Three Approaches to the Presidency Historical Institutional Character 1. Historical Historical: Presidential Power Historical: Eligibility Who can be president? 2. Institutional Approach Basic Structure US Constitution Executive Legislative Judicial Cabinet-Style Government (standard organizational structure) President Secretary of… Secretary of… Secretary of… Deputy Sec of… Undersecretary of… Undersecretary of… Assistant Secretary of… Assistant Secretary of… Assistant Secretary of… Career vs. Appointee Transition 2000-2001 Clinton W Career Advisors to the President 3. Character Character: The Good Character: The Bad Character: The Ridiculous What decides the outcome of a President’s attempts to pass legislation or to get his agenda implemented? Persuasion-Bargaining Model The individual President matters Success or failure in the presidency is idiosyncratic What matters? • The President’s character • The President’s political skill and strategy • The President’s intelligence • The President’s imagination Institutional Model The individual President does not matter Success of failure in the presidency is based on institutional and historical forces What matters? • The political pressures on the president • The institutional relationships of the US government (Congress, Depts, lobby groups) • Party control of the executive and legislative branches • The historical context Cycles of Political Time 3. Politics of Disjunction 1. Politics of Reconstruction 2. Politics of Articulation The New Deal Order 3. Carter 1977-81 1.FDR 1933-45 2. LBJ 1963-69 Key Issues 1. 2. 3. Presidential Domination Institutional Environment Cycles of Presidential Power 1. Presidential Domination Lincoln Memorial Jefferson Memorial Mt. Rushmore FDR Memorial Speaker of the House Monument? 2. Institutional Environment People Federal Judiciary State Courts Media Congress State Governments President Time Bureaucracy 3. Cycles of Presidential Power LBJ/Nixon Reagan Carter/Ford Bush 43 Bush 41/Clinton Early Debates on the Executive Hamilton Presidential power Madison checks and balances Creating the Executive Articles of Confederation US Constitution The Federalist Papers Anti-Federalist Papers Enough Intro… Design of the US Government Articles of Confederation US Constitution Executive Legislative Judicial Institutional Powers Article One: Congressional Powers Declare War Raise and support armed forces Regulate armed forces Senate: approve executive branch officials Senate: advise and consent on treaties Tax and Spend money Article Two: Executive Powers Make treaties Appoint officials and ambassadors Commander-in-chief of armed forces Supreme Court Judicial Review Marbury V. Madison 1803 John Marshall, Chief Justice 1801-1835 Executive Orders By President since FDR Lincoln’s Emancipation Proclamation 9/22/62 FDR’s Orders 1937 Carter creates FEMA 7/20/79 Bush creates HSC and OHS 10/8/01 Bush Military Order on Unlawful Enemy Combatants 11/13/01 Obama Executive Order on Immigration 11/20/14 Choosing a President Electoral Votes 12th Amendment Election Results Electoral College Rules Electoral College Number of electoral votes: 538 • Number of House of Reps seats Based on population • Number of Senate seats Two per State State wide elections Winner of state vote gets electoral votes Winner needs 270 Actually Electing the President 2012 November 6, 2012—Election Day: The voters in each State chose electors to serve in the Electoral College. December 17, 2012—Meeting of Electors: The electors in each State met to select the President and Vice President of the United States. December 26, 2012—Deadline for Receipt of Electoral Votes: Federal and State officials had to have the electoral votes in hand. January 4, 2013—Electoral Votes Counted in Congress. Electoral Votes 2008 Electoral College 2016 Red States 2016 (180 EV) Blue States 2016 (215 EV) Swing States (143 EV) 2012 Results (332-206) Obama Victory Problems? 1824 1876 1888 2000 US Election Atlas Before the 12th Amendment