5-1 Capacity Planning Operations Management William J. Stevenson 8th edition 5-2 Capacity Planning CHAPTER 5 Capacity Planning For Products and Services McGraw-Hill/Irwin Operations Management, Eighth Edition, by William J. Stevenson Copyright © 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 5-3 Capacity Planning Capacity Planning Capacity is the upper limit or ceiling on the load that an operating unit can handle. • The basic questions in capacity handling are: • What kind of capacity is needed? • How much is needed? • When is it needed? • 5-4 Capacity Planning Importance of Capacity Decisions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Impacts ability to meet future demands Affects operating costs Major determinant of initial costs Involves long-term commitment Affects competitiveness Affects ease of management Globalization adds complexity Impacts long range planning 5-5 Capacity Planning Capacity • Design capacity • • Effective capacity • • maximum output rate or service capacity an operation, process, or facility is designed for Design capacity minus allowances such as personal time, maintenance, and scrap Actual output • rate of output actually achieved--cannot exceed effective capacity. 5-6 Capacity Planning Efficiency and Utilization Efficiency = Utilization = Actual output Effective capacity Actual output Design capacity Both measures expressed as percentages 5-7 Capacity Planning Efficiency/Utilization Example Design capacity = 50 trucks/day Effective capacity = 40 trucks/day Actual output = 36 units/day Actual output = 36 units/day Efficiency = = 90% Effective capacity Utilization = Actual output 40 units/ day = Design capacity 36 units/day 50 units/day = 72% 5-8 Capacity Planning Determinants of Effective Capacity Facilities Product and service factors • Process factors • Human factors • Operational factors • Supply chain factors • External factors • • 5-9 Capacity Planning Strategy Formulation Capacity strategy for long-term demand Demand patterns • Growth rate and variability • Facilities • • • • • • • Cost of building and operating Technological changes Rate and direction of technology changes Behavior of competitors Availability of capital and other inputs 5-10 Capacity Planning Key Decisions of Capacity Planning 1. 2. 3. 4. Amount of capacity needed Timing of changes Need to maintain balance Extent of flexibility of facilities Capacity cushion – extra demand intended to offset uncertainty 5-11 Capacity Planning Steps for Capacity Planning 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Estimate future capacity requirements Evaluate existing capacity Identify alternatives Conduct financial analysis Assess key qualitative issues Select one alternative Implement alternative chosen Monitor results 5-12 Capacity Planning Make or Buy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Available capacity Expertise Quality considerations Nature of demand Cost Risk 5-13 Capacity Planning Developing Capacity Alternatives 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Design flexibility into systems Take stage of life cycle into account Take a “big picture” approach to capacity changes Prepare to deal with capacity “chunks” Attempt to smooth out capacity requirements Identify the optimal operating level 5-14 Capacity Planning Economies of Scale • Economies of scale • • If the output rate is less than the optimal level, increasing output rate results in decreasing average unit costs Diseconomies of scale • If the output rate is more than the optimal level, increasing the output rate results in increasing average unit costs 5-15 Capacity Planning Evaluating Alternatives Figure 5.3 Average cost per unit Production units have an optimal rate of output for minimal cost. Minimum average cost per unit Minimum cost 0 Rate of output 5-16 Capacity Planning Evaluating Alternatives Figure 5.4 Average cost per unit Minimum cost & optimal operating rate are functions of size of production unit. Small plant Medium plant 0 Large plant Output rate 5-17 Capacity Planning Planning Service Capacity • Need to be near customers • • Inability to store services • • Capacity and location are closely tied Capacity must be matched with timing of demand Degree of volatility of demand • Peak demand periods 5-18 Capacity Planning Cost-Volume Relationships Amount ($) Figure 5.5a T os lc o ta T VC t= a ari lv a t o +F bl C t (V os ec C) Fixed cost (FC) 0 Q (volume in units) 5-19 Capacity Planning Cost-Volume Relationships Figure 5.5b Amount ($) ue en ev r l ta To 0 Q (volume in units) 5-20 Capacity Planning Cost-Volume Relationships Figure 5.5c Amount ($) ue en fit v Pro re l ta st co To t al o T 0 BEP units Q (volume in units) 5-21 Capacity Planning Break-Even Problem with Step Fixed Costs Figure 5.6a FC FC FC T C= +V C= +V C= +V TC TC 3 machines C 2 machines 1 machine Quantity Step fixed costs and variable costs. 5-22 Capacity Planning Break-Even Problem with Step Fixed Costs Figure 5.6b $ BEP 3 TC BEP2 TC 3 TC 2 TR 1 Quantity Multiple break-even points 5-23 Capacity Planning Assumptions of Cost-Volume Analysis 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. One product is involved Everything produced can be sold Variable cost per unit is the same regardless of volume Fixed costs do not change with volume Revenue per unit constant with volume Revenue per unit exceeds variable cost per unit 5-24 Capacity Planning Financial Analysis • Cash Flow - the difference between cash received from sales and other sources, and cash outflow for labor, material, overhead, and taxes. • Present Value - the sum, in current value, of all future cash flows of an investment proposal. 5-25 Capacity Planning Calculating Processing Requirements Standard processing time per unit (hr.) Product Annual Demand Processing time needed (hr.) #1 400 5.0 2,000 #2 300 8.0 2,400 #3 700 2.0 1,400 5,800