BSB 5007 Introduction to Economics Assessment 1 Case study: the Bahraini mobile retailing industry Done by: Ali sarhan ID: 201101119 Class: W01 Group: 01 Word count: 4379 Tutor: Eman asker Page 0 of 37 Contents 1.0-Introduction ...........................................................................................................2 2.0-Microeconomic Concepts ........................................................................................3 2.1-Scarcity ..............................................................................................................3 2.2-Factors of Productions .........................................................................................3 2.3-Positive VS. Normative analysis ............................................................................5 2.4-Opportunity cost .................................................................................................5 2.4.1-Production-possibility curve(P.P.C). ................................................................6 2.5-Demand .............................................................................................................7 2.7.1-Demand-Shifting factors ................................................................................8 2.6.2-Demand Movement Factors......................................................................... 13 2.6-Supply .............................................................................................................. 13 2.6.1-Supply-shifiting factors ................................................................................ 14 2.6.2-supply-Movement Factors ........................................................................... 17 2.6.4-Equilibrium ................................................................................................ 18 2.8-Market structure............................................................................................... 21 2.9-Good-types....................................................................................................... 23 2.10-price elasticity of demand ................................................................................ 25 2.11-Price discrimination: ........................................................................................ 27 3.0. Macroeconomic Concept ...................................................................................... 27 3.1-The aggregate demand ...................................................................................... 28 3.1.1-Consumption .............................................................................................. 28 3.1.2-Investment................................................................................................. 29 3.2.3-The Net Exports .......................................................................................... 30 3.1.4-Government spending ................................................................................. 30 3.1.5-The circle of flow ........................................................................................ 30 3.1.6-The Aggergate-demand Curve ...................................................................... 29 3.2-Unempolyment................................................................................................. 29 4.0-Conclusion ........................................................................................................... 31 5.0-Appendices .......................................................................................................... 33 Appendix (1):mobile phone penetration ................................................................... 33 Appendix (2): Bahrain employment rate ................................................................... 33 Page 1 of 37 1.0-Introduction The aim of this report is to create a cohesive understanding of the Bahraini mobile-retailing industry by applying different economic concepts, both from microeconomics point of view. Various data has been collected from articles, websites, financial reports as well as interviews with mobile-shop owners. The mobile retail is an industry that keeps growing and developing constantly. It can be thanked for the success of another industry in Bahrain, the telecommunication-industry; because the more profitable part in that industry in mobile-services, and simply without mobile-retailing there is no mobile-services1. Recently, this industry has been increasing with increase of population.(Appendix-1) Smartphones represent 5.1% of total annual retail-shops sales in Bahrain, estimated by to $159 billion in 2012. Research also forecasts this number to raise to 19% estimated by $689 billion by 20162. There are many mobile-retailers like: Batelco, Zain and VIVA3. As well as many Mobile retailing shops in famous commercial streets such as Exhibition-road, and malls such as Gossi mall, that specialize in selling mobiles. Because of all the above, the mobile-retailing industry does has a notable effect on Bahrain’s economy. 1BMI. (2012). Bahrain Telecommunication report. