PRICE AND COST COMPETITIVENESS EUROPEAN COMMISSION DIRECTORATE-GENERAL FOR ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL AFFAIRS ----.. UJ UJ (.) **** * * * **** * The quarterly reports on "Price and Cost Competitiveness" provide a periodic assessment by the Commission services of the price and cost competitiveness of the European Union and its Member States. Comments and enquiries should be addressed to : European Commission Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs 200, rue de Ia Loi 1049 Brussels, Belgium DATA SOURCES 1. Nominal bilateral exchange rates and deflators Exchange rate data are taken from the TXI (DGII) data base. TXI contains the official daily rates recorded at 14.15 hours. Monthly figures are calculated as the arithmetic mean of the daily rates. Quarterly and yearly data are geometric means of these monthly figures. Annual figures on the deflators (including Commission forecasts for the current year) come from the AMECO (DGII) data base. As the calculation of real effective exchange rates requires a full data set, missing data have been estimated. The annual figures have been transformed into quarterly data by applying a straight-forward spline method. 2. Weight matrices: The double export weight matrices are derived from trade matrices with domestic production for the home market on the diagonal. The source of data on bilateral exports is the DoT (IMF) data base. The source of data on domestic production (defined as GDPexports) is national accounts' data from AMECO. Table H in Part 2 of the report reproduces the most recent weight matrices used in calculating effective exchange rates. In this report the latest weight matrices available are those of 1995. COUNTRY COVERAGE 1. Competitors The report presents nominal and real effective exchange rates relative to a group of 23 industrial countries (IC23), relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) and relative to the group of countries participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism. IC23 consists of the 19 economies for which competitiveness indicators are calculated (see Introduction) plus Mexico, New Zealand, Turkey and Switzerland. 2. Markets Besides the countries considered as competitors, the following markets are distinguished: other Europe (including the Central and Eastern European Countries and the countries that used to be part of the USSR), other Asia/Oceania, other Western hemisphere, Africa, the Middle East and the rest of the World (including North Korea and Cuba). The conventions used in DoTIIFS (IMF) are followed strictly with two exceptions: (1) the industrial countries are not treated as a separate category; (2) the former East and West Germany are considered as a s:ngle entity: Germany. PRICE AND COST COMPETITIVENESS DG 11-D-4 Fourth quarter 1997 Quarterly report on the price· and cost competitiveness of the European Union and its Member States 11/224/4/97-EN This document exists in English only PRICE AND COST COMPETITIVENESS QUARTERLY REPORT- FOURTH QUARTER 1997 This report provides a periodic assessment of the price and cost competitiveness of the European Union (EUR15), the group of countries participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), the 15 EU Member States. individually, as well as 5 other industrial countries 1• It appears quarterly and consists of two parts. Part 1 offers an analysis of recent developments. The discussion is illustrated by a small number of tables and graphs. Part 2 provides more detailed information. For each country, changes in nominal and real effective exchange rates are presented in the form of tables and graphs. The nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) aims to track changes in the value of a nation's currency relative to the currencies of its principal trading partners. It is calculated as a weighted average of the bilateral exchange rates with those currencies. The real effective exchange rate (REER) aims to assess a nation's price or cost · competitiveness relative to its principal competitors2 in international markets. It corresponds to the NEER deflated by, selected relative (or 'effective') price or cost deflators. The discussion in Part .1 focuses on real rates based on unit labour costs in the manufacturing sector. Part 2 of the report presents real rates based on the consumer price index (CPI), the GDP deflator, the price deflator of exports of goods and services (PX), unit labour costs in the whole economy (ULCE), as well as unit labour costs in manufacturing (ULCM). 1987, the year of the Louvre Accord, is taken as the base period for the various indicators of price and cost competitiveness, because, the Accord marked the beginning of a period of exchange-rate stability that ended with the September 1992 ERM crisis. This does not imply that 1987 exchange rates should be treated as equilibrium rates. Part 1 of the report focuses on developments since 1987 in the European Union, the United · States and Japan. It consists of two sections. The first section describes the changes observed in the cost competitiveness of the US, Japanese and EU economies relative to 23 industrial countries. In this first section the bllateral position of the European Union relative to the United States and Japan is also examined. The second section comments on exchange rate developments within the European Union. The quarterly report is also available on the Internet. Our Web site, "http://europa.eu.int/en/commldg02r', permits the downloading of standard statistics to your PC or Macintosh. Moreover, differently defined nominal and real exchange rates are available upon request. A technical annex provides further details. In addition, the March/April 1997 issue of Supplement A of the European Economy contains a more general discussion of price and cost competitiveness indicators. Norway, Australia, Canada, Japan and the United States. 2 In this report three alternative groups of competitor countries are considered: the 23 industrial countries (IC 23), the 15 Member states of the European Union (EUR 15) and the 12 participants in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). 7 April, 1998 PRICE AND COST COMPETITIVENESS QUARTERLY REPORT- FOURTH QUARTER 1997 Table of Contents . Part 1: Analysis of developments in th.e cost competitiveness of the European Union, the United States and Japan Main conclusions ..................................................................... 1........ p. 1 I. International developments.......................................................... p. 2 United States .......... ...... .............. ..................................... ........ ... p. 3 Japan.......................................................................................... p. 5 European Union ........•................................................................. p. 8 II. Intra-Union developments ..·... ....... ... ...... ............. ................ ...... ... p. 10 Part 2: Tables and graphs by country Technical Annex doc. no 111224/4/97-EN I PART 1 ANALYSIS OF DEVELOPMENTS IN THE COST COMPETITIVENESS OF . .THE EUROPEAN UNION,. ·THE UNITED STATES AND JAPAN CCE-DG II 0-4 Ref. GUat ANALYSIS OF DEVELOPMENTS IN THE COST COMPETITIVENESS O.F THE EUROPEAN UNION, THE UNITED STATES AND JAPAN MAIN CONCLUSIONS In the fourth quarter of 1997: • The EU currencies appreciated by 3% against the US dollar and by 9% against the Japanese yen. These currency movements contributed to the 4% loss in the Union's cost competitiveness relative to 23 industrial countries. • The 2 Y2% depreciation of the Irish pound resulted in a cost competitiveness gain of about the same size. Denmark and Greece lost 1% and 1Y2% respectively in cost competitiveness following higher unit labour costs. All other movements in cost competitiveness inside the EU were smaller than 1%. · Since the fourth quarter of 1996: • The EU currencies depreciated by 1OY2% against the US dollar and by Y2% against the Japanese yen. These currency movements contributed to the 5Y2% gain in the Union's cost competitiveness relative to 23 industrial countries. • Italy, Denmark, Greece and the United Kingdom made a competitiveness loss. This was purely due to higher unit labour costs~ except for the United Kingdom, where a 15Y2% appreciation of the pound contributed to a 20Y2% loss of cost competitiveness. Since 1987- (year of the Louvre Accord): • The EU currencies depreciated by 4Y2% against the US dollar and by 17% against the Japanese yen. These currency movements contributed to the 5Y2% gain in the Union's cost competitiveness in manufacturing relative to 23 industrial countries. The same figure is obtained if unit labour costs for the whole economy are taken into account. Note on recent turbulence in Asian financial markets As not all the necessary data are available for the concerned Asian countries, they are not taken into account in the calculation of the competitiveness measures. PRICE AND COST COMPETITIVENESS QUARTERLY REPORT- FOURTH QUARTER 1997 I. INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS 1. BILATERAL EXCHANGE RATES GRAPH 1A: BILATERAL EXCHANGE RATE AGAINST THE US DOLLAR (Monthly averages since 1987) Yen/$ OM/$ 160 ~----~~--------~------~----~--~~~~--~~~- 2 140 1.8 120 1.6 \ \ . \ J1\ ~\t'l"' . 1.4 -------:---~ ~ : . : :1 ; I : \ : I I :~ Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 Source: European Commission The weakness of the yen was the highlight of exchange rate developments in the fourth quarter of 1997. On December 8, the dollar broke through the 130 yen level for the first time in five and a half years. Major collapses in the Japanese financial sector came on top of the worries about the development of Japan's real economy and about the impact of the wider Asian economic and financial tensions. In the meantime, the US economy continued to show remarkable strength. The dollar did however not continue its rise and ended the quarter at 130.1 yen (see Table 1 and Graph lB). The yen was kept relatively stable in December by the announcement of a major economic package and by interventions of the Bank of Japan. The yen lost 6.2% on a quarterly average against the dollar and 9.3% against the mark. 2 TABLE 1: EVOLUTION OF MAIN BILATERAL EXCHANGE RATES rom ore qm.rter to am -··- ..-·---··--·········-··-····-··· DEM/USD JPY USD ·-·-····-··-·--··-··-·-····...···-··-·········· -··--·····--··--··-···--··-.-~------·-··--- 1.77 12 .7 1.79! 130.1 1.1 7.8 6 . r -··---·-·------------ --·--·-·-----·- ·---··-·1.81 1.76 -2.8 17.9 12 .2 .2 71. Source: European Commission GRAPH IB: BILATERAL EXCHANGE RATE OF THE YEN (Monthly averages since 1987) Yen/OM Yen/$ 160 ~------------~----------~--------------------~--------~ 100 Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 Source: European Commission The dollar-mark rate was relatively stable in the 1. 70-1.80 range. It closely tracked the long term interest rate differential between the two countries. On a quarterly average basis, the mark advanced almost 3% against the dollar (see Table 1 and Graph lA). 3 2. NOMINAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES (RELATIVE TO 23 INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES) The yen's depreciation against most currencies of the industrial countries was even larger than' against the dollar. Only the Turkish lira posted a depreciation against the yen. The' yen's nominal effective exchange rate .against the currencies of 23 industrial countries consequently dropped by 6Y2% in the fourth quarter of 1997. This fall .resulted in a nominal effective exchange rate depreciation of 4Yl% for 1997 as a whole (quarter on quarter). While the dollar lost ground against the European currencies, gains against its other important trade partners (Japan, Canada and Mexico) led to a 1% increase in the US' nominal effective exchange rate in the fourth quarter of 1997 and a 9Y1% appreciation compared with the fourth quarter of 1996. The European currencies surged against almost all other currencies of the 23 industrial countries. Only the Norwegian krone and the Swiss franc strengthened (by less than 2%) against the ECU. Europe's nominal effective exchange rate increased as a result by 5% in the fourth quarter of 1997, but depreciated over the year as a whole with some 2%. Following the decline in Japan's nominal effective exchange rate in the fourth quarter of 1997 and the rises in the rates of Europe and of the US, the nominal effective exchange rates of the three major players converged at 20 to 25% above their 1987 level (see Graph 2A and Table 2). GRAPH 2A: NOMINAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES RE;LATIVE TO 23 INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS SINCE THE LOUVRE ACCORD 180 160 ~------------------------------------------------------~ . . .......... -.......... .:.- .... -... -:-. ....... -...... . .............. :. .. .. .. .... .:- ............... -:- ... -. . --------~---- -a--Japan ~USA . -EUR15 ~- . _Germany 140 . --------:---------:---------:-------I I . --------:-.-------:--- -- I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 120 100 80 ~--~----~----~--~----~--~----~----~--~----~--~ 1987q1 1988q1 1989q1 1990q1 1991q1 1992q1 1993q1 1994q1 1995q1 1996q1 1997q1 Index 1987=100. Source: European Commission 4 TABLE2: COST COMPETITIVENESS OF THE UNITED STATES, JAPAN, THE EUROPEAN UNION AND GERMANY RELATIVE TO 23 INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES. ------·--·· · -· · -· · - ___L______________________j _____________________.J_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ L--------······-··--;t·-····-···---···-----l-c-··---······· ---- ____J_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _t______:_________________l______________________ A. EVOLUTION IN MANUFACTURING INDU.STRY ----··--·-------·-···-··-··---·----·-· D~ring 1997Q4 Since 1996 --··--·····-··--····-··r9··7···-Q·4~--~-·g·-,-··Q···j·)-··------···-·-····· % change NEER ULC REER NEER (1) (2) (3) (1) --------------·-·----- ------------- -------------· ----- -------·--------- ·tTs·ir----·· ·---·-· . . - - . . . . ------- - 1-~2'-- Iapan -6.5 "Et~r&:Ts·---------- ---------------·4:~r Germany 1.7 --------------:·cr· 3. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .o3r. --------· ----9 -1.2 -7.6 :~c· -4.3 ULC (2) 1.0 -3.4 REER (3) NEER (1) ULC (2) REER (3) ------------·---·- ------·- ----·--------- -=T:-6-·- --------·--·,r:·i·--- ·--· ---·-i'cr:--r--r·--·-·:2-<L·r-- -------------------~-- ·---=4~-4-- -5.3 -----------·---:·crtr. ·----------·-·;:cr-· --------=I·:--1----- -------------~-3:6 . . -0.7 Since 1987 ········---------·<·9·7·-··Q-4-,-·96·-··Q-·4>·-·····-·······-·-·-·--··· -------------------·(9_7___ cf·4···-~·--s··?->·--······-···-·····--····-- -9.3 ---------·=·s~6·--- -3.7 -7.0 24.6 1 -20.6 -1.0 --------·-:rr:2·---·-----:·2·3·:-s. . . ------ ------~·s-:r 16.8 .....-·-·····-···-·····---·-------- ······--·-·--··--·-···· ........,.,__________________ --·····-···--·------- ---------······· -------------- ·------..-- ···-----..- ······--·-·----.. -~-- -12.8 1.9 -----·--·--· ----·-·------ B. EVOLUTION IN WHOLE ECONOMY ------------·-·--···------------·---- ------·-·---------------·--··1----------------------,----------------------- -------·-·------------·--T·-·--·--------T-·--·---··--------------· . . ---------------------T-------------------·-r···---·--··--·---------·- o uring 1997Q 4 -·-----· . ---·-· . . . . . . . . ·---- . . . ---------------·---· . . . . . . . . . . . .______ Since 1996 Since 1987 ------------------------- ·-----·-(97-Q 4-T91'Q3")___ ·----(9-7Q4I 96-Q4-)------ ----------(97 Q 4 I 8-'f)"____ ~--------------- ·-·----------·- -------------------- ----------·-···---- .---·--·-·-----------r--·--·-·-·-----------· --------·----···---·-·· % change NEER ULC REER NEER ULC REER ·NEER I ULC REER ------------------------------· ---------<rr- ··----------<2r-· ---------(3>___ --------·-ro·-· -·--w- ----<"3">'-- --------------<Tr--t·---<2r-- -------cn··rrsA._______ . . . 1. 2 ·~-·o-:r·-·--·--r:-4 ---"9.:4 -OT- --9-:-s·- -·-w:·'f+-=-14.2--- ------3T Japan EUR15 -6.5 4.9 ·ae-rm·a:--ii:Y. . . . . . -----------r-7··-· -0.2 -1.2 -6.7 3.6 . . . ---------<r:s·- ----------------~<[.9 -4.3 -2.1 0.0 -5.1 -----------:3~·4··- ------------=4]·-- -4.3 -7.0 --·--·-::;-~s--- 24.6 23.2 -22.6 -23.2 -3 .S -5.4 ·------r6·:--s-·r·-·:2o·:-6-- ---------=·7.3 Source : European Commission (l) NEER = No.minal Effective Exchange Rate. A minus means a depreciation of the NEER. (2) ULC = Relative Unit Labour Costs (in national currency). (3) REER = Real Effective Exchange Rate =relative unit labour co.sts (in common currency). A minus means an improvement in cost competitiveness. 5 ! I 3. REAL EFFECfiVE EXCHANGE RATES (RELATIVE TO 23 INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES) In the fourth quarter of 1997, the changes in the relative unit labour costs in manufacttlriilg were small compared to the changes in the nominal effective exchange rates. As a re~ult, developments in real and nominal effective exchange rates are quite similar. , Japan's real effective exchange rate decreased by 7~% in the fourth quarter of 1997, which means that there is a cost competitiveness improvement for Japan of th&t size. The improvement since the fourth quarter of 1996 amounts to 9~% (see Graph 3). Europe, on the other hand, saw its cost competitiveness deteriorating by 4% in the foUrth quarter of •997. Compared to the fourth quarter of 1996, however, there is still an improvement of 5Yl%. Germany and the US both experienced a 1% loss of competitiveness in the fourth quarter of 1997. Compared to the fourth quarter of 1996, however, German competitiveness improves by 7%, while the US loses 7Yl%. The levels of the real effective exchange rates of the major players are now very close to their 1987levels. The deviation is the biggest for Europe and the US which gained 5~% and 4Y2% respectively in cost competitiveness (see Graph 2B). GRAPH 2B: REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES (1) RELATIVE TO 23 INDUSTRIAL PAR1NERS SINCE THE LOUVRE ACCORD 160 --------------------------------~----~------~----------~· ---e--USA 140 ------··=-···· -a--Japan . -........ . -....,... .... . --EUR15 -Germany 120 100 80 ~--~----~----~----~--~----~----~--~----~----~~~~ 1987q1 1988q1 1989q1 1990q1 1991q1 1992q1 1993q1 1994q1 1995q1 1996q1 1997q1r (I) Deflated by Unit Labour Costs in Manufacturing lndustry.lndex 1987=100. Source: European Commission 6 If unit labour costs in the economy as a whole are used to deflate nominal effective exchange rates {instead of unit labour costs in manufa~turing), the picture for 1997 as a whole changes (see Table 2). It hardly changes in the fourth quarter of 1997, because of the importance of nominal effective exchange rate developments over unit labour cost developments. Compared to 1987, however, there are· two important switches of sides. Germany has now gained 7Yl% in cost competitiveness, while the US has now lost 3Yl%. Europe sticks on the contrary to a 5Yl% improvement. GRAPH 3: DEVELOPMENT OF COST COMPETITIVENESS (I) RELATIVE TO 23 INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS 15.0 0 96Q4 I 87 (2) g97Q4 /96Q4 (2) 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 -15.0 USA Japan EUR15 Germany (I) Cost competitiveness as measured by the nominal effective exchange rate deflated by unit labour cost in manufacturing. A negative sign illustrates a gain. Source: European Commission. (2) Expressed as the natural logarithm ofthe ratio (in%) 4. COST COMPETITIVENESS OF THE EU In this section, the cost competitiveness in manufacturing of the EU as a whole is examined. This analysis may obscure diverging developments among the Member States. Intra-Union developments are presented in Section II. In the fourth quarter of 1997, the appreciation of the European currencies against most currencies considered has led to a 4% cost competitiveness loss relative to the 23 industrial countries (Table 2). 7 TABLE 3: COST COMPETITIVENESS OF THE EUROPEAN UNION RELATIVE TO THE UNITED STATES AND JAPAN_ A. EVOLUTION IN MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY During 1997Q4 (97 Q4 /97 Q3) % change NEER ---·--·----·--·---····-············· Since 1987 (97 Q4/87) I REER NEER ULC REER NEER ULC REER . . . . .------rrr·- . . . . . .--:-(2f"' ··--------"(j'f'"'"' . . . . . . . . . . (Tf. . . . . . . . . . . . . (if"" --·---·-(3f""" -·--··-··-"·-·---(1)........-- -···-···-~-(2')-· ·-· . ·-··-T3f___ 2.8 USA . ____________ Japan_ ·---·--··--§]- --·-·-··········-·-·-··- Since 1996 (97 Q4 I 96 Q4) ULC 2.8 0.1 -10.5 0.4 -10.1 . ····-------..·-·---,-------·-·······-.. . · · ·--------------..-:· · -r··-----------r----------------- Since 1996 (97 Q4/96 Q4) ----·..··-····-··-·--···---..- --·--·-·---··-·-- ·--··----------··. --------·-·----·· ·-······-··---····-·-·--·· ---··-··------ ..--·-----------··change NEER(1) usx-····---- ----------2:8Japan 5.0 0.4 B. EVOLUTION IN WHOLE ECONOMY ···------------~--l------- During 1997Q4 (97 Q4 /97 Q3) % -4.4 . ----·--·--·--o- ··--.-----43-" . ---·:r6.s___ -----20 .-s- f--··-·-------···--L1-· ---------10.3 ···----..--::<r~:r-4.8 0.3 9.1 -----------------1-------~--------·r····--····------- Since 1987 (97 Q4/87) -·-···-··-·-············-··--·- ---...-----·---- -----···-··-····------- ULC REER NEER ULC REER NEER ULC REER (2) (3) (1) (2) (3) (1) (2) (3) ·--··--··-~o·3·-- ·----2~3- -0.1 8.9 . . . . . . . . -:.4:4'"" ----·--·-·-·-·-- -------=6} ··--·-·:To:s---·- ·-···-···--·:r:-s··- --------·-· -11.8 -2.0 -0.3 -1.2 -1.6 -16.8 21.2 0.8 Source : European Commission =Nominal Effective Exchange Rate. A minus means a depreciation of the NEER. (1) NEER = Relative Unit Labour Costs (in national currency). (2) ULC =Real Effective Exchange Rate= relative unit labour costs (in common currency). (3) REER A minus means an improvement in cost competitiveness. Europe's loss of cost competitiveness against Japan amounts to lOY2% in the fourth quarter of 1997, turning the total result since the fourth quarter of 1996 also in a loss (of 4~%, see Table 3). Against the US, Europe's fourth quarter loss is 3%, but this leaves a gain of 10% compared to the fourth quarter of 1996. As a result, Europe's cost competitiveness, whether it is relative to the US or relative to Japan, is again very close to its 1987 level (Graph 4B). 8 GRAPH 4A: NOMINAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES OF THE EUROPEAN CURRENCIES RELATIVE TO THE US DOLLAR AND JAPANESE YEN 120 . .... -............ . . 110 100 90 80 ········,····· 70 • • • • • • • .,. • • • • • • • ' • • • • • .. • • r • • • • • • • .,. • • • • • .. • ' • .. • • • • • ··r .. • • • • • • .,. • . I 60 1987q1 . I I t I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I • • • • • • • • I I • • • • ' • • • • • • • .,. • • • • • I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I t 1988q1 1989q1 1990q1 1991q1 1992q1 1993q1 1994q1 1995q1 1996q1 1997q1 Index 1987=100. Source: European Commission GRAPH 4B: REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES O> OF THE EUROPEAN CURRENCIES RELATIVE TO THE US DOLLAR AND JAPANESE YEN 130 120 • - . . • • • • • - . - . -:· • • • • • • I I I I ~ •••••••• I I .. . . . ~. 'P • • • • • - : - • • • • • I I t I I I I I 110 100 90 I I ~ I ~· I I t I I I I I ' • • • • • • • .. , .. • • • • I __._'USA _Japan I I I I .- I I I I I I I I ; . : 60 1987q1 I I : . I f t I I I 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I f I t I I t I I I t I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1989q1 1990q1 • • • • .,.. • • • • • • • , . • • • f I . 1988q1 I 1 . ~ I f . . ~ I 1 • • • • • •.- • • • • • • •--. • • • • • • • • r • • ................ :- ........... ............... ............. :- ....... -: ......... t I \ I I I 70 I ~ I 80 . . -........ ·: .. . ...... :.............. :............... ·: ................ ................ : ............. ·:· ........ ... :.............. :.. - ........ ·:· ....... . 1991q1 ' 1992q1 -· . ............:- ............ -:... I t I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ll I I I I I ~ 1993q1 (1) Deflated by Unit Labour Costs in Manufacturing Industry. Index 1987=100. Source: European Commission 9 1994q1 1995q1 . : • • • r • • • • • • • .. ,. • • • • - I I I . ....... ..............:· ...... ~ 1996q1 1997q1 II. INTRA-UNION DEVELOPMENTS TA8LE 4: COST COMPETITIVENESS OF THE MEMBER STATES RELATIVE TO THE EUROPEAN UNION AS A WHOLE I i r---·-----~~----~--A~.~E~V~O~L~U~T~IO~N~IN~M~A~N~U~F~A~C~T~U~R~IN~G~IN~D~U~~S~T~R~Y~----·------~----~ . _______. . . . . . ·. . . . . ·- . . . . . _. ____________T. . . . . . .-.. . ._.__ ·-r. . . . . . . . -.. .-. ·-- . . . . . . . . . ._____. . . . . During 1997Q4 Since 1996 Since 1987 (97 Q4/97 Q3) (97 Q4/96 Q4) (97 Q4 I 87) . . . .-.. . . . . . . . . . . . _._ . . . ·--.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .r . . . . . . . . . . . ·-·-·-- ______. _. ___. . . . . ._..._____. . . . . . __ o/o ~hange NEER 1' ULC REER NEER l ULC . . . . . . . . . ,. ._._ -.. - . ---.. . ··r..,..-· ____. . . . . . . . . . REER NEER ! -r. ______. _ _ _ . . _ ULC REER =---=~=~ =-~~-~=- -==--= ~~~== =~~ :=====±=== - ::_:-_~=±-=~_)= ==-=-= BLEU 0.2 •=---:----:--- ~gii;~~~; OoO 0.1 -2.3 006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ ~~---1---·· . . . . . ~~-~~- . . . . . .·--·-=~~~--- ·--..·-----..~~~-!. -· ·- · . . . ~-~-~-:-~- -1.7 .1 ot .....................