Investment, Productivity, and Profit Learning Plan 5 Investment, Productivity, and Profit z z z z z Objectives: Review definitions of factors of production and returns to factors. Extend the definitions of supply and demand to the factor markets. Predict the effects of technological change on factor costs. Explain what productivity and labor productivity mean Investment, Productivity, and Profit z z z Describe the relationship between productivity, hourly earnings, and real income. Discuss those factors that will cause the growth in labor productivity to decline. Discuss those factors that will cause labor productivity to increase. Investment, Productivity, and Profit z z z Describe how changes in productivity affect the standard of living and the competitiveness of American products in world markets. Explain what profit is and explain the four functions of profits in a market economy. Calculate accounting profit, normal profit, and pure economic profit and explain how they differ. Productivity z z z z z Productivity: how efficiently resources are used. A. A measure of output per unit of input. B. Labor productivity: measures the value of the output produced per worker hour of input. 1. Easily measured 2. Labor accounts for about 75% of the cost of production. Productivity z C. Labor productivity: is equal to GDP divided by total employment. Productivity, Earnings, And Real Income z z z z Productivity puts an upper limit on hourly earnings and real income. IfMB>MC, then do it! A. If we want to earn more per hour worked, then we must produce more per hour. B. Real income: what you can buy with your money income. Productivity Growth z z z z A. B. C. D. 1948-1973: 2.8% 1973-1981: .7% 1981-1990: 1.0% 1990-199_: ? Slowdown in Growth of Productivity z z z z z A. Slowdown in rate of capital formation. B. Changing composition of the labor force. 1. Baby boom generation. a. Large increase in entrants into the labor force. b.Fewer skills and little experience. Slowdown in Growth of Productivity z z z z 2. Many women entering labor force for first time. 3. As supply of labor increases, wages and benefits tend to fall a. Labor is relatively cheap. b. Employers have relatively little incentive to increase the productivity per worker. Slowdown in Growth of Productivity z z z z 4. As labor becomes more scare, employers have an incentive to increase productivity. C. Declining student achievement D. Change in composition of output. 1. Labor productivity easier to increase in manufacturing sector than in the service sector. Slowdown in Growth of Productivity z z z 2. Shift of demand from high productivity manufacturing to lower productivity services has occurred. E. Growing government regulation. 1. Resources diverted from direct production of goods and services to things like pollution abatement and workplace safety. Slowdown in Growth of Productivity z z 2. Tax laws and regulations may discourage innovation. F. Drop in saving and investment. Ways To Increase Productivity z z z z z A. Development and application of new production technologies 1. New processes 2. New raw materials 3. New machines B. Better organization of production and distribution. Ways To Increase Productivity z z z z 1. Group machines by function. 2. Computer aided design, computer aided manufacturing, 3. Reduce size and complexity of bureaucracy. 4. Cluster manufacturing. Ways To Increase Productivity z z z z z C. Improve labor quality. 1. More and better education and skill training. 2. Use of work groups. 3. On-the-job training D. Simplification of work rules and reduction in number of job classification. Ways To Increase Productivity z z z z z E. Improved incentives to work and excel. 1. Workers have greater responsibility for control over work sites and jobs. 2. Pay for knowledge system. 3. Tie pay to productivity and profit. F. Invest more in people and equipment. Productivity, Standard of Living, and World Competition z z z z z z A . Higher productivity growth. 1. Production costs/units are lower. A. Product prices are lower 2. Benefits consumers and businesses a. Consumers: higher standard of living. B. Businesses: better able to compete in world markets. Investment Spending z z z A. Expected returns on investment. 1. Marginal efficiency of capital (MEC) B. Interest rate: price businesses pay to borrow money used to carry out an investment project. Factors That Influence Marginal Efficiency of Capital z z z z z z z A. MEC UP: investors optimistic. B. MEC DOWN: investors pessimistic C. Factors affecting MEC 1. Expectations about the level of sales a. Sales up: increase capacity b. Sales down: decrease capacity 2. New products: investments needed to produce them. Factors That Influence Marginal Efficiency of Capital z z z z z z z z 3. New production processes a. Robotics and computerization b. Fully automated production process 4. New raw materials a. Ceramics b. Fiber optics c. Super conductors d. Fiber reinforced composites Factors That Influence Marginal Efficiency of Capital z z z 5. Change in population growth rates 6. Change in tax laws 7. Change in government policy Real Rate of Interest z z z z z A. Stated or nominal rate of interest minus the rate of inflation. 