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/917807356/1359F86C8A027A966EB/1?accountid=62741 2 Rafique, M.(2012) Smartphones will create $689b in retail stores by 2016. Retrieved fromhttp://www.twentyfoursevennews.com/bahrain-telecom/smartphones-will-create-689b-inretail-stores-by-2016/ 3 Alpen Capital.(2011). GCC Retail Industry. Retrieved from http://www.alpencapital.com/downloads/GCC%20Retail%20Industry%20Report%202011_1%20Nove mber%202011.pdf Page 2 of 37 2.0-Microeconomic Concepts The following are 10 microeconomics elements that study the effect of choices made by individuals and firms within the Bahraini mobile-retailing industry: 2.1-Scarcity A situation where people must make choices between different items because the resources necessary to fulfill their wants are limited.4 Commercial lands are shared between all Bahraini industries. Meaning, The need for commercial lands in Bahrain exceeds the number of existent lands Thus, there is a land scarcity5 where mobile-retailers will not be always able to open new shops due to lack of one a production-factor (land). 2.2-Factors of Productions Inputs that are necessary in creating outputs for a business.6Below are the needed production factors in the mobile-retailing industry. Examples about the Bahraini mobile-retailing shops were taken from an interview with Hassan Al-Aali, owner of a medium-sized mobile-shop, infoland-plus7. Natural resources : They are the resources that exist in nature and are necessary to produce. For a mobileretail shop, the most important natural resource is land as it is important to establish the shop or for warehousing. Gas for cars usage, for transportation. Moreover, electricity is needed to use the shop’s equipment. 8 Labors: The human efforts in the production cycle9. labor gain salaries in exchange of this effort. Medium-sized mobile-shop requires at least three workers in order to import phones: salesperson, solve customers’ problems and over all run the shop. Bahrain has a big rate of employment that can cover the need for this factor(appendix-2). 4 Scarcity.(n.d).Retrieved from: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/scarcity.asp of Municipalities Affairs and Urban Planning.(2012). Retrieved from http://websrv.municipality.gov.bh/mun/index_ar.jsp 6 Solow R.(n.d.). factors of production. Retrieved from: http://tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/introduction 5Ministry 7 AL-Ali, H.(2012). infoland-plus. Interviewed by Ali sarhan [in person] infoland-plus shop. 8Wicks,D.(n.d). Factors of Production for Retail Stores?. Retrieved from http://www.ehow.com/info_8796043_factorsproduction-retail-store.html 9 Solow R.(n.d.). factors of production. Retrieved from: http://tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/introduction Page 3 of 37 Human-capital This refers to the skills of the labor force10. Shops in this industry needs labor with multiple-skills like: sales, technological, problem-solving and customersservice skills. Moreover, labor can be divided into three groups based on skills: skilled, semi-skilled or unskilled labor. Usually small mobile-shops hire unskilled and semi-skilled labor while big mobile-retailers use mostly skilled employee. Physical-Capital The finance needed to establish the mobile-retailing shop. The capital here includes things such as building, land, employees' salaries and necessary equipment.11 Medium-sized mobile-shop usually needs minimum BHD60,000 as capital. The bigger the shop the larger the capital required. Capital can be provided by borrowing from banks; which can be done from any of the 407 banks in Bahrain.12 Entrepreneurship The entrepreneur is an innovative person who manages the factors of production, and takes risks to differentiate his business from others to make it successful13. Hasan-Alali is an entrepreneur as he manages the productionfactors in his shop, infoland-plus. He is innovative risk-taker; as he introduce the idea of home-delivery for phones from the shop to the consumers without consumers doing any effort. These ideas differentiated his shop from other shops and made it successful14. 10Wicks, D. (n.d). What Are the Factors of Production for a Retail Store?. Retrieved from http://www.ehow.com/info_8796043_factors-production-retail-store.html 11 Solow, R. (n.d.). factors of production . Retrieved from http://tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/introduction 12CCB.(2012).factsheet. Retrieved from from http://www.cbb.gov.bh/page-p-cbb_register.htm 13Solow, R. (n.d.). factors of production . Retrieved from http://tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/introduction 14 Hassan-Alali.