Mike Cowdery, Corporate Electric & UCCI 1 Introduction Why engineering a sustainable future matters Energy sources Where does energy come from? Energy alternatives Renewable energy options Other alternative energy sources? Conclusions Some material courtesy Tom Murphy UCSD 2 Why engineering a sustainable future matters 3 Our per capita energy consumption is many times that of the rest of the world Most energy comes from fossil fuels - a short, finite lifetime What will our future hold? Will it be back to a simple life? Or will we find new ways to produce all the energy we want? Or will it be somewhere in the middle? energy usage Fossil fuels People, animals, firewood 2000BC 1000BC 0 1000 2000 3000 Nuclear, geothermal, solar energy OR People, animals, firewood 4000 5000 6000 year 4 1018 Joules/yr 158 Percent of Total 40.0 Coal* Natural Gas* Hydroelectric* Nuclear Energy 92 89 28.7 26 23.2 22.5 7.2 6.6 Biomass (burning)* Geothermal Wind* 1.6 0.5 0.13 0.4 0.13 0.03 Solar Direct* Sun Abs. by Earth* 0.03 2,000,000 0.008 then radiated away Source Petroleum* * Ultimately derived from our sun Courtesy David Bodansky (UW) 5 Cayman Many countries in the world lie in this quarter-circle!! 6 Energy usage Energy use is directly correlated with economic prosperity 7 8 9 Pasterze Glacier, Austria, 1874 Pasterze Glacier, Austria, 2000 10 We are borrowing money from China to buy oil from the Gulf and it all goes up in smoke! 11 Kinetic Energy: the energy of motion K.E. = ½mv2 KE of wind can be used (e.g. windmills, sailing boats, etc.) Example: wind passing through a square meter at 8 meters per second (18mph) Each second we have 8 cubic meters Air has density of 1.3 kg/m3, so (8 m3)(1.3 kg/m3) = 10.4 kg of air each second ½mv2 = ½(10.4 kg)(8 m/s)2 = 333 J 333J every second 333W per square meter (but to get all of it, you’d have to stop the wind) Stronger winds more power (~ v3) 13 14 Raising a Weight W through height h against gravity requires an energy input (work) of E = W = F ·h = mgh Rolling a boulder up a hill gives it gravitational potential energy The higher the cliff, the more kinetic energy the boulder will have when it reaches the ground mgh becomes h Conservation of energy: ½mv2 = mgh v2 = 2gh ½mv2 15 Evaporating 1g of water takes 2,250J Raising 1g of water to top of the troposphere (10,000 m, or 33,000 ft): mgh = (0.001 kg)(10 m/s2)(10,000 m) = 100 J A tiny bit of PE remains, IF rain falls on suitable terrain (e.g. higher than sea level) hydroelectric plants use this tiny left-over energy damming concentrates PE in one location 401015 W of solar power goes into evaporation Gravitational PE given to water vapor in the atmosphere (per second): mgh = (1.61010 kg)(10 m/s2)(2000 m) = 3.21014 J = 320 TW US uses only 1.25% of that available 16 Pumped storage 2012 17 A GLOBAL WAVE ENERGY RESOURCE ASSESSMENT. Andrew M. Cornett. Proceedings of the Eighteenth (2008) International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 6-11, 2008. 18 Electrostatic energy (associated with charged particles, like electrons) is stored in the atomic bonds of substances. Rearranging these bonds can release chemical energy (some reactions require energy to be put in) Typical numbers: 100–200 kJ per mole a mole is 6.0221023 molecules/particles typical molecules are tens of grams per mole several thousand Joules per gram Burning a wooden match: releases about 1055 Joules a match is about 0.3 grams Energy release >3kJ/g (3kJ/g) Burning coal releases about 20kJ/g of chemical energy Burning gasoline yields about 39kJ/g Very few substances yield over about 45kJ/g 20 CUC's power system comprised of 17 generating units (15 diesel and two gas turbine) - capacity 151.2 MW Electricity price heavily dependent upon fuel cost 21 Shale gas = natural gas formed trapped within shale formations. An increasingly important source of natural gas in the US & rest of the world. In 2000 shale gas provided 1% of U.S. natural gas production; by 2010 it was over 20% U.S. government's Energy Information