Choosing To Be "Good": How Managers Determine Their Impact on Financial and Social Performance Bryan Hong Dylan Minor Working Paper 16-011 Choosing To Be "Good": How Managers Determine Their Impact on Financial and Social Performance Bryan Hong Ivey Business School Dylan Minor Harvard Business School Working Paper 16-011 Copyright © 2015 by Bryan Hong and Dylan Minor Working papers are in draft form. This working paper is distributed for purposes of comment and discussion only. It may not be reproduced without permission of the copyright holder. Copies of working papers are available from the author. Choosing to be "Good": How managers determine their impact on …nancial and social performance Bryan Hong Ivey Business School, Western University Dylan Minor Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University This version: June 2015 Abstract We investigate the relationship between a manager’s in‡uence on …rm …nancial and social performance. To examine the mechanism governing the relationship between a manager’s investment decisions along both dimensions of performance, we use a formal agency theory model to develop testable implications. In our empirical results, we …nd that a manager’s in‡uence on …rm CSR activities is negatively related to their in‡uence on …nancial performance. Also, as suggested by the implications of the model, we …nd that managers who operate in industries with more volatile …nancial performance and receive a lower share of compensation from incentive-based pay are more likely to have a positive in‡uence on …rm social performance. 1 1 Introduction Corporate social responsibility (CSR) has become an increasingly mainstream business activity for many …rms. In 2012, U.S. …rms spent more than $40 billion1 on CSR-related initiatives and an additional $14.6 billion2 on charitable donations. A substantial segment of institutional investors also now consider the social performance of …rms when making their investment decisions, with over 10 percent of professionally managed U.S. investment classi…ed as socially responsible (Kitzmueller and Shimshack 2012). The increasing prevalence of CSR activities has sparked considerable debate over whether such activities actually improve …rm …nancial performance, and the literature continues to remain divided (see Gri¢ n and Mahon 1997, Orlitsky et al. 2003, and Margolis et. al 2009 for reviews). However, empirical studies conducted thus far have primarily focused on investigating the relationship between CSR and …nancial performance at the organization level. In this study, we examine the relationship between CSR and …nancial performance at the level of individual top managers, and investigate the mechanisms that determine how an individual manager’s in‡uence on CSR is related to their impact on …nancial performance. Our study has three primary motivations. First, individual managers are those who actually strategize, make decisions, and execute CSR initiatives, and therefore their individual preferences play a critical role in the process of determining …rm social performance (Waldman and Siegel 2008, Aguinis and Glavas 2012). Prior studies that examine the relationship between CSR and …nancial performance at the organization level may have important potential implications for managers, but as we show formally in this study, this analysis does not necessarily clarify the actual relationship between social and …nancial performance for individual executives. Other factors, such as a …rm’s culture or operating environment, can also play a signi…cant role in determining both CSR and …nancial outcomes at the organization level, and could explain many of the …ndings of these studies (Wood 1991, McWilliams et al. 2006). Second, a growing number of scholars have noted that relatively few empirical CSR studies exist at the individual level of analysis, which has contributed to a lack of progress in understanding the underlying mechanisms that determine CSR (Aguilera et. al 2007, Margolis and Walsh 2003, Wood 2010, Aguinis 2011, Orlitzky et al. 2011). And …nally, while prior literature has found evidence that the 1 See survey report by Verdantix, available at: http://www.verdantix.com/index.cfm/papers/Products.Details/product_id/107/us-sustainablebusiness-spending-2009-14/ 2 See NPS report summary available at: http://www.nps.gov/partnerships/fundraising_individuals_statistics.htm individual preferences of top managers play an important role in determining both social and …nancial performance outcomes (Bertrand and Schoar 2003, Chin et al. 2013), little is known about how a manager’s in‡uence on both dimensions might be related. We argue that in practice, managers are unlikely to make decisions a¤ecting …nancial and social performance in isolation, and propose a mechanism which considers how managers choose to invest across both performance outcomes without ruling out possible e¤ects of CSR on …nancial performance. To illustrate the relevance of understanding this relationship, consider the outdoor clothing company Patagonia, which donates 1% of its revenues to environmental organizations and produces high-quality products that command a price premium in the market. How are social and …nancial performance related when Patagonia’s managers make their decisions? In a case study by Casadesus-Masanell et. al (2009, p.209), a former senior manager at the company provides potentially con‡icting views, declaring at …rst that they seek to "dispel the myth that in order to have a high quality product you have to have something damaging to the environment," and then later stating "There is some tension between the environment and product quality...the reality is that they don’t always go hand in hand." Taken together, these seemingly opposing observations provide an ambiguous conclusion as to whether managers who wish to invest in improving social performance need to be concerned with tradeo¤s with …nancial performance, as well as the underlying mechanism governing their decisions. Top managers within …rms are tasked with having to make decisions across a variety of functions within the organization which contribute to organizational outcomes (Bertrand and Schoar 2003, Adams et al. 2005). When considering the relationship between an executive’s investments in …nancial and social performance, managers must decide the allocation of costly resources along each dimension of performance subject to a set of external incentives, their own personal interests, and the interests of the …rm (Reinhardt et. al 2008). Exposing the rich interplay between these di¤erent forces has important implications for understanding how managers in‡uence …nancial and social performance, as well as normative implications for improving the socially responsible (or irresponsible) practices of …rms. To theoretically examine the relationship between a manager’s in‡uence on social and …nancial performance, we show formally that the relationship between CSR and …nancial performance at the organization level may not necessarily be consistent at the individual manager level, and develop a formal model that describes how managers decide to in‡uence both outcomes. The model follows a multitasking framework, where managers are able to choose investments in CSR and other projects that only yield …nancial performance returns, and explores the tension between these forces when investments along either dimension of performance are costly to make. We test the predictions of our model by combining KLD data measuring CSR activities for a number of publicly-listed U.S. …rms from 1992-2009, …nancial data from Compustat, and data on individual managers obtained from Execucomp. In order to estimate the relationship between