(2012). Interviewed by: Ali-sarhan. Infoland-plus shop. Page 4 of 37 2.3-Positive VS. Normative analysis Positive Analysis It is a factual analysis. The analysis of ‘what is’ that is useful to detriment the market’s characteristics. It can be tested on a subject to prove or disprove it without any personal judgments15. The followings are positive-statements from the Bahraini mobile-retailing industry. There were 1.694mn mobile users in Bahrain at the end of 2011, up by 8% the end of 2010 and the number is expected to grow to 1,725mn by the end of 2012.16 The mobile-industry contributes with 44% of the telecommunicationindustry, which is one of the biggest Bahraini industries17. Normative Analysis It is an opinion-based analysis. It is the answer to ‘what should be’. This kind of analysis could not be proven or disproven.18 This analysis includes giving opinion on prices or quality and is useful to detriment consumers’ preferences. When mobile retailers wondering: “what phones should we provide?” a normative analysis to detriment the consumers taste. Consumers may buy phones just because of what they think is the best, like buying IPhone5 because they think apple products are the best. 2.4-Opportunity cost It is the price of the next best alternative that must be sacrificed in order to make a decision.19 For example: If infoland-plus, a mobile-retailer, decided to supply IPhone5 (BHD280) instead of supplying Samsung-galaxyS3(207BHD).20 infoland will be sacrificing the customers that could have been attracted to Samsung-galaxyS3 due to its lower prices as well as 37BHD/IPhone5 supplied. 15Ingrimyne.(n.d).Normative and Positive analysis. Retrieved from:http://ingrimayne.com/econ/Introduction/Normativ.html BMI. (2012). Bahrain Telecommunication report. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/917807356/1359F86C8A027A966EB/1?accountid=62741 17 TRA.(2011).Telecommunication indicators in the kingdom of Bahrain.Retrieved from http://tra.org.bh/en/pdf/2011TelecommunicationsMarketsIndicators-ForPublic.pdf 18 Ingrimyne.(n.d).Normative and Positive analysis.Retrieved from:http://ingrimayne.com/econ/Introduction/Normativ.html 19Economic Wisconsin.(n.d).Retrieved from: http://www.economicswisconsin.org/guide/glossary.htm 20 AL-Ali, H. (2012) infoland-plus. Interviewed by Ali sarhan [in person] infoland-plus shop.12thDecember 16 Page 5 of 37 Moreover, Batelco, a mobile-retailer recently has opened a branch in Sitra mall21. Thus, Batelco sacrificed the chances of selling more in other places. Also, Batelco is sacrificing cheaper rent in other places, since their location is in a mall which has a high rent. Batelco is also sacrificing the opportunity to invest their time and money in developing their otherbranches. 2.4.1-Production-possibility curve(P.P.C). A curve that demonstrates the maximum achievable combination of two products that can be produced with similar resources and technology22. The following is Phone-land, a mobileretailing shop, P.P.C of supplying Samsung-GalaxyS3 (supply-price: BHD 207) and SamsungGalaxy-note2 (supply-price: 215BHD) 23, with an assumed budget of 20,000BHD. In Point A, phone-land can imports 96 of GalaxyS3, by sacrificing the opportunity to import the note2. In Point B, they can import 18 of note2 and 77 of S3. Phone-land can import 48 of S3 and 47 of note 2 at point C. lastly; point D shows phone-land ability to supply 93 note2 by sacrificing supplying all units of S3. 21Batelco opens retail shop in sitra mall.(n.d.).Retrieved from:http://www.batelco.com/batelco_cms/NewsStory.aspx?nid=552 22Investopedia.(n.d).Opportunity Cost. Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/opportunitycost.asp#axzz2F6XKAiDN 23Mohamed, H. (2012) Phone-land. Interviewed by Ali sarhan [in person].Phone-land shop. Page 6 of 37 the curve can be used to understand the opportunity-cost for each choice. For phone-land to move from a choice to another, a sacrifice must be made. To move from point A to be they must sacrifice supplying 9 S2 for example. The owner said both phones are popular with his customers, so point C(supplying 50% of both phone) seems the best choice. 2.5-Demand Total quantity of products that consumers have the willingness and ability to buy, when the price increases, the quantity-demanded decrease and vice versa.24 24Investopedia.(n.d).Law of demand. Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/lawofdemand.asp Page 7 of 37 2.7.1-Demand-Shifting factors The curve can be shifted right and left by non-price affecting factors. For example:25 25Demand Shifting-Factors.(n.d).Retrived from: http://www.netmba.com/econ/micro/demand/curve Page 8 of 37 Explanation Example Income level The minimum wages has risen to BHD400 26Resulting in people When the income rises; people buy more of normal buying less of inferior(older) phones like nokiaX1-01(BHD1527) goods(demand-curve shift to the right) and less of and more of normal(newer) phones like nokiaN701(BHD11928) inferior goods(shift to the left) and vice-versa. from SharafDG Price Of related Products: Substitute If the price of one product increased or was higher than IPhone 5 (450BHD)29 and the samsung GalaxyS3(212BHD)30 are the other, the demand on its substitute will increase considerd to be a subsitutes to each other. Since the IPhone5 is and vice versa. more expensive, the demand on samsung increased31 26Hanratty, T.(2011.). Retrieved from:http://www.gulf-daily-news.com/NewsDetails.aspx?storyid=313844 from: http://www.sharafdg.com/Products/Sharaf-DG-Telecom-Mobiles-Mobile-Phones/Nokia/Nokia-X1-01-MobilePhone-Ocean-Blue-AFC/pid-206444.aspx?Rfs=&pgctl=42093&cid=CK00001449 28SharafDG.