Texas Municipal League Houston October 2014 John L. Crompton University Distinguished Professor and Regents Professor Texas A&M University Benefits Related to Economic Prosperity Attracting tourists Attracting businesses Attracting retirees Reducing taxes Enhancing real estate values Segments of Travel and their Inter-relationship with Parks and Recreation Recreation and Park Attractions in a Jurisdiction Opportunities for Local Residents Pleasure Travel – Sphere of Interest Tourism Conference and Convention Travel Business Travel Visiting Friends and Relatives – Personal Business Recreation and park attractions NOT operated by a public agency POPULATION Ability to Travel Interest in Travel INFORMATION AND PROMOTION TRANSPORTATION ATTRACTIONS POPULATION Ability to Travel Interest in Travel INFORMATION AND PROMOTION TRANSPORTATION ATTRACTIONS Arts Heritage Places Parks Recreation Arenas Other Theaters, Art Galleries, Museums, Performing Groups, Music Concerts Ethnic Cultural Places, Shrines/Churches, Historical Sites and Structures, Educational Instructions, Industry Factory Tours National, State, Regional, Local, Beaches, Theme Parks Events and Festivals, Aquatic and Coastal Areas, Outdoor recreations (e.g. camping, fishing, hunting), golf, tennis, skiing, sailing, softball), Fitness and Wellness Centers College Sports, Professional Franchises, Concerts and Exhibitions Gambling Places, Cruise Ships POPULATION Ability to Travel Interest in Travel INFORMATION AND PROMOTION TRANSPORTATION ATTRACTIONS AN ATTRACTION IS NOT, IT BECOMES IT NEEDS A TOURIST A SIGHT A MARKER which provides information about a sight A MARKER could be a guidebook, slide show, information tablet, travelogue, etc. Context 1810 players on 133 teams participated in the tournament. All were from out-oftown. Because it was an elimination tournament, the length of time that the teams stayed in the community varied from 4 to 7 nights. 697 players’ parents were interviewed. Financial Data Income: Entry fees $300 x 133 $39,900 Tournament costs and staff time $119,617 Net loss ($79,717) Economic Data Total expenditures in the local area by the 1810 players and their family/friends $2,039,000 Economic impact on sales $3,731,000 Economic impact on income $1,162,000 Return on investment For each dollar invested, residents’ income increased by $14.58 (1,162,000/79,717). Facility cost $12 million; payback period to residents is 10 tournaments of this size. The Conceptual Rationale For Undertaking Economic Impact Studies FINISH Inflow of Revenues For community residents who pay taxes START Community residents & visitors pay taxes Creating income and jobs in the community Outflow of Funds To a city council Which uses them to subsidize development of recreation programs and facilities Who spend money in the local economy That attract outof-town visitors “The stadium would generate $238 million a year in economic impact in Arlington and $416 million a year in Tarrant County.” (City of Arlington: ERA) “A new Cowboys Stadium would bring in $346 million a year to Dallas County.” (A property development company) “The City of Irving, if a new stadium were built, would see an annual economic impact of approximately $51 million.” (City of Irving; Turnkey Sports) “The best outcome Arlington can expect is that it will lose $290.5 million as a result of the building of a new stadium for the Cowboys…The loss for arlington could be as high as $325.3 million.” (Those opposed to public funding for the stadium; Rosentraub and Swindell) Supporters’ Budget $10,000,000 Supporters’ Budget ◦ Plus In-Kind Services $10,000,000 Supporters’ Budget $10,000,000 ◦ Plus In-Kind Services Opponents’ Budget $45,000 Supporters’ Budget $10,000,000 ◦ Plus In-Kind Services Opponents’ Budget ◦ Passed 53% - 47% $45,000 Consultants protect their reputation by 1. Extensive Caveats We have not audited or verified any information provided to us and as such will