The World Bank Group 1st Contractual Savings Conference The EU Solvency Margin for Life Insurance Michael Thom Washington, 2 May 2002 Slide 1 Presentation Outline • The Europe Union & Insurance • The European Commission and the basic EU Prudential Framework • The EU Solvency Margin Regime • Solvency I • Solvency II • Conclusions Slide 2 The Europe Union & Insurance Slide 3 Slide 4 EE LV LT PL CZ SK HU SL RO BG Slide 5 CYP in millions (2000) 378 293 126 EUR 15 USA JAPAN Slide 6 x 1000 ha 937,260 323,620 37,780 EUR 15 USA JAPAN Slide 7 INSURANCE PREMIUM (mUSD 1999) 500000 450000 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 EU USA LIFE JAPAN ROW NON-LIFE Slide 8 EU INSURANCE PREMIUM / GDP 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 Slide 9 EU INSURANCE INVESTMENTS / GDP 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 Slide 10 The European Commission and the basic EU Prudential Framework Slide 11 20 Members Right of Initiative Executive Power Guardian of the Treaties Slide 12 European Commission Key objective : • Creation of a single market Classic reasons: • Economic efficiency • Increased choice and quality, • lower prices Slide 13 Basic Prudential Framework Three Generation of Life & Non-Life Directives: • • • • the single licence exclusive home country control for prudential matters freedom of establishment & provision of services minimum harmonisation and mutual recognition of supervisory / prudential standards Slide 14 Basic Prudential Framework • no economic needs test • no prior approval of premia or premia changes • no prior approval of policy conditions CONCLUDE: most open liberal system in world Slide 15 Basic Prudential Framework – – – Prudential supervision: sole responsibility of the home Member State, who shall require sound administrative and accounting procedures and adequate internal control mechanisms of the company, and Slide 16 Basic Prudential Framework Respect of common EU financial rules covering: fit & proper managers (premiums) technical provisions investment rules solvency margin Slide 17 The EU Solvency Margin Regime Slide 18 Rule of Law / Fit & proper managers Liabilities Assets Solvency Margin Technical Provisions Investment Rules Adequate premiums Slide 19 Fit & Proper Managers • Fitness : formal qualifications, experience • Propriety: financial position, absence of criminal record, questionable business practices • Very important • Managers can react long before supervisors Slide 20 Technical Provisions • Meet all liabilities at all times (as far as can be reasonably foreseen) • prudent • more developed for life Slide 21 Technical Provisions- Life • Must establish sufficient technical provisions • prospective actuarial basis • prudent valuation (claims and expenses) • all options - (guaranteed surrender values) • reference rate of interest - (60% state bond; portfolio rate) Slide 22 Investment Rules (ALM) • Assets covering technical provisions take account of : – – – type of business need to secure safety, yield, marketability requirement to be diversified and adequately spread Slide 23 Investment Rules (ALM) Assets covering technical provisions: • list of admissible assets (marketable securities, land, buildings, tax recoveries, salvage, rent, etc.) • prudently valued • derivatives: – – only to reduce risk / manage portfolio in relation to underlying assets Slide 24 Investment Rules (ALM) Assets covering technical provisions: • max 10% in one piece of land or building • max 5% in single bond, share, debt, etc. • max 5% in unsecured loans, – 1% single unsecured loan • max 3% in cash • max 10% in unregulated market securities Slide 25 Investment Rules (ALM) Assets covering technical provisions: • no obligation to invest in particular assets (but Member States may limit) • EU localisation (EU risks matched by EU assets) • Currency matching max 20% non-currency congruence (Euro always congruent) Slide 26 The EU Solvency Margin Slide 27 Solvency Margin: Basic definition: “ assets of the undertaking free of any foreseeable liabilities less any intangible items” Slide 28 Solvency Margin: Eligible Items • • • • • Paid-up share capital (contributions) 50% of unpaid