RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT PROPOSAL FOR A SITE IN BRIGHTON, MASSACHUSETTS by Andrew W. Gutowski Master of Architecture, Harvard Graduate School of Design (1978) B.S. in Architecture, University of Virginia (1975) and Maria D. Hill Master of Business Administration, Boston College (1979) B.A. in Literature, Wheaton College (1974) SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE IN REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY September 1986 Andrew W. Gutowski and Maria D. Hill 1986 The authors hereby grant to M.I.T. permission to reproduce and to distrubute copies of this thesis document in whole or in part .111 Signature of the Authors A / Dbprtment I W~~'tblr August 15, 1986 Department of Urban Design and Planning / Aucust 15. 1986 Certified by James McKellar Professor of Architecture and Planning Thesis SunErvisor Accepted by James McKellar Chairman Interdepartmental Degree Program in Real Estate Development A S NST F?A R IEF9 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We wish to thank the following people for their help during the course of this work: Jim McKellar and Rick Lamb for their guidance Wig and the computer room crew for their friendship Steve and Francesca for their support and love Art Middleton and Albert Welch for the opportunity 2 RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT PROPOSAL FOR A SITE IN BRIGHTON, MASSACHUSETTS by Andrew W. Gutowski and Maria D. Hill Submitted to the Departments of Architecture and Urban Design and Planning on August 15, 1986 in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Master of Science in Real Estate Development ABSTRACT This thesis examines the development potential of an industrial site located in one of Boston's older urban neighborhoods. The history of the community is examined, along with its pattern of growth and change. The site is analyzed in relationship to its spatial, locational, and utilitational qualities. The particular constraints and opportunites that the site imposes are explored. The political environment and the rise of power of local community groups is addressed. A market analysis is conducted and comparable market data is presented. A residential program for the site is designed and presented with reference to the results of analysis. Pricing and marketing strategies are suggested. The paper concludes with a financial analysis of the program for the site and a discussion of alternative investment strategies for the landowner. Thesis Supervisor: James McKellar Title: Professor of Architecture and Planning 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Title Page 0.. .........- .......................... .-1 Acknowledgements .................... .2 Abstract ............................ .3 Table of Contents ................... .4 List of Exhibits .................... .6 Introduction ........................ .7 Project background ............. .7 Problems to be explored ........ .8 Organization of the document ... .8 I. The Allston-Brighton Neighborhood: an Overview . . . . . . .11 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 The history of Allston-Brighton Population and demographics .... . . . . . . .14 Income and employment .......... . . . . . . .16 II. Site Description ................ -19 Site location ................. -19 Neighborhood uses ............. .20 Traffic patterns .............. .22 Opportunities and constraints . .24 Issues of urban design ........ .24 .42 III. Political and Regulatory Framework Existing zoning ................ . Allston-Brighton Re-Zoning ..... . .42 .44 City exactions ............ ....................... 48 4 IV. The Residential Housing Market............ .51 Housing market in Boston ................ .51 Allston-Brighton's housing market ....... .54 Price appreciation and recent changes ... .55 Comparables .............................. .55 Future competition in the Brighton market .58 .61 V. Development Program Building type ..... .61 Design rationale .63 Pricing .. . .65 . .... Market concept and techniques .73 VI. Investment Decision Deal structure .66 .76 .... Market risks ...... .79 Finanical risks ... .81 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . Appendices ... . . . . . . . . .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .83 .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85 5 LIST OF EXHIBITS Page Figures . . . . 30 .. . . . . . 31 .. Fig.1 Map of Boston ............... . . . . Fig.2 Map of Brighton ............. . . . Fig.3 Proposed Site ............... 32 Fig.4 Contour Map ................. 33 Fig.5 Site Section ................ 34 Fig.6 N'eighborhood Features ....... . . . . . . . . 35 .. Fig.7 Zoning Map ................... . . . . . . . . 36 .. Fig.8 Auto and Bus Circulation .... Figs.9-12 ........ 37 Photographs of the Site a nd Neighborhood ..38-41 Fig.13 Projected Residential Develo pment in Brighton....60 Fig.14 Program of the Proposed Development .......... ... Fig.15 Plan of Proposed Development and its Context . ... 70 Fig.16 Plan of Proposed Development ................. Fig.17 Section of the Proposed Development .......... ... 72 Fig.18 Project Proforma and Cash Flow Analysis............................. 6 69 .71 .. 86 ..... INTRODUCTION of this paper is to examine the intention The potential of an industrial site in Brighton, development Massachusetts. wants to know if there is value to be created The landowner He by relocating his business and developing the land. asked and market, political, authors of this paper to examine the the financial risks associated has with various in Brighton development options. BACKGROUND The owner sought an earthmoving company located sense aid of the writers to see if it made the the develop estate of land occupies. it presently real Changing markets had dramatically increased the value of land and several developers had offered him up to 2 dollars for the 3.7 acre parcel. understood that he However, his million the land could realize much more profit owner if he There were participated in the development of the property. unknown risks to that he sought to understand and the authors were asked to examine his options. The first studies revealed that his parcel alone ideal for development. was not This site (Fig.3, Parcel A) was very irregular, very deep, and had a major sewer easement running across it. It was clear that it would be difficult to place buildings on the site. of unattractive Electric There was also a considerable amount activity next industrial Avenue,from the site. 7 to and It was decided to across approach the owner of this land (Fig.3, Parcel B) to determine his interest in including his land in the study. He agreed. This document a study of the development potential of is these two parcels of land. PROBLEMS TO BE EXPLORED This paper will examine the history of Allston-Brighton and explain the orgins of the present development crisis in this community. explored. will The political and regulatory constraints will be The forces that generate the demand for be examined as well as the specific character housing market in Allston-Brighton. A development housing of the program will be established for the site and a finanical analysis of the program will be presented. a discussion of the The paper will conclude with risks and returns associated with alternative investment strategies. ORGANIZATION OF THE DOCUMENT THE ALLSTON-BRIGHTON NEIGHBORHOOD: AN OVERVIEW Chapter from are One explores the development 1647 to the present. evaluated with of Allston-Brighton Demographic and economic respect to their impact on trends housing patterns. SITE DESCRIPTION The unique charateristics of the site are discussed. Its configurational and locational attributes are evaluated. The existing neighborhood is examined and traffic patterns, city 8 services, the and the public transportation system serving The constraints and 'the opportunites site are delineated. that the site presents to an architect are explored and a project design is generated. POLITICAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK The greatest problem that faces this project is the mounting of ire Allston-Brighton the City is supporting the community groups, ever. The under pressure tremendous political This section regulatory environment and for yet is meet the examines the to provide construction jobs and demand for housing. than projects time that developers are building more same the quickly gaining political strength at is neighborhood The groups. community development in Allston-Brighton. THE RESIDENTIAL HOUSING MARKET Currently since 60% Boston is undergoing the greatest housing World War II. Prices of homes have increased by over during the past two years and Boston now stands as of the most expensive housing markets in the has crisis country. created a tremendous rush of residential one This construction, to the point where home prices are starting to stablize. The Allston-Brighton backdrop. as housing market is examined. against this Several comparable projects are reviewed, as well projects that are still in the planning stages. The competitive advantages of the project proposed in this paper are set forth. 9 PROGRAM Based the upon the housing market, neighborhood a program for the urban design implications of building location. range of unit prices are outlined, concepts, and techniques. A site illustrates the development, as well plan, is well The marketing as which and site the The mix of building types is explained as described. as context, the political climate, graphically is presented. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS This the chapter explores the investment decision to be made by landowner and presents a financial residential program designed for the site. 10 analysis of the CHAPTER ONE THE ALLSTON-BRIGHTON NEIGHBORHOOD: AN OVERVIEW Allston-Brighton, Massachusetts is most the populous neighborhood in the City of Boston with a population in 1985 of approximately 88,000 Allston, Brighton, and primarily with stability. It has three . Commonwealth, respect to housing sub-neighborhoods: which type are and The sub-neighborhood of Brighton, distinct residential within which the subject parcel is located,' is distinguished by its older housing stock, as well as its greater percentage of elderly residents, by a proliferation owner-occupied of single family housing (74% of the entire neighborhood), which today is a minority housing type in Allston-Brighton. Allston-Brighton Harvard Business College, three is the home of three School; major Boston hospitals major universities: University; and several and Boston churches, seminaries and cemetaries owned by the Archdioces of Boston. There are over twenty institutionally owned properties of at least one acre in size here. Although now a neighborhood of Boston, Allston- Brighton was originally linked to Cambridge. their homes on a 149 acre tract on the south side Charles River in 1647. as "Little Cambridge." across The first residents located of the Until 1807, the area was referred to Its residents travelled by ferry the Charles River where their church and the seat of 11 local government were located in what is now Harvard Square. the The union between Brighton and Cambridge continued into century. nineteenth the residents presented the In 1806, inhabitants General Court with a petition asking that " all of Cambridge on the south side of the Charles River may 24, 1807, "little Cambridge" became the independent town of Brightorr named after Brighton, England, or, have as some named for a "bright" or prize ox, an allusion to suggested, the On February as a distinct and separate town." incorporated be Brighton Cattle Market,, which, established in 1775, transformed the area from " a sleepy agricultural village to 1 a thriving commercial center". The commercial by Boston neighborhood of land, the the activity generated between Allston-Brighton and to the Boston occurred in 1874 Cattle Market. owing the Geographically, is connected to Boston only by a small sliver bordered by the Town of Brookline on one side Charles River on the other. among to to annexation and There is growing sentiment Allston-Brighton residents today that the connection Boston has not been to the their advantage and that the interests of the neighborhood are insufficiently represented in city politics. A movement to secede has been gaining support over the last several years. The Cattle Market, which was established in Allston-Brighton in 1775 and several small scale butchering establishments, 1. Marchione, William P., The Bull In The Garden: A History of Allston-Brighton, 1986, page 22. 