a manager’s in‡uence on …nancial and social performance, we follow a two-stage approach and begin by …rst estimating manager …xed e¤ects on each dimension and isolating a manager’s individual contribution to …nancial and social performance from other factors that also a¤ect …rm-level performance. Then, in our second stage of analysis we estimate the relationship between manager …xed e¤ects for each dimension of performance. In our results, we …nd a negative relationship between a manager’s in‡uence on …nancial performance and their impact on social performance. Also, as suggested by additional implications from the model, we …nd that managers have a more positive in‡uence on …rm CSR activities the lower their share of total compensation from incentive pay, and the more volatile the …nancial performance outcomes of their industry. In the remainder of the paper, we develop our argument in more detail. In the following section, we consider how managers determine their in‡uence on …nancial and social performance, and derive testable implications. In Section 3, we describe the data, develop our empirical speci…cation and discuss our identi…cation strategy. In Section 4, we present and discuss the empirical results. In Section 5, we o¤er conclusions. 2 Theoretical Considerations Agency theory has been used as early as Jensen and Meckling (1976) to explain how a principal and agent forge a working relationship and carry out their respective commitments. Since then, it has been recognized that agents often need to carry out multiple tasks. In their seminal paper, Holmstrom and Milgrom (1991) created a framework to understand the tradeo¤s encountered in such a multiple task world. In this spirit, and to develop testable predictions, we build a multi-tasking model where a manager must work on tasks that can increase the pro…ts and social performance of her …rm. We do not assume that tasks have only …nancial or social performance e¤ects. Clearly, some tasks may have both …nancial and social payo¤s. Instead, we begin by recognizing that any “bundled”task can be projected onto two orthogonal dimensions of …nancial and social performance. As long as the manager has su¢ cient task variety, she can combine them to create the desired level of investment on each dimension. Thus, we are able to consider …nancial and social investment of e¤ort as separate inputs, even though any particular task will often entail some of each type of investment. We assume that output for …nancial performance, which we will operationalize as pro…t, is yf = xf +"f and output for social performance is ys = xs +"s ; where xi is the investment choice for task i and "i is noise distributed as N (0; the manager with a linear contract p (yf ) = 2 ); i where i 2 ff; sg: The …rm pays + yf ; where is her salary and 2 [0; 1] is a share of …nancial pro…t. To simplify the exposition, we consider the case where the …rm cannot contract on social performance output ys , although we note that this does not fundamentally change our predictions or mechanism.3 Finally, the cost of investment e¤ort C (xf ; xs ) is increasing and convex in both of its arguments: C1 > 0; C2 > 0; C11 > 0, and C22 > 0: A straightforward parametrization that meets our above conditions and provides closed form solutions is to set C (xf ; xs ) 1 2 2 xf + 12 x2s + xs xf : This parameterization also assures that we are not forcing one task to be favored over the other due to simply assuming di¤erent task cost e¢ ciencies. Although it is standard in the literature to assume 2 (0; 1) (e.g., see Bolton and Dewatripont (2005)), we will instead allow greater possibilities with the set f j 2 ( 1; 1); 6= 0g: If > 0; 4 this means that increasing investment on one dimension increases the marginal cost of increased investment on the other dimension. This negative spillover can be thought of as opportunity costs across inputs. By contrast, if < 0; increased input on one task decreases the marginal cost of increased investment on the other task. This positive spillover can be thought as synergies across inputs. Finally, if = 0; there is no multi-tasking issue. Assuming away any multi-tasking issue means that it is as if there are two workers: one performing CSR-related tasks and the other …nancial tasks and having one invest on one dimension of performance has no e¤ect on the other. Thus, we do not analyze = 0: Finally, if j j 1; this means that the spillover costs across tasks are weakly more severe than the direct costs themselves, which we do not consider since it is ulikely to apply to the kinds of environments that we are studying. Similar to Holmstrom and Milgrom (1991), the manager is assumed to be risk averse 3 When the model allows for contractibility on social performance, however, the analysis is signi…cantly more complicated. Thus, for simplicity we present this version of the model to describe all of the main insights and mechanism of our formal theory. 4 Here forward, to ease exposition, we will use the notation < 0 and > 0 to mean the more cumbersome 2 ( 1; 0) and 2 (0; 1); respectively. with utility u(w) = e rw ; where e is the number e and r measures the manager’s degree of risk aversion. It can be shown then that the manager’s certainty equivalent compensation is CE = E fu [p (yf ) + = where and M 2 i + xf + M ys M xs 1 r 2 C (xf ; xs )]g 1 2 2 2 r f 2 M 2 s C (xf ; xs ) ; is the variance of …nancial performance (i.e., pro…t) and social performance is the agent’s valuation of social output. We only assume that M 2 R: That is, managers may prefer positive or negative social performance. For example, M could capture the degree to which a manager personally values the welfare of the community where they operate. The …rm is risk neutral and also is allowed to have utility over both …nancial and social performance.5 The …rm’s payo¤ is E[ Thus, F F] = E [yf + F xs p (xf )] : measures the degree the …rm values social performance. This problem di¤ers fundamentally from the canonical multi-tasking problem in that the second task, social performance, is a public good: both the manager and …rm bene…t from its production but only the manager pays for its production through her e¤ort investment cost. We can …rst characterize the manager’s choices of social and …nancial investments in the following Lemma. Lemma 1 The manager provides …nancial performance investment level xf = social performance investment level xs = M 1 1 M 2 and 2 Proof: see appendix. 5 In the following analysis, it will be apparent that …rms do not need to value social performance, although we will assume in our discussion that …rms have heterogeneous valuations of CSR, and at least some …rms value CSR. Patagonia, Ben and Jerry’s, and The Body Shop are three examples of …rms that seem to "care" about CSR in a way that transcends any particular manager’s tenure at the …rm. Since the …rm does not adjust optimal compensation based on the manager’s valuation of social performance (CSR), we note that if a manager has greater personal utility for CSR, then from Lemma 1 we have @ @ xs = M 1 2 1 > 0: Therefore, in equilibrium, a manager that places greater value on CSR will personally a¤ect an increase in her …rm’s CSR, independent of the …rm’s own valuation of social performance and regardless of . This is despite the fact that the …rm is aware of how much the manager personally values CSR. From Lemma 1 we can also see how a manager responds to increased incentive pay @ x = @ s 1 2 : < 0: Thus, when > 0 ( < 0); increasing performance pay decreases (increases) CSR output and increase …nancial performance, since 1 @ xf = @ 1 Consequently, when 2 > 0: > 0 ( < 0) and a …rm increases its manager’s performance-based pay, the executive will provide