capital ( after 25% paid) Free reserves Profits carried forward Cum. pref. Shares / subordinated debt (max 50%) – less • Intangibles Slide 29 Solvency Margin: Eligible Items • Hidden reserves (unrealised gains) plus Life: • max 50% future profits, max 10 years Slide 30 Solvency Margin Requirement- LIFE Technical Provisions (TP) Investment risk (4% of 2000) No inv. risk (1% of 2000) & >5 yr. expense guar. - 80 20 ------100 reinsurance reduction Total x85% 85 Slide 31 Solvency Margin Requirement- LIFE Capital at risk Sum assured Technical provisions capital at risk (x0.003) reinsurance reduction solvency margin requirement 10 000 4 000 6 000 18 x50 % 9 Slide 32 Solvency Margin Requirement- LIFE • Technical provisions • Capital at risk • Total 85 9 94 Slide 33 The guarantee fund Equals a third of solvency margin required but subject to a minimum guarantee fund: class 9 and 17 1-8, 16, 18 10-13, 15 14 Life mEURO 0.2 mEuro 2.0 0.3 0.4 1.4 0.8 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 Slide 34 What happens when things go wrong ? • Staged approach • If actual solvency margin < required solvency margin • then company must submit for approval a plan for the restoration of a sound financial position Slide 35 What happens when things go wrong ? • If actual solvency margin < guarantee fund, • then short-term finance scheme for approval • supervisor may restrict or prohibit free disposal of assets • supervisor may take all measures necessary to protect insured (idem if technical provisions not covered) • must inform other Member States • who may take the same measures Slide 36 What happens when things go wrong ? • if technical provisions not covered • supervisor may also take all measures necessary to protect insured Slide 37 SOLVENCY I Slide 38 • EU solvency margin system is • • • • • Simple Robust Easy to understand and use Inexpensive to administer Has worked well in practice Slide 39 97 Commission Report • Present scheme has proved satisfactory • Certain weaknesses in specific cases • Main alternatives not demonstrably superior • Avoid unnecessary cost to industry Slide 40 SOLVENCY I : Main themes • • • • • • Level of harmonisation Minimum guarantee fund Special supervisory powers Reinsurance “Class enhancement approach” Miscellaneous Slide 41 1. Level of harmonisation • Minimum or full ? – Not clear • Now clearly minimum harmonisation – – – in practice mirrors banks, investment firms subsidiarity principle Slide 42 2. Minimum guarantee fund • Unchanged since 1973 (non-life) 1979 (life) • Impact of inflation on claims and expenses class 9 and 17 1-8, 16, 18 10-13, 15 14 Life mEURO 0.2 mEuro .0 0.3 0.4 1.4 0.8 2.0 2.0 3. 2 0 3.0 3.0 3.0 Slide 43 3. Special supervisory powers • When policyholders rights are threatened, supervisors may take early intervention • Supervisors can: – – – require financial recovery plan require higher solvency margin revalue downwards all solvency margin items Slide 44 4. Reinsurance • Max. reduction of 50% retained • Calculated over last 3 years • Decrease reinsurance reduction if: – – nature or quality of reinsurance programme changed no significant risk transfer Slide 45 5. Class enhancement approach • Problem for long term, long tail risks • Third index not a solution – indiscriminate, perverse • Keep simplicity of current method • but increase current solvency margin for “risky” classes of business. Slide 46 6. Miscellaneous Future profits : • Currently • Propose“ max. 50% for max. 10 years 50% “ “ 6 “ but – actuarial report – no double counting with hidden reserves • But…….only up to 2009 Slide 47 6. Miscellaneous Unit-linked business- Life • where no investment risk • where expenses not fixed for more than 5 years • Required solvency margin = 25% of relevant overheads Slide 48 • Strengthens solvency margin requirement • Important- more competition in future – – (tariff liberalisation, new distribution channels, euro, further consolidation and integration, “shareholder value”) (reduced investment profits) Slide 49 Implementation Timetable • • • • 14 Feb 2001 Adoption by Council & EP 20 March 2002 Publication in OJ 20 Sept 2003 In force 2002-2007 Transitional period Slide 