Excess Returns and Beta: Deriving the Security Market Line

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Excess Returns and Beta: Deriving the Security Market Line
W.L. Silber
I.
We showed that market forces combined with a search by investors for efficient
portfolios would produce the following relationships for each security (i, j =1, ..., n) in a
portfolio:
(1)
Ri − R f
∂σ m / ∂X i
Rm − R f
=
σm
This expression can be rewritten as
(2)
II.
 Rm − R f
Ri = R f + 
 σm

 ∂σ m / ∂X i

Expression (2) says that the equilibrium expected return (Ri ) on security i should
equal the risk-free rate (Rf) plus the market price of risk (Rm − Rf ) / σ m times ∂σ m / ∂X i .
What is ∂σ m / ∂X i ? It is the increase in risk ( σ m ) associated with a small increase in
asset i, in other words, it is the risk contribution of security i to portfolio risk, σ m . We can
derive ∂σ m / ∂X i by taking the derivative of the expression for the variance of a portfolio
with respect to X i. The result, as shown in Garbade (p. 175, fn 12) is:
(3)
∂σ m
1
=
∂X i σ m
n
∑X
j =1
j
Cov(Ri , R j )
This expression states that the risk contribution of a security to the portfolio
depends on the covariance of asset i with each and every other asset. This makes
considerable sense because we know that only systematic risk matters in a portfolio
and systematic risk is measured by covariance.
2
III.
The problem with expression (3) above is that it is not operational; there are too
many covariances needed to measure the risk of security i. We can simplify the
measurement problem by recalling the regression equation (security characteristic line)
relating the return on an individual security, Ri, to the return on an index, Rm, consisting
of all other securities in the market. In particular, we have:
Ri = α i + β i R m + ei
(4)
Note that Rm is defined as the weighted average return on all securities in the
market:
n
(5)
Rm = ∑ X j R j .
j =1
From statistics we know that the definition of the regression coefficient in
expression (4) is given by:
(6)
βi =
Cov (Ri , R m )
σ m2
This means that we can take the expression for Rm in (5) and substitute it into
expression (6) to get the following:
(7)
n

Cov  R i , ∑ X j R j

i =1
βi =
σ m2



Expression (7) can be simplified as follows:
∑ X Cov (R
n
j
(8)
βi =
(9)
βi =
j =1
i,
Rj )
σ m2
1
σm
 1 n

⋅
⋅ ∑ X j Cov (R i , R j )
σ m j =1

3
Notice that the expression inside the brackets in (9) is identical to the expression
for ∂σ m / ∂X i in (3). Thus, we can use expression (3) to rewrite (9), as follows:
βi =
(10)
IV.
1
⋅ ∂σ m / ∂X i
σm
Finally, we can produce the result we want. We can use expression (10) to
simplify expression (2), which is where we started, and make it operational. From (10)
we have
∂σ m / ∂X i = β i σ m
(11)
We can then substitute (11) into (2), which produces
 R − Rf
Ri = Rf +  m
 σm
(12)

 ⋅ β i σ m

Which gives us the security market line
Ri = Rf + (Rm − Rf )β i
(13)
V.
The security market line says that, in equilibrium, the return on security i is equal
to the risk-free rate (Rf) plus the excess return on the market portfolio times the beta of
security i.
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