more …nancial performance investment and less (more) social performance investment. Prior literature examining the e¤ect of incentive compensation on social performance has thus far been unable to produce consistent evidence of a clear relationship (see Berrone and Gomez-Mejia (2009) for a review). However, past studies have focused on the relationship between compensation policy and organization-level social performance. In practice, incentive contracts a¤ect the individual-speci…c in‡uence that managers have on …rm social and …nancial performance, which is only a component of the …rm’s overall performance outcome. The contribution of other factors outside of the individual-speci…c in‡uence of managers may be one potential explanation for why previous studies have been unable to …nd consistent evidence. Here, we address this potential issue by directly investigating the relationship between incentives given to managers and the individual-speci…c in‡uence of managers on …rm social performance, and consider explicitly the mechanism relating a manager’s investments in social and …nancial performance. We now characterize the optimal linear performance sharing contract : Lemma 2 The optimal performance contract is = 1 1+r F 2 f (1 2 ) : Proof: see appendix. We can see from Lemma 2 that as a …rm places greater weight on the value of CSR (i.e., has greater F) and > 0; it will induce a higher level of CSR investment through lowering the power of its incentives (i.e., reducing @ @ = F 1+r 2 f 1 ): 2 < 0: and @ x = @ s 1 2 < 0: In contrast, if there are positive spillovers between engaging in both social and …nancial activities < 0, the …rm o¤ers higher powered incentives as it cares more about increasing CSR output. Based on these derivations we reach our primary empirical prediction that we take to the data: Proposition 3 When > 0 ( < 0), a manager’s …nancial performance yf and social performance ys are negatively (positively) related Proof: see appendix. When > 0; this Proposition says that after controlling for the degree of economies of scope , a manager faces a tradeo¤ in a¤ecting social and …nancial performance. Intuitively, managers have bounded resources and, therefore, increasing their exertion on one task must mean at least some reduced e¤ort on the other. Technically, any primitive of the model that increases the equilibrium level of investment on one dimension has the opposite e¤ect on the other. The sole exception is the economies of scope parameter. In fact, improved economies of scope induces both greater …nancial and social investment on the part of the manager. When < 0 the opposite prediction holds. Hence, the extent to which a manager faces a tradeo¤ between personally in‡uencing social and …nancial performance must be resolved empirically, which motivates our analysis in Section 3.2. Our analysis also provides two additional predictions that we can take to the data: Proposition 4 When > 0 ( < 0) ; manager social output ys is 1. increasing (decreasing) in …nancial performance volatility 2 f 2. decreasing (increasing) in incentive share Proof: see Appendix. The …rst prediction stems from the fact that as the returns to …nancial e¤orts become less certain, a manager’s incentives for …nancial e¤ort compared to social performance e¤ort are dampened, thus encouraging him to contribute more to social performance when > 0, all things equal. Hence, as a manager must operate in an environment with increased uncertainty over pro…ts, we expect her CSR output to increase. The opposite holds when < 0: The second prediction follows from Lemma 1 and analysis that follows showing 1 2 . Intuitively, when @ @ xs = > 0; increased …nancial performance sharing entices the man- ager to invest relatively more in …nancial tasks over social tasks. However, when < 0 investment increases for both tasks. Prior literature investigating the relationship between risk and CSR has generally found a negative correlation between risk and …rm social performance (see Orlitzky and Benjamin (2001) and Margolis Elfenbein Walsh (2009) for reviews). However, previous studies have only considered this relationship at the organization level. As a complement to this literature, we examine here the underlying mechanism governing the relationship between risk and an individual manager’s in‡uence on …rm social performance. In principle, the predictions from our propositions are empirically testable. However, we note that the model’s predictions address how an individual manager’s in‡uence on …nancial and social performance are related to each other, as well as other variables. This requires that an empirical test of the model …rst isolate an individual manager’s in‡uence from other organization-level e¤ects on performance. In the next section, guided by the notion of the ecological fallacy, we discuss the importance of separating a manager’s in‡uence from other …rm-speci…c factors. 2.1 The Ecological Fallacy First recognized by Robinson (1950), the term ecological fallacy refers to a fallacy in the interpretation of statistical relationships where the relationship between variables demonstrated at a higher level of analysis is also assumed to hold true at the individual level. While scholars have recognized the importance of multilevel analysis (Staw et al. 1981, Glick 1985, Klein et al. 1999, Hitt et al. 2007), these studies have primarily focused on how variables at di¤erent levels of analysis a¤ect outcomes at a single level, but not on the relationship between distinct organizational outcome variables at di¤erent levels of analysis. Consequently, a di¤erent methodological approach from standard multilevel tools, such as hierarchical linear modeling, is required to test for the ecological fallacy (Ho¤man 1997). As we describe later in the empirical section, we instead utilize a methodology originally used in the economics literature by Bertrand and Schoar (2003) to estimate relationships between di¤erent …rm outcome variables at the individual manager level. Problems of statistical inference resulting from the ecological fallacy have been empirically demonstrated across a number of contexts and scienti…c …elds, including political science (Kramer 1983, Inglehart and Welzel 2003), sociology (Hammond 1973, Hannan and Burstein 1974, Firebaugh 1978,), epidemiology (Morgenstern 1982,Piantadosi et al. 1988, Diez-Roux 1998), and organizational behavior (Glick and Roberts 1984, Klein et al. 1994). While numerous speci…c causes can exist for the ecological fallacy, the general problem is that presuming consistency of relationships across di¤erent levels of analysis makes assumptions that are often too strong regarding the structure of interactions between the independent and dependent variables across levels. In many empirical contexts, these assumptions are likely to be violated. To illustrate the general problem of making inferences across levels, consider two levels of analysis, the organization and the individual manager, and a variable X that is hypothesized to be related to …rm performance variable P ERF at the organization level. Both X and P ERF are …rm-level variables that are determined by both the individual manager (subscript denoted by mgr) and a set of factors independent of the manager (subscript denoted by nonmgr), which we refer to here as a “non-manager component.”The relationship between variable X and P ERF at the organization level (subscript denoted by org) can then be formally shown to be the sum of covariances between the individual manager and non-manager components of X and P ERF :6 cov (P ERForg ; Xorg ) = cov (P ERFnonmgr ; Xnonmgr ) + cov (P ERFnonmgr ; Xmgr ) +cov (P ERFmgr ; Xnonmgr ) + cov (P ERFmgr ; Xmgr ) 6 The full derivation