Monetary Policy 2%? The “Fed” Janet Yellen nominal Interest Rate Price level If there is a RECESSION MS will be increased. DI MS MS2 1 8% 8 6% 6% 4% 4 0 DM Buy Money Market AD AD 1 2 0 Investment Demand QID1 QID2 AS I want a job as a Rockette PL2 PL1 E2 E1 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF THE U.S. Real GDP Buy Bonds MS YR I.R. Y* QID AD Y/Emp/PL Price level If there is INFLATION, MS will be decreased. Nominal Interest Rate “It’s cheaper to burn money than wood.” 10 Dm Bonds 8% 6 6% Sell Money Market AS AD2 AD1 0 like “money trees” QID2 QID1 E1 PL1 PL2 MS Investment Demand 10% E2 Y* YI FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF THE U.S. Sell MS2MS1 8 0 DI I.R. QID AD Y/Empl./PL Economy’s Speed Limit at Full Employment is 4%, instead of 2.5%. Can sustain a much greater increase in AD if the AS curve is also shifting to the right, due to increasing productivity. In the early 90’s, at FE, 2.5% was the speed limit. AS shifted slowly due to low productivity. PL2 Increasing productivity of the PL3 PL late 90’s allowed more 1 growth PL1 at full employment. AD AD2 AS AS 2 1 1 So, at FE, the “goldilocks economy” has expanded. 0 2.5% Y*1 Y2 Y3 Real GDP If The Economy Is Exceeding The FE GDP Speed Limit Of 4% “When the party gets too good, it’s the job of the Fed to take away the punch bowl.” I promise to control inflation… The Fed’s policy is “If you see inflation, its too late. Whip it before it gets out of the box.” During a recession, the Fed is happy to “spike the punch.” Should The Fed Chairman Show His Hand? Monetary Policy – America’s Main Stabilization Tool Nominal Interest Rate Inflation Recession Monetary Policy Tools 1. Discount Rate – when banks borrow from the Fed [“symbolic”] 2. Reserve Ratio – currently 10%; the most powerful tool 3. Buying [recession] & selling [inflation] of bonds BALANCE SHEET OF FED BANKS ASSETS • Securities [90%] • Loans to Commercial Banks LIABILITIES • Reserves of Commercial Banks • Treasury Deposits • Federal Reserve Notes [90%] Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks[millions] FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF THE U.S. Assets[own] Securities Liabilities[owe] *647,580 Loans to Commercial Banks 59 Reserves of commercial banks Treasury deposits Federal Reserve Notes $28,678 6,050 *549,711 [when these notes are in circulation, they constitute claims against assets of the Fed] All other assets Total 86,768 $734,407 Australia Canada Euro Zone Japan Russia United Kingdom Mexico Sweden U.S. All other liabilities & net worth Total Reserve Bank of Australia [RBA] Bank of Canada Central Bank of Europe[CBE] The Bank of Japan [“BOJ”] Central Bank of Russia Bank of England Banco de Mexico (Mex Bank) Sveriges Ribsbank Federal Reserve System [“Fed”] 49,723 $734,407 The Fed controls the banks’ ability to create new money to ensure the economy doesn’t get too much money, nor too little. Overfed Fed Right Underfed 1983 1980 +30% $75.00 Money $97.50 Prices And What Happens If You Feed A Dog too Much 3 Tools of Monetary Policy 1. Discount Rate – banks borrow from the Fed (symbolic) Recession 2. Required Reserve - % of DD which cannot be loaned. 3. Buy/Sell Bonds – government debt Lower Inflation Raise Raise - 3 mo., 6 mo., & 1 year; purchase price: $10,000 Sell Lower Buy LRAS AS AD - 2 yr., 3 yr., 5 yr.,($5,000), & 10 yr., ($10,000) AD AD AS - 30 years with purchase of $1,000 AD YR Y* Prime Rate-loan rate to the best (prime) customers. Federal Funds Target Rate – overnight lending rate between banks to correct a temporary imbalance in reserves. Real GDP 1.6% June, 2006 [5.25%] 17 increases Y*YI “Easy Money” During Recessions Nominal Interest Rate “Students, should the Fed buy or sell bonds to jumpstart this economy?” 10 10 8 Buy 6 6 DM Money Market AD2 LRAS Price level AD1 P2 P1 Investment Demand 8 0 If there is RECESSION MS will be increased. Jobs are tough to get. DI MS1 MS2 E1 0 QID1 QID2 AS “Easy Money” – (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (increase/decrease) MS, which (increase/decrease) interest rates, which (appreciate/depreciate) the dollar, which (increase/decrease) E2 C, Ig, & Xn, which (increase/decrease) AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. YR Y* Real GDP “Now, should I buy or sell?” Nominal Interest Rate “Tight Money” during Inflation If there is INFLATION, MS will be decreased. “I’ll get rid of some money.” Dm MS2 MS1 DI 10 10 8 8 6 6 Sell 0 Money Market LRAS AS AD2 P1 Investment Demand E1 P2 E2 Y* YI 0 QID2 QID1 “Tight Money” – (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (incr/decr) the MS, which (incr/decr) in. rates, which (apprec/deprec) the dollar, which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn, which (incr/decr) AD, PL,& GDP. AD1 9% 9% 6% 6% 3% 3% 0 Dm $100 120 140 Money Market AD3 DI MS1 MS2 MS3 0 AD1 AD I=$60 I=$50] 2 I=$70 