5-1 Capacity Planning 5-2 Capacity Planning CHAPTER Operations Management 5 Capacity Planning For Products and Services William J. Stevenson 8 th edition Operations Management, Eighth Edition, by William J. Stevenson Copyright © 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserv ed. McGraw-Hill/Ir win 5-3 Capacity Planning • Capacity Planning Capacity is the upper limit or ceiling on the load that an operating unit can handle. 5-4 Capacity Planning Importance of Capacity Decisions 1. 2. 3. • The basic questions in capacity handling are: • What kind of capacity is needed? • How much is needed? • When is it needed? 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 5-5 Capacity Planning • Units of Capacity Choose an appropriate unit 5-6 Capacity Planning Two Definitions of Capacity • • Refrigerators / day • Cars built / day • What if you build different things? • • output rate or service capacity an operation, process, or facility is designed for • Use “availability of inputs” (see Table 5.1) E.g. capacity of $10,000 / year • Î the worth of a $ changes over time Design capacity • maximum Effective capacity • Design capacity minus allowances such as personal time, maintenance, and scrap Avoid units that change over time • Impacts ability to meet future demands Affects operating costs Major determinant of initial costs Involves long-term commitment Affects competitiveness Affects ease of management Globalization adds complexity & uncertainty about capacity requirements Impacts long range planning • Actual output • rate of output actually achieved--cannot exceed effective capacity. 5-7 Capacity Planning Efficiency and Utilization Efficiency = 5-8 Capacity Planning Efficiency/Utilization Example Actual output Design capacity = 50 trucks/day Effective capacity Effective capacity = 40 trucks/day Actual output = 36 units/day Actual output Utilization = Actual output Design capacity = 36 units/day Efficiency = = 90% Effective capacity Both measures expressed as percentages Utilization = Actual output 40 units/ day = Design capacity 5-9 Capacity Planning Determinants of Effective Capacity 5-10 Capacity Planning Ca pa city = • • • • • • • Facilities (location, layout, etc) Product and service factors (limited products / services Î more efficiency) Process factors (effect of quality reqs.) Human factors (motivation) Operational factors (bottlenecks) Supply chain factors (effect of changes on the supply chain) External factors (EPA, unions) Product #1 #2 #3 • = 72% Example 2 (pg 177) 2000 Annual Demand 400 300 700 Cl ea r Standard Proc essing Time 5 8 2 Tota l = • 36 units/day 50 units/day Proce ssing Time Needed 2000 2400 1400 Proces s Requirements 1 1.2 0.7 5800 2.9 Capacity per machine is 2000 hours per year Three products’ demands are listed • How much capacity (in machine hours per year) are needed to cover this forecast? Î How many machines needed? See Table 5.2 in text 5-11 Capacity Planning Homework Due M onday before class • • Page 192, problems 1, 2 and 5 I will provide “feedback” on your problem solving technique • At this time: The HW grade is not posted nor included in final grade 5-12 Capacity Planning Make or Buy Having determined capacity required do you make or buy? Factors affecting this decision are: 5. Available capacity Lack of expertise Quality considerations for special items Nature of demand (unusual demand) Cost (fixed & per-unit) 6. Risk (loss of control?) 1. 2. 3. 4. • Cost-Volume analysis, See solved problem #1 5-13 Capacity Planning Economies of Scale (Optimal Operating Levels) 5-14 Capacity Planning Evaluating Alternatives • Economies of scale • • Average cost per unit Figure 5.3 If the output rate is less than the optimal level, increasing output rate results in decreasing average unit costs Diseconomies of scale • If the output rate is more than the optimal level, increasing the output rate results in increasing average unit costs Production units have an optimal rate of output for minimal cost. Minimum average cost per unit Minim um cost 0 Rate of output Fixed cost spread out over fewer units Å | Æ machine breakdown, worker fatigue, etc. Economies of scale Å Æ diseconomies of scale 5-15 Capacity Planning Evaluating Alternatives Figure 5.4 Average cost per unit Minim um cost & optimal operating rate are functions of size of pr oduction unit. 0 Small plant Medium plant Large plant Output rate 5-16 Capacity Planning Cost--Volume Equations Cost Profit = Total_Revenue – Total_Costs P = TR – TC TR = Revenue/unit * #_units = R * Q TC = Fixed_costs + variable_cost/unit * #_units TC = FC + v * Q Profit = P = Q ( R – v ) – FC Required Volume Q for a profit P is Q = (P+FC)/ (R-v) QBEP = FC / (R-v) Larger plants have a higher minimum point ( more economies of scale) 5-17 Capacity Planning Assumptions of CostCost-Volume Analysis 5-18 Capacity Planning Cost--Volume Relationships Cost 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. One product is involved Everything produced can be sold Variable cost per unit is the same regardless of volume Fixed costs do not change with volume Revenue per unit constant with volume Revenue per unit exceeds variable cost per unit Amount ($) Figure 5.5a 0 C +F C) VC = t (V t os os c c le t al ab To ari v t al To Fixed cost (FC) Q (volume in units) 5-19 Capacity Planning 5-20 Capacity Planning Figure 5.5b Figure 5.5c Cost--Volume Relationships Cost 0 ue e nu f it ve e r Pro al t t cos To t al To Amount ($) Amount ($) n ve re l ta To Cost--Volume Relationships Cost 0 Q (volume in units) 5-21 Capacity Planning BEP units Q (volume in units) 5-22 Capacity Planning Break--Even Problem with Step Fixed Costs Break Figure 5.6a Break--Even Problem with Step Fixed Costs Break Figure 5.6b +V FC How many machines should w e purchase (or set up for running)? # of machines purchased/running affects your fixed costs in a stepped (discrete) fashion. + FC FC +V C= V C= TC $ BEP 3 TC C= TC BEP2 TC 3 machines 3 TC TC 2 machines 2 TR 1 1 machine Quantity Quantity Multiple break-even points Step fixed costs and variable costs. The BEP needs to be calculated separately for each number of machines (then compare it to the capability of the machine(s) or the anticipated demand levels). 5-23 Capacity Planning Financial Analysis • Cash Flow - the difference between cash received from sales and other sources, and cash outflow for labor, material, overhead, and taxes. • Present Value - the sum, in current value, of all future cash flows of an investment proposal. • Is $1000 received today =, <, or > $1100 received in two years? • Depends on interest rate (which is typically uncertain over a period of time) 5-24 Capacity Planning • Supplement to Ch 5