can be found in the Appendix. In this case, the organization level relationship actually depends upon four separate relationships between the individual manager and non-manager components of X and P ERF . When implications for individual managers are stated using results from a regression of P ERF on variable X at the organization level, the following assumption is made: cov (P ERForg ; Xorg ) = cov (P ERFmgr ; Xmgr ) This is equivalent to the assumption that: cov (P ERFnonmgr ; Xnonmgr ) + cov (P ERFnonmgr ; Xmgr ) + cov (P ERFmgr ; Xnonmgr ) = 0 The validity of this assumption depends upon the true underlying mechanisms determining the relationship between X and P ERF at the organization level. However, we argue that in practice, there is typically no reason, theoretical or otherwise, to believe that this assumption should necessarily be true. For example, consider the covariance of the nonmanager components of X and P ERF . If, for example, organizations with higher quality employees are likely to have higher levels of X, and are also likely to exhibit higher levels of P ERF , then the non-manager components of X and P ERF are likely to have a positive covariance. If this is true, then in order for the assumption to hold, the sum of the remaining two covariance terms cov (P ERFnonmgr ; Xmgr ) and cov (P ERFmgr ; Xnonmgr ) must be negative and exactly o¤set cov (P ERFnonmgr ; Xnonmgr ). However, in many empirical contexts this type of assumption is unlikely to be valid, and may result in incorrect inferences. Hence, our empirical strategy, as outlined below, will explicitly separate manager and …rm …xed e¤ects. 3 3.1 Data and Empirical Approach Sample and Measures The data used for this study consists of a sample of managers, …rms, and measures of …nancial and social performance linked in a panel structure. To measure …rm CSR activities, social performance ratings from Kinder, Lydenberg, Domini Research & Analytics (KLD) from 1992 to 2009 are used. KLD ratings are among the most in‡uential and widely studied measures of CSR used in prior literature (Berman et al. 1999, Chatterji et al. 2009), covering a sample of U.S. publicly listed …rms. Following Servaes and Tamayo (2013), we de…ne our primary CSR measure to include the KLD categories of community, diversity, employee relations, environment, and human rights. By choosing this de…nition, we take a conservative approach that more closely matches the types of managerial decisions addressed by our model, and also exclude categories that individual executives are unlikely to have control over (e.g. a …rm’s industry).7 To test the robustness of our results across di¤erent de…nitions of CSR, we also consider measures where the product and corporate governance categories are added to our primary CSR measure. To construct our measures of …rm-level CSR, we subtract the total number of concerns from the total number of strengths over the selected KLD categories, following the convention used by previous empirical studies (Gri¢ n and Mahon 1997, Waddock and Graves 1997, Johnson and Greening 1999, Chatterji et. al 2009). To measure …nancial performance, we use Return on Assets as our primary measure, calculated by dividing operating income by the total assets of the …rm, winsorized at the 2.5% level in each tail to reduce the in‡uence of outliers.8 As secondary measures of …nancial performance, we use Return on Equity (calculated as net income divided by shareholder’s equity) and Return on Sales (calculated as operating income divided by sales), winsorized at the same level. To link our measure of CSR to the identities of individual managers, KLD ratings data is merged with ExecuComp, which tracks the top …ve highest paid executives for a wide range of U.S. publicly listed …rms from 1992 to the present. These data typically include the …rm’s CEO, CFO, COO, and subdivision CEOs. After the ExecuComp, Compustat, and KLD data are initially merged, all unmatched observations are then dropped from the sample. Following the approach by Bertrand and Schoar (2003), the sample is then restricted to …rms that contain a manager who switches to at least one other …rm (which must also be visible in the data). By considering the set of managers who switch …rms over time for our analysis, both manager and …rm …xed e¤ects can be estimated simultaneously in our empirical speci…cation. In the formal model described earlier, the decisions of managers to invest in …nancial and social performance ultimately result in an individual-speci…c contribution to overall …rm social and …nancial performance. By estimating manager …xed 7 KLD measures CSR activities across thirteen categories: community, diversity, employee relations, environment, human rights, product, alcohol, gaming, …rearms, military, nuclear, tobacco, and corporate governance. 8 Winsorizing at lower percentiles produces similar results, although the in‡uence of extreme outliers reduces statistical signi…cance. In the unwinsorized data, the minimum value is over 5 standard deviations below the mean, and the maximum is over 6 standard deviations above the mean. e¤ects for both social and …nancial performance, we are able to measure the in‡uence of an individual manager on both …rm-level performance measures. To ensure that managers have su¢ cient opportunity to in‡uence …rm outcomes, the sample includes only those managers who have at least three years of observable tenure at each …rm where they are employed. The …nal sample using KLD measures consists of 149 managers who switched organizations, spanning the years 1992 to 2009. Of the 149 managers, 64 are CEOs, 17 are CFOs, and 68 occupy other top executive positions in their last position in the data. Table 1 displays descriptive statistics for the sample used for the study. Table 2 shows the types of changes in position and industry for the managers in the sample. The majority of managers were originally in top executive positions other than CEO or CFO. Similar to Bertrand and Schoar (2003), we note that a substantial percentage of executives (37%) change industries, where we de…ne an industry as a …rm’s two-digit North American Industry Classi…cation System (NAICS) code. Also, our sample does not contain any managers that are originally CFOs, although some eventually take CFO positions after switching …rms. 3.2 Empirical Speci…cation To empirically examine the relationship between a manager’s in‡uence on …nancial and social performance, we begin by …rst estimating the individual manager’s contribution to each …rm outcome. In principle, one straightforward method of estimating the in‡uence of individual managers on …rm outcomes is to include a …xed e¤ect for each relevant manager, and add a set of control variables measuring all other relevant factors. However, in practice, obtaining a comprehensive set of control variables using this type of regression approach is di¢ cult, especially if some relevant factors, such as …rm culture or organizational structure, might a¤ect performance but lack good or even available measures. Without a comprehensive set of control variables, any quantitative estimation using this type of regression approach may overstate (or understate) the e¤ect of individual managers on …rm outcomes, thereby leading to incorrect inferences. To illustrate how this might occur, consider the example of executives who donate to environmentally focused charities, and their in‡uence on social performance. If executives who donate more to environmentally focused charities are also more likely to work in …rms where the organization is already very committed to environmental sustainability, then the regression analysis will overstate the degree to which those executives