12 provided much of the economic stability for the region. fact, from one in seven Brighton families earned its butchering. In 1872, consolidated in one location, livelihood slaughterhouses were the Brighton Abattoir, which parcel. subject a few hundred yards from the erected was these In Although the establishment of the Abattoir provided Brighton with a healthy monopoly in the industry, activity' in North subject to uses parcel discouraged have development in the neighborhood. residential industrial Brighton is said the slaughterhouse As a result, occupied much of the land surrounding which in the 1800's was the location starch factory. Adjacent to the subject property, the of a buildings housed meat packing plants and fat rendering works. The odor created by the uses, remains into particularly from tossing the the Charles River, made this an cattle unsuitable location for houses. Tremendous increases in the population, which occurred in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries eventually gave rise to residential sites. uses in and around these industrial From 1880-1915, the population of Brighton increased from 6700 to 30,000 and this growth pattern continued well into the twentieth century. Even today, as Boston in general witnessed a population decline in the period from 1970-1980, the Allston-Brighton neighborhood population increased 2.5% to 65,264. Allston-Brighton was also 13 known for its practice of Hill in Brighton was the location of the annual Agriculture Fair Brighton England. New in centers horticulture leading the of when it was one horticulture in the nineteenth century, the one of and Cattle Show, earliest and and was largest agricultural fairs in the nation. POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHICS In had Brighton 1910, predominately an and neighborhood class upper-middle stronghold.. Yankee 27,000 population of a many Over the next twenty years, number of middle class Irish and a smaller number Jews and immigrant Italians arrived. in the part, Boston, which result of the changing political climate in John Mayor mayor, of was The Yankee exodus elected its first Irish of and a these Yankees left Brighton for Newton and Wellesley, large a "Honey Fitz" Fitzgerald, in 1910. the density highest of any level of the outer city's In this same year, a Boston Planning Board survey suburbs. of the neighborhood had with a population of 70,000, By 1946, neighborhoods showed with Allston-Brighton city's the in development for available land the smallest amount. Today, Allston-Brighton is In 1980, occupies approximately four square miles of land. it ranked passing densely as the city's most populous even South Dorchester. populated neighborhood 14 that a neighborhood of Boston neighborhood, It is also the in the City third of bymost Boston (approximately 27 persons per acre) . of described as having a stable population Once over have changed so dramatically demographics Brighton's families, longer the last several decades that this description is no valid. two-thirds Approximately 11% Another over residents are of between the ages residents of comprised of the community's population Only 65. city-wide. These statistics point to family character of the neighborhood, 15 and 34. 20% of the as compared to households in Allston-Brighton are families, 46% is the weakening which just five years earlier, in 1980 , had a family population of 28%. Allston-Brighton The ethnic character of the has also changed in the last decade, neighborhood according to the 1980 Census data and a Boston Redevelopment Authority report published in 1985. research period,(1970-1985) During this the proportion of white residents declined from 96% to The population black from 1% increased population from 2.9% to 4%. increase occured in the Asian population, less Approximately than one percent to 2% and over which increased twelve percent. 25% of Indochinese immigrants into this live in Allston-Brighton, the The most significant Hispanic from to 81%. area and large increases are predicted to occur in the future. The racial mix of the Allston-Brighton 15 neighborhood is different quite that of Boston. There is than a higher percentage of whites and Asians and a lower percentage blacks from in the city as a whole (81% white in of Brighton versus 62% citywide, and 12% asian versus 5% citywide). INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT According to the 1980 Census, 53% of households the in Allston-Brighton earn less than $15,000 per year, versus 57% percent citywide. The large number of students that reside in Brighton, with incomes that reflect their student status, may A detailed breakdown of make this figure unrealistic. opposed the income levels for Allston-Brighton families (as to that non-family householder) illustrates an income is $5,000; similar to Boston as a whole: 17% than 10% earn less earn between $5,000 and $9,999.; $15,000 and $19,999; structure between 17% 7.6% 17% between $25,000 and $34,999; between $35,000 and $49,999 and 3% earn over $50,000. Unemployment in Allston-Brighton neighborhood was slightly lower than in Boston at the time of the 1980 Census (5% 6%). 34% of the employed people living in this neighborhood hold managerial or professional positions. has vs. Allston-Brighton a higher proportion of college educated residents than Boston in general. The neighborhood economy is largely based in services, educational services, trade, and manufacturing. health While there has been some shift from a manufacturing to a servicebased economy over this last decade, 16 a strong manufacturing base still remains. During the 1970's while New England experienced net losses in manufacturing employment, several large manufacturing firms in Allston-Brighton their position. These industries, strengthened primarily rubber and plastics, printing and publishing, electrical and automotive equipment, account for twenty percent of the employment in Allston-Brighton. It is generally recognized that Allston-Brighton is a location for industry because of its proximity to rail highway transportation, and the suburbs, However, there force. is little industrial space available in the neighborhood and a movement on the part of residents and Boston and Cambridge, the availability of a skilled and educated work Allston-Brighton to curtail the use of land for light industry manufacturing has limited the expansion industries and the growth of new ones. future prime employment growth in the of or existing This suggests neighborhood that may be is a densely populated and constrained. In summary, Allston-Brighton rapidly changing neighborhood. Its population is primarily white, with a growing segment of Asians. Many students from the surrounding educational institutions reside in Brighton exceeds and the number of non-family the number of traditional households households. Allstongreatly Throughout its history, the neighborhood has exhibited little influence over the City of Boston in decisions relating to development 17 and planning, and, as a result, has experienced loss of open space, traffic congestion, noise pollution and a shortage of off-street parking. The struggle to confine development has today become a major objective of the community. 18 CHAPTER TWO SITE DESCRIPTION -------------------------------------------------------A description of the site and the site context are presented in shape opportunities and constraints and to the illuminate to This analysis was conducted in order this Chapter. the program. The subject (Figs. Brighton. in is located parcel 1,2). It northwestern consists separate, two of of part adjacent parcels that are roughly divided by Electric Avenue ( Figure 3). Parcel A falls to the south of the street and 131,200 square consists of contains 58,480 square feet. Parcel and land feet of There is a total of B 191,000 square feet or 4.4 acres of land. The site is effectively level, +20 feet. the owner storage with an elevation of about This is not the natural condition of site, for accomodate the The high point of the has leveled most of his land to of construction equipment. area is Faneuil Street, from which the ground slopes down to Electric Avenue (Figure 4). In southernmost portion of Parcel A, a fifteen order to level the the owner has constructed foot high retaining wall along the rear part of the site ( Figure 5). The site is bounded on its western and southern sides by one and two family dwellings (Figure 19 6). The eastern side light abutts Street. Goodenough The northern edge is bounded along its the for and storage repair which Penn the Parcel A is presently Central Commuter Railroad (Figure 5). used atop of Turnpike and a line Massachusetts the runs from accessed are that a twenty-three foot high embankment by length uses industrial construction the of Parcel B is the location of a truck equipment on the site. body manufacturing company. area and composed. of privately owned family There lived turnover little neighborhood, particular Brighton residences and are generally been has neighborhood built houses woodframe The houses are primarily single and between 1910 and 1930. two character surrounding the site is residential in The in maintained. well ownership this in Allston- which is unusual in the had where only 37% of the residents time in the neighborhood more than five years at the of the 1980 Census ( this compares to 53% citywide). the The property owners in this neighborhood are older than population Boston. in There general, is which is among the youngest in low a 250 unit Boston Housing Authority income project a few blocks away which seems to have little homes. These effect on the quality and care of the residences are fully occupied and well maintained. In fact, it is the industrial uses on the proposed site that have the worst impact homes closest on the houses in the to neighborhood, the site are in the 20 poorest and the condition. from Across the BHA low income project is Park, McKinney Boston. which is owned and poorly maintained by the City of For a number of reasons the City has been unable to maintain or restore the parks scattered away from the downtown Boston These parks are fast becoming derelict and adversely area. McKinney Park represents impacting the adjacent properties. an opportunity for a developer to make a contribution to the neighborhood and enhance the marketability of a project in this location. RETAIL AND COMMERCIAL there Although many are House located a short distance away on within Located one quarter of a of Pancakes; Martinetti's MacDonald's; mile is located to the west of intersection of Arlington grocery store, Caldor's, and Faneuil Stop and Shop, both 1.4 miles away. the Motel; neighborhood A Streets. the at site A and a large discount are located a mile east. are easily accessible. International are: and a Radio Shack. Liquors; Drive. Storrow The Charles River area retail site, are no retail stores adjacent to the major store, Regional retail centers Arsenal Mall and Watertown Mall are Harvard Square is three miles from the site and Newton Corner is 1.5 miles to the west. There is very little commercial activity near the site. majority of the commercial office space for the region The is a fifteen minute drive from the located in downtown Boston, site. 21 INDUSTRIAL subject parcel is currently zoned for light The warehouses, and the lots adjacent to the site contain uses industrial and parking distribution and auto repair facilities, Beacon Street is mostly industrial along its North lots. length, although there are signs that residential uses are replacing industrial ones here. A fifty-six unit rental complex -is currently under construction Street other residential projects are planned for and on apartment North Beacon the area. TRAFFIC PATTERNS One of the great advantages of this site is its close proximity to one of the major highways in the City, Storrow Drive. This Harvard Square, downtown Boston and Logan airport. four lane divided road leads east to highway joins the Massachusetts Turnpike, To the west the the largest east- west highway in the state. Traffic congestion is a major problem in Boston as well in Allston-Brighton the neighborhood. According Kirwin of the Metropolitan District Commission, that are controls Storrow Drive, moderate. follows: The Ken to the Agency traffic counts near the exact twenty-four hour counts as site are as Storrow Drive from Arsenal Road to Beacon Street, 7035 cars; Nonantum Road, 12,372 cars. The local streets that feed from the site to Storrow are Parsons Street, Good Enough Street and 22 North Drive Beacon Residents Street. Street, which preferred exit Parsons use frequently is heavily travelled during commuter Street Good Enough Brighton of is less congested and make would from the site at rush hour. hours. the these All of roads are in good