights not only the averages for the different topics but also the high scores for BC and Canada. We have organised the data so the lowest average questions are on the left and the highest are on the right. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Figure 16. BC PES & Canadian NES 5.0 4.0 Mode scores 3.0 BC PES Average 2.0 BC PES Hi Cdn NES Hi Cdn NES Average 1.0 0.0 28 If we start first with the highs analysis, it is readily apparent that in only one category (attention to high growth) does BC score a mode result for any topic that is higher than the Canadian NES. In the cases 5. ENTREPRENEURSHIP FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS of, market openness and entrepreneur social image BC’s highest result is lower than that for Canada. In terms of the topic averages however, in: government policies, education and training, commercial infrastructure, cultural and social norms, attention to high growth, interest in innovation, wellbeing, and physical infrastructure BC scores better than Canada. Market openness and support for women’s startups were both below the NES average. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 5. ENTREPRENEURSHIP FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS Figure 17 compares BC’s PES with the total PES of the other six provinces in the 2013 study (Figure 17). Figure Figure 17. BC PES and Canadian Provincial PES 17. 5.0 4.0 3.0 BC Average 2.0 BC Hi Cdn PES Hi Cdn PES Average 1.0 0.0 29 For high mode scores, BC only outperforms the other provinces for the topic ‘education and training’. In the topics of finance and market openness the rest of Canada had a better high mode score for the topic. The BC mode averages and the other provinces mode averages are strikingly similar except in education and training (in BC’s favour) and women’s start-up support (against BC). The other small differences include R&D transfer, commercial infrastructure, attention to high growth, interest in innovation and physical infrastructure in BC Favour. BC is behind, by again a small margin, in finance, market openness and government programs. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 5.2. Discussion BC’s strength is clearly its education and training sector (Figures 16 and 17). Looking more closely (Figure 18), we can show that experts 5. ENTREPRENEURSHIP FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS viewed BC as basically better across the board. Only in one of the six questions did BC not outperform the other provinces. Figure 18. 18 Education Figure here. and Training - BC PES and Rest of Canada PES The vocational, professional, and continuing education systems provide good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms. The level of business and management education provide good and ade-quate preparation for starting up and growing new firms. Colleges and universities provide good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms. BC PES Rest of Canada PES Teaching in primary and secondary education provides adequate attention to entrepreneurship and new firm creation. 30 Teaching in primary and secondary education provides adequate instruction in market economic principles. Teaching in primary and secondary education encourages creativity, self-sufficiency, and personal initiative. 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 Mode Scores for the Individual Qs 4 4.5 5 From the analysis, however, although it cannot be said that BC does poorly in any area (except perhaps market openness which seems to deserve closer investigation, particularly in the natural resources sector). It is true to say that there are only a few areas that BC stands out as doing particularly well. It is on doing better that average such as the education system where there are competitive strengths. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 6. CONCLUSIONS 6.1. BC Policy and Economic Context For any government intervening in an area of economic life there is a requirement for a rationale, a basis for the intervention and a framework for the levels of expenditure or regulatory involvement. This requires knowledge of particular economic, market or system failures. The GEM APS methodology starts from a different premise. Its primary question is: what is the degree to which the population of a region engage with entrepreneurship across a number of indicators including the number of people who start new businesses? On this basis we can say that BC, within the North American, context appears to have a strong entrepreneurial culture. The alternate picture of the entrepreneurial climate possible through GEM is provided by the expert survey data. On these measures BC is the middle of the road – scoring about average for all topics. While this is not bad, it is not a particularly favourable position either. BC rarely scores highly for any topic. No doubt when the APS and NES -PES are compared there can be 31 interesting results such as the poor perception of BC conditions for women entrepreneurs versus the actual number engaging in entrepreneurship. This indicates that there are important perceptual biases at work in the minds of Canadians and BC residents in particular. 