Decentralized Energy Decentralized Energy View the film of this Living Energy interview. Jacob Østergaard: From Smart Grids to Smart Energy The rise of decentralized energy is shaping the future of ­energy markets worldwide. What does that mean for ­technological innovation – and for business? Danish Professor Jacob Østergaard has answers for both questions. Text: Marc Engelhardt Photos: Kennet Islandi Havgaard 8 Living Energy · No. 11 | November 2014 Living Energy · No. 11 | November 2014 9 Decentralized Energy Decentralized Energy Will decentralized energy even­ tually be able to ensure system ­stability on its own? J. Østergaard: One example is the 50-hertz frequency in the grid that reflects the immediate balance of the system. Today, the large power plants monitor the frequency and ­adjust their generation in accordance. Smaller decentralized plants are able to do that quite fast and flexibly today. My team and I are working on technology that, instead of increasing the power generated when the frequency runs high, would decrease the demand by shutting it down locally. We have been investigating the thermostatic demand, like cooling and refrigeration processes. Shutting a freezer down for three minutes will not ­impact its energy service. So ideally, the control of demand will take over services that, for now, are provided by the central plants. And the business case for this is very good. The initial investment in the technology we developed would typically be recuperated within one-­and-a-half to two years. P rof. Østergaard, is decentralized energy already transforming the energy ­system – and if so, how? Jacob Østergaard: It definitely is. New stakeholders have already moved in; take the owners of wind turbines and photovoltaic units, for instance. In Denmark, one third of the ­capacity of traditional power plants has been shut down, and we expect more to follow in the upcoming years. This represents a trend we see in many places around the world. For the electricity system, that means many changes: We have more and more generation in the distribution grid, which changes the operation of the grid and the control of the whole system. So should conventional players be afraid of these changes? J. Østergaard: If I were the owner of a conventional power plant, I’d ­definitely look at how the rise of ­decentralized energy will affect my business. I think there remains an important role for centralized generation though, as well as for decentralized conventional units. If we want to maintain a stable grid with high reliability, we need a source of power when there is neither wind nor sun. The large power plants play a very important role in that context. Also, they supply a lot of system services that are needed to maintain the stability of the grid. But the properties of the plants have to change: They must become more flexible and be able to power up very fast, and probably they will have less operating hours compared to today. 10 Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 There is a huge need for automation solutions and communications-based solutions to manage all the decentralized energy units. We have talked a lot about the new electricity age that is rising at the moment – but does decentralized energy only apply to electricity? J. Østergaard: Absolutely not. We are already discussing a transformation from smart grids, which combine communication and energy supply, to smart energy, combining different energy domains. That is a very important expansion. A lot of decentralized energy is of course connected to the electricity grid, because wind turbines and photovoltaic cells produce electricity. Smart grids help us to operate and balance the electricity system accordingly. But if we also integrate other energy domains and link them closer together, as in hybrid technologies such as power-to-gas or power-to-heat, it will help us solve many challenges we still face. District heating, cooling systems, and the gas systems provide the flexibility ­needed in the electricity system. u Who are the new players in the f­ uture you’re depicting? J. Østergaard: I can cite myself as an example. I own a 660-kilowatt wind turbine. I have a service agreement with a company for maintenance, but I do the accounting myself. I’m part of a group of more than 2,000 private owners, and we sell an energy production equivalent to seven large power plants on the market in competition with conventional providers. “If we integrate other energy domains, it will help us solve many challenges.” Jacob Østergaard Which role will social networks play in coordinating decentralized energy or providing virtual market places? J. Østergaard: You could say that the wind turbine association I’m part of is a kind of social network – not so much on the iPhones and iPads, not yet, because most of the farmers and other investors are too old-fashioned for this. But when the new generation moves in, many will use innovative IT platforms generated by IT companies and other new players as we speak. All the data in one place: The control room at DTU provides all of Denmark’s energy data in real time. Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 11 Decentralized Energy Decentralized Energy Jacob Østergaard “We are going to see more decentralized energy in the future.” Jacob Østergaard Career: •Studied Electrical Engineering at the Technical University of Denmark (DTU) •Ten years’ work in industry •2005: Return to his alma mater; founding head of the Center for Electric Power and Energy at DTU, which collaborates closely with industry on ­engineering research. Students work in interdisciplinary mixed teams of IT experts and classical engineers. Memberships and Awards: •Member of the EU’s SmartGrid councils and chairman of the PowerLabDK coordination group •Honored with the IBM Faculty Award and the AEG Foundation’s Electron prize, among others A film of this interview can be viewed online. siemens.com/living-energy/ ostergaard-interview-yt The Living Energy app with additional features can be downloaded for free from the Google Play Store and the Apple App Store. 