Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning: Critical Loads Component September 26, 2012 Workshop Claire O’Dea (USFS) and Cindy Huber (NADP) Logistics 2 3 1 1. Handouts can be downloaded using the “threedocument” icon in the upper right corner of your Live Meeting screen 2. For technical difficulties, select the “Attendees” button from the top of your Live Meeting screen and double click on Cindy Huber’s name. Send her a chat describing your difficulties. 3. Select the “Q&A” button from the top of your Live Meeting screen to open the Q&A dialog box… 1 2 1. Type in your question and press enter, OR 2. Click the hand in the upper right corner of the Q&A dialog box to virtually raise your hand and we will call on you during discussion 3. If the full slide is not showing up on your screen (you have to scroll up/down or side/side), use the “Full-Screen Mode” icon in the lower right part of the Live Meeting screen; [ESC] takes you out of mode 3 Ann Acheson and Rich Pouyat Critical Loads Data Flow 12 Federal Agencies, 68 Educational Institutions, 45 State Agencies, 9 Native American Tribes National Atmospheric Deposition Program (NADP) 9 Industries, 10 Other Research Groups, 4 International Groups Critical Loads of Atmospheric Deposition Science Committee (CLAD) EPA Focal Center Utility Study (FOCUS) NPS FS Research and Air Program United Nations Economic Commission for Europe – Coordinating Center on Effects (UNECE-CCE) National Forest use for Forest Planning For use in reporting & regulatory assessments For use in land management planning Workshop Agenda 12:00 – 12:30 Welcome and introduction 12:30 – 1:00 Overview of available data 1:00 – 1:45 Review CLs strategy flowchart 1:45 – 2:15 Break 2:15 – 3:00 Portal products discussion 3:00 – 3:30 Regional efforts discussion 3:30 – 4:00 Final Q&A *Times listed are Eastern Daylight Time ROLL CALL Review Pre-work Documents • Framework for Forest Service Critical Load Development to Support the Forest Planning Process • Critical Loads Implementation Strategy for Forest Planning • Products List: Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning Background Readings Pardo, L.H. 2010. Approaches for Estimating Critical Loads of Nitrogen and Sulfur Deposition for Forest Ecosystems on US Federal Lands. Northern Research Station General Technical Report NRS-71. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/gtr/gtr_nrs71.pdf Pardo, L.H. et al. 2011 Effect of nitrogen deposition and empirical nitrogen critical loads for ecoregions of the United States. Ecological Applications 21(8): 3049-3082. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/jrnl/2011/nrs_2011_pardo_001.pdf OR Pardo, L.H, M.J. Robin-Abbott, C.T. Driscoll, editors. 2010. Assessment of Nitrogen Deposition effects and Empirical Critical Loads of Nitrogen for Ecoregions of the United States. Northern Forest Research Station General Technical Report NRS-80. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/38109 Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning • Goal 1: The portal will eventually guide specialists through the entire air assessment process for Forest Plan Revision – Developing the critical loads component of the portal is Phase I – Data and some documents available by Nov/Dec to support early adopter Forests – Training tools and remaining documents available next spring • Goal 2: This will be a “living portal” – There will be a process in place to update/revise information as refinements and improvements are made – These improvements are only possible with your help Forest Plan Revision Process • Forests will rely on Air Program to perform air assessment and draft specialist report for Forest Plan Revision • Air Specialists will rely on the “Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning” http://www.fs.fed.us/biology/air/index.html • Questions from Air Specialists directed to Deposition FARM Team Questions? • Workshop will become increasingly technical • Opportunity to ask high-level questions about project scope and vision • Additional questions can be directed to: Claire O’Dea: cbodea@fs.fed.us Workshop Agenda 12:00 – 12:30 Welcome and introduction 12:30 – 1:00 Overview of available data 1:00 – 1:45 Review CLs strategy flowchart 1:45 – 2:15 Break 2:15 – 3:00 Portal products discussion 3:00 – 3:30 Regional efforts discussion 3:30 – 4:00 Final Q&A *Times listed are Eastern Daylight Time What is a “Critical Load”? Critical Loads Critical load: “The quantitative estimate of an exposure to one or more pollutants below which significant harmful effects on specified sensitive elements of the environment do not occur according to present knowledge.” (Nilsson and Grennfelt 1988) Critical loads can be developed for any pollutant. Forest health decline Chronic acidification Episodic acidification Change in plant communities Changes in soil chemistry Load (kg/ha/yr) Critical loads are defined for specific indicators and effects. Effect to specific resource critical load no harmful effect harmful effect Load (kg/ha/yr) Approaches to developing CLs • Steady-state