repair. PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION The 64 MBTA bus stops at the corner of Good number North Beacon Street, at the edge of the site. This bus will where bring a traveler to 'Central Square in Cambridge, MBTA Red connects line to all points Enough in the the public transportation system. EXISTING SERVICES There are storm drains, sewer, water, gas, fire hydrant and power lines along Good Enough and Parsons Streets. overhead Electric Avenue contains storm drains, fire hydrants, sewer for half of its length, water and gas lines. pipes, and , running There is a major storm drain eight feet in diameter across the site from the south to the north and distance down Electric Avenue. some for A fifteen foot easement that restricts building over this storm drain exists and any work over the location of the drain requires a special permit from the Boston Water and Sewer Department. OTHER SERVICES Trash removal would be contracted to a private firm. B.F.I., which is one of Boston's largest private trash removal firms located on Market Street, approximately one half mile 23 from and the site. The closest Boston Fire Department station, Engine #41 is located in Union Square, a distance of one mile. OPPORTUNITIES AND CONSTRAINTS A this set of constraints and opportunities are present at are perhaps unique to and location Allston-Brighton. An unlike the to design a residential community, opportunity local competition, exists for the developer of this site. URBAN DESIGN Almost The site is unusual because it is large (4.4 acres). proposed and new all residential in projects Allston- Brighton are infill developments. New buildings are squeezed onto sites among existing buildings and the measure, large in is, existing neighborhood. value project the of determined by the quality Infill developments often result in a shortage of parking and a street frontage that consists of a wall and a garage door of a ground blank parking level garage. The constricted in large and decisions streets, and a rich context of existing parcel offers no such shortcuts. subject must an make job a little easier because one is designing architect's building sites common in Allston-Brighton isolated about that an urban design, front and back doors, architect i.e. the massing, The buildings. The site must so is first make relationship to site lines, etc., also establish a strong design idea to carry 24 a the project. material colors, building The choice of a theme or style, and planting, considered. The need f or for will creativity carefully be must example, and require challenge a good architect. The relatively greater unlike large of number size of the site suggests units can be placed in a in the market analysis all , As will be other proposed condominium projects'in Allston-Brighton of comparable are on small lots twenty-four stories subject with proposed buildings in height. a not setting that of the surrounding neighborhood. illustrated that from size ten to The ample lot size of property also allows for adequate parking, the thereby eliminating what is very often the most controversial issue in obtaining approvals. ELECTRIC AVENUE The current location of Electric Avenue, which bisects the development into two odd shaped lots, proposed significant street to street and site obtain constraint. One may a more efficient lot, accommodate the design to presents either move a this or maintain the the existing lot Avenue now shapes. Moving the street is sensible because Electric curves across the site. A straighter street running from Parsons to Good Enough Street would allow the architect more options for the design and free up square footage for the project. According to the Engineering Department of the City 25 of Boston, it is possible to move Electric Avenue, however a new must street conform to strict A codes. city good location for the street might be against the embankment that carries the Penn Central Railroad. This location would make the street shorter and create one large lot. A major problem in moving a street is the relocation of utility lines, the which is very expensive. The developer would have legal responsibility for the correct placement of these lines and utility must provide easements over areas where lines remain. Such easements' could constrain the layout of the site as much as the present location of Electric Avenue. LOT SHAPE If location, Electric Avenue were to remain in its present the site would contain two odd shaped lots. The lot to the north of Electric Avenue is roughly pie shaped, but is deep enough to accept standard shaped residential units along its length. deep, The lot to the south of Electric Avenue stretching is very into the middle of the block and is dumb- bell shaped with a constricted middle section. The design is to make the best use of the deep section of the site, particularly the dog-leg at the southwest corner. One problem option to lay out a suburban-type is residential housing pattern with buildings irregularly scattered around the site connected however, by at neighborhood an interior access road. This odds with that of the surrounding where front the houses 26 major pattern is, residential streets with front doors, traditional hedges and streets are lined with trees. pattern contextual of and one that takes pattern, housing Another reuses the should be neighborhood, the considered. Blocks of housing with frontage on both sides of existing housing pattern. the reinforce street would Back doors would and front doors facing this Avenue Electric face onto on-grade parking in the rear of the building. The does not lining the 'street and the parking behind housing solve the problem of the extra-deep lot. site to its present flat condition further complicates the wall now story ten A matter. exists The grading of the to, fifteen foot high retaining three at the rear of the site and any normal two to would have limited views and housing would receive minimal light. The placement of a mid-rise building at the rear of the site The narrowness of this portion would solve these problems. of the site precludes the building of low-rise units here. A story building, deep within the center of the three or four city block, would fit more comfortably and would visually impact the existing homes around the site. for- this building retaining wall. could be placed on grade not Parking against A new-ground level could be created the atop the garage close to the natural grade. Any shadows resulting from this mid-rise structure would fall exclusively on proposed site. 27 the The a placement of low buildings along Electric Avenue and would building atop a garage in the rear of the site short the constraints of the site geometry and resolve of the site is also inhibited by an eight Development foot of The City sewer running the length of the parcel. storm contours. Boston has an easement over the entire length of this active will and sewer representative A easement. parking allow atop from be over the Department of located the however, indicated that a parking Engineering for theCity, garage to to the easement might be acceptable if access the sewer were assurred. LOCATION lakes, rivers, vistas, There are no is inward facing. although large, The site, grand streets or monuments to give identity to the project and the developer is forced to with the work An identity for a limited amount of natural amenity. project must be established to overcome the absence of character or grace. The location along Electric Avenue is unusual in that it is to marketed respect edge of and Cambridge. Watertown deeper the on located in to the City, adjacent to Newton, The units could conceivably be people who would not normally consider a unit well-located with Brighton. site is also The access to major transportation networks, and could interest buyers working some distance from Brighton. 28 SUMMARY The site although it is large by Allston-Brighton standards shaped, oddly is Avenue, parcels and crossed by a wide sewer easement. by Electric The existing of one and two family homes limits the size of neighborhood buildings the into two divided a developer might wish to place on the site. section demonstrated how a design can address these This constraints and produce a satisfactory project. The result is a low-rise parking, to development low density, that is characterized niche and ample and open space. These benefits serve make the project acceptable to the community, market by buyers attract from adjacent markets in Cambridge, Watertown, and Newton. 29 create a housing W 0 FIG.1, Map of Boston Brighton indicated by tone 31 w WW ppo- io FIG.3, Proposed Site I w FIG.4, Contour Plan 5'intervals :3 0 Faneuil Street Adjacent Buildings Electric Avenue Penn Central R.R. Massachusetts Turnpike Leo M. Birmingham Highway Ce RE - S----. - Soldiers Field Ro wJ FIG.6, Neighborhood Features R Site * *T *-q e* * -5KINSTR0CTS ZOIN R- 'A+, R-.56 S-5 -N -ISTICT FIG7, ZRGHONina --- ---- taa -- - ---- -1Oo TOW peo Bus Stop - Heavy traf f ic ' Moderate traffic Light traffic Bus route -m m - 45se'wSW .... FIG.8, Auto and Bus Circulation Converse Street, looking toward site. McKinney Park, looking south. FIG.9 Cresthill Road, looking west. Faneuil Street and the B.H.A. Faneuil Development. . 4) to 0 0 4J 4 (41 V4 14 View into site at westernmost corner. FIG.11 Entrance to project, corner of Parsons and Electric. 101 ."r"Mrnwes .s- - g Good Enough Street, looking north to Mass Pike, Good Enough Street, and warehouse east of Intersection of Good Enough & Faneull Streets. FIG. 12 Faneuil Street, looking west.. CHAPTER THREE POLITICAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK While the Chapter the market described in the following indicates a strong demand for residential units in Allston-Brighton neighborhood and encourages investment an analysis of the political and regulatory in the project, climate is sobering. regulatory the analysis In this Chapter the political and environment will be described with emphasis upon extent to which the community and the Boston Redevelopment Authority (BRA) will influence the project. description of the recent attempts by residents of Brighton to Allston- establish a moratorium on development will presented. The "inclusionary" impact zoning of Mayor policy or A Flynn's be proposed affordable housing requirement will also be addressed. Assessing the political environment for development of this site means understanding the extent to the which neighborhood will become active in the approval process and evaluating the role of the current administration in residential development. The subject Industrial parcel District, is now located in an MI or Light according to the Zoning Ordinance of the City of Boston, amended to April 30,1985. Permitted uses in MI districts include most light industrial uses by right, and multi-family dwellings and group care residences only if 42 a use conditional use is permit must demonstrate that the for suitable proposed a have not will its location and a for An applicant conditional use permit is granted. detrimental effect upon the neighborhood. The development dimensional regulations that will control of condominiums and town houses on the site are: 1 Floor Area Ratio: 20 ft. (minimum depth) Front Yard: Side Yards: 5 feet Parking: .9 spaces per dwelling unit. restrictions from any of these bulk and dimensional Relief will require a variance. For this particular site, the developer will initially apply a for building It Department. of it hearing Appeal permit use recommendation ninety days. once the Services Inspectional and the The BRA must requirement fowarded to the BRA for review. application a at will be almost certainly be denied because conditional the deliver permit to the Board of within Appeal The Board of Appeal will hold a public hearing has received the BRA report on the proposal. and hold After the hearing, will either approve or deny the a public the Board of project. The BRA estimates this process will take approximately six months. Many developers meet with community groups prior before the BRA. to going In Allston-Brighton, there are at least six 43 The Allston-Brighton Improvement Association; groups: such Brighton Allston-Brighton Community Beautification Council; Society; Historical Organization Tenants Allston Civic Association; Faneuil and the Brighton-Washington Heights Meeting with these groups will enable Citizen Association. the developer to assess the opposition and support for the change and project the if program gain to necessary approval-. PLANNING AND THE RE-ZONING OF ALLSTON-BRIGHTON:INTERIM OVERLAY DISTRICT PROPOSAL It be is not likely that the current zoning standards will the because of Planning and Overlay of establishment impending District Interim an the for (IPOD) site this the City's review of a proposal for in applied Allston- Brighton neighborhood. residents Allston-Brighton Boston's failure that regulations to or enforce has acknowledged that have fitting adopt to contributed it zoning physical the deterioration and extreme density of their neighborhood. 