INTERNATIONAL TRADE UNIT 14 Exports and Imports as a Percentage of U.S. Gross Domestic Product Exports, Imports and the Balance of Trade IMPORTS > EXPORTS = TRADE DEFICIT IMPORTS < EXPORTS = TRADE SURPLUS USA has a TRADE DEFICIT! Other have a TRADE SURPLUS! Exports, Imports and the Balance of Trade Current Balance of Trade INTERNATIONAL TRADE: WHY TRADE IN THE FIRST PLACE? ADVANTAGES OF TRADE This is a theory. COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: The theory of Comparative Advantage explains why it can be beneficial for two countries to trade. A country may be able to produce more of an item because it trades with another country. Basically, since the country does not have to use resources to produce two goods for the nation, it can focus solely on one good and trade for the other good. EXAMPLES: USA (cars) and Costa Rica (fruits) Japan (electronics) and USA (raw materials) ADVANTAGES OF TRADE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: The theory of Comparative Advantage explains why it can be beneficial for two countries to trade. DVD Players Personal Computers UK 20 5 Japan 40 20 Total Output 60 25 Before-Specialization ADVANTAGES OF TRADE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: The theory of Comparative Advantage explains why it can be beneficial for two countries to trade. DVD Players Personal Computers UK 40 0 Japan 24 28 Total Output 64 28 After-Specialization ADVANTAGES OF TRADE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: The theory of Comparative Advantage explains why it can be beneficial for two countries to trade. After-Trade UK Japan Total Output 18 DVD Players Personal Computers 22 6 42 22 64 28 6 ADVANTAGES OF TRADE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: Before-Specialization UK Japan Total Output After-Trade UK Japan Total Output DVD Players 20 40 60 Personal Computers 5 20 25 DVD Players 22 Personal Computers 6 42 64 22 28 ADVANTAGES OF TRADE ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE: This is a statement! A country has an Absolute Advantage if it can produce MORE of the good than another country can, with less resources. EXAMPLE: France can produce 10 liters of wine in 30 hours. Italy can produce 10 liters of wine in 20 hours. Italy has an absolute advantage over France. EXAMPLE: Philippines can produce clothing with less resources (money) used than the USA. Philippines has an absolute advantage over the USA in clothing production. WHY WE TRADE SUMMARY There are two ways to compare the ability of two countries that produce a good. 1. The country that can produce a good with a smaller quantity of inputs has an absolute advantage. 2. When two countries both produce items for the propose of trading with each other and this results in a less opportunity cost due to specialization, these countries have a comparative advantage. 4 BARRIERS TO INTERNATIONAL TRADE INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS 1.) TARIFFS: A tariff is a tax placed on imports (goods coming into the country). It must be paid before goods can be taken off a ship. (makes foreign products more expensive) The down-side: Who is hurt by tariffs? US consumers of Foreign products Good source of income for government. So if the government wants to PROTECT DOMESTIC (US) businesses, what should it do to this tariff? ANSWER: They should increase it because this makes it LESS PROFITABLE buying from oversea producers. Very Dangerous! This action by the US producers & consumers will be more government is also known likely to get goods from DOMESTIC (USA) as a PROTECTIONIST PRODUCERS. TRADE POLICY INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS 2.) QUOTA: (or maximum amount) A quota has the same effect on imports. Instead of imposing a tax on imports the government sets a LOW quota on imports/exports. So, only a limited amount of imports can come into/out of the country. So if the government wants to PROTECT DOMESTIC businesses, what should it do to this quota? ANSWER: They should decrease it because this makes a limited amount of imports in the country, which will increase the price of those imports. Very Dangerous! This action by the government is also known as a PROTECTIONIST TRADE POLICY INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS Other Barriers to Trade: OPEC: Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Cartel Members: Algeria, Angola, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Venezuela OPEC enforces Production Quotas on member countries. What would this do to the $ of oil when production quotas are set low and demand is high? INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS Price is USD per barrel of oil OPEC: Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Year Adjusted for Inflation Price 1946 1958 1966 1974 1980 1992 1998 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 17.26 21.83 20.06 39.77 95.50 28.81 15.35 27.29 28.10 36.05 50.64 61.08 67.23 145.75 INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS 3.) EMBARGOS: An embargo shuts down all imports from a country. Instead of imposing a tax on imports the government sets a quota (or maximum amount) on imports. So, only a limited amount of imports can come into the country. EXAMPLE: CUBA & USA So if the government wants to PROTECT DOMESTIC businesses, should it enact an embargo? ANSWER: No because this will cause less competition since there are fewer imports, thus possibly increasing the price of domestic items. Americans will reduce