4. Economic Integration Theory and Practice Definition of economic integration The combination of several national economies into a larger territorial unit. It implies the elimination of economic boarders between countries. Economic borders: any obstacle which limits the mobility of goods services and factors of production between countries. Definition of economic integration • Jan Tinbergen: all processes of economic integration include two aspects: – Negative integration: the elimination of obstacles. – Positive integration: harmonization, coordination of existing instruments. Number of regional trade agreements, 1948-2002 Source: WTO (2003) Levels of economic integration • There are several levels of economic integration: – A. Free trade area – B. Customs union – C. Common or single market – D. Economic and monetary union Types of Regional Trade Agreements The EU FECHA PAIS FECHA AMPLIACIONES FECHA Dinamarca 2004 Hungría Irlanda 2004 Polonia Reino Unido 2004 República Checa Grecia 2004 Eslovenia España 2004 Estonia Portugal 2004 Chipre Austria - Turquía Suecia 2004 Malta Finlandia 2007 Rumanía 2007 Bulgaria 2004 Letonia 2004 Lituania 2004 Eslovaquia Alemania Francia 1958 1973 Italia Bélgica Holanda 1981 1986 Luxemburgo 1995 AMPLIACIONES Types of Regional Trade Agreements EFTA FECHA 1960 PAÍS FECHA PAÍS FECHA PAÍS Reino Unido Austria Austria Austria Noruega Noruega Dinamarca Portugal Suecia Noruega Suecia Portugal 1973 FECHA PAÍS Noruega 1995 1986 Suiza Suiza Islandia Liechtenstein Suiza Islandia Suecia Islandia Finlandia Suiza Finlandia Liechtenstein Islandia Liechtenstein EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AREA (EEA) Finlandia Liechtenstein FECHAS PAÍSES 1994 UE-15 EFTA (menos Suiza) Noruega Islandia Liechtenstein Types of Regional Trade Agreements ACUERDOS ACUERDOS FECHAS NAFTA ALADI MERCOSUR 1994 1980 1991 PAÍSES USA Canadá Méjico Argentina Bolivia Brasil Chile Colombia Ecuador Méjico Paraguay Perú Uruguay Venezuela Argentina Brasil Paraguay Uruguay PACTO ANDINO FECHAS 1969 MERCADO COMÚN CENTRO- 1960 AMERICANO COMUNIDAD DEL CARIBE 1973 PAÍSES Bolivia Perú Ecuador Venezuela Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua Antigua/Barbuda Bahamas Barbados Dominica Granada Guayana Jamaica Montserrat Santa Lucía San Cristobal/Nieves San Vicente y Granadinas Trinidad y Tobago Theory: Preliminaries • Demand curve shows how much consumers would buy price of a particular good at any particular price. • It is based on optimisation exercise: mu’ – Would one more be worth p* price? • Market demand is mu” aggregated over all consumers’ demand curves. – Horizontal sum. 9 c’ c* c” Marginal utility curve is the demand curve for one consumer quantity Theory: Preliminaries • Supply curve shows how much firms would offer to the market at a given price. • Based on optimisation: – Can increase production as long as price you can sell at is equal or above mc. • Market supply is aggregated over all firms. – Horizontal sum. price Marginal cost mc” A firm’s supply curve is its marginal cost curve. p* mc’ q’ q* q” 10 quantity Theory: Preliminaries price • Since demand curve based on marginal utility, it can be used to show how consumers’ well-being (welfare) is affected by changes in the price. • On the right we have the market demand for a product. • Gap between marginal utility of a unit and price paid shows ‘surplus’ from being able to buy c* at p*. Triangle is sum of all gaps between marginal utility and price paid (summed over total consumption) p* = MU Demand curve c* 11 quantity Theory: Preliminaries • • If the price falls: – Consumers obviously better off. – Consumer surplus change quantifies this intuition. Consumer surplus rise, 2 parts: – Pay less for units consumed at old price; measure of this = area A. • A = Price drop times old consumption. – Gain surplus on the new units consumed (those from c* to c’); measure of this = area B. • B = sum of all new gaps between marginal utility and price price p* p’ A B Demand curve c* c’ 12 quantity Theory: Preliminaries • Since supply curve based on marginal cost, it can be used to show how producers’ well-being (welfare) is affected by changes in the price. • On the right have the market supply of the product. • Gap between marginal cost of a unit and price received shows ‘surplus’ from being able to sell q* at p*. price Triangle is sum of all gaps between price received and marginal cost (summed over total production) S=MC p* q* 13 quantity Theory: Preliminaries • • If the price rises: – producers obviously better off. – Producer surplus change quantifies this intuition. producer surplus rise, 2 parts: – Get more for units sold at old price; measure of this = area A. • A = Price rise times old production. – Gain surplus on the new units sold (those from q* to q’). Measure of this = area B. • B= sum of all new gaps between marginal cost and price. price Supply curve p’ A B p* q* 14 q’ quantity Benefits from the creation of a free trade area World price: P’ Price Supply Domestic price: P* Price with tariff: P’’ Effect of tariff On trade: P* P” Reduces imports On welfare P’ A B C D Consumer surplus: Demand -A-B-C-D Producer surplus: +A Tariff revenue: +C Dead weight losses: +B+D (why?) Z’ Z” C” C’ Quantity Benefits of a customs union • Effects of a customs union: static and dynamic. • A. Static effects, 2 groups: – A.1. Trade creation • Production effect • Consumption effect (also known as trade expansion) – A.2. Trade diversion • B. Dynamic effects Static effects. Trade creation • Replace domestic production by cheaper imports from another member of the customs union: – Production effect: reduce inefficient local production and minimize the inefficient use of resources – Consumption effect: increase demand since price has fallen Static effects. Trade diversion. • Replace imports from cheaper 3rd countries by more expensive imports from members of the customs union. • The customs union has a positive welfare effect if trade creation > trade diversion. This will tend to happen when: – The more inclusive the customs union (fewer 3rd countries). – The higher the initial tariff eliminated by the creation of the customs union (PF-P G in the following figure) – The smaller the difference between the price which emerges from the customs union and the price which could be had from importing from the most efficient producer who by definition is a 3rd country. Static effects. Example, France & Germany form a customs union leaving the US outside The US is the most efficient producer (Pus) P Before the CU: Demand France imports ru from the US applying a tariff which leads to PF. T = ruhi Supply CU: Germany faces no tariffs but the US does: France imports kn from Germ. PF k PG PUS 0a g A B r u ll m h i C D Loss of tariff revenue and reduction of producer surplus: ruhi + PFrkPG (in favour of consumers) n Trade creation: j E F Sw Quantity •Consumption effect: umn •Production effect: rkl Trade deviation: lmhi (what you don’t import from the US multiplied by PAPUS) Net welfare effect: rkl+umn-lmhi Customs union and trade EEC-6 Other 6 Europe Rest of W orld $100 100% $ billion (current prices) $90 80% 60% 40% $80 EEC $70 T otal imp ort s $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 20% $10 0% $0 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 Note: Left panel shows share of EEC6’s import from the three regions. Other Euro-6 are the 6 countries that joined the EU by the mid 1980s, UK, Ireland, Denmark, Spain, Portugal and Greece. Source: Table 5, External Trade and Balance of Payments, Statistical Yearbook, Recapitulation, 1958-1991, Dynamic effects of a customs union • More difficult to measure • Increases productivity and thus potential growth rates due to: – More specialization with the CU. – Greater competition with the CU. – Capacity to explore economies of scale and thus compete with 3rd countries. Benefits of a common market • Free movement of K and L: – More efficient allocation of resources – Convergenece of wages and capital incomes within the CM. – But: • K moves easier than L (transport and cultural costs). Capital movements in the Common Market • M&A activity is high in EU. • much M&A is mergers within member state. – about 55% ‘domestic.’ – Remaining 45% split between: • one is non-EU firm (24%), • one firm was located in another EU nation (15%), • counterparty’s nationality was not identified (6%). 