Commercial Diplomacy Programme & TrainForTrade NEGOTIATIONS ON SERVICES General Features: Trade in Services Importance of Services in the Global Economy : Technological advances have served to change the provision of services as well as the perception of the services sector as a whole Growing importance of services for economic growth: Chart 1: Services as percentage of GDP. Economic Importance of Services Mayor contributor to GDP and employment in all developing countries, approximating indicators of developed countries 50-70 per cent of GDP 60-80 per cent of employment Importance of assessing the structure and dynamic of services in developing countries: - growth of traditional activities (retail, restaurants, repair shops, tourism, personal services) - growth of the “informal economy” - weight of government tends to overestimate economic significance. (Brazil 16% GDP) Services as percentage of GDP. % of GDP services as percentage of GDP in 2000 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 G 32.4 29.8 29 32 35.7 32 29 20 64.3 68 70.9 80 66.8 67.6 70.2 71 68 33.2 m er y an U K C a d a an M o ix c e services C a ih n B il z ra n a p Ja industry and agriculture Fr e c an A U S Growing importance of services for employment Key services industries The provision of services such as insurance, information technology, accountancy and research has an impact on economic competitiveness through interaction with industrial activities and other services. Increasing Importance of International Trade in Services Growing importance of services for employment 68 71 75 Fr an industry and agriculture US A 53 ce 25 pa a Ch in M ex services 27 29 Ja 56 32 n 73 47 il 74 ico 74 44 Br az 26 da m an y 64 26 Ca na 36 UK 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Ge r % of total employment employment in services. 2000 estimates Increasing Importance of International Trade in Services growth in international trade in services by region. 1990-2001 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% Western Europe Africa 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% North America Latin America Asia Increasing Contribution of Services to World Trade % of GDP services as a proportion of world trade in 1980 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 59 42 39 41 27 25 37 36 25 16 16 4 services manufactures low income industry middle income agriculture high income Leading Services Traders: A Comparison of Developed, Developing & Transitional Economies leading service traders in 2001 3.70% 24.10% 72.10% market economy countries Eastern Europe countries developing countries Leading Service Exporters. A comparison of various countries leading service exporters in 2001. in percentage of world export of services 18.1 2 ap ur 1.8 Si ng re a a hi n C g Ko n on g H 2.3 C ly Ja 2.9 Ko 3.9 Ita pa n y 4.4 hi na 5.5 m an ce 5.5 Fr an K U U SA 7.4 G er 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Leading Service Importers leading service importers in 2001. in percentage of world imports of services 13 9.2 6.3 Ch Ko n Ho ng 1.6 ia ina 1.7 g Ko re a 2.3 In d 2.7 a ly 3.9 Ita ce Fr an UK n pa Ja Ge r m an y 4.3 Ch in 7.4 US A 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Structure of Service Exports Shift towards Telecommunications, Computing Services and Information structure of service exports in 1980 % of total 50 40 30 35 29 34 39 36 33 30 30 24 20 10 2 5 3 0 transport travel low income communication, computer information etc. middle income insurance and financial services high income Structure of Service Exports structure of service exports in 2000 44.5 % of total 50 40 30 20 32.6 23.823.2 18.8 29.7 46 41.6 29.8 10 2.6 2 5.5 0 transport travel low income communication, computer information etc. middle income insurance and financial services high income Role of Services in Trade and Development Basic economic infrastructure required for systemic competitiveness, and overall welfare. [education, health, energy, sanitation, transport, telecom, financial services] “Producer services” content in goods, and in other services increasingly generate a higher proportion of value added: externalisation of supply as a source of sectoral dynamism and specialization, services efficiency a source of competitiveness Logistic chains as a source of overall trade competitiveness: [ports, airports, transport services, telecom, information services, distribution networks] Trade of integrated packages of goods and services (high technology products) every day more important. Services are increasingly tradable in themselves: Key Analytical Questions Are services performing adequately their role in trade and development? - national assessment of services and trade in services What strategies and policies should be implemented to enhance services contribution to trade and development? - definition of national and sectoral development policies What role could international agreements, multilateral, regional and bilateral, play in supporting national developmental policies in the services sector? - definition of negotiating strategies and positions on the basis of national developmental policies safeguarding required policy spaces. National Assessment of Services Statistical requirements: National Accounts and Balance of Payments. Sectoral Analysis of domestic supply, market dynamism, trade, competitiveness, and regulatory framework Participation of stakeholders in assessment National Developmental Policies Policy options are within a continuum ranging from protection, through “infant industry promotion” (active public policies) to full liberalization (market reliance). There is no “one size fits all” policy. It has to be defined by sector in the light of developmental, social and cultural objectives National policies and objectives are expressed through the regulatory framework and by established limitations to market access and national treatment