សសសសសសសសសសសសស Royal University of Phnom Penh សសសសសសសសសសសសសស Woodfuel supply and demand, and carbon credit to avoid deforestation in Phnom Chumriey area, Kampong Chhnang province, Cambodia By: Ngov Veng CHHENG Research student Department of Environmental Science Outline 1. Introduction 2. Methodology 3. Result and discussion 4. Conclusion 5. Acknowledgements 2 សសសសសសសសសសសសស Royal University of Phnom Penh សសសសសសសសសសសសសស Introduction 1. Greenhouse gas (GHGs) effect 2. Source of GHG emissions in the globe and Cambodia 3. Woodfuel consumption status in developing countries and Cambodia 4. Actions to reduce CO2 5. Problem statement and Objective 1. Introduction 4 Source of GHG emissions Forestry is 2nd GHG emitter in the globe. LUCF is main GHG emitter in Cambodia. 5 Important of forestry to climate “Climate change cannot be won without the world’s forests….” —Ban Ki-moon, 2008 “Forestry can make a very significant contribution to a low-cost global mitigation…” —IPCC, 2007 “Given the scale of emissions from deforestation, any climate change deal that does not fully integrate forestry will fail to meet the necessary targets.” — Nicholas Stern, 2008 6 Woodfuel consumption in Developing countries 2.6 billion (2015) 2.7 billion (2030) 7 Woodfuel consumption in Cambodia Woodfuel remain a vital energy for Cambodians, especially rural people. Sustainability of woodfuel has not known yet (Top et al., 2006) while 50% of woodfuel they consumed 8 is harvested from natural forest (CCCO, 2006, 2003, & 2001). Actions to reduce CO2 1992 1997 2007 • UNFCCC was set up • Kyoto protocol was adopted and CDM also included • COP 13 Bali Road map strongly agree REDD proposal for post 2012 climate mechanism • COP 15 Copenhagen (Dec,2009), REDD expect to be adopted. 9 Problem statement If sustainable 50 % of woodfuel is harvested from natural forest Need to Assess sustainability But, if UNSUSTAINABLE Fine, go! 1. Woodfuel shortage 2. Deforestation 3. GHG emissions Use WISDOM to assess 10 Research Objectives 1. Assess woodfuel supply and demand whether consumption of woodfuel cause deforestation or not 2. Estimate CO2 emissions from non- sustainable woodfuel consumption 3. Estimate carbon credits to avoid deforestation 11 សសសសសសសសសសសសស Royal University of Phnom Penh សសសសសសសសសសសសសស Methodology 1. Study area 2. Woodfuel Integrated Supply/Demand Overview Mapping (WISDOM) 3. Estimation of CO2 emission from un-sustainable woodfuel consumption Study area This study site is in Kampong Chhnang and Kampong Speu provinces. 13 WISDOM approach Source: FAO 2003 14 Development of Demand module 15 Type of wood consumption Firewood (Stere wood) Charcoal making Pole collection Palm sugar making Woodfuel for Cooking 16 Development of Demand module 17 Socio-economic profile in PCA • Above 54 % (are around 11,819 households) of total household in this area are wood based activities • People cut wood in dry season, March is productive month of collection. • There are 122 villages in 19 commune in PCA. 18 Development of Demand module • Seeds tool for participants estimate wood consumption • Simple questions: most productive month, number of cycles of collection, carrying capacity of the transport mean & seasonality of wood collection. • Draw zone of collection 19 Development of Supply module • Forest inventory for Aboveground biomass (AGB); AGB = VOB x WD x BEF • Increment: y= 2.3Ln(AGB)- 7.79 (Top et al., 2004) • Woodfuel supply= Increment x forest area 20 Forest cover and plot location 21 Development of Integration module • Balance = Supply-Demand Identifitying priority area • Select high balance or highly unsustainable as priority areas 22 សសសសសសសសសសសសស Royal University of Phnom Penh សសសសសសសសសសសសសស Result 1. Woodfuel consumption 2. Forest increment, woodfuel productivity 3. Balancing the supply and demand 4. Identifying priority area 5. Amount of CO2 emission from un-sustainable woodfuel consumption 6. Carbon credits to avoid deforestation in PCA Woodfuel consumption by HH 70 Tonne/HH/year 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Group Discussion "Test" Group Group Group Generalization Discussion "1" Discussion "2" Discussion "3" of "WD" SW CH PS Firewood=14T/HH/yr; Charcoal=17 T/HH/yr; Palm Sugar maker= 37 T/HH/y Generalize these values to all village in Phnom Chumriey Area (PCA). 24 Woodfuel consumption by commune (T/ha/yr) 25 Forest increment Average forest increment is 3.21 T/ha/yr 26 Balancing the Supply and Demand 27 Identifying priority area Communes Balance (T/ha/yr) Sustainability status Svay -6.31 high unsustainable Peani -5.56 high unsustainable Tbaeng Khpos -3.98 high unsustainable Monourom -3.28 high unsustainable Veal Pon -2.95 medium unsustainable Khnar Chhmar -2.46 medium unsustainable Thlok Vien -2.23 medium unsustainable Thma Edth -1.58 medium unsustainable Peam -1.14 medium unsustainable Sedthei -0.57 low unsustainable 28 Identify priority area (Con’t) Commune Balance level Sustainability status Veal Pung -0.40 low unsustainable Rung Roeang -0.36 low unsustainable Preah Srea -0.16 low unsustainable Svay Chuk -0.07 low unsustainable Chhean Laeung 0.10 low unsustainable Krang Lvea 0.35 low unsustainable Prambei Mom 1.04 low sustainable Tuol Khpos 1.22 low sustainable Kbal Teuk 1.53 low sustainable Total -26.82 high unsustainable 29 CO2 emission from non-sustainable woodfuel consumption Commune CO2 emission (2009) (T) CO2 emission (20102014) Peani 21666.44 110382.67 Thma Eth 9760 49842.61 Chhean Leurng -5499.37 5193.47 Khnar Chhmar 12481.19 62405.96 Krang Lvea -26647.33 3329.23 Peam 14681.29 112768.88 Seithei 4183.47 27628.25 Svay 45245.92 226622.87 Svay Chuk 4642.07 14508.039 Thbeng Khpos 48554.35 260066.32 Thlork Vien 14391.03 83318.93 Kbal Teuk 85559.39 -325249.96 30 Carbon credit to avoid deforestation Commune CO2 emission in 2009 CO2 emission in 2010-2014 Toul Khpos -37559.86 142770.62 Preah Srea 997.85 4989.27 Veal Pung 3850.15 19373.70 Monorom 13637.81 68189.05 Prambei Mom -38131.37 121176.54 Rung Reurng 2111.72 13861.71 Veal Pon 16884.19 84933.37 Total 208445.46 1149224.16 Opportunity cost for allowing this CO2 emit are $4.5 millions from 2010-2014. 31 សសសសសសសសសសសសស Royal University of Phnom Penh សសសសសសសសសសសសសស Conclusion 1. Woodfuel supply and demand 2. Balancing the supply and demand 3. Identifying priority area 4. Amount of CO2 emission from un-sustainable woodfuel consumption 5. Carbon credits to avoid deforestation in PCA Wood S/D, integration • Per-HH average wood consumption FW=14T/yr; CH=17 T/yr; PS= 37 T/y. Generalized these values for PCA wood demand. • Average increment of 3.21 T/ha/yr and wood supply • 14 out of 19 communes have already consume wood on non-sustainable basis • CO2 emission: 208,445 T (2009); 1,149,224 T of CO2 (2010-2014) 33 Opportunity cost of carbon credit • About 4,596,896 dollars should be paid from 2010-2014 to keep forest stand. • More study needed especially on demand increment. • Policy maker or energy program developers should address woodfuel imbalance before promoting woodfuel as an alternative energy. 34 Acknowledgements 35