mass balance models • Empirical data from: 1) Spatial and temporal gradients of deposition to assess thresholds for ecosystem response, or 2) Experimental manipulations of deposition loading and associated ecosystem effects Data “sideboards” • Use existing data, no new data collection • Use published Critical Loads • Utilize CLAD database developed by FOCUS • Coordinate with partners Available Critical Loads Data • CLAD Critical Load Database includes: – Surface Water CLs of Acidity • SSWC model used to calculate CLs • Provides CLs for points with water chemistry measurements – Terrestrial CLs of Acidity (McNulty) • SMB equation used to calculate CL • Estimated for 1 km2 grid across forested lands in the lower 48 states – Empirical CLs for Nitrogen • From Pardo et al. for Fungi, Herbaceous Vegetation, Forests, Nitrate Leaching • Lichen CLs developed by Linda Geiser • Mapped at 4 km2 grid – Site and Environmental Information National Critical Load Database Site and Environmental Information Values = 619,905 Modeled Critical Loads Surface Water Acidification Soil Acidification Nutrient N CLs = 254,581 Empirical Critical Load for Nitrogen CLs = 365,054 • Steady-States CLs for N+S • 9,500+ Locations • Multiple Approaches (SSWC, MAGIC, FAB) • Steady-States CLs for N+S • 9,500+ Locations • Multiple Approaches (SSWC, MAGIC, FAB) •Steady–state CLs for N+S •Multiple Approaches •SMB (McNulty et al. 2007) •SMB(Pardo, Personal Communication) • Linda Pardo et al. 2011 - Fungi, Lichens, Herbaceous, Forests • Linda Geiser et al. 2010 - Lichens Available Deposition Data • Community Multi-Scale Atmospheric Model (CMAQ) provides wet, dry, and total S and N deposition estimates. – CMAQ 2002 (EPA recommends using this deposition) • • • • Provides gridded estimates (36 km2 west, 12 km2 east) Bias corrected Precipitation corrected (using PRISM) For CA only: Fenn re-sampled to 4 km2 – CMAQ 2006 • Provides gridded estimates (12 km2) • Not bias corrected • NADP – Wet deposition only – Gridded extrapolation using PRISM precipitation Deposition Data (Expected improvements) • NADP Total Deposition Science Committee – Preparing a new total deposition product which FS can use in future, will preview at upcoming NADP meeting • New CMAQ (2006) deposition estimates – Expected in January/February – 12 km2 across nation – Bias and PRISM corrected Regional Data • Where regional or local efforts have been made to improve critical loads and deposition, use this information. • We will review what is available later in the workshop. Workshop Agenda 12:00 – 12:30 Welcome and introduction 12:30 – 1:00 Overview of available data 1:00 – 1:45 Review CLs strategy flowchart 1:45 – 2:15 Break 2:15 – 3:00 Portal products discussion 3:00 – 3:30 Regional efforts discussion 3:30 – 4:00 Final Q&A *Times listed are Eastern Daylight Time Rationale behind the strategy • Use best estimates available across landscapes to provide information for all users. • Allow for incorporation of regional and local information that may have greater certainty in predictions. • Realize that the reliability and certainty of CL and deposition estimates is variable and take this into consideration in the assessment process. Critical Load Exceedance • CLs Exceedance will be used to identify areas at greatest risk of damage from air pollution. • Exceedance = Deposition – Critical Load + value (Dep > CL) indicates harm is likely occurring, or will occur in the future - value (Dep < CL) indicates it is less likely harm is occurring Some CLs were created for national or regional scale “risk” assessment. These will be used to determine: • Whether there is likely to be a CL exceedance, and • Where additional data should be collected to verify/validate initial predictions. Some CLs were developed with extensive site specific data. • Nitrogen CLs and exceedance based on lichen communities in Western OR and WA • Can be used to develop Target Loads. DRAFT: Forest Service Air Program Critical Loads Implementation Strategy for Forest Planning Introduction A critical load (CL) is the level of atmospheric deposition below which no detrimental ecological effects occur over the long term, based on current scientific knowledge. The Critical Loads section of the Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning hosts information for the following critical loads data sets: 1) nationwide CLs of acidity for surface waters, 2) nationwide terrestrial CLs of acidity for forested ecosystems, 3) nationwide empirical CLs of nutrient nitrogen for several ecosystem receptors and responses (fungi, lichens, herbaceous vegetation, trees, nitrate leaching), and 4) a variety of regional CLs datasets. Information for Alaska is not available for the terrestrial CLs of acidity for forested ecosystems. The critical loads included in this strategy are thresholds for sulfur and nitrogen deposition. The Forest Service intends to eventually incorporate critical levels for mercury and ozone deposition into this assessment process. The portal also hosts information on atmospheric deposition. Nitrogen and sulfur deposition