A S PL3 PL2 PL 1 $50 $60 $70 QID Investment Demand YR Y* YI RDO The ideal economy is AD2, with I.R. at 6% & Ig at $60 billion. DI MS1 MS2 9% 9% 6% 6% AD1 AD I=$60 I=$50] 2 A S PL2 PL Dm 0 $100 $120 Money Market 0 1 $50 $60 QID Investment Demand Recessionary Gap YR Y* RDO Increase MS from $100 to $120, which lowers the I.R. from 9% to 6%, which increases QID from $50 to $60, which increases AD from AD1 to AD2. AD3 DDII Dm MS2 MS3 AD I=$60 2 6% 3% 0 $120 $140 Money Market 6% PL3 3% PL2 0 $60 $70 QID Investment Demand I=$70 A S Y*YI RDO Inflationary Gap Decrease MS from $140 to $120, which increases the I.R. from 3% to 6%. which decreases QID from $70 to $60, which decreases AD from AD3 to AD2. GOALS OF MONETARY POLICY …to assist the economy in achieving a full employment, non-inflationary level of output Three Tools Of Monetary Policy 1. Open Market Operations - “nuts and bolts” of Monetary Policy - $60-$70 billion every day [main tool] 2. Reserve Requirement - most powerful (seldom used) - affects money creation by changing ER and the multiplier - an increase of ½ of 1% would increase bank reserves by over $5 billion - RR was 20% from 1937-1958 Sledgehammer of Monetary Policy RR - Atomic Bomb of Monetary Policy Atomic Bomb of Monetary Policy Reserve Requirement Example Suppose the banking system has $500 billion in DD. The RR is 12% & TR are $60 billion, which is 12% of the $500 billion DD. So, there are no ER. Now, the Fed lowers the RR to 10%. Now banks are required to keep only $50 billion in RR. So, $10 billion more ER is available to loan out. $10 billion X 10 = $100 billion in new DD. So, 20% increase MS [DD] from $500 to $600 billion. Reserve Requirement at 10% - Easy Money [In 1980, the RR was set at 12%; stayed there until 1992; went to 10%] Monetary Expansion [10% RR] [1/.10=10] “Easy Money” AD1 AD2 AS PL $10,000 [$9,000+$1,000] $729 $810 YR Y* $900 [$900x10] $1,000 Initial deposit $1,000 “Easy Money” “Easy Money” – increase the money supply RR at 20% - Tight Money Monetary Expansion (20% RR) [1/.20=MD of 5] “Tight Money” $5,000 AD1 AS AD2 $512 [$4,000+$1,000] $640 PL Y* YI $800 $1,000 Initial deposit “Tight Money” - decrease the money suply 3. Discount Rate - emergency Fed loans to banks FL borrowed $99 - symbolic (raises Prime Rate) million In 1991 - Discount Rate was 1% from 1934-46 Hurricane and the prime rate was 1.5% EarthQuake The Fed tends to change the D.R. in lockstep with the fed funds target rate. Fed Funds Rate 1996-2006 5.25% June, 2006 Relative Importance of Monetary Policy Relative Importance of Monetary Policy A. WWII-1979–Fed targeted the interest rate not the growth of MS. B. 1979-1982 – Fed targeted the growth of the MS not the in. rate. C. 1982-Present-Fed targets the interest rate, not the MS. 1. Discount Rate – not a primary tool of monetary policy. It does have an “announcement effect.” 2. Reserve Requirement (10%)-has changed one time in 2 decades (12% to 10% in 1992). It would affect bank profits so is seldom used. 3. Open-market operations – evolved as the most effective tool of monetary policy because of flexibility. Securities can be bought or sold in large amounts & their impact on reserves is very prompt. Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of Monetary Policy 1. Speed and flexibility –can quickly be altered (compared to fiscal policy). This can occur on a daily basis and influence interest rates and the MS. 2. Isolation from political pressures – because of the 14 year terms. They can enact unpopular policies which might be best for our economy’s health. Monetarist View of Transmission Mechanism v. Keynesian View DI(K) Investment MS1 MS2 10 10% 8% 6% 0 AD2(M) A AD1 AD2 S Demand DI(M) 8% Dm(K) PL2 PL2 PL1 6% Dm(M) Money Market 0 Dm is more inelastic [I.R. more sensitive] QID1 QID2 DI is more (K) QID2 elastic [or more responsive] Mainly, we end up just getting inflation. Keynesian view is that DI is rather steep so monetary policy is not that strong. Fiscal policy is “top banana.” Also, the Keynesians don’t think the lower interest rate is as important as “profit expectations.” YR Y*YI AD2 AS AD1 Strengths of Monetary Policy • Speed and flexibility • Isolation from political pressure • Successes in the 1980s & 1990s Shortcomings and problems Monetary Policy better I’d like one of those 1% mortgages, but I don’t have a job. Fiscal Policy better Cyclical asymmetry [better at fighting inflation than fighting depressions] Shortcomings and Problems of Monetary Policy But – I will eat spiked brownies. Cyclical Asymmetry (lack of balance) – “Tight money during inflations is more effective than easy money policy during a depressions.” a. An easy money policy during depression does not guarantee that people will take out loans if they don’t have jobs. [“You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make him drink.”] b. The cyclical