OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY What’s Wrong with Lake Erie and How Can We Fix It Dr. Jeffrey M. Reutter Special Advisor, Ohio Sea Grant College Program OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Lake Erie has always been at the forefront of the algae and nutrient problem. Why? OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Why Lake Erie? Southernmost Image: Ohio Sea Grant OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Shallowest and Warmest OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY 100 Major Land Uses in the Great Lakes 90 % Land Cover 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Superior urban Michigan Huron Erie agriculture forest grassland Modified from Lizhu Wang et al. 2015; GLR-00879 Ontario wetlands OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Because of Land Use, Lake Erie Gets: • More sediment • More nutrients (fertilizers and sewage) • (The above 2 items are exacerbated by storms, which will be more frequent and severe due to climate change.) • And Lake Erie is still biologically the most productive of the Great Lakes—And always will be!!! OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY June 22, 1969 Lake Erie wasn’t always the Walleye Capital of the World OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Blue-green Algae Bloom 1971 Photo: Forsythe and ReuOer OSU’s Island Campus OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Cyanobacteria “Preferences” • Warm water—above 60F • High concentrations of nutrients • Particularly phosphorus (P) • If nitrogen (N) is low, some cyanos are capable of fixing their own from the air • Source of nutrients doesn’t matter • Preferences tell us where to expect Cyanos anywhere in world • Cyanos are capable of producing toxins OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Toxicity of Algal Toxins Relative to Other Toxic Compounds found in Water • Reference Dose = amount that can be ingested orally by a person, above which a toxic effect may occur, on a milligram per kilogram body weight per day basis. Toxin Reference Doses Dioxin (0.000001 mg/kg-­‐d) MicrocysZn LR (0.000003 mg/kg-­‐d) Saxitoxin (0.000005 mg/kg-­‐d) PCBs (0.00002 mg/kg-­‐d) Cylindrospermopsin (0.00003 mg/kg-­‐d) Methylmercury (0.0001 mg/kg-­‐d) Anatoxin-­‐A (0.0005 mg/kg-­‐d) DDT (0.0005 mg/kg-­‐d) Selenium (0.005 mg/kg-­‐d) Botulinum toxin A (0.001 mg/kg-­‐d) Alachlor (0.01 mg/kg-­‐d) Cyanide (0.02 mg/kg-­‐d) Atrazine (0.04 mg/kg-­‐d) Fluoride (0.06 mg/kg-­‐d) Chlorine (0.1 mg/kg-­‐d) Aluminum (1 mg/kg-­‐d) Ethylene Glycol (2 mg/kg-­‐d) OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY What brought about the rebirth (dead lake to Walleye Capital)? • Phosphorus reductions from point sources (29,000 metric tons to 11,000). • In those days 2/3 of phosphorus sewage treatment • Today, more than 2/3 is non-point source loading from agriculture OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Why do we target phosphorus? • Normally limiting nutrient in freshwater systems • P reduction is best strategy ecologically and economically • Reducing both P and N will help the most OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Nutrient Loading • P discharges from sewage treatment plants vary li@le from year to year • P discharges from ag tributaries vary greatly from year to year depending on rainfall • Vast majority of P loading occurs during storm events • Frequency of severe storms up 37-­‐53% Great Lakes Tributary Total Phosphorus Loads (MTA) 2008 OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY 506 575 575 77 77 61 61 62 62 239 195 195 74 98 41 210 210 28 28 100 Legend 500 Total Phosphorus: > 100 MTA 100 ConnecZng Channel 29 240 240 24 Total Phosphorus: < 100 MTA 32 32 152 120 120 240 86 658 658 396 396 136 502 67 67 52 52 601 107 107 201 201 2016 241 241 132 132 121 121 156 81 475 475 22 59 59 22 137 45 45 80 35 80 3,812 3,812 41 83 41 2,040 2,040 61 279 279 64 57 1,105 235 264 264 49 37 41 41 37 28 28 452 452 179 179 366 59 32 32 105 79 79 206 206 202 189 189 637 124 124 58 69 34 34 42 28 28 26 90 90 269 43 43 40 28 28 57 57 137 325 OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY • Lake Erie • 9,906 sq. miles • 11th in area 17th volume • 241 miles long 57 wide • Western Basin • Ave. depth 24 \. • 13% area, 5% volume • Central Basin • Ave. depth 60 \. • 63% area and volume • Eastern Basin • Ave. 80 \., Max 210 \. • 24% area, 32% volume Lake Erie Stats OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Joe DePinto, LimnoTech OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Not all P is created equal • Total P (TP) = particulate P (PP) and dissolved reactive P (DRP) • PP is about 25% bioavailable • DRP is 100% bioavailable • Most BMPs have focused on PP (stopping erosion) • New info for most farmers = DRP dissolves in rain and comes out through drain tiles • DRP concentration out of tiles is OK at 46 ppm P • Animal operations can put on 150 ppm P • P surface runoff too high without incorporation • Winterkill cover crops can increase DRP runoff • P from tile risers is a big problem • Removing 1 ton of DRP = removing 4 tons of PP • DRP loading up 150%! OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY 13 Years of Satellite Bloom Data OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Microcystis, Stone Lab, 8/10/10 