(2012). NokiaN701Retrieved from http://www.sharafdg.com/Products/Sharaf-DG-Telecom-Mobiles-Smart-Phones/Nokia/NokiaN701-Smartphone-Dark-Steel-AFC/pid-206491.aspx?Rfs=&pgctl=42093&cid=CK00001449 27SharafDG.(2012).Retrieved 29Alwasti, h.(n.d). Retrieved from http://www.alwasatnews.com/3673/news/read/704654/1.html 30El7araj. (n.d.). Samsung GALAXY SIII .Retrieved from http://el7araj.com/Samsung-GALAXY-S-3 31 Alwasti, h.(n.d). Retrieved from http://www.alwasatnews.com/3673/news/read/704654/1.html Page 9 of 37 Price of related products: complementary Two products that are commonly used together. If the Because of the huge demand on the Samsung-GalaxyS3(BHD demand on one increase, so does the demand on the 210) in phone-land32, a Bahraini-mobile retailer. The demand other. on Batelco’s macro-Simcard(2BHD33) will increase. Consumers’ preference 32Mohamed, H. (2012) Phone-land. Interviewed by Ali sarhan [in person].Phone-land shop. Batelco. (2010). Batelco introduces the MicroSim. Retrieved from http://www.batelco.com/batelco_cms/NewsStory.aspx?nid=475 33 Page 10 of 37 VIVA has Postpaid package for IPhone4S (468BHD34), which will Consumers’ tastes can be affected by external -factors increase VIVA‘s demand on IPhone4S and decrease it in that make them want to buy more(shift to the right) or package-less shop like SharfDG (246BHD35); because people less(shift to the left) of a product. prefer packages. Consumers’ expectations Info-land demand on SamsungS1(130BHD in2011) decreased Consumers will buy more of a product when as the IPhone4S was rumored to launch soon shortly they expect its price to rise in the current time afterwards. Consequently, consumers waited as they expected and less in the future and vice-versa. the S1’ price to decrease after the 4S release36 ; thus shifting the demand-curve lefty before 4S release. 34 VIVA IPhone4S.(2012). Retrieved from http://www.viva.com.bh/content/iphone-4s SahrafDG IPhone4S(2012). Retrieved from http://www.sharafdg.com/Products/Sharaf-DG-Telecom-MobilesSmart-Phones/APPLE/Apple-IPhone-4S-Smartphone-16GB-Black-SMS/pid-206502.aspx 36 AL-Ali, H. (2012) infoland-plus. Interviewed by Ali sarhan [in person] infoland-plus shop.12thDecember 35 Page 11 of 37 Population Population in Bahrain has been facing an increase since The more the population in a country is, the more 2009.37 Indicating more potential-demand on phones like demand on a product is, thus shifting the curve SharafDG’s BlackBerry-Curve9360(128BHD38), thus rightly, and vice versa shifting the curve to the right. 37 Indexmundi. (2012).Bahrain demographics. Retrieved from http://www.indexmundi.com/bahrain/demographics_profile.html 38SharafDG.(2012).BlackBerry-9363.Retrieved from:http://www.sharafdg.com/Products/Sharaf-DG-TelecomMobiles-Smart-Phones/Blackberry/Blackberry-9360-Curve-Smartphone-White-ENGARA--Tablet-Worth-AED-399-Corded-headset/pid-206496.aspx Page 12 of 37 2.6.2-Demand Movement Factors The following factors are capable of changing the quantity-demanded by affecting the price causing a movement along the demand-curve downwards(increase) or upwardly(decrease):39 Explanation Example Product’s price. Decrease in price results in increasing quantitydemand and vice-versa In infoland-plus, The price of Iphone4s (BHD500 in 2011) decreased to (BHD260 in 2012) after a year of its release because of many discounts provided to attract customers and introduction of newer phones like IPhone5. Consequently, IPhone4 Quantitydemand increased from 15 to 57 unit40 2.6-Supply It is the total quantity of products that a business has the willingness and ability to sell. The law of supply indicates that an increase in prices will increase the quantity-supplied and viceversa41 39Supply and demand.(n.d).Retrived from: http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~scholz/Teaching_101/Lecture3.pdf AL-Ali, H. (2012) infoland-plus. Interviewed by Ali sarhan [in person] infoland-plus shop.12thDecember 41 Supply.(n.d).Retrieved from: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/supply.asp 40 Page 13 of 37 2.6.1-Supply-shifiting factors Supply-curve shifts due to any non-price determinant, such as:42 Explanation Example Cost of Production An increase in the cost of production causes a decrease in quantity-supplied shifting the curve to the left and vice-versa. The rent of the commercial lands in Bahrain has decreased recently43, which will decrease the total cost in "Deep Electronics"44, a mobile retailer. Meaning more money will be available to supply, thus increasing quantity-supplied from Iphone4s (330BHD). 42Supply and demand.(n.d).Retrived from: http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~scholz/Teaching_101/Lecture3.pdf Almghan,. A. (2012). Low rents in residential and commercial properties. Al Wasat Newspaper. Retrieved from http://www.alwasatnews.com/3565/news/read/674144/1.html 43 Page 14 of 37 Prices of substitutes in production If the price of a product is higher than its substitute the supply of that substitute will decrease and vise-versa 45 Iphone5 prices are high (450BHD45) comparing to GalaxyS3 (210BHD46), retailers like elharaj will supply more from Iphone5 in order to benefit from the high price to gain moreprofit and less from the S3. Thus shifting the first’s curve to the right and the second’s to the left. Alwasti, h.