spending and domestic businesses may suffer. This action by the government is also known as a PROTECTIONIST TRADE POLICY 4. Standards/Quality Some nations will only accept goods meeting a certain quality into their country This may limit trading partners Examples– U.S. doesn’t want leadbased painted toys, Germans are selective of beer imports, England will only accept grass-fed beef HOW TO PROMOTE FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE? FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE In order to eliminate barriers to trade such as tariffs & quotas countries will establish trade organizations and charge less (or no) tariffs and set no quotas. Such as NAFTA North American Free Trade Agreement (Formed in 1993) What’s the Next Big Thing? Free Trade Area of the Americas FTAA 1. Mexico 2. Canada 3. USA FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE Free Trade Area of the Americas: FTAA Antigua and Barbuda Bahamas Barbados Belize Bolivia Canada Colombia Costa Rica Dominica Dominican Republic Ecuador El Salvador Grenada Guatemala Guyana Panama Paraguay Peru Saint Kitts and Nevis Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Suriname Trinidad and Tobago United States Uruguay Haiti Honduras Jamaica Mexico Nicaragua All the above are countries that have expressed interest in the FTAA. FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE E.U. (European Union) is a trade organization. FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE A.S.E.A.N is a trade organization. Association of Southeast Asian Nations FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE W.T.O is a trade organization. World Trade Organization INTERNATIONAL TRADE In-class Questions 1. What is the advantage of NAFTA or ASEAN? • Free trade can increase the flow of goods from other countries, giving consumers more LOWER PRICE choices. 2. What is a disadvantage of no tariffs? • No tariffs might result in hurting US producers. If consumers can now get cheaper goods from another country, then they will not buy US goods. 3. Who is hurt by tariffs? • Foreign companies that operate in the US (Nissan) • US consumers who like foreign products (and also domestic products) EXCHANGING CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES: The exchange rate between two currencies shows how much one currency is worth in terms of the other. For example an exchange rate of 120 Japanese Yen to the U.S. Dollar means that ¥120 is worth the same as $1. How does this relationship affect trade? EXAMPLE QUESTION: Over the course of one year, the Japanese Yen depreciates compared to the Euro. Which two groups of people would benefit the most from this occurrence? A European consumer of European goods B Japanese consumers of European goods C European consumers of Japanese goods D Japanese consumers of Japanese goods EXCHANGING CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES: QUESTION: What country (America or Mexico) would benefit from a appreciated (strong) U.S. dollar? ANSWER: If the U.S. dollar is appreciated, this means that American goods and services are more expensive to Mexico. At the same time, making Mexican goods cheaper to U.S. consumers. So this decreases spending on U.S. goods and decreases American GDP. More US spending will go to the cheaper Mexican products because your money goes further in Mexico. MEXICO COULD BENEFIT! EXCHANGING CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES & THE STRONG DOLLAR PROBLEM 1) What is a “strong dollar”? The value of the dollar is appreciating. ..or the value of the dollar rises compared to other currencies. …or more foreign currency is necessary to purchase U.S. dollars. 2) Who is aided by a strong US dollar? Strong US dollars would lower fuel prices, but more money would flow out of the US. U.S. CONSUMERS because the prices of foreign goods and services are lower since the US Dollar goes further in terms of foreign currency. 3) Who is hurt by a strong US dollar? U.S. PRODUCERS because they can’t compete with lower-priced foreign products. U.S. EXPORTERS because they can’t compete with lower-priced imports. Weak US dollars would promote foreign investment in America and more countries would buy US products. What we find is that a WEAK dollar can be a good thing. CALCULATING EXCHANGE RATES Let’s say you traveled to Japan and took $500 in U.S. currency. When you exchanged the $500 in Japan, you would receive about… $500 x 118.96 = 59,480 ¥ Let’s say you traveled to US and took £550 pounds. When you exchanged the £550 pounds in US, you would receive about… £550 x 2.0292 = $1116.06 CALCULATING EXCHANGE RATES Let’s say you traveled to Japan and took £8000 pounds. When you exchanged the £8000 in Japan, you would receive about… £8000 x 2.0292 = $16,233 $16,233 x 118.96 = 1,931,077 ¥ CALCULATING EXCHANGE RATES Price of a D.S. in Japan is about 6,000 yen. What would be the price if you could buy it in US dollars? Average Price in US dollars $130.00 6,000¥ x .0084 = $50.00 CALCULATING EXCHANGE RATES SIMPLE FORMULA: PRICE OF FOREIGN ITEM EXCHANGE RATE COMPARED TO USD Colombian Peso Good or Service Price in Foreign Currency USD in Foreign Currency Price in U.S. Dollars Nike Shoes 95,000 Colombian pesos 2,362.28 $40.16 Jeans 45,000 Colombian pesos 2,362.28 $19.05 10k Gold Necklace 8,000 Colombian pesos 2,362.28 $3.89 Wisdom Teeth Removal 420,000 Colombian pesos 2,362.28 $177.82 5500 total square foot Home in downtown Colombia with pool 1,016,750,000 Colombian pesos 2,362.28 $430,461.47