take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information which was provided by third parties…Some assumptions inevitably will not materialize and unanticipated events and circumstances may occur; therefore actual results achieved during the analysis period may vary from those described in the report, and the variations may be material Consultants protect their reputation by 2. Using assumptions needed to get the desired result It should be noted that the analysis utilizes assumptions that were developed based on our market analysis, surveys with comparable arenas, hypothetical lease terms, and conditions and assumptions provided by the City and the developer. Park Name County Total missing Usable Usable Local Usable non-local Usable non-local day visitor Usable non-local overnight visitor Balmorhea Reeves 119 9 110 1 109 19 90 Big Bend Ranch Presidio & Brewster 230 32 198 4 194 41 153 Brazos Bend Fort Bend 459 42 417 99 318 194 124 Caprock Canyons Briscoe 279 17 262 1 261 102 159 Choke Canyon Live Oak 359 102 257 18 239 125 114 Daingerfield Morris 514 35 479 89 390 130 260 Davis Mts./Indian Lodge Jeff Davis 496 117 379 1 378 84 294 Dinosaur Valley Somervell 531 13 518 2 516 433 83 Eisenhower Grayson 573 44 529 68 461 71 390 Enchanted Rock Gillespie & Llano 1,335 109 1,226 16 1,210 967 243 Fort Richardson Jack 425 12 413 8 405 30 375 Galveston Island Galveston 322 28 294 16 278 129 149 Garner Uvalde 1,511 189 1,322 10 1,312 200 1,112 Goliad Goliad 475 16 459 7 452 310 142 Hueco Tanks El Paso 333 21 312 149 163 112 51 Inks Lake Burnet 454 107 347 18 329 46 283 Lake Bob Sandlin Titus 269 7 262 21 241 39 202 Lake Corpus Christi San Patricio 493 59 434 36 398 82 316 Lake Livingston Polk 125 8 117 7 110 13 97 Lake Mineral Wells Parker 503 61 442 90 352 83 269 Lake Ray Roberts Cooke & Denton 851 92 759 250 509 227 282 Lake Somerville Burleson & Lee 363 26 337 26 311 95 216 LBJ Gillespie 418 75 343 2 341 341 N/A Martin Dies Jasper 284 19 265 7 258 8 250 Palo Duro Canyon Armstrong & Randall 449 25 424 78 346 202 144 Pedernales Falls Blanco 538 32 506 2 504 135 369 Seminole Canyon Val Verde 271 17 254 11 243 81 162 Tyler Smith 607 37 570 115 455 123 332 WOB Washington 61 12 49 2 47 47 N/A 13,647 1,363 12,284 1,154 11,130 4,469 6,661 Total Appropriate decisions Inappropriate decisions Park name Per person per day expenditures Annual Expenditures Per person per day expenditures Annual expenditures % by which inappropri ate decisions exceed appropriate decisions Daingerfield $11.24 $332,750 $19.03 $933,897 181% Dinosaur Valley $12.61 $1,434,940 $23.70 $2,696,704 88% Enchanted Rock $25.13 $6,215,438 $60.73 $15,020,018 142% Garner $33.55 $13,339,963 $77.76 $30,923,109 132% Goliad $13.37 $593,784 $21.27 $944,367 59% Lake Corpus Christi $20.82 $1,344,096 $31.31 $2,021,173 50% Lake Ray Roberts $16.98 $11,811,373 $151.19 $105,141,261 790% Pedernales Falls $19.66 $2,954,198 $270.83 $40,689,600 1,277% Tyler $31.13 $3,486,834 $57.31 $6,419,026 84% Number of day visitors <69,000 Local ratio of day visitors <10.5% Local ratio of day visitors >10.5% Number of day visitors >69,000 Group (1) Group (2) Big Bend Ranch Complex Caprock Canyon Choke Canyon Davis Mountains/Indian Lodge Goliad Seminole Canyon Balmorhea Dinosaur Valley Enchanted Rock Garner Inks Lake Pedernales Falls Ray Roberts complex Washington on the Brazos Day visitors : $23.40 Overnight visitors : $15.39 Day visitors : $28.03 Overnight visitors : $12.63 Group (3) Group (4) Eisenhower State Park Daingerfield Fort Richardson Hueco Tanks Lake Bob Sandlin Lake Livingston Lake Mineral Wells Martin Dies, Jr. Brazos Bend Galveston Island Lake Corpus Christi Lake Somerville Lyndon B. Johnson Palo Duro Canyon Tyler Day visitors : $16.22 Overnight visitors : $11.88 Day visitors : $35.80 Overnight visitors : $15.74 Table. Classification of 29 parks by local ratio and number of day visitors Number of day visitors <69,000 Local ratio of day visitors <10.5% Park name Caprock