=~-~~ 608 , -508 0.6 ·----....;----:--:-+--......_,..-:---11 · - . . . . . . . . . . . :--:~·-t·. ·--·-- --~-~-~~. . . . . . . _ __!~~~ ------.................................................................................._.. __.......................................................................___ ..............................................................., .............- ....................................................j...................................._. ·-....·-·------ Greece Spain 001 000 -~i:;~-~-~....... 1.3 001 1.4 0.1 -1.7 -205 6.9 . 0.6 . 501 -1.9 -4708 i - -1202 I 211.4 2704 62.6 11.8 . . . . . . . =~·:-~--. . . . . . . . . . -. ~~-:-~·-· . . . . . . -..---~-~-:-~. . . . . . . . . . . . . .~-~-:-~-:. . . . . . . . . . . . ~~ :~-+--· . . . . -~~-:-~...... ·-·-:. . . . ~~-:-~-+-· ----~~-~ -:~-- ---..---~-j~-:~. Italy -004 0.4 001 N e the ria n d s 0 .1 -0.2 01 ·jrli . s-iriil.. . . . . . . . --.. <fT . . . . . . . -·--·-·::-cl' T. . -.. . . . . . . . .-0 . <Lo___ Portugal Finland -006 -0.7 -002 -Ool · _ ........ --·- ---· . . . . . . .........- . . . . . . . -.. ·1-· ............. -·-·---.. Sweden tnf·-- _........................._· -0.2 . ·---·~-o~--r- -002 --·-·---·-o~~r- -0.7 o ...... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ .. _ -0.4 _o~i-· 3.0 -23.0 ! -7.~ 19.8 . . .L.. . . . . . . . . .-t. :.~~.?.1. . . . . . . . . . . . 6. ~. :.~8. .J.i . . . .-.. . . :!.~_?_ ___. __::_~~! -6.9 -o 06 ......______:__'1:_:7.... ..........-.............?..:.~ -1.5 -o 02 : -0.9 -0.8 ---o. . . . . l 308 -1.6 ! 0.7 -303 -3.1 ....... - ...... ___ . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......... -201 Ts~·i •................. - ...... -409 -16.'91 6204 3501 -409 -1305 i 2.7 -11.2 ! -2.5 -12.3 ; -12.5 -23.3 ""f". . . ............................................. ··-r··-- ......................._.... ----..........- ................ -208 . .... --·-·-··-fo- -·- ·2o:J --- . . . . . . . .K:·s-r. . . . . . . . . II:9·- o-------fo'3·- l . . . . . ._. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .-............................._. . . . . . . . . . iii''\v ·-·-a~·E'v-oT.ufloN H"o'I:-i~ . r<fM. Y:___ ......................... ...J. . .-.. . ._. . . . . . . . . ________. _______ . .E'c<rt' r-------~-------~-----~~---~-------r-----~---------------~------~----~ .........................-.. . . . . . . . . . . o/o change During 1997Q4 _(97--<~f479·7--Q'3f NEER ULC Since 1996 . . . . . . . .-.. . . . . . . . -.. . . . . . . . . . . . (97. . <i4T!firi~f4Y REER -----..................................................;. . . . "(IT. . . . . . . . . . . . . .('2'5""- . . . . . . . .-..·-enBLEU 0.2 Den mark····............ .. ....... ....... 0.2 ! 0.0 . .-.. . . . . . . -.. - i Since 1987 -.. . . . . -- . . <9_7_o.4T8'75··------.. . . . . . .---· _l REER NEER ~ ULC REER . . .___NEER . . . . ('iy·· ....................ULC (2'5". . f ...... -.....<3f..... . . . . . . . . 0 y-·T. . . ---.. ·--(2Y.....................(3"5 . . .. 0.2 -203 -0.2 ; -2.5 608 , -207 3.9 . . . . o-:-3·-· . . . . . . . . . . . . -6~6..... .. . . .-.. . . .:f:·s..... . . . . . . . . . .2":.i. ~...... 0 06 .......8j .....~ ....... -I 0. 3 __...............-:.2 :·9. . Germa-ny·-- ·------o~fT"'-· . ·- -006 -0.4 -209----:3.-r~--·-··-·---::-s-.--9· --·---·--9-:-6. :-----Ci""9- ---~ i~-: - -:~~ . -0.4 .. :-_l~! ~~ - -- ~~:_ 1 -----~-r--~~~---~~-----~~--------~---·~-------~-------~--~~H 3 _;;~~· . . . . ·- . •. . · ·-. ~ ~ 1-- -. ~; --=-~~t ~-=-~-:~ ~ France ----· ____ -~-r~land .. Italy Netherlands- 0.8 ; -206: ... . -0.4 1 o:'i'·r · :·o.T.. 007 002 oo4 -002 oo4. t -1.7J___ ?. :? ............ -~0-~........ _ _-1.3! -007 -207 1 ~.7_ :~~ ~ -~ -0.7 1.6 -0.8 2.4 0 _ Ool j ----~--- -001 ·-if6. f..................O'.I 001 -1.5 1 -005 .............. ~3.3 f. -002: . ...'t:.i ·:....... -1.7 ~-2.'2'.. ~~-1~~~-. -·-·- - . . ~.~~-:g-r-- . . . :~-~ ---~------~~-~~ ----~+L :0~~-- · :! ~ UK ....... ~.?.:.? . j.. o.5 ..........-.o_:.:..... 15.7 1..?.. ;... ~04. -2300 6:2 ioo · --- ___, ______. . . ·---·-·----· --·--- _:.. ____________. _ _ -----·- . . . . Austria Portugal 906 --0~ 608 -~-16":9· . • -1301 -4.8 -22041 20.2 -13.3 -7.4 ~709 .. ------·-·-· -···--· ------7.1 ! -0.8 ....75:-7 ·1· ......46'.i ---: :~j-- -- --c~:+--~~:~ :~T??. ·----~_-_6.~ ..;_--~. ~oo~_J.... ~-~~ I I Source : European Commission (1) NEER =Nominal Effective Exchange Rate. A minus means a depreciation of the NEER. (2) ULC = Relative Unit Labour Costs (in national currency). (3) REER = Real Effective Exchange Rate.= relative unit labour costs (in common currency). A minus means an improvement in cost competitiveness. 10 ~190! .. In the fourth quarter of 1997, only minor movements in ·Member States' cost competitiveness relative to EU were recorded. Denmark and Greece lost 1% and 1Yl% respectively in cost competitiveness following higher unit labour costs. France lost Y2% in cost competitiveness following an appreciation of the franc of almost 1% (see Table 4, Graphs 7 and 8). The depreciation in the currencies of Ireland, Portugal and Finland resulted in a cost competitiveness gain of ~bout the same size (respectively 2Yz%, 1% and 1%). The cost competitiveness results, when unit labour costs in the economy as a whole are · used to deflate, are very similar. Since the fourth quarter of 1996, all Member States' recorded a depreciation of their currency relative to the EU, except for the United Kingdom, which experienced an appreciation of 15Yz%. This contributed to a loss of cost competitiveness of 20Yz% for the United Kingdom. Italy, Denmark and Greece! were the only other Member States who made a competitiveness loss, which was purely due to higher unit labour costs (see Graphs 5A and 5B). GRAPH 5A: DEVELOPMENT OF COST COMPETITIVENESS (1) RELATIVE TO THE EUROPEAN UNION AS A WHOLE 15 10 5 0 -5 -1 0 -15 -20 ••••••••• I -25 ......... I· •••••••••••......••••••• 0 9604/87 (2) 1 I· ....................... . IEJ9704 19604 (2)i 1 -30 -35 -40 BLEU Denmark Germ any France Ireland Netherlands Austria (l) Cost competitiveness as measured by the nominal effective exchange rate deflated by unit labour cost in manufacturing. A negative sign illustrates a gain. Source: European Commission. (2) Expressed as the natural logarithm of the ratio (in%) 11 GRJ\PH 5B: DEVELOPMENT OF COST COMPETITIVENESS (1) RELATIVE TO THE EUROPEAN UNION AS A WHOLE 50 0 9604 I 87 (2) 40 1119704 I 9604 (2) 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 Greece Spain Italy Portugal Finland Sweden UK (1) Cost competitiveness as measured by the nominal effective exchange rate deflated by unit labour cost in manufacturing. A . negative sign illustrates a gain. Source: European Commission. · (2) Expressed as the natural logarithm of the ratio (iq %) Compared to 1987, Greece and Portugal have exp~rienced significant losses in cost competitiveness due to a substantial rise in relative unit labour costs 1• The more limited loss of Spain (12%) can also be attributed to cost factors. The Danish, German and BLEU cost competitiveness losses are, on the contrary, due to nominal exchange rate flu~tuations. The 20Yl% decline in British cost competitiveness is due to a 13% rise in relative unit labour costs and a 7% appreciation of the British pound (see Graph 8). All other Member States experienced a gain in cost competitiveness. Among them, Italy managed to outweigh its rise in relative unit labour costs with depreciation of the lira. a The global picture does not change if unit labour costs in the economy as a whole are used to deflate nominal effective exchange rates. In three ~ases the sign of the competitiveness change is different: Denmark and Germany experience now a competitiveness gain relative to the EU as a whole, instead of a loss, while the opposite is true for Sweden. · The Greek and Portuguese series on manufacturing unit labour costs (ULCM) in the DG II AMECO data base are not as reliable as the series for other Member States. Both series show sharp increases over the course of the past decade. The ensuing rapid rise in the ULCM-based real effective exchange rates of the Greek drachma and Portuguese escudo may therefore be easily misinterpreted. A formal discussion of developments in ·price and cost competitiveness in Greece and Portugal should therefore be based on a battery of indicators. 12 GRAPHS BILATERAL EXCHANGE RATES AGAINST 11-IE GERMAN MARK. I '()5 '()0 1>0 .... v 95 80 60 90 jGreecej jsLBJj 85 40 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 98 1)5 88 89 90 91 92 ·93 94 . 95 96 97 98 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 ffT 98 120 100 '()0 95 80 90 !Spainj 60 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 1)5 87 88 89 120 1>0 1)0 95 80 90 jGermanyj llalyj 85 60 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 1)5 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 '98 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 120 100 '()0 95 80 90 jFrancej 85 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 1)5 120 1)0 1>0 95 80 9o !Ireland! !Rnlandj 85 60 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 '()5 87 88 89 120 '()0 100 95 80 90 j Netherlands j ISwedenj 85 60 87 88 89 90 91 92 93· 94 95 96 97 98 105 87 88 87 88 120 100 '()0 95 80 90 ~ IAustriaj 85 60 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 = 1\fonthly Averages. tldex 1987 100 13 GRAPH 7 NOMINAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES RELATIVE TO THE EUROPEAN UNION. 120 'DO IBL~, 11) 90 80 70 1)0 jGreecej 60 90 e7 ee e9 91 90 92 93 94 95 96 50 97 87 120 ee 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 90. 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 '97 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 95 96 120 !Denmark! 11) 11> 1)0 90 1)0 jspainj eo 90 e7 ee e9 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 70 97 e7 120 ee e9 11) 1)0 jGermanyl 11> 90 eo 1)0 jttatyJ· 70 60 90 87 ee e9 91 90 92 93 94 95 96 87 97 ee 89 m 120 1)0 !Francej m 90 80 1)0 IPortugalj 70 60 90 e7 ee e9 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 e7 e8. 89 120 120 11) , ..eland! 100 110 90 80 1)0 !Fmlandl '7o 60 90 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 87 97 88 89 110 120 j Netherlands 11> I 1>0 90 80 100 jswedenl 70 90 60 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 88 89 120 120 11) jAustriaj 110 100 90 1)0 EJ 80 70 90 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 88 89 90 91 92r 93 94 97 kldex 1987 Quarterly averages. 14 =100 GRAPH 8 REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RAlES (1) RELATIVE TO lliE EUROPEAN UNION. 120 170 160 IBLEUI tKl '1)0 90 80 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 120 140 130 120 1'Kl 'KlO 90 80 IDenmarkj tKl I Greece! 150 .140 130 120 1'Kl 'KlO 90 'KlO 90 88 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 89 I Spain I 70 80 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 60 97 87 130 140 130 120 IGermanyj 120 88 I kalyj tKl 1'Kl '1)0 'KlO 90 80 90 60 70 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 87 97 88 160 120 150 jFrancel tKl 140 130 120 1'Kl 'KlO 90 80 1)0 90 80 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 :97 'Kl5 I Portugal I 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 ~4 95 96 97 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 140 130 120 95 tKl 'KlO 90 80 70 60 85 I Ireland I 75 65 87 88 120 89 90 91 lNetherlands 1'1) 92 93 94 95 96 97 140 130 120 1'Kl 1)0 90 80 70 60 j 'KlO 90 80 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 90 140 130 120 11) 'KlO 90 80 80 60 120 I Austria I tKl 100 70 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 (1) Deflated by Unit Labour Costs in Manufacturing. Quarterly averages. 15 Index 1987 = 100 l l i I ! I. I f • 1 I l I \ ..r doc. n° 111224/4/97-EN PART 2 ·I TABLES AND GRAPHS BY COUNTRY CCE-DG II D-4 . PART2: TABLES AND GRAPHS BY COUNTRY The tables and graphs on Pages 1 to 40 present nominal and real effective exchange rates of the currencies of the European Union Member States and five other industrial countries. Aggregate measures for the European Union as a whole (EUR15) and the group of countries participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) are presented as well. Each country (or country group) is compared with 23 industrial countries (the countries listed below plus Mexico, New Zealand, Turkey and Switzerland), with the European Union and with the group of ERM participants. The tables on Pages 41 to 58 present bilateral exchange rates of the US dollar against the currencies of the 23 industrial countries; and nominal and real effective exchange rates of the EU currencies, the US dollar and Japanese yen (as well as aggregate measures for EUR15 and the ERM). Each cross-national table of real effective exchange rates is based on a single price or cost deflator. Price and cost indices in national currency are presented as well. These tables aim to , facilitate a comparison of developments in the different industrial countries. The final table shows the latest double export weight matrices that were used to calculate effective exchange rates. 1 The technical annex provides further details. Part 2: Table of Contents EUR 15- ERM .~.............................................................................................. p. 1 BLEU ............................................................................................................... p. 3 Denmark ................................................. ~......................................................... p. 5 Germany .........................................................·........................................... .-...... p. 7 Greece.............................................................................................................. p. _9 Spain ............................................,.................................................................... p. 11 France ...................................................................................................... :........ p. 13 Ireland............................................................................................................... p. 15 Italy................................................................................................................... p. 17 Netherlands ... .... .. .... ... ........... ... ........... ..... ................. ....... .... .... .. ....................... p. 19 Austria .. ........................................ ..................... ... ......... ..... .......... ...................... p. 21 Portugal ........ .... .... ... ..... ..... .... ... .. ....... ... ... ... .... .. .... .... .. .... ... .... .... .......... .. ..... ........ p. 23 Finland ................. ............................................................................................. p. 25 Sweden .............. ~.............................................................................................. p. 27 United Kingdom .................... :........................................................................... p. 29 Norway ...............-.................................................................. ............................ p. 31 Australia............................................................................................................ p. 33 Canada ................................................................................. ~ ....... ·..................... p. 35 Japan ··························································································~····················· USA.................................................................................................................. p. 37 Table A: Bilateral exchange rate ofthe US dollar.............................................. p. 41 Table B: Nominal effective exchange rate.......................................................... p. 46 Table C: Real effective exchange rate based on Consumer Price Index (CPI) ..... p. 48 TableD: Real effective exchange rate based on GOP deflator............................ p. SO Table E: Real effective exchange rate based .on Export price deflator................. p. 52 Table F: Real effective exchange rate based on ULC in economy as a whole............ p. 54 Table G: Real effective exchange rate based on ULC in manufacturing .......... ~.. p. 56 Table H: Double expert weights ........................................................................ p. 58 • • J p. 39 EUR15 ERM Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Quarterly figures index (1987=100) Annual fi¥ures index (198 =100) EUR15 ERM ERM Relative to IC23 IC23 EUR15 85 86 87 88 8i 90 91 92 93 94 95 98 97 78.0 90.4 100.0 100.9 99.2 11 2. 9 11 1 . 1 116.4 104.1 107.4 11 5. 9 122.7 121 . 1 77.2 91 . 0 100.0 98.5 98.3 11 0. 4 108. 8 11 4. 5 11 0. 5 11 3. 0 122.2 125.3 11 7 . 1 Monthly figures monthly % change EUR15 ERM ERM Relative t 0 IC23 IC23 EUR15 82.4 94.5 100.0 95.3 96.6 103.5 102.2 106.6 11 6 . 1 11 6 . 1 122.8 11 9. 3 104.7 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 111 . 5 11 3 . 9 11 3. 6 11 6. 3 119.9 120.8 120.6 123.6 125.8 123.1 120.8 117.4 123.2 11 6. 4 11 9 . 5 1 21 . 0 122.9 125.4 125.8 124.3 126.2 124.9 120.4 11 7. 5 11 3. 3 11 7. 2 11. 7. 0 11 9. 9 124.0 123.8 123.4 1 2 3. 1 120.2 120.0 11 4. 0 108.6 106.0 10 1 . 9 102.5 EUR15 ERM ERM Relative to IC23 IC23 EUR15 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.6 -·o. 1 -2.1 -1 . 0 0.6 -1 . 0 -1.3 -1 . 5 -1 . 6 3.0 1.8 2.7 -0.7 -1 . 0 -1 . 3 -2.2 -0.6 -0.3 -0.7 -1.6 -2.9 -0.7 2.9 1.1 1.2 -0.7 -1 . 5 -2.0 -1 . 8 0.2 -1.6 0. 1 -1.4 -4.2 0.9 2. 1 -0.2 -1 . 2 -0.5 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures fmdex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) 1~~--------------~--------~ -~" --="::.: ..... .... 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 9401 9501 96Q1 9701 98Qt Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) ... EUR1$" -IC23 --~" . . . =l ro~~~~~~----~--~~~~ 1972 Page 1 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 ... 90 __ :~.~-·-·---· EUR15 ERM Real Effective Exchange Rate of EUR15 relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 88 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 81 . 0 92.6 100.0 98.7 95.1 106.2 103.7 107.9 95.7 96.5 1 01 . 4 104.5 99.5 78.9 91 . 7 100.0 99.0 95.6 107.8 105.4 110.3 97.8 98.3 103.2 106.0 100.8 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 81 . 5 93.3 100.0 98.3 96.1 107.6 105.3 109.4 100.4 1 01 . 0 108.5 110.2 104.6 80.5 92.3 100.0 98.0 94.6 106.4 102.8 107.9 95.3 94.6 98.9 1 01 . 0 94.7 Quarterly figures ULCM 76.4 87.2 100.0 97.3 93.1 1 0 5. 2 102.5 105.9 93.4 91 . 2 95.8 98.8 93.8 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 ·97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 CPI GOP 99.1 100.5 99.6 1 01 . 4 104.0 1 0 4. 1 103.2 104.9 105.8 102.5 99.7 96. 1 100.0 100.9 102.4 1 01 . 5 103.3 105.9 105.8 104.7 106.4 107.2 103.8 100.9 97.2 1 01 . 2 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 104.3 106.9 106.8 109.0 111 . 5 110.8 109.0 110.2 111 . 0 107.5 104.7 10 1 . 1 1 105.3 96.8 98.2 97.3 98.9 1 01 . 3 1 01 . 1 99.9 1 01 . 2 10 1 . 7 98.2 95.1 -91. 3 94.6 ULCM 93.1 94.7 94. 1 96.0 98.6 98.8 97.6 99. 1 99.9 96.7 94.0 90.6 94.3 Real Effective Exchange Rate .of the countries In the ERM relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 '95 98 97 figures CPI GOP 81.3 93.7 100.0 95.7 93.1 101 . 6 97.5 1 01 . 6 97.1 97.7 103.4 1 0 4. 1 94.8 78.8 93.0 100.0 95.7 92.7 1 01 . '6 98.1 102.9 98.8 99.0 104.8 105.0 95.2 (Index 1987•100) oe.flator PX ULCE 80.4 94.6 100.0 97.1 95.0 103.3 100.7 105.0 99.6 99.9 106.4 106.3 98.8 80.0 93.1 100.0 94.2 89.4 98.4 92.7 98.1 94.6 93.7 98.9 98.0 87.8 Quarterly figures ULCM 77.3 89.5 100.0 94.7 91 . 4 100.4 97.1 102.3 98.9 96.4 1 01 . 5 100.9 90.8 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 98Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 CPI GOP 99.8 101.8 102.7 103.8 105.5 105.3 103.6 104.6 102.8 98.5 95.5 91 . 5 94. 1 10 1 . 1 103.3 1 0 4. 1 105.2 106.8 106.5 104.5 105.4 103.5 99.0 95.8 91 . 7 94.3 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 102.3 104.8 105.8 106.8 108.2 107.6 105.5 106.7 105.4 101 . 7 99.3 95.7 98.7 95.5 97.5 98.3 99.2 100.5 99.9 97.7 98.2 96.2 91 . 7 88.6 84.5 86.5 ULCM 97.8 99.9 100.9 102.0 103.3 102.8 100.6 1 01 . 2 99.1 94'. 6 91.5 87.4 89.7 Real Effective Exchang~ Rate of the countrl~s In the ERM relative to European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual figures GOP CPI 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 86.9 97.0 100.0' 92.6 91 . 5 94.8 89.8 93.1 100.6 100.8 1 06. 1 102.9 89.8. 84.3 96.7 100.0 92.2 89.9 93.1 89.3 93.1 1 01 . 4 1 01 . 6 1·06. 8 102.9 89.2 Abbrevlat Ions: (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 83.5 98.0 100.0 95.9 94. 1 96.8 94.7 98.2 99.6 99.2 102.2 99.8 91 . 8 Quarterly figures ULCM 84.8 84.9 96.1 95.6 100.0 100.0 90.5 92.4 84.8 91 . 2 85.2 94.3 91 . 2 82.2 87.1 97.7 109.4 96.5 9 5. 7- 107.4 11 2. 0 100.6 95.7 1 05·. 6 82.4 90. 1 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 ·96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 9704 CPI GOP 1 01 . 5 103.8 107.2 107.0 106.5 106.2 103.7 103.5 98.2 93.4 91.0 8 7'. 4 87.8 102.3 104.6 108.0 107.7 10 t. 1 106.6 103.9 103.4 97.9 92.9 90.4 86.6 88.9 (Index 1987=100) deflator ULCE PX 99.7 101 . 1 103.5 102.6 1 01 . 8 1 01 . 6 99.8 100.7 ,97. 0 93.7 92.7 89.9 90.8 96.3 98.6 1 01 . 9 1 01 . 5 100.6 99.6 96.7 96.0 90.8 86. 1 83.7 80.1 80. 1 ULCM 107.5 110.0 113.6 112.9 111 . 7 110.3 106.8 105.7 99.7 94.3 91 . 5 87.4 87.2 IC23 = 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 = '15 Member States of the European Union Countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism ERM Consumer Price Index CPI =Gross Domestic Product Deflator GOP Price Oeflat~r Exports of Goods and Services PX = Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost In Manufactur;ng industry ULCM Page 2 BLEU - -franc Nominal Effective Exchange Rate IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 85 96 97 Relative EUR15 89. 1 95.4 100.0 99.3 98.8 1 04. 1 104.3 106.9 108.4 11 1 . 2 117 . 1 11 5. 4 111 . 1 94. 1 97.5 100.0 99.0 98.8 1 01 . 4 102.0 103.7 107.5 109.8 11 3. 9 11 1 . 0 107.3 to Monthly figures monthly % change Quarterly figures index ( 987=100) Annual fi¥ures index (198 -100} ERM IC23 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 97.9 98.6 100.0 99.8 99.3 100.8 1 01 ·. 6 102.6 104.9 107.2 11 0. 1 107.7 106.5 Relative EUR15 11 2. 9 11 5. 8 118.0 116.9 11 7. 8 11 6. 8 11 5 . 2 115.5 114.2 11 2. 4 111 . 4 109.7 111 . 0 to 107.9 109.8 H 1. 4 109.7 109.7 1 o8·. 8 107.7 107.5 106.9 106.6 106.5 106.3 106.4 11 0 . 7 11 3 . 0 11 5. 4 113.6 11 3. 7 112.6 11 1 . 2 11 0 . 9 109.3 108.1 107.6 106.6 106.8 Relative. to IC23 EUR15 ERM ERM DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 ·NOV97 DEC97 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.0 -0.3 -0.2 -0.6 -1 . 2 -0. 1 0.9 0.5 0.3 -0.2 -0.6 -0.5 -0.2 0.2 -0.4 0.0 -0.3 -0.9 0.2 0.3 0. 1 --0.2 -0. 1 -0.3 -0.2 0. 1 0.2 -0.2 0.0 -o .1 -0.2 o.o -0.0 0. 1 -0.0 -0.0 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Quarterly figures Annual figtres (Index 1987 =100) ~ndex 1987 =100) 1m~------------~--------~ 1~~------------------------~ 1997 100 9101 9201 9301 9401 9501 9601 9701 98Q1 1977 1982 1987 1992 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures (index 1987 =100) 99 " 1977 Page 3 1982 1987 1992 1997 -~--------------------------------------------------------------- 989101 92Q1 9301 9401 9501 9601 9701 9801 BLEU franc Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index 1987=100) Deflator ULCE PX CPI GOP 91 . 6 96.4 100.0 97.2 96.2 100.3 98.9 99.5 100.8 103.0 107.2 105.2 100.5 90.8 96.6 100.0 97.6 97.3 1 01 . 1 99.7 1 01 . 8 103.7 106.2 110.4 1 0 8. 1 103.2 94.3 99.0 100.0 1 00. 1 1 01 . 3 1 04. 1 102.3 103.5 102.6 104.3 1 0 7. 1 105.9 103.4 92.2 98.2 100.0 95.9 93.7 98.9 99.8 1 0 2. 1 104.7 1 0 8. 1 11 3. 0 109.3 103.9 Quarterly ULCM 92.2 96.7 100.0 96.6 94.2 98.6 99.9 102.3 102.6 1 0 4. 1 108.4 104.4 100.3 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 figures CPI GOP 1 04. 1 106.3 1 0 8. 1 106.8 107.5 106.6 1 0 5. 1 1 05. 3 103.9 102.0 100.8 99. 1 1 0 0. 1 107.3 109.6 111. 4 110.0 110.7 109.6 107.9 108.1 106.7 104.7 103.5 1 01 . 8 10 2. 8 (Index Deflator PX 105.0 106.8 108.0 106.5 107.2 106.5 105.4 1 0 6. 1 105.5 104. 2 103.6 102.3 103.5 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 109.6 11 2. 2 11 4 . 1 112.6 112.9 111 . 4 109.3 1 0 9. 1 107.5 105.4 104.2 102.4 103.4 105.3 107.8 109.6 108.0 108.1 106.4 104.3 104.2 103.0 101 . 4 100.6 99.1 100.1 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 96.0 98.0 100.0 97.3 97. 1 99.0 98.0 97.9 1 01 . 4 103.5 106.5 103.7 100.0 95.7 98.4 100.0 97.7 98.1 99.5 98.5 99.8 104.0 106.3 109.4 106.3 102.4 (Index 1987=100) Deflator ULCE PX 98.5 100.5 100.0 100.4 102.0 102.5 1 01 . 1 1 01 . 6 102.3 103.8 104.9 103.3 1 01 . 9 96.8 99.9 100.0 96.1 94.7 97.5 99.0 100.4 105.4 109.1 11 2. 9 108.6 104.4 Quarterly ULCM 97.9 99.5 100.0 97.0 95.5 97.5 99.2 1 01 . 0 103.7 105.8 109.0 104.1 100.9 '94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 figures CPI GOP 104.0 105.9 107.8 1 0 6. 1 1 0 6. 1 105.2 103.9 103.7 102.2 100.9 100.3 99.3 99.4 106.9 108.8 11 0. 8 108 .·9 108.9 107.9 106.4 106.2 104.6 103.3 102.7 1 01 . 8 1 01 . 