asymmetry has not created a major difficulty for monetary policy except during times of depression. c. Velocity of money may increase during inflation when the fed is trying to decrease the MS & decrease during recession when the Fed is trying to increase MS. d. The lower interest rates during recession & depreciation of the dollar may cause foreign investors to pull their money out of the U.S. and reduce the MS. e. Banks may hold their ER or the public may hold too much currency. f. Dm curve may be more flat so that interest rate will not drop as much, or the DI curve may be more vertical so that investment will not increase as much. Fiscal Policy Recession Increase G Decrease T Inflation Decrease G Increase T Monetary Policy Recession Lower D. Rate Lower R. Rate Buy Bonds Inflation Raise D. Rate Raise R. Ratio Sell Bonds “Easy Money” “Tight Money” Monetary and Fiscal Policy TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Discount Rate The Reserve Ratio Open Market Operations “Easy Money” Fed Easy Money Policy • Lower Discount Rate • Lower Reserve Ratio • Buy Bonds TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Discount Rate The Reserve Ratio Open Market Operations “Got to decrease the MS.” Fed Tight Money Policy • Raise Discount Rate • Raise Reserve Ratio • Sell Bonds NS 48-58 (MS = DD + Currency of Public) 48. The 3 tools of monetary policy are open market operations, changes in RR, & (changes in T/changes in G/ changes in discount rate). 49. The main tool of the Fed in regulating the MS is (open-market operations/DR/RR). 50. When the Fed[$$] sells securities to the PUBLIC[T-bills], DD (don’t change/incr/decr) & banking system RR, ER & TR (incr/decr). 51. When the Fed[T-bills] buys securities from commercial banks[$$], DD (don’t change/increase/decrease) & ER and TR (increase/decrease). 52. When the commercial banking system[$$] borrows from the Fed, DD (don’t change/increase/decrease) but ER & TR (incr/decr). 53. When commercial banks[$$] sell government securities to the Fed[T-bills], DD (don’t change/incr/decr) but their ER & TR (do not change/incr/decr). 54. When the PUBLIC[T-bills] buys securities from the Fed[$$], DD (don’t change/incr/decr) and RR, ER, & TR of banks (don’t change/incr/decr). 55. When a commercial bank gets a loan from the Fed, their lending ability (incr/decr). 56. Assume that the RR is 25% & the Thunder Bank borrows $100,000 from the 100,000 Fed., commercial bank ERs are increased $________. PMC in the banking 400,000 400,000 TMS can be as much as $________. system are increased by $_______. 57. The (margin requirement/discount rate) specifies the size of the down payment on stock purchases. 58. If the Fed were to increase the RR [10% to 20%] we would expect (higher/lower) interest rates, a (reduced/expanded) GDP and (appreciation/depreciation) of the dollar. [less “C”, “Ig”, & “Xn”] NS 57-66 59. When the RR is increased [10% to 50%], the ER of member banks are (increased/decreased) and the monetary multiplier is (incr/decr). 60. Assume the RR is 25% and the Fed buys $4 M of bonds from the public. The MS is increased by ($3/$4/) million and the PMC is increased by ($16/$12) M. Potential TMS is ($3/$4/$12/$16) M. 61. When the Fed lends to commercial banks, this is called the (Fed Funds Rate/discount rate) and when commercial banks make loans to one another, this is the (Fed Funds Rate/ Discount Rate). 62. The Keynesian cause-effect chain of an easy money policy would be to (buy/sell) bonds; which would (increase/decrease) the MS, which would (lower/raise) interest rates & (incr/decr) Ig, “C”, Xn, & Y. 63. If the Fed were to buy government securities in the open market, we would anticipate (lower/higher) interest rates, an (expanded/contracted) GDP, and (appreciation/depreciation) of the dollar. 64. If the Fed were reducing demand-pull inflation, the proper policies would be (lower/raise) the discount rate, (lower/raise) the RR and ((buy/sell) government bonds. 65. Monetary policy is thought to be more effective in (controlling inflation/ fighting depressions) and fiscal is more effective (controlling inflation/ fighting depressions). 66.The “net export effect” of an “easy” money policy (strengthens/ weakens) that policy, while the “net export effect” of “expansionary” fiscal policy (strengthens/weakens) that policy. [impact of interest rates] DI MS1 MS2 MS3 9% 9% 6% 6% 3% 3% 0 Dm $100 120 140 Money Market 0 NS 67-70 AD3 AD1 AD I=$60 I=$50] 2 I=$70 A S PL3 PL2 PL 1 $50 $60 $70 QID Investment Demand YR Y* YI RDO 67. If AD is AD3, what must the Fed do to get to AD2(FE GDP [Y*])? (increase/decrease) the MS from ($120/$140) to ($100/$120). 68. If the MS is MS1, & the goal of the Fed is FE GDP[Y*], they should (increase/decrease) the MS from ($100/$120) to ($120/$140). 69. Which of the following would shift the MS curve from MS3 to MS2? (buying/selling) bonds. 