6.2. Observations from the GEM British Columbia Survey 2013 1. BC compared to the rest of Canada has a solid but not a super high level of business start-ups. Compared to other innovation driven economies, however, BC is at the high end of entrepreneurship. Against, the group of selected economies BC is second to the USA for TEA. The variability across geographies, is not easily explained but we are increasingly aware that there are a large range of factors that influence economic and innovation geography. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 2. Males and females are both strongly engaged in entrepreneurship in BC. The expert survey results indicate that BC could do better supporting women entrepreneurs, which given the APS results, may actually exist because there is a strong female entrepreneurial culture. It is worth noting also that BC’s entrepreneurial population is skewed a little to the older population compared to other provinces. 3. The older demographic may influence perhaps the most interesting result; BC has a very strong rate of established enterprises. BC seems to convert start-ups into long lived 6. CONCLUSIONS businesses. 4. Within the framework conditions BC’s strength is its education and training system (inclusive of primary, secondary and post- secondary), perceived to be very successful nationally. That is a powerful strength and one that is easier to maintain than build up. 5. However, abilities to start-up, finance and market openness are all could do better categories for BC. While BC does not perform poorly anywhere, compared to the other provinces, it does not perform well either. 32 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 APPENDIX: THE GEM FRAMEWORK GEM is an annual assessment of the entrepreneurial activity, aspirations and attitudes of individuals across the globe. Initiated in 1999 as a partnership between London Business School and Babson College, the first study covered 10 countries; since then nearly 100 ‘National Teams’ from every part of the world have participated in the project, which continues to grow annually. The Monitor has an estimated global budget of nearly USD $9 million; the 2013 survey covers nations representing 75% of world population and 89% of world GDP. GEM explores the role of entrepreneurship in national economic growth, unveiling detailed national features and characteristics associated with entrepreneurial activity through constructing an understanding of individuals. The data are collected in innovationdriven economies by commercial telephone opinion and research companies. The data are ‘harmonized’ by a central team of experts, guaranteeing its quality and facilitating cross-national comparisons. GEM has three main objectives: • to measure differences in the level of entrepreneurial activity 33 between countries • to uncover factors leading to appropriate levels of entrepreneurship • to suggest policies that may enhance the national level of entrepreneurial activity. GEM is unique because, unlike other entrepreneurship data sets that measure newer and/or small firms, GEM studies focus on the behaviour and attitudes of individuals with respect to starting and managing a business. This approach provides a more detailed picture of entrepreneurial activity than is found in official national business registry data sets. Entrepreneurship - the GEM model The GEM project regards entrepreneurship as a process in a complex ecosystem and examines individual entrepreneurs and ventures in this context. The GEM model is shown in Figure 19. At the top left we see four basic requirements and six efficiency enhancing factors that must be appraised from available studies, (e.g. reports from Statistics Canada). At the centre left, the model recognizes the importance of GEM British Columbia Report 2013 the social, cultural and political context. Nine factors shaping the innovation and entrepreneurship framework complete the left column. APPENDIX: THE GEM FRAMEWORK These are appraised by the GEM survey of expert opinion (NES). At the centre of the diagram, the link between the established firms and independent entrepreneurs is recognized. This takes large firms beyond their commonly incremental innovations to the role of knowledge ‘reservoirs’ for ‘spillover’ and as demanding customers for a wide range of goods and services. Finally, on the right the overall outcome: achievement of jobs, innovation and social value. Figure 19. The GEM Model National Framework Conditions Basic Requirements Social, Cultural, Political Context Efficiency Enhancers Existing Economic Activity (Primary Economy) Spillover Outcome/Impact (socio-economic