9 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 103.8 105.0 106.3 104.2 104.3 103.8 103.0 103.5 102.7 1 0 2. 1 1 0 2. 1 1 01 . 5 1 01 . 9 110.2 112.4 11 4. 6 112.5 11 2. 2 110.7 108.8 108.3 106.6 105.2 104.7 103.8 103.9 ULCM 106.6 108.8 110.7 108.5 107.9 106.2 104.2 103.8 102.3 101 . 4 1 01 . 2 100.4 100.6 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 98.9 98.7 100.0 98.6 98.5 99.8 99.8 99.1 1 01 . 4 103.5 105.5 103.2 1 01 . 8 99.1 99.2 100.0 99. 1 99.8 100.6 100.4 1 01 . 0 104.0 106.3 108.3 105.9 104.6 Ab b rev i at Ions : (Index deflator PX 102.3 1 01 . 0 100.0 10 1 . 1 103.0 103.1 102.1 102.0 102.6 104.2 104.6 103.4 103.5 1987==100) ULCE ULCM 100.2 100.9 100.0 97.8 97.3 100.3 102.5 103.0 106.5 110.3 11 3. 2 109.6 108.1 101. 4 100.5 100.0 98 .. 3 96.8 98.3 100.7 1 01 . 4 102.4 104.8 107.2 103.3 102.9 Quarterly 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 figures CPI GOP 103.9 105.3 106.7 . 104.9 105.0 104.2 103.2 1 0 3. 1 102.4 1 0 2. 1 1 01 . 9 1 01 . 6 1 01 . 6 10 6. 7 108.3 109.6 107.8 107.8 106.8 105.9 105.7 105.1 104.7 104.6 104.4 104.5 (Index deflator PX 1 0 4. 1 104.9 105.7 103.9 1 0 4. 1 103.6 103.2 103.5 103.3 103.3 103.5 103.5 103.7 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 111 . 3 113 . 1 11 4. 6 11 2. 6 112.3 111 . 0 109.6 109.3 108.5 1 0 8. 1 1 0 8. 1 107.9 1 0 8. 1 105.7 107.4 108.7 106.6 1 0 6. 1 104.6 103.2 102.9 102.5 102.6 102.9 102.9 1 0 3. 1 IC23 = 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union ERM =Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI Consumer Price Index GOP =Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCM Nomin.al Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry Page 4 ·oenmark krone Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual fi¥ures index _(198 =100) IC23 Relative EUR15 to Monthly figures monthly % change Ouarterlf figures Index ( 987•100) ERM IC23 Relative EUR15 to Relative IC23 EUR15 ERM to ERM I 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 87.9 95.2 100.0 98.5 96.2 103.3 102.0 105.0 108.2 109.0 11 4. 7 11 4 . 1 110.9 94.8 98. 1 100.0 98.5 96.8 100.6 99.8 102.0 108.4 1 0 9. 1 11 3 . 1 111 . 1 108.8 100.5 99.9 100.0 99.7 97.8 99.5 99. 1 100.4 103.5 1 0 4. 1 1 o·6. 6 106.0 1 0 6. 1 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 110.5 11 2 . 1 11 5. 3 11 5. 3 11 6. 0 115.3 11 3 . 5 11 4 . 1 11 3. 5 11 2. 2 111 . 5 109.3 11 0. 8 109.8 110.9 114. 4 11 3 . 7 11 3. 4 11 2. 6 111 . 0 111 . 0 11 0. 0 109.5 109.4 1 0 8. 1 108.3 104.6 105.0 107.4 107.0 107.1 106.6 105.8 105.7 105.8 1 0 6. 1 106.3 106.0 1 0 6. 1 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN91. JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.4 -0.5 -0.7 0. 1 -0. 1 -0.2 -0.8 -1 . 6 -0.2 1.0 0.4 0.7 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.3 0. 1 -0.4 -1 . 2 0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0. 1 0.2 0.2 -0.0 0. 1 -0·. 1 -0.3 0. 1 0.0 0. 1 0.0 -0.0 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) 1m----------------~--------~ ....·... ,• .~ ••• •• ••• i ' ------------- ---·~----------- ---- -.----~ ----------------- ____ "\,._ 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Quarterly ftgures Ondex 1987 =100) Annual ftgures Ondex 1987=100) r l I • 110 I ----------------------------------------~------------------- I i l f 1977 Page 5 1982. 1987 1992 1997 92Q1 93Q1 94Q1 9501 9601 ~701 9801 ~ Denmark krone Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index t987•100) Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 87.6 94.5 100.0 98.5 95.8 100.5 96.3 97.0 96.9 96.4 100.6 99.8 96.7 86.8 94.5 100.0 97.6 94.7 99.4 95.5 97.7 9 8. 1 97.9 102.0 1 01 . 2 99.0 91.2 98. 1 100.0 96.4 95. 1 100.8 98.6 1 01 . 2 1 0 0. 1 99.8 102.0 1 01 . 6 100.4 84.9 91 . 3 100.0 9 8. 1 94.4 97.7 92.9 94.9 94.7 94.2 99.7 98.7 96.9 Quarterly figures ULCM 79.4 89.4 100.0 96.5 93.6 1 01 . 6 97.0 98.4 96.2 10 1 . 1 109.6 108.8 109.6 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 97.4 98.6 1 01 . 2 101 . 1 1 01 . 6 1 01 . 0 99.3 99.8 99. 1 97.9 97.2 95.2 96.5 99.0 100.2 102.7 102.5 102.9 102.2 100.6 1 0.1 . 2 100.8 99.8 99.4 97.6 99.1 100.3 100.8 102.7 102.2 102.5 102.0 100.8 1 01 . 8 1 01 . 7 10 1 . 1 100.9 99.1 100.5 95.8 97.4 100.3 100.4 100.7 99.8 98.1 98.6 98.3 97.6 97.4 95.7 97.2 ULCM 104.7 107.0 110.4 110.4 110.6 109.6 101.8 108.8 109.1 109. 1 109.7 108.6 110. 9 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative. to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 93.4 96.6 100.0 99.0 97.0 98.7 94.9 94.9 97.5 96.9 100.0 98.2 96.2 93.7 96.9 100 .·0 97.9 95.8 97.1 93.7 94.9 98.0 97.8 100.8 99.0 98.0 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 98.2 90.7 93.4 100.3 100.0 100.0 96.7 98.7 95.5 96.2 95.4 98.9 97.0 . 91 . 1 98.5 92.0 99.4 94.6 94.6 98.8 99.1 99.3 97.1 98.6 98.8 96.9 Quarterly figures ULCM 86.1 93.1 100.0 97.3 95.0 99.6 95.5 96.4 97.1 1 0 3. 1 11 0. 5 108.7 11 0. 9 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 (Index 1987•100) ,Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 97.3 98.2 1 01 . 2 100.5 1 0 0. 1 99.5 98.1 98.0 97.1 96.7 96.6 95.5 95.8 98.3 99. 1 102.0 1 01 . 2 100.8 1 00. 1 98.8 98.9 98.3 98.2 98.4 97.5 97.9 98.5 98.4 100.5 99.3 99.0 98.8 98.1 98.8 98.7 98.9 99.2 98.4 98.7 95.6 97.0 100.4 99.7 99.2 98.3 96.8 96.9 96.5 96.7 97.2 96.6 97.1 ULCM 106.4 108.3 11 2. 0 111 . 2 110.6 109.5 108.0 108.5 108.7 109.7 111 . 0 110.9 11 2. 1 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual figures CPI 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 97.3 97.5 100.0 101 . 1 99.6 100.5 98.3 97.4 97.4 96.7 98.6 97.9 98.2 GOP (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 98.6 103.4 98.0 1 01 . 0 1 00. 0 . 100.0 100.1 97.9 98.8 98.0 99.3 99.8 97.0 98.5 97.1 99.0 97.2 98.9 98.4 97.0 98.9 98.4 98.4 98.3 99.9 100.0 Abbreviations: 95.1 94.6 100.0 1 01 . 4 100.2 1 0 0. 1 96.5 96.0 95.2 9-5.4 98.9 98.8 1 01 . 2 Quarterly figures CPI ULCM 90.3 94.4 100.0 99.6 9 8. 1 1 01 . 9 98.8 97.9 94.5 100.7 1 06. 8' 107.2 11 2. 5 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 96.9 97.2 99.4 98.9 9 9. 1 98.5 97.8 97.7 97.8 98.1 98.3 98. 1 98.4 GOP 97.3 97.6 99.7 99.1 99.3 98.7 98. 1 98.3 98.7 99.3 99.9 100.0 100.4 ( 1 ndex 1987•100) deflator ULCE PX 9 8. 1 97.7 99.2 98.4 98.5 98.2 97.9 98.4 98.9 99.6 1 0 0. 1 100.0 100.2 96.3 9 7 ·. 1 99.6 99.3 99.5 98.9 98.3 98.6 99.2 100.2 10 1 . 1 1 01 . 5 1 0 2. 1 ULCM 103.8 105.0 107.7 107.2 107.4 106.9 106.4 107.2 108.5 110.3 11 2. 1 113.2 114.4 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union Countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism ERM CPI Consumer Price Index GOP =Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCM -Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry Page 6 Germany mark Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual fi¥ures Index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 82. 2· 92.6 100.0 100.2 99.5 1"05. 1 104.8 109.0 11 3. 5 116. 0 1 24. 1 1 2 2. 1 116. 9 88.5 95.5 100.0 99.6 99.3 10 1 . 2 10 1 . 3 1 0 4' 1 11 2. 8 11 4 . 1 11 9 . 6 11 5. 2 11 0. 3 to Monthly figures monthly % change a.uarterll figures index ( 987=100) ERM 92.6 96.7 100.0 100.8 1 0 0. 1 100.3 100.8 102.6 109.5 11 0. 8 11 4. 8 111 . 2 109.5 IC23 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative to EUR15 ERM 11 8. 4 122.6 125.1 123.7 124.9 123.6 1 21 . 4 122.3 120.9 11 8. 6 11 7. 2 114.9 11 6' 8 115 . 1 11 8 . 6 1 21 . 6 11 9. 2 11 9 . 1 11 7. 5 11 5 . 3 11 5 . 2 11 2 . 9 111 . 4 11 0. 7 109.4 109.6 Relative t 0 IC23 EUR15 ERM 111 . 6 114.6 11 6. 6 11 4 . 1 11 4. 2 11 2. 6 111 . 0 111 ' 0 110.0 109.6 109.7 109.3 109.4 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -0. 1 -0.4 -0.3 -0.9 -1 . 6 -0.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 -0.3 -0.8 -0.7 -0.1 0.3 -0.6 0. 1 -0.5 -1 . 3 0.3 0.4 0. 1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.5 -0.3 0.3 0.3 -0.3 0. 1 -0.2 -0.3 0. 1 -0. 1 . 0. 1 -0.0 0.0 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures Qndex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) t t • I J I· t Page 7 mark· Germany Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 88.8 96.0 100.0 97.3 94.5 97.4 95.6 99.8 104.0 1 0 5. 1 110.7 107.4 102.0 85.4 94.8 100.0 97.0 93.7 96.9 95.3 100.5 1 0 5. 1 106.4 11 2 . 1 108.0 1 01 . 3 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 81 . 7 94.7 100.0 98.7 95.1 98.9 98.4 102.7 104.7 1 0 5. 1 110.3 106.8 101.8 84.8 94.3 100.0 96.4 92.2 93.2 90.3 96.0 100.8 1 01 . 8 108.0 103.0 9 4. 1 au art e r I y ULCM 79.5 89.3 100.0 98.9 96.4 98.7 95.7 1 01 . 7 107.3 109.0 11 7. 6 112.5 103.2 9404 9501 ·9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 figures CPI GOP 106.7 11 0. 0 111 . 8 11 0. 2 11 0. 8 109.3 1 0 7. 0 107.5 106.0 103.8 1 02. 4 1 0 0. 2 1 01 . 7 108.0 111. 4 11 3. 3 111. 6 11 2 . 1 11 0. 3 107.8 107.9 106.0 103.4 1 01 . 7 99.3 100.6 (Index Deflator PX 106.5 109.8 111 . 5 109.8 11 0. 3 108.7 106.3 106.8 105.5 103.4 102.2 100.0 1 01 . 6 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 103.6 107.1 109.2 107.6 108.0 106.0 1.0 3. 1 102.7 100.2 9 7. 1 94.8 92.0 92.7 111 . 6 116.0 118.8 117.5 118.0 115.9 112.6 11 2. 1 109.5 106.2 103.9 100.9 1 01 . 9 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 95.0 98.4 100.0 97.2 95.2 95.1 93.8 97.2 105.6 106.5 110.8 106.0 1 01 . 7 91.9 97.3 1 0'0. 0 96.8 94.1 94.0 93.0 97.2 106. 1 107.3 111 . 8 106.1 100.4 (Index 1987•100) Deflator ULCE PX 86.0 96.6 100.0 98.9 95.6 96.4 96.5 100.0 105.0 1 0 5. 1 1 0 8. 1 103.7 100.0 90.5 96.5 100.0 96.5 92.8 90.4 88.4 93. 1 102.3 103.6 108.9 102.6 94.8 Quarterly ULCM 85.9 92.8 100.0 99.5 98.2 96.9 94.5 100.0 11 0. 6 113.4 121 . 3 114.2 105.5 9404 9501 9502 9•503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 . 9701 9702 9703 9704 figures CPI GOP 107.3 110.3 112.8 110.3 109.9 108.3 1 0 6. 1 105.9 103.9 102.5 1 0 2. 1 100.9 1 01 . 2 1 0 8. 1 111 . 3 113.8 111 . 2 110.8 108.9 106 .-4 105.9 103.5 101 . 7 100.9 99.5 99.6 (Index 1987-=100) Deflator PX ULCE 105.5 108.0 110.0 107.3 107.0 105.5 103.6 103.7 1 01 . 9 100.7 100.4 99.4 99.6 104.7 1 0 8. 1 110.9 108.5 108.0 105.9 1 0 3. 1 102.1 99.2 96.9 95.5 93.7 93.3 ULCM 11 5. 5 11 9. 9 123.5 1 21 . 1 120.6 11 8 . 1 114.8 113.6 110.3 107.7 106.2 104.2 103.9 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 '87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 98.4 99.1 100.0 99.0 97.2 9 6. 1 9 6. 1 99.0 106.3 107.2 110.3 1 06. 1 104.9 95.7 98.0 100.0 98.6 96.3 95.4 95.3 9 9. 1 106.7 107.8 111 . 2 106.3 103.7 Abbreviations: ( Index deflator PX 8 9. 1 96.8 100.0 99.9 96.7 96.9 97.7 100.6 105.7 1 o·5. 8 108.2 1 04. t .1 0 2. 3 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 94.0 97.3 100.0 98.8 96.5 93.8 92.3 96.3 104.0 105.5 109.9 104.5 99.6 88.8 93.3 100.0 1 01 . 7 100.8 98.5 96.7 1 01 . 1 109.6 11 3. 2 120.4 11 4. 6 109.5 Quarterly 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 figures CPI GOP 107.7 11 0. 4 1 12 . 1 109.5 109.3 107.6 105.9 105.8 105.0 104.8 105.0 104.7 104.9 108.5 111 . 3 113.0 110.4 1 1 0. 1 108.2 106.3 105.9 104.7 1 0 4. 1 103.9 103.5 103.5 (Index deflator PX 106.1 108.5 109.9 107.3 107.2 105.6 104.0 103.9 103.0 102.5 102.5 102.1 102.2 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 106.6 109.7 111 . 7 109.3 109.0 107.0 104.8 -103. 9 1 0 2. 1 100.8 100.0 99.0 98.6 115.4 11 9 '5 122.3 120.0 119.8 11 7. 6 11 5. 0 11 4. 0 11 2. 0 11 0. 7 109.9 108.9 108.6 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union ERM Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI Consumer P r I c e I n de x GOP =Gross Domestic Product Deflator c Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services PX Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry ULCM Page 8 Greece drachma Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual fi~ures Index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 136.7 11 0. 0 ·1 00. 0 94.0 87.5 80.4 72.0 67.1 62.3 59-.4 58.5 58.2 57.6 1 4 7. 1 11 3. 0 100.0 93.2 86.9 77.5 69.3 63.7 60.2 56.3 54.3 . 53. 1 52.3 t 0 Qua r t e r I y f i g u res Index (1987=100) ERM IC23 1 51 . 9 1 14 . 1 100.0 94.0 87.4 77.2 69.3 63.3 59.0 55.3 52.9 52.0 52.2 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 58.8 58.9 58.9 ~8.4 57.6 57.3 58.3 58.7 58.6 58.2 57.2 57. 1 57.8 to 55.2 55.0 54.9 54.2 53.0 52.5 53.4 53.4 53. 1 52.8 52. 1 52.2 52.2 Monthly figures monthly % change Relative to IC23 EUR15 ERM ERM 54. 1 53.8 53.4 52.7 51. 6 51 . 1 52.2 52.2 52.3 52.4 51 . 8 52.2 52.2 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 OEC97 -1 . 1 0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.7 -0.9 0. 1 -0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 -0.3 -1 . 0 0.4 0. 1 -0.2 -0.9 -0.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 -0.4 0.2 0.2 -0 ·. 2 -0.8 0.7 0.3 -0.2 -0.7 -0.8 0.4 0.8 0.2 -0.6 0.2 0.3 -0.1 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures. (Index 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) ~~.--------------~--------~ ~~--------------------------~ .. 400 ---~~: -------------------------------!--------------------------- ~ .. i 70 -\----- ----------------------------------------------------------- "\\ 300 ------------------- -------------------:--------------------------- ~ ------------- ___ :_._,.,.;,~- --------------------------------------- i 100 ---------------------------------------: \._ ·. ' ..., 200 ---------------------------- -- -~-----~----------------------- ---- ··~ .......... ----------------~-------- ···."::"'"'~ --- ·- .. ~·. ....... ·····-~­ ' 1977 1982 1987 1992 ··· 92Q1 93Q1 94Q1 9501 96Q1 97Q1 98Q1 1997 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures Ondex 1987 =100) 170.....-----~--......,....-------, 170,........--------------, 160 ---------------------------------------:------------------------.l.- :. 160 ------------------------- ---------------- .. ---------- -··:::t ----- 150 ----------------------------------------:--------------------:.. ---140 ------.. ---------------------------------~------------------ ------- ~ 150 ----------------------------------- _;_ ----,----- ~ 90 ------------ ---------------- ----· ----- ------------------------80---- - --------------------------------------------------------1977 Page 9 1982 1987 1992 1997 .~·: ______________ _ 111 . 9 103.0 100.0 97.7 96.5 1 01 . 4 1 01 . 8 102.5 100.8 1 01 . 3 102.4 106.4 109.2 11 8. 4 102.0 100.0 104.7 112.0 120.8 1 11 . 1 11 0. 5 107.9 113.7 121.4 129.1 135.51 117.5 102.4 100.0 111 . 0 125.8 1 31 . 2 1 31 . 7 129.7 127.3 133.7 145.2 1 51 . 8 158.5 ULCM 94Q4 9501 95Q2 9503 9504 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 9604 97Q1 9702 97Q3 97Q4 11 6. 4 11 8 . 1 119.5 1 20. 1 120.0 120.7 124.3 126.3 127.0 126.7 125.3 125.5 127.4 CPI 11 7. 8 119.5 120.9 1 21 . 5 1 21 . 3 122.0 125.7 127.9 1 2 9. 1 129.2 12 8. 2 128.9 1 31 . 1 GOP 1 01 . 5 102.2 102.6 102.6 102.3 102.8 106.0 108.0 109.0 1 09. 1 1 08. 2 108.8 110.8 118.4 102.2 100.0 103.9 106.3 1 09. 1 111 . 4 112.4 115.5 116.3 119.2 123.8 128.3 GOP figures 11 8. 5 105.0 100.0 98.0 97.2 99.8 100.6 100.5 J 00.5 100.7 100.3 103.9 107.7 128.0 104.2 100.0 105.0 113.4 119.6 110.7 108.9 108.9 114.3 120.7 127.9 135.9 Deflator ULCE PX 126.8 1 06. 1 100.0 111 . 4 1 2 7. 9 130.2 131 . 5 128.3 1 29. 0 13 5. 3 145.4 1 51 . 0 159.4 ULCM (Index 1987•100) 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 96Q4 9701 9702 97Q3 97Q4 GOP 116.7 11 '8. 1 119.6 11 9. 9 1 19 . 1 119.8 123.6 125.5 126.5 127.5 1 2 7. 1 128.6 129.9 CPI 11 5 .. 7 1 17 . 1 118.7 . 11 9. 0 118.2 118.9 122.6 124.2 124.8 125.3 124.5 125.6 126.5 13 8. 1 142.2 145.4 146.8 146.5 148.9 150.9 153.6 155.7 158.9 158.7 158.5 1 61 . 8 100.3 100.4 100.8 100.5 99.6 100.3 103.7 1 05. 4 106.3 1 07. 1 106.8 108.0 1 0 9. 1 11 6. 8 118.8 120.9 121 . 7 1 21 . 4 122.7 127.3 130.0 132.0 133.9 134.4 136.7 138.8 1 3 9. 1 142.7 146.0 147.0 145.9 146.2 150.5 152.8 154.7 156.9 157.6 160.4 162.6 ULCM (Index 1987•100). Deflator PX ULCE Quarterly figures 11 6. 8 11 9. 3 1 21 . 3 122.3 122.6 123.9 128.3 1 31 . 3 133.3 134.3 134.0 135.4 138.3 ULCM (Index 1987-100) De f I at or PX ULCE Qua r t e r I y figures Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) 11 0. 6 99.9 100.0 103.9 105.4 110.8 112.8 114.9 11 5. 4 118.7 120.8 1 26. 1 129.3 De f I at or PX ULCE (Index 1987=100) 112.6 1 01 . 0 100.0 104.5 1 0 6. 1 108.1 111 . 2 11 2. 0 114.4 115.2 11 7. 2 122.0 127.3 CPI Annual 1-22. 4 105.4 100.0 98.6 98.2 100.3 1 01 . 5 100.8 100.7 100.9 100.0 103.9 1 09. 1 129.7 105.0 100.0 106.7 11 6. 4 122.6 11 4. 2 111 . 4 109.8 11 5. 3 120.9 128.9 139.8 deflator PX ULCE 130.4 107.0 100.0 11 2. 7 129.5 13 1 . 1 133.0 128.6 127.2 133.8 142.8 149.5 1 61 . 3 ULCM (Index 1987=100) 9404 9501 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 9604 9701 9702 97Q3 9704 GOP 11 6. 4 11 7. 3 11 8. 3 11 8. 6 11 7. 9 11 8. 7 122.9 124.8 126.8 128.7 128.9 1 31 . 2 132.4 CPI 11 5. 5 11 6. 4 117.4 11 7. 8 11 7. 1 11 7. 8 1 21 . 8 123.5 125.0 126.4 1 2 6. 1· 127.9 128.8 100.4 100.3 100.3 1 0 0. 1 99.4' 1 0 0. 1 103.7 105.3 106.8 108.1 107.9 109.7 110.6 133.9 136.9 138.0 1 41 . 3 143.3 ~130.9 117.7 11 9. 4 120.9 1 21 . 7 1 21 . 5 1 2 2 .'9 128.1 Page 10 137.5 140.5 1 43. 1 144.2 143.3 143.9 148.7 1 51 . 2 154.3 157.8 159.2 183.0 185.3 ULCM (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE Quarterly figures IC23 = 23 Industrial Countries 15 Member States of the European Union EUR15 Countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism ERM CPI =Consumer Price Index = Grriss Domestic Product Deflator GOP -Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services PX 'ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry ULCM 122.0 102.9 100.0 105.3 108.1 110.3 113.4 113.7 115. 4' 11 6 . 1 118.0 123.2 130.3 GOP figures Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) 109.8 100.4 100.0 1 03. 1 104.6 107.3 109.4 110.8 114.5 115.3 118.2 122.6 125.5 CPI Annual 103.3 98.4 100.0 103.2 103.6 108.7 110.4 11 2. 8 11 3. 9 115.4 119.4 124.5 126.2 GOP figures AbbreviatIons: 92 93 94 95 96 97 91 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 eo· 85 86 87 88 89 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 .92 93 94 95 96 97 CPI Annual drachma Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) · Greece Spain peseta Nominal Effective Exchange Rate l IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 96.9 98.3 100.0 104.2 109. 1 114.4 11 5. 2 113. 2 100.2 94.9 96.1 97.7 93.6 107.2 102.2 100.0 103.4 1 0 9. 1 11 0. 7 11 1 . 6 108.6 98.4 92.4 91 . 1 91 . 5 8 8. 1 to M~nthly figures monthly % change Ou a r t e r I f i g u res index ( 987=100) Annual f iyures index (198 =100) ERM IC23 111 . 9 103.5 100.0 104.5 109.9 11 0 . 1 111 . 2 107.4 9 6. 1 90.2 88.0 88.7 87.3 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 95.4 93.6 95.7 97.2 98.1 98.9 97.9 97.4 96.6 94.6 93.9 92.6 93.5 I t 92.0 89.2 91 . 2 9 2. 1 92. 1 92.9 92.0 91. 1 9 0. 1 88.7 88.4 87.7 87.8 0 ERM 89.7 86.5 87.9 88.9 88.8 89.6 8 9. 1 88.2 87.9 87.4 87.4 87.3 87.3 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Relative IC23 EUR15 to ERM -0.8 -0.5 -1 . 4 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.7 -1 . 0 -0.3 1.0 0.4 0.3 -0.4 -0.4 0.0 -0.7 0.0 0.3 0. 1 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 0. 1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.7 -0.3 -0.9 0.0 0.0 0. 1 -0.4 -0.7 0. 1 0.4 0.0 -0.3 -0.2 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual ftgtns fandex 1987=100) Quarterly figures (index 1987 =100) 110 -~-~-~-\- --------------------------------------------,------ '\ 100 ~"'~ ~.··.~ -----------------~--\ . --------------------------------------------··\.: ····~-....... ,...,..., 90 ------------------------- ____._._ ...... ~\/------;-.. ... ..---'------------- ·...·· .....' .:"::-: Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Quarterly figures Ondex 1987 =100) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) 130 ----------------------------------------(--- ---,;,· ~fm 110 1977 Page 11 1982 1987 1992 1997 :" Spain peseta Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 90.9 97.0 100.0 104.8 111 . 2 118.2 119.9 120.0 107.9 103.5 106.0 108.0 1 0 3. 1 90.6 .97. 0 100.0 1 0 5. 1 11 2 . 1 119.9 122.6 123.4 110.0 105.0 107.8 109.9 104.7 (index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 94.7 97.4 100.0 103.6 107.4 11 2. 8 11 4. 0 115 . 1 104.5 1 01 . 2 104.2 106.6 103.5 93. 1 97.1 100.0 1 06. 1 112.5 1 21 . 4 124.4 126.4 114.0 1 0 6. 1 1 0 6. 1 1 0 9. 1 104.7 Quarterly ULCM 95.9 98.0 100.0 107.4 116.8 1 2 8. 1 130.1 13 1 . 1 120.1 11 0. 4 108.6 11 5. 4 11 2. 3 9404 -9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 figures CPI GOP 104.5 102.9 105.5 107.3 108.4 109.4 108.3 107.7 106.7 104.4 103.4 1 01 . 8 102.8 1 06. 1 104.5 107.3 109.2 110;3 1 11 . 4 110.2 109.5 108.5 106.0 1 05. 1 103.4 104.4 (Index Deflator PX 102.5 1 01 . 0 103.7 105.5 106.6 107.6 106.7 106.4 105.9 1 0 4. 1 103.7 102.5 103.6 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 105.7 103.3 105.5 107.2 108.6 110.0 109.3 1 0 9. 1 108.2 105.9 105.0 103.5 104.6 108.8 105.6 107.5 1.09. 5 111 . 9 114.6 115.2 116.0 115.7 113.5 112.6 110.9 112.0 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 83 94 95 98 97 figures CPI GOP 98.3 99.7 100.0 105.0 112.8 116.7 118.9 118.0 108.7 103.9 104.5 105.9 102.2 98.8 99.9 100.0 1 0 5. 1 113.5 117.8 1 21 . 0 120.7 110.2 104.9 105.8 107.3 103.5 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 101 . 8 99.7 100.0 103.9 108.5 110.8 112.3 11 2. 5 104.0 100.4 1 01 . 4 103.5 1 01 . 6 1 01 . 0 99.8 100.0 106.4 114.2 119.7 123.4 124.3 115.0 107.0 1 05. 1 107.6 104.7 au art e r I y ULCM 105.9 102.6 100.0 107.9 11 9 . 1 126.8 129.2 129.4 1 21 . 5 11 2 . 1 108.0 114.0 11 2 . 1 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 figures CPI GOP 104.3 1 01 . 6 104.4 105.9 106.2 107.3 106.5 105.5 104.3 102.8 102.5 1 01 . 7 1 01 . 8 105.4 1 02. 8 105.6 107.2 107.6 108.8 107.9 108.9 1 05. 7 1 04. 1 . 103.7 103.0 1 03. 1 (Index Deflator PX 1 01 . 1 98.6 1 01 . 3 102.8 103.2 104.4 103.8 1.03. 3 102.7 101 . 7 101 . 8 1 01 . 4 1 01 . 6 1987•100) ULCE ULCM 106.0 102.5 104.8 106.3 106.9 108.4 108.1 107.5 106.5 1 0 5. 1 104.9 104.3 104.6 109.7 105.3 107.3 109.0 110.4 113.3 11 4. 1 114.5 114.0 11 2. 7 11 2. 4 111 . 8 111 . 8 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual figures CPI 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 1 01 . 5 100.4 100.0 106.6 11 4. 8 117.9 121.2_ 119.6 109.0 104.0 103.7 105.6 104.2 GOP 102.7 100.7 100.0 106.9 11 5. 9 11 9 . 5 123.7 122.6 110.5 105.1 105.0 1 07. 1 105.8 Abbreviations: (Index deflator PX 106:0 100.2 100.0 104.8 109.7 111 . 6 113.6 113.2 104.4 100.8 1 01 . 3 103.8 103.4 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 104.9 100.7 100.0 108.6 118.0 123.5 128.3 128.0 11 6. 6 108.6 105.7 109.0 108.8 109.8 103.6 100.0 109.6 1 21 . 2 128.2 1 31 . 4 130.2 120.3 111. 2 106.5 113.3 11 4. 6 au art e r I y 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 figures CPI GOP 1 04. 3 1 01 . 2 103.4 104.9 1 05. 3 106.4 106.0 1 0 5. 1 104.8 104.2 104.3 104.2 104.2 105.5 102.4 104.7 106.3 106.7 107.9 107.6 106.7 106.4 105.7 105.9 105. 8 105.9 (Index deflator PX 1987=100) ULCE 107.4 10 1 . 4 103.5 98.6 105.3 100.9 106.7 102.6 107.4 103.1 1 0 9. 1 104.3 109.2 1 0 4. 1 108.8 103.4 108.8 103.4 1 0 3. 1 . 108.4 108.7 103.4 108.8 103.4 109. 1 103.5 ULCM 108.9 104.2 105.6 107.3 108.8 111 . 8 113.3 113.8 114.4 .11 4. 2 114.6 114.7 114.9 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 = 15 Member States of the European Union ERM Coun~ries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI: Consumer Price Index GOP Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ULCE =Nominal Unit Labour Cost In total Economy ULCM -Nominal Unit Labour Cost ·in Manufacturing industry Page 12 France - franc Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual f i¥ures Index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative to EUR15 ERM 92.0 98.1 100.0 98.4 97.4 103.5 101 . 9 106.1 109.2 111 . 5 116. 7 117. 6 113. 6 99.6 1 01 . 2 100.0 98.0 97.7 1 00. 1 99. 1 1 0 2. 1 109.0 11 0. 6 11 3. 5 11 2. 8 109.6 Monthly f lgures monthly % change Quarterll figures index ( 987=100) IC23 104.4 102.6 100.0 99.0 98.3 99.3 98.5 100.6 105.9 107.6 109.0 108.9 108.9 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 Relative t 0 EUR15 ERM 11 3 . 1 11 4. 9 11 6. 3 117. 4 11 8. 2 1 18 . 1 117.5 117.7 11 7. 0 115.0 113.7 111 . 6 113.9 111 . 1 11 2. 2 11 3. 8 11 4 . 1 11 3 . 9 11 3. 7 11 3. 3 11 2 . 8 111 . 5 11 0 . 3 109.8 108.8 109.6 Relative t 0 IC23 EUR15 ERM 107.9 108.4 1 09. 1 109.4 109.2 109.0 109.2 108.7 108.7 108.7 108.8 108.6 109.4 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 .,JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.7 -0.8 -0.7 o.o -0.3 -0.4 -0.9 -1 . 5 -0. 1 1.5 0.8 0.6 -0.3 -0.5 -0.6 -0. 1 0.4 -0.4 -0.1 -0.5 -1 . 1 0.4 0.7 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.2 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) 1~~---------------~--------~ 118 116 --------------------------------------- -------------- ------------ 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 9301 9401 9501 9601 9701 98Q1 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures ~ndex Quarterly figures (index 1987 =100) 1987 =100) 90 ~~~~·~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1972 Page 13 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 France franc Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 93.3 98.7 ' 100. 