Canyons & Trailways Colorado Bend Devil's River Devil's Sinkhole Fort Leaton Kickapoo Cavern Lake Tawakoni Lost Maples Old Tunnel Possum Kingdom Estimated per person per day expe nditure Day visitors : $23.40 Overnight visitors : $15.39 Number of day visit ors >69,000 Day visitors : $28.03 Overnight visitors : $12.63 Abilene Local ratio of day visitors >10.5% Park name Estimated per person per day expenditure Atlanta Bastrop Blanco Bonham Caddo Lake Cleburne Cooper Lake Copper Breaks Fairfield Lake Falcon Fort Boggy Fort Parker Franklin Mountains Goose Island Government Canyon Hill Country Lake Arrowhead Lake Brownwood Lake Colorado City Lake Livingston Lake Whitney Lockhart Martin Creek Lake Meridian Mission Tejas Monahans Sandhills Monument Hill/Kreische Brewery Mother Neff Palmetto Purtis Creek San Angelo SP San Jacinto Battleground and Monument Sea Rim Sheldon Lake South Llano River SP Stephen F. Austin Village Creek WBC/Bentsen-Rio Grande WBC/Estero Llano Grande WBC/Resaca de la Palma Wyler Tramway Day visitors : $16.22 Overnight visitors : $11.88 Battleship Texas Big Spring Buescher Cedar Hill Guadalupe River/H oney Creek Huntsville Lake Casa Blanca McKinney Falls Mustang Island Day visitors : $35.80 Overnight visitors : $15.7 4 Parks attract non-resident visitors to the area These visitors spend money in the local area This new money creates income and jobs for area residents Example of a Park as an Economic Engine Mustang Island State Park (145,711 visitor days) Salaries and operating expenses $809,500 Revenue $632,000 Net Loss $177,500 BUT 49% of visitor days (i.e. 71,566) are from outside the county and on each visitor day they spend $9.76 each outside the park but inside Nueces County i.e. &678,500 BUT 49% of visitor days (i.e. 71,566) are from outside the county and on each visitor day they spend $9.76 each outside the park but inside Nueces County i.e. &678,500 New money into the county: $809,500 + $698, 500 $1,508,000 Impact on sales (1.71): $1,384,000 + $1,190,000 $2,574,000 Impact on personal income: $753,000 + $631,000 $1,384,000 Impact on employement: 25 jobs + 21 jobs Average pay for each job is $30,088 46 jobs So Every $1 of net state funds invested in Mustang Island State Park yields $7.83 in income for Nueces County residents ($1,384,000/$177,500) The cost to the state of each job created is $3,850 ($177,500/46 jobs) Analogous to retail stores Investment in services and amenities More Visitors More Per Capita Expenditures More Jobs and Income to Local Residents Benefits Related to Economic Prosperity Attracting tourists Attracting businesses Write down the place you would like to live, given your druthers (i.e., your preferred place, ignoring practical concerns such as a job, family, language, and heritage). Write down the place you would like to live, given your druthers (i.e., your preferred place, ignoring practical concerns such as a job, family, language, and heritage). Write in one sentence, why you picked that place. Write down the place you would like to live, given your druthers (i.e., your preferred place, ignoring practical concerns such as a job, family, language, and heritage). Write in one sentence, why you picked that place. More than 80% of participants will cite some park, recreational, cultural, or environmental ambiance dimension in their responses. Business Relocation Context More than 10,000 economic development groups are competing to attract businesses. Footloose Industries “Information Factories” whose main asset is highly educated professional employees. Drivers Beyond a threshold salary level, people are persuaded to relocate by quality of life factors rather than money. Drivers Beyond a threshold salary level, people are persuaded to relocate by quality of life factors rather than money. No matter how “quality of life” is defined, parks, recreation, and open space are part of it. Drivers Beyond a threshold salary level, people are persuaded to