Module 19- Equilibrium By J.A. SACCO Equilibrium • Recall- Intersection of demand and supply • * More complicated because of the two aggregate supply curves- but the concept is the same • If the price level – Excess quantity of real goods/services. AS>AD Result is suppliers drop the price which will create greater quantity of aggregate demand 3 Equilibrium LRAS SRAS Price Level 140 At price level 140 AS>AD and the price level falls. 120 100 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 8 9 10 Equilibrium • If the price level -Quantity of AD would be greater than quantity of AS. AD>AS Result is because of the shortage buyers will bid up price which will result in suppliers increasing the quantity supplied. 5 Equilibrium LRAS SRAS Price Level 140 At price level 100 AD>AS and the price level increases. 120 100 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 8 9 10 6 Equilibrium LRAS SRAS Price Level 140 At price level 120 AD=AS. 120 100 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 8 9 10 Two Types of Equilibrium • What is the state of the economy in the model to the right? • What is meant by long run equilibrium? Draw an example? • What is meant by short run equilibrium? Draw an example? • Which equilibrium is most important? If the economy is at full equilibrium, this doesn’t mean the economy will stay there . Economic “shocks” occur that may shift the curves. Consequences of Changes in Aggregate Supply and Demand 8 • Shift in curves. The effect is the price level or real GDP may change or both. • Gives insight into inflation or recessions. • Aggregate Demand Shock ▫ Any shock that causes the aggregate demand curve to shift inward or outward. • Aggregate Supply Shock ▫ Any shock that causes the aggregate supply curve to shift inward or outward. How does this effect the economy? Consequences of Changes in Aggregate Supply and Demand • Contractionary Gap/Recessionary Gap ▫ Exist whenever the equilibrium level of real national income is less than the full-employment level The Effects of Stable Aggregate Supply and a Decrease in Aggregate Demand: The Contractionary Gap Price Level LRAS 120 SRAS E1 Contractionary Gap 115 E2 AD1 AD2 0 7 6.5 6.8 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) Consequences of Changes in Aggregate Supply and Demand • Expansionary Gap/Inflationary Gap ▫ Exist whenever the equilibrium level of real national income is greater than the fullemployment level The Effects of Stable Aggregate Supply and an Increase in Aggregate Demand: The Expansionary Gap Price Level LRAS SRAS 120 E1 AD1 0 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) The Effects of Stable Aggregate Supply and a Increase in Aggregate Demand: The Expansionary Gap Price Level LRAS SRAS 120 E1 AD2 AD1 0 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 7.6 The Effects of Stable Aggregate Supply and a Increase in Aggregate Demand: The Expansionary Gap LRAS SRAS E2 Price Level 125 120 E1 AD2 AD1 0 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 7.2 7.6 Expansionary Gap Explaining Inflation: Demand-Pull or Cost-Push? • Demand-Pull Inflation ▫ Inflation caused by increases in aggregate demand not matched by increases in aggregate supply ▫ Whenever the general level of prices rise because of continual increase in AD ▫ Could occur when the amount of money in circulation increases faster than the growth of the economy The Effects of Stable Aggregate Supply and an Increase in Aggregate Demand: Demand-Pull Inflation 16 LRAS SRAS E2 Price Level 125 120 E1 AD2 AD1 Demand-Pull Inflation 0 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 7.2 Intersection of AD2 and SRAS shows an increase in the price level. 17 Explaining Inflation: Demand-Pull or Cost-Push? • Cost-Push Inflation ▫ Inflation caused by a continually decreasing shortrun aggregate supply curve. ▫ Caused by an increase in costs of inputs which decreases SRAS. STAGFLATION! The Effects of Stable Aggregate Demand and a Decrease in Aggregate Supply: Supply-Side Inflation 18 LRAS SRAS2 SRAS1 Price Level E2 125 120 E1 Cost-Push Inflation 0 6.8 7 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) AD1 19 The Oil Price SRAS shifted due Shock of leftward the 1970s to the restrictions Price Level placed on the supply of oil to the U.S. LRAS SRAS2 SRAS1 E2 120 115 E1 AD1 0 2.8 3.0 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 20 The Oil Price Shock of the 1970s • Question ▫ What would have happened to the LRAS if the price of oil had remained permanently high?