Administration predicts by 2035, 46% of the US NG from shale gas. Source: New York Mercantile Exchange 22 Are fossil fuel resources finite/known?? May be too much fossil fuel - prices may be too low, not too high Availability, not cost Abundant low-cost “conventional” oil (Middle East) has limited other sources The revolution in shale gas/shale oil has been transformational in the US Is there another way forward, using cheaper gas without increasing emissions? Yes –for the next couple of decades Switching from coal to gas is cheap – & cuts emissions by roughly half! Does not solve climate change but gets emissions down much faster and cheaper than wind farms Source: BP energy outlook 2030, Jan 2012 23 Human energy derived from food (stored solar energy in the form of chemical energy). Energy sources recognized by our digestive systems: Carbohydrates: 17kJ/g (4 Cal per g) Proteins: 17kJ/g (4 Cal per g) Fats: 38kJ/g (9 Cal per g - like gasoline) A 2000 Calorie per day diet means 20004184 J = 8,368,000 J per day, corresponds to 97 Watts of power This product has 150 Calories = 636 kJ: enough to climb about 1000 meters (64 kg person) 24 Biomass: any living organism 40x1012 W out of the 174,000x1012 W incident on the earth from the sun goes into photosynthesis 0.023% this is the fuel for virtually all biological activity half occurs in oceans Compare this to global human power generation of 12x1012 W, or to 0.6x1012 W of human biological activity Fossil fuels represent stored biomass energy 1.5% Solar Energy Conversion Efficiency 25 How much land to replace US oil? Cornfield ~ 1.5% efficient at turning sunlight into stored chemical energy Conversion to ethanol is 17% efficient Growing season is only part of year (say 50%) Net efficiency ~ (1.5% x 17% x 50%) = 0.13% Need 4x1019 J/yr to replace petroleum - this is 1.3x1012 W thus need 1015 W input (at 0.13%) at 200 W/m2 insolation, need 5x1012 m2, or (2,200 km)2 of land that’s a square 2,200 km on a side 26 Einstein theory of relativity: E = mc2 Relates mass to energy one can be transformed into the other physicists speak generally of massenergy Seldom experienced in daily life directly Happens at large scale in the center of the sun, and in nuclear weapons and reactors Happens in all energy transactions, but the effect is tiny! 27 The energy equivalent of one gram of material (any composition!!) is (0.001 kg)(3.0108 m/s)2 = 9.01013 J = 90,000,000,000,000 J = 90 TJ ≡ 568,000g gasoline If one gram of material undergoes a chemical reaction, losing about 9,000 J of energy, how much mass does it lose? 9,000 J = mc2, so m = 9,000/c2 = 9103/91016 = 10-13 kg 28 4 protons: mass = 4.029 energy 4He nucleus: mass = 4.0015 Helium nucleus is lighter than the four protons! Mass difference is 4.029 4.0015 = 0.0276 a.m.u. 1 a.m.u. (atomic mass unit) is 1.660510-27 kg difference of 4.5810-29 kg multiply by c2 to get 4.1210-12 J 1 mole (6.0221023 particles) of protons 2.51012 J typical chemical reactions are 100-200 kJ/mole nuclear fusion is ~20 million times more potent! 29 Energy reaching the Earth’s atmosphere is 174 x 1015W → 89 x 1015W at surface Compare to total energy production on earth of 3.31012 W Even a small fraction of could solve world energy problems! Single-crystal silicon: η~15–18% expensive (grown as big crystal) Poly-crystalline silicon: η~ 12–16% cheaper (cast in ingots) Amorphous silicon (non-crystalline) η~ 4–8% “thin film”, easily deposited on a wide range of surface types Max. Si PV efficiency around 23% We’ve now seen all the major energy alternatives: kinetic energy (wind, ocean currents) gravitational PE (hydroelectric, tidal, wave) chemical energy (batteries, food, biomass, fossil fuels (incl. shale gas)→ heat energy (power plants)) mass-energy (nuclear sources, sun’s energy) radiant energy (solar energy) WHAT WORKS HERE? 32 Renewable = anything that won’t be depleted sunlight (the sun will rise again tomorrow) biomass (grows again) hydrological cycle (will rain again) wind (sunlight on earth makes more) ocean