occur as wet deposition (rain and snow), dry deposition (gases and particles), and occult deposition (cloud and fog). Deposition information is measured and modeled from a variety of sources. The portal provides the 2002 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeled deposition data layer to maintain nationwide consistency, and relies on this data for CL exceedance calculations. We are working to obtain more accurate levels of nitrogen and sulfur deposition at finer spatial resolution, and recommend the use of more current regional deposition data sets, if available and appropriate for this purpose. All deposition datasets must reflect total deposition (wet and dry) for both nitrogen and sulfur. The CLs and deposition data are used together to determine areas of CL exceedance. Examining CL exceedance is a “risk assessment” to evaluate the risk of sulfur and/or nitrogen deposition causing harm to the resource/ecosystem of concern. Exceedance is calculated as: Exceedance = Deposition – Critical Load. If deposition equals or exceeds the critical load, the pollutant is likely causing harm to the ecosystem, or will cause harm in the future. If deposition is below the critical load, it is unlikely that harm is occurring. In other words, deposition must be below the CL in order to protect the ecosystem. Exceedance calculations based on the 2002 CMAQ deposition data are provided on the portal for the three nationwide CL assessments described above. The following strategy outlines the process, or steps, for incorporating the concept of critical load exceedance into the air quality assessments for Forest Plan Revisions. Refer to the Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning for the supporting documentation and details necessary to complete the assessment. STEP 2: Define your concern. The negative effects of atmospheric deposition occur on sites that are sensitive to acidification or nitrogen saturation/eutrophication AND have excessive amounts of deposition. Decide whether to focus on acidification or nitrogen saturation/eutrophication, or both, in the following analysis. Include all CLs that showed exceedance in Step 1. Consider the ecosystem characteristics that indicate sensitivity to deposition, as outlined in the following two boxes. Interdisciplinary discussion with ecologists, geologists, hydrologists, soil scientists, fisheries biologists, air specialists, etc. can help identify whether one, both, or neither of these CL categories might be of concern to the Forest. Results of these discussions can reduce the list of CLs you address in your analysis. (Later you will see how maps of CL exceedance can be used to identify areas at greater risk of harm from deposition.) If investigation indicates a focus on empirical CLs of nutrient nitrogen, review the “User’s Guide for setting empirical critical loads for nutrient nitrogen” (available on the Portal) for an explanation of how to refine the broad CL ranges provided for each Forest and incorporate the concept of data reliability. Proceed to Step 3 to examine the extent and severity of critical load exceedances. Does your Forest have any of the characteristics of ecosystem sensitivity? Acidity o o o o o o Is there elevated deposition of Sulfur or Nitrogen in the area? Does the lithology/geology of the area have a low buffering capacity for acidity? Does the area have shallow soils? Does the area have very old weathered soils? Is the area found at high elevation? Do you have water chemistry data that indicates low buffering capacity (i.e. ANC, pH values) Nutrient Nitrogen o o o o Is there elevated deposition of Nitrogen in the system? Did the area historically have low Nitrogen deposition? Have there been observed shifts in species composition of sensitive species in the area? Are there elevated stream water nitrate concentrations? STEP 3: Use CL exceedance to conduct a closer examination of atmospheric pollution impacts. In this step you will examine CL exceedance patterns across the Forest to better understand the extent and severity of potential impacts to resources, as well as the reliability of the CLs exceedance information. CL exceedance maps for each of the nationwide CL efforts are hosted on the portal. For each type of CL identified in Steps 1 and 2, examine the extent, severity, and reliability of the exceedances. “Extent” refers to the percent of landscape in exceedance, while “severity” refers to the amount/quantity of exceedance. For example, one Forest may exhibit exceedance in only 1% of land area while another Forest exhibits exceedance in 75% of land area (extent); and deposition in one Forest may be only slightly above the CL while deposition in another Forest may exceed the CL by a large amount. Reliability is an expression of the certainty of the CL and exceedance estimates. Understanding the extent, severity, and reliability of exceedance on your Forest can help you interpret patterns and make appropriate management recommendations. More information on these topics is available on the Portal. Spatial representation of