Chapter 5 Capacity What is Capacity? The upper limit or ceiling on the load that an operating unit can handle. Ex:Can’t take more work than you can handle 3 Basic Questions for capacity planning 1. What kind of capacity is needed? 2. How much is needed? 3. When is it needed? Capacity Decisions are Strategic (GOALS) Impacts ability to meet future demands (Increase number of employees if capacity is low) Affects operating costs (Increase capacity correlates with imp Major determinant of initial costs (Start ups) Involves long-term commitment (Hire Full time, Payments, don’t know for next season) Affect competitiveness (Don’t increase capacity clients will go to another business as for line) Effects ease of management (Easy or hard to manage the capacity, work smoothly) Globalization adds complexity (Offshoring) (adds complexity to small companies) Impacts long range planning (Risk for long term) Increase the capacity to keep the customers happy by keeping their orders in time Providing enough time to employees to get high quality high efficiency Increase Capacity when demand is higher Maintain capacity but do not compromise customer service, work life balance, work environment 5 employ 50 Orders ?10 employ 100 Orders Measuring capacity Design capacity: Maximum output rate or service capacity an operation, process, or facility for Car 5 people 40 Chairs 40 people Maximum Effective Capacity: Design capacity minus allowances such as personal time, maintenance, and scrap 100 units 70 units if only black inc 5000 seats no one can sit behind keeper 4400 seats available 8 hours but change battery for 1 hour 7 hours Actual output: Rate of output that actually achieved, cannot exceed effective capacity. Measuring Capacity Capacity is measured in some form of units Measuring capacity in dollars is problematic Due to inflation Design changes that affect cost Measure inputs Efficiency and Utilization Efficiency is a ratio of outputs to effective capacity Utilization is a ratio of outputs to design capacity Determinants of Effective Capacity Facilities Product and service design factors Process factors Human factors (can’t work as fast as design capacity) Management policy factors Operational factors Supply chain factors External factors like safety regulations Strategy Formulation Long-term demand patterns Anticipated tech changes Behavior of its competitors (both go up noth happens Steps for Capacity Planning Estimate future capacity requirements Evaluate existing capacity Identify alternatives Conduct financial analysis Assess key qualitative issues Select one alternative Implement alternative chosen Monitor results Planning Service Capacity Need to be near customers Capacity and location are closely tied Inability to inventory services Capacity must be matched with timing of demand(Peak demands) Degree of volatility of demand Peak demand periods Evaluating Alternatives Cost volume analysis -Break even point Financial flow Present value Decision theory Waiting line analysis Operations Strategy Capacity planning impacts all areas of the firm Sets conditions operations will function under Flexibility allows a firm to be agile Capacity expansions are important Capacity contraction is sometimes necessary Factors influencing capacity Developing capacity alternatives Evaluating alternatives Capacity is the upper limit on the load that an operating Importance of Capacity ● ● ● ● ● Impacts ability to meet future demands Affects operating costs Major determinant of initial costs Involves long-term commitment Affects competitiveness Forecast demand 1 to 5 years Calculate capacity requirements to meet the forecasts Measure current capacity Decide if and how the bridged gap in capacity Decision node () Chance node (Probability) Best expected value = Decision node 20.2 EVSI greater go with consultant EVSI is less don’t hire Measuring capacity Design capacity ● Maximum obtainable output under ideal conditions (best scenario) early on when designing Effective capacity ● Maximum capacity given delays, product mix, scheduling difficulties, and other realities (realistic measure of capacity) Beg. planning period Actual output ● Rate of output actually - end of period Efficiency Actual distribution/ effective capacity Utilization Design Capacity/Efficiency capacity Facilities have floor space and layouts Facilities Floor space, layout Products or services Limited menu in a restaurant Human Training, skills and experience Planning and operational No shifts per day, inventory, quality control Capacity infrequency in chunks accommodate some cushion Bottleneck An operation in a sequence of operations whose capacity is lower than that of the other operations Economies and diseconomies of scale Fixed costs (facilities, equipment, management) spread out over more units Volume purchase discounts Diseconomies of scale Worker fatigue, equipment breakdown, more room for error, difficulties in coordination Economic considerations Economic considerations Cost, useful life, compatibility, revenue Non economic considerations Public opinion, reactions from employees, community pressure Techniques used for evaluation 1.Break Even Analysis 2.Payback Period 3.Net Present Value Break even analysis Formula’s TC=Total Cost FC=Total Fixed Cost VC=Total Variable Cost TR=Total Revenue v=variable cost per unit r=revenue per unit Q=volume of output Qbep=break even volume P=profit TC=FC+VC VC=Qxv TR=Qxr P=TR-TC=Qxr-(FC+Qxv) Qbep=FC/r-v Break even point= Total revenue=Total cost P=Total revenue - Total Cost Q x r - (FC + VC) 0=Qr - (FC + Qv) Q=FC+ QbepV Qbep= FC/r-v Example: Break-Even Fixed costs=40,000 Labour costs=3/unit Material=$1.50 Sell Qbep=FC/R Outsourcing =$6 per case In sourcing FC= 14,000,000 over 10 years= $1,400,000 per year In sourcing v=$5.5 per case a) $14,000,000/10 years=$1,400,000 per year b) Let Q= no. of cases of cans we need per year Annual buying cost=$6Q Annual making cost=$1,400,000 + $5.50Q 6Q=1,400,000 + 5.50 0.50Q=1,400,000 Qbep=2,800,000 Decision Analysis Is suitable for a wide range of opportunities Alternatives EV small Payoff Table Alternative Low(p=0.3) Moderate (p=0.5) High(p=0.2) Small facility 10 10 10 Meduim Facility 7 12 12 Large Facility -4 2 16 Small 0.3(10) Moderate 0.5(10) High 10(.2) Practice Problems Decision trees 1. Draw the decision tree 2. Assign probabilities to the status of nature 3. Estimate payoffs for each possible combination of decision alternatives and states of nature 4. Working from right to left, calculate EV for each state of nature (circular node) 5. Choose alternative with highest EV (or lowest expected cost) EV=.4(10,000) + .2(15,000) + 4(14,000)