currents (driven by sun) tidal motion (moon keeps on producing it) geothermal (heat sources inside earth not used up fast) 33 Current electricity cost in GC is about CI$0.35 per kWh PV output: assume 5 hours peak-sun equivalent per day = 1800 h/y one Watt delivers 1.8 kWh in a year installed cost is CI$5 per peak Watt capability panel lasts at least 25 years, so 45 kWh for each Watt of capacity CI$0.111/kWh Assuming energy inflation a few % per year, payback is ~ 6 years thereafter: “free” $$ up front = loss of investment capability Cost today is what matters to many 34 The sun is not always shining! 100% energy availability is not fully compatible with direct solar power Hence large-scale solar implementation must address energy storage techniques small scale: feed solar into grid & let other power plants take up slack Methods of storage: conventional batteries (lead-acid) exotic batteries (need development) hydrogen production (consume later, transport) Pumped storage/global electricity grid? (not for Cayman) 35 OTEC uses heat stored in ocean waters The temperature of the water varies: top layer normally warmer than that nearer the bottom Works best when there is at least 20°C difference This ΔT often found in tropical areas Closed cycle uses low-boiling point fluid (e.g. ammonia) Warm ocean water is pumped through a heat exchanger to vaporize the fluid Energy extracted in a turbine Cold water pumped through a second heat exchanger to condense vapor to be recycled through the system 36 About 1/3 of US annual energy usage for transportation Gasoline is a good fuel Around 40kJ/g engine efficiency only around 20% Problems with ethanol (from corn) Solar cars are impractical, at 1–2 horsepower Electric cars need batteries (but can use solar as a source of electricity) batteries store only 0.14 to 0.46 kJ/g some gain in fact that conversion to mechanical is 90% efficient Desperately need a replacement for portable gasoline 37 2012: Legislation changed HSEVs now available (e.g. Wheego) meeting US crash-test standards 14 businesses have signed letters of intent for solarpanel powered EV stations Cayman Automotive + UGO Stations + Corporate Electric working on installation plan Equipment required: Solar panels, inverter and charger etc. Mounting, installation & infrastructure Energy exchange with electricity grid Sunshine = power generation to car charger or send electricity grid Car charging: from solar electricity or grid Vehicle energy costs (Grand Cayman experience): Gasoline: 22mpg @ $6/gallon = 27c/mile = $2430/y Mains electricity: 14kWh, 40 miles = 12c/mile = $1080/y Electric (solar): 0c/mile = $0/y Technical ▪ Type 1, 2 or 3 – charge times ▪ Power source ▪ CUC ▪ Renewable – solar/wind Mechanical/structural ▪ Withstand to natural and man-made hazards Aesthetics Local or remote PV array Harmonisation with surroundings Nuclear energy Fission Fusion Fission energy release: 85%: kinetic energy of fission products (heat) 15%: ke of neutrons + radiation energy (γ) Energy release: E = mc2 1g equivalent: 21.5 kilotons of TNT 568,000 USG of gasoline 42 Structure of the atom Nucleus ▪ Protons ▪ Neutrons Electrons 43 44 45 Modern small reactors: Simple design; Mass production economies; Reduced siting costs. High level of passive or inherent safety Many safety provisions necessary in large reactors are not necessary in the small designs. Hyperion: Uranium-nitride fuelled, leadbismuth cooled small reactor 70 MWt, 25 Mwe Claimed to be modular, inexpensive, inherently safe, and proliferationresistant. Could be used for heat generation, production of electricity, and desalination. 46 47 Do nothing Maintain dependence on diesel, gasoline Use more natural gas - rely on shale gas/oil from overseas Global warming? Become more energy-independent Economy benefits Renewables: solar, OTEC Transportation: electric vehicles ▪ Solar-assisted? Nuclear: Small modular reactor technology 48 Energy cost Energy security of supply Environment & climate change Land use Safety Waste Employment 49