CL exceedance information is provided on the portal for the three nationwide CLs efforts. The portal also hosts important Forest Service boundaries including National Forest, Class I Area, Wilderness Area, 6th level HUC, and Land Type Association, so that exceedance information can be examined by unit for management purposes. Special attention should be given to National Forest and Class I boundaries. Before you investigate exceedance metrics, check to see whether local critical load information or improved regional estimates of deposition are available for your Forest. If you have access to more site-specific data, it is recommended that you proceed to Steps 4 and 5 where you will select the appropriate CL and deposition data before returning to this step to examine the extent, severity, and reliability of CL exceedance. Detailed instructions on assessing these CL exceedance metrics, including steps for geospatial analyses, are available on the portal. A tabular description of this analysis is shown below. TABLE ON SEPARATE SLIDE Complete this analysis and proceed to Step 6 for guidance on interpreting exceedance information. *The variable reliability rating for the empirical CLs of nutrient nitrogen (non-lichens) will be important when interpreting exceedance information and making management recommendations in Step 6. STEP 4: Review the critical loads available for the Forest. The Critical Loads section of the Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning hosts the following critical loads data sets: 1) nationwide CLs of acidity for surface waters, 2) nationwide CLs of acidity for forested ecosystems, 3) nationwide empirical CLs of nutrient nitrogen for several ecosystem receptors and responses, and 4) a variety of regional CLs datasets. Only published critical loads are used in this process. An “Available CLs Background” document will identify the types of critical loads that are available, by Region and/or Forest, with additional information on how they were calculated and instructions on how to use them appropriately. Most Forests will use the nationwide CLs because this is the best information available. Some Forests will have access to refined CLs and/or deposition data; this data should be used when available to reduce uncertainty inherent in nationwide efforts. Important Concept: The degree of uncertainty associated with the different critical loads calculations will vary with environmental variability (i.e., the high degree of variability in soils) and the method of critical load calculation (i.e., the use of site-specific data versus extrapolated/modeled data). Step 6 incorporates uncertainty into future recommendations. Go to Step 5 where you will identify the best deposition data to use in your analysis. STEP 5: Identify the appropriate deposition information to compare with critical loads. There are different sources of deposition information that can be used in CLs assessment. To understand the threat of negative effects of deposition to your Forest you must compare the CLs from Step 4 with current levels of deposition. Deposition information is measured and modeled from a variety of sources. Absent specific rationale to the contrary, we recommend using the 2002 CMAQ deposition data provided on the portal to maintain nationwide consistency. A table showing the availability of deposition data by geographic area, providing the pros and cons of each data source and describing appropriate uses is available on the portal. After the appropriate deposition has been selected for each CL data set under review, exceedance is calculated using the following equation: Exceedence = Deposition – Critical Load. Additional guidance on exceedance calculation is available on the portal. Proceed to Step 6 for guidance on interpreting exceedance information. STEP 6: Interpret the CL exceedance information. Interpretation of CL exceedance must consider the type of CL (empirical vs. modeled), the site specificity of the data used in calculating the CL, and the quality of the deposition estimates. Management recommendations will vary with the reliability or certainty of the CL exceedance estimates. For example, the CLs of acidity for surface waters provided in the portal are based on water chemistry measurements from specific sample sites and have a high level of reliability. Coupled with measured deposition information, CL exceedances for surface water allow land managers to develop target loads. Target loads represent a policy or management decision about the amount of deposition that is an acceptable level of resource protection. On the other hand, the terrestrial CLs of acidity for forested ecosystems are created from geospatially extrapolated information that is acceptable for understanding risk across the landscape, but does not have the adequate site specificity necessary to make management recommendations. Exceedance of the CLs of acidity for forested ecosystems should therefore only be used for creating a monitoring plan to gather site specific data. You should now have a list of CLs that represent