development) Entrepreneurial Output (new jobs, new value added) + _ Nine Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions + _ Personal Values and Background + _ 34 Entrepreneurship Activity Attitudes Aspirations GEM uses a taxonomy of economies; factor driven, efficiency driven, and innovation driven are developed by the World Economic Forum (WEF) and published in the Global Competitiveness Index. Canada is in the innovation driven economy classification, exhibiting sufficient reliance on business sophistication and innovation. Businesses in an innovation driven economy are more knowledge intensive and the service sector figures more prominently in the economy. While entrepreneurship engaged in by the population generally scores more highly in factor and efficiency driven economies, it is nevertheless important for innovation driven economies. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 APPENDIX: THE GEM FRAMEWORK Beyond the structural aspects, The GEM model also views entrepreneurship as a process occurring over different phases from intentions to start, to just starting, to running new or established enterprises, and even to discontinuance. Given variable contexts and conditions, it is not inevitable that one phase leads to the next. Figure 3 shows the phases of entrepreneurship. In exploring the early phases, the GEM project assembles data not available from business statistics. Figure 20. The Entrepreneurship process Entrepreneurship Phases Total early-stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) Potential Entrepreneurs: Beliefs and Attitudes Intentions Nascent 35 Source: GEM Global Report 2011 New Discontinuance Established New Owners Adult population survey (APS) Using a telephone survey, an independent polling firm randomly selected adults between the ages of 18 and 99. Their responses to a series of detailed questions phrased in everyday language that are used throughout the GEM international entrepreneurship project were collected. These are used to determine entrepreneurial attitudes, activities, and aspirations of the national population. They provide a profile of a representative cross section of the Canadian adult populations, balanced for age and gender distribution. With the common survey instrument in global use, it is possible to compare Canadian entrepreneurship internationally. As the GEM standard is ages 18-64 this was the basis of the comparisons in this report. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 National Expert survey (NES) The experts come from different professional perspectives where they APPENDIX: THE GEM FRAMEWORK gain considerable knowledge of entrepreneurial activities. Nine areas of expertise are specified by GEM: finance, policy, government programs, education and training, technology transfer, support infrastructure, and wider society/culture fields. The questionnaire presented a series of statements reflecting the GEM perspective on conditions supporting entre-preneurship. The experts are asked to estimate the degree to which each is true for Canada. The final section solicits open-ended responses which are coded to nine categories. 36 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 REFERENCES 1 Freeman, C. (1987) Technology policy and economic performance: lessons from Japan. Frances Pinter, London. 2 Lundvall B-A (ed.) (1992a) National systems of innovation: towards a theory of innovation and interactive learning. Pinter, London. 3 Nelson RR (ed.) (1993a) National innovation systems: a comparative analysis. Oxford University Press, New York. 4 Porter ME (1990) The competitive advantage of nations. MacMillan, New York. 5 Holbrook, J.A.D. and Wolfe, D.A. (2005) “The Innovation Systems Research Network (ISRN): A Canadian Experiment in Knowledge Management”, Science and Public Policy, Vol. 32(2) 109119. 6 Wixted, B. and Holbrook, J.A.D. (2014) ‘Living on the Edge: Knowledge Interdependencies of Human Capital Intensive Clusters in Vancouver’ chapter 4 in Wolfe, D. (ed.) Innovating in Urban 37 Economies: Economic Transformation in Canadian City-Regions, University of Toronto Press, Toronto. 7 Schumpeter, J.A. (1934) The Theory of Economic Development, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA. 8 Statistics Canada. Table 282-0012 - Labour force survey estimates (LFS), employment by class of worker, North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and sex, annual (persons) (accessed: November 28, 2013). 9 Statistics Canada ibid. 10 Statistics Canada (2013e) Statistics Canada. Table 551-0004 Canadian business patterns, location counts, employment size and North American Industry (accessed: December 12, 2013). 