70. If the MS is MS2 and the goal of the Fed is FE GDP of Y*, they should (increase/decrease/don’t change) the Ms. NS 71-72 71. An easy money policy will (apprec/deprec) the dollar & (incr/decr) U.S. Xn. A tight money policy will (apprec/deprec) the dollar & (incr/decr) U.S. Xn. 72. If the economy were in a severe recession, proper monetary policy would call for (lowering/raising) the discount rate, (lowering/raising) the RR, & (buying/selling) bonds. Proper fiscal policy would be to (incr/decr) “G” & (incr/decr) “T”, both of which would result in a bugetary (deficit/surplus). Money, Banking, & Fed Test Review 1-8 1. If your bank borrows $50,000 from the Fed, does this automatically No Does this loan increase the amount in RR?_____ No increase the MS? _____ ER? Yes ____ With 10% RR, PMC is $500,000 __________. TMS is $500,000 __________. 2. If the RR is 50% & the Fed buys $100 mil. of securities from the public, mil. mil. PMC is$100 mil. TMS is$200 then: MS is increased by$100 ________. _________. ________. 3. What will cause the Dt(& total demand) for money curve to shift right? (increase/decrease) in nominal (money) Y? 4. When the Fed buys bonds from banks [or gives them a loan], DD are (incr/decr/ unchanged) but their ER & TR both (incr/decr/unchanged). 5. If the Fed buys $10 million of securities from the public, with a RR of mil. $10 mil. & PMC is _________. 40%, MS is increased by ________ ________. $15 mil. TMS is$25 6. If the Fed decreased the RR from 20% to 10%, we would expect (higher/lower) interest rates, (appreciation/depreciation) of the dollar, and an (increase/decrease) in GDP. 7. DD of $100,000 and RR of 25% in a commercial banking system with TR of $40,000. PMC in the banking system is ($240,000/$60,000). 8. If you are estimating your expenses for the prom at $3,000, money is functioning as (unit of account/medium of exchange/store of value). NS 9. “Easy Money” During Recessions Nominal Interest Rate “Students, should the Fed buy or sell bonds to jumpstart this economy?” 10 10 8 Buy 6 6 DM Money Market AD2 LRAS Price level AD1 P2 P1 Investment Demand 8 0 If there is RECESSION MS will be increased. Jobs are tough to get. DI MS1 MS2 E1 0 QID1 QID2 AS 9. “Easy Money” – (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (increase/decrease) MS, which (increase/decrease) interest rates, which (appreciate/depreciate) the dollar, which (increase/decrease) E2 C, Ig, & Xn, which (increase/decrease) AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. YR Y* Real GDP “Now, should I buy or sell?” If there is INFLATION, MS will be decreased. “I’ll get rid of some money.” Nominal Interest Rate NS 10. “Tight Money” during Inflation Dm MS2 MS1 DI 10 10 8 8 6 6 Sell 0 Money Market LRAS AS AD2 P1 Investment Demand E1 P2 E2 Y* YI 0 QID2 QID1 10. “Tight Money” – (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (incr/decr) the MS, which (incr/decr) in. rates, which (apprec/deprec) the dollar, which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn, which (incr/decr) AD, PL,& GDP. AD1 TR 11-14 MS = Currency + DD of Public RR is 20% Assets DD (Liabilities) TR[RR+ER]=$20 mil. $100 million 11. How much can this bank loan out? $______ 0 12. If Pam Anderson puts $1,000 in this bank(DD),ER will increase by $_______. 800 4,000 13. Possible Money Creation in the system could be $_______. 5,000 14. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $________. MS = Currency + DD of Public RR is 25% Assets DD (Liabilities) TR[RR+ER]=$25 mil. $100 million 1. How much can this bank loan out? $______ 0 2. If Pam Anderson puts $4,000 in this bank(DD),ER will increase by $_______. 3,000 12,000 3. Possible Money Creation in the system could be $_______. 16,000 4. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $________. TR 11-14 MS = Currency + DD of Public RR is 20% Assets DD(Liabilities) TR[RR+ER] = $20 mil. $100 million 11. How much can Pam’s bank loan out? $______ 0 12. If Pam Anderson’s Bank borrows $1,000 from the Fed ER will increase by $1,000 _______. Pam Anderson’s Bank Fed 5,000 13. Possible Money Creation in the system could be $_______. 5,000 14. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $________. Extra Practice MS = Currency + DD of public RR is 40% Assets DD (Liabilities) TR[RR+ER]=$40 mil. $100 million 1. How much can this bank loan out? $______ 0 2. If Cameron Diaz puts $10,000 in this bank(DD), 6,000 ER will increase by $_________. Cameron fell in March, 2005 and had to have 19 stitches in her head but she is OK now. 15,000 3. Possible Money Creation in the system could be $________. 25,000 4. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $_________. Extra Practice MS = Currency + DD of Public RR is 50% Assets DD(Liabilities) TR[RR+ER] = $50 mil. $100 million 11. How much can Cameron’s bank loan out? $______ 0 12. If Cameron Diaz’s Bank borrows $5,000 from the Fed ER will increase by $5,000 _______. Cameron Diaz’s Bank Fed 10,000 13. Possible Money Creation in the system could be $________. 