Photos: Jeff ReuOer OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY October 9, 2011 Photo: NOAA Satellite Image OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Microcystis, Stone Lab, 9/20/13 OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY High Water and HAB on Stone Lab Dock, 7/25/15 Photo Credit: Dr. Darren Bade 2015: Lake Erie’s most intense bloom OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY 10.5! New DPR model predicted this, as did one test version of the LimnoTech WLEEM models. Models will be examined more closely, and used OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Goals • Eliminate HABs • Aid in reducing phosphorus loading to eliminate HABs • Produce Safe Drinking Water • Help water treatment plant operators produce safe drinking water. • Protect boaters, swimmers, and visitors • Help coastal businesses OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Agreement on Phosphorus Targets • Ohio Phos Task Force—P Targets March 2013 (Chaired by Dr. Jeff Reutter) • 40% reduction based on NOAA model (Rick Stumpf) • Annual seasonal forecasts at Stone Lab since 2012 • Collaboration: NOAA, Heidelberg, OSU, U Toledo, U Mich. • International Joint Commission—P Targets Oct 2013 • Accepted Ohio P Task Force Recommendations • Annex 4 P Targets, Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement, US and Canada—May 2015 (Dr. Jeff Reutter, US Chair) • 9 models • Addresses HABs, dead zone, & Cladophora • We could not have set these targets without Rick Stumpf’s model!! OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Targets to Solve Lake Erie Problems (based on multiple models) • HABs: 40% spring TP and DRP load reduction • Maumee Load: 860 TP and 186 DRP • Maumee FWMC: TP = 0.23 mg/l, DRP = 0.05 mg/l • Dead Zone: 40% annual TP load reduction • Cladophora: Not enough information to set target OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY - Ann. discharge = 8.0 billion m3 - Spring discharge = 3.4 billion m3 - Ann. P load = 3,800 tonnes - Spring P load = 1,400 tonnes - Ann. discharge = 6.2 billion m3 - Spring discharge = 5.0 billion m3 - Ann. P load = 3,100 tonnes - Spring P load = 2,300 tonnes - Ann. discharge = 6.1 billion m3 - Spring discharge = 1.0 billion m3 - Ann. P load = 2,500 tonnes - Spring P load = 400 tonnes OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Ohio Sea Grant and HABs • Since 1990: 62 research projects • Currently coordinating 23 projects for Ohio Dept of Higher Education and OSU and seeking proposals for more projects • All of the research projects are available to review on our website: www.ohioseagrant.osu.edu • Renovated Stone Lab water quality lab • Currently doing water testing for 5-7 coastal communities and emergency tests for OEPA OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Sea Grant Outreach Activities • 30,000 visitors annually to Ohio Sea Grant’s Stone Lab • Hosting NOAA HAB Forecast annually since 2012 • Media Coverage • Over 400 articles in different publications/venues in 2012 & 2013 and over 500 in 2014 • Sea Grant Annual Workshops at Stone Lab for water treatment plant operators (initiated in 2010) and Rick Stumpf added to teaching team in 2011. • 200+ Field trips, conferences and workshops annually • Twine Line Articles • Personal speaking engagements • Over 50 in 2013 and 75 in 2014 OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Workshops • Algal iden`fica`on • NOAA Science Literacy • Dealing with Cyanobacteria, Algal Toxins and Taste and Odor Compounds • Outdoor Photography • Lake Erie Sport Fishing • Fish-­‐Sampling Techniques OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Ohio HAB Related Human Illnesses and Animal Deaths • 2010: • 2011: • 2012: • 2013: • 2014: • 2015: 49 human illnesses, 12 animal deaths 3 human illnesses, 2 animal deaths 0 0 0 1 human illness OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY HAB Impacts • Toledo Water Crisis of 2014 • Tourism: $40+ billion industry in Ohio’s 88 counties • 8 counties that boarder Lake Erie: $12.9 billion and 119,500 jobs • Charter captains: 20-25% reduction in business • Head boat customers down 17-25% OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Ideas for Cities and Individuals • Sewage treatment plants—GLWQA target 0.5 mg/l of P • Reduce CSO’s • Stormwater management • Reduce consumption and runoff—Low-flow toilets and shower heads, rain barrels and rain gardens • No P in lawn fertilizers • Septic tanks • Cleaners and detergents—Low P and use recommended amount • Climate change—Warmer and more frequent storms • Solar panels, solar thermal, reduce power consumption OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY How Can You Help? • Support and help develop policies to reach target reductions • Help society evaluate and understand policies • Should we be using 35-40% of corn for ethanol? • How relevant is feeding 9 billion people in 2050 vs stopping excessive nutrient loading now? • Can voluntary approaches work? • Role of climate change on this issue OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY For more information: Dr. Jeff Reutter, Special Advisor Ohio Sea Grant and Stone Lab Ohio State Univ. 1314 Kinnear Rd. Col, OH 43212 614-292-8949 Reutter.1@osu.edu ohioseagrant.osu.edu Stone Laboratory Ohio State Univ. Box 119 Put-in-Bay, OH 43456 614-247-6500