1985 alone, developers variances seventy-one of land and buildings in were is granted In to Allston-Brighton. (This represents a 60% approval rate). The that 1986, and residents have called for major changes and it appears the Flynn administration has responded. Mayor In Flynn appointed the Allston-Brighton Zoning Advisory Committee (PZAC), 44 which will May of Planning work in the IPOD. establish year period during An IPOD will legally establish a two planning and which a comprehensive rezoning of Allston-Brighton will occur. The PZAC will make area recommendations to the City as to how it believes each should to (BRA) the Boston Redevelopment Authority with concert be rezoned and will review all development proposals year two to the Building Department during this submitted period. An is created' by way of an amendment to IPOD appoint recent The Ordinance. Zoning the Mayor move on the part of the PZAC is a clear indication that he supports the that the amendment will be approved a It is collaborative process for rezoning Allston-Brighton. expected to shortly, probably before the end of 1986. The PZAC must draft the zoning amendment. At its initial meetings, the group acknowledged their major planning issues as density and height control, restriction of commercial and industrial uses, adequate parking and the preservation of open space. The process IPOD will result in a project review the by BRA, the PZAC and final approval by the Board of Appeal. BRA The and the PZAC will recommend whether or not the proposal is consistent with planning goals. conduct a public hearing on the The Board of Appeal will matter and then vote, retaining the ultimate authority in the approval process. 45 The Board of Appeal is a five member board appointed by the administration, 2000 Commonwealth for Avenue of story sixteen a example, with insufficient parking, was vehemently opposed by the residents but nevertheless approved. eighty-n-ine pressure The development Allston-Brighton community. the White pro-development Board acted independently of the from building previous, the Under Mayor. The Wingate, an Avenue unit apartment building on Commonwealth was also the subject of much controversy over density issues. It has been suggested community that the Allston-Brighton lacks power in developement matters to a greater extent than other Boston neighborhoods. Brian McLaughlin, City Councilor for Allston-Brighton, district unified past has made it difficult to mobilize a defense. of the coherent and in the believes that the diversity The Allston-Brighton residents, mostly students and blue collar workers, sophistication Contrast about Back the of predominance either lack not care. development matters or do Bay neighborhood, lawyers, architects, its with which, other and professionals, has been relatively successful in influencing the development process. held at Also, Board of Appeal hearings are City Hall in downtown Boston during working hours and many Allston-Brighton residents are unable to attend. Development under Mayor Flynn's administration thus far has Approval for 175 units on a 1.5 continued at a rapid pace. acre site in Union Square, 46 one of the most congested much despite foward, residents because is Newton-Brighton border the on site acre A 250 unit development on developer. private of potential traffic a fourteen a going also Brighton of part the on protest to recently given was Allston-Brighton, in locations congestion. In six to eight hundred units of housing will be coming total, on line in the next several months, adding to the density of many already severely congested areas. push density height, will be the result of the rezoning parking quickly, through projects that greater restrictions on anticipating and to attempting been Many developers have under the IPOD. has had some success in getting developers to The community scale Lincoln ten at responded adequate project on in Brighton reduced the number of units by their back Street projects. A developer of a the request of the Allston Civic Association to concerns over traffic and parking by providing and space reasonable The paths. access recently agreed to reopen public hearings on an unit and City eighty-nine apartment complex because angry residents opposed the over-populate the project on grounds that it the would already densely developed Commonwealth neighborhood. The facility with which development has occurred in the past may be about sophisticated received the to end. The community is becoming more with respect to development proposals and has attention of City Hall. 47 Whether or not the creation zoning of an IPOD will result in more restrictive In any event, this particular proposal is to be determined. The change of use requires a is bound to attract attention. public hearing under the existing zoning and the addition of significant of housing will attract a units approximately amount of neighborhood interest. To further complicate matters, of Allston-Brighton's the site is located in one neighborhoods. most tidy and stable Any threat to that stability is sure to create resistance to the project. light The problem here is not the change of use from building to It placed on this site. be mid-rise the to to residential or even industrial the simply is prospect of disturbing this quiet oasis in any way at all. this site chooses to bring the proposal If the developer of he or she must be prepared for many rounds before the City, of probably the during discussion Exactions be altered. neighborhood which the proposed plan site will improving in the form of park or other public spaces may also be in the required. AFFORDABLE HOUSING REQUIREMENT Because the approval and BRA the process, developers on affordability. affordable Mayor retain City is housing Flynn units able powers to negotiate and improvements issues of public Mayor broad is committed to and is attempting to 48 with housing providing create an --4 M.I.T. CENTER FOR REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT * ACTIVITIES BUDGET FOR FY 1986-87 REVENUE: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Membership Fees Sponsored Research Named Fellowships Sponsored Conferences Summer PDC Fees CRED Publications Sales Royalties $621,800 160,000 14,000 45,000 180,000 5,000 75,000 $1,100,800 Total Revenue: EXPENSES: Salaries Administrative Expense 427,882 L4 L5 Members' December Meeting Members' June Meeting Summer PDC's Spring Lecture Series IAP Courses Advisory Committee Meeting 20,000 35,000 123,500 15,000 13,000 2,500 16 17 Sponsored Research CRED Funded Research 120,000 135,500 L8 L9 Named Fellowships CRED Fellowships 14,000 53,650 20 21 22 23 Academic Support Endowment Fundraising Newsletters Gifts/Honoraria 69,000 8 9 10 L1 L2 3 134,000 10,000 28,500 7,000 1,208,532 Total Expenses: DEFICIT * ($ 107,732) Does not include academic or rennovation accounts (see attached budgets) or interest expense of approximately $30,000. V zoning inclusionary bind units, their Such a zoning could cost the developer up to one million dollars provide affordable units in exchange for project is'in spite of the fact that the amendment grounds in Developers have demonstrated a willingness to lost revenue. This legally applied to the program designed for this -particular policy site will at below market rates. ten percent, usually which offer a certain percentage of to developers amendment, approval. zoning inclusionary not been adopted and is being challenged on that such a requirement is not within the scope of has the powers granted under the Zoning Enabling Act. The political and regulatory development must disturbing. Obtaining occur is environment within which this extremely complicated project approval is a protracted process and one during which the market can change. been and It has estimated that the approval process under the IPOD for a project of this nature could take up to twelve months require an investment for schematics and other expenses the vicinity of $50,000-$100,000. the and approvals will be obtained, in There is no guarantee that and in this particular instance, the owner may not see the same offers for his land that he has received to date. These risks should be considered. In to summary, identify a developer of the site the individuals and community groups who likely to become involved in the approval process to 49 begin should are assess their concerns. prepared, from the developer should work with the City Councilor Allston-Brighton to arrange formal meetings with local community should Once schematics and a scale model have been the groups. Only after this liason has developer approach the City for meet with the BRA to begin the approval process. 50 been formed permits and CHAPTER FOUR THE RESIDENTIAL HOUSING MARKET -------------------------------------------------------site and its context suggest a residential program that The is given to the emphasis demand the Chapter, with of the market for housing is explored characteristics particular In this to this location. appropriate housing for in Allston-Brighton and the characteristics of the existing and A. survey of unit prices, unit mix and unit proposed supply. neighborhood was conducted and the in sizes the results presented here in order to establish a pricing strategy for the proposed project. The Chapter begins for housing in the Boston area and the City's reference through to three projects and demand efforts to analyzed The Allston-Brighton market is supply. increase with with a discussion of the strong information bankers, developers, derived from discussions with brokers, BRA staff members and an examination of sales data. THE RESIDENTIAL HOUSING MARKET IN BOSTON In the housing market in many respects, Allston-Brighton has undergone the same transformation that has occurred on a The city-wide basis. increased steadily while factors , population of Boston since 1980 reversing thirty years the unemployment rate has been have led to a healthy dropping. demand for of has decline, These two residential property and record appreciation rates of housing values and 51 rents. A population confluence of factors are contributing to the From 1970-1980, there was a substantial revival in Boston. increase in the City's young adult population and this group favored the more centrally located neighborhoods. of outflow 1980 ceased families their and blue collar workers The 1970- neighborhood of improvement and " empty nesters ambiance, lower property taxes and enhancement of place have made~Boston an exceedingly attractive amenities " Improved have been leaving the suburbs to move to the City. racial The conditions. housing birthrate has been rising since 1977, the and the stabilization of industrial jobs with to live. The Redevelopment Boston Authority population at 604,000, City's 1985 since 1980. The of population (BRA) estimates the 41,000 an increase of Allston- Brighton has increased during this same period by approximately 34%, from 65,000 to almost 88,000 people. expected The The population of Boston is to grow to 680,000 by 1995, BRA households also and of an increase projects an 18% increase in number the a reduction by 1995 in household size 13%. of from 2.4 to 2.3 persons per household. in the transformation of Employment concentration Boston area has its economic been base. in such growth industries as favored A by the relative communications, money management, higher education and medicine has resulted 52 in an unemployment rate for Boston of 4%, of the nation. lowest well below that the The Commonwealth of Massachusetts has unemployment rate among the ten industrial largest Approximately ten thousand downtown jobs are being states. created each year and the demand for housing keeps growing. There has throughout been a surge in of construction housing Boston the Commonwealth and particularly in the metropolitan area in response to these statistics and to the rapid With the median price of appreciation.'in values. a single family house at $150,000, and construction costs well developers have rushed to build here in the below $100,000, last several years. in Massachusetts has production illustrates In Boston the ~ Forecasts of 50,000 new housing units in which per year for following a decade 1986, averaged about extent of 20,000 the units building activity. in the five years since 1980 there has been an annual average addition of 1,700 new dwelling