(n.d). Retrieved from http://www.alwasatnews.com/3673/news/read/704654/1.html (n.d.). Samsung GALAXY SIII . Retrieved from http://el7araj.com/Samsung-GALAXY-S-3 46El7araj. Page 15 of 37 Number of Shops The more branches a supplier has in the market, the more quantity of goods will be supplied and vice-versa. Recently, VIVA opened its 18th retailing-outlet in Bahrain, each selling Samsung-GalaxyS3 (301BHD47). Therefore, they will need more of Samsung-GalaxyS3 to cover and sell them in all of their branches. Thus supply will increase. Expected future prices The prices of Samsung galaxyS3 is expected to If suppliers expected the price of a phone to drop In decrease after the release of the S4. Thus, retailers the future, they will try to sell and supply more in the will supply more of the S3 to take advantage of its present to make more profit and vice-versa current prices. 47 Samsung-galaxyS3.( 2012). Retrieved from: http://www.viva.com.bh/content/samsung-galaxy-s-iii-viva Page 16 of 37 2.6.2-supply-Movement Factors Movements along the supply-curve can be caused by changes in the price of the good itself48. Explanation Example Price of the Good An increase in the price of good increases the quantity-supplied produced, creating a movement upwards on the supply-curve. and vice-versa 48 Owner of deep electronics said that the prices of IPhone4 decreased from BHD240 after IPhone4s has been released to 220BHD so he decreased his supplies of IPhone4 and increased his supplies on IPhone4s in order to maximize his profit.49 Supply and demand.(n.d).Retrived from: http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~scholz/Teaching_101/Lecture3.pdf S. (2012, November 29). Deep Electronics Store. Personal interview. 49Abdulla. Page 17 of 37 2.6.4-Equilibrium The situation where the total quantity-demanded from consumers' equals the total quantitysupplied from sellers50. The Bahraini Mobile-retailing has perfect-competition equilibrium because it has many buyers and sellers51. A curve to represent the equilibrium can be drawn using the supply and demand curves. 50Market-Equilibrium.(n.d).Retrieved from: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/equilibrium.asp from: http://tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/competition/competition.htm 51Perfect-Competition.(n.d).Retrieved Page 18 of 37 2.6.4.1-Shortage A situation where the Quantity-demanded is more than the quantity-supplied, like the 2012 shortage of Samsung-GalaxyS3 (BHD 23052) one May,201253. 52Elgadali.(2012).Samsung-galaxyS3.Retrived from: https://bahrainforums.com/vb/%E5%E6%C7%CA%DD- %E4%DE%C7%E1%C9/971917.htm 53Waugh, R. (2012). Samsung . Retrieved from http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article- 2164994/Samsung-runs-Galaxy-S3-phones-huge-demand-Android-handset-causes-million-lost-sales-month.html Page 19 of 37 2.6.4.2-Surplus A situation where the Quantity-demanded is less than the quantity-supplied, like the 2012 Surplus of IPhone554. 2.7.4.3-Equilibrium-Shifting factors. Since the equilibrium-curve is drawn using the demand and supply curves, the factors that shifts these curves also affect the equilibrium. Demand-shifting: All The factors that shift the Demand curve, which was mentioned above, can shift the whole equilibrium. Like the effect of (Samsung-galaxyS3) a substitute of IPhone5 effect on the equilibrium. 54 Alwasti, h.(n.d). Retrieved from http://www.alwasatnews.com/3673/news/read/704654/1.html Page 20 of 37 Supply-Shifting factors Just like the demand- Shifting factors, the Supply-Shifting factors like the number of shops in the market will also affect the equilibrium. 2.8-Market structure In this section, the Bahraini Mobile-retailing market structure is going to be discussed. First, the table below shows the characteristic of the market. The table proves that the market is perfect-competition, below are detailed information for each characteristic: The number of mobile subscribers in Bahrain was 1,694,000 people in 201155. Logically, these subscribers need to buy mobile phones to be mobile-subscribers. Thus, it is safe to estimate that there are currently 1,694,000 mobile-buyers in Bahrain. There are many Mobile-retailers(sellers) in Bahrain such as: 55BMI. (2012). Bahrain Telecommunication report. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/917807356/1359F86C8A027A966EB/1?accountid=62741 Page 21 of 37 The Most famous retailers; are Batelco56 with 19 outlets that sell mobilephones, Viva57 with 18 and Zain with only 1758. Shops scattered across Bahrain, in malls such as Gossi-mall. And commercial streets like exhibition-route and jid-ali The participants in this market are price takers, which mean that a single participant cannot affect the phone-prices and take them as they are given59. meaning that Mobile-retailers cannot change their prices without affecting their demand significantly. Shops provide phones with similar characteristics but from different brands(homogenous-goods). For examples: all phones need a processor, SIM-card to function and can be used for entertainment purposes60. These homogenous phones are alternatives of each other. The most common products are IPhone, BlackBerry, Samsung, and Nokia phones. The demand in the Bahraini Mobile-retail is perfectly elastic, which means any change in price will cause quantity demanded fall to zero and The demand is infinity. Here, companies have cannot change the prices on their own, they only control the supplied-quantity61.For example, Elharaj cannot increase their Samsung-galaxyS2 price (159BHD62) without hugely affecting the demand. 