AMERICAN EXECUTIVE TAX AND FINANCIAL SERVICES DECEMBER NEWSLETTER Volume 1 Issue 6 American Executive Tax and Financial Services December Newsletter 2013 Retail Sales impacts on weekend turnout. For LSA Weekly many retailers, almost half of Retail sales rose +0.4% for October, annual sales are brought in during which exceeded expectations of a the holiday season, which explains +0.1% increase. Removing the the intense scrutiny. usually volatile automobile, Thanksgiving dinner, 5:00 AM Friday morning, or at a more reasonable hour. It’s also a good assumption that online activity will continue to take market share from traditional brick-and-mortar retailing. This had been a major gasoline and building materials shift with booksellers and components pushed the gain up to electronics stores, but has moved to +0.5%, which also outperformed other items as well. the consensus forecast of +0.3%. The monthly results were led by a On the positive side, household +1.3% increase in auto/auto parts deleveraging has continued this sales. year, and while domestic credit card As we look at the upcoming debt had fallen to the lowest levels Thanksgiving weekend and since before the crisis, it appears to important ‘Black Friday’ first Overall, though, general levels of have bottomed and began to holiday shopping day, there is the employment, wealth and consumer increase again in 2013—which usual worry about shopper confidence play among the biggest implies more spending could be behavior, to the point where roles in how retail sales turn out— happening. But, it may be too early likely this sentiment will matter to expect any Christmas miracles temperature and precipitation forecasts are reviewed for possible quite a bit more relative to whether Old Navy opens during just yet. AMERICAN EXECUTIVE TAX AND FINANCIAL SERVICES DECEMBER NEWSLETTER | Issue 5 Business Inventories LSA Weekly Business inventories rose +0.6% for September, which surpassed the forecasted +0.3%. which subtracted a few basis points from the final figure. Apparel prices also fell, but this isn’t unusual month-to-month and could be holiday-related. Year-over-year, the headline and core inflation measures gained +1.0% and +1.7%, respectively, which, of course, are well under the 2 Jobs LSA Weekly Initial jobless claims for the Nov. 16 ending week fell to 323k, from a revised 339k the prior week, and better than the 335k estimate. Continuing claims for the Nov. 9 week came in close to unchanged at 2,876k, and a bit higher than the 2,870k expected. Fed’s stated target of 2%-plus. Housing LSA Weekly This includes the full total for manufacturing, wholesale and retail inventory amounts (the latter provided the biggest boost). As this is a September number, it may play into a revised GDP figure for the third Existing home sales came in at 5.12 million units for October, which fell short of the 5.14 million expected—a monthly decline of -3.2% versus -2.9% as implied from the expected number and represented the lowest level since June. quarter. The September Job Openings and Labor Consumer Price Index Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed a larger LSA Weekly number of job openings than expected, at The October release of the Consumer 3,913k vs. a forecasted number of 3,850k, Price Index showed a drop of -0.1%, which is a new post-recession high point. versus expectations of no change. Additionally, the hiring rate ticked up by a It wasn’t a surprise considering the stacked-up trend of pending sales weakness over the last several months. Sales of single-family units fell just over - Ex-energy and food core CPI gained +0.12%, which was just a few hundredths over the forecasted increase of +0.1%. The headline number was largely affected by an almost-2% drop in energy prices, while the core figure was affected by a 3% drop in away-from-home lodging, 4%, which was partially offset by a +3.3% gain in condos/co-ops. Year-over-year, the series is still up +6%. Months supply remains at about 5 months. tenth to 3.4%—notably in professional/business services as well as leisure/hospitality—although it’s still low on a relative level compared to past cycles. The layoff/discharge rate also rose a tick, but the total separation rate and quit rate were unchanged. The level of job openings remains high relative to the unemployment rate, which is another item likely weighing on the FOMC. AMERICAN EXECUTIVE TAX AND FINANCIAL SERVICES DECEMBER NEWSLETTER | Issue 5 Nifty Holiday Idea: 5. Cover a tray with baking paper. Make these awesome and tasty little 6. Spray your hands with canola spray and shape the Cheerios mixture into cones and place on the tray. candied Christmas trees that everyone will love. 7. Place in the freezer for 20 minutes to firm up. 8. Remove and decorate with red and green M&M's and place a gumball on top. The trees will still be sticky enough for the decorations to adhere but you may need to use a little icing to stick the gumball on. 3 November brought on hunting season and 4-wheeler fun! If you all saw me on the weekends, you wouldn't recognize me, speeding through the trails of the forest! Our entire family rides, and we have much fun in the woods. We are gearing up (haha) for a lot more riding during these next few cooler months. I would like to wish all of you a very Merry Christmas, may you enjoy your friends, family and have as much fun as possible. We are planning many things for 2014, and expect American Executive to experience much growth to better serve our clients! Happy New Year! I've already started my list of resolutions.....;-) Ingredients: 3 cups marshmallows 3 tbsp butter Green food coloring 3 cups Cheerios Mini M&M's ( just the red and green ones) Gumballs Canola spray 1. In a bowl, place the marshmallows and butter together and melt in the microwave on high for 40 seconds. Melisa’s Corner 2. Mix well with a spoon. 3. Add green food coloring until you have the color you like. 4. Pour Cheerios into the marshmallow mix and stir well to coat. Leave to cool until the mixture becomes tacky. You may need to put it in the fridge if it is a warm day. Seasons Greetings to all! I hope everyone enjoyed our Annual Client Appreciation Extravaganza, we pulled off another successful night of fun and good food! I enjoyed being with all of my extended family as I do each year. We are already looking forward to next year and the planning has started!- Securities offered through Investors Capital Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. 6 Kimball Lane, Lynnfield MA, 01940 800.949.1422. Advisory services offered through Investors Capital Advisory The market commentary articles provided were generated by LSA Portfolio Analytics (‘LSA Weekly’) and do not necessarily represent the views of the named representative or named Broker dealer. AMERICAN EXECUTIVE TAX AND FINANCIAL SERVICES DECEMBER NEWSLETTER | Issue 5 Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. 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