23 Capital movements in the Common Market • Distribution of M&A quite varied: – Big 3’s share M&As much lower than share of the EU GDP. It, Fr, D (Ger) 36% of the M&As, 59% GDP. – UK share is important (31.6%). – Small members have disproportionate share of M&A (compared to GDP). M&A activity by nation, 1991-2002 B, 2.8% UK, 31.4% DK, 2.6% EL, 1.1% S, 5.3% IRL, 1.7% NL, 6.5% L, 0.5% I, 6.2% A, 2.1% P, 1.2% F, 13.5% E, 5.0% D, 16.3% FIN, 3.9% 24 Competition rules in the Single Market • For creating an effective single market two elements are necessary: – As we have stated, the removal of national barriers to the trade of goods, the provision of services and the mobility of factors of production. – The application of an effective competition policy to ensure that firms do not exercise monopoly power or abuse their market power to the detriment of consumers and the efficient allocation of resources in general. Competition rules in the Single Market • The basic competition law of the EU is contained in Articles 81 to 89 of the TEU and in particular: – Articles 81 to 86 deal with the infringement of the competition rules by agreement between enterprises – Articles 87 to 89 deal with state aids. Competition rules in the Single Market • Article 81 deals with collusion between firms and refers to agreements (explicit collusion) and concerted practices (implicit collusion). – It specifically prohibits price fixing and market sharing; limit or control of production, markets, technical development or investment; discrimination, collective boycotts and tie in clauses (when you purchase one good or service, you are compelled to buy another unrelated good or service). – This list is not exhaustive and in general any collusive practices are prohibited. Competition rules in the Single Market – They apply to both vertical agreements (between producers and retailers) and horizontal ones (between producers or between retailers). – The rules apply to all firms operating in the common market. – There are exemptions of course: The agreements must contribute to the improvement of the production or distribution of goods or to the promotion of technical or economic progress, while allowing consumers a fair share of the resulting benefit. Competition rules in the Single Market • Article 82 is an anti-monopoly instrument. – It prohibits any abuse by one or more undertakings of a dominant position within the common market or in a substantial part of it … insofar as it may affect trade between member states. – The emphasis is not on the acquiring a dominant position (which implies market concentration) but on its abuse, primarily in trade between member states. – Again cooperation agreements between firms which are considered beneficial for the consumers by improving production, distribution or technical progress are exempted. Competition rules in the Single Market • One major drawback of article 82 as an instrument of merger control is that it can be activated only after a merger has taken place (remember abuse of monopoly power is prohibited) and so pre-emptive action by the Commission is not possible under this article. • This power was agreed upon in 1989 in the form or two regulations (4064/89 and 1310/97). Under these regulations the Commission can preemptively block mergers with a community dimension: Competition rules in the Single Market • • • There is a Community dimension where: – the combined aggregate worldwide turnover of all the companies is more than 5 000 million, and; – the aggregate Community-wide turnover of each of at least two of the companies is more than 250 million, unless each of the companies achieves more than two-thirds of its aggregate Community-wide turnover within one and the same Member State. Large companies incorporated outside the EU but generating at least €100 million of their annual business in the Community are also subject to these rules if a merger between them threatens to distort competition in the EU market. Proposed mergers must be notified to the Commission. Competition rules in the Single Market • State aids: one of the duties of the Commission is to ensure that in the single market no member state provides its own firms with a competitive advantage over the firms of other member states. – In this vein, article 87 prohibits direct subsidies, tax exemptions, preferential interest rates, loans on especially favorable terms indemnities against losses – Some state aids may be authorized if the distortions in competition are considered to be offset by advantage to the Union, for example, state aid for companies engaged in high tech. research, or directed to less developed regions. Aid which does not affect trade between member states does not come under this law. – Public procurement: Countries tend to favor domestic firms in the awarding of government contracts, particularly military contracts and such purchases represent on average 15% of GDP. This is similar to a state subsidy. For this reason the public procurement market is gradually being opened up to intra-community competition – when contracts are of some minimum threshold of expenditure