56Batelco About us.(n.d).Retrieved from http://www.batelco.com/portal/pr/about_us.asp from http://www.viva.com.bh/content/about-us 58Location-finder.(n.d).Retrieved from http://www.bh.zain.com/ZainPortal/Contact_Us.jsp 57Shop-locater.(n.d).Retrieved 59Price takers. (n.d).Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pricetaker.asp 60Common mobile-characteristics.(n.d)Retrieved from: https://sites.google.com/site/knguyencs73n/thetechnology/common-phone-features 61Elasticy. (n.d).Retrieved from http://www.tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/elasticity/elastic.htm 62 El7araj. (n.d.). Samsung GALAXY SII. Retrieved from: http://el7araj.com/Samsung-GALAXY-S-2?filter_name=Samsung Page 22 of 37 There are not barriers that prevent any new company or customer from entering or exiting this market. Any customer can enter the market by going to any shop desired. Furthermore, companies can start or close a mobile-retailing business by simply importing phones and beginning to sell them after meeting the simple government requirement. The graph explains companies entry and exist points using the market equilibrium concept 63 2.9-Good-types This refer to the 4 categories of goods; normal, inferior, substitute and complementary. Normal & Inferior The demand of these types depend heavily on consumers’ income and will change when the income change with a percentage, thus they have an income-elasticity of demand64. Types Explanation Demand Elasticity (Income) Normal Goods that are new and bought more with an income Positive-Elasticity: when the average income increased to 63Barriers Examples Smasung-GalaxyS3 IPhone 4, 4s and 5 to entry. (n.d). Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/barrierstoentry.asp#axzz2DFbiFV1F 64 Riley, G.(2012)Income-Elasticity of Demand. Retrieved fromhttp://tutor2u.net/economics/revisionnotes/as-markets-income-elasticity-of-demand.html Page 23 of 37 Inferior Good Types increase, as they are more expensive than inferior goods BHD400, demand on normaltype phones increase65 Goods that are older and less expensive than normal-goods. The less income consumers have the more inferior-good they will buy66 Negative-Elasticity: Bahrainis’ have more money(income), thus they will buy less of these phones. Samsung-note2 Nokia2700,3310 Pagers Alcatel-OT209 Substitute & Complements In each type, there are two products where the demand on one will change with a percentage when the price of the other change, thus they have cross-price demand Elasticity67. Explanation Demand Elasticity (Cross-Price) Examples 65 Hanratty, T.(2011). New Minimum Wages Push For Graduates. Retrieved fromhttp://www.gulf-dailynews.com/NewsDetails.aspx?storyid=313844 66 Investopedia.(n.d.) Inferior-Goods. Retrieved fromhttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inferiorgood.asp#axzz2FLC0QEmz 67 Riley, G.(2012)Cross-Price-Elasticity of Demand. Retrieved fromhttp://www.tutor2u.net/economics/revision-notes/as-markets-crossprice-elasticity-ofdemand.html Page 24 of 37 Substitutes Goods that are similar and used instead of each other68 Positive-Cross: When the price of one of them increases, the demand on other one increases and vice-versa Complements Goods that are used, and sometime can only be used together69 Negative-Cross: If the price of one is high or increased, the demand on the other will decrease SamsungS3 Vs. IPhone5 IPhone5 and its covers Samsung-galaxyS3 and macro-sim card 2.10-price elasticity of demand A concept that measures the respond to the quantity-demanded of good to the change of its price. The elasticity can be measured with the following equation70: 68 Investopedia.(n.d.) Substitute. Retrieved fromhttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/substitute.asp#axzz2FLC0QEmz 69 Investopedia.(n.d.) Complements. Retrieved fromhttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/complement.asp#axzz2FLC0QEmz 70 investopedia.(n.d.).Demand elasticity Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/demand-elasticity.asp Page 25 of 37 This concept is applied below on Info-land plus, a mobile-retailing shop demand of SamsungGalaxyS2 between 2011-201271: Using the formula, Info-land-plus elasticity of Samsung-galaxyS2 demand is (200−120)/120) 𝑋100 Ed= (156−260)/260)𝑋100 Ed= 66.7% =1.6 −40% The demand of Samsung-galaxyS2 is elastic, because Ed is more than 1. 40% price-decrease will increase the quantity-demand by almost 67%. Meaning that 1% price-decrease will increase the quantity by 1.6%. 71 Alaali, H.(2012). Interviewed by: Ali sarhan.