0 97.1 94.6 98.3 94.7 96.3 97.3 97.8 100.6 100.3 95.5 92.5 99.1 100.0 96.9 94.0 97.7 94.3 95.8 97.4 97.8 100.6 99.6 95.1 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 92.7 99.5 100.0 97.9 96.5 99.5 97.1 98.5 97.2 99.5 1 01 . 1 100.0 96.6 96.4 100.6 100.0 95.5 92.0 9 5. 1 91.4 93.0 95.7 96.0 99.7 99.2 94.4 Quarterly figures ULCM 94.8 99.5 100.0 94. 1 90.1 94.3 92.6 94.7 97.0 94.8 96.9 95.9 89.9 94Q4 95Q1 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 97Q1 97Q2 9703 97Q4 CPI GOP 98.6 99.7 100. 4 101.0 1 01 . 4 101. 1 100.4 100.3 99.3 97.2 95.8 93.7 95.4 98.6 99.8 100.5 101 . 0 1 01 . 2 100.6 99·. 7 99.5 98.7 96.7 95.4 93.4 9 5. 1 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE '1 00. 4 101.0 1 01 . 1 10 1 . 1 1 01 . 2 100.6 99.9 100.0 99.4 97.7 96.7 95.0 96.9 ULCM 96.9 98.4 99.5 100.2 100.7 100.2 \99.3 9 9. 1 98.1 96.0 94.6 92.6 94.2 94.8 95.9 96.7 97.3 97.7 97.2 96.2 95.7 94.4 92.0 90.3 88.1 89.5 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the, European Union as a whole .(EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 99.8 1 01 . 1 100.0 97.3 95.8 96.4 93.3 93.9 98.4 98.8 100.0 98.7 95.1 99.7 1 01 . 8 100.0 96.9 94.9 95.4 92.5 92.9 97.9 98.2 99.5 97.7 94.4 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 98.6 1 01 . 7 100.0 98.2 97.4 97.2 95.4 95.8 96.9 99.1 98.5 96.9 94.8 103.5 103.2 100.0 95.8 93.0 93.0 90.1 90.5 96.8 97.4 99.9 98.7 95.3 Quarterly figures ULCM 103.6 103.9 100.0 94.5 91 . 5 92.5 91 . 5 92.7 98.8 97.1 97.8 95.8 90.8 CPI 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 .9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 97Q4 98.7 99.3 100.3 100.4 100.0 99.7 99.3 98.6 97.4 96. 1 95.4 94.3 94.8 GOP (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 99. 1 98.9 99.0 98.4 97.7 97.4 97.1 96.9 96.0 95.1 94.9 94.1 95.0 98.2 98.9 99.9 99.8 99.3 98.8 98. 1 97.5 96.3 95. 1 94.6 93.6 94.2 ULCM 96.5 97.1 98.2 98.2 97.8 97.3 96.5 95.5 93.8 92.1 91 . 1 89.8 90.2 97.7 98.7 100.2 100.4 1 00. 1 99.8 99.2 98.5 97.3 96.1 95.5 94.5 95.2 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange · Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual figures CPI 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 GOP 103.3 104.0 1 01 . 9 102.7 100.0 100.0 98.9 98.6 97.0 97.4 96.7 97.3 94.6 95.2 9 5. 1 94.1 98.3 97.8 98.798. 1 98.7 98.2 98.0 97.0 97.2 96.7 Abbreviations: (Index 1987-100) deflator PX ULCE .. IC23 EUR15 ERM CPI GOP PX ULCE ULCM 102.9 102.3 100.0 99.0 98.5 97.8 96.4 96.1 97.2 99.4 98.0 96.9 96.6 107.9 104.3 100.0 97.8 96.2 96. 1 93.7 93.0 97.8 98.5 99.9 99.7 99.4 Quarterly figures ULCM 107.9 105.2 100.0 95.9 93.0 93.3 92.9 92.9 97.1 95.9 95.7 94.7 92.9 94Q4 9501 9502 95Q3 9504 96Q1 9602 9603 96Q4 9701 97Q2 9703 9704 CPI GOP 98.4 98.6 98.9 98.9 98.6 98.3 98.3 97.8 97,6 97.4 97.3 96.9 97.4 97.9 9 8. 1 98.4 98.4 97.8 97.4 97.3 96.7 96.7 96.6 96.7 96.5 97.0 (Index 1987=100) deflator ULCE PX 99.3 98.7 98.3 97.9 97.3 97.0 97.2 96.7 96.6 96.5 96.5 96.3 97.0 98.7 99.3 100.0 100.3 1 0 0. 1 99.9 99.9 99.4 99.3 99.3 99.4 99.2 99.9 ULCM 95.3 95.4 95.8 96.0 95.7 95.4 95.2 94.4 93.9 93.3 92.9 92.4 92 .. 9 = 23 Industrial Countries 15 Member States of the European Union =Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism Consumer Price Index =Gross Domestic Product Deflator =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry Page 14 Ireland pound Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Qua r t e r I y Annual f tyures index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 95.4 10 1 . 3 100.0 98.6 97.8 103.6 102.6 105.9 100.4 1 01 . 2 10 1 . 8 104.6 106.9 102.4 104.0 100.0 98.4 98.3 10 1 . 3 100.9 103.3 100.8 10 1 . 5 100.6 102.5 105.7 to f i g u res (1987=100) Index IC23 ERM 1 11 . 0 106.5 100.0 100.6 99.8 1 o·o. 2 100.5 10 1 . 1 96.1 96.9 93.9 96.4 104.4 9404 \ 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 102.2 1 01 . 6 101. 5 1 02. 1 102.0 102.5 103.7 104.9 107.4 109.6 106.7 106.5 104.9 1 01 . 7 100.7 100.6 100.8 100.0 100.6 102.0 102.7 1-()4. 8 107.8 105.5 1 0 6. 1 103.4 t0 Monthly figures monthly % change ERM 96.8 94.9 93.7 93.9 92.9 93.5 95.6 96.3 100.2 105.1 103.9 105.9 103.0 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APA97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Relative IC23 EUR15 t0 1.2 0.4 0.5 -0.4 -0.5 -3.0 -0.1 0.9 -0.3 0.5 -2.2 1.0 -0.7 2. 1 1.5 1.7 -0.1 -0.1 -2.8 0.8 2.9 -0.2 -1 . 0 -2.6 0.9 -0.3 1.4 0.7 1.0 -=-0.1 -0.7 -2.7 0.2 1.3 0.2 -0.2 -2.6 0.4 -0.5 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Quarterty figures (Index 1987 =100) Annual figures (Index 1987=100) 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) Quarter1y figures Qndex 1987 =100) 110-- - -------------------------· -- -"--------------------------100 --90-80 --- ----------------------- --70 -- -- -- ---- oo~--~~--~~--~~~~~~~ 1972 Page 15 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 ~ ~ 70------------------ ERM Ireland pound Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX UlCE CPI GOP 96.4 102.6 100.0 98.6 9 7. 1 100.2 96.9 98.3 91 . 9 92.5 92.5 93.8 95.0 95.5 103.1 100.0 97.6 97. 1 97.3 93.3 94.5 90.6 90.2 88.7 90.0 91 . 3 97.5 1 0 2. 1 100.0 1 01 . 8 102.4 98.0 95.6 96.1 94.2 94.5 93.9 95.0 95.4 96.3 104.0 100.0 97.5 92.6 92.4 88.4 90.5 8 7. 1 85.9 81 . 1 79.9 81 . 3 Quarterly figures UlCM 108.0 111 . 0 100.0 93.3 88.1 90.4 8 7. 1 84.8 80.6 77.7 69.6 69.4 70.2 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 9602 96Q;J 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX UlCE CPI GOP 93.4 92.7 92.4 92.7 92.3 92.4 93. 1 93.9 95.8 97.5 94.8 94.5 93.0 90.2 89.2 88.6 88.8 88.3 88.4 89.3 90.2 92.2 94.0 91 . 4 90.9 89.2 94.8 94. 1 93.7 94. 1 93.6 93.7 94.4 95.1 96.9 98.5 95.5 94.9 92.8 UlCM 85.0 83.0 81 . 4 80.7 79.4 78.9 79.3 79.8 81 . 6 83.3 81 . 2 81 . 0 79.7 75.1 72. 1 69.8 68.7 67.9 68.0 68.8 69.6 71 . 0 72.3 70.1 69.8 68.6 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 88 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 102.6 104.8 100.0 98.7 98. 1 98.8 95.9 96.5 92.6 93.2 91 . 9 92.6 94.8 102.3 105.5 100.0 97.6 98.0 95.5 92.0 92.3 90.9 90.4 87.7 88.5 90.9 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX UlCE 103.3 104.0 100.0 1 0 2. 1 103.4 96.3 94.4 94.1 94.0 94.0 91 . 7 92.5 94.0 102.6 106.3 100.0 97.7 . 93.5 90.6 87.3 88.4 87.6 86.7 80.9 79.3 81 . 9 Quarterly figures UlCM 116.8 115.2 100.0 93.7 89.3 89.0 86. 1 83.3 81 . 4 79.0 69.9 69.1 70.7 9404 95Q_1 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 CPI GOP 93.4 92.4 92.1 92.0 91.0 91 . 2 92.3 92.6 94.3 96.8 94.6 95.2 92.8 89.8 88.5 87.9 87.7 86.7 87.0 88. 1 88.6 90.4 92.9 90.8 91 . 2 88.6 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX UlCE 93.5· 92.3 91.9 91 . 9 90.9 91 . 1 9 2". 1 92.5 94.1 96.4 94.1 94.2 91 . 3 ULCM 85.3 83.0 81 . 6 80.4 78.7 78.3 78.9 79.2 80.8 83.2 81 . 7 82.3 80.3 76.0 72.6 70.3 68.9 67.7 67.8 68.8 69.3 70.6 72.3 '70. 6 70.9 69.0 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual I 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 f lgures CPI GOP 109.1 106.3 100.0 1 0 2. 1 1 01 . 6 100.5 99.6 98.8 92.4 92.9 89.7 91 . 1 98.2 11 0. 2 107.0 100.0 10 1 . 1 102.3 98.0 96.0 94.7 90.8 90.: 85.7 87.4 94.7 Abbreviations: (Index 1987=100) deflator PX UlCE 111. 9 104.9 100.0 1 03'. 8 105.8 97.6 96.5 94.9 94.9 94.9 91 . 3 92.8 97.4 11 0. 2 108.1 100.0 1 01 . 9 99.8 96.5 94.4 93.5 89.5 88.9 81 . 2 80.5 87.9 Quarterly figures UlCM 125.5 11 7. 5 100.0 96.4 91 . 8 90.2 88.4 8 3. 1 78.5 76.8 66.7 67.0 72.8 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 96Q2 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9_7Q4 (index 1987.:100) de.f lator PX UlCE CPI GOP 92.8 91 . 0 89.7 89.6 88.5 88.8 90.4 90.9 94.4 98.8 97.6 99.5 96.9 89.4 87.2 85.7 85.5 84.4 84.8 86. 6 ' 87.3 90.9 95.4 94.3 96.0 93.2 9 4. 1 92.3 91 . 1 91 . 4 90.4 90.8 92.4 92.6 95.5 99.3 97.2 98.3 94.9 8 7. 1 84.1 81 . 5 80.4 78.7 78.5 79.8 80.2 83.6 88 .. o 87.3 89.3 87.0 UlCM 73.8 69.9 66.9 65.7 64.4 64.8 66.4 6 7. 1 69.8 73.2 72.4 73.8 71 . 9 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union ERM Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI Consumer Price Index GOP =Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services UlCE Nominal Unit labour Cost in total Economy Nominal Unit labour Cost In Manufacturing industry UlCM Page 16 Italy lira Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual fl,ures index (198 =100) IC23 Relative EUR15 85 . 92.0 86 97.8 100.0 87 97.5 88 89 98.5 90 1 0 2. 1 10 1 . 1 91 92 98.9 83.3 93 81 . 2 94 95 74.8 82.7 96 97 83.4 10 1 . 1 1 01 . 4 100.0 96.8 98.3 98.0 97.4 93.8 81 . 2 78.0 69.8 76. 1 7 7. 1 Monthly figures monthly % change Ouarterll figures index ( 987=100) to ERM IC23 106.0 102.9 100.0 97.6 98.8 97. 1 96.5 9 2. 1 78.2 75.0 66. 1 72.6 75.4 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 79.9 76.0 71 . 4 75.5 76.5 79.6 82.5 83.7 84.9 83.9 83.2 82.8 83.7 75.7 71 . 4 66.9 70.4 70.6 73.6 76.4 76.9 77.6 77.2 77.0 77.3 77.0 t 0 ERM 72.5 68.0 63.2 66.6 66.8 69.7 72.8 73.3 74.6 75.0 7 5. 1 75.9 75.6 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Relative IC23 EUR15 to ERM 1.0 0.0 -1. 9 -1 . 3 0.7 -0.0 -0.0 -0.5 -0.6 1.3 0.2 0 .. 6 -0.3 1.5 0.7 -1. 0 -1.0 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.7 -0.3 0. 1 -0.4 -0.0 0.0 1.2 0.3 -1. 3 -1 . 0 0.5 0.3 0.4 -0. 1 -0.1 0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0. 1 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures ~ndex Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) 1987 =100) 110 ..........---~~~---------, ~ ~ 1972 19n 1982 1987 1992 1997 92Q1 9301 9401 9501 96Q1 9701 9801 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures Ondex 1987 =100) ro~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1972 ·Page 17 19n 1982 1987 1992 1997 Italy lira Real Effective· Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 88.1 96.3 100.0 99.5 102.2 107.3 108.0 106.7 91 . 0 89.4 84.3 94.3 94.4 87.3 95.6 100.0 100.0 1"02.4 109.0 110.6 108.4 91 . 7 89.4 83.7 94.6 95.2 (index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 91 . 8 97.8 100.0 97.6 1 00. 1 105.3 106.0 104.9 95.6 92.7 91 . 1 1 01 . 0 101.8 89.4 96.4 100.0 99.8 102.6 11 0. 1 111 . 9 108.9 90.4 86.3 78.7 89. 1 91 . ~ Quarterly figures ULCM 93.4 97.9 100.0 98.3 102.6 108.3 109.8 105.8 88.7 84.8 76.8 86.9 90.8 CPI GOP 88.4 84.8 80.3 85.5 87.0 90.8 94.3 95.5 96.7 95.4 94.3 93.5 8 8. 1 84.2 79.6 84.7 86.4 90.6 94.4 96.0 97.4 96.2 95. 1 94.4 95.2 - 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 9602 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 94~3 (index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 92.5 90.3 86.8 93.1 94.5 98.1 1 01 . 0 1 01 . 9 103.3 102.3 1 01 . 6 1 0.1 . 2 102.2 84.1 79.8 74.9 79.3 80.8 84.8 88.6 90.6 92.5 92.0 91 . 5 91 . 1 91 . 9 ULCM 82.4 78.1 73.1 77.4 78.7 82.5 86.3 88.4 . 90.6 90.5 90.5 90.4 91. 6 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP '95. 1 98.9 100.0 99.6 103.6 105.4 106.7 1 04. 1 91.6 89.5 82.9 92.2 93.6 95.0 98.6 100.0 100.0 103.7 106.5 108.8 105.2 91 . 8 89.1 81 . 8 92.1 94.2 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 98.6 100.2 100.0 97.9 101 . 1 103.0 104.3 1 0 2. 1 95.1 91 . 9 88. 1 97.6 100.0 96.8 99. 1 100.0 1 0 0. 1 104.2 108.2 111 . 0 106.5 91 . 2 86.9 77.7 87.8 92.2 Quarterly figures CPI ULCM 103.4 102.9 100.0 98.7 104.8 106.8 109.0 103.8 89. 9. 86.2 76.5 86.1 91 . 5 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 .9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 87.7 83.6 79.2 84.0 84.8 88.8 92.5 93.3 94.2 93.8 93.5 93.8 93.5 GOP {Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 90.7 87.7 84.2 90.0 90.8 94.5 97.9 98.5 99.6 99.6 99.8 100.4 100.2 87.0 82.5 78.0 82.8 83.9 88.2 92.3 93.5 94.5 94.3 94.0 94.4 ' 94. 0 ULCM 83.1 7 8. 1 73.1 77.1 77.7 81.7 85.8 87.6 89.5 90.4 91 . 1 92.2 92.2 83.9 79.0 74.2 78.4 79.3 83.4 87.7 89.3 91.1 91 . 6 92.0 92.8 92.6 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 98.2 99.6 100.0 1 01 . 2 105.5 106.6 109.1 105.8 91 . 6 &9.4 81 . 8 91 . 8 95.7 98.9 99.3 100.0 1 01 . 7 106.0 108.3 111 . 6 107.0 91 . 8 89.0 80.7 ·91 . 8 96.6 Abbreviations: (Index 1987=100) de f I at or. PX ULCE 102.8 100.8 100.0 98.6 102.3 103.7 105.6 102.7 95.3 92.1 87.6 97.8 10 1 . 9 100.7 100.1 100.0 102.2 108.0 112 . 1 11 5. 8 109.8 92.1 87.8 77.6 88.8 96.1 Quarterly figures ULCM 107.7 104.0 100.0 100.3 1 0 7'. 0 108.3 11 1 . 4 104.7 88.7 85.3 74.9 85.5 93.8 94Q4 9501 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 9604 9701 9702 97Q3 97Q4 CPI GOP 87.5 82.9 77.9 82.8 83.7 87.8 92.0 92.9 94.7 95.2 95.4 96.4 96.0 86.7 81 . 8 76.7 81 . 6 82.8 87.2 91 . 9 9 3. 1 95.2 95.9 96.2 97.3 96.9 (Index ·1987•100) deflator ~X 90.7 87.4 83.4 89.5 90.4 94.2 9 8. 1 98.6 100.4 1 01 . 1 1 01 . 5 102.7 102.3 ULCE 84.7 79.3 73.8 78.2 79.2 83.6 88.5 90.3 93.1 94.6 95.6 97.2 97.0 ULCM 82.2 76.8 71 . 4 75.4 76.2 80.4 85.1 87.0 90.0 91 . 8 93.2 95.1 95.3 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 = 15 Member States of the European Union ERM Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI a .Consumer Price Index GOP • Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX • Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ULCE =Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCM Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry . Page 18 Netherlands guilder Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual fi~ures index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 87.2 94.8 100.0 100.0 99.4 103.4 103.2 1 0 6. 1 11 0. 0 111 . 7 117 . 1 11 5. 4 11 0. 8 91 . 7 96.7 100.0 99.8 99.5 1 01 . 0 1 01 . 0 103.0 109.0 109.9 11 3 . 7 11 0 . 9 106.9 au a r t e r I y f I g u res index (1987=100) to ERM IC23 95.2 97.7 100.0 100.7 1 0 0. 1 100.2 100.5 1 01 ,. 7 10 6. 1 107.0 109.5 107.3 105.8 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 11 3 . 3 11 6. 0 11 8. 0 11 6. 9 11 7 . 6 11 6 . 7 11 5. 2 11 5. 4 11 4. 1 11 2. 2 1 11 . 2 109.5 110.5 to 11 0. 7 11 2. 9 11 5. 0 11 3 . 4 11 3. 5 11 2. 5 111 . 1 11 0 . 8 109.2 107.8 107.2 106.2 106.2 Monthly figures monthly % change Relative IC23 EUR15 ERM 107.6 109.2 11 0. 5 109.0 1 0 9. 1 108.2 107.3 107.0 106.5 106.0 106.0 105.6 105.6 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.7 -0.8 -0.6 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.6 -1.3 -0. 1 0.9 0.3 0.2 -0.2 -0.6 -0.6 -0.2 -0.0 -0.4 '0. 1 -0.4 -1.0 0.2 0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.1 ~ndex 1987 =100) to ERM -0.4 -0.3 0. 1 -0.0 -0.1 0. 1 -0. 1 -0.3 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual flglres (index 1987 =100) Quarterly figures 1~~--~--------------~--~ 118 ------------------------ :___________ ---- --------------------------- Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures ~ndex Quarterly figures (Index 1987=100) 1987 = 100) 8887 . ------- ·----· ---~~~~~~~----~------~~ 1972 Page 19 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 869101 92Q1 9301 94Q1 95Q1 9601 9701 98Q1 Netherlands gu_ilder Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Ann u a. I figures 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 CPI GOP 92.0 97.7 100.0 97. 1 93.2 94.8 92.9 94.3 96. 1 97.0 100.3 97.4 93.2 95.0 99.0 100.0 97.4 93.5 95.0 92.7 93.3 95.2 96.1 99.4 96.8 92.8 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 106.2 100.4 100.0 97.7 96.4 98.3 96.8 96.7 96.3 96.5 99.4 97.2 94.2 90.7 96.5 100.0 97.2 91 . 2 91 . 1 89.3 91 . 1 94.0 93.9 97.6 94.8 91 . 7 Quarterly figures ULCM 89.6 96.0 100.0 96.7 90.9 91 . 1 89.5 92.8 95.9 92.4 94.1 91 . 4 87.4 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 CPI GOP 98.0 100.0 1 01 . 2 99.8 100.0 98.9 97.4 97.3 96. 1 94.4 93.5 92.0 92.8 97.1 99.0 100.4 99.0 99.3 98.2 96.8 96.8 95.6 93.9 93.1 91 . 6 92.5 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 97.4 99.2 100.3 98.9 99.2 98.2 96.9 97.3 96.5 95. 1 94.5 ,93. 2 94.0 94.9 97.1 98.6 97.4 97.5 96.3 94.7 94.7 93.8 92.5 92.0 90.8 91 . 8 ULCM ' 92. 1 93.7 94.9 93.7 93.9 92.8 91.4 91 . 3 90.2 88.8 87.8 86.3 86.9 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15). Annual 85 88 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 96.1 99.2 100.0 97.3 94.0 93.6 92.0 92.7 96.5 97.1 99.5 96.1 92.7 99.8 100.7 100.0 97.5 94.2 93.5 91.6 91 . 4 95.1 95.9 98.3 95.2 92. 1 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX .ULCE 11 0. 8 1 01 . 8 100.0 98.0 9 7. 1 96.9 95.7 94.9 95.9 95.9 97.4 95.0 93.0 94.8 98.0 100.0 97.4 92.0 89.9 88.5 89.5 94.4 94.3 97.2 94.0 92.0 Quarterly figures CPI ULCM 94.7 98.6 100.0 97.1 92.0 90.1 88.8 91 . 5 96.6 93.3 94.2 91 . 0 87.8 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 9601 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 97.7 99.3 100.8 99. 1 98.8 97.7 96.3 95.9 94.5 93.4 93.0 92. 1 -92.3 GOP (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 96.2 97.5 98.6 96.9 96.7 95.9 95.0 95.1 94.1 93.4 93.3 92.6 92.6 96.4 98. 1 99.5 97.9 97.7 96.7 95.4 95. 1 93.8 92.7 92.3 91 . 5 91 . 7 94.8 96.8 98.5 96.9 96.6 95.4 94.0 93.8 92.8 92. 1 92.2 91. 7 92.1 ULCM 92.7 94.0 •95. 4 93.7 93.5 92.5 91 . 2 90~9 89.6 88.6 ·88.2 87.3 87.2 Real Effective· Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 98.7 99.8 100.0 98.7 95.5 94.4 93.7 93.9 96.5 97.1 98.5 ,95. 6 94.5 103.2 1 01 . 4 100.0 99.0 96. 1 94.7 93.5 92.6 95.1 lo 95.8 97.3 94.8 94. 1 Abbreviat,ions: (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 115 . 1 102.2 100.0 98,. 7 98.1 97.4 96.7 95.2 96.0 96. 1 97.0 95. 1 94.4 97.9 98.-7 100.0 99.3 94.9 92.6 91 . 8 91 . 9 95.3 95.3 97.4 95.0 95.5 Quarter I y figures ULCM 97.7 99.5 100.0 98.5 93.5 90.9 90.2 91 . 8 95.3 92.3 92.4 90.2 89.6 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q_4 (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP .97. 5 98.8 99.6 97.9 97.7 96.6 95.7 95.3 94.9 94.6 94.6 94.4 94.5 96.2 97.4 98.3 96.7 96.6 95.7 94.8 94.6 94.2 94.0 94. 1 94.0 94. 1 96.3 97.3 98.0 96.4 96.4 95.7 95.0 95.0 94.7 94. 5 94.6 94.4 94.3 95.8 97.3 98.4 96.9 96.7 95.7 94.8 94.7 94.6 94.9 95.4 95.7 9 6. 1 ULCM 91 . 6 92.6 93.4 91 . 9 91 . 8 90.9 90.2 90. 1 89.7 89.6 89.7 89 . 5 89.5 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union ERM Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI Consumer Price Index GOP Gross Domestic Product Deflator Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services PX Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCE. ULCM =Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry Page 20 Austria schilling Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual f iyures index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 88. 1 95.3 100.0 100.2 99.9 103.5 103.4 106.3 109.9 111 . 4 11 6. 2 11 4. 5 111 . 5 92.7 97.2 100.0 99.9 99.6 100.8 100.9 102.7 108.4 109.3 11 2. 7 109.8 10 7. 1 to Monthly figures monthly % change Ouarterll figures index ( 987=100) ERM IC23 95.6 98.0 100.0 100.5 100.0 100.2 100.5 1 01 . 8 106.2 107.0 109.6 107.2 106.0 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 1 .1 2. 7 11 5. 3 117.0 116.0 11 6. 5 115.6 11 4. 0 11 4 . 5 11 3 . 8 11 2. 6 111 . 7 110.3 111 . 5 to 107.5 109.3 110.7 109.2 109.2 108.2 107.1 107.0 106.4 1 0 6. 1 106.1 105.9 106.0 109.9 11 2 . 1 11 4. 0 11 2. 5 11 2. 3 111 . 3 109.8 109.7 108.4 107.6 107.3 106.6 106.8 Relative IC23 EUR15 t -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.6 -1 . 0 -0.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 -0.2 -0.4. -0.2 0.2 0.2 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 0. 1 -0.1 0. 1 -0.0 0.0 ERM DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.5 -0.4 0.0 0.2 -0.4 0.0 -0.3 -0.7 0.2 0.2 o.o -0. 1 -0.0 0 ERM Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) 11&.....-------~-~-------. 116 -------------------------------------- -- - --------------------114 112 -------------------------------- .-- ··~,j :: ' ------------------------ -;#'·t--~- --- -~- -------------------------- ...- -----------------·-----------··c··-- --,------·· ·• -------------- /\ ---,--,-~,--------- --------- 110 ------------------- --- - ---,-1-;l\------~------------: __ _ /'..1 ' : ···. \ I...... . 104 - ----- ------r/·------------------------------------------------102 ------------- -'1-------------· ---------------.-.-------------------· -J.· . 100 :::-.../.······ .. ' 1977 1982 1987 1992 9101 9201 9301 9401 9501 96Q1 9701 98011 1997 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) 110....-------~~----.........., ~ ~ 9501 96Q1 9701 98Q1 Page 21 . 108 --------------- ---,.;;;;l------------,:----------\;·-----"----------1 .·. .·· ·.. ' ' 106 ---· ---------- ··t·---/---~-~: ____________________ ~~~-._ ...._-;: ___ _ Austria schilling Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) An·nua I 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 91 . 2 97.6 100.0 98.5 96.2 98.6 96.5 98. 4. 100.8 1 01 . 9 104.8 102.9 99.4 91 . 0 96.6 100.0 98.0 96.0 98. 1 96.8 99.2 1 01 . 5 102.5 105.9 103.9 100.4 89.5 97.5 100.0 99.8 96.4 99.5 98.3 100.6 102.6 1 0 3. 1 105.3 102.7 99.3 89. ·a 96.7 100.0 97.7 95.6 96.6 95.7 98.4 102. 1 103.5 106.9 102.3 98.0 Quarterly figures ULCM 92.8 97.5 100.0 97.6 93.9 96.6 93.2 95.5 98.0 99.1 1 0 5. 1 1 01 . 7 97.6 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 (Index 1987•100) Def I a tor PX CPI GOP 102.7 104.5 105.6 104.4 104.7 104.0 1 02. 6 103.0 102.1 100.8 99.7 98.2 99.1 103.5 105.5 106.7 105.6 105.9 1 0 5. 1 103.6 103.9 1 0 3. 1 1 01 . 7 100.7 99.2 100.0 103.7 105.4 106.2 10.4.8 104.9 103.9 102.4 102.6 1 01 . 8 100.6 99.6 98.1 98.9 ULCE 104.7 106.9 108.0 106.5 106.1 104.4 102.2 1 01 . 9 100.8 ·99. 4 98.3 96.8 97.5 ULCM 101 . 0 104 .. o 106.1 105.2 .1 05.2 103.7 101 . 6. 101 . 4 100.3 98.9 98.0 96.5 97.2 Real Effective Exchange R~te relative to the European Union as· a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88· 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 95.2 99.0 100.0 98.6 96.8 97.4 95.7 96.8 1 01 . 5 102.6 104.7 1 0 2. 1 99.4 95.4 98.2 100.0 98.1 96.5 96.6 95.7 97.2 1 01 . 7 102.8 105.5 102.8 100.2 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 93.2 98.8 100.0 1 0 0. 1 97.0 98.1 97.2 98.8 102.4 103.0 103.8 100.9 98.6 93.8 98.2 100.0 98.0 96.5 95.6 95.3 97.1 1 0 3. 1 104.9 107.6 102.7 99.6 Quarterly figures ULCM 97.9 100.2 100.0 98.1 95.1 95.8 93.0 94.6 99.6 1 01 . 4 106.8 102.9 99.8 94Q4 9501 95Q2 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 CPI GOP 102.9 104.5 105.9 104.3 104. 2 103.3 1 0 2. 1 1 02. 1 100.9 1 00. 1 99.7 98.9 99.0 103.3 1 05. 1 106.7 105. 1 105.0 104. 1 102.8 102.8 1 01 . 6 .1 00.8 100.5 99.7 99.8 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 102.9 104.1 105. 1 103.2 102.9 102.0 100.8 100.9 99.9 99.2 98.9 98.2 98.2 105.6 107.6 109. 1 107.2 106.4 104.8 102.8 102.3 100.9 100.1 99.8 99.1 99.2 ULCM 103.0 105.8 108.2 106.9 106.5 104.9 103.0 102.5 1 01 . 1 100.4 100. 1 99.4 99.4 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 9495 96 97 figures CPI GOP 97.2 99.5 100.0 99.6 98.0 98.1 9 7. 1 97.8 1 01 . 6 102.6 1 0 4. 1 102.0 100.9 98.0 98.8 100.0 99.2 97.9 97.6 97.2 98.3 1 01 . 7 102.8 104.8 102.8 1 01 . 7 Ab b rev i at Ions : (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE IC23 EUR15 ERM CP I GOP PX ULCE ULCM 95.6 99.1 100.0 100.6 97.7 98.5 98.0 99.1 102.5 1 0 3. 1 103.6 1 01 . 0 99.7 96.2 98.8 100.0 99.4 98.7 97.8 97.9 99.1 103.8 105.7 107.8 103.6 102.2 Quarterly ULCM 100.4 100.8 100.0 99.3 96.5 96.8 94.3 95.2 98.7 100.7 105.7 102.6 1 01 . 3 94Q4 9501 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 9604 9701 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 figures CPI GOP 102.8 104.2 1 0 5. 1 103.6 103.6 102.8 1 01 . 9 1 0 2. 0 101. 4 10 1 . 1 1 01 . 0 100.7 100.7 103.2 104,7 105.8 104.4 104.4 103.6 102.6 102.7 1 0 2. 1 1 01 . 9 1 01 . 8 101 . 6 1 01 . 6 (Index 1987=100) deflator ·px 103.0 104.0 104.7 1 0 2 •. 9 102.8 1 01 . 9 100.9 100.9 100.3 100.0 99.8 99.5 99.4 ULCE ULCM 106.4 108.0 1 0 9. 1 107.3 106.7 105.2 103.6 103.2 102.5 102.2 102.2 102.0 1 0 2. 1 102.3 104.9 106.8 1 0 5. 6 105.4 1 0 4. 1 102.6 102.2 1 01 . 6 1 01 . 3 1 01 . 4 1 01 . 2 1 01 . 2 23 Industrial Countries 15 Member States of the European Union =Countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism Consumer Price Index =Gross Domestic Product Deflator· =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy =·Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry Page 22 Portugal,_ escudo Nominal Effective Exchange Rate IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative to ERM EUR15 11 3 . 6 106. ·9 100.0 9·5. 1 9 2. 1 90.7 91 . 7 95.1 89.1 85.9 87.8 87.8 85.8 1 21 . 0 109.3 100.0 94.9 92.4 89.0 90.2 93.0 88.6 85.2 86.2 85.8 84.3 Monthly figures monthly % change Ouarterll figures Index ( 987=100) Annual. fi¥ures index (198 =100) IC23 127.2 1 11 . 0 100.0 96.0 93.2 88.4 89.8 91 . 9 86.2 82.8 82.9 82.9 83.5 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602' 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative t 0 EUR15 ERM 86.9 87.9 88.0 87.8 87.6 87.8 87.4 88.0 88.2 87.4 86.4 84.8 84.7 85.7 86.5 86.6 86.2 85.7 85.9 85.6 85.9 86.0 85.6 84.9 83.7 8 3. 1 Relative t 0 IC23 EUR15 ERM 83.2 83.6 83.1 82.7 82.2 82.5 82.5 82.9 83.7 84.2 83.9 83.2 82.6 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.4 0. 1 -1 . 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.5 -0.8 -1.2 -0.4 0.5 -0.0 -0.1 -0.3 -0.3 0.3 -0.6 0.1 -0.3 -0.3 '-0.6 -0.9 -0.1 0. 1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.2 0.0 0.7 -0.2 0. 1 -0.0 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0. 