units, made up equally of new net units and conversions. with an increase to 2000 units. up in 1985, employment population, rates, This pace picked Mayor growth projections, In response to and vacancy Flynn has committed to adding 3,400 units in 1986. In spite of the steady construction vacancies have continued to decline. vacant and available Boston's housing, As of occupancy made up for housing 1985, only according to the BRA-NDEA 1985 53 housing activity, 4% of Household Survey, as compared to 7.5% in 1980. housing production needed. An in additional The current rates of Boston represent half of would four thousand units per year meet estimated demand and 1000 is what and units would replace old obsolescent housing. A of residential building permits issued review first eight months of 1985, over 1.5 years) approach 56%, for the (housing starts to be completed indicates that annual 2000 units in 1985 and 1986. production will Reuse accounts for new construction for 27% and vacant rehabs and illegal conversions for 17% of these new units. Approximately 800 of these units are planned for the Allston-Brighton neighborhood. THE MARKET FOR HOUSING IN ALLSTON-BRIGHTON The market unique for residential property in Brighton characteristics. Allston-Brighton has has a its higher proportion of renters than most Boston neighborhoods (84% vs 68%). The typical condominium buyer is married and without children, young, single professionally employed, buying a first home or moving to Boston . either of property in downtown Boston and Cambridge cost or and The high a sends purchaser to Brighton in search of less expensive units. In the June, 1986, issue of Banker and Tradesman, which listed twenty-eight condominium closing in Allston-Brighton, sales data revealed that the average size of units purchasedwas 585 square feet, 54 and the one bedroom average two bedroom unit was 894 square feet. The average price for both unit Price appreciation is sizes was $154 per square foot. sample in the following chart showing a random illustrated of Brighton condominium closings spaced twelve months apart. CONDO SALES; JUNE 1985-JtNE 1986 ------------------------------------------------------% change 1986 1985 S.F. BR 26 Waver'ly Street 2 780 $111.12 $148.71 +34 290 Corey Road 1 685 $122.62 $192.70 +57 27 Lake Shore Rd 2 824 $133.49 $172.33 +29 The can characteristics market review of three condominium developments has been designed with a market in REDSTONE unit site in is many a densely built-up which is surrounding Street, located on Allston project is one and two bedroom units seventy, Commonwealth, has site. to Commonwealth Avenue. block parallel The and the absorption mind, COURT This eighty of Each project each provide valuable information to rate and sales data for the developer of this the market area: and The Courtyard. The Vicomte, Redstone Court, in a in suggested also be one The project consists townhouses. and ten area of called Brighton largely populated with students and homes which are in a somewhat dilapidated condition. The project offers deeded 55 parking located under the a central couryard building, and concierge services. room features such as fireplaces, a swimming pool an exercise , Units are priced according to balconies, or greenhouses and are is a wide range of unit prices which there summarized below. units per started in The pace has recently slowed to one to week. but this may be due to a and mid-April been selling at the rate of two to three have week, Redstone Court for Pre-sales seasonal units two per decline. THE VICOMTE The Vicomte is -a five story brick building block from Redstone Court. but pre-sales one Construction has not yet begun, The have. located Vicomte abutts an building which houses the Allston Squash Club. industrial Unit buyers are given a three year membership to the Club. There one bedroom and sixteen two bedroom are forty units in this building and parking in a ground level garage. The project offers an adequate parking ratio of 1.29 spaces per unit, a concierge lap pool, service. whirlpool and exercise room and sauna, Twelve units have been sold from May, 1986, when pre-sales were initiated, to August, 1986. THE COURTYARD This eighty-four another Charlestown, experiencing unit condominium project a neighborhood dramatic increase in 56 of is Boston property located in which is values and story The four the four The site is tight and irregular, housing starts. garage. brick buildings sit atop a two level parking project consists of twenty-four one bedroom and twentytwo a with each units, bedroom space. deeded Additional spaces are each sold for $17,000. The commencement program entirely was Courtyard of contains construction. none of the amenities of the projects described' here, equipped units. washer/dryer, Each but had in the that the other two notable is It to prior pre-sold more well- microwave oven, general unit' contains a balcony, and fireplace. There are also several different unit configurations from which to choose. PROJECT COMPARABLES BR Redstone Court The The Vicomte Courtyard UNIT SIZE $PSF $TOTAL 1000 162 162 2 1000-1250 174-210 173-275 1 1000 145-210 145-210 2 1000-1600 144-210 210-255 630 198 125 2 950 238 225 The Courtyard has the smallest and most completely units but few other amenities. to 8-12 1 1 57 4 presold equipped This pricing strategy seems have worked for this project sold quickly and at a per square foot price. ABS. high THE COMPETITION the next three years several proposed projects will be Over brought to the market in Brighton that will constitute local These developments range in competition for this proposal. and are contain 175 condominiums and eight to three hundred and forty units from size illustrated in Exhibit 13. 15 NORTH BEACON STREET This ten story building will sits on a 1.5 acre .site in one of Brighton's more congested The MBTA rapid transit Green Line passes neighborhoods. in front of the site. 1360 COMMONWEALTH AVENUE sixty This Street in proposal The neighborhood. story project is similar to unit building on that it is located the Beacon North in congested a condominiums will be located in a seven a busy street lined with many older apartment buildings. 1065 COMMONWEALTH AVENUE There is a of site proposal for two twenty-four story towers on the Oste Chevrolet, proper city line. and It which is adjacent to also Boston The towers will contain 340 condominiums the site is again located in a congested is the doubtful that the proposal will neighborhood. be accepted unless the height of the buildings is substantially reduced. 58 FALLOW HILL There a hilltop monastery located near is Brookline- border that will be converted to a housing complex Brighton for the elderly. marketed not the be The one hundred unit development will to older Brookline and Newton residents and should compete directly with the proposed project on Electric Avenue. SOLDIERS FIELD ROAD A 65 unit site on Soldiers Field Road will directly compete with a project on Electric of view project' proposed for an undisclosed Avenue and will have the advantage of more direct the Its context commercial Charles River. an one than that industrial is of more the of a Electric Avenue location, but it will be brought to market sooner. SUMMARY almost eight hundred units of housing planned for the With Allston-Brighton neighborhood over the next three years, the market for condominiums may soften due to proposed will developer and The project offers some advantage in its lower density design and more peaceful location. market oversupply. occur because of Capturing a share of the these advantages but the must also consider an aggressive pricing strategy expect to invest in a marketing program to healthly rate of absorption. 59 produce a Figure 13 Developments in Brighton Residential Projected 1986 - 1990 Fall=F Spring=S Sales ** Construction ++++ Proposed Project S 87 F 86 F 88 Year F S 89 89 S 90 F 90 S 91 F 91 S 92 1 ******Phase ++++++++++++ Phase 1 +++++++++++ Phase 2 ***********Phase 2 Electric Ave. Development 125 units Lincoln St . S 88 F 87 +++++++++++ 88 units ***'** N. Beacon St. 175 units +++++++++++++ ********** +++++++++ Heritage Dev. 16 units*** Soldiers Field 65 units***** +++++++++++ 1360 Comm. Ave . 60 units***** +++++++++++ ++++++++++++++++ Oste Chev rolt 340 units************* Allston St. 8 units Fallow Hill ++++++++++ ** +++++++++++++++ 100 units******** Note: This data obtained from Boston Redevelopment Authority zoning staff member John Bell, August 1986 60 -A CHAPTER FIVE PROGRAM This chapter established selection. in will for address the the project and the relationship to the market studies. Finally, outlined, .' including be that has rationale its examined Project phasing and marketing project been for Pricing concepts will be discussed and its benefits are explained. will program style strategies and image, marketing methods, and sales techniques. DEVELOPMENT TYPE The highest residential and best use of the site is represented program. The by site under examination is in a an industrial zone surrounded by a residential area in a market that is exhibiting a strong demand for housing. could be used for office space, in any case, softening. for of appropriate site but has low visability and, the Boston office market is showing signs of The choice of residential and not industrial, which the market is also fairly strong, because The the market but also because the to the site context. was arrived at use was more The demand for housing in Boston has been previously noted and this site will easily accommodate such use. TOWNHOUSES The Program that has been 61 developed consists of two types: building residential mid-rise and townhouses buildings, each adaptable to condominium sales. There are 24 townhouses each consisting of 4 duplex units around a common Each block of units has 3 two bedroom units and 1 stairway. one bedroom unit. the second bedroom. The 1 BR has a rooftop deck in place of The lower duplex units have access to private yards with terraces. small as on the rear of the building that also serve decks have units The upper duplex their second means qf egress. The 1 BR has 950 sq.ft. with 1 1/2 and baths been has allotted accommodated to each unit. Extra 1150 in baths buildings parking space in the lots behind the One sq.ft. the 2 BR units have 2 full be can parking The on the streets in front of the buildings. quad units are joined together to form structures that are 4 to 6 units in length. These buildings are along placed Electric Avenue to create a pleasant street similar to those in the surrounding neighborhood. found be The street will improved with new walks, trees and streetlights. MID-RISE In rear the placed total atop of building. of Parcel A a three story a one story 110 car garage. building The 1 BRs are 700 sq.ft. be There will 14 one bedroom and 15 two bedroom units be will in a this each and the 2 BRs are 950 sq.ft. The ground level will contain the parking garage, mechanical rooms, will trash compactor, and lobby. Lobby This have its main entrance from the front of the building, where there is a drop-off area and visitor parking. 62 A rear A Porter will entry will give access to the parking garage. be placed the in the lobby to assist residents, accept mail, and to The elevator will lead security. provide to the second floor where there will be a common laundry room and a small lounge that overlooks the main entry. the on To the rear grounds building will be a tennis court and landscaped units. bedroom one five and units bedroom two five The typical floor will contain top of the garage. of DESIGN RATIONALE forces that determined The the site, from three sources; political the while climate what indicated on set limits was design the build and the site, established to profitable and the the housing market, market The environment. political the design of this project came density and height. The need The site has been discussed in an earlier chapter. to neighborhood compatible project the keep led to a low-rise existing street patterns. the placing line. geometry of shadows solutions by Here the from the site. the nearby on The deep, reinforced irregular site led of the 4 story building against boundary noticable that scheme existing the with rearmost the garage fills and masks The existing streets Finally, homes. structure mid-rise and the the odd is not cast not does best to of design will not be realized if they are strongly opposed community and goverment groups. 