relocate by quality of life factors rather than money. No matter how “quality of life” is defined, parks, recreation, and open space are part of it. There are no great cities in this world that do no have a great park (recreation and culture) system. Drivers Beyond a threshold salary level, people are persuaded to relocate by quality of life factors rather than money. No matter how “quality of life” is defined, parks, recreation, and open space are part of it. There are no great cities in this world that do no have a great park (recreation and culture) system. “Disamenity compensation” – companies located where there is only mediocre quality of life have to pay higher wages to attract the same quality work (and vice-versa). Comparison of the Perceptions of the Relative Importance of General Elements in Location Decisions Between Decision Makes in Large and Small Companies Elements Small Company Means (n=38) Large Company Means (n=42) Government Incentives 3.9 14.2 Quality of Life 33.3 14.7 Labor 10.3 24.0 Proximity to Customers 28.4 11.6 Operating Costs 17.2 24.3 Transportation 6.7 7.7 Comparison of Perceptions of the Relative Importance of Quality-of-Life Elements in Location Decisions in Large and Small Companies Elements Small Company Means (n=38) Large Company Means (n=42) Primary/Secondary Education 19.4 18.0 Recreation/Open Spaces 26.4 12.1 Cost of Living/Housing 23.0 34.5 Personal Safety/Crime Rate 12.9 13.2 Cultural Opportunities 10.6 9.5 Health/Medical Services 7.1 9.2 Significance Most new business growth comes from small companies. 90% of businesses in the U.S. employ 10 or fewer people. Small business owners often “satisfice” rather than “optimize” their profit potential. People working in high tech companies are used to there being a high quality of life in the metropolitan areas in which they live. When we at Dell go and recruit in those areas, we have to be able to demonstrate to them that the quality of life in Austin is at least comparable or they won’t come. It’s not just about salary. It’s about what’s the community like where I’m going to live. - Vice President, Dell Corp., Austin Parks and Recreation: An Indicator Species American Heritage Dictionary: “The presence, absence, or relative well-being in a given environment is indicative of the health of its ecosystem as a whole.” Benefits Related to Economic Prosperity Attracting tourists Attracting businesses Attracting retirees Target Market Growing number of Retired Active Monied People In Excellent Shape Target Market Growing number of Retired Active Monied People In Excellent Shape G.R.A.M.P.I.E.S. Economic Impact Annual inflow of 100 retired households with $40,000 annual income = a new $4 million annual “payroll” “You are what you were, yesterday.” GRAMPIES Are an Appealing Economic Target Market Because: Social Security and Private Retirement incomes are stable – not subject to the vicissitudes of economic business cycles “Positive” taxpayers i.e., generate more tax revenue than the cost of serving them (e.g., schools, criminal justice) Contribute to development of the health care industry Volunteer pool – active in churches, service organizations, and philanthropic organizations Stimulate housing and retail, but do not put pressure on local job markets or social services Key Requirement Amenity rich community especially recreation: socialization; active lifestyle Survey: 270 Recently Relocated GRAMPIES in the Lower Rio Grande Valley Top 3 out of 40 reasons for moving away from the previous residence were: Desire to live in a more recreationally enjoyable area Desire to get away from cold weather Desire to live in a place where recreation opportunities are plentiful Benefits Related to Economic Prosperity Attracting tourists Attracting businesses Attracting retirees Reducing taxes Conventional wisdom is that development is the “highest and best use” of vacant land for increasing municipal revenues. Developers claim