11 BC Stats British Columbia Incorporations by Development Region, Regional District and Municipality. http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/ StatisticsBySubject/Economy/BusinessFormationsandFailures.aspx Accessed Dec 3 2013, GEM British Columbia Report 2013 12 The data used in the analysis came from Statistics Canada. Table 384-0038 - Real gross domestic product, expenditure-based, by REFERENCES province and territory http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sumsom/l01/cst01/econ50-eng.htm (accessed: 5 June, 2014). 13 Bosma, N., Wennekers, S., Amorós, J.E. (2012). Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2011 Extended Report; Global Entrepreneurship Research Association www.gemconsortium.org p9. 14 Nightingale, P. and Coad, A. (2014) ‘Muppets and gazelles: political and methodological biases in entrepreneurship research’ Industrial and Corporate Change (2014) Vol 23(1): 113-143 doi:10.1093/icc/dtt057. MUPPETS “marginal undersized poor performance enterprises v high performance/high growth “gazelles”. 15 Baumol, W., (1996) Entrepreneurship: Productive, unproductive, and destructive Journal of Business Venturing 11(1), 3-22. 16 Bosma, N., Wennekers, S., Guerrero, M. Amorós, J.E., Martiarena, A. and Singer, S. (2013) Global Entrepreneurship Monitor: Special Report on Entrepreneurial Employee Activity, Global 38 Entrepreneurship Research Association. www.gemconsortium.org 17 ibid. p59 18 Statistics Canada (2013) Gross domestic product, expenditurebased, by province and territory expenditure based CANSIM, table 384-0038 http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/ cst01/econ15-eng.htm re-accessed 23 May 2014. 19 Muller, E. Zenker, A. (2001). Business services as actors of knowledge transformation: the role of KIBS in regional and national innovation systems, Research Policy, 30(9) 1501 – 1516. 20 BC Stats (2008) Birthplace: Birthplace of Immigrants 2006 Census. http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/Files/6b234160-1fdb-47228a70-bb87a39a4d76/Census2006-TopicTables-ImmigrantBirthplaceO rderbyPercentofPopulation.xls accessed 03 April 2014. No immigrant data for the 2011 Census have been released. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 REFERENCES 21 Picot, G. and Hou, F. (2011) ‘Seeking success in Canada and the United States: The determinants of labour market outcomes among the children of immigrants’ Analytical Studies Research Paper Series Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 11F0019M, no. 331. 2014 http://www. statcan.gc.ca/pub/11f0019m/2011331/part-partie1-eng.htm accessed 26 May 2014. 22 Bosma, N., Wennekers, S., Amorós, Op. cit. p43. 39 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Brian Wixted Brian Wixted has nearly 25 years experience in science, technology ABOUT THE AUTHORS and innovation policy and research. He has worked for the Australian government, a university research centre and conducted numerous consulting projects for a range of governments and public organisations. His academic work is specialized in innovation and economic activity across regions, industries, nations and the globe. His consulting work has specialised in science policy and science and research system evaluations. http://www.sfu.ca/cprost/?page_id=9 J. Adam Holbrook Adam Holbrook is an adjunct professor and Associate Director of the Centre for Policy Research on Science and Technology (CPROST), at Simon Fraser University in Vancouver, BC. He was trained as a physicist and electrical engineer, and is a registered professional engineer in BC. He started his career as a satellite engineer at Telesat, after which he spent twenty years in the federal public service in 40 several S&T policy positions. At CPROST his research, consulting and teaching activities centre on the analysis and impact of science, technology and innovation in the public sector and private sector, both in Canada and abroad. http://www.sfu.ca/cprost/?page_id=9 The authors would like to thank Kaily Furlot and Graeme Webb for research assistance and Sarah Lubik (lecturer, Beedie School of Business) and Emeritus Professor Bruce Clayman for editorial comments. All errors and omissions remain those of the authors. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 SPONSORS GEM BC Team at CPROST The GEM BC team is based at the Centre for Policy Research on Science and Technology (CPROST) at Simon Fraser University. CPROST gratefully acknowledges funding from the British Columbia Innovation Council which made possible the extension of the GEM Canada project to British Columbia. We also extend our thanks to all the partner organisations across Canada which contributed funding to the project. We acknowledge that this report has benefited greatly from our tremendous collaborators in the GEM Canada team, but all errors and omissions remain those of the authors. CPROST was created in 1988 as a space for research expertise on what would later be called science, technology and innovation studies. CPROST has been involved in many large studies of the Canadian innovation environment. One such project that ran for more than a decade was the Innovation Systems Research Network funded by SSHRC and other partners. 