in‡uence CSR activities because of the confounding e¤ect of the …rm’s culture, assuming a good measure of …rm culture cannot be included as a control variable. To address this empirical challenge, we follow the sampling methodology described earlier and estimate both manager and …rm …xed e¤ects in the same speci…cation. This approach follows prior work by Bertrand and Schoar (2003) and Pierce and Snyder (2008) that separates organization-level and individual-level e¤ects to identify the in‡uence of individuals on organizational outcomes. The inclusion of …rm …xed e¤ects is particularly useful in this context, since many factors in‡uencing performance that are di¢ cult to measure or are not measured in existing data can still be estimated and controlled for in this approach. Recent empirical work on CSR by Servaes and Tamayo (2013) provides striking evidence that failing to control for unobservable time-invariant characteristics through the inclusion of …rm …xed e¤ects can lead to spurious …ndings. By including …rm …xed e¤ects in our baseline speci…cation, we address many of these concerns. In our …rst stage of analysis, we are able to estimate the degree to which …nancial and social performance changes with the identity of individual top managers. The baseline regression speci…cation utilizing this approach is presented here: P ERFit = (M AN AGERj ) + F IRMi + Y EARt + CON T ROLSit + "it ; where each performance measure P ERFit for …rm i at time t is regressed on …xed e¤ects for each manager j, …rm i; year t; as well as a set of control variables. The CON T ROLSit include logged total assets (measuring …rm size), the ratio of debt to total assets (…rm risk), the ratio of R&D to sales (R&D intensity), and the ratio of advertising to sales (advertising intensity), following prior empirical studies that recognize these factors as being related to …rm CSR (McWiliams and Siegel 2000, Servaes and Tamayo 2013).9 To address heteroscedasticity and lack of independence of observations for the same …rm, standard errors are clustered at the …rm level. In our analysis, we note that since managers are unlikely to switch …rms randomly, their selection may explain a …nding of statistical signi…cance of manager …xed e¤ects. For example, a manager may switch …rms during a period when the hiring …rm independently 9 We note that industry dummies are already included implicitly through the inclusion of …rm …xed e¤ects. decides to increase its investments in CSR, creating a correlation between a manager’s arrival to a new …rm and increases in CSR. Later, when we discuss the robustness of our …ndings, we consider whether these alternative selection mechanisms may be a¤ecting our results. In the second stage of our analysis, we are now able to test our empirical predictions developed in Section 2. Proposition 3 states our primary prediction that a manager’s individual e¤ects on …rm …nancial and social performance are negatively related. To test this proposition, following the methodology of Bertrand and Schoar (2003), we estimate the relationship between an individual manager’s …xed e¤ects on …nancial and social performance for the managers in our relevant sample. The speci…cation we use is as follows: F EjS = + F EjF + "j ; where each …xed e¤ect F EjS for social performance for manager j is regressed on that manager’s …xed e¤ect for …nancial performance F EjF . To account for the di¤erent levels of precision in each manager …xed e¤ect estimate, we use a weighted least squares regression approach, where we weight each observation by the inverse variance of the error of each …xed e¤ect estimate in the independent variable.10 4 Results and Discussion Table 3 summarizes nine regressions where we regress each of the three CSR categorizations of manager …xed e¤ects on the respective manager …xed e¤ect for …nancial performance.11 Column (1) shows that the e¤ect a manager has on our primary CSR measure is strongly and negatively related to the e¤ect that same manager has on all three of their …rm’s …nancial performance measures, as precited when > 0: Column (2) displays the results for the primary CSR measure with the KLD “Product”category included. This additional category is less clearly a measure of CSR activities; the Product category includes measures of product quality, safety, R&D, and marketing or contracting controversies. Nevertheless, 10 This is to address the measurement error in the independent variable. We assume the error structure of a particular observation to be E[ 2 jX] = s2 e2 , where s2 is the variance of the observation if …xed e¤ect estimates were equally precise and e2 is the variance of the …xed e¤ect estimate. Hence, our weights are e 2 . This follows Bertrand and Schoar (2003). 11 To test whether the manager …xed e¤ects were statistically signi…cant, we conducted a Wald test, and found that manager …xed e¤ects were signi…cant for all social performance measures at the 1% level and all …nancial performance measures at the 5% level. adding this category yields similar results to our baseline results in column (1). In column (3), we add KLD’s category of corporate governance. Using this third de…nition of CSR, we also …nd similar results to our primary measure. One potential concern with these results is that because our estimation strategy tracks managers that change …rms, managers who change industries may be creating a bias in our estimates. For example, consider a CEO that works initially at an engineering company and then switches to an oil company. At the engineering …rm, she personally contributes to increasing the …rm’s pro…tability and social performance. However, when she joins the oil …rm, due to the nature of the industry, it is more di¢ cult to increase social performance compared to the engineering …rm, although she is still able to similarly in‡uence …nancial performance. Hence, a negative correlation between performance e¤ects would arise as a result of her switching industries, and not as a result of her individual decision making. This would generate our observed results, but be an alternative mechanism to that proposed by the model.12 To address this concern, we add a dummy control variable for managers that change industries. We also add controls for manager age, the volatility of earnings for their …rm’s industry and the manager’s share of pay that is incentive pay.13 The former variable could be related to risk aversion, whereas the latter two variables are predicted via the model to mediate a manager’s investment level in CSR. Results for this speci…cation of controls are reported in Table 4. The …ndings are very similar to those shown in Table 3 where we used no such controls. Another concern is that, similar to changing industries, there is a potential selection issue in managers that change positions. For example, a manager may be a CEO for one of their …rm spells and a di¤erent position for their next spell; this could potentially create some type of correlation between their impact on …nancial and social performance across spells as their span and breadth of control and duties potentially change. To address this concern, we control for each of the observed position changes in our data. Table 5 reports results of adding these controls to all of the controls used in Table 4. The …ndings are similar to the …ndings reported in Table 4. Next, we consider our secondary empirical predictions found in Proposition 5. In particular, since we found a negative relationship between managerial social and …nancial 12 This selection story could also go in the opposite direction as well, though we explain only one side of it here for explication purposes. 