Forest resources of concern, as well as information on the relationship between deposition and the CL (the CL exceedance). Your exceedance information may have changed as you refined your analyses (through investigation of exceedance metrics, empirical N CL guidance, or the use of local/regional CLs and deposition information). Review all CL exceedances applicable to the Forest: • If there is no CL exceedance on the Forest (Deposition < CL) there is very low risk that the area has any detrimental effects from S and N. o Action: Monitor NADP reports for deposition trends. If deposition is increasing, address possible need for field measurements (e.g., water chemistry) in the next planning cycle. Review the “Monitoring Strategy” and the “Next Steps” briefing paper in the Critical Loads section of the Air Quality Portal. • If CL exceedance is occurring (Deposition > CL) there is a risk that the area is experiencing detrimental effects from S and N. Implement instructions in the boxes below according to the type of CL used and review the “Next Steps” briefing paper in the Critical Loads section of the Air Quality Portal. • If you conducted a refined analysis and found that deposition is within 10% of the CL and increasing in recent years, consider implementing instructions in the boxes below according to the type of CL used and reviewing the “Next Steps” briefing paper in the Critical Loads section of the Air Quality Portal. STEP 6: Interpret the CL exceedance information. (CONTINUED) Surface Water CLs AND Reliable Empirical Nutrient N CLs (including lichen results from Mediterranean CA, PNW, Sierras) AND Appropriate Regional CL Efforts Nationwide surface water CLs and reliable empirical nutrient N CLs (as determined in Step 2) have lower associated uncertainty because they were calculated with site-specific/locally relevant data. In addition, you may have access to regional CL results based on site-specific data. Deposition > CL : CL is exceeded, ecosystem is currently impacted, or likely to be in the future. Action: IDENTIFY a TARGET LOAD to protect or restore key components of the ecosystem per FS Directives. Go to the “Target Load Strategy.” Target Load Strategy (under development) Critical Loads of Acidity for Forested Ecosystems AND Other Empirical Nutrient N CLs These CLs were developed to assess regional differences in exceedance, not for land management decision-making. They should be used to guide further monitoring and/or research experiments in areas of predicted exceedance. Deposition > CL : CL exceedance is possible. Action: Create stratified monitoring for sitespecific water chemistry, soil chemistry, and/or lichens as appropriate to refine analysis and confirm exceedance predictions. For other empirical nutrient N CLs you may want to work with FS research scientists to develop an N experiment or gradient study that will improve reliability of the CLs. Go to the “Monitoring Strategy.” Monitoring Strategy (under development) Workshop Agenda 12:00 – 12:30 Welcome and introduction 12:30 – 1:00 Overview of available data 1:00 – 1:45 Review CLs strategy flowchart 1:45 – 2:15 Break 2:15 – 3:00 Portal products discussion 3:00 – 3:30 Regional efforts discussion 3:30 – 4:00 Final Q&A *Times listed are Eastern Daylight Time Workshop Agenda 12:00 – 12:30 Welcome and introduction 12:30 – 1:00 Overview of available data 1:00 – 1:45 Review CLs strategy flowchart 1:45 – 2:15 Break 2:15 – 3:00 Portal products discussion 3:00 – 3:30 Regional efforts discussion 3:30 – 4:00 Final Q&A *Times listed are Eastern Daylight Time Introduction A critical load (CL) is the level of atmospheric deposition below which no detrimental ecological effects occur over the long term, based on current scientific knowledge. [Description of critical loads and available critical loads information] [Description of atmospheric deposition and available deposition information] [Description of critical load exceedance and available exceedance information] The following strategy outlines the process, or steps, for incorporating the concept of critical load exceedance into the air quality assessments for Forest Plan Revisions. Refer to the Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning for the supporting documentation and details necessary to complete the assessment. Associated Portal Products: • Planning Rule Directives • Briefing papers • Atmospheric deposition (N vs. S) • Critical loads (empirical v. calculated) • Critical loads strategy/flowchart STEP 1: Initial critical load exceedance screening. In this step, exceedance calculations will be used as a screening tool to identify the extent of CL analyses that Forests will need to include in Forest Plans. The Critical Loads section of the Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning hosts a “National Forest Exceedance Table” that documents critical load exceedances for each National Forest. Locate your Forest in the table to see whether any of the CLs are exceeded, and follow the instructions: • • NO CL exceedance: document this finding and no further assessment is