10,000 14. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $________. 9% 9% 6% 6% 3% 3% 0 Dm $100 120 140 Money Market AD3 DI MS1 MS2 MS3 0 AD1 AD I=$60 I=$50] 2 I=$70 A S PL3 PL2 PL 1 $50 $60 $70 QID Investment Demand YR Y* YI RDO 15. If the goal is F.E., & the interest rate is 9%, a(an) (recess/ inflat) gap exists, the Fed should (incr/decr) the in. rate. 16. If the interest rate is 3%, a(an) (recess/inflat) gap exists, the Fed should (increase/decrease) the interest rate. 17. If the interest rate is 6%, the Fed should (incr/decr/do nothing) to the interest rate. 18. To reduce inflation, the Fed should (lower, lower, buy/raise, raise, sell) 19. To get out of a recession, the Fed should (lower, lower, buy/raise, raise, sell) The End Review of Money Creation, The Fed, & Monetary Policy $1,000 DD by Katy [MS=Currency+DD of Public] New Deposits [New Reserves] Bank DD DD Created By New Loans [equal to new ER] New Required Reserves RR=40% A $1,000.00 $400.00 600.00 600.00 B 600.00 $240.00 360.00 C 360.00 $144.00 216.00 D 216.00 $86.40 129.60 PMC = ER[$800 x M[5] PMC $1,000.00 + $1.500.00 Katy’s DD + PMC = $1,500.00 = = TMS $2.500.00 $600 to Michael Jackson for dance lessons Prom date with Britney Practice cigarette cessation lessons with Bruce Willis Prom date with Napoleon Dynamite MS grows by multiple of 2.5 Money Supply = DD + Currency of the Public ER “PMC” Loans $100[10% RR] [1st Bank] [1st Bank] Banks/Public DD [$100] $90 $90 Fed /Public/Banks DD[$100] $90 $90 “PMC” Crea. In “TMS” “Potential” System Total MS $900 $1,000 $900 $1,000 [*Fed buys bonds from public who put the money in their DD] Banks/Fed Fed Loan[$100] $100 [or sells bonds to Fed] ER $100 “PMC” Loans $1,000 $100 [20% RR] [1st Bank] [1st Bank] Banks/Public DD [$100] $80 $80 Fed/Public/Banks DD [$100] $80 $80 “PMC” Crea. In $1,000 “TMS” “Potential” System Total MS $400 $500 $400 $500 [*Fed buys bonds from public who put the money in their DD] Banks/Fed Fed Loan[$100] $100 [or sells bonds to Fed] $100 $500 $500 Additional Practice on Money Creation 1. If the RR is 40% and the Fed buys $100 M of bonds from $100 M ER are the public[Matt], then the MS is increased by _____. $150 M TMS would be ______. $60 M PMC is _______. $250 M increased by ______. 2. RR is 50% and the Farrell Bank borrows $100 M from the 0 Fed. As a result, RR are increased by ______. ER is increased $200 M $100 M by _______. PMC and TMS is increased by ________. 3. Brockman Bank has DD of $400,000 and the RR is 25%. If RR $200,000 and ER are equal, then TR are _______. 4. The Roberts Bank has ER of $60,000 & DD is $200,000. If the $100,000 RR is 20%, TR are _________. 5. RR is 20% & the Fed buys $50 million of bonds from the M ER are increased public[Beau]. The MS is increased by$50 ____. $200 M $250 M $40 M by _______. PMC is _______. TMS would be _________. Banks Public Fed Hard Money Quizzes Coming Up Quiz 4 Commercial Bank Fed Public RR+ER=TR; TR-RR=ER; TR-ER=RR; MxER=PMC; PMC[Public]+1st DD=TMS; PMC[Fed]= TMS 1. RR are 10% & there are no ER in the Meehan Bank. Spencer deposits (DD) $200.00 there. This one bank can increase 180.00 its loans by a maximum of $______. 2. RR are 20%; the Suchta Bank borrows $80,000 from the Fed. 80,000 This bank can increase its loans by a maximum of $______. 3. RR are 25%; the Fed buys $8,000 of bonds from the Public[Tony]. 24,000 PMC in the banking system could be as much as $_________. 4. The Norwood Bank has DD of $10 million; 4 million RR are 20%; RR & ER are equal. TR are $_____________. 5. The McGahran Bank, with no ER, borrows $20 M from the Fed. 40 M With a RR of 50%, PMC in the banking system could be $____. 6. RR are 40%; the Fed buys $100 M of bonds from the Public[Erin]. 150 M Potential Money Creation in the banking system could be $____. 7. RR are 50%; the Fitzharris Bank borrows $40 M from the Fed; 40 million this single bank’s ER are increased by $_______________. 8. RR are 50%; Fed buys $50 billion of bonds from the Public[Nate]. 100 B Potential Total Money Supply (TMS) could be as much as $____. 9. The RR is 40%. The Fed buys $20 M of bonds from the Little Bank. Potential Money Creation in the banking system is $______. 50 Million 600 10. No ER in a bank & RR is 25%. Lisa deposits of $200. PMC is $____ Quiz 5 Commercial Bank Fed Public RR+ER=TR; TR-RR=ER; TR-ER=RR; MxER=PMC; PMC[Public]+1st DD=TMS; PMC[Fed]= TMS 1. RR are 50% & there are no ER in a Bank. Katy deposits (DD) 5.00 $10.00 there. This one bank can increase its loans by ?____. 2. RR are 50%; the Bebeau Bank borrows $1 mil. from the Fed. 1 million This bank can increase its loans by a maximum of $_______. 3. RR are 40%; the Fed buys $100,000 of securities from the Public. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $______. 250,000 4. The Merkel Bank has DD of $400,000 and RR is 25%. 200,000 RR & ER are equal. Total Reserves are $_______________. 5. The Little Bank, with no ER, borrows $200,000 from the Fed. With RR of 40%, this one bank can increase its loans by $_________. 200,000 6. RR are 50%; the Fed buys $60,000 of securities from the Public. Potential Money Creation in the banking system is $_______________. 60,000 7. RR are 10%; the Mosmeyer Bank borrows $150 million from the 150 million Fed. This single bank’s ER are increased by $__________. 8. RR are 25%; Fed buys $200 M of securities from the Public. Potential Total Money Supply could be $_______________. 800 million 9. RR are 25% & the Fed buys $40 M of bonds from the Flores Bank. PMC and TMS are both $___________. 160 million 10. RR are 20% & no ER in the Edwards Bank. Steph deposits 500.00 $125.00 there. PMC in the banking system is $__________. Quiz 6 Commercial Banks Fed Public RR+ER=TR; TR-RR=ER; TR-ER=RR; MxER=PMC; PMC[Public]+1st DD=TMS; PMC[Fed]= TMS 1. RR are 40% & there are no ER in a Bank. Bo deposits (DD) 60.00 $100.00 there. This one bank can increase its loans by $____. 2. RR are 10%; the Farrell Bank borrows $9 mil. from the Fed. 9 million This bank can increase its loans by a maximum of $_______. 3. RR is 50%; the Fed buys $10,000 of securities from the Public. 20,000 Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $______. 4. The Hovitz Bank has DD of $100,000 and RR is 40%. 80,000 RR & ER are equal. Total Reserves are $________________. 5. The Richa Bank, with no ER, borrows $500,000 from the Fed. With RR of 20%, this one bank can increase its loans by $500,000 _____. 6. RR are 50%; the Fed buys $500,000 of securities from the Public. Potential Money Creation in the banking system is $______. 500,000 7. RR are 10%; the McGahran Bank borrows $5 million from the 5 million Fed. This single bank’s ER are increased by $____________. 8. RR are 10%; Fed buys $10 M of securities from the Public. 100 million Potential Total Money Supply is $_____________. 9. RR are 25% & the Fed buys $8 M of bonds from the Suchta Bank. Potential Money Creation in the banking system is $________. 32 million 10. RR are 20% & no ER in the Norwood Bank. Steph deposits 500.00 $100.00 there. Potential Total Money Supply is $_________. Monetary Policy Questions from the 2005 Macro MC Exam (60%) 44. When the U.S. government engages in deficit spending, that spending is primarily financed by a. increasing the required reserves ration b. borrowing from the World Bank c. issuing new bonds d. appreciating the value of the dollar e. depreciating the value of the dollar (75%) 45. When the Fed buys government securities on the open market, which of the following will decrease in the short run? a. Interest rates Fed buying bonds incr MS, which decr the I.R. b. Taxes c. Investment d. The amount of money loaned by banks e. The money supply (57%) 46. When a central bank sells securities in the open market, which of the following set of events is most likely to follow? a. An increase in the MS, a decrease in interest rates, and an increase in AD b. an increase in the MS, an increase in interest rates, and a decrease in AD c. An increase in interest rates, an increase in the government budget deficit, and a movement toward trade surplus d. A decrease in the MS, an increase in interest rates, and a decrease in AD e. A decrease in the MS, a decrease in interest rates, and a decrease in AD (41%) 47. The federal funds rate is the interest rate that a. the Fed charges the federal government on its loans b. banks charge one another for short-term loans c. banks charge their best customers d. equalizes the yield on government bonds and corporate bonds e. is equal to the inflation rate (46%) 48. Assume that the government implements a deficit-reduction policy that results in changes in aggregate income and output. Then the Fed engages in monetary policy actions that reverse the changes in income and output caused by fiscal policy action. Which of the following sets of changes in taxes, government spending, the RR, and the discount rate is most consistent with these policies? Government Required Taxes Spending Reserve Ratio Discount Rate a. Increase Increase Decrease Increase b. Increase Decrease Decrease No change c. Increase Decrease Increase Decrease d. Decrease Increase No change Increase The G would increase T and decr G to reduce the deficit which would reduce AD. e. Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase To reverse this & incr AD, the Fed would decr the RR & decr the DR to lower the I.R. (53) 49. If the Fed institutes a policy to reduce inflation, which of the following is most likely to increase? Decr the MS to combat inflation would incr the I.R. a. Tax rates b. Investment c. Government spending d. Interest rates e. GDP Monetary Questions From 2000 AP Exam Money and the Fed 1. (61%) In the Keynesian model, an expansionary monetary policy will lead to a. lower real interest rates and more investment b. lower real interest rates and lower prices c. higher real interest rates and lower prices d. higher real interest rates and higher real income e. higher nominal interest rates and more investment 2. (58%) Which of the following will most likely occur in an economy if more money is demanded than is supplied? a. the amount of investment spending will increase. b. the demand curve for money will shift to the left c. the demand curve for money will shift to the right. d. interest rates will decrease e. interest rates will increase. 3. (64%) When consumers hold money rather than bonds because they expect the interest rate to increase in the future, they are holding money for what purposes? a. transactions b. unforeseen expenditures c. speculation (asset) d. illiquidity When interest rates are too low, people will hold more asset (speculation) money. They don’t want to tie their money into interest rate bearing assets (like CDs & bonds) getting low returns. They will hold the speculative money until interest rates go back up. Money Creation 4. (80%) If on receiving a checking deposit of $300 a bank’s ER increased by $255, the RR must be: a. 5% b. 15% c. 25% d. 35% e. 45% 5. (62%) The money-creating ability of the banking system will be less than the maximum amount indicated by the money multiplier when a. interest rates are high b. the velocity of money is rising c. people hold a portion of their money in the form of currency d. the unemployment rate is low 6. (71%) RR is 20%. If a bank initially has no ER and $10,000 cash is deposited in the bank, the maximum amount by which this bank may increase its loans is a. $2,000 b. $8,000 c. $10,000 d. $20,000 e. $50,000 7. (86%) RR is 15% and that bank receives a new DD of $200. Which of the following will most likely occur in the bank’s balance sheet? Liabilities(DD) Required Reserves a. increase by $200 b. increase by $200 c. increase by $200 d. decrease by $200 e. decrease by $200 increase by $170 increase by $30 no change decrease by $30 decrease by $170 The Fed and Monetary Policy 8. (89%) The Federal Reserve can increase the money supply by a. selling gold reserves to the banks b. selling foreign currency holdings c. buying government bonds on the open market d. borrowing reserves from foreign governments 9. (73%) An increase in the money supply is most likely to have which of the following short-run effects on real interest rates and real output? Real Interest Rates Real Output a. decrease b. decrease c. increase d. increase e. no change decrease increase decrease no change increase 10. (81%) Under which of the following conditions would a restrictive (contractionary) monetary policy be most appropriate? a. high inflation d. low interest rates b. high unemployment e. a budget deficit c. full employment with stable prices 11. (82%) The Fed can change the U.S. money supply by changing the a. number of banks in operation b. velocity of money c. price level d. prime rate e. discount rate 12. (*30%) If the money stock decreases but nominal GDP remains constant, which of the following has occurred? a. income velocity of money has increased. b. income velocity of money has decreased. c. price level has increased. d. price level has decreased. e. real output has decreased. 13. (54%) Policy-makers concerned about fostering long-run growth in an economy that is currently in a recession would most likely recommend which of the following combinations of monetary and fiscal policy actions? Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy a. sell bonds b. sell bonds c. no change d. buy bonds e. buy bonds reduce taxes raise taxes raise taxes reduce spending no change Buying bonds will increase MS & decrease the interest rate, increasing Ig. Reducing T would cause a deficit, resulting in G borrowing and higher interest rates. Raising T or reducing G would result in job losses, resulting in negative profit expectations, reducing Ig [LR growth]. 