1 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures (IndeX 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) ------------------------ 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 9201 9301 94Q1 9501 ~ 9701 9801 Real Effective Exchange Rate {based on ULCM) Quarterly figures Ondex 1987 =100) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) 140 -·140 ---------- l30 -· ---· 120 --- .. ------- -------------------------~-------- 1977 Page 23 1982 1987 ------------------ 1992 1997 130 - ---:.-" ·--- ----------------------------------- ·- --.---------------- Portugal esc~ do Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 f I g.u res (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE CP I GOP 97.0 100.6 100.0 102.5 106.9 11 3 . 4 122.3 1 3 2. 8 127.9 125.5 1 3 0. 1 1 31 . 1 128.0 92.6 100.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 111 . 9 120.8 1 3 3. 1 127.9 1 2 7. 1 132.8 133.4 132.5 94.6 97.1 100.0 103.8 106.0 109.0 111 . 0 113.2 109.5 109.0 11 2 . 1 107.9 104.5 97.9 100.8 100.0 1 01 . 6 105.9 11 4. 4 130.3 145. 1 137.3 1 4 4. 6 147.6 1 49. 1 1 4 7. 6 Quarterly figures UL~M 92.9 95.3 100.0 9.9. 8 102.6 11 2. 8 124.8 145.0 142.1 152.7 151 . 1 143.9 137.0 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 97Q4 CPI GOP 127.7 129.6 1 3 0. 1 130.3 1 30. 2 1 30. 8 130.4 131.4 1 31 . 7 130.5 128.9 126.3 126.2 130.2 132.5 133.1 1 3 3. 1 132.7 133.0 132.4 133.7 134.7 134.2 1 33.4 1 31 . 2 1 31 . 4 (Index 1987=100) De f I at or PX ULCE 111 . 3 11 3. 0 11 3. 0 11 2 . 1 110.6 109.4 107.6 107.4 107.2 106.2 1 0 5. 1 103.2 103.4 148.5 149.2 147.9 146.8 146.5 147.6 147.9 149.8 1 51 . 0 1 50. 1 148.7 145.9 145.8 ULCM 156.5 155.8 152.6 149.4 146.8 145.6 143.6 143.5 142.8 140.6 138.2 134.9 134.5 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index 1987=100) ·Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 102.5 102.5 100.0 102.6 107.7 11 2 . 1 1 21 . 2 130.7 127.9 125.4 128.8 129.4 127.4 98.6 102.7 100.0 102.2 106.7 110.2 119.2 130.5 127.4 126.5 1 31 . 1 1 31 . 3 1 31 . 5 99.8 98.7 100.0 104.0 106.7 107.6 109.7 111 . 2 108.9 108.2 110.0 105.6 103.2 103.5 102.6 100.0 1 01 . 8 106.7 112.8 128.8 142.4 137.0 144.5 1 46. 5 147.7 147.8 Quarterly figures ULCM 99.5 98.4 100.0 1 00. 1 103.7 111 . 5 123.6 142.9 142.3 153.6 150.9 143.2 137.6 94Q4 95Q1 9502 95Q3 9504 9601 96Q2 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 CPI GOP 127.0 128.6 1 2 9. 1 129.0 128.6 129.2 129.0 129.7 129.9 129.4 128.3 126.4 125.6 12 9. 0 1 31 . 0 1 31 . 5 1 31 . 3 130.5 130.9 130.6 131 . 5 132.3 132.6 132.3 130.9 130.3 (I nde,x 1987•1 00.) Deflator PX ULCE 109.9 111 . 1 111 . 0 109.9 1 0 8. 1 107.0 105.5 1 0 5. 1 104.9 104.4 103.7 102.5 1 0 2. 1 147.9 148.3 147.0 145.7 145.0 146.2 146.8 148.4 149.4 149.5 148.8 146.9 1 4 6. 1 ULCM 156.9 155.9 152.7 149.2 1 4 6. 1 144.9 143.3 142.8 142.0 140.6 138.7 136.2 135.1 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 106.4 103.4 100.0 104.5 11 0. 0 113.4 1 2 4. 1 132,9 1 2 8. 1 125.5 127.6 128.9 130.1 1 0 3. 1 103.7 100.0 104.2 109.4 1 12 . 1 122.3 132.7 127.5 126.0 129.8 130.8 134.6 Abbreviations: ( Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 104.6 99.3 100.0 105.0 108.2 108.4 1 11 . 1 111 . 8 109.2 108.5 1 o,9. 6 105.8 104.9 108.1 103.8 100.0 104.2 11 0. 8 11 6. 9 134.7 147.3 138.9 146.7 1 4 7. 1 149.6 153.9 Quarterly figures ULCMi 103.8 99.6 100.0 1 01 . 9 105.8 11 2. 9 126.1 143.8 140.1 1 51 . 8 147.9 1 41 . 7 140.3 CPI 9404 9501 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 9703 97Q4 126.9 128.0 127.7 127.6 127.2 127.9 128.3 129.0 130.4 13 f. 2 1 30. 8. 129.8 1 2 8. 8 GOP 128.8 130.2 130.0 1 29. 8 1 2 9. 1 129.6 129.9 130.9 133.1 134.7 1 3 5. 1 134.7 134.0 (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 11 0 . 1 1 1 .1 . 0 110.4 109.4 107.7 106.8 105.6 105.1 105.5 105.8 105.3 104.6 104.0 149.9 149.6 147.3 146.2 145.6 147.0 148.4 150.2 152.8 154.5 154.5 153.8 152.9 ULCM 155.0 153.3 149.2 145.9 1 4 3. 1 142.3 1 41 . 4 1 41 . 2 1 41 . 9 142.0 1 41 . 0 139.6 138.5 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 = 15 Member States. of the European Union ERM =Countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI Consumer Price Index GOP =Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX • Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ULCE Nominal Unit labour Cost in total Economy ULCM Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry Page 24 Finland Nomin~l Effective Exchange Rate Qu.a r t e r I y f i g u res index (1987=100) Annual tlyures index (198 =100) IC23 Relative EUR15 97.7 98.2 100.0 10 1 . 9 105.7 107.7 104.0 91 . 2 79.3 86.6 96.6 94.3 91 . 7 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 104.7 100.7 100.0 1 01 . 9 106.3 104.9 1 01 . 6 88. 1 78.7 85.4 93.6 90.4 88.7 t0 markka ERM IC23 11 0 . 8 102.5 100.0 103.2 107.5 103.6 100.8 86.4 74.5 80.8 87.4 85.4 86.2 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Monthly figures monthly % change Relative t 0 ERM EUR15 92.0 93.9 96.5 97.7 98.1 94.6 92.4 95.2 94.9 93.6 91 . 8 90.5 91 . 1 .89.9 91 . 4 94.0 94.7 94.3 90.9 89.0 91.1 90.5 90.0 88.8 88.3 87.7 85.0 85.8 87.3 88.2 88.3 85.1 83.9 86.0 86.4 86.7 86.0 86.4 85.7 Nominal Effective Exchange Annual figures (index 1987 =100) OEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 to ERM -o ..1 -0.5 -0.7 -0.5 -0.7 -0.8 -0.2 -0.6 -1 . 1 1.1 0.4 0. 1 -0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 -0.3 -0.6 -0.5 '0. 5 0.9 -0.8 -0.2 -0.0 -0.6 -0.2 0. 1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.9 -0.5 0.2 -0.2 -0.6 0.3 •0.1 -0.8 -0.3 R~te Quarterty figures 1m~----~--~~~--------~ Relative IC23 EUR15 ~ndex 1987 =100) 110·~--~--------~ ·..... ·....... . •, ......... 80 -;;-.:;.--- .~..·· ... . ---------------------------------------+------------~..-/-------- .. ' ' 1982 1987 \. 1992 ~--------- -- . --- --------------' 1997 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Quarterly figures Ondex 1987 =100) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) 1~~~--~----~~----~--~ 120 ---------- 110 --------- ---- 100 --------.--------------- ------------- --- ---------.------------- --- 80· ~~~--~~--~~~~~~~~~ Page 25 90 ···~·ERM 80---70- 70- 1972 -IC23 --EUR15 19n 1982 1987 1992 1997 Finland markka Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 98.0 98.3 100.0 102.5 106.3 109.2 105.5 92.4 80.7 86.5 93.9 90.8 87.3 96.7 97.4 100.0 104.6 109.6 11 2. 3 105.7 89.8 77.4 83.3 92.4 89.2 85.6 ( 1 nde x 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 96. 1 97.2 100.0 103.8 108.2 109.2 102.5 95.8 86.5 93.8 106.3 103.7 98.5 97.5 98.3 100.0 102.9 107.5 112.4 111 . 0 92.0 74.7 7 9. ·1 87.0 83.7 80.2 Quarterly figures ULCM 103.3 1 01 . 5 100.0 102.6 107.5 112.5 1 0 9. 1 85.1 68.8 72.9 83.6 79.6 77.0 9404 95Q1 9502 95Q3 9504 9601 9602 9603 96Q4 97Q1 9702 97Q3 9704 CPI GOP 90.8 92.0 94.0 94.8 94.9 91: 4 89.2 91 . 7 91 . 1 89.4 87.4 85.9 86.3 88.2 90.0 92.4 93.5 93.7 90.0 87.6 89.9 89.3 87.6 85.7 84.3 84.7 (Index 1987=100) De f I at or PX ULCE 99.9 102.6 1 0 6. 1 108.0 108.7 104.8 102.1 104.6 103.4 10 1 . 1 98.6 96.9 97.5 ULCM 83.6 85.1 87.1 88.0 88.0 84.5 82.2 84.3 83.. 8 82.3 80.4 79.0 79.2 78.1 80.8 83.8 85.1 84.9 80.9 78.2 80.0 79.5 78.5 77.1 76.1 76.4 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 103.9 100.2 100.0 102.9 107.8 107.5 104.2 90.3 80.9 86.5 92.7 88.9 86.6 103.5 99.5 100.0 104.9 11 0. 9 11 0 . 1 103.9 87.2 77.2 82.9 90.7 87.0 84.7 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 102.4 99.0 100.0 104.2 109.4 107.2 100.9 93.3 85.8 92.7 1 0 3. 1 100. 3· 96.6 103.5 100.3 100.0 103.5 109.0 110.2 109.4 89.6 74.7 79.2 86.2 82.3 80.3 Quarterly figures ULCM 111 . 1 105.0 100.0 103.4 109.4 110.8 107.8 83.4 69.2 73.9 83.7 79.0 77.6 9404 95Q1 9502 9503 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 9603 9604 97Q1 97Q2 9703 9704 CPI GOP 90.2 91 . 1 93.2 93.5 93.0 89.6 87.6 89.6 88.8 88. 1 86.7 86.1 85.5 87.1 88.6 91 . 1 91. 7 91 . 3 87.8 85.7 87.6 86.7 86.0 84.8 84.2 83.6 (Index 1987•100) D.eflator PX ULCE 97.8 99.9 103.2 104.6 104.6 10 1 . 1 99.0 1 01 . 1 99.8 98.6 96.7 96.0 95.4 ULCM 78.8 81 . 2 84.4 85.2 84.3 80.4 77.9 79.3 78.7 78.4 77.7 77.4 76.7 83.2 84.5 86.7 87.1 86.4 83.0 81 . 1 82.8 82.1 81. 6 80.4 79.9 79.2 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 - 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 108.1 1 01 . 0 100.0 105.3 1 11 . 0 109.7 108.2 92.8 80.5 86.0 91 . 0 88.3 88.6 108.6 100.6 100.0 107.5 11 4. 8 11 2. 9 107.9 89.4 76.3 81 . 8 88.5 86.0 86.4 Abbreviations: (index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 107.4 99.5 100.0 105.7 1 11 . 8 108.3 102.6 . 93. 7 85.0 92.0 1 01 . 9 99.8 97.9 108.4 1 01 . 5 100.0 106.6 11 5. 0 116.2 11 6. 6 93.8 74.9 79.7 85.6 83.2 84.0 Quarter I y figures ULCM 11 6. 5 106.5 100.0 106.3 11 3. 6 11 3. 8 112 . 1 84.9 67.0 71 . 6 80.3 77.4 78.6 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 9704 CPI GOP 89.5 89.8 91 . 0 91 . 6 91 . 5 88.2 86.9 88.9 89.2 89.3 88.4 88.7 87.9 85.9 86.8 88.4 89.3 89.3 86.0 84.6 86.5 86.7 86.9 86. 1 86.5 85.8 (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 97.2 98.9 1 01 . 6 103.3 103.8 100~3 98.6 100.4 100.0 99.3 97.7 97.8 97.0 83.6 84.2 85.6 86.2 86.2 83. 1 81 . 9 83.8 84.2 84.5 83.8 84.2 83.4 ULCM 76.3 78.1 80.4 8'1 . 5 81 . 2 77.8 76.1 77.7 78.1 78.7 78.4 79.0 78.4 IC23 = 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union ERM Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI Consumer Price Index GOP Gross Domestic Product Deflator Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services PX. UlCE Nominal Unit labour Cost in total Economy =Nominal Unit labour Cost in Manufacttning industry UlCM Page 26 Sweden krona Nominal Effective .Exchange Rate Annual fi~ures index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 99.2 99.8 100.0 100.6 1 01 . 3 1 0 0. 1 1 0 0. 1 10 1 . 9 83.1 82.9 83.3 91 . 8 88.5 109.9 103.9 100.0 100.4 102.0 96.9 97.5 98.2 82.3 81 . 7 80.5 87.9 85.8 to Quarter!~ Index ERM IC23 1 14 . 1 105.0 100.0 1 01 . 4 102.7 96.3 97.2 97.1 80.6 80.0 77.8 85.2 85.3 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Monthly figures monthly % change figures ( 987=100) Relative t 0 EUR15 ERM 83.7 82.3 .79.7 82.4 ' 89.0 89.7 92.2 92.6 92.7 88.9 87.0 88.5 89.6 81 . 7 79.9 77.4 79.6 85.3 8 6. 1 88.8 88.5 88.4 85.7 84.3 86.7 86.5 79.8 77.7 74.8 76.9 82.2 82.9 85.9 85.6 86.4 84.6 83.7 86.6 86.4 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Relative IC23 EUR15 t -1 . 3 -1 . 1 -1 . 4 -2.3 0.4 -0.5 -0.4 1.4 0.2 2.0 0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -0.7 -0.3 -0.3 -1.9 0.4 -o .. 3 0.3 2.7 0.6 0.7 -0.0 -1.3 -0.2 -1 . 0 -0.7 -0.6 -1 . 9 0. 1 -0.3 0.0 1.9 0.8 1.2 -0.0 -1 . 6 -0.3 0 ERM Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100} Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) ....... 110,.....---~~-------- B!J ~ Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures ~ndex 1987 =100) 100 --------------=--- --··--·- ---------- ---·-·· -· ·----------- -------- 90 90 80- 80 ro~~~~~--~~~~~~~~ 1972 Page 27 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 Sweden krona Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 96.3 98.5 100.0 102.5 105.4 109.4 115.2 11 5. 0 95.8 95.6 95.8 1 0 4. 1 99.7 96.1 99.4 100.0 102.6 106.4 109.3 112.7 1 11 . 8 90.7 90.4 91 . 6 99.3 95.5 94.8 98.6 100.0 103.3 104 ·. 7 103.5 104.5 102.8 90.2 92.0 96.4 98.3 94.5 96.9 100.0 100.0 103.5 11 0. 9 11 5. 3 116.8 115.6 93.5 93.0 92.3 105.4 101.0 Quarterly CPI ULCM 97.2 99.0 100.0 1 06. 1 112 . 1 11 3. 9 1 18 . 1 1 16 . 1 87.5 84.0 80.9 92.8 87.5 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 96.3 94.8 91 . 8 94.8 1 01 . 9 102.3 104.6 104.7 104.7 100.3 98. 1 99.7 100.8 figures (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE GOP 91 . 6 90.5 87.8 90.8 97.6 97.8 99.8 99.9 99.9 95.8 93.9 95.5 96.6 94.8 95.2 93.3 96.0 1 01 . 3 99.1 99.0 97.7 97.6 94. 1 92.9 95.0 96.2 ULCM 93.1 90.9 87.8 91 . 2 99.6 1 01 . 8 105.9 107.0 1 0 7. 1 1 0 2. 1 99.4 100.7 1 01 . 8 83.0 80.2 76.8 79.6 87.2 89.5 93.4 94.4 94.0 89.2 86.2 87.0 87.7 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 t'tgures CPI GOP 104.5 1 01 . 3 100.0 103.2 107.6 107.9 11 4. 3 11 2. 7 96.4 95.8 94,5 1 0 2. 1 99.4 106.0 102.6 100.0 103.0 108.4 107.2 111 . 0 108.4 90 .. 2 89.7 89.5 96.7 94.5 (Index 1987 ... 100) Deflator PX ULCE 104.2 1 01 . 2 100.0 103.7 106.5 1 01 . 7 103.0 99.8 ·89.2 90.5 92.9 94.7 92.7 105.3 102.9 '1 00.0 104.4 11 3 . 1 113.0 11 5. 1 11 2. 2 93.1 92.8 90.9 103.4 1 01 . 2 Quarterly ULCM 107.6 104.0 100.0 107.4 115.0 112.2 11 7. 0 113. 8 88.0 85.2 80.8 92.3 88.8 CPI 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 95.8 93.9 91 . 0 93.5 99.9 100.3 1 0 3. 1 102.6 102.3 99.2 97.7 100.4 100. 2· figures GOP (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 92.3 92.1 90.2 92.4 97.0 95.2 95.7 94.1 93.9 91 . 6 91 . 0 94.1 94. 1 90.2 88.7 86.2 88.7 94.7 9 5. 1 97.6 9 7. 1 97.0 9 4. 1 92.8 95.5 95.4 ULCM 83.7 80.5 77.1 79.5 86.4 88.9 93.3 93.8 93.4 89.7 87.4 89.2 88.8 92.3 89.8 86.8 89.8 97.4 99.7 104.3 104.8 104.8 1 01 . 4 99.5 1 0 2. 1 102.0 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual figures CPI 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96' 97 107.6 1 01 . 9 100.0 104.7 109.2 108.6 116.0 11 3. 8 96.6 95.9 93.5 1 01 . 3 1 01 . 4 GOP (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 107.9 109.6 103.2 1 01 . 5 100.0 100.0 104.6 104.4 .1 07. 4 110.3 108.3 102.2 1 13 . 1 104.0 109.8 100.3 90.6 89.9 91 . 2 90.0. 88.7 92.7 9'5. 0 96.3 96.8 94.6 Ab b rev i'a t i on s : 108.9 103.7 100.0 106.3 116.4 11 6 . 1 1 19 . 1 11 5. 0 94.4 94.2 91 . 2 104.3 105.1 .Quarterly CPI ULCM 1 11 . 2 104.8 100.0 108.9 116.5 112. 9 11 8. 3 113. 9 87.1 84.7 79.6 91 . 6 91 . 0 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 95.7 ,93. 4 89.9 92.4 98.5 99.0 102.2 1 01 . 7 102.5 100.5 99.5 103.0 10 2. 7 figures GOP 90.2 88.3 85.3 87.8 93.6 94.1 97.0 96.6 97.5 95. 794.9 98.4 98.2 (index 1987==100) deflator PX 92.7 92.2 89.9 92.2 96.7 9 5. 1 96.0 94.3 94.7 9'3. 2 92.8 96.4 96.2 ULCE ULCM 93.5 90.6 87.0 90.0 97.5 99.9 104.9 105.6 106.7 104.4 1 0 3. 1 106.6 106.5 83.2 79.7 75.9 78.3 85.0 87.6 92.4 93.0 93.7 91 . 1 89.3 . 91 . 9 91 . 6 IC23 23 Industrial. Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union ERM Cou;.trles In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI Consumer Price Index GOP =Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost In total Economy ULCM =Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing indu'stry ·Page 28 United Kingdom pound sterling\ Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual fi~ures index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 ·88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 106.0 100.0 100.0 106.7 103.4 102.7 104.0 100.7 92.7 94.2 91 . 0 93.1 108.4 120.0 104.9 100.0 106.7 104.6 98.3 100.4 95'. 5 91 . 3 92. 1 86.3 87.2 1 0 4. 1 to Monthly figures monthly % c·hange Quarterly figures index ( 987=100) ERM IC23 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 1 21 . 5 105.3 100.0 106.7 104.7 97.9 99.9 95.0 90.1 90.7 84.8 8 6. 1 102.8 Relative EUR15 94.6 93.2 90.3 90.4 90.0 90. 1 91 . 4. 92.4 98.8 104.6 107.4 110.3 11 1 . 5 91 . 3 89.2 86.2 85.6 84.3 84.4 8 6. 1 86.4 92.3 99.3 1 0 3. 1 107.5 106.8 t 0 ERM 89.9 87.7 84.5 84.1 83.0 83.2 85.0 85.3 91 . 1 98.0 1 01 . 7 106.2 105.5 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Relative IC23 EUR15 to ERM 1.9 2.2 1.4 -0. 1 2.2 -0.3 1.2 4. 1 -2.1 -1 . 8 0.8 3.0 0.4 2.4 2.8 2. 5 0.3 2. 1 0. 1 1 . 8. 5. 1 -1. 4 -2.9 0.2 2.0 0.7 2.4 2.8 2.5 0.3 2. 1 0. 1 1.8 5.0 -1-.5 -3.0 0.2 2. 1 0.8 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures ~ndex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) 170r------------:-------, 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 9201 9301 9401 9501 9601 9701 98Q1 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Quarter1y figures (index 1987 =100) Annual figures ~ndex 1987 =100) 120 . ····--·-----------·----------------------·----------------,..____ _ I t 110 -----------------·------------- ------------------------ ---------- ro~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1972 Page 29 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 80 9101 92Q1 9301 9401 9501 9601 9701 9801 United Kingdom pound sterling Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual figures CPI GOP (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE Quarterly CPI ULCM figures GOP (index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE ULCM I 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 104.6 99.4 100.0 107.8 105.6 105.8 109.8 107.3 98.5 99.0 95.3 ' 97.4 11 3. 2 106. 1 98.8 100.0 108.6 107.7 108.9 112.3 1'0 9. 5 100.6 100.9 96.9 99.7 116.6 109.3 98.2 100.0 103.1 103.2 108.3 108.0 106.0 105.1 1 05. 6 1 0 4. 1 107.0 11 a·. e 106.0 99.5 100.0 110.0 113.2 118.0 1 21 . 7 11 6. 8 105.1 105.6 1 01 . 6 1 0 4. 1 1 21 . 9 102.2 97.0 100.0 105.9 102.2 104.0 1 0 6. 1 '1 00. 1 90.9 92.9 91 . 2 94.8 113.8 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 99. 2' 97.6 94.6 94.7 94.2 94.3 95.6 96.6 103.2 109.2 11 2. 2 11 5. 2 116.4 105.8 1 0 5. 1 102.9 104.1 104.4 104.9 1 0 6. 1 1 0 6. 1 111 . 2 115.2 116.0 11 7. 5 117.8 100.9 99.3 96.2 96.3 96.0 96.2 97.8 99. 1 106.0 11'2. 3 115.5 11 8. 7 1 2 0. 1 105.9 104.2 100.9 100.9 100.4 100.6 102.1 103.4 110.6 117.2 120.6 1 24. 1 125.7 93.8 92.9 90.4 90.8 90.7 91 . 1 92 . .1 94.3 101 . 5 108.3 112.2 118.1 11 8. 2 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the. European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual figures CPI GOP (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE Quarterly CPI ULCM figures GOP (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE ULCM \ 85 88 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 116.6 -103. 2 100.0 108.9 108.6 103.5 108. 6. 104.3 99.4 99.5 93.3 94.6 113.4 119. 7 102.9 100.0 109.5 110.6 106.0 110.5 105.6 100.8 100.8 94.3 96.4 116.5 1 21 . 3 1 01 . 4 100.0 1 0 4. 1 105.4 103.4 105.9 102.4 104.6 104.6 99.9 102.3 -11 4. 4 118.6 103.5 100.0 111 . 5 11 7 . 1 116.0 1 21 . 1 113.9 108.4 107.3 100.9 102.9 124.9 11 7 . 1 . 103.3 100.0 107.3 105.7 1 01 . 8 104.6 97.1 91 . 7 94.6 90.8 93.8 11 5. 9 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 98.5 96.3 93.1 92.6 91 . 2 91 . 4 93.2 93.7 100.2 108.0 112.3 11 7. 2 11 6. 5 103.4 t01.6 99. 1 99.7 99. 1 99.9 1 01 . 9 1 01 . 2 106.2 111 . 8 113.7 116.8 115.3 99.6 97.2 94.0 93.6 92.3 92.8 94.9 95.8 102.5 110.6 11 5. 2 120.4 11 9. 9 106.6 104.1 100.7 100.2 98.7 99.1 101 . 3 102.0 109.4 \11 8. 3 123.4 129.2 129.0 94.8 93.1 90.5 90.3 ·89. 2 89.7 91.9 92.9 100.2 108.9 114.2 120.2 120.5 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 11 7. 3 103.4 100.0 109.2 109.2 1'04.0 109.6 1·05. 1 99.5 99.6 93.2 94.9 113.9 120.6 103.2 100.0 109.9 111 . 3 106.6 111 . 3 106.3 100.6 100.6 94.0 96.5 116.7 Abbrevlat Ions: (Index 1987==100) deflator PX ULCE 122.1 1 01 . 6 100.0 104.4 105.8 103.5 106.2 102.4 104.2 104.3 99.6 102.1 11 4. 3 119.5 103.8 100.0 111 . 9 11 8. 2 117 . 1 122.4 114.9 106.4 101. 3100.8 103.5 125.8 Quarterly ULCM 11 8. 2 103.7 100.0 107.9 106.8 102.7 105.8 98.0 91 . 5 94.3 90.2 93.7 11 6 . 1 9404 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 figures CPI GOP 98.5 96.2 92.9 92.5 91 .. 4 91 . 6 93.6 94.0 100.6 108.4 11 2 ·. 6 11 7. 7 11 7. 1 99.4 96.9 93.5 93.3 92.3 92.8 9 5. 1 ·95. 8 102.7 110.8 115.3 120.7 120.2 (Index deflator PX 103.1 1 01 . 3 98.7 99.3 99.0 99.8 10 1 . 8 10 1 . 1 1 0 6. 1 11 1 . 6 113.5 11 6. 8 11 5 .·3 1987=100) ULCE ULCM 106.6 104.0 100.3 100.0 98.9 99.5 1 01 . 9 102.7 110.2 119.0 1 2 4. 1 130.2 130.0 94.4 92.6 89.7 89.7 89.0 89.6 92.1 93. 1 100.4 109.0 114.3 120.5 120.8 IC23 ::::! 23 Industrial Countries 15 Member States of the European Union EUR15 ERM Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI ~Consumer Price Index GOP • Gross Domestic Product Deflator -Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services PX =Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCE Nom I n a I U n i t L a b o u r Co s t I n Ma n u f a c t u r I n g 1-n d u s t r y ULCM Page 30 Norway - krone Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual fi¥ures Index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 107.2 102.9 100.0 99.5 99.9 99.9 98.2 10 0. 1 97.8 97.1 100.6 . 1 01 . 1 100.2 11 2 . 1 104.8 100.0 99.4 100.5 97.9 96.7 97.8 97.8 96.9 99.0 98.9 99.0 to Monthly figures monthly% change Ouarterll figures index ( 987=100) ERM IC23 1 2 2. 1 107.6 100.0 1 01 . 3 102.0 96.8 96.3 96.0 92.9 91 . 9 9 2. 1 93.1 97.0 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 98.1 99.9 100.6 1 01 . 0 101 . 1 101 . 1 100.9 101 . 1 ·1 01 . 4 104.0 99.4 97.3 100.2 t0 97.2 98.6 99.3 99.3 98.9 99.0 99. 1 98.8 98.9 102.2 98.2 96.9 98.8 Relative IC23 EUR15 ERM 91 . 9 92.4 91. 9 92.1 92.0 92.2 93.1 92.9 94.4 99.0 95.8 95.7 97.5 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -0.1 2.4 0.7 -1 . 2 -2.2 -1 . 8 -1.6 -1.4 0.2 2.4 2.0 -0.9 -0.3 0. 1 2.7 1.3 -0.9 -2.3 -1 . 6 -1 . 3 -1 . 0 0.7 1.8 1.6 -1 . 5 -0.0 to ERM 0.5 3.3 1.8 -1.0 -1 .. 8 -1.5 -0.8 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.7 -1. 2 0. 1 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures. ~ndex 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (index 1987 =100) 1~----------------~--------~ 1~~----~----------~----~ ... ....... 104 -------------------------------------------------------- ----------- . . 94 ------------- ----~\~-.-:~------------- _. ______ ---- ~:~:/· ------------ 92 --------------------- ____ _._._':!-.-:;··:-·....... -.~~: ····---------------- 90 1977 1982 1992 1987 1997 I 9101 9201 9301 9401 9501 9601 9701 98Q1 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) I Quarterly figures (index 1987 =100) Annual figures fmdex 1987 =100) 110 --,----------------·----------------- -------·-·--- . ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1972 Page 31 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 9o I . 9101 9201 93Q1 9401 9501 9601 9701 9801 ' NQrway. - krone Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 99.4 98.7 100.0 1 01 . 7 102.0 1 01 . 7 98.2 98.8 95.1 93.0 96.7 96.0 94.4 109.2 99.8 100.0 1 0 0. 1 10 1 . 1 99.9 95.7 93.7 90.7 87.8 91 . 8 93.5 91 . 3 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 125.0 1 01 . 9 100.0 97.7 102.9 104.3 100.2 94.2 91 . 1 86.5 89.0 94.4 96.2 96.8 97.4 100.0 102.0 97.9 93.2 87.7 86.7 82.3 80.7 83.6 81 . 8 81 . 8 Quarter I y figures ULCM 96.0 98.2 100.0 104.8 1 01 . 5 99.2 96. 1 98.2 93.3 96.1 100.0 103.4 109.4 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 97Q3 9704 CPI GOP 93.9 95.9 96.8 97. 1 96.9 96.5 95.9 95.7 95.7 9 8. 1 93.6 91 . 7 94.4 88.4 90.3 91 . 4 92.3 93.0 93.5 93.6 93.6 93.4 95.2 90.5 88.4 91 . 1 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 86.0 87.3 88.3 89.5 90.9 92.4 93.8 95.2 96.2 99.2 95.2 93.6 96.9 81 . 7 83.4 84.0 83.9 83.2 82 .. 4 81.6 81 . 4 81 . 7 84.2 81 . 0 79.7 82.4 ULCM 97.9 99.5 99.9 1 00. 1 100.5 1 01 . 2 102.2 104.0 106.2 111 . 0 107.9 107.2 111 . 4 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole {EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 103.4 100.3 100.0 1 01 . 9 1 03. 1 100.3 97.3 97.0 95.6 93.2 95.8 94.6 94.2 11 4. 1 1 01 . 5 100.0 100.2 102.0 98.2 94.5 91.6 90.8 87.8 90.6 91.9 90.8 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 129.5 103.3 100.0 98.0 103.7 102.6 99.0 92.4 90.9 86.1 87.2 92.2 95.0 100.9 99. 1 100.0 102.2 98.8 91 . 7 86.8 85.0 82.6 81 . 2 83.2 81 . 2 82.4 Quarterly figures ULCM 1 01 . 2 1 01 . 0 100.0 105.2 102.9 97.8 95.2 96.6 94.0 97.2 100.0 102.9 110.0 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 97Q3 9704 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 93.6 95.2 96.1 96.2 95.5 95.2 94.8 94.3 94.2 97.3 93.4 92.2 94.0 87.8 89.3 90.5 91 . 1 91 . 4 91 . 9 92. 391 . 9 91 . 6 94.2 90.0 88.6 90.5 85.0 85.8 86.7 87.5 88.5 90.2 91 . 9 92.9 93.8 97.5 94.0 93.2 95.6 81 . 8 83.2 83.8 83.5 8 2. "5 81 . 8 81 . 3 80.8 81 . 0 84.2 81 . 5 80.9 83.0 ULCM 98.6 99.7 100. 1 1 00. 1 100.0 100.8 1 0 2. 1 103.4 105.4 11 1 . 1 108.6 108.6 111 . 8 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 11 0. 5 102.0 100.0 104.9 106.7 102.4 1 01 . 7 100.2 95.6 93.1 93.8 93.9 97.4 123.4 103.3 100.0 103.4 106.3 1 01 . 0 99.9 94.6 90.5 87.4 88.5 91 . 1 94.0 Abbreviations: (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 140.5 104.5 100.0 99.6 106.1 103.8 1 01 . 2 93.2 91 . 0 86.3 86.4 92.2 97.5 108.8 1 01 . 1 100.0 106.2 105.4 97.6 93.9 90.0 84.1 82.7 83.2 82.8 87.9 Quarterly f lgures ULCM 108.9 1 0 3. 1 100.0 108.4 106.7 100.0 98.8 97.9 91 . 1 94.6 95.8 100.9 1 13 . 1 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 . 9702 9703 9704 CPI GOP 93.2 94.0 93.8 94.0 93.6 93.5 93.9 93.4 94.8 99.4 96.2 96.2 98.0 8 7. 1 87.9 87.9 88.8 89.3 9 0. 1 91 . 2 91 . 0 92.2 96.2 92.8 92.6 94.5 (Index deflator PX 85.0 85.4 85.5 86.7 88.0 89.8 92.0 92.7 94.6 99.3 9 6. 1. 96.2 98.4 1987=100) ULCE 83.0 83.7 83.3 83.2 82.6 82.3 82.6 82.3 84.0 88.7 86.5 8 7. 1 89.3 ULCM 95.8 96. 1 9.5. 3 95.6 96.1 97.3 99 .. 7 1 01 . 4 105.2 11 2. 6 111 . 1 112.7 11 6 . 1 IC23 = 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 = 15 Member States of the European Union ERM =Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI, Consumer Price Index GOP Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX • Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCM =Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industry Page 32 Australia dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual f i¥ures index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 138.0 106.9 100.0 105.4 11 2. 