1. Nominal rate of interest is 8% 2. Rate of inflation is 5% 3. Real rate of interest is 3% B. If the MEC (expected return) is high compared to rate of investment, businesspeople will borrow and invest. Real Rate of Interest z z C. If the MEC (expected return) is low compared to rate of investment, businesspeople will not invest. D. Businesspeople do not borrow just because the interest rate is low, they borrow and invest because of profit expectations. Sources of Funds for Investment Spending z z z z z z z z z A. Savings 1. Personal savings 2. Business savings a. Depreciation fund b. Retained earnings B. Business acquire funds through: 1. Business Savings 2. Selling bonds and stocks 3. Borrowing from banks Crowding-Out Effect z z A. Large amount of government borrowing reduces the funds available to private business borrowers. B. As U.S. Treasury sells government securities (bonds), the sales of private securities (stocks and bonds) are crowded out of the financial markets. Crowding-Out Effect z z z z 1. U.S. government pays the higher interest rate by raising taxes. 2. Some private firms are forced out of the financial markets because they cannot afford to pay the higher interest rates. A. Private firms have a “bottom line”. B. Government does not have to make a profit; it just raises taxes. Profit z z z A. Share of national income by entrepreneurs and investors. B. Factor payment needed to draw forth the entrepreneurial talents needed to produce goods. C. Cost involved in getting people to take risks. Four Functions of Profits z z z z A. Provide capital needed to maintain existing production. B. Attract new capital investment to firms that need to expand. C. Encourage risk taking D. Encourage efficient production Pure Economic Profit z z z z z z z Pure Economic Profit equals Revenues minus Explicit and Implicit Costs 1. Explicit costs: outlay costs associated with purchasing or hiring resources that the firm needs to produce a good or service. A. Examples: Wages and salaries Payments for raw materials Rent payments Payment for power, transportation, communications Pure Economic Profit z b. Recorded by the firm’s accountants in the firm’s books. Pure Economic Profit z 2. Implicit Costs: Firm’s resources that are not hired or not purchased and thus require no payment to be made to anyone outside the firm. z A. Examples: Self-owned resources a. buildings b. real estate Self-employed resources a. money invested b. human energy z z z z z z Pure Economic Profit z B. The firm’s accountants do not enter these costs in the firm’s books. Pure Economic Profit z z z z Economist versus Accountant 1. The economist’s perspective concerns the allocation of resources. 2. The accountant’s perspective concerns an accounting of explicit payments and receipts. 3. Economists measure costs and revenues to decide if resources have been allocated in an efficient manner of if gains could be realized through reallocation of the resources. Pure Economic Profit z z z 4. Explicit Costs + Implicit Costs = Economic Costs a. When all resources used in a production process are paid what they could earn in their next best alternative use(opportunity cost), then accounting and economic costs are the same. b. When resources are not being paid their opportunity cost, then accounting costs and economic cost differ. Economic Versus Accounting Cost z z z z z z z z z z Total Revenue $138,200 Less Explicit Costs Parts and lubricants $80,000 Assistant’s Wages $15,000 $95,000 Accounting Profit $43,200 Less Implicit Costs Foregone salary: $35,000 Foregone interest: $ 7,000 Foregone rent: $ 1,200 Economic Profit $0 Normal Profit z z z Normal profit: Pure economic profit is zero 1. The total revenue generated by the firm is just equal to the economic opportunity costs of production. 2. Given a normal profit, all resources used are being rewarded at least as well as they would be in their best alternative uses. Normal Profit z z 3. A normal profit is the least amount of income that a firm needs to continue its operation in the long run. 4. Without a normal profit (an economic loss exits), everything else remaining constant, the owner(s) of a firm will withdraw their resources (labor, capital, managerial effort) and put them to use somewhere else. Psychic Value z Psychic value means people enjoy some types of work more than others. z 1. If you are running a business and experiencing an economic loss of $2,000, then using only economic decision making, you should reallocate your resources to some other area. 2. BUT!! If it is worth $2,000 or more to you to be your own boss, then you are better off not reallocating. z Profit z z z 1. Accounting Profit 2. Normal Profit 3. Pure Economic Profit Normal Profit z When firms in an industry are earning pure economic profits, then new firms and resources will enter the industry as competitors try “to get in on the action”. Eventually, the pure economic profit (also referred to as excess profits) will cease to exist. Normal Profit z z When firms in an industry are experiencing economic losses, then firms and resources will exit that industry. When firms in an industry are earning normal profits, then there is neither the entry of additional resources into the industry nor the exit of firms and resources from the industry.