63 The solution for the Electric Avenue site has to be one that will win the support of its neighbors and city officals. While the The unit designs are influenced by market forces. need for housing has been great, there are recent signs that the market is softening. Housing prices are leveling off after two years of appreciation that totaled over 60%. There is presently a very large inventory of unsold units. units that are selling are those priced in the mid to range of the market. This supports realtors claims The lower that buyers have become very price sensitive. The units of the project proposed in this paper are designed to fall into the middle market range. will Keeping costs down enable the units to be sold to a wide range of buyers. The profile without of the typical buyer is children, well educated, managerial or professional job. lBR flat, young, and single or married employed $172,000. a The least expensive unit, a will be priced at $122,500. This can be purchased by a buyer with an income of as little as $45,000. expensive in unit The most is a two bedroom duplex which is priced This can be purchased by a buyer with an at income of as little as $67,000. There are other reasons for keeping the unit prices down. Over eight hundred units of condominiums will be coming into the Allston-Brighton market. There is no way of estimating the absorption rate of these units. It is also impossible to foresee what interest rates on home mortgages will be two 64 years from now. Keeping the unit prices down is an effective way to minimize both market and financial risks. UNIT PRICING The unit pricing is as follows: Townhouses One Bedroom Units @ 950 sq.ft. x $175.00/sq.ft. = $142,500 Two Bedr6om Units @ 1,150 sq.ft. x $150.00/sq.ft. = $172,500 Mid-rise One Bedroom Units @ 700 sq.ft.. x $175.00/sq.ft. = $122.500 Two Bedroom Units @ 950 sq.ft. x $160.00/sq.ft. = $152,000 of the project consists of the mid-rise building and two of the townhouse structures. The mid-rise The first phase building has 50% 1 BR and 50% 2 BR units of small size. The in line with what the of prices these units is kept low, present market studies indicate will sell best. the mid-rise building will Along with a group of the duplex townhouse units be built to test the market. This type of building is relativly unavailable in Allston-Brighton and consequently, the units should capture a healthy share of the market. MARKETING CONCEPT The selection design, of a project image will inform the building advertisments, and even stationary letterheads. All aspects of the public image of the project must reflect the emphasize the chosen concept. The advantages: (convenient market concept location, 65 must quiet and stable t neighborhood, low density) and hide the bad qualities (the the low income housing project). Mass Pike, marketing The campaign will also tell the neighbors a great deal about the development and care should be taken not to arouse their concerns. of an appropiate style is often use The identity. All too often, England used by project the style is one that has proven successful many times in the past but is now New a gives overused. colonial and tudor styles are the housing. developers' and the result most has In often been an unfortunate uniformity. An appropiate style should be different, appealing that to buyers. known as were built. suburbs In and and this latter the first modern homes as we now This style was brought to the early-20th century just as the during England. the Arts and Crafts Movement English Art Nouveau, them familar There is an interesting housing style has its roots in late-19th century style, yet New first know England streetcar were being built and it now graces many of Boston's finest communities. The homes on the streets surrounding the Electric Avenue style. This site are modest vernacular versions of this style is neat and compact and gives houses a general "cottage" and comfortable air. This style allows the use have of a set of images in marketing brochures and ads not yet been used in Boston, uniqueness of the project. 66 and will underscore that the The community threatening will probably not find this of image as it will project values of stability and home that are compatible with their own. this type style 'Brighton', are very and much should in The English origins of keeping with be a rich source of the name material for advertisements and promotional literature. MARKETING TECHNIQUES Once the project image has been established and the potential buyers identified, an organized sales campaign must be started. this A real estate brokerage firm often will provide service by placing printing brochures, advertisements, designing and and conducting broker parties. The fees for such services are negotiable., An alternative method to hire an agency to design the advertisements in the print media. literature This, and is place along with an in- house sales staff, can give the developer greater control of the marketing effort. In either case there should be an on- site sales representive on the developers payroll. Sales are then co-broked percentage should with outside realtors, of the brokerage fee. include neighborhood, Specific thus saving sales material a well built model of the project a well furnished model unit, slide show about the project, a large, and a 5-6 changing a the minute newspaper ad, and special events. Special events, such as the donation to restore McKinny Park, the neighborhood. can benefit the project as well as Pre-sales 67 are an important part of marketing efforts. construction market They lenders while there are often requirements, is time to requried to satisfy and they can test modify the design, the and generate momentum in the sales effort. SUMMARY The program market, is created contextual, through the interaction and political forces. of The development must be attractive and afforable to the targeted buyers, must be a responsible neighbor, community's in this political agenda'. paper is an attempt and it should satisfy it the The project that is proposed to reconcile these often conflicting goals. The design is a low density response that reinforces the existing street patterns, provides parking, and fills an unoccupied market niche. 68 ample Figure 14 Electric Avenue Development Program TOWNHOUSES MID-RISE 24 One BR @ 950 sq.ft. 72 Two BR @ 1,150 Sq.ft. 14 One BR @ 700 sq.ft. 14 Two BR @ 950 sq.ft. Total Net - 105,000 sq.ft. Total Gross - 116,000 sq.ft. Total Net - 24,000 sq.ft. Total Gross - 27,700 sq.ft. 96 Parking Spaces on Grade 80 Parking Spacces on Street 110 Parking Spaces in Garage Tennis Court, Laundry Room SUMMARY Total Site Area - 191,000 sq.ft. Total Gross Building Area - 143,700 sq.ft. Floor Area Ratio (FAR) - .75 Precent of Lot Coverage - 40% Number of One Bedrooms - 38 Number of Two Bedrooms - 87 Total Number of Units - 125 Total Number of Parking Spaces - 206 Parking Ratio - 1.7 PHASE I Midrise: Townhouse: 5 One BR @ 950 sq.ft. 15 Two BR @ 1,150 sq.ft. 20 14 One BR @ 690 sq. ft. 14 Two BR @ 950 sq.ft. 28 Units Total Parking Spaces on Grade 110 Parking Spaces in Garage Tennis Court, Laundry Room PHASE II Townhouse: 19 One Bedrooms @ 950 sq.ft. 57 Two Bedrooms @ 1,150 sq.ft. 76 Units Total 76 Parking Spaces on Grade 69 0 Fig-15 Proposed Development and Context Townhouse H Fig.16 Proposed Development prrox tij e.-rpc. AVa. P~ePO.~ADpEet"Pw aNr Fig.17 Site Section of Proposed Development CHAPTER SIX THE INVESTMENT DECISION The purpose landowner that decision can be made. sell the land today; its to the political and market context within which investment choices: of the foregoing analysis was to reveal The landowner has a an three hold the land in expectation value will increase in the future; develop the land to its highest, and best use. In this Chapter the landowner's options will with be addressed reference to the relationship between risk and for each of the alternatives. the analysis. planning his First, Two important facts influence the land owner is contemplating two from Second, he has received at offers in the vicinity of 1.5 developers interested in purchasing offers and retirement and should ultimately be concerned with the preservation of assets. least return million the represent a low risk and profitable dollars land. These alternative to his developing the site. The land has been held for several years by the same and has appreciated substantially in value. are a reflection of the high prices paid for urban land this area owing conditions, such to the demand for as low interest housing rates, owner Recent offers and in economic which favor homeownership. The investor must assess the current offer for his land with 73 If market conditions with reference to future appreciation. the land will lose value. If he sells the land today for its high offer price, he may to housing deteriorate, respect forego the opportunity to realize even greater appreciation. ownership, home encourages which population include available capital at low interest rates, a tax code growth, scarce and inflation Most of these factors have been at work to drive up supply. the that favor real estate conditions The in properties of undeveloped land and existing value The notion that appreciation will continue is a the region. hotly debated topic. What we do know is that the market for homeownership is very sensitive to each of these conditions. The residual land value given current market conditions far greater than the offers received for the is undeveloped Exhibit 18 is a proforma for the residential program site. in described $6.1 approximately to value Five. Chapter million. achieved be The residual land from value Clearly there is selecting the is substantial development alternative. The land residual however, value derived from within uncertain and analyze analysis upon the assumption that current based market conditions will continue. context the which favorable market The political and the development must occur is, is very these returns may vary. The investor must the investment performance under several market conditions. 74 different The imposed notion that more restrictive zoning may be Allston-Brighton is particularly important because it may land. In add to or subtract from the value of the either the short run, on impact the zoning restrictions may have a In the long negative decrease the land value due to the probable density. allowable in these however, run, in restrictions will result in a better environment and housing will command higher prices. holding In this event, the land in order to build optimally in the becomes the more attractive alternative. range the option of future However, the long perspective may not suit the investor who is about to retire. Selling risk the land today has an advantage in that it is a low alternative and the landowner will realize return on his investment. result in a substantial tax burden. return, investor for however, the healthy The disadvantage is that it will The developed land worth a great deal more and produces some tax added a may or may additional risk not is shelter. The compensate the assumed under the studied and development option. The risks of developing the site can be minimized with design, marketing and pricing strategies that address The the possible roadblocks to a successful project. landowner may also limit his exposure to risk by way of the investment vehicle he chooses. The attached financial data shown on Exhibit 18 represents a 75 the minimize and return such as construction costs, The landowner. the to risk Key conservative. upon which it is based are assumptions variables maximize strategy and deal structure that will development and rates interest sales velocity have been altered to test the degree to which negative or positive changes in these impact variables profitability. The structure which will reduce the landowner's exposure to contributes the land to a as a limited partner, landowner, the which in development risk involves one the of some general partnership that will manage the development and pay all the of "up front" costs associated with pre- the construction activity. The general partners will also assume risk" "at the position with respect to recourse the The construction loan, when funded, will return financing. a partial payment of $500,000 for the land to the landowner, which he security. in turn invest in may This a risk government free will provide diversification and cash flow. value A preferred return of the remaining $1 million market of the land will be paid out as the project begins to show a positive cash flow. The general partnership may require as much a as fifty percent share of the residuals in exchange for assuming all to the of the risks. landowner partnership is In this event, the total profit in the vicinity of $ 4 entity million. with a good track record in 76 A general developing successful projects will assist in obtaining the financing arrangement, fully a essentially is which favorable