required. Annual reports from NADP should be monitored for deposition trends. If deposition is increasing, CL exceedance should be reevaluated during the next Forest Plan revision. One or more CLs exceeded: proceed to Step 2. Associated Portal Products: • National Forest Exceedance Table (and associated development protocols) Critical Load Exceedances Surface Water CL of Acidity Terrestrial CL of Acidity NF #1 Y/N NF #2 Y/N Empirical CL for nutrient nitrogen Mycorrhizal fungi Lichens Herbaceous vegetation Trees Nitrate Leaching Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N Y/N STEP 2: Define your concern. The negative effects of atmospheric deposition occur on sites that are sensitive to acidification or excess nutrient nitrogen inputs AND have excessive amounts of deposition. Decide whether to focus on acidification or excess nutrient nitrogen, or both, in the following analysis: • • • Further investigation should be performed on the type(s) of critical loads in exceedance, identified in Step 1. Consider the ecosystem characteristics that indicate sensitivity to deposition. Interdisciplinary discussion with geologists, hydrologists, soil scientists, fisheries biologists, and air specialists can help identify whether one, both, or neither of these CL categories might be of concern to the Forest. Results of these discussions can reduce the list of CLs you address in your analysis. If investigation indicates a focus on empirical CLs of nutrient nitrogen, review the “Empirical CLs of Nutrient Nitrogen GTR User’s Guide” for an explanation of how to refine the CL ranges provided for each Forest. Associated Portal Products: • Atmospheric deposition Briefing Paper (N vs. S) • Empirical CL of nutrient nitrogen GTR User’s Guide STEP 3: Use CL exceedance to conduct a closer examination of atmospheric pollution impacts. In this step you will examine CL exceedance patterns across the Forest to better understand the extent and severity of potential impacts to resources. “Extent” refers to the percent of landscape in exceedance, while “severity” refers to the amount/quantity of exceedance. Spatial representation of CL exceedance information is provided on the portal for the three nationwide CLs efforts. The portal also hosts important Forest Service boundaries including National Forest, Class I Area, Wilderness Area, 6th level HUC, and Land Type Association, so that exceedance information can be examined by unit for management purposes. If you have access to more site-specific data, it is recommended that you proceed to Steps 4 and 5 where you will select the appropriate CL and deposition data before returning to this step to examine the extent and severity of CL exceedance. Associated Portal Products: • GIS data layers • Boundaries (NF, Class I, Wilderness, HUC12, LTA) • Exceedance maps • Aquatic CLs of acidity (point data) • Terrestrial CLs of acidity for Forested Ecosystems (1km grid) • Empirical CLs for nutrient N (lichens, mycorrhiza, herbaceous vegetation, trees) • Protocol for exceedance map examination (exceedance metrics) STEP 4: Review the critical loads available for the Forest. The Critical Loads section of the Air Quality Portal for Forest Planning hosts the following critical loads data sets: 1) nationwide CLs of acidity for surface waters, 2) nationwide CLs of acidity for forested ecosystems, 3) nationwide CLs of nutrient nitrogen for several ecosystem receptors, and 4) a variety of regional CLs datasets. Only published critical loads are used in this process. An “Available CLs Background” document will identify the types of critical loads that are available, by Region and/or Forest, with additional information on how they were calculated and instructions on how to use them appropriately. Most Forests will use the nationwide CLs because this is the best information available. Some Forests will have access to more site- specific data; this data should be used when available to reduce uncertainty inherent in nationwide efforts. Associated Portal Products: • Available CLs Background (information on the types of critical loads available and how they were calculated/instructions on how to use them appropriately) • CL maps GIS data layers • Aquatic CLs of acidity • Terrestrial CLs of acidity for Forested Ecosystems (1km grid) • Empirical CLs for nutrient N (lichens, mycorrhiza, herbaceous vegetation, trees) • Regional data (if provided to WO) STEP 5: Identify the appropriate deposition information to compare with critical loads. There are different sources of deposition information that can be used in CLs assessment. To understand the threat of negative effects of deposition to your Forest you must compare the CLs from Step 4 with current levels of deposition. Deposition information is collected and modeled from a variety of sources. Absent specific rationale to the contrary, we recommend using the 2006 CMAQ deposition data provided on the portal to maintain nationwide consistency. A table showing the availability of deposition data by geographic area, providing the pros and cons of each data source and