9 108.8 106.7 98.0 89. 1 92.5 88.3 99.8 102.6 t0 Month I y f i g u res monthly% change Quarterll figures index ( 987=100) ERM IC23 147.7 154.8 111 . 2 11 2 . 7 100.0 100.0 109.7 108.3 11 7. 2 11 8. 3 1 01 . 0 100.4 103.0 103.3 92.7 93.9 95.0 98.0 1 0 4. 1 10 1 . 1 93.0 9 7. 1 1 04. 5 . 100.6 108.8 109.4 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 to 93.0 103.1 90.7 100.3 82.5 94.2 88.1 96.7 97.2 92.0 9 5. 1 100.2 100.9 107.0 100.6 104.8 102.9 106.0 105.9 110. 6 105. 1 . 11 2. 5 1 01 . 7 11 2 . 1 98.0 102.9 ERM 99.9 96.7 90.0 92.5 92.9 95.8 102.9 100.8 103.2 109.0 111 . 5 11 2. 2 102.8 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Relative IC23 EUR15 to ERM 1.4 ..:o.3 1.8 2.9 0. 1 -2.9 -4.0 -0.3 2.0 -1 . 9 -0.8 -2.6 -1 . 6 2.4 0.5 3.4 4.0 -0.4 -0.9 -1.5' 1.8 2.7 -5.1 -2. 1 -5.0 -1 . 5 2.0 0.0 2.9 4. 1 -0.7 -0.9 -1 . 8 0.8 3.0 -4.6 -2.2 -5.3 -1 . 6 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures (index 1987 =100) Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) ~~--------------~--------~ 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Quarterly figures Ondex 1987 =100) Annual figures Ondex 1987 =100) ... 130 --------------------------------------------------------fj·\.----- . 120 ----------------------------------------- 130----120 110 100- 90 ~~~~~~~~~~--~~~~ 1972 Page 33 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 \ dollar Australia Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE CP I GOP 126.0 102.9 100.0 109.3 119.7 116.5 112.6 1 0 2. 1 92.1 95.2 91 . 6 103.8 1 0 6. 1 1 28. 1 102.4 100.0 110.9 1 21 . 0 11 5. 9 111 . 4 100.8 90.7 94.3 91 . 0 103.4 106.8 11 5. 8 98.6 100.0 109.4 117.0 108.7 103.6 99.0 90.5 96. 1 93.4 100.3 101 . 7 1 31 . 9 105.6 100.0 11 0 . 1 1 2 2. 7 119.8 115.2 103.9 92.9 96.2 92.9 107.2 110.6 Quarterly ULCM 138. 8 105.5 100.0 109.4 123.3 11 9. 1 112.9 102.7 90.6 97.0 97.4 11 3. 5 123.9 94Q4 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 figures CPI GOP 96.0 93.9 85.6 91.6 95.8 99.1 105.0 104.5 106.8 109.7 108.7 105.0 10 1 . 1 95.2 93.2 85.0 91 . 0 .95.2 98.5 104.5 104.2 106.8 110.0 1 0'9. 3 105.9 1 02. 1 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 98.2 96.5 87.9 93.3 96.1 97.5 101. 7 1 00. 1 1 01 . 9 104.7 104.1 100.9 97.4 97.0 94.9 86.6 93.0 97.7 101 . 6 108.2 108.2 11 0. 9 11 4 . 1 113.2 109.6 105.6 ULCM 99.8 98.7 90.8 97.8 102.6 106.6 113.8 ·114. 7 119.3 125.0 126.3 124.0 120.5 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual figures CPI GOP 134.7 106.9 100.0 11 2 . 1 123.7 107.4 1 0 7. 1 95.0 97.3 102.2 95.4 102.3 106.6 138.6 107.0 100.0 113. 6 124.6 10 5. 8 104.9 92.7 94.7 100.2 93.7 100.9 106.3 (Index 1987•100} Deflator PX ULCE Quarterly CPI ULCM figures GOP (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE ULCM I 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 1 2 7. 1 103.0 100.0 11 2. 1 120.2 1 0 0. 1 97.9 91 . 5 90.9 96.9 89.4 93.4 97.5 142.2 11 0. 3 100.0 112.7 126.2 108.7 108.0 95.0 96.8 1 04. 1 98.5 107.2 11 3. 7 1 53. 1 114.3 100.0 112.4 1 2 8. 1 109.2 106.3 95.9 97.8 11 0 . 1 107.0 11 6. 6 128.0 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 99.4 1 01 . 2 96.8 98.5 91. 0 92.5 93.4 95. 1 93.8 95.4 98.3 96.7 103.2 104.8 1 01 . 2 102.5 103.5 . 102.5 107.2 107.9 109.2 109.6 1 0 9. 1 109.0 100.2 1 0 0. 1 96.5 93.5 87.2 88.8 88.4 90.3 95.8 93.4 94.3 98.3 1 0 0. 1 100.0 91 . 9 103.8 101 . 3 95.4 98.3 99.0 102.3 109.6 107.7 109.3 114.3 116.6 116.6 107.4 111 . 9 11 0 .. o 103.9 106.9 107.4 110.8 118.7 117.2 120.1 127.1 1 31 . 1 132.0 1 21 . 9 Real Effective Exchange Rate r~lative to the countries In ·the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 139.5 107.8 100.0 11 4. 3 126.4 108.7 109.8 96.6 97.2 102.1 94.0 1 01 . 4 109.3 144.7 107.9 100.0 116.0 127.9 107.6 107.8 94.3 94.5 100.0 92.4 100.2 109.3 Abbreviations: (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE IC23 EUR15 ERM CPI GOP PX ULCE ULCM 133.0 103.5 100.0 11 3. 3 122.0 100.9 99.3 91 . 9 91 . 2 97.3 89.1 93.5 99.6 1 4 8. 1 111 . 4 100.0 115.6 1 31 . 3 113.0 11 3. 4 98.3 98.0 105.5 98.5 108.3 11 9 . 1 Quarterly ULCM 159.4 115.6 100.0 11 4. 5 130.7 11 0. 5 108.4 96.1 95.7 108.3 1 0 4. 1 11 4. 9 131.0 9404 9501 95Q2 9503 95Q4 9601 9602 9603 9604 97Q1 9702 97Q3 9704 figures CPI GOP 100.9 97.7 91 . 0 93.5 93.9 96.8 103.8 1 01 . 5 103.9 1 09. 6 11 2. 0 11 2. 6 103.2 99. 1 95.9 ,89. 4 91 . 9 92.3 95.2 102.3 100.3 103.0 109.0 111 . 9 112.8 103.6 (index 1987•100) deflator ULCE PX 96.7 93.4 86.6 88.4 88.1 90.1 95.9 93.3 95.0 100.0 102.0 102.6 94.1 1 0 5. 1 102.0 95.2 98. 1 98.9 102.5 110.5 108.7 1 11 . 8 118.5 1 21 . 8 123.0 11 3. 2 ULCM 11 0. 1 107.5 100.8 103.9 104.5 1 0 8. 1 116.7 115.4 119.9 128.7 133.7 1 3 6. 1 125.7 23 Industrial Countries 15 Member States of the European Union =Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism =Consumer Price Index • Gross Domestic Product Deflator =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ~Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy "'Nominal Unit Labour Cost In ManufactJring industry Page 34 Canada dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate .Quarterly figures Index (1987=100) Annual f i¥ures index (198 =100) IC23 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 105.2 98.0 100.0 106.5 11 3 . 0 11 3 . 1 114.9 108.0 10 1 . 8 95.6 94.4 96.5 97.2 142.8 11 0. 8 100.0 104.4 116.2 103.2 1 0 7. 7 98.6 104.6 97.5 89.5 91 . 7 9 9. 1 t 0 ERM IC23 150.3 1 12 . 5 100.0 105.8 1 1 7. 3 102.4 107.3 9 7. 1 10 1 . 1 94.3 85.3 87.9 98.5 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 94.8 92.3 93.5 95.5 96.2 95.8 96.5 96.0 97.8 98.5 96.8 97.3 96.0 93.4 89.3 88.4 90.3 89.9 90.7 92.8 90.9 92.3 97.6 98.3 102.4 9 8. 1 t0 Monthly figures monthly % change Relative IC23 EUR15 ERM 90.2 85.7 8 4. 1 85.9 85.5 86.3 88.8 87.0 89.6 96. 1 97.5 102.6 98.2 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 -1 . 4 1.4 0.5 -1 . 1 -1 . 4 0.6 -0.5 0.9 -0.4 0. 1 -0.1 -1.7 -0. 1 0.0 3.2 4.0 0.2 -1 . 3 0.8 0.5 2.8 2.2 -2.1 -1.7 -3.6 1.7 t0 ERM 0.4 3.8 4.5 0.2 -0.9 0.8 0.8 4.0 1.9 -2.6 -1.7 -3.2 1.8 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) Quarterly figures fmdex 1987 =100) ~~I~~~~~~~~~~--~·~~~ 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 9201 9301 9401 9501 96Q1 97Q1 98Q1 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual f~gures Quarterly figures Ondex 1987 =100) Ondex 1987 =100) 90 ~~~~~~~~~~----~~~ 1972 Page 35 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 Canada dollar Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual figures CPI 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 104.6 98.2 100.0 1 06. 1 112.5 111. 9 114.2 105.3 98.2 90.7 88.8 89.6 89.5 GOP (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 104.9 9 7. 1 100.0 107.1 114.0 11 2. 6 . 11 3. 0 104.6 97.0 89.8 87.8 88.8 88.2 106.7 99.4 100.0 1 01 . 4 106.2 103.6 99.9 96.1 95.3 93.4 93.4 9 7. 1 97.5 105.8 98.3 100.0 106.6 115.3 116.4 118.7 110.8 1 01 . 9 93.5 90.6 96.6 95\6 Quarterly figures ULCM 97.8 93.8 100.0 108.8 11 6. 1 116.2 1 21 . 0 109.9 1 01 . 0 91 . 9 93.2 102.2 105.5 94Q4 95Q1 9502 95Q3 9504 ·9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 CPI GOP 89.6 8 7. 1 8 8. 1 89.8 90.1 89.4 89.6 88.9 90.4 90.9 89.2 89.6 88.3 88.7 86.2 87.1 88.7 89.1 88.5 88.9 88.2 89.5 89.8 88.0 88.2 86.9 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE 93.4 91 . 1 92.3 94.6 95.8 95.9 97.0 96.8 98.6 99.2 97.3 97.6 9 6. 1 91 . 5 88.4 89.2 91 . 5 93.4 94.6 96.6 96.8 98.4 98.3 95.7 95.2 93.2 ULCM 90.9 89.2 91 . 4 94.9 97.5 99.1 101 . 7 102.6 105.4 106.7 106.2 105.8 104.4 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 140.4 109.8 100.0 104.9 11 7 . 1 103.8 107.7 95.8 99.7 91.0 82.7 83.8 90.2 144.2 109.5 100.0 105.3 117.4 102.5 104.7 93.1 96.5 88.7 80.5 81 . 8 87.8 (I n.dex 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 137.0 109.0 100.0 102.2 11 0. 1 95.7 94.9 88.2 94.8 91 . 2 83.6 86.0 91 . 4 142.6 109.9 100.0 105.7 118.8 105.7 11 0. 1 98.6 102.0 94.4 86.0 92.3 99.3 Quarterly figures ULCM 143.5 113.3 100.0 1 0 8. 1 1 21 . 3 106.4 111 . 7 98.3 100.1 92.3 87.6 95. 1 104.8 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 CPI GOP 86.7 82.8 81 . 8 83.4 82.7 83.3 84.9 82.9 84. 1 88.8 89.5 93.2 89.2 84.6 80.6 79.6 81 . 2 80.6 81 . 3 82.9 81 . 0 82.1 86.6 87.1 90.7 86.8 (Index 1987•100) Deflator ULCE PX 87.8 83.6 82.5 84.2 84.0 8 5. 1 87.2 85.3 86.3 90.7 90.9 94.2 89.9 89.8 85.3 84.4 86.8 87;6 89.9 93.4 92.1 93.6 98.6 98.7 102.3 97.7 ULCM 88.9 85.7 85.8 89.0 90.0 92.4 95.9 94.9 97.1 103.1 104.0 108.4 103.7 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 1 4 6. 1 11 0. 8 100.0 1 0 7. 1 119.8 105.0 11 0. 6 97.3 99.5 90.8 81 . 3 82.9 92.6 151.3 1 1 0. 6 100.0 107.5 120.6 104.2 107.7 94.7 96.2 88.3 79.1 81 . 0 90.4 Abbrevlat ions: (Index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 1 4 4. 1 109.7 1 00.0 103.3 111 . 8 96.5 96.2 88.6 95.0 91 . 5 83.1 86.0 93.5 149.2 111. 2 100.0 108.5 123.9 110.0 11 5. 7 1 0 2. 1 103.0 95.6 85.8 93.0 104.3 Quarterly figures ULCM 150.1 11 4 . 7 100.0 11 0. 2 123~9 107.6 11 3. 9 98.4 97.6 90.5 84.9 93.4 107.6 9404 9501 95Q2 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 CPI GOP 86.3 81 . 9 80.3 81 . 8 81 . 2 81 . 7 83.8 81 . 9 84.2 90-. 3 91 . 6 96.4 92.2 8 4. 1 79.7 78.0 79.6 79.0 79.7 81 . 9 8 0. 1 82.4 88.2 89.5 94. 1 90.0 (Index 1987=100) deflator ULCE PX 87.9 83. 4' 81 . 8 83.7 83.6 84.7 87.2 8 5. 1 87.0 92.3 92.8 96.9 92.2 90.7 85.7 84.0 86.4 87.3 89.8 93.9 92.8 95.8 102.4 103.4 108.3 103.4 ULCM 87.1 83.5 83.0 86.1 87.2 89.8 93.9 93.2 96.9 104.5 106.4 112.2 107.4 IC23 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 15 Member States of the European Union = Co~ntrles in the Exchange Rate Mechanism ERM CP I Consumer Price Index GOP Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services ==Nominal Unit Labour Cost in total Economy ULCE Nominal Unit Labour Cost in Manufacturing industr} ULCM Page 36 Japan -_ yen Nominal' Effective Exchange Rate Annual f i¥ures index (198 =100) 1023 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Relative EUR15 69. 1 90.8 100.0 111 . 3 106.6 96.5 105.4 111 . 1 134.3 145.9 154.7 135.0 127.9 89.6 99.9 1'00. 0 109•2 108.6 90.6 99.9 102; 2 1 31 . 4 1 41 . 1 141.3 124.4 123.5 to Monthly figures monthly % change Ouarterll figures Index. ( 987=100) ERM IC23 94.2 10 1 . 4 100.0 11 0. 7 109.7 90.0 99.5 100.8 127.3 136.7 135.0 11 9. 5 122.5 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 960,1 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative to ERM . EUR 1 5 148.1 152.4 170.7 1 54. 1 142.7 138.4 137.2 134.4 130.2 125.2 128.6 133.3 124.6 139.8 1 41 . 2 154.8 140.6 129.5 126.9 127.4 123.5 119.7 119.0 124.0 13 1 . 1 120.2 135.2 135.8 147.7 134.2 123.6 12 1 . 1 122.2 11 8. 5 116.3 117.0 122.7 130.8 119.8 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAA97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Relative IC23 EUR15 to ERM -0.5 -2.1 -2.3 0.8 -2.0 5.3 4.8 0.5 -0.9 -3.3 -0.9 -3.8 -2.0 0.8 -0.4 0.4 1.6 -1.6 5. 1 5.5 2.7 0.5 -5.2 -1 . 9 -4.7 -0.8 0.4 -0.9 -0.0 1.6 -1 . 9 5. 1 5. 1 1.7 0.7 -4.7 -2.0 -5 .·0 -0.9 . Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures fmdex 1987 =100) Quarterly ~ (Index 1987 =100) Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures ~ndex Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) 1987 =100) 1~~--------------~----~~~ 130 ---120 ·-110 ------. ---------------------------------~--=---------- -------- --- 1\i. ·. . 100 -----------·-------------------~-·1--: --- ------ -------------1'-~ ' : 70 -:--l~--:~t--- -c:_ :~: : - ~\,_(.· ' !I -~·----~,·--- -----~~------ -- . ----~--------------------------- ~ 1977 Page 37 1982 1987 1992 1997 Japan yen Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 74.3 94.6 100.0 106.7 99.2 87.6 93.6 96.7 114.4 1 21 . 5 124.3 105.7 99. 1 74.0 94.8 100.0 106.8 99.5 88.0 94.4 97.7 11 5 . 1 122.0 124.5 105.9 99.2 (Index 1987•100) Deflator ULCE PX 84.6 98.1 100.0 103.7 98.8 89.5 93.2 94.1 103.4 106.3 105.7 98.9 97.6 75.4 95.7 100.0 1 05. 4 98.6 86.0 91 . 8 94.7 112.6 122.4 126.8 105.5 99.1 Quarterly figures ULCM 70.5 94.3 100.0 105.7 98.9 86.9 92.7 99.0 125.0 139.2 139.4 11 5. 4 103.6 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 CPI GOP 1 21 . 9 124.2 137.8 123.3 11 3. 2 1 0 9. 1 107.6 105.0 1 01 . 4 97.4 99.8 103.2 96.3 122.2 124.5 138.0 123.4 11 3. 4 109.3 107.8 105.2 1 01 . 6 97.4 99.9 103.2 96.3 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 104.7 105.0 115.8 104.5 98.3 97.8 99.7 99.9 98.2 95.3 98.2 1 01 . 9 95.3 124.0 127.0 141 . 0 125.8 114. 8 109.8 107.3 104.3 100.8 97.0 99.8 103.4 96.5 ULCM 139.6 1 41 . 1 155.0 137.6 125.6 120.4 11 8. 0 114. 2 109.2 103.5 104.8 107. 1 99.0 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 93.8 102.4 100.0 106.3 103.3 84.7 90.9 90.8 114.0 11 9. 8 1'16. 4 100.4 99.2 95.2 103.3 100.0 106.0 102.9 83.9 90.4 90.3 113.0 11 8. 7 11 5. 2 99.4 98.2 (Index 1987•100) Deflator ULCE PX 102.8 104.6 100.0 104.4 1 02. 1 85.5 90.0 88.4 1 01 . 7 103.5 97.2 90.9 ·93. 3 95.5 103.7 100.0 105.2 102.2 82.3 88.5 88. 1 111 . 5 121 . 3 ' 1 2 0. 1 1 01 . 9 1 01 . 6 Quarterly figures ULCM 95.0 107.7 100.0 105.9 103.8 83.7 89.3 92 ..3 122.7 137.2 1 31 . 6 11 0. 1 104.3 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 9701 97Q2 97Q3 9704 CPI GOP 117.5 117.7 128.0 115.4 105.6 102.9 102.9 99.5 96.4 95.7 99.7 1 05. 2 96.3 11 6. 4 11 6. 5 126.6 11 4. 1 104.5 1 01 . 9 1 01 . 9 98.6 95.4 94.8 98.7 104.3 95.4 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 99.6 98.1 105.8 95.9 89.6 89.8 92.5 91.5 89.8 89.8 93.8 99.2 90.8 120.6 1 21 . 6 132.5 119.2 108.5 105.0 104.4 100.7 97.7 97.4 101 . 9 108.1 99.3 ULCM 135.4 134.8 145.3 129.8 118.0 114.3 113.4 108.8 104.2 102.3 105.3 110.0 99.8 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 97.4 103.3 100.0 108.4 105.6 85.8 93.3 92.4 113.9 11 9. 7 11 4. 8 99.6 1 01 . 6 99.6 104.2 100.0 108.2 105.7 85.3 92.9 91 . 8 11 2. 8 11 8. 5 11 3. 5 98.7 100.9 AbbrevIatIons: (Index 1987=100) def I a tor PX ULCE IC23 EUR15 ERM CPI GOP PX ULCE ULCM 107.9 105.2 100.0 105.5 103.7 86.2 91 . 2 88.8 102.0 103.9 96.8 91 . 0 95.3 99.8 104.8 100.0 108.0 106.5 85.6 93.0 91 . 2 11 2. 8 123.0 120.3 103.0 106.4 Quarterly figures ULCM 99.2 108.9 100.0 107.9 106.0 84.7 91 . 1 92.6 1 2 0. 1 135.0 128.1 108.5 106.7 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 96Q1 96Q2 96Q3 96Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 (Index deflator PX CPI GOP 11 7. 2 11 6. 8 126.0 11 3. 6 104.0 10 1 . 4 1 01 . 9 98.6 96.6 97.2 1 01 . 9 108.5 99.2 11 5. 9 11 5. 4 1 24. 5· 11 2. 3 102.8 100.3 100.9 97.7 95.9 96.5 10 1 . 1 107.8 98.6 99.9 98.0 105.0 95.4 89.2 89.6 92.6 91 . 4 90.5 91 . 3 95.6 1 01 . 7 93.0 1987=1.00) UL.CE ULCM 1 2 2. 1 122.3 132.3 11 9 . 1 108.5 105.2 105.3 1 01 . 7 100.0 101 . 0 106.4 11 4. 0 104.6 133.2 1 31 . 8 1 41 . 0 126.2 114.9 11 1 . 5 111 . 5 1 07. 1 104.0 103.6 107.4 113.4 102.9 23 Industrial Countries 15 Member States of the European Union =Countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism Consumer Pr·ice Index =Gross Domestic Product Deflator =Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services =Nominal Unit labour Cost in total Economy ... Nominal Unit labour Cost in Manufacturing Industry Page 38 United States dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual f iyures index (198 =100) IC23 Relative EUR15 11 9. 5 1 0 6 •. 1 100.0 97.3 1 0 2. 1 98.2 98.2 97.1 10 1 . 1 1 01 . 2 102.6 '1 0 9. 1 11 8. 2 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 147.2 1 16 . 1 100.0 96.9 103.6 90.6 92.9 89.5 10 1 . 1 99.9 92.0 93.8 1 0 3. 7 to Monthly figures monthly % change Ouarterll figures Index ( 987=100) ERM IC23 154.4 11 7. 7 100.0 98.2 104.7 90.0 92.6 88.4 98.0 96.9 8 8. 1 90.3 102.8 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 Relative EUR15 99.4 103.9 99. 1 101 . 9 105.4 107.9 109.1 109.0 110.3 11 5. 7 117.4 11 9. 2 120.7 95.9 94.3 90.8 91 . 7 91 . 2 93.0 94.9 93.4 93.7 1 0 0. 1 103.0 107.4 104.5 to Relative IC23 EUR15 to ERM 1.6 1.9 1.8 2.5 3.0 4.4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.4 -1 . 6 -0.3 -0.4 0.9 1.1 2.5 2.0 3. 1 -.0. 4 . -2.4 -0.6 -1 . 8 1.1 -1.7 2.4 2.0 2.3 3.0 4 .. 8 1.4 0.7 -0.3 1.2 3.5 2.8 -2.8 -1.7 -1.4 2.5 ERM 92.8 90.8 86.8 87.6 87.2 89.0 91 . 2 89.7 91 . 1 98.4 1 01 . 8 1 01. 1 1 0 4. 1 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) Quarterly figures ~ndex 1987 =100) 1m----------------~--------~ 120 ------------------------------------------------------------- ----- 1977 1982 1987 1992 9201 9301 9401 9501 96Q1 9701 9801 1997 Real Effective Exchange Rate (based on ULCM) Annual figures On®x 1987 =100) Quarterly figures ~ndex 1987 =100) .. :,. . 100 ---------- ------------------}\- ----------------------------/1-\---I .·~ :..,~ . ' \~ I' ~': 1\ if .- ..~ /.'•,\ r:·, I •• t··· t: !I l1 '•\ ~\ ., ·.. \ 90 - -- r~ ---t!--~-~------- -- -··\y;.~<~-- ·... · ··. . ... 90 ~~~~~~~--~~~~~--~ 1972 Pag_e 39 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 0 ------------ United States dollar Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 130.2 1 11 . 0 100.0 94.1 98.0 93.4 91 . 7 89.8 92.7 92.2 91.1 94.9 1 01 . 5 132.0 111 . 9 100.0 93.6 96.8 92.0 90.7 88.6 91.9 91 . 5 90.2 94. 1 100.9 1 21 . 1 108.3 100.0 99.0 1 01 . 0 96.3 98.4 96.5 99.2 97.6 93. 1 93.2 96.8 128.3 109.9 '1 00.0 94.8 96.7 91.6 89.8 86.9 90.0 90.1 90.6 94.1 1 01 . 3 Quarterly figures ULCM 142.9 118.7 100.0 93.9 96.8 91 . 3 88.5 85.9 86.4 86.0 86.4 88.8 94.2 9404 9501 9502 9'503 9504 96Q1 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 (Index 1987=100) Deflator PX ULCE CPI GOP 90.0 93.3 88.3 90.1 92.6 94.4 95.2 94.7 95.4 99.8 100.9 1 0 2. 1 1 03. 1 89.2 92.4 87.4 89.2 91 . 7 93.5 94.3 93.9 94.7 99. 1 100.3 1 01 . 7 102.7 94.3 96.9 90.8 91 . 7 93.3 94.1 93.9 92.5 92.4 95.8 96.3 97.2 97.9 ULCM 88.5 92.4 87.9 89.9 92.3 93;9 94.4 93.8 94.6 99. 1 100.5 102.2 103.6 84.6 88.3 83.9 85.6 87.7 89.0 89.2 88.4 88.8 92.7 93.7 94.8 95.6 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the European Union as a whole (EUR15) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CPI GOP 146.3 115.2 100.0 97.7 105.0 92.4 93.6 89.2 99.7 98.0 89.9 91 . 7 1 01 . 5 150.5 11 6. 3 100.0 96.9 103.5 90. 1 91. 5 86.8 97.3 96.1 88.1 90.0 99.9 (Index 1987•100) Deflator PX ULCE 136.8 112.0 100.0 100.4 104.6 91 . 9 94.8 90.7 99.0 96.7 87.4 86.9 93.5 146.5 114.8 100.0 98. 1 103.6 90.2 91. 8 86.7 97.7 98.2 91. 4 93.6 104.8 Quarterly figures ULCM 163.5 126.2 100.0 98.3 105.5 90.9 91 . 1 86.8 95.4 96.0 89.3 89.8 98.7 9404 9501 95Q2 9503 95Q4 9601 9602 96Q3 96Q4 9701 97Q2 9703 9704 CPr GOP 93.9 92. 2. 88 ..a 89.6 89. 1 90.9 92.8 91.3 91.7 97.9 100.8 1 0 5. 1 102.3 9 2. 1 90.4 87.0 87.8 87.3 89.1 91.0 89.6 90. 1 96.3 99.2 10,3.5 100.8 (Index 1987•100} Deflator PX ULCE 92.4 90.4 86.6 86.9 85.9 87.1 88.3 86.2 85.9 91 . 0 93.0 96.4 93.6 94.8 93.5 90.3 91.2 90.8 92.7 94.7 93.3 93.9 100.5 103.8 108.7 106.3 ULCM 93.0 91. 7 8.8. 4 89.1 88.3 89.6 91 . 1 89.3 89.4 95.4 98.0 1 0 2. 1 99.3 Real Effective Exchange Rate relative to the countries in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Annual 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 figures CP I GOP 1 51 . 8 116.1 100.0 99.7 107.3 93.5 96.0 90.7 99.7 98.0 88.8 91.0 103.8 157.3 117.3 100.0 - 98.9 106.3 91 . 7 94.0 88.4 97.3 95.9 87.0 89.4 102.5 Abbreviations: (index 1987=100) deflator PX ULCE 143.2 11 2. 6 100.0 1 01 . 5 1 0 6. 1 92.6 96.1 91 . 2 99.3 97.0 87.1 87.0 95.3 152.7 116.0 100.0 100.7 108.0 93.8 96.4 89.9 99.0 99.6 91 . 7 94.8 109.6 Quarterly figures CPI ULCM 170.3 127.6 100.0 100.3 107.7 91 . 9 92.9 8 7. 1 93.5 94.5 87.1 88.6 100.9 9404 9501 9502 9503 95Q4 96Q1 9602 9603 9604 97Q-1 9702 9703 9704 93.6 91 . 5 87.5 88.3 87.8 89~6 92.0 90.5 92.0 99.3 102.8 108.2 105.2 GOP 91 . 8 89.7 85.7 86.5 86.1 87.9 90.3 89.0 90.5 97.9 101 . 5 106.8 104.0 (index 1987=100) deflator ULCE PX 92.6 90.3 86.0 86.4 85.6 86.8 88.4 8 6. 1 86.5 92.3 94.6 98.7 95.6 96.0 94.2 90.3 91 . 3 91 . 0 93. 1 95.7 94.4 96.1 104.2 108.3 114.5 111. 9 ULCM 91 . 5 89.8 86.0 86.7 86.1 87.6 89.6 88.0 89.3 96.5 99.9 1 05. 1 102.2 IC23 = 23 Industrial Countries EUR15 = 15 Member States of the European Union ERM =Countries In the Exchange Rate Mechanism CPI = Consumer.Price Index GOP =Gross Domestic Product Deflator PX =· P r I c e 0 e f I a t o r E x p o r t s o f Go o d s a n d S e r v I c e s ULCE =Nominal Unit Labour Cost In total Economy UI.CM Nominal Unit Labour Cost In Manufacturing industry Page 40 ~. 59. 14 44.58 37.31 36.72 39.37 33.37 34. 11 32.12 34.53 33.40 29.48 30.95 35.74 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 10.56 8.08 8.83 8.72 7.31 8. 18 8.39 6.03 8. 48_ 8.35 5.80 5.80 6.60 OK GR 138.0 139.8 135.4 141 . 6 162.3 158.4 181.9 190.5 229.0 242.5 231.7 240.7 272.8 0 2.931 2.166 1. 796 1. 754 1. 879 1 . 814 1. 858 1. 580 1. 653 1. 821 1. 433 1. 504 1. 732 6.05 5.86 5. 47 5.56 5.52 5.68 5.87 5.78 5.87 6.32 6.53 8.88 8.88 31.76 30.49 28.71 29.44 29.28 30.17 31.28 30.85 31. 54 34. 17 35.37 37.31 38.20 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9801 9802 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 E 128.9 130.5 123.0 122.8 122.3 123.7 127.4 128.6 128.. 9 140.0 144.7 152.5 148.2 GR 237.6 234.4 226.5 231 . 1 234.8 241.4 242.3 238.0 241.3 280.1 272.0 283.9 275.9 1. 544 1. 4 79 1. 397 1. 432 1. 424 1. 468 1. 522 1.497 1. 531 1. 857 1. 714 1. 807 1. 755 BLEU 31.99 33.01 34.58 34.97 35.30 35.18 35.84 36.98 38.01 38.94 38.23 35.73 38.84 Month OEC98 JAN97 -FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 OEC97 5.94 8. 11 8.39 8.47 8.52 6.49 8.58 8.82 7.01 8.81 8.89 6.59 8.78 OK. 169.8 139.9 123.3 116.3 118.4 1 01 . 8 103.8 102.2 126.9 133.8 124.8 126.6 146.3 E 0 E 130.7 134.5 141.9 143.8 144.4 143.9 145.9 151. 1 155.5 1 51.. 0 148.3 148.3 150.1 GR 245.8 251 . 1 282.5 268.8 270.5 271.7 273.7 281.0 288.5 282.2 276.6 271.9 279.1 0 1. 552 1 . 801 1. 875 1.695 1:711 1. 705 1.727 1.792 1 . 841 1. 789 1. 757 1.732 1. 778 Monthly figures (period average) OK BLEU Otr Quarterly figures (period average) BLEU Year Annual figures (period average) IRL 0.802 0.812 0.830 0.839 0.845 0. 881 0. 884 0. 688 o. 889 0.878 0. 881 0.885 0. 884 5.243 5.405 5.655 5.718 5.783 5. 748 5.830 6. 044 6.204 6.015 5.893 5.801 5.945 0.840 0.636 0.815 0.821 0.823 0. 833 0.837 0. 822 0.808 0.627 0.858 0.878 0. 877 F 5.301 5. 167 4.915 4.948 4.931 5.034 5. 157 5.095 5. 175 5.591 5.780' 8.087 5.879 IRL 0.942 0. 746 0.872 0. 858 0.705 0.804 0. 820 0.587 0. 882 0.888 0. 824 0. 825 0. 659 8.947 6.919 6.007 5.949 6.375 5. 439 5.633 5.288 5.860 5.545 4.989 5. 115 5.832 F IRL F 1528 1585 1655 1693 1894 1884 1895 1744 1798 1748 1721 1&97 1740 I 1588 1640 1887 1810 1598 1573 1555 1521 1522 1837 1891 1763 1719 I 1905 1488 1296 1300 1371 1197 1238 1229 1570 1812 1829 1543 1702 I A 10.92 11.27 11 . 79 11 . 93 12.04 12 .oo 12.18 12.81 12.95 12.59 12.38 12.19 12.50 1. 742 1.798 1 . 881 1.907 1. 924 1. 917 1.943 2. 017 2.073 2.015 1. 979 1. 953 2.001 10.87 10.41 9.82 10.07 10.02 10.32 10.71 10.54 10.77 11 . 86 12.08 12.72 12.35 1.730 1.859 1.563 1.604 1.595 1. 643 1.702 1. 880 1. 717 1. 862 1. 928 2.035 1. 977 NL A 20.80 15.23 12.63 12.33 13.22 11 . 36 11 . 66 10.98 11 . 63 11 . 40 10.08 10.58 12. 19 A NL 3.306 2. 444 2.024 1. 974 2.120 1. 819 1.867 1.757 1.857 1.818 1.805 1.885 1. 950 NL 156.5 180.1 188.3 170.4 171.7 171 . 7 174.4 180.9 188.5 181.8 178.9 178.8 181.4 p_ 157.9 153·. 8 147.3 149.4 149.8 152.3 158.4 153.8 154.8 186.2 172.8 183.0 179.1 p 171. 2 149.8 140.9 143.8 157.4 142.5 144.3 134.8 180.4 185. a 150.0 154.2 175.1 p 5.~22 5.382 4.837 4. 788 4.979 5. 082 5.130 5. 141 5.175 5.310 5.504 5. 356 5.284 SF 4.747 4.585 4.296 4.307 4. 280 4.531 4. 718 4.534 4. 588 4.934 5.149 5.389 5.282 SF 8. 180 5.088 4.391 4.180 4.287 3. 819 4.039 4.473 5. 714 5. 212 4.385 4.592 5. 186 SF 6.828 7.049 7.404 7. 852 7. 881 7.880 7.750 7.811 7. 987 7.704 7-.570 7.588 7.773 s 7.375 7. 377 7.301 7.183 6. 885 8.780 6.731 6. 834 6. 884 7. 384 7.703 7.833 7.838 s 8.583 7.117 6. 338 8.124 8. 445 5.915 6.041 5.809 7. 776 7. 712 7.131 8.707 7.832 s 0.601 0.602 0.815 0.822 0.614 0. 812 0.808 0.598 0. 824 0. 825 0. 813 0. 592 0.803 UK 0.631 0.632 0.626 0.636 0.641 0.853 0. 656 0.643 0.611 0.613 0.811 0. 818 0.803 UK 0.775 0.882 0.611 0. 582 0.611 0.562 0.566 0.568 0.666 0.653 0.834 0.641 0.611 UK (Price of one US dollar in terms of the currencies of each of the countries indicated) - 0.800 0.821 0.858 0.889 0.873 0.871 0.880 0.905 0.932 0.909 0.893 0.878 0.899 ECU 0.807 0.786 0.751 0.762 0.759 0. 777 0.797 0.785 0.793 0.849 0.875 0.918 0.890 ECU 1 . 317 1 .018 0.867 0.845 0.908 0.787 0.808 0. 772 0.853 0. 842 0.785 0.788 0.882 ECU Table A1: Bilateral exchange rate of ·the US dollar against the EU currencies t, 0.252 0.592 1. 350 2.273 2.459 2. 811 3. 018 3.095 3.116 3.372 6.399 1', 599 7. 919 237.6 167.9 144.4 128. 1 137.8 144.5 134.4 126.6 111 . 0 102.1 93.8 108.7 120.9 1. 365 1 . 390 1. 326 1 . 2 31 1 . 184 1.187 1.146 1. 208 1. 290 1. 365 1. 372 1. 364 1. 384 1. 429 1. 493 1. 427 1. 277 1. 264 1 . 2 81 1. 284 1. 381 1. 4 72 1. 387 1. 349 1. 278 1. 345 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 6.733 8.521 8.242 6.305 6.282 8. 414 6.. 533 6.440 6.437 6.625 7.089 7.461 7. 121 1. 807 1.582 1.497 1 . 510 1.529 1.487 1.467 1. 446 1 . 418 1 . 435 1 . 448 1 . 546 1 . 616 3.598 5.967 8. 162 8. 219 7.364 7. 519 7.485 7.560 7.838 7.864 7. 919 7.810 8.086 98.9 96.1 84.5 93.9 101. 5 105.7 107.5 109.0 112.8 121.1 119.6 117.9 12 5. 