12 Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 “We’ll see more ­solutions that already ­create a business case ­today.” How would that actually work? J. Østergaard: There is a lot of ­research into developing energy conversion technologies that can provide this kind of flexibility – and that will take some time, because today the cost and the losses of these conversion processes are quite high. But in the short run, we’ll see more solutions that already create a business case ­today. Take combined heat and power plants: You can operate these in times of low renewable energy generation. You would turn them on instead of using electrical heating, which has two effects: You reduce the demand of electricity and create extra electricity at the same time. Jacob Østergaard And how would smart energy contribute to energy storage, which is one of the key challenges we see? J. Østergaard: Again, if you have a district heating system, you can use that as a storage medium. And there are quite considerable storage capacities in these heating systems. The gas system has huge potential for storage: In the Danish gas system alone, you could store the equivalent of three months’ worth of demand. So if you can link gas and electricity, then you can solve the storage problem once and for all. And which storage solutions do you envisage in the short run? J. Østergaard: There is definitely a need to reduce cost for dedicated storage solutions, and to use flexible demand to reduce consumption. ­Electric vehicles, for instance, have quite some capacity for storing – the battery can be used to balance the electricity system when the car is ­stationary. All this means that machines will have to talk to the grid and vice versa – do you see an internet of things developing? J. Østergaard: It fits with the development; the optimization of a system requires automation. You might set your personal preferences. For instance, if you have an electric car, you will want to make sure that it’s at u Decentralized Energy Decentralized Energy Bornholm, a Real-Life Laboratory 24,000 consumers on the Danish island of Bornholm are part of PowerThat’s expensive. But if instead you add intelligent control units for the devices, for the decentralized units as well as demand, you can operate the units according to the capacity of the grid – which eliminates the need for new cables and saves lots of investment. LabDK, a real-life laboratory for decentralized energy that has been ­running since 2011. Out of these, 2,000 have agreed for their houses to participate in a smart grid experiment. Various appliances, including some from Siemens, are tested under everyday conditions. The aim is to use the decentralized energy units on the island in an optimized way. From a control room at DTU, researchers follow the experiments in real time. Already, many of the solutions tested on Bornholm are being Smart grids are the backbone of a smart energy system – designing them is part of Østergaard’s work. least 80 percent charged every ­morning. But the automatic system will make sure your wish is realized in an optimal way. There are huge amounts of data involved. Where do you store them, and is it safe? J. Østergaard: I think we’ll see different solutions in the future. There are a lot of stakeholders involved, and all of them own their data, which will be stored in different places in the system. In the EcoGrid EU project that we are running on the island of ­Bornholm (see box), all information is stored locally. We send price signals from the energy market and the local grid operator to buildings and decentralized units owned by private and commercial stakeholders. That is all. And then they can decide how they want to react. They can ask someone external to optimize their data and send it back to them from a cloud, but that would be a private ­decision. It’s not necessary, so the privacy of the data is ensured. 14 Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 You’re a ­researcher, but you ­cooperate closely with the corporate sector. Which business cases do you see in decentralized ­energy? J. Østergaard: Today, the business case for decentralized energy is to a large extent set by politicians. Many core investments in these technologies are made because society wants them to stop climate change. What we are developing now are solutions that drive down the cost of these technologies so that they are more competitive on the market. We want to ­increase the value of these solutions by having them interact dynamically and provide services to the power system. That means we’ll see new business opportunities coming up. Which ones? J. Østergaard: I mentioned the ­frequency control on the demand side. If you connect the decentralized units to the grid, in conventional thinking, you would have to increase grid ­capacity, lay down more cables. Which trends do you see – is decentralized energy here to stay, or rather a short-lived phenomenon? J. Østergaard: I see a definite drive to get more renewables into the system. They have to be set up where the resources are and have to be distributed from there – so we are going to see more decentralized energy in the future. And that is a global phenomenon. In China, there are big investments in renewable energy. The same is true for Japan, after what happened in Fukushima. And even if you look at developing countries, a lot of inventions that we developed for smart grids fit perfectly with the situation in countries that have hardly any grid, and where you need insular systems that use smart grid technology and decentralized energy solutions. So decentralized energy can help developing countries to develop their energy supply? J. Østergaard: Yes, definitely. Of course you have to use robust technologies that have proven to be reliable without top engineers nursing the equipment. Robust generation based on environmentally friendly technologies, of course. And simple demand-side solutions; for instance those where you have a local controller embedded into a thermostat for a refrigerator: Even our second-year students have installed these, and you don’t have to maintain them. It’s just working. This is an example for a technology that can very easily be adapted into a scenario for a developing country. ­adopted by other countries, says Jacob Østergaard. The conditions of Bornholm as a testing site are globally unique. “It’s easy to come up with the perfect solution in your lab,” Østergaard knows. “But reality is very different.” That’s where Bornholm and its inhabitants come in to try out whether great ideas are really feasible on the ground. “What we are developing now are solutions that drive down the cost.” Jacob Østergaard If you look at your own house 20 years from now: How smart will it be in terms of decentralized ­energy use? J. Østergaard: Well, my house will have a lot of technology. It would be automated, interfaced with the markets, and receive price signals to optimize its behavior. My house would of course be connected to my smartphone. But I think others might have other wishes. There is no single truth for all of us. But my house will definitely be smart. p Marc Engelhardt reports from Geneva on the UN and international organizations for ­various media, including the Berliner Zeitung and the Deutschlandfunk. Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 15