13 We did not add a control for gender. Our sample contains only 4 female managers. However, controlling for the gender of these four managers did not materially change the estimates of any of our regressions. impact, suggesting > 0; we expect volatility of earnings to lead to increased levels of manager-induced CSR and also for increased incentive pay to result in reduced contributions to CSR. To capture the volatility of earnings in a manager’s operating environment, we use a manager’s industry average standard deviation of operating income at the 4 digit NAICS code level.14 Note that since standard deviation is strictly increasing in variance, Proposition 5 also predicts that increased standard deviation of earnings results in greater manager investment in CSR. We use industry-level rather than …rm-level earnings since …rm-level earnings are potentially endogenous to the manager’s task choices. Table 6 reports the relationship of operating income volatility and our primary measure of CSR. Columns (1) through columns (3) suggest, as predicted by the model, increased volatility results in increased CSR investment by the manager. Columns (4) through (6) add controls for manager position changes. Adding this additional set of controls produces similar results to the previous estimates. The other variable of interest, incentive pay, is calculated as total variable pay (i.e., total manager compensation minus salary) divided by total compensation. For our primary measure of CSR, we …nd a modest statistical relationship at the 10% level; increased incentive pay results in a manager having a smaller e¤ect on their …rm’s CSR. When including all controls, as shown in column (4), we …nd a relationship at the 5% level. When adding the KLD Product category to our primary CSR measure we introduce some categories that could theoretically operate in the opposite direction of pure social performance: product quality, safety, and R&D are all characteristics that should improve overall …nancial performance. This means that incentive pay would have a positive relationship with these factors. However, being involved in marketing controversies is arguably more closely related to social performance. Thus, the relationship of incentive pay to KLD’s product category is ambiguous. In our data, the only components of KLD’s corporate governance category that were reported consistently prior to 2006 are total level of compensation to top executives and board members, minority ownership of other KLD rated …rms, and "other" issues. After 2006, KLD added …ve categories to the corporate governance measure, substantially broadening the de…nition of corporate governance. To the extent the narrower measurer is less precisely capturing corporate governance, we would expect that adding it to our baseline measure would create less precise results. 14 For managers that switch 4 digit NAICS codes in the data, the average of all of their annual 4 digit NAICS level observations is used. A …nal issue we address is the possibility that there exists some trend in corporate social and …nancial performance that is systematically related to the departure and hiring of managers across …rms. For example, perhaps …rms that hire new managers tend to be experiencing improving social performance while …nancial performance simultaneously deteriorates. This type of trend would mean a new manager inherits a …rm with negatively correlated social and …nancial performance. Of course, there is no reason to believe that the trend could not be just the opposite: those …rms receiving new managers have both deteriorating …nancial and social performance, which would mean a manager inherits positively correlated social and …nancial performance. This would go against our …nding a negative relationship of manager in‡uence on social and …nancial performance. Nonetheless, we recreated our entire analysis with the addition of a time trend model. Speci…cally, we added a linear time trend that begins three years before a manager departs and continues …ve years after the new manager takes over. This was estimated by adding a regressor that takes on the value of 1 three years prior to a managers departure and increases each year by 1, ending with a value of 8 …ve years after a manager change. All other periods take on the value of 0: Table 7 reports the analysis shown in Table 5— relating social and …nancial manager …xed e¤ects with all controls— with the addition of this time trend. As can be seen, estimates are qualitatively similar and obtain all of the same respective signi…cance levels as before reported in Table 5. Regressions with fewer controls (i.e., recreating Table 3 and Table 4 with a linear time trend) have similar results but were omitted for brevity. We also perform the same analysis for Table 6, our analysis of the relationship of …nancial output volatility and incentive pay, with the addition of a time trend. As reported in Table 8, we …nd similar results to before.15 5 Conclusion We studied a sample of top managers from U.S. publicly listed …rms to determine their individual e¤ects on CSR outcomes across a broad range of types of CSR. We began our analysis by developing an agency theory model where managers must allocate costly resources across the dimensions of …nancial and social performance. To test the predictions of the model, we …rst empirically isolated a manager’s e¤ect on CSR from their …rm’s e¤ect. 15 We also test statistically whether or not …rms that hire a new manager in our sample exhibit di¤erent trends in social performance compared to …rms that do not hire a switching manager in our sample, and …nd no evidence of di¤erences in social performance trends. After separating …rm and manager …xed e¤ects, we were then able to test the model, and found evidence of a tradeo¤ between …nancial and social performance for managers. We do not claim that …rms in the aggregate face such a tradeo¤; rather, top managers at …rms personally face this tradeo¤ in how they individually a¤ect …rm outcomes. We also tested the model’s secondary prediction that those managers working in an environment of greater …rm pro…t volatility might choose to invest more in CSR. Intuitively, those managers in more volatile …nancial performance environments receive a relatively better return to allocating more investment to social versus …nancial performance e¤orts. Finally, we examined if managers with greater incentive pay are more likely to negatively in‡uence …rm-level CSR. In our results, we …nd consistent evidence of our …nancial performance volatility prediction and partial evidence for our incentive prediction. Overall, our …ndings suggest that for those …rms desiring to increase their CSR performance, hiring a manager with a strong and positive CSR record could prove helpful. However, …rm-speci…c factors independent of our sample of managers appear to play a critical role in explaining variation in CSR outcomes. In particular, if a …rm is able to mitigate pro…t volatility or decrease its level of incentive pay, our results suggest that this would result in increased individual manager investment in CSR. Finally, boards of directors need to be realistic in that if a particular manager is charged with increasing CSR output, it is likely she will not simultaneously increase …nancial output; in fact, there will likely be a reduction in personal contribution to …nancial output. However, one potential solution is to have top managers focus on di¤erent tasks. Whereas one manager (e.g., CFO) could produce more …nancial output, another manager (e.g., CEO) could be charged with greater social output. Job and task design for bringing about the optimal …rm …nancial and social peformance could prove a promising avenue for future research. The results of this study also highlight the opportunity for empirical approaches that are better able to separate the many di¤erent factors that may in‡uence CSR, including disentangling a manager’s e¤ect from their …rm’s e¤ects. Empirical work in CSR is frequently challenged by unavailable or too few good measures, making omitted variable bias a particularly di¢ cult problem. Approaches like the one used in this study (i.e., collecting panel data and implementing both …rm and manager …xed e¤ects) provide some remedy to many of these issues and help us understand the actual mechanism(s) at work. Further empirical work should ideally make greater use of these types of approaches and will, whenever possible, consider the actual magnitudes of their e¤ects on CSR and other important …rm outcomes. Table 1. Descriptive Statistics 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 5. 