their projects “pay for themselves and then some” BUT Conventional wisdom is that development is the “highest and best use” of vacant land for increasing municipal revenues. Developers claim their projects “pay for themselves and then some” BUT If a private company had a business plan that looked only at revenues and ignored costs, it would be quickly out of business. Why should the public tolerate such one-sided accounting by local governments? Fiscal impact analyses frequently demonstrate that the public costs associated with new residential development exceed the public revenues that accrue from it. BECAUSE The people who reside in developments require services. IN CONTRAST Fiscal impact analyses frequently demonstrate that the public costs associated with new residential development exceed the public revenues that accrue from it. BECAUSE The people who reside in developments require services. IN CONTRAST Natural parks and open space require few public services – no roads, no schools, no sewage, no solid waste disposal, no water, and minimal fire and police protection. 1. Allocate total municipal expenditures into service categories and assign them to selected land use categories (Residential, Commercial/Industrial, Farm/Forestry/Open Space) 1. 2. Allocate total municipal expenditures into service categories and assign them to selected land use categories (Residential, Commercial/Industrial, Farm/Forestry/Open Space) Categorize municipal revenues by sources and allocate them to the selected land use categories 1. 2. 3. Allocate total municipal expenditures into service categories and assign them to selected land use categories (Residential, Commercial/Industrial, Farm/Forestry/Open Space) Categorize municipal revenues by sources and allocate them to the selected land use categories Compare revenues to expenditures for each land use category $1.40 $1.20 $1.00 $0.80 $0.60 $0.40 $0.20 $0.27 $0.00 Commercial & Industrial $1.40 $1.20 $1.00 $0.80 $0.60 $0.40 $0.20 $0.27 $0.35 $0.00 Commercial & Industrial Farm/Forest Open Space $1.40 $1.20 $1.16 $1.00 $0.80 $0.60 $0.40 $0.20 $0.27 $0.35 $0.00 Commercial & Industrial Farm/Forest Open Space Residential For years residents have been assured by growth boosters that the solution to a community’s tax problems is to increase the tax base. Most accept this and believe that growth is the basis of prosperity. Benefits Related to Economic Prosperity Attracting tourists Attracting businesses Attracting retirees Reducing taxes Enhancing real estate values 1,300 acres total 150- acres for a golf course Cost of golf course development = $4 million 1,300 acres total 150- acres for a golf course Cost of golf course development = $4 million College Station sub-division lots = $30,000 Pebble Creek averages 3 lots per acre Golf course replaced 450 lots 450 lots at $30,000 = 13.5 million 1,300 acres total 150- acres for a golf course Cost of golf course development = $4 million College Station sub-division lots = $30,000 Pebble Creek averages 3 lots per acre Golf course replaced 450 lots 450 lots at $30,000 = 13.5 million Total cost of the golf course - $17.5 million Pebble Creek lots = $40,000 on average ($10,000 more per lot because of golf course) Pebble Creek lots = $40,000 on average ($10,000 more per lot because of golf course) 1,150 remaining acres X 3 lots per acre = 3,450 lots 3,450 x $10,000 premium = $34.5 million Nash established as the central principle of his plan: “that the attraction of open Space, free air and scenery of Nature, with the means and invitation of exercise on horseback, on foot and in Carriages, shall be preserved in Marylebone Park, as allurements or motives for the wealthy part of the public to establish themselves.” At Regent’s Park, Nash brought to the urban landscape the principles of picturesque landscapes that had been developed by Capability Brown in country estates half a century earlier, and his erstwhile partner Humphry Repton