21 International Financial Management Chapter McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter Outline • The multinational corporation. • Effect of exchange rates. • Hedging and reduction of foreign exchange risk. • Evaluating political risk in foreign investments. • Ways of financing international operations. 21-2 Introduction • Integrated global economy and increased interdependence. • Trade Organizations and removal of trade barriers: WTO, NAFTA. • Enhanced prospects for international understanding. • Role of world politics in economic development. 21-3 Growing Interdependency • Integrated nature of capital markets – Possible declines beyond the expected economic impact of an event. • Currency markets – Impact trade between nations affecting sales and earnings of international companies. • The advent of Euro. – Impact on earnings of U.S companies doing significant business in Europe. 21-4 One Euro to the U.S. Dollar and the British Pound 21-5 International Sales of Selected U.S. Companies 21-6 The Multinational Corporation: Nature and Environment • A firm doing business across its national borders. • Can take on various forms. – Exporter. – Licensing Agreements. – Joint Venture. – Fully Owned Foreign Subsidiary. 21-7 The Multinational Corporation: Nature and Environment (cont’d) • Exporter – Least risky method. – Reap of benefits of foreign demand. – No long-term investments commitment required. • Licensing Agreements – License granted to an independent, local manufacturer. – Returns include licensing fee or royalty. – Effective exporting technology. 21-8 The Multinational Corporation: Nature and Environment (cont’d) • Joint Venture – Established with a local foreign firm. – Most conducive environment - legal, political and economic. • Fully owned foreign subsidiary – Higher risks and complexities of operation. – Lowers portfolio risk of the parent corporation. – More profitable than domestic firms. – Decisive factor in shaping the pattern of trade, investment, and the flow of technology. 21-9 Factors Influencing Exchange Rates • The currencies of major trading partners of the United States are traded in free markets. – Exchange rate is determined by the supply of, and demand for, those currencies. – This activity is subject to intervention by many countries’ central banks. 21-10 Exchange Rates to the Dollar 21-11 Other Factors Influencing Exchange Rates • Inflation: – Purchasing power parity theory: • Exchange rates vary inversely with their respective purchasing powers. • Provides the same or similar purchasing power in each country. • Interest rates: – Interest rate parity theory: • The interplay between interest rates differentials and exchange rates. 21-12 Other Factors Influencing Exchange Rates (cont’d) • Balance of payments: – Government accounts that catalogue flow of economic transactions between countries. • Trade surplus and trade deficit. • Government policies: – Intervention in the foreign exchange market. – Maintenance of undervalued currency. – Currency values set by government decree. – Restriction of the inflow and outflow of funds. – Monetary and fiscal policies. 21-13 Other Factors Influencing Exchange Rates (cont’d) • Other factors: – Extended stock market rally. – Significant drop in demand for a nation’s principal exports globally. – Political turmoil in a country . – Widespread labor strikes. 21-14 Spot Rates and Forward Rates • Spot rate – Exchange rate at which the currency is traded for immediate delivery. • Forward rates – Trading of currencies for future delivery. – Reflects the expectations regarding the future value of a currency. • Discount or premium: – Expressed as an annualized percentage deviation from the spot rate. 21-15 Cross Rates – Key Currency Cross Rates as of February 21, 2006 21-16 Managing Foreign Exchange Risk • Foreign exchange risk – Possibility of a drop in revenue or an increase in cost in an international transaction due to changes in foreign exchange rates. • Free trading - freely floating rate system. – Increased volatility forced the attention towards foreign exchange risk management. • Exchange risk of a multinational company: – Accounting or translation exposure – Transaction exposure 21-17 Translation Exposure • MNC’s foreign assets and liabilities are exposed to losses and gains due to changing exchange rates. • The SFAS 52: – Requires all foreign currency-denominated assets and liabilities to be converted at the rate of exchange. – Partially reduces the impact of accounting exposure. 21-18 Transaction Exposure • Foreign exchange gains or losses resulting from international transactions. – Volatility of reported earnings per share increases. – Different strategies can be used to minimize transaction exposure: • Forward exchange market hedge. • Money market hedge. • Current futures market hedge. 21-19 Other Forms of Protection against Foreign Exchange Risk • MNC’s have developed foreign asset management programs, involving strategies: – Switching cash and other assets into strong currencies. – Piling up debt and other liabilities in depreciating currencies. – Quick collection of bills in weak currencies by offering sizable discounts, while extending liberal credit in strong currencies. 21-20 Foreign Investment Decisions • Factors encouraging foreign affiliates: – Avoid the imposition of trade barriers. – Lower production costs overseas. – American technology enabled exploitation of resources in developing countries. – Advantages related to taxes. – Motivation of working in a oligopolistic industry. – International diversification of risks. 21-21 Risk Reduction from International Diversification 21-22 Foreign Investment Decisions (cont’d) • Deterrents: – Government interference by imposition of unfriendly foreign exchange restrictions. – Limitation of foreign ownership to a small percentage. – Repatriation of a subsidiary’s profits to the parent firm may be blocked temporarily. – Government may expropriate the foreign subsidiary’s assets. 21-23 Guarding Against Political Risk • Investigate the countries political stability methods include: – Establish a joint venture with a local entrepreneur. – Establish a joint venture with firms from other countries. – Insurance against perceived political-risk level can be obtained. • Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC). • Insurance or political-risk umbrella is not cheap. 21-24 Financing International Business Operations • Credit sales are influenced by: – Relationship of the parties involved. – Political stability of countries involved. • Risk of nonpayment induces importer’s banks to issue letter of credit. – Credit risk to exporter is absorbed by the importer’s bank. – Exporters requiring cash payment or a letter of credit generally loses out on further orders. 21-25 Financing International Business Operations (cont’d) • Alternatives to avoiding loss of business: – Obtaining export credit insurance. • The Foreign Credit Insurance Association (FCIA) provides this kind of insurance. 21-26 Funding of Transactions • Eximbank (Export-Import Bank) – Direct loan program. – Discount program. • Loans from the parent company. – Parallel loans. – Fronting loans. • Eurodollar loan – US dollars deposited in foreign banks. – Lending rates based on London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). 21-27 Funding of Transactions (cont’d) • Eurobond market – Issues are sold in several national capital markets. – Widely used currency – U.S. dollar. • International equity markets – Companies are listed on major stock exchanges. – Issue American Depository receipts (ADRs). • The International Finance Corporation (IFC) – Approached by companies facing issues with raising equity capital in a foreign country. 21-28 Some Unsettled Issues in International Finance • Nature of financial decisions for an MNC are complex: – Access to more sources of funds than a purely domestic corporation. – Interest rates and market conditions may differ. – Corporate financial factors may differ. – Control over financial decisions is a factor. – Dividend policy decisions may be influenced by foreign government regulations. 21-29 Cash Flow Analysis of a Foreign Investment 21-30