41 CPROST has the particular interest in GEM surveys of entrepreneurship for the possibility of linkages to innovation measures. Innovation studies emerged with a specific focus on science policy and then later moved into business innovation and latterly the geographically defined ‘innovation systems’. Most recently, entrepreneurship has been of growing interest to innovation scholars, although this generally has analytically focussed on technology start-ups and university spinoffs. Research on science, technology and innovation systems has almost always been limited to institutions and industrial structures, comparing the performance of one region or nation against that of another. Individuals are rarely if ever present in this work. The opportunity to be involved with the GEM offers us the opportunity to gain insight into a particular group of innovators – individuals who start new ventures – technology-based or otherwise. This is an entirely different perspective to the firm based surveys of innovation (i.e. new product etc) creations and adoptions. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 The 2013 GEM Canada Consortium The costs of the national study were funded by a consortium of SPONSORS funders. The seven participating provinces each funded their respective provincial surveys through various provincial organizations. The Centre for Innovation Studies (THECIS) is the coordinator at the national level and is responsible for preparing the Canadian national GEM report (see <thecis.ca>). We encourage readers of this report to also seek out the Canada-wide report which focusses on international comparisons. The other provincial reports will make interesting reading, as, they focus on different issues. The 2013 GEM Canada report was published in April 2014 see http://www.thecis.ca/index. php?catID=22&itemID=657 . Individual provincial reports for Alberta, Saskatchewan, Ontario, Quebec and Newfoundland and Labrador will emerge during 2014. The BC report would not have been possible without IDRC and the British Columbia Innovation Council. 42 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 GEM CANADA TEAM Name Organization Gary Gorman Memorial University of Newfoundland Dennis Hanlon Memorial University of Newfoundland Blair Winsor Memorial University of Newfoundland Étienne St-Jean UQTR, Trois Rivières Diane-Gabrielle Tremblay UQAM, Montreal Charles Davis Ryerson University, Toronto Neil Wolff Ryerson University, Toronto Howard Lin Ryerson University, Toronto Dave Valliere Ryerson University, Toronto Nathan Greidanus Asper School of Business, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon 43 GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Chris Street University of Regina Cooper Langford University of Calgary Peter Josty THECiS, Calgary Chad Saunders Haskayne School, University of Calgary Ted Heidrick University of Alberta, Edmonton Alex Bruton Mount Royal University Adam Holbrook CPROST, Simon Fraser University Brian Wixted CPROST, Simon Fraser University THECIS (The Centre for Innovation Studies) is a not for profit organization devoted to study and promotion of innovation. Based in Calgary, Alberta, and Incorporated in 2001, it operates through a network of 35-40 THECIS Fellows. THECIS has three core functions – research, networking and education. • Research. Creating new knowledge and building insights into how the innovation systems functions and policies that can improve it. • Networking. Providing opportunities for exchange of ideas through breakfast meetings, workshops and conferences. • Education. Dissemination of information through Newsletters, events and other informal education activities, particularly for graduate students. For more information about THECIS go to www.thecis.ca The Centre for Innovation Studies (THECIS) #125, Alastair Ross Technology Centre 3553 31 Street NW Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2L 2K7 44 More information For information on the GEM Canada 2013 report, please contact Peter Josty, p.josty@thecis.ca For information on the GEM global reports and on GEM, please contact the GEM Executive Director, Mike Herrington, at MHerrington@gemconsortium.org The 2013 GEM Canada report is available at www.gemcanada.org The 2013 GEM Global report is available at www.gemconsortium.org Although GEM data were used in the preparation of this report, their interpretation and use are the sole responsibility of the authors and the GEM Canada team. GEM British Columbia Report 2013 Global Entrepreneurship Research Association London Business School Regents Park, London NW1 4SA, UK. +44 796 690 81 71 info@gemconsortium.org www.gemconsortium.org The Centre for Innovation Studies (THECIS) #125, Alastair Ross Technology Centre 3553 31 Street NW Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2L 2K7 www.thecis.ca GEM British Columbia Report 2013