leveraged situation. RISK ANALYSIS are There principal three risk: of areas political, financial, and market. The the politics of developing sites in There are at least five civic neighborhood are complicated. the 'BRA, associations, the and Association Allston-Brighton Allston-Brighton the newly' created Planning Improvement Zoning and Advisory Committee, that will participate in the process. all likelihood the Mayor will approve the Interim Overlay densely most And although there is a strong demand Allston-Brighton is already one of housing, neighborhoods. populated 125 approximately Planning finally giving the residents some say in District, the planning process. for In of units housing significant amount of neighborhood Boston's The addition of will attract a Furthermore, interest. the site is located in one of Allston-Brighton's most stable neighborhoods. Any threat to that stability is sure to create resistance to the project. The possibility will may land. that a development proposal for this not be approved is a very significant risk in that cause the owner to forfeit the opportunity to sell The purchasers owner that will have demonstrated to it the potential a residential development for the site 77 site is not feasible. This outcome may not be so devastating if the owner wishes to continue to operate his site, or business on the can find a buyer interested in an industrial use for the site. The political addresses risk can neighbors and community is Brian McLaughlin, as an with financially community groups early critical given the on to both Responding to political climate. City Councilor for Allston-Brighton organizer of.the various community groups development that The developer should arrange to meet mobilize support and hear from the oppostion. the program neighborhood concerns and that works even when scaled down. with be minimized with a and would assist in acts concerned arranging for a developer to meet with the residents. The developer must also be prepared to offer the and the city some incentive for supporting the residents project. This could take the form of providing "affordable" units in accordance with Mayor Flynn's proposed inclusionary zoning policy, which, although not yet a law, is causing developers to offer approximately ten percent of the market rate units at cost. The developer should also consider offering to the neighborhood a contribution to be used to renovate Park, a McKinney potentially attractive amenity which is now dilapidated condition, improvement loans to the or to provide low surrounding interest residents. in home There should be some creativity and flexibility in the program 78 a in order that these concessions can be offerred. impact The housing of loss affordable upon profitability of a ten percent requirement revenue upon the project represents a approximately $700,000. This is that assumming twelve units are put on the market at cost. In summary, this project will be coming on line in the midst of become the 'interim overlay planning process and may a test case for the neighborhood groups in their participation in the planning .For process. possible that density issues, restriction this reason height parking requirements, and concern over design, affordability and the carefully scrutinized today than in the past. side, positive accessible. the site is large , isolated be will market that the development is likely to attract, more very is it On the easily and not The program with its townhouse scheme does detract from the stability of the neighborhood. MARKET RISKS Although the demand for housing in the Boston area has strong of and appreciation rates on housing units in the range 20-30%, exhibit been the market for units in weaknesses that Allston-Brighton are not present in the may general market area. Developers have flocked to Allston-Brighton because of strong demand by students for rental units and the ease, the at least in the past, with which projects have been approved. At 79 there are approximately 750 new units present Allston-Brighton. at occurring a in the general area is also Development rapid pace for planned and must be in considered estimating the supply side of the market. The of phasing the project is intended to minimize the market risk represented by the possible oversupply situation when the project comes on line, approximately two years from A two phased project will bring fewer units on line at now. one in time and willJellow for a testing of the market a general sense but also in terms of pricing, and construction, and operating cost. demand unit mix The second phase can be altered in accordance with the conclusions drawn from the acceptance of the first phase. Market risk analyzes is the also diminished by market that assumptions and A program which attempts to establish market niche and a competitive edge should The study existing and projected supply of housing the nature of demand. a a be designed. upon which the program is based should be tested under varying rates of absorption and unit prices. analysis Sensitivity absorption was performed based upon a range of rates that might occur if market conditions were either to deteriorate or improve. With a range of absorption rates (profit per one to ten units of as respectively. a month, the profitability to 42% The effect of a weak housing market upon the percentage of cost) varies from 16% profitability of.the project is very substantial. 80 FINANCIAL RISK The ability structure where to of deal The fully leveraged deal project cost manage financial risk is by and project financing. the construction loan funds the entire way and the landowner receives the value of the land at the time the loan is funded is an example. the development entity and the assets arranged, by posture, the of In exchange for this low are not at risk. landowner The recourse financing is the landowner must give up a larger percentage the development entity to profit assumes which the risk of the recourse loan. Although the exposure to risk is reduced, the returns to the landowner are still tied in to the value of the residuals. The degree to which the residuals are impacted by changes in the cost of construction and interest rates was analyzed to More pessimistic determine the variability of the returns. and optimistic were assumptions substituted in the sensitivity analysis and the following table illustrates the effect upon profitability. PROBABLE OPTIMISTIC PESSIMISTIC (Profit as a % of cost) ------------------------------------------------------CONSTRUCTION COSTS ($50-$80) INTEREST RATES' (9%-16%) 50% 38% 32% 40% 38% 30% is The impact upon profitability reduction in not as extreme as that the rate of sales per 81 month. However, of a the results of the analysis are due in part to the fact that the interest cost on the construction loan is a small component Rising interest rates will have a far greater impact if one consider their effect upon of overall project cost. the demand for housing. The potential increase in return from a decrease in hard construction costs is notable. SUMMARY There The risks of developing real estate are considerable. are methods to control the exposure to risk. Phasing the limits the size of the investment initially to test project the product and provides flexibility and the opportunity to alter the program and the prices. Risk can also be minimized by an investment vehicle which provides the owner with cash flow and a preferred return and front up- without the "at risk" status under the recourse financing. The financial analysis, the of over enthusiam. The profit housing which indicates a before-tax cause for investor must realize that the market for six million dollars, may be is highly sensitive to adverse economic conditions that are largely unpredictable. The development option, even under optimal conditions, is a alternative without guarantee. 82 BIBLIOGRAPHY A Profile of Allston-Brighton Prepared for The Allston-Brighton Community Development Corporation and The John F. Kennedy School of Goverment, May 28 1958, Peter Levine and Melissa Roderick Boston's Changing Housing Patterns 1980-1985 BRA Research Paper, March 1986, Rolf Goetze, Ph.D. Boston Housing Authority Housing Occupancy, Rehabilitation, and Conversion Plans Update BRA'Research Paper, June 1985, Jane A. Van Buren The Boston Housing Market and Its Future Perspective BRA Research Paper, October 11, 1985, Alex Ganz Boston Population and Housing by Neighborhood Areas, 1980 US Bureau of the Census The Bull in the Garden: A History of Allston-Brighton Willam P. Marchione, 1986 Condominium Development in Boston; By Year, Bly Neighborhood, 1983 Through June 30 Prepared for the Kennedy School of Goverment, August 1984, Jeffery P. Brown, John Huggins, Tatsuro Matsuwaki, John Robertson Housing Production in Boston: A Review of Supply, Inventory of Activity, and Issues for the Future BRA Research Paper Titman,"Urban Land Prices Sheridan American Economic Review, June, 1985 Under Uncertainty", The Boston Globe Development Review Procedures BRA Publication Overlay Interim Allston-Brighton Discussion Workbook BRA Publication Planning District Boston Zoning Code and Enabling Act Maximum Residential Potential in Boston, By Neighborhood BRA Research Paper, October 17 1985, Jacob Schaffer 83 The Neighborhood of Allston-Brighton in Boston BRA Research Paper, August 1985, Anne Hafrey Interviews: Kevin Ahearn, Principal, Otis and Ahearn Arther Alan, Appraiser, Bank of Boston Larry Bacow, Spaulding Investments Tod Beatty, Principal, Ingram, Reattig, and Beatty John Bell, Boston Redevelopment Authority Zoning Board Merrial Diamond, Principal, Parencorp Mark Fortan, Marketing Director, Ferrari and Forman Jean Hamiliton, Boston Redevelopment Authority Gordon Hurwitz, Principal, Parencorp Ken Kirwin, Metropolitan District Commission Don Klabin, Developer Rick Kobus, Principal, Tsoi and Kobus Paula Macomber, Realtor, Ingram, Rettig, and Beatty Brain McLaughlin, City Councillor, Brighton District Willam Marchione, President, Brighton Historical Society Garlan Morse, Senior Vice-President, Bank of Boston Mary Totten, Marketing Director, Marquis Century 21 84 APPENDICES 85 EXHIBIT 18 GENERAL INFORMATION AND ASSUMPTIONS. CONSOLIDATED: 1001 FINANCING PHASES ONE AND TWO PROJECT NAME: BRIGHTON CONDOS DATE OF PROJECTION: AUGUST 1 1986 CONSTRUCTION PERIOD INNONTHi (CP): MARKETING PERIOD INMONTHS(NP): UNITS SOLD PER NONTH(SPM): TOTAL UNITS(TU) TOTAL NET REVENUES(TNR) 20,991,300 TOTAL COSTS 14,803,665 GROSS PROFIT 6,187,635 22 25 5 125 FINANCING ASSUMPTIONS: CONSTRUCTION LOAN (phase one) $8,726,320 CONSTRUCTION LOAN (phase two) $5,790,801 22 10.001 0.01 TERM(T) INTEREST RATE() POINTS(P) UNIT MIX AND REVENUE PROJECTIONS LAND AREA: 190 000 S.F. TOTAL UNITS: 115 GROSS SQUARE FOOTAGE (CONDOS): GROSS SQUARE FOOTAGE (TOWNHOUSES): NET SQUARE FOOTAGE (CONDOS): I uni One B.R.Condo 27,658 116,160 24,050 NET SQUARE FOOTAGE (TOWNHOUSES): UNIT MIX RATIO OF GROSS TO NET(CONDOS): RATIO OF GROSS TO NET(T.H.): AVERAGE $ PER UNIT TOTAL REVENUE ON UNITS(TR) (net 41 brokerage) 105,600 s.f. 19, 0,000 1,7,000 PARKING REVENUE $per $ psf unit 1.15 1.10 163,240 total $ 14 700 175 122,500 1,715,000 Two B.R condo 15 950 160 152,000 2,280 000 One B.R. T.H. Two B.R.T.H. 24 72 950 1,150 175 150 166,250 172,500 3,99000 12,420,000 Parking Structured Spaces(SS) Price per space(PR) 110 17,000 Spaces at Grade: Spaces per unit: Development Costs 96 1.65 Pre-Construction Construction Start Soft Costs: A&E (51) Survey, Borings, Geotecnical,2 E Insurance Legal/Acctng Permits Development Fee Contingency (5%) R.E. Taxesiconst) R.E. Taxes (mktg) 546,941 50,000 0 50,000 179,288 546,941 546,941 56,526 201,003 Mktg/public relations TOTAL SOFT COSTS(SC) 100,000 125,000 279,288 2,402,641 gross cost 0 0 0 546,941 0 50,000 0 150,000 179,288 546,941 546,941 56,526 201,003 0 125000 0 2,681,929 0 0 546,941 546,941 596,941 596,941 746,941 926,230 1,473,171 2,020,112 2,277,638 2,076,641 2,277,641 2 402,641 2,681,929 0 0 4,376 4,376 4,776 4,776 5,976 7,410 11,785 16,161 16,613 18,221 18,221 19,221 21,455 HARD COSTS: Land Parking: at grade: 1010 $1000 structured: 1100 $10,000 Demolition Landscape 500,000 500,000 148,200 1,1 ,000 76,250 178,750 148,200 1,100,000 76,250 178,750 1, 936,025 6,969 600 30:00 Condos 4 $70 Townhouses 1 $60 Tennis Court TOTAL HARD COSTS(hc) 1,936,025 S6,969600 30,000 10,938,925 TOTAL BEFORE FINANCING(TBF) -13,341, 466 145,171 1,317,028 POINTS - " INTEREST ON CONST. LOAN 86 145,171 1,317,028 0 500,000 500,000 648,200 5,186 1,748,200 13,986 14,596 1,824,450 16,026 2,003,200 3,939,225 31,514 87.271 10, 908 25 10 ,938825 87,511 87,511 10,938,825 10,938,825 87,511 87,511 10,938825 10, 938,825 87,511 11, 083,996 88,672 12,40!j024 99,208 12, 401,024 99,208 12,401,024 