[in-person].InfoLand-Plus. Page 26 of 37 This elasticity can be explained with: There are many substitutes in the market most obvious is the IPhone-series. Thus, a decrease in the price lead customers to buy less from other substitutes and more of the S2. The original price of the S2 represented a big part of consumer's income. Thus when the price decreased, consumers were instantly attracted to it as its now represent a smaller portion of their income. 2.11-Price discrimination: It is selling the same product or service to different buyers at different prices. For example, "Zain" charges different installments for packages to different new customers. For students who purchase a packaged-IPhone they will pay 3 months in advance (BHD66) because their ability to pay each month is not. However, employed-Bahrainis pay 2 months in advance, because they have stable income and sure to be able to pay the bill72. Meaning that Zain, is discriminating with their prices on the basis of the ability to pay, in order to guarantee that Zain will receive a portion of the price of the package. 3.0. Macroeconomic Concept Macroeconomics is the study of the economy as a whole including its different industries; like the mobile-retailing industry, by studying concepts like Gross Domestic Products and the unemployment73 Mobiles are an important part of Bahrainis lives, and affect different aspects of their economy. The mobile industry contributes with percentage in GDP by contributing in the telecommunication-industry. The GDP was estimated by BHD9.7 billion in 201174. 4.4% or 426.8million goes to the telecommunication industry. The mobile-industry heavily contribute in the telecommunication with 44%. As a result, the mobile-retailing industry contribute with 1.936% in the GDP75, Which is about BHD187.79 million. 72 Mohamed, H. (2012). ZainBH. Interviewed by Manar Janahi [in person] Zain branch: the center. 73Macroeconomics.(n.d)Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/macroeconomics.asp#axzz2E01oeJEV 74 CBB.(2012).Facts-Sheet.Retrieved from: 75TRA.(2011).Telecommunication indicators in the kingdom of Bahrain.Retrieved from http://tra.org.bh/en/pdf/2011TelecommunicationsMarketsIndicators-ForPublic.pdf Page 27 of 37 3.1-The aggregate demand It represents the real GDP, and is the sum of 4 main components: C(consumption)+I(investment)+G(Government-spending)+NX(net-exports)76. 3.1.1-Consumption It is the total consumption of mobiles in Bahrain. Mobile consumptions has been increasing rapidly, despite a downfall between December-2010 to March-2011 where it start rising again. It has finally reached (1.6M mobile-users) in 2011. The increased consumption can be explained by the heavy competition between three of the biggest mobile-retailers in Bahrain, VIVA, Batelco and Zain. The more consumption this industry has the bigger its contribution in the GDP.77 76 Investopedia.(n.d).Retrived from: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/aggregatedemand.asp 77 BMI. (2012). Bahrain information technology report 2012. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/917807356/1359F86C8A027A966EB/1?accountid=62741 Page 28 of 37 Forecast of mobile consumptions(mobile-users) This table shows the forecast of the mobiles consumption from the end of 2012, where it will reach 1.72million users until the end of 2016 with 1.75 million users. This can be justified with the fact that there are always new innovative mobiles that will refresh the market and increase mobile consumption.78 From this forecast, it can be assumend that the mobile-industry will keep contributing in the GDP over the next 4 years, and maybe with a higher percentage. 3.1.2-Investment The increasing in mobile-consumption can decreases the savings; because consumers need more money to spend on mobiles, resulting in less-money being saved in backs and, thus less being sent to the financial sector. This resulted in the investment rate to drop to 24.6% in 2011, which is evidence from the investment-rate graph78: 78Investment-Rate.(2012).Retrieved from: http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=ba&v=142 Page 29 of 37 3.2.3-The Net Exports It is Exports minus imports79. Because of the huge mobile-consumption, Retailers had to supply more which affected the net exports negatively. This can be explained that because imports increase, the Net exports will decrease or at least not be as big as it could have been. 3.1.4-Government spending It is the Expenditures of the government80. The Bahraini-Government applies a few income-taxes on Bahrainis (1% income-tax for unemployment support)81. Moreover, when people spending increase on phones, the real value of the 1% will decrease; thus less-support for the unemployed will be spent; resulting in a negative impact on the GDP. 3.1.5-The circle of flow This circle shows how the money will float in the economy82 this graph shows the effects, positive and negative of increasing Consumption on the economy. (see next page) 79Net-Exports.(n.d).Retrieved from:http://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/netexports.asp 80Government-Spending.