50 SOLVENCY II Slide 51 Solvency II Solvency I good, but………. • • • • Size effect (law of large numbers) ? Volatility of different risks ? Diversification ? Quality of internal controls & risk management ? Slide 52 Solvency II Solvency II Consider overall financial position of insurer examining ………. Slide 53 Solvency II • • • • • • • • Technical provisions Assets Asset liability management reinsurance Solvency margin methodology Accounting and actuarial Internal risk models Role for rating agencies ? Slide 54 Solvency II OBJECTIVES : • Protect policyholders • Comparability, transparency and coherency (creating level playing field) • Solvency margin better matched to true risks • Avoid undue complexity Slide 55 Solvency II OBJECTIVES (cont.) : • Reflect market developments (ART, derivatives, ALM • Establish principles, not excessively prescriptive • Where possible, common accounting policies • Avoid unnecessary capital costs to industry Slide 56 Solvency II : WORK ORGANISATION • Close cooperation with Member States • Solvency subcommittee of Insurance Committee - Two working groups (non-life & life) • EU Conference of Insurance Supervisors – Working group on insolvencies and “near misses” • International Co-operation, IAIS Slide 57 Solvency II: WORK ORGANISATION • Commissioned external consultants report on “Methodologies to assess the overall financial position of an insurance undertaking from the perspective of prudential supervision” • Regular input from insurance business, actuaries and other interested parties • Visits to major EU insurers and reinsurers (Internal Models) Slide 58 Solvency II TWO STEP APPROACH • First phase: preparatory discussions leading up to a decision on the general layout of a future EU solvency system. • Second phase: further work to elaborate detailed solutions, draft regulatory texts and field-testing Slide 59 Solvency II No decisions yet ; lots of QUESTIONS: • What risks should be taken into account? • What rules should apply to technical provisions? • How to include asset risk more explicitly? • What about operational risk and other business risks? Reinsurance risk? • What risks can and should be quantified? • What other risks are better dealt with in a more qualitative way “second pillar”? Slide 60 CONCLUSIONS • Existing solvency margin : simple, robust, worked well, but • Solvency I : significant package of improvements • Solvency II : ambitious, long term project reviews overall financial position Slide 61 Michael THOM, Principal Administrator and Secretary of the EU Insurance Committee Insurance, Financial Institutions, Internal Market DG European Commission 200 rue de la Loi, B-1049 Brussels, Belgium (C107 1/62) +32-2-296.6068 Fax +32-2-299.3075 E-mail Michael.Thom@cec.eu.int Internal Market DG site: http://europa.eu.int/comm/dgs/internal_market/index_en.htm Slide 62 • The END Slide 63 EXTRA: INSURANCE GROUPS Slide 64 Introduction • Increasing number of insurance groups – – – Mergers and Acquisitions Globalisation Financial Services Integration Supervisory question • If each part is OK, is the group OK? Slide 65 Some problems • Supervision at level of individual insurance company ( ‘solo’ level) Apparently satisfactory situation for: • solvency margin (capital adequacy) • assets and liabilities • but…………….. Slide 66 Insurer A Liability 40 cap 1000 TP 1040 Assets 1000 40 (inv. B) 1040 actual solvency margin = 40 = required solvency margin Slide 67 Insurer B Liability 40 cap 1000 TP 1040 Assets 1040 1040 actual solvency margin = 40 = required solvency margin Slide 68 double gearing problem (B is a 100% subsidiary of A) InsurerA A Insurer Liability Assets 40 cap 1000 TP 1040 Insurer B Assets Liability 1000 40 cap 40 (inv B) 1000 TP 1040 1040 1040 1040 actual solvency margin = 40 = required solvency margin Slide 69 double gearing problem (B is a 100% subsidiary of A) Consolidated A & B Liability 40 cap 2000 TP 2040 Assets 2040 2040 actual solvency margin = 40 required solvency margin =80 !!! Slide 70 Intra-Group Transactions Similarly can circumvent asset or liability rules for insurer A by ‘hiding’ in insurer B through intra-group transactions e.g. loans or guarantees Slide 71