99,208 EXHIBIT 18: GENERAL INFORMATION : FULLY LEVERAGED, PHASE ONE PHASE ONE (1001 FINANCING) PROJECT NAME: BRIGHTON CONDOS D F ET- AUGUST 12,1986 IOnINMONTHS (CP): pUNTU CT1 MARKE ING PERID ?N MONTHS(MP): UNITS SOLD PER MONTH(SPM): TOTAL UNITS(PHASE ONE)(TUl) 12 14 5 69 TOTAL UNTS IPASE TWH)(T191 MAY 1,1987 12 10 70 60 ESTIMATED START DATE CONSTRUCTION PERIOD/MOS. (PHASE I)(CPI) CONSTRUCTION PERIOD/MOS (PHASE TWO) (CPTWO) HARD COSTS/CONDOS(HCO) HARD COSTS/TOWNHOUSES(HCT) 5i6 FINANCING ASSUMPTIONS: CONSTRUCTION LOAN 8,726,320 TERM(T) INTEREST RATE(I) POINTS(P) 26 10.001 87,263 UNIT MIX AND REVENUE PROJECTIONS LAND AREA: 190 000 S.F. TOTAL UNITS: (TU) 27,658 GROSS SQUARE FOOTAGE (TOWNHOUSES) NET SQUARE FOOTAGE (CONDOS): One Two One Two I units B.R.Condo B.R condo B.R. T.H. B.R.T.H. 14 15 10 30 GROSS REVENUES PER MONTH(RPM) PARKING REVENUE(TOTAL) 44,000 s.f. $ psf 700 950 950 1,1505 175 160 175 00 297,501 Permits(PMTS) Development Fee(FEE) Contingency (51) (CONTG) R.E. Taxes(const) (REC) R.E. Taxes (aktg) 50,000 25,000 100,000 129,400 297,501 297,501 56,526 100,840 Mktg/public relations(MPR) 75,000 TOTAL COST BEFORE INTEREST INTEREST COST 7,879,295 847,024 8,726,320 11,793,200 3,066,880 total $ PARKING 122,500 152,000 166,250 172,500 1,715,000 2,280,000 1,662,500 5,1,900 Structured Spacus(SS) Price per space(PR) Spaces at Grade: (SAG) Spaces per unit: Parkin : at grade: 101f $1500(PAG) structured: 824 $10,000(SP) Demolition(DEM) Landscape(LNDS) Site Preparation Condos I $70(HCC) Townhouses # $60(HCTH) Tennis Court(TC) TOTAL HARD COSTS(hc) Land(L) 1,429,270 TOTAL COST TOTAL REVENUES(NET) TOTAL PROFIT PROFIT AS At OF COSTS PROFIT AS A I OF SALES (TR) 5 784,964 1,394,000 $per unit DEVELOPMENT COSTS A&E (51)(AE) Survey, Borin s Geotechnical 21i(S) Insurance(INS) Legal/Acctng (LA) 1.15 1.10 RATE OF ABSORBTION(SALES PER MONTH) 48,400 24,050 NET SQUARE FOOTAGE (TOWNHOUSES)i UNIT MIX RATIO OF GROSS TU NET(CONDOS): RATIO OF GROSS TO NET(T.H.): 125 GROSS SQUARE FOOTAGE (CONDOS): 60,000 820,000 50,000 100,000 50,000 1,936,025 2,904 ,000 30,000 5,950,025 500,000 6,450,025 35.15% 26.01% 87 82 17,000 40 1.77 EXHIBIT 18 PHASE ONE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS : 1001 FINANCING MONTHS 1-9 APRIL MONTH MAY JUNE NOVEMBER DECEMBER SEPTEMBER OCTOBER AUGUST JULY ------------------------------------------------------w---w----------------- Revenues: Sales proceeds Less Brokerage Net Sales Parking Revenue Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 59,500 74,375 8,925 8,925 8,925 8,925 8,925 8,925 8,925 2,083 25,000 2,083 25,000 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 Expenses: Land Acquistion 500,000 A&E 148,751 Development fee Survey 59,000 Insurance Legal/Acctg 10,000 Permits 129,400 R.E.Taxes (const) R.E. Taxes(unsold units) Marketing 28,263 2,907 2,907 2,907 2,907 2,907 2,907 2,907 2,907 892,504 297,501 178,501 509,058 509,058 509,058 509,058 509,058 838,151 1,084,633 336,417 193,966 524,523 524,523 552,786 524,523 524,523 Hard Costs Total 28,263 Cash flow before debt serv. (838,151) (1,084,633) (336,417) (193,966) (524,523) (524,523) Less 0 0 Debt Service: Payback(cumulativ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (552,786) (524,523) (524,523) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PROJECT CASH FLOW (838,151)(1,084,633) CASH FLOW (CUMULATIVE) 500,000 (336,417) (193,966) 0 0 (524,523) (524,523) 0 0 (552,786) (524,523) (524,523) 0 0 0 0 -------------- PHASE ONE MONTHS 10-18 JAN FEB MARCH APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUGUST SEPT --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Revenues: Sales proceeds Less Brokerage Net Sales Parking Revenue 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 Total 0 0 0 0 854,580 854,580 854,580 854,580 854,580 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 15,346 2,907 14,234 2,907 13,122 2,907 12,010 2,907 10,898 2,907 94,179 18,691 17,579 16,467 15,355 760,401 835,888 837,000 838,112 839,224 0 0 684,361 684,361 752,300 1,436,660 (524,523) (515,598) 76,040 83,589 Expenses: Land Acquistion A&E Development fee 8,925 74,375 8,925 8,925 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 2,083 1,550 R.E. Taxes(unsold units) Marketing 2,907 Hard Costs 509,058 2,907 509,058 2,907 509,058 2,907 509,058 Total 598,899 524,523 524,523 515,598 Cash flow before debt serv. (598,899) (524,523) Survey Insurance Legal/Acctg Permits R.E.Taxes (const) 74,375 (524,523) (515,598) Less Debt Service: Payback(cumulativ PROJECT CASH FLOW ::::=-=-==-: CASH FLOW (CUMULATIVE) 0 0 0 0 (598,899) (524,523) 0 0 --- 0 0 0 88 76,040 83,700 =::::::: m::::::::: 0 753,300 754,301 755,302 2,189,961 2,944,262 3,699,564 159,629 243,329 83,811 83,922 ::::::::::- 327,140 411,063 PHASE ONE MONTHS 11-26 784,964 Parking Revenue Total 854,580 - - Total 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 854,580 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 854,580 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 854,580 784,964 784,964 31,399 753,565 101,014 31,399 753 565 101,014 854,580 854,580 784,964 31 399 753,565 101,014 854,580 784,964 31,399 784,964 753,565 101,014 31,399 753,565 101,014 854,580 854,580 1,550 74,375 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 9,432 2,907 7,965 2,907 6,499 2,907 5,033 2,907 3,567 2,907 2,100 2,907 634 2,907 2,907 8,024 6,558 79,467 4,457 1,550 846,556 848,022 775,113 850,122 853,029 761 900 763,220 7,495,868 8,259,088 468,000 8,727,088 0 774,344 850,122 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 13,889 12,423 Cash flow before debt sery. 840,691 842,157 Less Debt Service: 756,622 757,941 Payback(cumulativ 4,456,185 5,214,127 PROJECT CASH FLOW 84,069 BEFORE SPLIT CASH FLOW (CUMULATIVE) JUNE MAY APRIL --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------31,399 753,565 101,014 Expenses: Land Acquistion AlE Development fee Survey Insurance Legal/Acctg Permits R.E.Taxes (const) R.E. Taxes(unsold Marketing Hard Cos s MARCH FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT Revenues: Sales proceeds Less Brokerage Net Sales 495,132 10,957 9,490 843,623 845,089. 759,261 760,580 5,973,388 6,733,968 84,216 84,362 84,509 84,656 84,802 579,347 663,710 748,219 832,874 917,676 89 853,029 1,692,021 2,542,143 3,395,173 PHASE TWO (100% FINANCING) PROJECT NAME: BRIGHTON CONDOS CONSTRUCTION PERIOD INMONTHS (CPTWO) 10 11 5 56 56 MARKETING PERIOD IN NONTHS(NPTWO) UNITS SOLD PER MONTH(SPTWO) TOTAL UNITS(PHASE ONE)(TUI) TOTAL UNITS (PHASE TWO)(TU2) FINANCING ASSUMPTIONS: CONSTRUCTION LOAN HARD COSTS/CONDOS(HCO) HARD COSTS/TOWNHOUSES(HCT) INFLATION FACTOR(IF) 51790,801 TERM(T) INTEREST RATE(I) POINTS(P) UNIT MAY1,1988 12 10 73.5 63 1.05 ESTIMATED START DATE CONSTRUCTION PERIOD/MOS. (PHASE I)(CPI) CONSTRUCTION PERIOD/MOS (PHASE TWO)(CPTWO) DATE OF PROJECTION: AUGUST 12,1986 21 10.00% 57,908 MIX AND REVENUE PROJECTIONS LAND AREA: 190 000 S.F. TOTAL UNITS: (iU) 125 GROSS SQUARE FOOTAGE (CONDOS): GROSS SQUARE FOOTAGE (TOWNHOUSES): NET SQUARE FOOTAGE (CONDOS): NET SQUARE FOOTAGE (TOWNHOUSES): UNIT MIX 0 67,760 0 61,600 * psf 0 700 175 122,500 950 160 152,000 950 1,150 175 150 166,250 172,500 0 One B.R. T.H. Two B.R.T.H. 14 42 1.10 $per unit s.f. Two B.R condo 1.15 RATIO OF GROSS TO NET(T.H.): RATE OF ABSORBTION(SALES PER MONTH) GROSS REVENUES PER MONTH(RPMTWO PARKING REVENUE(TPRTWO) I units One B.R.Condo RATIO OF GROSS TO NET(CONDOS): total - $ PARKING 0 0 2,327,500 7,245,000 Structured Spaces(SSTWO Price per space(PR) Spaces at Grade: (SAGTWO) Spaces per unit: DEVELOPMENT COSTS A&E(5l) (AETWO Survey 214,190 Borin s Geotechnical 21E(STWO Insurance(INSTWO Legal/Acctng(LATWO Permits(PMTSTWO Developsent Fee(FEETWO Contingency (5%)(CONTSTWO R.E. Taxes(const)(RECTWO R.E. Taxes (mktg2) Mktg/public relations(NPRTWO) 0 25,000 50,000 112,738 214'190 214,190 56,526 100,163 50,000 Parking: at grade: 56@ $1500(PAG) structured: 1101 $10,000(SP) Demolition(DEM) Landscape(LNDS) Site Preparation Condos @ $70(HCC) Townhouses @ $60(HCTH) Tennis Court(TC) TOTAL HARD COSTS(HCTWO) Land(LTWO) 1,036,997 TOTAL COST BEFORE INTEREST INTEREST COST 5,320,797 470,004 TOTAL COST TOTAL REVENUES(NET) TOTAL PROFIT 5,790,801 9,189,600 3,398,799 PROFIT AS A%OF COSTS PROFIT AS A I OF SALES (TR) 88,200 0 26,250 78,750 25,000 0 4,065,600 0 4,283,800 0 4,283,800 58.69% 36.991 90 5 854,688 467,500 28 17,000 56 1.49 EXHIBIT 18 CASH FLOW ANALYSIS : 1001 FINANCING PHASE TWO MONTHS 1-9 MONTH APRIL NOVEMBER DECEMBER MAY SEPTEMBER OCTOBER AUGUST - --------------------------------------------------JUNE-------JULY -----------------Reven ues: Sales proceeds Les s Brokerage Net Sales Parki ngRevenue Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42,838 53,548 8,032 8,032 8,032 8,032 8,032 8,032 8,032 2,500 12,500 2,500 12,500 2,500 943 2,500 943 2,500 943 2,500 943 2,500 943 2,500 943 Expen ses: Land Acquistion 0 A&E 107,095 Devel opsent fee Surve y 0 Insur ance Legal /Acctg 5,000 112,738 Perai ts R.E.T axes (const) , R.E. raxes(unsold units) Marke ting Hard Costs 2,358 642,570 2,358 214,190 2,358 128,514 2,358 471,218 2,358 471,218 2,358 471,218 2,358 471,218 2,358 471,218 Total 224,833 784,577 239,581 142,348 485,052 485,052 513,315 485,052 485,052 (224,833) (784,577) (239,581) (142,348) (485,052) (485,052) (513,315) (485,052) (485,052) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (224,833) (784,577) (239,581) (142,348) (485,052) (485,052) (513315) (485,052) (485,052) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cash flow before debt serv. Less Debt Service: Payback(cusulativ PROJECT CASH FLOW BEFORE SPLIT CASH FLOW (CUMULATIVE) 28,263 28,263 0 91 PHASE TWO MONTHS 10-18 ------------------------------------ SEPT AUGUST JULY JUNE MAY APRIL MARCH FED JAN Revenues: -- Sales proceeds Less Brokerage Net Sales Parking Revenue 0 0 0 0 854,688 34,188 820 500 41,741 854,688 34,188 820,500 41,741 854,688 34,188 820,500 41,741 854,688 34,188 820,500 41,741 854,688 34,188 820,500 41,741 854,688 34,188 820,500 41,741 854,688 34,188 920,500 41,741 Total 0 0 862,241 862,241 862,241 862,241 862,241 862,241 862,241 Expenses: Land Acquistion 8,032 a,032 53,548 AE Development fee Survey Insurance 53,548 2,500 Legal/Acctg 943 943 Permits R.E.Taxes (const) R.E. Taxes(unsold units) # 2,358 Marketin 509,058 Hard Costs 2,358 509,058 576,439 520,392 Total 943 943 943 943 943 943 943 15,346 2,358 14,234 2,358 13,122 2,358 12,010 2,358 10,898 2,358 9,786 2,358 8,674 2,358 18,648 17,536 16,424 15,312 14,200 13,088 65,523 796,718 Cash flow before debt serv. 843,593 844,705 845,817 846,929 848,041 849,153 0 759,234 759,234 760,235 1,519,468 761,235 762,236 763,237 764,238 (576,439) (520,392) 84,35? 84,471 84,582 84,693 84,804 84,915 79,672 84,359 168,830 253,412 338,104 422,909 507,824 587,496 (576,439) (520,392) Less Debt Service: 0 0 0 Payback(cumulativ PROJECT CASH FLOW CASH FLOW (CUMULATIVE) 0 0 2,280,704 3,042,940 3,806,177 4,570,415 717,046 5,287,461 PHASE TWO MONTHS 11-26 Sales proceeds Less Brokerage JAN DEC NOV OCT Revenues: JUNE MAY APRIL MARCH FEB --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 854,688 854,688 854,688 34,188 34,188 34,188 854,688 34,188 Net Sales Parking Revenue 820,500 41,741 820,500 41,741 820,500 41,741 820,500 41,741 Total 862,241 862,241 862,241 862,241 943 943 943 943 R.E. Taxes(unsold Marketing Hard Costs 10,105 2,358 9,127 2,358 8,150 2,358 7,172 2,358 Total 66,954 12,42? 11,451 795,287 849,812 850,790 504,000 Debt Service: Payback(cumulativ 5,791,461 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,474 0 0 0 0 0 851,767 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Expenses: Land Acquistion A&E -Development fee 53,548 Survey Insurance Legal/Acctg Permits R.E.Taxes (const) Cash flow before debt serv. Less 849,812 PROJECT CASH FLOW 291,287 CASH FLOW (CUMULATIVE) 878,783 1,728,595 851,767 0 0 0 0 0 2,579,385 3,431,152 0 0 0 0 0 850,790 92 LIST OF EXHIBITS Page Figures Fig.1 Map of Boston .................................... 30 Fig.2 Map of Brighton .................................. 31 Fig.3 Proposed Site Fig.4 Contour Map .. ... Fig.5 Site Section.....................................34 Fig.6 N'eighborhood Features ............................ 35 Fig.7 Zoning Map ................................. Fig.8 Auto and Bus Circulation ........ . ... ..... Figs.9-12 32 ................. . .............. . ..... .. .o..33 36 ...... 37 Photographs of the Site and Neighborhood ..38-41 Fig.13 Projected Residential Development in Brighton,...60 Fig.14 Program of the Proposed Development .... Fig.15 Plan of Proposed Development and its Context .... 70 Fig.16 Plan of Proposed Development ................... 71 Fig.17 .. 72 Section of the Proposed Development .. ........ Fig.18 Project Proforma and ....... 69 Cash Flow Analysis...............................86 6