1 1. 368 1. 407 1. 372 1. 358 1. 358 1. 369 1. 364 1. 370 1 . 351 1.359 1. 388 1. 384 1. 407 1. 32-3 1. 337 1. 374 1. 350 1. 337 1. 323 1. 263 1. 288 1. 257 1. 286 1. 300 1. 359 1.441 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9801 9802 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 CH 1. 328 1. 389 1.464 1. 464 1. 482 1. 433 -1.442 1 . 481 1. 513 1.472 1.452 1. 407 1. 437 N 6.470 8.449 8.635 6.796 6.979 7.072 7. 218 7. 443 7.825 7. 319 7.078 7.059 7.229 NZ 1 . 418 1.425 1. 447 1.433 1. 444 1. 448 1.455 1 . 511 1.557 1 . 572 1.572 1 . 602 1. 675 MX 7.873 7.830 7.802 7.960 7.907 7.899 7.950 7.871 7.783 7. 778 7.852 8.276 8. 138 J 113.9 117.8 122.9 122.7 125.6 119. 1 114.3 115. 1 117.8 120.7 121.0 125.2 129.3 CND 1. 362 1. 351 1. 355 1. 371 1. 394 1. 380 1. 384 1 . 377 1.389 1. 387 1. 388 1 . 412 L422 AUS 1. 254 1. 285 1.303 1.270 1. 284 1. 292 1. 328 1. 348 1. 349 1. 381 1. 387 1.440 1.499 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 ' APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 OEC97 1. 298 1. 243 1 .155 1 .181 1 . 151 1. 190 1.243 1. 222 1.287 1. 435 1. 446 1.489 1.432 CH 2.444 1. 793 1. 489 1. 481 1. 834 1. 386 1. 431 1. 404 1. 477 1. 386 1 .182 1.235 1.450 CH Month Monthly figures (period average) N NZ MX J CND 8.571 7.391 8:731 8.510 6.902 6.252 6.478 8.208 7.090 7.053 8.337 6.456 7.068 N AUS 2. 013 1. 907 1. 689 1 . 525 1. 872 1. 876 1 . 729 1. 859 1. 849 1. 685 1.524 1:454 1 . 510 NZ Ot r Quarterly figures (period average) MX J CND AUS Year Annual figures (period average) 104817 111973 119115 124905 131212 137236 144187 153580 183673 170390 178380 187393 197477 TR 38252 41015 42838 46322 52970 64292 76402 85523 98998 118546 137443 162399 187588 TR 521 873 854 1405 2117 2803 4118 8812 10853 28733 45587 80305 149282 TR (Price of one US dollar in terms of the currencies of each of the countries Indicated) Table A2: Bilateral exchange rate of the US dollar against the non- EU currencies 85.1 81.7 77.0 78.9 78.5 80.9 83.8 82.7 84.5 91 . 6 94.8 100.0 97.0 94Q4 95Q1 95Q2 95Q3 95Q4 98Q1 96Q2 96Q3 98Q4 97Q1 97Q2 97Q3 97Q4 F 87.3 90.0 94.1 95.2 95.9 95.7 97. 1 100.6 103.3 100.1 98.1 98.6 99.0 E 106.0 109.1 115. 1 116. 6 11 7. 1 116.7 118.4 122.6 126.2 122.5 120.3 118.7 121.8 GR 181. 4 185.5 193.9 197.2 199.9 200.8 202.2 207.6 213.2 208.5 204.4 200.9 206.2 86.4 89.2 93.3 94.4 95.3 94.9 96.2 99.8 102.5 99.6 97.8 98.5 98.9 86.9 89.4 93.5 94.8 95.4 95.0 96.2 99.9 102.6 99.7 97.9 98.5 99 .o 85.7 88.5 92.6 93.7 94.6 94.3 95.5 99.1 101.9 99.0 97.1 95.8 98.2 DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 DEC97 88.3 88.0 81.8 82.4 82.1 83.8 85.9 84.8 88.2 93. 1 96.2 101 . 3 97.9 0 104.8 105.9 99.8 99.6 99.2 100.3 103.3 102.7 104.5 113.6 117.4 123.7 120.2 175.8 173.2 167.3 170.7 173.5 178.3 179.0 175.8 178.2 192.1 201. 0 209.7 203.8 F OK 88.0 82.4 77.8 79.7 79.3 81. 7 84.7 83.4 85.2 92.3 95.5 100.6 97.7 88.5 85.8 80.1 81.4 80.8 83.1 85.9 84.5 85.9 92.5 95.5 100.7 97.8 E 149.0 115.2 100.0 99.0 1 06. 1 90.5 93.8 88.0 94.2 92.3 83.1 85.2 97. 1 137.8 113.5 100.0 94.4 96.0 82.8 84.2 82.9 103.0 108.6 1 01 . 1 102.7 118.7 GR F E BLEU 0 102.0 103.3 100.0 104.7 119.9 117.0 134.4 140.7 169.2 179. 1 171 . 2 177.8 201.6 GR Month Monthly figures BLEU Qt r OK 163.2 120.8 100.0 97.7 104.6 89.9 92.2 86.9 92.0 90.3 79.8 83.8 96.5 154.5 118.2 100.0 98.4 108.9 90.4 93.5 88.2 94.8 93.0 82.0 84.8 98.8 158.5 119.5 100.0 98.4 105.5 89.4 91 . 4 86.1 92.6 89.5 79.0 83.0 95.8 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Quarterly figures 0 OK BLEU Year Annual figures (index 1987 = 100) 89.8 91.0 93.7 95. 1 95.9 98.3 98.7 99.4 102.5 100.5 101.3 99.0 101.7 IRL 95.2 94.6 91.4 92.3 92.7 94.2 94.7 92.5 90.5 93.3 97.6 100.8 100.8 IRL 140.1 110. 9 100.0 97.6 104.9 89.1 92.3 87.4 101.5 99.4 92.8 92.9 88.0 IRL 118.0 120.8 127.8 130.7 130.7 130.0 130.8 134.6 138.8 134.8 132.8 131.0 134.3 I 122.6 126.6 128.7 124.3 123.3 121.4 120.0 117.4 117.5 126.3 130.5 136.0 132.7 I 147.0 114. 8 100.0 100.3 105.8 92.4 95.8 94.9 121.2 124.4 125.7 119. 1 131.3 I 91.9 88. 1 88.9 93.0 94.3 95. 1 94.7 98.0 99.7 102.5 99.8 97.8 98.5 NL 85.5 82.0 77.3 79.3 78.8 81.2 84.1 83.. 0 84.9 92.0 95.3 100.6 97.7 NL 163.4 120.8 100.0 97.5 104.7 89.9 92.2 88.8 91.8 89.8 79.3 83.3 98.3 NL p 88.5 89.2 93.3 94.4 95.3 95.0 98.2 99.8 102.5 99.7 97.9 96.5 98.9 A 88.0 82.4 77.8 79.7 79.3 81.7 84.8 83.4 85.3 92.3 95.5 100.7 97.8 A 111 . 1 113.7 119.4 120.9 121 . 8 121.9 123.8 128.4 132.4 129.0 127.0 125.5 128.8 p 112. 1 109.1 104.5 108.0 108.1 108.1 111 . 0 109.0 109.7 117.9 122.5 128.9 127.1 p 121.5 101. 1 100.0 97 .I 102.0 104.7 111 . 7 81.9 1 01 . 1 92.3 102.4 88.9 95.7 92.1 113.8 90.3 117.7 79.8 108.4 83.8 . 109.4 98.5 124.3 163. 1 120.8 100.0 A 105.6 108.5 113.4 115.3 116.8 117. 1 117.9 120.9 125.3 122.0 118.9 118.9 122.1 SF 108. 1 104.4 97.8 98. 1 97.5 103.2 107.4 103.2 104.4 112. 4 117.2 122.7 120.3 SF 140.7 115.4 100.0 95.2 97.6 87 .o 92.0 101. 9 130.1 118.7 99.4 104.6 118.1 SF 107.8 111.3 118.9 120.8 121 . 2 121.2 122.3 123.3 126.1 121 . 6 119.5 119.4 122.7 s 118.4 116.4 115.2 113.4 105.5 107.0 108.2 104.7 105.5 116.2 121.8 123.8 120.5 s 135.5 112.3 100.0 98.8 101. 7 93.4 95.3 91. 7 122.7 121 . 7 112.5 105.9 120.5 s ECU 151 . 9 117.4 100.0 97.5 104.7 90.7 93.2 89. 1 98.4 97.2 88.2 90.9 101. 7 ECU 97.0 88.7 98.4 98.5 100.7 1 01 . 8 100.5 100.2 99.8 97.9 102.2 102.3 100.4 UK 92.3 94.8 99.0 100.2 100.8 100.4 101.5 104.4 107.6 104.9 103.0 101.3 103.7 ECU 103.3 93.0 103.5 90.7 102.5 86.6 104. 1 87.9 104.9 87.8 108.9 89.8 107.4 91.9 105.3 90.5 100.0· 91. 4 100.3 98.0 100.1 100.9 100.8 105.6 98.7 102.6 UK 126.9 111. 7 100.0 92.0 100.0 91. 9 92.7 93.0 109.0 108.9 103.7 104.9 100.0 UK· Table A3: Bilateral exchange rate of the US dollar against the EU currencies 266.4 442.0 456.5 460.7 545.5 557.0 554.5 560.1 580.5 582.6 586.6 578.6 599.0 68.5 66.6 58.5 65.1 70.3 73.2 74.4 75.5 78.2 83.9 82.8 81. 6 86.7 103. 1 106. 1 103.4 102.2 102.2 103.3 102.9 103.3 1D1 . 9 102.5 104.5 104.4 106.1 92.7 93.7 96.3 94.6 93.7 92.7 88.5 88.9 88. 1 90. 1 91 . 1 95.3 101.0 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 MX 583.2 580.1 578.0 589.7 585.8 585.1 589.0 583. 1 576.6 576.2 581.7 613.1 602.7 J 78.9 81.6 85.1 85.0 87.0 82.5 79.2 79.8 81.6 83.6 83.8 86.7 89.6 CND 102.7 101 . 9 102.2 103.4 105. 1 104.0 104.4 103.8 104.8 104.6 104.5 106.5 107.2 AUS 87.9 90.0 91.3 89.0 90.0 90.5 93.0 94.4 94.5 96.8 97.2 100.9 105.0 Month DEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 N'OV97 DEC97 Monthly figures (period average) MX J CND AUS Ot r 84.0 84.4 85.7 84.9 85.5 85.8 86. 1 89.5 92.2 93. 1 93.1 94.9 99.2 NZ 95.2 92.5 88.6 89.4 90.5 88.0 86.9 85.6 83.9 85.0 85.8 91.6 95.7 NZ 119.2 112.9 100.0 90.3 99.0 99.2 102.4 11 0. 1 109.5 99.8 90.2 86.1 89.4 18.7 43.9 100.0 168.4 182.2 208.3 223.6 229.3 230.8 249.8 474.1 562.9 586.7 184.5 116.3 100.0 88.7 95.5 100. 1 93.1 87.7 76.9 70.7 . 65. 0 75.3 83.7 103.0 104.8 100.0 92.8 89.3 88.0 86.4 91 . 1 97.3 103.0 103.5 102.8 104.4 1 0 0. 1 104.6 100.0 89.5 88.5 89.8 90.0 95.4 103. 1 95.8 94.6 89.5 94.3 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 .1996 1997 Quarterly figures (period average) NZ MX J CND AUS Year Annual figures (period average) index 1987 = 100 TR 12277 13115 13952 14830 15369 18074 16888 17989 19171 19958 20893 21949 23130 89.2 93.3 97.6 98.3 98.2 96.2 98.9 99.4 101.6 98.9 97.5 94.5 96.5 96. 1 95.8 98.6 101.0 103.7 105. 1 107.2 110.6 113.3 108.7 105.1 104.9 107.4 4246 4804 5018 5426 6204 7530 8949 10017 11595 13885 16099 19022 21972 CH 87.0 83.5 77.5 79 .. 3 77.3 79.9 83.5 82. 1 86.4 96.4 97.1 100.0 96. 1 100.0 96.9 92.7 93.7 93.3 95.3 97.1 95.7 95.6 98.4 105.3 110. 8 105.8 TR 61.0 78.8 100.0 184.5 247.9 so-4.9 482.4 797.9 1271 3365 5337 9406 17483 TR N CH 164. 1 120.4 100.0 98.1 109.8 93. 1 96. 1 94 ;3 99.2 91.7 79.4 82.9 97.4 CH N 127.3 109.8 100.0 96.7 102.5 92.9 96.2 92.2 105.8 104.8 94. 1 95.9 105.0 N Table A4: Bilateral exchange rate of the US dollar against the non - EU currencies 118.4 122.6 12 5. 1 123.7 124.9 123.6 121 . 4 122.3 120.9 118.6 117.2 114.9 118. 8 110.5 112.1 115. 3 115.3 116.0 115. 3 113.5 1 14. 1 113.5 112.2 111.5 109.3 110.8 112.9 115.8 118.0 116. 9 117.8 116.8 115.2 1 15.5 114.2 1·12. 4 111 . 4 109.7 111 . 0 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9801 9602 9603 9804 9701 9702 9703 9704 -0.8 -0.5 -1.4 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.7 -1.0 -0.3 1.0 0.4 0.3 -0.4 -1 . 1 0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.7 -0.9 0. 1 -0.0 0. 1 0.2 0.6 0.7 -0.3 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.4 -0.3 -0.9 -1.6 -0.3 1.3 0.8 0.8 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.0 -0.3 -0.2 -0.8 -1.2 -0. 1 0.9 0.5 0.3 -0.2 OEC96 JAN97 FEB97 MAR97 APR97 MAY97 JUN97 JUL97 AUG97 SEP97 OCT97 NOV97 OEC97 -0.2 -0.8 -1.6 -0.2 1. 0 0.4 0.7 -0.3 -o .1 0.1 --o. 1 E GR 0 1. 0 0.0 -1.9 -1.3 0.7 -0.0 -0.0 -0.5 -0.6 1.3 0.2 0.6 -0.3 1.2 0.4 0.5 -0.4 -0.5 -3.0 -0. 1 0.9 -0.3 0.5 -2.2 1.0 -0.7 -0.7 -0.8 -0.7 0.0 -0.3 -0.4 -0.9' -1.5 1 1.5 0.8 0.8 -0.3 -o. I IRL 79.9 78.0 71.4 75.5 76.5 79.6 82.5 83.7 84.9 83.9 83.2 82.8 83.7 I 92.0 97.8 100.0 97.5 98.5 1-02.1 1 01 . 1 98.9 83.3 81.2 74.8 82.7 83.4 I F 102.2 101.6 101. 5 102. 1 102.0 102.5 103.7 104.9 107.4 109.6 108.7 108.5 104.9 11 3. 1 114.9 116.3 117.4 118.2 11 8. 1 117.5 1 17. 7 117.0 115.0 11 3. 7 111 . 6 113.9 95.4 93.6 95.7 97.2 98. 1 98.9 97.9 97.4 96.6 94. 6, 93.9 92.8 93.5 OK IRL 95.4 101.3 100.0 98.6 97.8 103.6 102.6 105.9 100.4 101.2 101 . 8 104.6 106.9 92.0 98.1 100.0 98.4 97.4 103.5 101. 9 106.1 109.2 111 . 5 116. 7 117.6 113.6 F IRL F E BLEU 58.8 58.9 58.9 58.4 57.6 57.3 58.3 58.7 58.6 58.2 57.2 57.1 57.8 GR 59.4 58.5 58.2 57.6 96.9 98.3 100.0 104.2 109. 1 114.4 115.2 113.2 100.2 94.9 96.1 97.7 93.6 E Month Monthly figures (monthly % change) 0 OK BLEU Ot r Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100) 136.7 110.0 100.0 94.0 87.5 80.4 72.0 67.1 82.2 92.6 100.0 100.2 99.5 105.1 104.8 109.0 113.5 116.0 124.1 1 2 2. 1 116.9 87.9 95.2 100.0 98.5 96.2 103.3 102.0 105.0 108.2 109.0 114.7 114. 1 110. 9 89. 1 95.4 100.0 99.3 98.8 1 04. 1 104.3 106.9 108.4 111. 2 117. 1 115.4 111 . 1 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 62.3 GR 0 OK BLEU _Year Annual figures (Index 1987 =100) Relative to 23 Industrial Countries (IC23) -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.8 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -0.2 -0.2 -o. 1 -0.8 -1.3 -o .1 0.9 0.3 0.2 -0.2 0.4 -0.2 o.: 0. -0.2 -1.0 A 112.7 115.3 117.0 118.0 118.5 115.8 114.0 114.5 113.8 112.6 1 11 . 7 110.3 111--:--5 A 88. 1 95.3 100.0 100.2 99.9 103.5 103.4 108.3 109.9 111.4 116. 2 114.5 111.5 A NL 113.3 116.0 118.0 116.9 117.8 118.7 115.2 115. 4 114. 1 112'. 2 111 . 2 109.5 110.5 NL 87.2 94.8 100.0 100.0 99.4 103.4 103.2 106. 1 110.0 111 . 7 117. 1 115.4 110.8 Nl Table B: Nominal Effective Exchange Rate - -0.4 0.1 -1.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.5 -0.8 -1.2 -0.4 0.5 -0.0 -0.1 -0.3 p 86.9 87.9 88.0 87.8 87.8 87.8 87.4 88.0 88.2 87.4 88.4 84.8 84.7 p 113.6 108.9 100.0 95. 1 92.1 90.7 91.7 95.1 89. 1 8$.9 87.8 87.8 85.8 p -0.1 -0.5 -0.7 -0.5 -0.7 -0.8 -0.2 -0.8 -1. 1 1.1 0.4 0. 1 -0.5 SF 92.0 93.9 98.5 87.7 88.1 94.8 92.4 95.2 94.9 93.6 91.8 90.5 91 . 1 SF 97.7 98.2 100.0 101 . 9 105.7 107.7 104.0 91. 2 79.3 86.8 98.8 94.3 91.7 SF UK 2.0 0.4 -0.8 -0.5 0.2 -1.3 -1 . 1 -1.4 -2.3 0.4 -0.5 -0.4 1.4 s 83.7 82.3 79.7 82.4 89.0 89.7 92.2 92.8 92.7 88.9 87.0 88.5 89.8 s 1.9 2.2 1.4 -0.1 2.2 -0.3 1. 2 4. 1 -2.1 -1.8 0.8 3.0 0.4 UK 94.8 93.2 90.3 90.4 90.0 90.1 91.4 92.4 98.8 104.6 107.4 110.3 111 . 5 UK 99.2 106.0 99.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.8 106.7 101 . 3 103.4 100.1 102.7 100. 1 104.0 101.9 100.7 83. 1 ' 92.7 82.9 94.2 83.3 91.0 91 . 8 93.1 88.5 108.4 .- s 1.2 -0.7 -1.0 -1.3 -2.2 -0.8 -0.3 -0.7 -1.8 -2.9 -0.7 2.9 1.1 ERM 116.4 119.5 121 . 0 122.9 125.4 125.8 124.3 126.2 124.9 120.4 117.5 113. 3 117.2 ERM 77.2 91.0 100.0 98.5 98.3 110.4 108.8 114.5 110.5 113. 0 122.2 125.3 117. 1 ERM -1.5 -1.8 3.0 1.8 2.7 -0.7 -1.3 -0.6 -0.7 -2. 1 -1 .o 0.6 -1.0 EUR15 111.5 113. 9 113.6 116.3 119.9 120.8 120.8 123.8 125.8 123. 1 120.8 117. 4 123.2 EUR15 78.0 90.4 100.0 100.9 99.2 112. 9 111 . 1 118.4 104.1 107.4 115.9 122.7 1 21 . 1 EUR15 1.6 1.8 3.0 0.9 1. 1 -1.8 -0.4 1.1 2.0 -0.4 -0.8 1.1 2.0 USA 99.4 103.9 99. 1 101 . 9 105.4 107.9 109. 1 109.0 110.3 115.7 117.4 119.2 120.7 USA 119. 5 106. 1 100.0 97.3 102.1 98.2 98.2 97. 1 1 01 . 1 101 . 2 102.8 109.1 118.2 USA -0.5 -2.1 -2.3 0.8 -2.0 5.3 4.8 0.5 -0.9 -3.3 -0.9 -3.8 -2.0 J 148. 1 152.4 170.7 154.1 142.7 138.4 137.2 134.4 130.2 125.2 128.6 133.3 124.8 J 69. 1 90.8 100.0 111 . 3 106. 6 96.5 105.4 111 . 1 134.3 145.9 154. 7 135.0 127.9 J 108.1 103.6 100.0 97.1 95.0 92.7 91. 2 91.6 91.6 90.6 89.2 88.0 87.3 9917 99.2 100.0 100.0 99.5 97.3 94.4 92.5 89.8 88.4 87 .. 7 87.5 87.2 102.9 101.0 100.0 97.8 97.4 96.4 94.9 93.1 92.9 92.6 91 . 5 91 . 2 90.4 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 199'1 75.6 89.5 100.0 109.8 118.3 135.2 153.3 188.0 182.9 194.3 204.3 213.9 219.2 GR 93.8 98.8 100.0 100.6 102.0 103.3 104.1 106.0 107.7 109.0 110.3 110. 6 11 0. 1 E 101 . 4 100.6 100.0 98.7 97. 1 95.1 92.9 90.8 8 9. 1 87.8 86.2 85.3 84.1 F 101. 1 101 . 3 100.0 100.0 99.3 96.7 94.4 92.8 91.4 91. 4 90.9 89.7 88.8 IRL 95.7 .98. 4 100.0 102.0 103.7 105.2 106.9 107.8 109.2 110.0 112. 7 114. 1 113 .1 I 105.5 103.0 100.0 97. 1 93.8 81 . 7 90.0 88.9 87.3 88.8 85.8 84.4 84. 1 NL p 103.5 85.3 102.4 - 94. 1 100.0 100.0 98.2 107.8 96.3 116.0 95.3 125.0 93.3 133.4 92.5 139.8 91.7 143.4 91.5 148.1 90.2 148.1 89.9 149.2 89.2 149.1 A 100.3 100.1 100.0 100.8 100.6 101 . 4 101 . 4 101 . 4 101 . 7 99.9 97.3 96.;1 95.1 SF 97. 1 98.7 100.0 101.9 104. 1 109.3 115.0 112. 9 11 5. 3 115. 3 115. 0 113.4 112.6 s 88.8 96.0 100.0 97.3 94.5 97.4 95.6 99.8 104.0 105.1 11.0.7 107.4 102.0 87.6 94.5 100.0 98.5 95.8 100.5 96.3 97.0 96.9 96.4 100.6 99.8 . 96.7 91.6 96.4 100.0 97.2 96.2 100.3 98.9 99.5 100.8 103.0 107.2 105.2 100.5 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993. 1994 1995 1996 1997 E 90.9 97.0 100.0 104.8 111 . 2 118.2 119.9 120.0 107.9 103.5 106.0 108.0 103.1 GR 103.3 98.4 100.0 103.2 103.8 108.7 110. 4 112. 8 113.9 115. 4 119. 4 124.5 126.2 93.3 98.7 100.0 97.1 94.6 98.3 94.7 96.3 97.3 97.8 1 00'. 6 100.3 95.5 F I 88. 1 96.3 100.0 99.5 102.2 107.3 108.0 106.7 91.0 89.4 84.3 94.3 94.4 IRL 98.4 102.6 100.0 98.6 97.1 100.2 96.9 98.3 91.9 92.5 92.5 93.8 95.0 98.6 99.7 100.4 101 . 0 101. 4 1 01 . 1 100.4 100.3 99.3 97.2 95.8 104.5 102.9 105.5 107.3 108.4 109.4 108.3 107.7 106.7 104.4 103.4 101 . 8 102.8 116. 4 11 8. 1 119.5 120. 1 120.0 120.7 124.3 128.3 12'7. 0 128.7 125.3 125.5 127.4 106.7 110.0 111 . 8 110.2 110.8 109.3 107.0 107.5 106.0 103.8 102.4 100.2 101. 7 97.4 98.8 101.2 1 01 . 1 101 . 6 101.0 99.3 99.8 99.1 97.9 97.2 95.2 98.5 104. 1 108.3 108.1 108.8 107.5 108.6 105.1 105.3 103.9 102.0 100.8 99.1 100. 1 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 95.4 ·as. 1 F E GR 0 OK BLEU Ot r NL 98.0 100.0 101 . 2 99.8 100.0 98.9 97.4 97.3 98.1 94.4 93.5 92.0 82.8 I 88.4 84.8 80.3 85.5 87.0 90.8 94.3 9'5. 5 96.7 95.4 94.3 93.5 94.3 93.4 92.7 92.4 92.7 92.3 92.4 93.1 93.9 95.8 97.5 94.8 94.5 93.0 92.0 97.7 100.0 97.1 93.2 94.8 92.9 94.3 98.1 97.0 100.3 97.4 93.2 NL IRL Quarterly figures (Index 1987 = 100): relative to 23 Industrial CQuntrles (IC23) 0 OK BLEU Year Annual figures (Index 1987 = 100): relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) p 127.7 129.8 130.1 130.3 130.2 130.8 130.4 131.4 131.7 130.5 128.9 128.3 128.2 102.7 104.5 105.8 104.4 104.7 104.0 102.8 103.0 102. 1 100.8 99.7 98.2 99.1 97.0 100.8 100.0 102.5 108.9 113.4 122.3 132.8 127.9 125.5 130. 1 1 31 . 1 128.0 p A 91.2 '97.8 100.0 98.5 98.2 98.8 96.5 98.4 100.8 1 01 . 9 104.8 102.9 99.4 A 90.8 92.0 14.0 94.8 94.9 91.4 89.2 91.7 91.1 89.4 87.4" 85.9 88.3 SF 98.0 98.3 100.0 102.5 108.3 109.2 105.5 92.4 80.7 86.5 93 .. 9 90.8 87.3 SF 96.3 94.8 91.8 94.8 101 . 9 102.3 104.8 104.7 104.7 100.3 98.1 99.7 100.8 s 96,3 98.5 100.0 102.5 105.4 109.4 115.2 115.0 95.8 95.6 95.8 104.1 99.7 s Table C2: Real Effective Exchange Rate based on CPI 0 OK BLEU Year Annual figures (Index 1987 =·100): In national currency relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) Table C1: Consumer Price Index {CPI) 99.2 97.6 94.8 94.7 94.2 94.3 95.8 98.8 103.2 109.2 112.2 115.2 118.4 UK 104.6 99.4 100.0 107.8 105.6 105.8 109.8 107.3 98.5 99.0 95.3 97.4 113. 2 UK 98.7 99.4 100.0 101.1 1 02. 1 102.9 105.7 106.6 106.3 1 05. 1 104.7 104.6 104.4 UK 99.8 101. 8 102.7 103.8 105.5 105.3 103.6 104.8 102.8 98.5 95.5 91.5 94. 1 ERM 81.3 93.7 100.0 95.7 93.1 101 . 6 97.5 101 . 6 97.1 97.7 103.4 104. 1 94.8 ERM 105.4 103.0 100.0 97.1 94.7 92.0 89.6 88.7 87.8 88.4 84.7 83. 1 81 . 0 ERM 99. 1 100.5 99.6 1 01 . 4 104.0 104. 1 103.2 104.9 105.8 102.5 99.7 98.1 100.0 EUR15 81.0 92.6 100.0 98.7 95.1 106.2 103.7 107.9 95.7 96.5 101 . 4 104.5 99.5 EUR15 103.8 102.4 100.0 97.8 95.9 94. 1 93. 4. 92.7 92.0 89.8 87.5 85.2 82.2 EUR15 90.0 93.3 88.3 9(). 1 92.6 94.4 95.2 94.7 95.4 99.8 100.9 1112.1 103. 1 USA 130.2 111 . 0 100.0 94.1 98.0 93.4 91.7 89.8 92.7 92.2 91 . 1 94.9 101 . 5 USA 109.0 104.5 100.0 96.7 95.9 95.2 93.4 92.5 91 . 7 91 . 1 88.8 8 7. 1 85.8 USA 121 . 9 124.2 137.8 123.3 113.2 109. 1 107.6 105.0 101.4 97.4 99.8 103.2 96.3 J 74.3 94.6 100.0 106.7 99.2 87.6 93.6 96.7 114.4 121. 5 124.3 105.7 9·9 .1 J 107.5 104.2 100.0 95.9 93.0 90.8 88.7 87.0 85.1 83.3 80.4 78.3 77.5 J 93.5 98.7 100.0 100.9 102.8 104.8 106.5 109.0 109.7 110.7 112.2 112.5 111 . 9 80.9 90.8 100.0 11 0. 6 120.4 137.9 156.7 171 . 2 185.3 196.6 208.8 216.6 224.6 104.0 102.3 100.0 96.8 94.2 92.2 90.9 92.2 92.6 91.7 90.4 88.5 86.6 98.8 99.2 100.0 99. 1 98.4 96.2 93.6 93. 1 90.8 89.8 89.0 88.7 89.2 102.0 101. 3 100.0 98.3 98:5 97.1 95.8 95.2 95.7 95.4 94.3 93.6 92.9 1985 1988 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 100.5 101. 0 100.0 98.4 96.5 94.5 92.5 90.3 89.2 87.8 88.2 84.8 83.8 F NL 109.0 104.4 100.0 97.3 94.1 91.9 89.9 88.0 88.5 88.0 84.9 83.9 83.7 I 94.8 97.8 100.0 102.5 104.0 108.8 1g9.5 1 9. 8 11 0. 1 11 0. 1 111 . 8 114.4 11 4. 1 IRL 100. 2. 1 01 . 8 100.0 99.0 99.3 93.9 90.9 89.2 90.2 89.1 87.1 88.0 85.4 103.3 101.4 100.0 97.8 96. 1 94.8 93.8 93.3 92.3 92.0. 91.2 90.8 90. 1 A 81.5 94. 1 100.0 107.5 1 t5. 1 123.3 131.8 140.0 143.5 148.1 151 . 2 151 . 9 154.4 p 99.0 99.2 100.0 102.8 103.6 104.3 101.8 98.5 97.6 96.3 95.7. 94.8 93.3 SF 98.9 99.8 100.0 102.0 105. 1 108.3 112.8 109.7 109. 1 109. 1 110.0 108.3 107.8 s 100. 1 98.8 100.0 1 01 . 8 104. 1 106.0 108. 1 108.8 108.5 107. 1 108.5 1 07. 1 107.6 UK 102.1 102.2 100.0 97.1 94.3 92.0 90. 1 89.8 89.3 87.8 85.8 83.8 81.3 ERM OK 86.8 94.5 100.0 97.6 94.7 99.4 95.5 97.7 98.1 97.9 102.0 101 . 2 99.0 BLEU 90.8 98.8 100.0 97.6 97.3 101 . 1 99.7 101. 8 103.7 106.2 110.4 108. 1 103.2 Year 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 GR 85.4 110. 6 99.9 94.8 100.0 100.0 97.0 103.9 93.7 105.4 96.9 110.8 95.3 112.8 100.-5 114. 9 105. 1 115. 4 106. 4 . 116.7 112. 1 120.8 108.0 126. 1 1 01 . 3 129.3 0 F 92.5 99.1 100.0 96.9 94.0 97.7 94.3 95.8 97.4 97.8 100.8 99.8 95.1 E 90.6 97.0 100.0 105. 1 11 2. 1 119.9 122.6 123.4 110.0 105.0 107.8 109.9 104.7 NL 95.0 99.0 100.0 97.4 93.5 95.0 92.7 93.3 95.2 98.1 99.4 98.8 92.8 I 87.3 95.8 100.0 100.0 102.4 109.0 110.6 108.4 91.7 89.4 83.7 94.6 95.2 IRL 95.5 103.1 100.0 97.6 97.1 97.3 93.3 94.5 90.6 90.2 88.7 90.0 91.3 99.4 97.8 99.1 u. a 98.6 1 06. 1 104.5 107.3 109.2 110.3 111 . 4 110.2 109.5 108.5 106.0 105. 1 103.4 104.4 117. 8 119.5 120.9 121. 5 121 . 3 122.0 125.7 127.9 129. 1 129.2 128.2 128.9 1 31 . 1 108.0 111 . 4 113. 3 111 . 6 112. 1 110.3 107.8 107.9 106.0 103.4 101 . 7 99.3 100.6 99.0 100.2 102.7 102.5 102.9 102.2 100.8 101.2 100.8 107.3 109.6 111 . 4 110.0 110.7 109.6 107.9 108. 1 106.7 104.7 103.5 101 . 8 102.8 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9801 9802 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 100.5 101 . 0 101. 2 100.6 99.7 99.5 98.7 98.7 95.4 93.4 95.1 u.s F E GR 0 OK BLEU Ot r NL 97. 1 99.0 100.4 99.0 99.3 98.2 98.8 96.8 95.6 93.9 93 ..1 91.6 92.5 I 88.1 84.2 79.6 84.7 88.4 90.6 94.4 98.0 97.4 88.2 95.1 94.4 95.2 IRL 90.2 89.2 88.6 88.8 88.3 88.4 89.3 90.2 92.2 94.0 91.4 90.9 89.2 Quarterly figures (Index 1987=100): relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) 1 Annual figures (Index 1987=100): relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) p 103.5 105.5 106.7 105.6 105.9 105. 1 103.8 103.9 103.1 101.7 100.1 99.2 100.0 A 130.2 132.5 133.1 133.1 132.7 133.0 132.4 133.7 134.7 134.2 133.4 131.2 131.4 p 91 . 0 92.8 98.6 100.6 100.0 100.0 98.0 102.2 96.0 108.0 98. 1 111 . 9 98.8 120.8 99.2 133.1 101 . 5 127.9 102.5 . 127.1 105.9 132.8 103.9 133.4 100.4 132.5 A 88.2 90.0 92.4 93.5 93.7 90.0 87.8 89.9 89.3 87.8 85.7 84.3 84.7 SF 98.7 97.4 100.0 104.6 109.6 112.3 105.7 89.8 77.4 83.3 92.4 89.2 85.6 SF 91.6 90. 87. 90. 97. 97. 99. 99. 99. 95. 93. 95. 96. s 96.1 99.4 100.0 102.8 106.4 109.3 112.7 111 . 8 90.7 90.4 91.6 99.3 95.5 s 100.9 99.3 96.2 96.3 98.0 96.2 97.8 89.1 106.0 112.3 115.5 118.7 120.1 UK 10 6. 1 98.8 100.0 108.6 107.7 108.9 112.3 109.5 100.8 100.9 96.9 99.7 116.6 UK 101. 1 103.3 104.1 105.2 106.8 106.5 104.5 105.4 103.5 99.0 95.8 91.7 ·94.3 ERM 78.8 93.0 100.0 95.7 92.7 101.6 98.1 102.9 98.8 99.0 104.8 105.0 95.2 ERM Table 02: Real Effective Exchange Rate based on GOP deflator E GR 0 OK BLEU Year Annual figures (Index 1987 = 100): In naHonal currenCy relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) Table 01: GOP deflator 100.9 102.4 101.5 103.3 105.9 105.8 104.7 106.4 107.2 103.8 100.9 97.2 101 . 2 EUR15 78.9 91. 7 100.0 99.0 95.8 107.8 105.4 110.3 97.8 98.3 103.2 108.0 100.8 EUR15 1 01 . 1 101 . 4 100.0 98.1 96.5 95.5 94.9 94.7 94.0 91.5 89.1 88.4 83.2 EUR15 89.2 92.4 87.4 89.2 91.7 93.5 94.3 93.9 94.7 99.1 100.3 101.7 102.7 USA 132.0 111 . 9 100.0 93.6 96.8 92.0 90.7 8 8 .-6 91.9 91.5 90. 2· 94.1 100.9 USA 110.5 105.4 100.0 96. 1 94.8 93.7 92.3 91.2 90.8 90.4 87.9 88.3 85.4 USA 122.2 124.5 138.0 123.4 113.4 109.3 107.8 105.2 101.8 97.4 99.9 103.2 98.3 J 74.0 94.8 100.0 106.8 99.5 .88. 0 94.4 97.7 115. 1 122.0 124.5 105.9 99.2 J 107.0 104.5 100.0 96.0 93.3 91.1 89.5 87.9 85.7 83.8 80.5 78.4 77.6 J 105.9 103.8 100.0 100.8 102.5 100.0 98.0 96.8 94.7 93.8 91.5 91 . 7 93.1 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1"995 1996 1997 0 103.8 99.4 103.0 102.2 100.0 100.0 97.!1 98.5 98.!1 95.6 94. 1 97.5 93.9 96.6 96.4 94.2 92.3 92.5 90.6 91.5 88.9 89.0 89.0 87.5 90.5· 87.1 OK 81. 9 93.7 100.0103.9 110.3 126.2 141.4 152.7 161. 9" 170.6 175.2 182.7 189.7 GR F 100.7 101. 5 100.0 99.5 99.1 96. 1 95.3 92.8 89.0 89.2 88 .'6 85.1 85.1 E 97.7 99.2 100.0 99.5 98.5 98.6 99.0 101 . 7 104.2 106.7 108.4 109.2 110.5 102.3 100.8 100.0 103.2 104.8 94.5 93. 1 90.7 93.8 93.3 92.2 90.8 89.2 IRL 99.8 100.0 100.0 1 00. 1 101.6 103.2 104.9 108. 1 114.8 114.2 121 . 8 122.2 122.1 I 121 . 8 105.9 100.0 87.7 97.0 9 5. 1 93.9 91. 2 87.5 86.4 84.9 84.3 85.0 Nl 101.6 102.3 100.0 98.6 96.5 98.2 95 .. 0 94.8 93.3 92.6 90.8 89.7 89.0 A 83.3 90.9 100.0 109. 1 115 . 1 120.2 121 . 0 119.0 122.8 126.9 127.7 122.8 121 . 7 p 98.4 99. 1 100.0 1 01 . 8 102.4 101.4 98.5 105. 1 109. 1 108.3 11 0. 1 110.0 107.4 SF 95.6 98.8 100.0 102.8 103.4 103.5 104.3 100.9 108.6 111.0 115.7 107.2 106.8 s 1 03. 1 98.2 100.0 96.7 99.8 103.5 103.9 105.3 113.4 112. 1 114.4 115. 0 107.6 UK 104. 1 104.0 100.0 98.5 96.7 93.6 92.6 91 . 7 90. 1 88.4 87. 1 84.8 84.4 ERM 104.5 103.1 100.0 97.4 96.9 95.3 94.8 94.0 96.5 94.0 93.6 89.8 86.4 EUR15 101 . 4 102.0 100.0 1 01 . 7 98.9 98.1 100.2 99.4 9 8. 1 96.4 90.8 85.5 81 . 9 USA 94.7 97.4 100.0 103.6 107.4 112. 8 114.0 115.1 104.5 101.2 104.2 106.6 103.5 111 . 9 103.0 100.0 97.7 96.5 101.4 1 01 . 8 102.5 100.8 101. 3 102.4 106.4 109.2 81 . 7 94.7 100.0 98.7 95.1 98.9 98.4 102.7 104.7 105. 1 110. 3 106.8 101 . 8 91 . 2 98.1 100.0 96.4 95. 1 100.8 98.6 101 . 2 100.1 99.8 102.0 101.8 100.4 84.3 99.0 100.0 100.1 101.3 104.1 102.3 103.5 192.6 104.3 107. 1 105.9 103.4 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 92.7 99.5 100.0 97.9 96.5 99.5 97. 1 98.5 97.2 99.5 1 01 . 1 100.0 96.6 F Nl 106.2 100.4 100.0 97.7 96.4 98.3 96.8 96.7 98.3 96.5 99.4 97.2 94.2 I 91.8 97.8 100.0 97.6 1 00. 1 105.3 108.0 104.9 95.6 92.7 91 . 1 1 01 . 0 101 . 8 IRL 97.5 102. 1 100.0 101.8 102.4 98.0 95.6 96. 1 94.2 94.5 93.9 95.0 95.4 E 102.5 101 . 0 103.7 105.5 106.6 107.8 106.7 106.4 105.9 104. 1 103.7 102.5 103.6 GR 101.5 102.2 102.6 102.6 102.3 102.8 106.0 108.0 109.0 109. 1 108.2 108.8 110. 8 0 106.5 109.8 111 . 5 109.8 110.3 108.7 106.3 106.8 105.5 103.4 102.2 100.0 101.6 OK 100.3 100.8 102.7 102.2 102.5 102.0 100.8 101 . 8 101.7 1 01 . 1 100.9 99.1 100.5 BLEU 105.0 106.8 108.0 106.5 107.2 106.5 105.4 106. 1 105.5 104.2 103.6 102.3 103.5 Ot r 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 IRL 94.8 94. 1 93.7 94. 1 93.6 93.7 94.4 95. 1 96.9 98.5 95.5 94.9 92.8 F 100.4 101 . 0 1 01 . 1 10 1 . 1 101 . 2 100.6 99.9 100.0 99.4 97.7 96.7 95.0 96.9 Nl 97.4 99.2 100.3 98.9 99.2 98.2 96.9 97.3 96.5 95.1 94.5 93.2 94.0 I 92.5 90.3 86.8 93.1 94.5 98.1 101 . 0 1 01 . 9 103.3 102.3 101 . 6 101 . 2 102. 2 Quarterly figures (Index 1987 =100): relative to 23 Industrial countries· (IC23) E GR 0 OK BLEU Year Annual figures (Index 1987 =100): relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) 103.7 105.4 106.2 104.8 104.9 103.9 102.4 102.6 101. 8 100.6 99.6 98.1 98.9 A 89.5 97.5 100.0 99.8 96.4 99.5 98.3 100.6 102.6 103.1 105.3 102.7 99.3 A SF 99.9 102.6 108. 