14. (76%) Open market operations refer to which of the following activities? a. the buying and selling of stocks in the New York stock Market b. the loans made by the Fed to member commercial banks c. the buying and selling of government securities by the Federal Reserve d. the government’s purchases and sales of municipal bonds e. the government’s contribution to net exports 15. (58%) An open market sale of bonds by the Fed will most likely change the money supply, the interest rate, and the value of the U.S. dollar in which of the following ways? Money Supply Interest Rate Value of the Dollar a. increase decrease decrease b. increase decrease increase c. decrease decrease decrease d. decrease increase increase e. decrease increase decrease 1995 AP Exam 16. (82%) Commercial banks can create money by a. transferring depositors’ accounts at the Fed for conversion to cash b. buying Treasury bills from the Federal Reserve c. sending vault cash to the Fed d. maintaining a 100% reserve requirement e. lending excess reserves to customers 17. (65%) If the RR is 20%, the existence of $100 worth of ER in the banking system can lead to a maximum expansion of the money supply equal to a. $20 b. $100 c. $300 d. $500 e. $750 5x$100=$500 18. (71%) If the Fed lowers the RR, which of the following would most likely occur? a. Imports will rise, decreasing the trade deficit. b. The rate of saving will increase. c. Unemployment and inflation will both increase. d. Businesses will purchase more factories and equipment. More MS means lower I.R. & more Ig e. The budget deficit will increase. 19. (61%) If the public’s desire to hold money as currency increases, what will the impact be on the banking system? a. Banks would be more able to reduce unemployment. b. Banks would be more able to decrease AS. c. Banks would be less able to decrease AS. d. Banks would be more able to expand credit. e. Banks would be less able to expand credit Holding currency means less ER & higher I.R. 20. (86%) Which of the combinations is most likely to cure a severe recession? Open-Market Operations Taxes Gov. Spending a. Buy securities Increase Decrease b. Buy securities Decrease Increase c. Buy securities Decrease Decrease d. Sell securities Decrease Decrease e. Sell securities Increase Increase 21. (61%) The demand for money increases when national income increases because a. spending on goods and services increases d. the MS increases b. interest rates increase e. the budget deficit increases c. the public becomes more optimistic about the future 22. (76%) Suppose the RR is 20% and a single bank with no ER receives a $100 DD from a new customer. The bank now has excess reserves equal to a. $20 b. $80 c. $100 d. $400 e. $500 23. (45%) Which of the following is most likely to increase if the public decides to increase its holding of currency? Holding MS; banks a. the interest rate d. Employment b. The price level e. The reserve requirement have less; higher I.R. c. Disposable personal income 24. (47%) During a mild recession, if policymakers want to reduce unemployment by increasing investment, which of the following policies would be most appropriate? a. Equal increases in government expenditure and taxes b. An increase in government expenditure only c. An increase in transfer payments d. An increase in the reserve requirement e. Purchase of government securities by the Fed 25. (73%) Which of the following monetary and fiscal policy combinations would most likely result in a decrease in AD? Discount Rate Open-Market Operations Gov. Spending a. Lower Buy bonds Increase b. Lower Buy bonds Decrease c. Raise Sell bonds Increase d. Raise Buy bonds Increase e. Raise Sell bonds Decrease 26. (35%) Under which of the following circumstances would increasing the MS be most effective in increasing real GDP? Interest Rates Employment Business Optimism a. High Full High b. High Less than full High c. Low Full High d. Low Full Low e. Low Less than full Low 27. (57%) According to both monetarists and Keynesians, which of the following happens when the Fed reduces the discount rate? a. The demand for money decreases and market interest rates decrease. b. The demand for money increases and market interest rates increase. c. The supply of money increases and market interest rates decrease. d. The supply of money increases and market interest rates increase. e. Both the demand for money and the MS increase and market interest rates increase. 28. (79%) All of the following are components of the MS in the U.S. EXCEPT a. paper money b. gold bullion c. checkable deposits d. coins e. demand deposits 29. (47%) If the Fed undertakes a policy to reduce interest rates, international capital flows (financial capital like CDs, bonds) will be affected in which of the following ways? a. Long-run capital outflows from the U.S. will decrease. b. Long-run capital inflows to the U.S. will increase. c. Short-run capital outflows from the U.S. will decrease. Lower U.S. interest rates will d. Short-run capital inflows to the U.S. will decrease. result in fewer capital inflows e. Short-run capital inflows to the U.S. will not change. 30. (73%) If the Fed wishes to use monetary policy to reinforce Congress’ fiscal policy changes, it should a. increase the MS when government spending is increased This would keep the interest b. increase the MS when government spending is decreased rate from going up. c. decrease the Ms when government spending is increased d. increase interest rates when government spending is increased e. decrease interest rates when government spending is decreased