What is the Balance of Payments? All monetary transactions between a country and the rest of the world are recorded in its balance of payments. This financial document records flows of money into a country (credits) and money paid overseas (debits). The Current Account The current account is one section of the balance of payments and measures net trade in goods and services and transfers/income flows. Trade in goods (visible trade) includes: manufactured goods, semi-finished goods, components, energy products, raw materials and consumer and capital goods Trade in services (invisible trade) includes banking and insurance, consultancy, tourism, transport and shipping, education and cultural arts Balance of trade = exports of goods – imports of goods If the revenue from goods exported exceeds expenditure on imported goods then there is a balance of trade _______________ If the expenditure on imported goods exceeds the revenue from exported goods then there is a balance of trade _______________ Net Income Flows = these consist of dividends, interest and profits flowing into and out of the country as a return on investment. For examples, profits earned by a U.S. firm based in China that are sent back to U.S. would be accounted for in Income flows (as a credit entry in USA’s current account and debit in China’s current account. Net Transfers/current transfers = these include international transfers of money by private individuals and firms when no goods or services change hands. For example, wages sent back to the UK/Korea by an expatriate working in China Current Account Balance = balance of trade + balance on services + net incomes flows + net transfers TASK: Complete the table below recording whether each transaction represents an inflow (credit) or outflow (debit) of money for China’s current account and what section each transaction should be recorded in. Credit or debit French supermarket buys Chinese made toys Fillipino working in Shanghai sends wages home A Chinese resident earns interest on a bank account in the US Chinese citizen studies in Oxford Chinese firm buys copper from Zambia Chinese company pays a Korean company for shipping Chinese firm exports solar panels to UK American tourist pays to walk on the Great Wall American tourist gets a tattoo of the Great Wall while in Beijing General Motors sends profits made in China back Balance of trade (goods) balance in services Net Income Flow Net Transfer to US 1. Which of these transactions represents visible and invisible exports from the UK, and visible and invisible imports to the UK? Visible export Visible import Invisible export Invisible import 2. Calculate the balance of trade and invisible balance from the following figures: Does a balance of trade deficit matter? A balance of trade deficit usually occurs when a country _________ more goods than it __________. This may not be a problem if the country has a large surplus in its balance on services. However, If it persists for many years it could indicate problems with the competitiveness of a country’s industries. Domestic firms may be unable to compete with cheaper and better _____________ imports and exporting firms may suffer from a similar fate abroad. A persistent current account deficit can lead to a fall in output for domestic firms and therefore an increase in ____________________ as the firms have to lay people off. It can also lead to a fall in the value of the country’s currency as the supply of currency will increase due to more imports coming into the country (see later). Correcting a current account deficit 1. Do nothing- the lower exchange rate will fix it The immediate effect of depreciation is to make exports cheaper in terms of foreign currency, while imports become more expensive in terms of the home currency. Example: A pair of Doc Marten shoes (British product) cost £30 in the UK. A Ford Mustang (American product) costs $30,000 in US. Doc Martens are exported to USA and Ford Mustangs exported to UK. The British government wants to correct a trade deficit with the US so it allows the Pound to depreciate. Exchange rate Before depreciation After depreciation £1 = $2 £1 = $1.80 Price of Doc Martens in USA Price of Ford Mustang in UK A lower exchange rate should cause imports into the UK to become relatively more _____________ leading to fewer _________ from the U.S. On the other hand, UK exports become ___________ and the UK should be able to export more goods and services. 2. Import controls/protectionism There are a variety of methods, including for example ________ and ________, which can be used to limit imports and direct demand to home produced goods and services.