6. 7. 8. 7. 8. Variable Mean σ CSR (Primary Measure) 0.83 2.91 CSR (including Product) 0.46 3.10 CSR (including Product and Corp. Governance) -0.02 3.19 ROA 0.10 0.07 ROE 0.12 0.20 ROS 0.13 0.11 Firm Total Assets (in millions of USD) 30,108.4 107,110.5 Debt / Total Assets 0.24 0.16 R&D Intensity 0.03 0.07 Advertising Intensity 0.01 0.03 Manager Age 53.9 6.9 Average length of firm spell (in years) 6.6 3.6 Sample size (N) Min -8 -9 -10 -0.08 -0.67 -0.13 103.5 0 0 0 32 1 Max 15 15 14 0.29 0.59 0.47 2,223,299 1.39 1.56 0.23 86 18 14,535 Age was missing for a significant number of observations. There were 6,152 nonmissing observations. Since R&D and Advertising expenditures are only reported when material, missing values for both were set to zero. Table 2. Manager Movements across Firms and Industries CEO CFO Other CEO 13 [5] 0 7 [1] CFO 0 0 0 51 [19] 17 [9] 61 [21] To: From: Other This table provides summary counts of managers’ transitions across positions and industries in the final sample used for estimation. Each transition is across firms. Numbers shown in brackets denote the number of transitions of each change in position that are also a change in industry for a switching manager. Table 3. Relationship Between Financial and CSR Manager Fixed Effects Dependent Variable: Manager CSR Fixed Effect (FE) Estimates CSR Measure Manager FE Estimates Return on Assets Primary (1) -21.1111*** (7.7229) Including Product Category (2) -17.5200** (7.1377) Return on Equity -4.7779*** (1.7881) -4.4046** (1.8218) -3.6378** (1.6756) Return on Sales -10.3444*** (3.8825) -10.1514*** (3.6859) -8.8518** (3.7727) 149 149 149 N Including Product and Corp Gov Category (3) -18.7648*** (6.7647) Each table entry in this table corresponds to a different regression. Each entry reports the coefficient from a weighted regression of the fixed effects from the column variable on the fixed effects from the row variable. Observations in these regressions are weighted by the inverse of the standard error of the independent variable. Standard errors of the coefficient estimates are in parentheses. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<.01 Table 4: Relationship between Financial and CSR Manager Fixed Effects with Added Controls Dependent Variable: Manager Social Performance Fixed Effect (FE) Estimates CSR Measure Manager FE Estimates Return on Assets Primary (1) -23.1164*** (6.9708) Including Product Category (2) -19.6203*** (6.5759) Including Product and Corp Gov Category (3) -21.2333*** (6.4206) Return on Equity -4.8121** (1.9802) -4.5140** (2.0742) -4.3712** (2.0112) Return on Sales -10.7045*** (3.9312) -10.4385*** (3.7682) -10.4076*** (3.8426) 149 149 149 N Each table entry in this table corresponds to a different regression. Each entry reports the coefficient from a weighted regression of the fixed effects from the column variable on the fixed effects from the row variable. Observations in these regressions are weighted by the inverse of the standard error of the independent variable. Standard errors of the coefficient estimates are in parentheses. Controls include age, incentive share, manager industry change, and standard deviation of industry operating income Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<.01 Table 5: Relationship of Financial and CSR Manager Fixed Effects with Full Controls Dependent Variable: Manager Social Performance Fixed Effect (FE) Estimates CSR Measure Manager FE Estimates Return on Assets Primary (1) -23.8721*** (6.7774) Including Product Category (2) -19.9064*** (6.3163) Return on Equity -4.0457** (2.0138) -4.0093* (2.1256) -3.8961* (2.1781) Return on Sales -10.9361** (4.2424) -10.7124** (4.1830) -10.6731** (4.1486) 149 149 149 N Including Product and Corp Gov Category (3) -21.0687*** (6.3298) Each table entry in this table corresponds to a different regression. Each entry reports the coefficient from a weighted regression of the fixed effects from the column variable on the fixed effects from the row variable. Observations in these regressions are weighted by the inverse of the standard error of the independent variable. Standard errors of the coefficient estimates are in parentheses. Controls include age, incentive share, manager industry change, manager position change, and standard deviation of industry operating income Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<.01 0.0001*** (0.0000) -1.1607* (0.6478) -0.0114* (0.0068) 0.2632*** (0.0749) No 149 0.212 Volatility of Industry Operating Income Incentive Pay (β) Age Manager Industry Change Position Change Controls Observations R Squared * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<.01 Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. Primary (1) VARIABLES 149 0.188 No 0.2140** (0.0830) -0.0080 (0.0081) -0.5045 (0.6076) 0.0001*** (0.0000) Including Product Category (2) CSR Measure Dependent Variable: Manager CSR Fixed Effect (FE) Estimates 149 0.102 No 0.2076* (0.1244) -0.0060 (0.0076) 0.1953 (0.6862) 0.0001*** (0.0000) Including Product and Corp Gov Category (3) 149 0.236 Yes 0.2220*** (0.0739) -0.0146* (0.0075) -1.2504** (0.6134) 0.0002*** (0.0000) Primary (4) 149 0.197 Yes 0.2247** (0.0889) -0.0112 (0.0072) -0.6327 (0.6081) 0.0001*** (0.0000) Including Product Category (5) CSR Measure 149 0.129 Yes 0.2334** (0.1128) -0.0110 (0.0090) -0.0361 (0.7332) 0.0001*** (0.0000) Including Product and Corp Gov Category (6) Table 6: The Relationship between CSR Manager Fixed Effects and Volatility of Industry Income and Manager Incentive Pay Table 7: Relationship of Financial and CSR Manager Fixed Effects with Full Controls with Time Trends Dependent Variable: Manager Social Performance Fixed Effect (FE) Estimates CSR Measure Including Product and Corp Gov Category (3) -20.3788*** (6.0215) Manager FE Estimates Return on Assets Primary (1) -19.6992*** (6.0966) Including Product Category (2) -18.3364*** (6.3663) Return on Equity -3.6812** (1.8607) -3.6991* (2.0075) -3.6061* (2.0916) Return on Sales -9.8664** (4.4066) -10.8876** (4.2088) -10.3561** (4.2003) 149 149 149 N Each table entry in this table corresponds to a different regression. Each entry reports the coefficient from a weighted regression of the fixed effects from the column variable on the fixed effects from the row variable. Observations in these regressions are weighted by the inverse of the standard error of the independent variable. Standard errors of the coefficient estimates are in parentheses. Controls include age, incentive share, manager industry change, manager position change, and standard deviation of industry operating income Time trend is a linear time trend beginning 3 years before and continuing 5 years after a manager change. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<.01 0.1957** (0.0894) No -1.4136** (0.6624) -0.0121 (0.0079) 0.2471*** (0.0896) No 149 0.171 Volatility of Industry Operating Income Incentive Pay (β) Age Manager Industry Change Position Change Controls Observations R Squared * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<.01 Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. 0.0001*** (0.0000) 0.0001*** (0.0000) VARIABLES 149 0.159 -0.0096 (0.0083) -0.6541 (0.6304) Including Product Category (2) Primary (1) CSR Measure Dependent Variable: Manager CSR Fixed Effect (FE) Estimates -0.0123 (0.0075) 0.1988** (0.0927) Yes 149 0.165 -0.0148 (0.0089) 0.2123** (0.0858) Yes 149 0.198 -0.0059 (0.0075) 0.1850 (0.1142) 149 0.094 No 149 0.115 Yes 0.2173** (0.1074) -0.0102 (0.0089) -0.1197 (0.6964) -0.7647 (0.6484) 0.0850 (0.6398) -1.4434** (0.6014) Including Product Category (5) Including Product and Corp Gov Category (6) 0.0001*** (0.0000) 0.0002*** (0.0000) Primary (4) CSR Measure 0.0001*** (0.0000) 0.0001*** (0.0000) Including Product and Corp Gov Category (3) Table 8: The Relationship between CSR Manager Fixed Effects and Volatility of Industry Income and Manager Incentive Pay with Time Trends References Adams, R.B., H. 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International Journal of Management Reviews, 12: 50-84. 6 Appendix 6.1 Proofs Lemma 1: The manager provides …nancial performance investment level xf = social performance investment level xs = M 1 M 2 and 2 1 Proof: We …rst solve the manager’s problem. The manager’s problem is equivalent to maximizing her certainty equivalent since rw e is strictly increasing w and she cannot e¤ect the variance of output. Thus, we have max + xf + M xs max + xf + M xs xf ;xs xf ;xs 1 r 2 1 r 2 1 r 2 1 r 2 2 2 f 2 2 f 2 M 2 s 2 M 2 s C (xf ; xs ) 1 2 1 2 x + x + xs xf 2 f 2 s This yields F OCf : (xf + xs ) = 0 F OCs : Now solving for e¤orts, we get xs = M M (xs + xf ) = 0 M xf ; which we substitute to yield (xs + xf ) = 0 xf + xf = 0 xf = which means xs = Q.E.D. M 1 2 1 M 2 Lemma 2 The optimal performance sharing contract is = 1 1+r F 2 f (1 2 ) : Proof: The …rm’s problem becomes max (1 ) xf + ; subject to xf = C (xf ; xs ) 1 M 2 and xs = M and 2 1 F xs + xf + M xs 2 2 1 f 2r 1 2 2r M 2 s 0; where we have normalized the outside option of the manager to zero. Substituting in the above IR and IC constraints, yields the unconstrained problem max (1 ) xf + 1 r 2 F OC : 2 M x0f + ( F F xs + 0 M ) xs 2 x0f = x0f (1 ) + x0s = x0f (1 ) + x0s ( () r () = M xs 1 r 2 2 2 f 1 2 1 2 x + x + xs xf 2 f 2 s 2 s = 1 + xf + + x0s ( 2 1 0 2 f + xf = x0f + x0s F r 2f + x0f 2 f r F + xs M M 2 1 1+r 1 0 2 f r x0f + x0s = xs x0s M + F) F xf x0f 2 M x0s xf xf ) r r 2 f xs x0f 2 f F F 2 f 2 1 This yields the optimal output sharing contract as = 1 1+r F 2 f 1 2 Q.E.D. Proposition 3. When > 0 ( < 0), a manager’s …nancial performance yf and social performance ys are negatively (positively) related Proof: Recall that xf = xs = = M 2 1 M 2 1 1 1+r F 2 f 2 1 To identify the negative relationship we …rst consider how xf and xs change as a function of each primitive of the model, holding then show how …xed. First assume that > 0: We changes with each primitive of the model to identify the e¤ects of all primitives (except ) , which completes the proof. @ @ : xf = M @ @ M xs = M @ @ 1 M @ @ M 2 = 2 = M 1 M 1 2 <0 2 >0 1 1 : @ x = @ f @ x = @ s Hence, changes in either M or @ @ @ @ : = 2 = M 1 1 1 2 >0 1 2 <0 create opposite changes in xf and xs , inducing a negative correlation. Now we analyze changes in xs through 1 M 2 ; which only indirectly a¤ect changes in xf and @ @ = @ F @ @r @ @ @ 2 f F 1 1+r @ @r = @ = 2 f @ 1 1+r 2 f 2 1 F 2 f 1 1+r ! F 2 1 ! 2 f 2 1 2 f 1+r 2 f = 2 2 f 2 f 1+r (1 2 1 2 r 1 = <0 2 1 1 1+r ! F = (1 2 1 F) 2 <0 F) 2 <0 Hence, conditional on ; outcomes of xf and xs are negatively related. As can readily be shown, the opposite holds with < 0: Q.E.D Proposition 4 When > 0 ( < 0) ; manager social output ys is 1. increasing (decreasing) in …nancial performance volatility 2 f 2. decreasing (increasing) in incentive share Proof: First assume that > 0: 2; f 1. We take the derivative of @ @ 2 f xs = = = yielding @ M 2 f @ 1 1+r M @ @ 2 1 2 f 1 2 1+r 2 (1 ) 2 1 r 1 F 2 f 2 (1 2 f 1 2 F) 2 >0 Since ys is strictly increasing in xs ; the result follows. 2. Lemma 1 and Lemma 2 and the accompanying analysis in Section 2 show manager social investment is increasing in : Since ys is strictly increasing in xs ; the result follows. The opposite results holds for both 1. and 2. when < 0: Q.E.D. 6.2 Formal Model of the Ecological Fallcy We present a formal model of the ecological fallacy inspired by Robinson (1950), with an application to our paper’s empirical setting of comparing social and …nancial performance. Assume …rm …nancial performance is given by Yf = fc + fm ; where fm is the manager in‡uence and fc is non-manager in‡uence (i.e., we refer to this as company). Social performance is similarly Ys = sc + sm : Now consider the covariance1 of …nancial and social performance across a population of …rms whose performance is observed at the overall …rm-level:2 cov (Yf ; Ys ) = cov (fc + fm ; sc + sm ) = E [(fc + fm E [fc + fm ]) (sc + sm = E [(fc E [fc ] + fm = E[(fc E [fc ]) (sc +E[(fm E [fm ]) (sc E [sc ])] + E[(fc E [fm ]) (sc E [sc + sm ])] E [sc ] + sm E [fc ]) (sm E [sc ])] + E[(fm E [sm ])] E [sm ])] E [fm ]) (sm E [sm ])] = cov (fc ; sc ) + cov (fc ; sm ) + cov (fm ; sc ) + cov (fm ; sm ) From the …nal line, the …rst covariance term is the relationship between a company’s in‡uence (outside of the manager’s in‡uence) on its social and …nancial performance. The second covariance term is the relationship between a company’s in‡uence on …nancial 1 Recall that the covariance and the correlation coe¢ cient have identical signs. The latter is essentially a normalization of the former by means of the product of the variables’standard deviations. However, using covariance rather than the correlation coe¢ cient greatly simpli…es the mathematical analysis. 2 Note that we do not index a given …rm output by i: Instead, consider the variables Yf and Ys as random variables; that is, we want to identify the expected covariance between any two di¤erent …rm-level outputs, across the population of …rms. To estimate these covariances in practice, we of course then use a …nite sample N …rms. However, the logic is identical. performance and the manager’s in‡uence on social performance. The third covariance term is the relationship between a company’s in‡uence on social performance and the manager’s in‡uence on …nancial performance. The fourth covariance term is the relationship between the manager’s in‡uence on social and …nancial performance. Note that if the company …xed-e¤ects do not vary across …rms (i.e., aside from a …rm’s manager, all …rms are identical), then the …rms’ in‡uence on social and …nancial performance are the same across …rms and we simply have cov (Yf ; Ys ) = cov (fc ; sc ) + cov (fc ; sm ) + cov (fm ; sc ) + cov (fm ; sm ) = cov (fm ; sm ) : That is, the relationship between manager-level social and …nancial performance is the same as overall …rm-level outcomes. This shows how strong of an assumption it is to assume that overall …rm-level outcomes are related in the same way as manager outcomes: for such an assumption to hold it must be that the …rm’s manager is the only force from within the …rm that a¤ects …rm-level outcomes.3 6.3 First Stage Regressions Estimating Manager Fixed E¤ects Table A.1. Regressions for Return on Assets, Return on Equity 3 We exclude the knife edge case where the …rst three covariance terms perfectly sum to zero. Table A.2. Regressions for Return on Sales, Primary CSR Measure Table A.3. Regressions for Primary CSR Measure including Product Category, Primary CSR Measure including both Product and Corporate Governance Categories