(n.d).Retrieved from:http://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/governmentpurchases.asp#axzz2ETxdV0Az 81Bahraini-Tax.(n.d).Retrieved from: http://www.taxrates.cc/html/bahrain-tax-rates.html 82Circular-Flow.(n.d).Retrieved from http://www.amosweb.com/cgibin/awb_nav.pl?s=wpd&c=dsp&k=circular+flow Page 30 of 37 Page 1 of 37 Page 0 of 37 3.1.6-The Aggergate-demand Curve A curve that represents the Aggregate-demand level. A rightly-shift is an economic-expansion while a lefty-shift is an economic-construction.83 Because of mobile-industry, Consumption and Net-Export have increased while the government-spending and investment rate decreased. The graph is still expected to shift rightly due to the consumption being the largest component of the GDP. 3.2-Unempolyment The growing mobile-retailing industry in Bahrain has affected the unemployment rate. The consumption leads to greater demand, which enables mobile-retailers to open new shops. In 2012, many mobile-retailing shops like Batelco84 and VIVA85, started opening new branches across Bahrain. This result in more people being employed thus decreases the employability rate. 83Aggregate-Demand curve.(n,d).Retrieved from: http://www.cliffsnotes.com/study_guide/Aggregate-DemandAD-Curve.topicArticleId-9789,articleId-9737.html 84Batelco-News.(2012)Retrieved from:http://www.batelco.com/batelco_cms/NewsStory.aspx?nid=814 85VIVa open new shop.(2012).Retrieved from: http://www.twentyfoursevennews.com/bahrain-telecom/vivaopens-a-brand-new-store-at-sitra-mall/ Page 29 of 37 Since the mobile-retailing industry will help to decrease the unemployment, these effects are forecasted: Consumers having more money More spending Better life-standers Might help Increasing the GDP might help worsen the inflation rate. Page 30 of 37 4.0-Conclusion After analyzing the mobile-retailing industry from macroeconomic and microeconomics perspective the result came as follow: The macroeconomics concepts are scarcity, mostly in land as the need is more than the available numbers. Factors of productions are natural resources(land) labor(employees), human-capital (skills), physical-Capital and a person who manages these factors(entrepreneur). Positive-analysis of this industry indicates that the number of mobileusers(1.6mm) in 2011, and normative analysis focuses on things like consumers’-preference. Opportunity cost is explained using info-land buying SamsungS3 and note2 as an example explained in details using the Production Possibility Curve. Moreover, Consumer’s Income, substitution, complementary goods, population, and future-expectations are factors that shift the demand-curve whereas good's price is a movement factor. Moreover, the supply-shifting factors are production-costs, expected future-price, number of shops, and substitute's prices while movement factors also include phones’price. The Bahraini mobile-retailing market has a perfect competition equilibrium with a shortage of Samsung-galaxyS3 and a surplus of Iphone5. The factors that cause shift in demand and supply also cause the movement of the equilibrium-curve. In addition, perfect competition means that there are many buyers and sellers, all participants are price takers and products homogeneous, demand is perfectly elastic with no market entry barriers. Moreover, There are 4 types of goods in the market. Normal(IPhone4),inferior(nokia2700), substitutes( IPhone5/Samsung-galaxyS3) and complements (Samsung-galaxyS3/macro-simcard). The demand of some phones is elastic as shown in the Samsung-galaxyS2 example. Finally, some companies like Zain is discriminating with their prices in order to guaranty receiving payments of some of their customers. On the other hand, when analyzing the market from microeconomics point of view, the mobile-market was found to hold about 1.6% contribution of the GDP. The mobilePage 31 of 37 consumption has been increasing and is forecasted to be 1.7mn by the end of 2012. This increasing consumption leads to decreasing the investment rate to 24.6% of the GDP in 2011. In addition, the real value of the 1% unemployment taxes decreased creating less investment. At the same time mobile-imports increased thus decreasing the Net-exports. The Bahraini GDP's circle of flow is thought to be experiencing an expansion, shifting the aggregatedemand curve rightly. Finally, because of the increase in consumption, retailers tend to open new branches lowering the unemployment-rate the unemployment rate in the process. Page 32 of 37 5.0-Appendices Appendix (1):mobile phone penetration 86 Appendix (2): Bahrain employment rate Bahrain employment rate 87 The graph shows the increase Bahrain has been facing in the parentage of people employed, since 2005 to 2009 where the rate decreased a bit. Nonetheless, the rate has recovered by the end of 2011. Moreover, the rate is expected to keep growing. This proves that Bahrain can provide the mobile-retailing need for employees. 8686 Alpen Capital.(2011). GCC Retail Industry. Retrieved from http://www.alpencapital.com/downloads/GCC%20Retail%20Industry%20Report%202011_1%20Nove mber%202011.pdf 87 Imra(2012).Total employment. Retrieved from: http://blmi.lmra.bh/2011/12/mi_dashboard.xml Page 33 of 37