1 108.0 108.7 104.8 102. 1 104.8 103.4 1 01 . 1 98.8 96.9 97.5 111 . 3 113.0 113.0 112. 1 110.6 109.4 107.8 107.4 107.2 106.2 1 05. 1 103.2 103.4 96.1 87.2 100.0 103.8 108.2 109.2 102.5 95.8 86.5 93.8 106.3 103.7 98.5 SF p 94.6 97.1 100.0 103.8 106.0 109.0 111 . 0 113.2 109.5 109.0 112. 1 107.9 104.5 p UK 109.3 98.2 100.0 103.1 103.2 106.3 108.0 106.0 105. 1 105.6 104. 1 107.0 116. 6 UK 94.8 105.8 95.2 105. 1 93.3 102.9 96.0 104. 1 101.3 104.4 99. 1 . 104.9 99.0 106. 1 97.7 106. 1 97.8 111 . 2 94.1 115.2 92.9 116.0 95.0 117.5 96.2 117.8 s 94.8 98.6 100.0 103.3 104.7 103.5 104.5 102.8 90.2 92.0 96.4 98.3 94.5 s 102.3 104.8 105.8 108. 8 108.2 107.8 105.5 106.7 105.4 101.7 99.3 95.7 98.7 ERM 80.4 94.6 100.0 97. 1 95.0 103.3 100.7 105.0 99.6 99.9 106.4 106.3 98.8 ERM 104.3 106.9 108.8 109.0 111 . 5 110.8 109.0 110.2 111 . 0 107.5 104.7 1 01 . 1 105.3 EUR15 81 . 5 93.3 100.0 98.3 96. 1 107.6 1()5. 3 108.4 100.4 1 01 . 0 108.5 110.2 104.6 EUR15 94.3 96.9 90.8 91. 7 93.3 94. 1 93.9 92.5 92.4 95.8 96.3 97.2 97.9 USA 121. 1 108.3 100.0 99.0 101 . 0 96.3 98.4 96.5 99.2 97.6 9 3. 1 93.2 96.8 USA Table E2: Real Effective Exchange Rate. based on Export Price Deflator BLEU Year Annual figures (Index 1987=100): In national currency relative ~o 23 Industrial countries (IC23) Table E1: Price Deflator Exports of Goods and Services • 104.7 105.0 115. 8 104.5 98.3 97.8 99.7 99.9 98.2 95.3 98.2 101.9 95.3 J 84.6 98. 1 100.0 103.7 98.8 89.5 93.2 94. 1 103.4 106.3 105.7 98.9 97.6 J 122.3 108. 1 100.0 93.2 92.6 92.7 88.4 84.7 77.0 72.9 68.3 73.2 76.3 J • 96.6 95.9 100.0 99.6 98.1 94.6 91.1 90.4 87.5 88.4 87.0 86.5 87.4 103.6 103.0 100.0 98.6 94.9 95.0 95.7 95.5 96.6 97.2 96.5 94.7 93.5 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 GA 86.6 92.8 100.0 111 . 4 128.0 150.3 154.3 164.7 173.3 191.6 207.6 221.8 235.3 0 103.2 101 . 8 100.0 96.2 92.7 88.6 86.1 88.1 88.8 87.7 87.0 84.4 80.5 96.1 98.8 100.0 101 . 8 103.2 106. 1 108.0 111 . 7 113.7 111. 8 110.4 111 . 7 111.9 E 104.7 102.5 100.0 97.1 94.4 91 . 9 89.7 87.7 87.7 86.1 85.4 84.4 83.1 F 100.9 102.7 100.0 98.9 94.7 89.1 88.2 65.4 86.8 64.9 79.7 76.4 76.0 IAL 97. 1 98.6 100.0 102.3 104.2 107.9 110.7 11 0. 1 108.6 106.2 1'05.1 107.7 109.8 I 1 04. 1 101 . 8 100.0 97. 1 91. 8 88.2 88.6 85.9 85.5 84.1 83.4 82.2 82.8 NL 101.9 101.5 100.0 97.5 95.7 93.4 92.5 92.8 92.9 93.0 91.9 89.4 87.9 A 86. 1 94.3 100.0 106.9 1'15. 0 126. 1 142. 1 152.6 '15 4. 1 168.4 188.1 169.7 172.0 p 99.8 100. 1 100.0 101 . 0 101 . 7 104.3 106.7 101.0 94.2 91.4 90. 1 88.7 87.4 SF 93. 1 97.1 100.0 106.1 112.5 121.4 124.4 126.4 11 4. 0 106.1 106. 1 109. 1 104.7 118.4 102.0 100.0 104.7 112.0 120.8 111 . 1 110. 5 107.9 113.7 121. 4 129. 1 135.5 84.8 94.3 100.0 96.4 92.2 93.2 90.3 96.0 100.8 101 . 8 108.0 103.0 94.1 84.9 91.3 100.0 98.1 94.4 97.7 92.9 94.9 94.7 94.2 99.7 98.7 98.9 92.2 98.2 100.0 95.9 93.7 98.9 99.8 102. 1 104.7 108. 1 113.0 109.3 103.9 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 96.4 100.6 100.0 95.5 92.0 95. 1 91.4 93.0 95.7 96.0 99.7 99.2 94.4 F 96.3 104.0 100.0 97.5 92.8 92.4 88.4 90.5 87. 1 85.9 81 . 1 79.9 81.3 IAL E 105.7 103.3 105.5 107.2 108.6 110.0 109.3 109. 1 108.2 105.9 105.0 103.5 104.6 GA 116.8 119.3 121.3 122.3 122.6 123.9 128.3 131.3 133.3 134.3 134.0 135.4 138.3 0 103.6 107.1 109.2 107.6 108.0 106.0 103.1 102.7 100.2 97.1 94.8 92.0 92.7 OK 95.8 97.4 100.3 100.4 100.7 99.8 98.1 98.6 98.3 97.6 97.4 95.7 97.2 BLEU 109.6 112.2 114.1 112.6 112.9 111.4 109.3 109. 1 107.5 105.4 104.2 102.4 103.4 Qt r 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9801 9602 9603 9604 9701 9702 9703 9704 96.9 98.4 99.5 100.2 100.7 100.2 99.3 99.1 98.1 96.0 94.6 92.8 94.2 F 85.0 83.0 81.4 80.7 79.4 78.9 79.3 79.8 81.8 83.3 81.2 81.0 79.7 IAL NL 84. B 88.6 . 90.6 92.5 92 ..o 91.5 91. 1 91.9 84.1 79.8 ·74. 9 79.3 80.8 I 94.9 97. 1 98.6 97.4 97.5 98.3 94.7 94.7 93.8 92.5 92.0 90.8 91.8 NL 89.4 90.7 98.4 98.5 100.0 100.0 99.8 97.2 102.6 91. 2 110. 1 - 91.1 111 . 9 89.3 108.9 91.1 90.4 94.0 86.3 93.9 78.7 97.6 89. 1 94.8 91.8 91 . 7 I Quarterly figures (index 1987 =100): relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) E GA 0 OK BLEU Year Annual figures Ondex 1987=100): relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) 104.7 106.9 108.0 106.5 106. 1 104.4 102.2 101.9 100.8 99.4 98.3 98.8 97.5 A 89.8 98.7 100.0 97.7 95.6 96.6 95.7 98.4 102. 1 103. 5 106.9 102.3 98.0 A 148.5 149.2 147.9 146.8 146.5 147.6 147.9 149.8 151.0 150.1 148.7 145.9 145.8 p 97.9 100.8 100.0 101. 6 105.9 114.4 130.3 145.1 137.3 144.-6 147.6 149.1 147.6 p 83.6 85. 1 87.1 88.0 88.0 84.5 82.2 84.3 83.8 82.3 80.4 79.0 79.2 SF 97.5 98.3 100.0 102.9 107.5 112.4 111 . 0 92.0 74.7 79. 1 87.0 83.7 80.2 SF UK 93.1 90.9 87.8 91.2 99.6 101.8 105.9 107.0 107. 1 102. 1 99.4 100.7 101. 8 s 96.9 100.0 100.0 103.5 11 0. 9 115.3 116.8 115.6 93.5 93.0 92.3 105.4 101 . 0 s J 105.9 104.2 100.9 100.9 100.4 100.6 102 1 103.4 110.6 117.2 120.6 124.1 125.7 UK 106.0 99.5 100.0 110.0 113.2 118.0 121.7 116.8 105.1 105.6 101.6 104.1 121 . 9 UK 100.0 97.7 100.2 99.5 100.0 100.0 102.8 103.2 109.6 109.5 115. 2 - 114.9 116.6 117.0 113.4 116. 1 112.5 113.3 112.2 112. 1 110.8 111 . 7 114.9 111 . 8 11 4. 1 112.4 s Table F2: Real Effective Exchange Rate based on ULCE OK BLEU Year Annual figures Ondex 1987 = 100): In national currency relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) Table F1: Unit- Labour Costs in Economy as a whole (ULCE) 95.5 97.5 98.3 99.2 100.5 99.9 97.7 98.2 98.2 91.7 88.8 84.5 88.5 EAM 80.0 93. 1 100.0 94.2 89.4 98.4 92.7 98. 1 94.6 93.7 98.9 98.0 87.8 EAM 103.7 102.3 100.0 95.6 90.9 87.3 85.2 85.7 85.6 82.9 80.9 78.2 75.0 EAM 96.8 98.2 -97.3 98.9 101 . 3 1 01 . 1 99.9 101 . 2 101.7 98.2 95.1 91.3 94.8 EUA15 80.5 92.3 100.0 98.0 94.6 106.4 102.8 107.9 95.3 94.6 98.9 101 . 0 94.7 EUA15 103.2 102.0 100.0 97.2 95.4 94.2 92.5 92.7 91.8 88.0 85.3 82.3 78.2 EUA15 88.5 92.4 87.9 89.9 92.3 93.9 94.4 93.8 94.8 99.1 100.5 102.2 103.6 USA 128.3 109.9 100.0 94.8 96.7 91.6 89.8 86.9 90.0 90. 1 90.6 94. 1 101. 3 USA 107.4 103.5 100.0 97.4 94.7 93.3 91. 5 89.5 89.0 89.0 88.4 86.3 85.7 USA 124.0 127.0 141.0 125.8 114. 8 109.6 107.3 104.3 100.8 97.0 99.8 103.4 96.5 J 75.4 95.7 100.0 105.4 98.6 86.0 91 . 8 94.7 112.6 122.4 126.8 105.5 99. 1 J 109.0 105.4 100.0 94.7 92.5 89. 1 87.0 85.2 83.8 83.9 82.0 78.1 77.5 J 90.3 93.9 100.0 98.0 97.2 98.3 95.1 93.8 89.0 92.7 95.8 95.4 98.8 103.6 101.3 100.0 97.3 95.3 94.7 95.8 95.7 94.7 93.8 92.5 90.5 90.3 19-85 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 199'7 96.7 96.4 100.0 98.7 96.9 93.9 91.3 93.3 94.5 94.0 94.8 92. 1 88.3 0 85.9 93.2 100.0 118.1 143.7 163.2 183.0 193.2 204.4 225.3 248.4 260.8 275.2 GR 99.0 99.7 100.0 103. 1· 107. 1 112. 0 112. 9 11 5. 9 119.8 116.4 113.0 11 8. 1 119.9 E 103.1 101 . 5 100.0 95.6 92.4 91 . 1 90.9 89.3 88.9 85.1 83.1 81. 8 79.2 F 113.2 109.6 100.0 94.6 90. 1 87.2 84.9 80. 1 80.2 78.7 68.4 68.3 85.8 IRt 101 . 5 100. 1 1 00 .. 0 100.7 104.2 108. 1 108.7 106.9 108.5 104.4 102.6 105.1 108.8 I 7~.9 102.8 101 . 3 100.0 96.6 91.4 88.1 88.8 87.5 87. 1 82.7 80.3 79.3 NL 105.3 102.3 100.0 97.4 94.0 93.4 90.2 89.8 89.2 89.0 90.5 88.9 87.6 A 81. 7 89.2 100.0 104.9 111 . 3 124.4 138.2 152.5 158.'4 177.8 172 .1 183.8 159.6 p 105.7 103.4 100.0 100.7 101.7 104.4 104.9 93.4 88.7 84.2 88.8 84.5 83.9 SF 98.0 99.3 100.0 105.5 110.7 113.8 118.0 113.9 105.4 101 . 4 97.1 1 01 . 1 98.9 s 92.2 96.7 100.0 96.6 94.2 98.8 99.9 102.3 102.6 1 04. 1 108.4 104.4 100.3 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1.993 1994 1995 1996 1997 D 79.4 79.5 89.3 89.4 100.0 100.0 98.9 96.5 96.4 93.8 101.8 - 98.7 95.7 97.0 98.4 101.7 98.2 107.3 109.0 101.1 109.6 117.6 108.8 112.5 109.6 103.2 DK 117. 5 102.4 100.0 111 . 0 125.8 131 . 2 131. 7' 129.7 127.3 133.7 145.2 151.8 158.5 GR 95.9 98.0 100.0 107.4 118.8 128. 1 130. 1 131 . 1 120. 1 110. 4 108.6 115.4 112.3 E 94.8 99.5 100.0 94.1 90.1 94.3 92.6 94.7 97.0 94.8 96.9 95.9 89.9 F I 93.4 97.9 100.0 98.3 102.6 108.3 109.8 105.8 88.7 84.8 76.8 86.9 90.8 IRL 108.0 111 . 0 100.0 93.3 88. 1 90.4 87. 1 84.8 80.6 77.7 89.8 69.4 70.2 F 94.8 95.9 96.7 97.3 97.7 97.2 98.2 9.5. 7 94.4 92.0 90.3 88.1 89.5 E 108.6 105.6 107.5 109.5 111. 9 114.8 115. 2 118. 0 115. 7 113.5 112.8 110.9 112.0 GR 138. 1 142.2 145.4 146.8 146.5 148.9 150.9 153.6 155.7 158.9 156.7 158.5 181 . 8 D 111 . 6 116. 0 118.8 117.5 118.0 115.9 112.8 112.1 109.5 106.2 103.9 100.9 101 . 9 OK 1 04'. 7 j07.0 110.4 110.4 110.6 109.8 107.8 108.8 109.1 109.1 109.7 108.8 110. 9 BLEU 105.3 107.8 109.6 108.0 108.1 108.4 104.3 104.2 103.0 1 01 . 4 100.6 99. 1 100. 1 Ot r 9404 9501 9502 9503 9504 9601 9602 9803 9804 9701 9702 9703 9704 I 82.4 78. 1 7 3. 1 77.4 78.7 82.5 88.3 88.4 90.8 90.5 90.5 90.4 91.8 IRL 75. 1 72.1 69.8 88.7 67.9 68.0 68.8 69.8 71.0 72.3 70. 1 89.8 68.8 Quarterly figures (Index 1987=100): relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) BLEU Year Annual figures (Index 1987=100): relative to 23 Industrial countries OC23) 92. 1 93.7 94.9 93.7 93.9 92.8 91.4 91.3 90.2 88-.8 87.8 88.3 88.9 NL 89.6 96.0 100.0 98.7 90.9 91 . 1 89.5 92.8 95.9 92.4 94.1 91.4 87.4 NL 101.0 104.0 106. 1 105.2 105.2 103.7 101. 8 101.4 100.3 98.9 98.0 98.5 97.2 156.5 155.8 152.8 149.4 148.8 145.6 143.8 143.5 142.8 140.8 138.2 134.9 134.5 p 92.9 95.3 100.0 99.8 102.8 112.8 124.8 145.0 142.1 152.7 151 . 1 143.9 137.0 92.8 97.5 100.0 97.6 93.9 98.6 93.2 95.5 98.0 99. 1 105. 1 101. 7 97.6 A p A 78.1 80.8 83.8 85. 1 84.9 80.9 78.2 80.0 79.5 78.5 77.1 78.1 78.4 SF 103.3 101 . 5 100.0 102.8 107.5 112.5 109. 1 85. 1 88.8 72.9 83.8 79.6 77.0 SF 83.0 80.2 78.8 79.8 87.2 89.5 93.. 4 94.4 94.0 89.2 88.2 87.0 87.7 s 97.2 99.0 100.0 108.1 112.1 113.9 118. 1 118.1 87.5 84.0 80.9 92.6 87.5 s UK ERM 77.3 89.5 100.0 94.7 91.4 100.4 97. 1 102.3 98.9 96.4 101. 5 100.9 90.8 ERM 100.2 98.3 100.0 98. 1 93. 1 90.9 89.3 89.3 89.5 85.3 83. 1 80.5 77.5 ERM 93.8 97.8 92.9 99.9 90.4 100.9 90.8 102.0 90.7 103.3 91 . 1 102.8 92.7 100.8 94.3 101.2 1 01 . 5 99.1 108.3 - 94.8 91.5 1'2. 2 18.1 87.4 118.2 89.7 UK 102.2 97.0 100.0 105.9 102.2. 104.0 106. 1 100. 1 90.9 92.9 91. 2 94.8 113.6 UK 98.4 97.0 100.0 99.3 98.9 101.2 102.0 99.5 98.1 98.6 100.2 101 . 9 104.8 Table G2: Real Effective Exchange Rate based on ULCM OK BLEU Year Annual figures Ondex 1987 = 100): In national currency relative to 23 Industrial countries (IC23) Table G1: Unit Labour Costs in Manufacturing (ULCM) (·· 93. 1 94.7 94. 1 98.0 98.6 98.8 97.8 99.1 99.9 98.7 94.0 90.8 84.3 EUR15 76.4 87.2 100.0 97.3 93. 1 105.2 102.5 105.9 93.4 91.2 95.8 98.8 93.8 EUR15 97.9 96.5 100.0 96.5 93.9 93.1 92.2 91. 0 89.8 84.9 82.7 80.5 77.5 EUR-15 84.6 88.3 83.9 85.8 87.7 89.0 89.2 88.4 88.8 92.7 93.7 94.8 95.8 USA 142.9 118.7 100.0 93.9 96.8 91.3 88.5 85.9 86.4 86.0 86.4 86.8 94.2 USA 119.8 111. 8 100.0 96.5 94.8 93.0 90.2 88.4 85.4 85.0 84.2 81. 4 79.7 USA 139.6 141 . 1 155.0 137.8 125.8 120.4 118.0 114.2 109.2 103.5 104.8 107. 1 99.0 J 70.5 94.3 100.0 105.7 98.9 8-6.9 92.7 99.0 125.0 139.2 139.4 115.4 103.6 J 102.0 103.9 100.0 95.0 92.8 9.0. 0 87.9 89. 1 93. 1 95.4 90. 1 85.4 81.0 J g: CD l 1.0000 0.0018 0. 0230 0. 00118 1. 0000 g:nu 0. 0015 0. 0255 0.0000 0.2281 0. 0012 0. 0277 0. 0784 0. 0083 0. 0855 0. 0371 0. 0183 0. 0088 0.0241 0.1007 0.0967 0. 0854 0.0011 0. 0014 0. 0148 0.0035 0.0028 0. 0520 0. 0235 0.0073 0.0000 0. 0117 0.2458 0. 0082 0. 0844 0. 1855 0. 0010 0.0788 0. 0811 0. 0135 0. 0071 0.00811 0.0173 0. 0872 0. 0128 0. 0081 0.0071 DK 1.0000 g:gu: 0.01111 0.0511 0.0215 0.0000 0. 0082 0.0421 0. 1480 0.0073 0.1082 0.0700 0.0588 0. 0080 0. 0110 0. 0281 0.1388 0.1008 0.0125 0.0111 0. 0712 0. 0012 0. 0021 D 0.0313 0. 0015 0.1.121 0. 0011 0.0000 0. 2118 0.0055 0.1015 0. 0381 0. 0117 0. 0883 0. 0072 0.0131 0.0841 0.0818 0. 0081 0. 001111 0.05011 0.00114 0.0013 0.0011 0.01117 0.0081 1.0000 1.0000 E 0.0211 0.0111 0. 2115 0.0000 0. 0318 0.0811 0.0058 0.1870 0. 0370 0. 0283 0. 0058 0.0152 0. 0113 0.0814 0.0785 0.0073 0.0072 0. 03118 0.0020 0. 0011 0.0071 0.0117 0. 0231 GR 1. 0000 0.0577 0. 0111 0. 2281 0.0081 0. 0785 0.0000 0. 0081 0.1173 0.0501 o.ou-8 0.0135 0. 0083 0.0178 0.1227 0.1081 0.0088 0. 0114 0. 0731 0. 0053 0. 0020 0.0075 0.0311 0. 0013 F 1.0000 0. 0352 0.0138 0.1108 0. 0081 0. 0294 0.1111 0.0000 o. 0552 0.0581 0.0011 0.0050 0.0088 0.0210 0.1178 0. 2277 0. 0077 0.0104 0.0582 0.0041 0.0013 0. 0131 0.0211 0. 0048 IRL g:g~n 1.0000 0.0151 0.1345 0.0802 0.0115 0.0121 0. 0750 0.0041 0.0022 0. 0073 0. 0314 0.0174 0.0315 0. 0111 0.2414 0.0187 0.0538 0.1507 0.0080 0.0000 0.0371 0. 0288 I 1.0000 0.0815 0.0111 0. 3028 0. 0014 0. 0341 0.1325 0. 0074 0.0748 0.0000 0.0171 0. 0071 0.0117 0. 0221 0. 0111 0.1015 0.0088 0.0015 0. 0471 0. 0027 0. 0011 0.0114 0. 0221 0. 0015 ' Nl 1.0000 0. 0251 o. 0118 0.1143 0. 007t 0.0211 0.0741 0.0050 0.1217 0. 0340 0.0000 0.0047 0.0140 0.8204 0.0111 0. 0471 0. 0012 0.0104 0. 0532 0.0115 0.0011 0. 0011 0.0181 0.0115 A 1.0000 0. OUt 0.0210 0.2131 0.0044 0.1341 0.1541 0. 0058 0.0525 0. 0411 0.0117 0. 0000 0.0101 0.0221 0.0777 0.1110 0. 0041 0. 0071 0. 0308 0. 0023 0.0010 0.0123 o. 0215 0. 0044 p SF 1.0000 0.0215 0. 0121 0.1812 0.0071 O.Utt 0.0731 0.0011 0.8518 0.0441 0.0115 0.0011 0.0000 0.0144 0.1211 0.1124 0.0171 0. 0101 0.0710 0.0032 0. 0021 0. 0101 0.0110 0.0011 s 1.0000 0.0171 0. 0122 0.1171 0.0110 0. 0247 0. 0123 0.0011 0.0574 0.0411 0.0188 0.0061 0.0431 0.0000 0.1142 0. 0145 0. 0221 0.0151 0.0112 0. 0048 Q, 0037 0.0588 0.0211 0.0010 1.0000 o. 0424 o. 0151 0.17-71 0. 0070 0. 0431 0.1213 0.0283 0. 0721 0.0850 0.0107 o. 0010 0.0140 0. 0271 0. 1185 0. 0000 0.0112 0.0184 0. 0881 0. 0043 o.oou 0.0154 o.ouo 0. 0108 UK 1.0000 0. 0118 0. 0048 0.0884 0.0010 0.0011 0. 0317 0. 0028 0. 0388 0. 0187 0. 0038 0. 0014 0.0080 0. 0011 0.1817 0. 0551 0.0000 0.0232 0.41111 0. 0030 o. 0812 0. 0030 0.0148 0.0051 AUS 1.0000 0.0088 o.oou 0. 0285 0.0008 0. 0044 0.0151 0.0014 0. 0112 0.0071 0. 0011 0.0007 0.0011 0.0030 0.7851 0.0202 0. 0087 0.0000 0.0817 o. 0123 0.0012 0.0031 0.0048 0.0015 CND 1.0000 0.0503 0.0307 0. 0000 0. 0121 0.00111 0.11050 0.0188 0. 0041 o.oeu 0.0251 0. 0081 0.1211 0.0021 0. 0145 0. 0587 0.0054 0. 0445 0. 0300 0. 0071 0. 0028 0. 0083 0. 0132 0. 4812 J 1.0000 0.0054 0.0011 0. 0205 0. 0001 0.0122 0. 0148 0. 0015 0. 0101 0.0052 0. 0013 0. 0012 0. 0011 0. 0022 0.1185 0. 0130 0.0021 0. 0317 0. 0405 0.0000 0.0008 0.0011 0.0071 0.0005 MX 1.0000 0.0154. 0.0041 0. 0858 0. 0024 0.0103 0.0343 0. 002!1 0.0330 0.0130 0.0037 0.0018 0.0048 0.0010 0.1131 0.0715 0.2003 0.0213 0. 2147 0.0073 0.0000 0. 0028 0.0104 0. 0085 NZ 1.0000 0.0306 0.0447 0.1825 0. 0032 0. 0228 0.01145 0.0011 0.0452 0.0704 0.0078 0. 0081 0.0214 0. 0810 0.1050 0.1158 0.0051 0.0310 0. 0481 0. 0022 0.0014 0.0000 0.01011 0. 0031 N 1.0000 0.0258 0. 0132 0.2550 0. 0084 0. 0271 0.1118 0.0047 0. 0822 0. 0318 0.0320 0.0070 0. 0013 0. 0117 0.1408 0.0735 0.01411 0.0118 0. 0112 0.0054 0. 0024 0.0075 0.0000 0.0111 CH USA 1.0000 1.0000 0.03'23 0.0255 0.0114 0. 0085 0. 3052 0. 0178 0.0124 o.oou 0. 0274 0. 0184 0.0870 0.0801 0.0083 0.0088 0.1098 0.0453 0. 0438 0. 0315 0. 0213 0. 0087 0.0043 0. 0027 0.0108 0.0081 0. 0134 0.0118 0.1301 0.0000 0. 0108 ·0.0721 0.0070 0.0314 0. 0013 0.2118 0. 0542 0.2432 0.0018 0.01114 0.0011 0. 0054 0. 0014 0. 0058 0.0213 0. 0118 0.0000 0.00811 TR BLEU DK GR E F IRL I Nl A p SF s UK 0.01104 0. 0322 0.0000 0.0110 0.0511 0. 20911 0.0154 0. 1172 0. 0815 0. 0885 0.0111 0.0212 0. 0514 0.1881 1.0000 0. 0417 0.0000 0. 3170 0.0108 0. 03113 0.1171 0. 0113 0.1024 0.0541 0. 0233 o.oou 0.0317 0.1171 0. 12115 1. 0000 1.0000 D 0.0000 o. 0151 0.3087 0.0071 0.0413 0.2155 0.0017 0. 1024 0.1102 0. 0175 0.0014 0. 0130 0.0261 0.1282 DK 0. 0438 0. 0132 0. 2504 0. 0107 0.0000 0.2433 0. 0015 0. 13411 0.0511 0. 0157 0.06811 0.0112 0.0217 0 .1250 1. 0000 1.0000 E 0.0315 0.01113 0.3440 0. 0000 0.0458 0.1183 0. 0012 0.1807 0. 0472 0.0217 0.0070 0.0178 0. 02112 0.1077 GR 1. 0000 0. 0787 0. 01112 0. 31111 0. 0015 0.01117 0.0000 0.0127 0.1514 0.0703 0.0213 0.0151 0.0150 0.0311 0. 11101 F 1.0000 0. 0482, 0.01112 0. 2473 0. 0072 0. 0178 0.1432 0.0000 o.oau 0. 0728 0. 0133 0. 0085 0.0147 0.0110 0. 2753 IRL 1.0000 0.0514 0. 0112 0.3433 0. 0203 0. 0851 0.1U7 0. 0124 0.0000 0. 0551 0. 0331 0. 0150 0. 0171 0. 0301 0.1150 I 1.0000 0.0110 0.0207 0. 3827 0.0103 0.0408 0.1800 0.0111 0.0171 0.0000 0.0218 0.0091 0.0157 0.0315 0.1321 Nl 1.0000 0. 0112 0.0117 0. 4421 0.00115 0. 01511 0.1071 0. 00111 0.1511 0.0472 0.0000 0.0013 0.0118 0.0333 0.0101 A 1.0000 0.0311 0. 0242 0.2718 0.0051 0.1421 0.1770 0. 00117 0. 0712 0.0570 0. 0110 0.0000 0.0141 0. 0211 0.1378 p 1.0000 0.0411 0.08111 0. 2170 0.0071 0.0411 0.1147 0. 0121 0.0151 0.0811 0.02211 0. 0071 0.0000 0.1011 0.1814 SF 1.0000 0. 0517 0.0710 0. 2713 0.0078 0. 0381 0.1308 0. 0124 0;1045 0. 0838 0. 0253 0.0078 0. 0527 0.0000 0.1411 s 1.0000 0.0113 0. 0234 0.2171 0. 0018 0. 0582 0.181S 0.0431 0.1278 0. 0111 0.0113 0.0117 0. 0232 0. 0-4511 0.0000 UK 1.0000 o :oeo1 0.0231 0. 2750 0. 0025 o. 0301 0.1375 0. 0184 0. 13011 0. 0544 0.0171 0. 0044 0. 0251 0. 0448 0.1710 AUS 1.0000 0. 0517 0.01113 o. 2107 0. 0021 0.0308 0.1213 0. 0241 0.1281 0. 0485 0.0147 0.0073 0.0200 0.0428 0. 2083 CND MX 1.0000 1.0000 0. 0582 0. 0502 0.0180 0.0144 0. 28311 . 0. 2784 o.oou 0. 0028 0. OUt 0.04011 0.1375 0.1312 0. 0181 0.0251 0.1118 0.1284 0. 0804 0. 0470 0.0183 0. 0144 0.0058 .0.00112 0. 0227 0.0112 0.0317 0. 0411 o. 1770 0. 2024 J 1.0000 0.0585 0.0210 0.2718 0.0044 0.0321 0.1257 0.0170 0.1231 0.0470 0.0181 0. 0053 0. 0240 0.0501 0.2051 NZ 1.0000 0.0415 O.OUO 0.2111 0. 00311 0. 0211 0.1201 0.0134 0.0882 0. 0149 0.0113 0.0102 0. 0330 0. 0111 0. 2211 N 1.0000 0.0430 0. 0183 0. 3314 0. 0074 0. 0370 0.1513 0.0103 0 .1287 0.0477 0.0372 0. 00811 0. 0158 0.0300 0.1233 CH 1.0000 0.0485 0.0155 0. 3724 0. 0131 0. 0348 0.1175 0.0104 0.1414 0.0570 0.02112 0.0057 0.0155 0.02111 0.1114 TR BLEU DK D E F IRL I Nl A p SF 1. 0000 0.0000 0.0215 0.3131 0.0411 0. 2443 0.0111 0.1252 0.1217 0.0214 0.0103 0.0118 BLEU 1.0000 0. 0822 0.0000 0. 4054 0. 0412 0.1811 0.02411 o.uu 0.0771 0.0212 0.0115 0. 0401 DK 1.0000 0.1105 o. 0443 0.0000 0. 0728 0.21188 0. 0325 o. 2HI2 0.1325 0. 0735 0.0183 0. 0815 0 E 1.0000 1. 0000 0. 0412 0. 0580 0.0218 0.0111 0. 3100 0.3043 o. 0527 0. 0000 0.1328 0. 2728 0.0147 0. 0118 0.2111 0.1574 0.0512 0.0151 0. 0331 0.0114 0.0011 0.0715 0. 0242- 0. 0187 GR 1.0000 0.1012 0. 02110 0. 3178 0.10011 0.0000 o.ou8 0.1120 0. 0115 0. 02114 0.0111 0. 0221 F 1.0000 0.0724 o.oaoo 0.8844 0. 0504 0.1123 o:oooo 0.1281 0.1011 0.0233 0.00111 0.0270 IRL 1.0000 0. 0888 0.0288 0.4105 0.0711 0.2811 0,.02!1 0.0000 0.0710 0.0381 0.0171 0.0241 I 1.0000 o. 1048 0.0274 0. 4218 0.0418 0.1101 0.0201 0.1211 0.0000 0.0251 0.0111 0. 0224 Nl 1.0000 0.0111-1 0. 0241 0.47U 0.0410 0.1311 0.0113 0.1143 0.0801 0.0000 o.oou 0.0231 A 1.0000 0.0512 0.0308 0.3311 0.1824 0.20-St 0.0157 0. 0131 0. 0724 0.0118 0.0000 0. 0202 p 1.0000 0.0111 0. 0412 0.1100 0. 0531 0.1111 0.0218 0.1311 0.0111 0. 0217 0.-1110 0.0000 SF 1.0000 0.0727 0.0141 0.3223 0.0438 o. tl44 o.oua 0.1200 0.0110 0.0211 0. OtOI 0. 0111 s 1.0000 0. 0727 0.0213 0.3171 0. IIIII 0.1111 0.0458 1.1340 0.0111 0. 0112 0.0118 o. 0271 UK 1.0000 0.0781 0.0801 0.3541 0. 0118 o. 1773 0.0133 0.1851 0. 07t2 o.ouo 0.0011 o. 0330 AUS 1.0000 0.0812 o. 0207 0.3751 0. 0401 0.1711 0.0344 0.1177 0. 0141 0. 0113 o.oou 0.0270 CNO 1.0000 0.0785 0.0210 0.3725 0.0417 0.1711 0.0241 o.uu 0.0711 0.0201 0.0071 0.0201 J 1.0000 0. 0887 0.0112 0.3112 0.0511 0.1733 0.0343 0.1112 0. 0121 0.0111 0.0108 o.oua MX 1.0000 0.0771 0.0282 0.3841 o. 0430 0 .tits 0. 0218 0.1121 0.0851 0.0211 0.0078 0. 0337 NZ 1.0000 0. 0880 0.0871 0.3183 0.0427 0.1711 0.0327 0.1011 0.1111 0.0151 0.0151 0. 0500 N 1.0000 0. 0580 0. 0247 0. 3130 0.0441 0. 17118 0.0175 0.1521 0.0815 0. 0402 0.0105 0.0214 CH -- 1.0000 0. 0583 0.0185 0. 4240 0.0411 0.1432 o. 0111 0.11118 0. 0701 0. 0317 0. 0072 0. 0201 TR Table H3: Double Export Weights (1995) in relation to the ERM countries (ERM) 0 BLEU 1.0000 0. 0718 ff.0253 0.1488 0.0542 0.1120 0. 0275 0.1114 0.0711 0.0231 0. 0011 0. 0217 USA 1.0000 0.0557 0. 0113 0. 2745 0.0041 0.0441 0.1443 0.0185 0.1252 0. 0804 0.0111 0. 0081 0.0113 0. 0421 0.1158 us~ - Table H2: Double Export Weights (1995) in relation to the European Union (EUR15) BLEU DK D GR E F IRL I NL A p SF s USA UK AUS CNO J MX NZ N CH TR BLEU Table H1: Double Export Weights (1995) in relation to 23 industrial countries (IC23) (, TECHNICAL ANNEX INTRODUCTION The quarterly report. on price and cost competitiveness presents recent changes in the nominal and real effective exchange rates of the 14 EU currencies•, Norway, Australia, Canada, Japan and the United States. Aggregate measures for the European Union (EUR15) and the group of countries participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) are presented as well. The nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) describes the changes ~n value of a currency with reference to a given base period. It is calculated as a weighted geometric average of bilateral exchange rates against the currencies of competing countries. In this report, three alternative groups of competitor countries are considered: a group of 23 industrial countries (IC23), the 15 Member states of the European Union (EUR15) and the group of countries participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). The real effective exchange rate (REER) is the main indicator of price and cost competitiveness. It is calcul~ted as the sum of the nominal rate and a trade-weighted price or cost deflator. The REER attempts to show the movement in the prices or costs of production of domestically produced goods relative to the prices or costs of goods produced by competitor countries, when expressed in a common currency. Double export weights are used to calculate NEERs and REERs, reflecting not only competition in the home markets of the various competitors, but also competition in export markets elsewhere. Our computer programme _permits each user to make his own choice of competitor countries, reference period, method to calculate trade weights and, in the case of real effective exchange rates, price or cost deflators. This technical annex describes the choices made in writing this report. We are ready to provide differently defined nominal and real exchange rates to interested persons or organisations, upon request. Please fax your request to the European Commission, Directorate-General for Economic and' Financial Affairs (DG II-D-4), fax n° 32-2-299.35.05, or consult our web site "http://europa.eu.int/en/comm/dg02f'. METHOD 1. Choice of reference period The choice of the reference period in assessing developments in n~minal and real effective exchange rates is important, even if always arbitrary. In the present report, reference has been made primarily to 1987 and several arguments are presented hereafter in order to explain this choice. However, this should not be seen as implying that exchange rates prevailing in this reference period were in equilibrium. The stability of exchange rates throughout the period 1987-1992 seems to indicate that the rates of the Louvre Accord of January 1987 were appropriate and that at the time an international The Belgium Luxembourg Economic Union (BLEU) uses a single currency. 59 balance was struck. In other words, imbalances slowly began to. build up thereafter and 1987 could be considered as a suitable basis for analysis. 2. Calculation and application of trade weights (that transform the bilateral exchange rates into effective exchange rates) The trade weights used are double export weights. This implies that the bilateral exchange rates between the currency of a given country and the currencies of its competitor countries are weighted according to both: (1) (2) the competitors' share in the total supply of competing goods (including the supply by domestic producers) in each market separately; and the relative share of each market in the total exports of the given country. The weight matrices of year t-1 are used to calculate the change in the effective exchange rate between the year t and t-1. If no weights are available for the year t-1, the weights of the latest year available are used instead. 3. Price and cost deflators (to transform the nominal exchange rates into real rates) Five real effective exchange rates (each based on a different deflator) have been calculated in order to proyide a comprehensive assessment of a country's price and cost competitiveness. The following deflators have been used: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) the Consumer Price Index (CPI); the GDP deflator; the price deflator of exports of goods and services (PX); Unit Labour Costs in Economy as a whole (ULCE); and Unit Labour Costs iri Manufacturing (ULCM). 4. German unification The competitiveness indicators presented here reflect developments in the unified Germany wherever possible. In practice, this means that pan-German data are used to calculate the weight matrices. The deflators, however, are unified only from 1995 on. Earlier data concern western Germany only. Consequently, the transitional high rates of inflation observed in the new German Lander immediately ~fter unification (i.e. between 1991 and 1994) are not reflected in the real effective exchange rate of the German mark as presented in this report. The introduction of pan-German· data causes a break not only in the German series, but also in all other series of effective exchange rates because of Germany's role as a competitor. However, a break in the series is technically -unavoidable and a reflection of reality. · 60 t