describing appropriate uses is available on the portal. After the appropriate deposition has been selected for each CL data set under review, exceedance is calculated using the following equation: Exceedence = Deposition – Critical Load. Additional guidance on exceedance calculation is available on the portal. Associated Portal Products: • Deposition maps GIS data layers • 2002 CMAQ • NADP site locations • Regional data (if provided to WO) • Instructions/protocol for calculating CL exceedance STEP 6: Interpret the CL exceedance information. Management recommendations will vary with the reliability or certainty of the CL exceedance estimates. Review all CL exceedances applicable to the Forest: • If there is no CL exceedance on the Forest (Deposition < CL) there is very low risk that the area has any detrimental effects from S and N. • Action: Monitor NADP reports for deposition trends. If deposition is increasing, address possible need for field measurements (e.g., water chemistry) in the next planning cycle. Review the “Monitoring Strategy” and the “Next Steps” briefing paper in the Air Quality Portal. • If CL exceedance is occurring (Deposition > CL) there is a risk that the area is experiencing detrimental effects from S and N. Implement instructions according to the type of CL used and review the “Next Steps” briefing paper in the Air Quality Portal. • If you conducted a refined analysis and found that deposition is within 10% of the CL and increasing in recent years, consider implementing instructions according to the type of CL used and reviewing the “Next Steps” briefing paper in the Air Quality Portal. Associated Portal Products: • • • • Target loads strategy Monitoring strategy Multiple CLs exceeded guidance Briefing paper on next steps (improve data reliability through monitoring or calculate TLs and determine management implications) STEP 6: Interpret the CL exceedance information. Interpretation of CL exceedance must consider the type of CL, the site specificity of the data used in calculating the CL, and the quality of the deposition estimates. Management recommendations will vary with the reliability or certainty of the CL exceedance estimates. Possible Management Recommendations: • No biomass removal in areas of high sensitivity to acidification (GWNF) • Additional soils data and assessment in areas sensitive to acidification (Monongahela NF) • Liming to restore acidified streams (Jefferson NF) • We need more site specific information where risk is high but data is insufficient – what monitoring should be recommended in the Forest Plan? (Monitoring strategy document) Additional Supporting Materials: • • • • • References (include references for mercury and ozone) Sample specialist report(s) on critical loads for forest planning Air Specialists Contact list FAQs (if appropriate) Training materials Portal Products Summary • Questions or suggestions? • Volunteers to create/review documents: – Briefing papers – Target loads strategy – Sample specialist report for Forest Plan – Training materials Workshop Agenda 12:00 – 12:30 Welcome and introduction 12:30 – 1:00 Overview of available data 1:00 – 1:45 Review CLs strategy flowchart 1:45 – 2:15 Break 2:15 – 3:00 Portal products discussion 3:00 – 3:30 Regional efforts discussion 3:30 – 4:00 Final Q&A *Times listed are Eastern Daylight Time Regional CL Data - East • Southern Appalachians • Surface Water CLs of Acidity extrapolated across landscape (Hessburg et al.) • Northeastern US • Terrestrial CLs of Acidity for New England (NEG-ECP Forest Mapping Working Group) • Terrestrial CL of Acidity for New York (Miller) • Aquatic CL of Acidity for NE and NY (Miller) Regional CL Data - West • California • Empirical CLs of Nitrogen (vegetation) specific to California (Fenn et al. 2008 and 2011, Jovan 2008, Rao et al. 2010) • CLs of Nitrogen for lakes in Sierra Nevada (Baron et al. 2011) • Western OR and WA • Lichen community based CLs developed by Geiser et al. • Mapped on a 2 km2 grid • Rocky Mountains • CLs of Nitrogen for lakes in Rocky Mountains (Baron et al. 2011) • CLs of Nitrogen for alpine vegetation (Bowman et al. 2012) Incorporating Regional and Local Efforts • Regional “round robin” to learn about additional efforts • Regions requested to provide additional information for inclusion in the Portal in tabular or GIS format • Schedule discussions with Regions if needed Workshop Agenda 12:00 – 12:30 Welcome and introduction 12:30 – 1:00 Overview of available data 1:00 – 1:45 Review CLs strategy flowchart 1:45 – 2:15 Break 2:15 – 3:00 Portal products discussion 3:00 – 3:30 Regional efforts discussion 3:30 – 4:00 Final Q&A *Times listed are Eastern Daylight Time “Living Portal” Concept • Phased portal implementation • Information (data/maps) will improve over time with input from Regions and CLAD • Continuous call for information, suggestions/ feedback, sample Forest Plan language The portal will only be as good as the feedback we receive! Please give us your feedback! QUESTIONS? SUGGESTIONS? Additional questions can be directed to Claire O’Dea: cbodea@fs.fed.us