PowerPoint Presentations for Principles of Macroeconomics Sixth Canadian Edition by Mankiw/Kneebone/McKenzie Adapted for the Sixth Canadian Edition by Marc Prud’homme University of Ottawa OPEN-ECONOMY MACROECONOMICS: BASIC CONCEPTS Chapter 12 Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-2 OPEN-ECONOMY MACROECONOMICS: BASIC CONCEPTS One of the ten principles of economics highlighted in Chapter 1 is that trade can make everyone better off. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-3 OPEN-ECONOMY MACROECONOMICS: BASIC CONCEPTS Closed economy: an economy that does not interact with other economies in the world Open economy: an economy that interacts freely with other economies around the world Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-4 THE INTERNATIONAL FLOWS OF GOODS AND CAPITAL Exports: goods and services that are produced domestically and sold abroad Imports: goods and services that are produced abroad and sold domestically Net exports (or trade balance): the value of a nation’s exports minus the value of its imports Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-5 THE INTERNATIONAL FLOWS OF GOODS AND CAPITAL Trade surplus: an excess of exports over imports Trade deficit: an excess of imports over exports Balanced trade: a situation in which exports equal imports Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-6 FIGURE 12.1: The Internationalization of the Canadian Economy Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-7 The Flow of Financial Resources: Net Capital Outflow Net capital outflow: the purchase of foreign assets by domestic residents minus the purchase of domestic assets by foreigners Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-8 The Flow of Financial Resources: Net Capital Outflow Some of the variables that influence net capital outflow (NCO): Real interest rates being paid on foreign assets Real interest rates being paid on domestic assets Perceived economic and political risks of holding assets abroad Government policies that affect foreign ownership of domestic assets Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-9 The Equality of Net Exports and Net Capital Outflow Net exports measure an imbalance between a country’s exports and its imports. Net capital outflow measures an imbalance between the amount of foreign assets bought by domestic residents and the amount of domestic assets bought by foreigners. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-10 The Equality of Net Exports and Net Capital Outflow That is, net capital outflow (NCO) always equals net exports (NX): Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-11 The Equality of Net Exports and Net Capital Outflow When NX > 0, the country is selling more goods and services to foreigners than it is buying from them. What is it doing with the foreign currency it receives from the net sale of goods and services abroad? It must be using it to buy foreign assets. Capital is flowing out of the country (i.e., NCO > 0). Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-12 The Equality of Net Exports and Net Capital Outflow When NX < 0, the country is buying more goods and services from foreigners than it is selling to them. How is it financing the net purchase of these goods and services in world markets? It must be selling assets abroad. Capital is flowing into the country (i.e., NCO < 0). Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-13 Saving, Investment, and Their Relationship to the International Flows Saving, investment, and international capital flows are inextricably linked. Closed Economy Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-14 TABLE 12.1: International Flows of Goods and Capital: Summary Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-15 QuickQuiz Define net exports and net capital outflow. Explain how they are related. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-16 THE PRICES FOR INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS: REAL AND NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATES Two important international prices are discussed here: 1. The nominal x-rate 2. The real x-rates Orion-v / Shutterstock Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-17 Nominal Exchange Rates Nominal exchange rate: the rate at which a person can trade the currency of one country for the currency of another Appreciation: an increase in the value of a currency as measured by the amount of foreign currency it can buy Depreciation: a decrease in the value of a currency as measured by the amount of foreign currency it can buy Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-18 Real Exchange Rates Real exchange rate: The rate at which a person can trade the goods and services of one country for the goods and services of another Why does the real exchange rate matter? It is a key determinant of how much a country exports and imports. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-19 Real Exchange Rates From the example … Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-20 FIGURE 12.3: The Value of the Canadian Dollar Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-21 Real Exchange Rates When studying an economy as a whole, macroeconomists focus on overall prices rather than the prices of individual items. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-22 FIGURE 12.4: Real and Nominal Exchange Rates Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-23 Active Learning Compute the Real Exchange Rate e = 10 pesos per $ price of tall Starbucks latte P = $3 in CDA, P* = 24 pesos in Mexico A. What is the price of a Canadian latte measured in pesos? B. Calculate the real exchange rate, measured as Mexican lattes per Canadian latte. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-24 Active Learning Answers e = 10 pesos per $ price of a tall Starbucks Latte P = $3 in CDA, P* = 24 pesos in Mexico A. What is the price of a Canadian latte in pesos? B. Calculate the real exchange rate. exP 30 pesos per CDA latte = P* 24 pesos per Mexican latte = 1.25 Mexican lattes per CDA latte Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-25 QuickQuiz Define nominal exchange rate and real exchange rate, and explain how they are related. If the nominal exchange rate goes from 100 to 120 yen per dollar, has the dollar appreciated or depreciated? Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-26 A FIRST THEORY OF EXCHANGE-RATE DETERMINATION: PURCHASING POWER PARITY Purchasing-power parity (PPP): a theory of exchange rates whereby a unit of any given currency should be able to buy the same quantity of goods in all countries Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-27 The Basic Logic of Purchasing-Power Parity The theory of purchasing-power parity is based on a principle called the law of one price (LOP). A good must sell for the same price in all locations. According to the PPP theory, a currency must have the same purchasing power in all countries. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-28 Implications of Purchasing-Power Parity It tells us that the nominal exchange rate between the currencies of two countries depends on the price levels in those countries. If a dollar buys the same quantity of goods in Canada (where prices are measured in dollars) as in Japan (where prices are measured in yen), then the number of yen per dollar must reflect the prices of goods in Canada and Japan. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-29 Implications of Purchasing-Power Parity For the purchasing power of a dollar to be the same in the two countries, it must be that: Then Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-30 Implications of Purchasing-Power Parity Rearranging According to the theory of purchasing-power parity, the nominal exchange rate between the currencies of two countries must reflect the different price levels in those countries. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-31 Limitations of Purchasing-Power Parity PPP provides a simple model of how exchange rates are determined. Exchange rates do not, however, always move to ensure that a dollar has the same real value in all countries all the time. Many goods are not easily traded. Tradable goods are not always perfect substitutes. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-32 Case Study: PRILL/ Shutterstock The Hamburger Standard Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-33 QuickQuiz Over the past 20 years, Spain has had high inflation and Japan has had low inflation. What do you think has happened to the number of Spanish pesetas a person can buy with a Japanese yen? Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-34 INTEREST RATE DETERMINATION IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY WITH PERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY Why do interest rates in Canada and the United States tend to move up and down together? The model most economists prefer to use to explain this phenomenon is one that describes Canada as a small open economy (SOE) with perfect capital mobility. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-35 A Small Open Economy Small open economy: an economy that trades goods and services with other economies and, by itself, has a negligible effect on world prices and interest rates Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-36 Perfect Capital Mobility Perfect capital mobility: full access to world financial markets The implication of perfect capital mobility for a small open economy like Canada’s is that the real interest rate in Canada should equal the real interest rate prevailing in world financial markets. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-37 Perfect Capital Mobility Interest rate parity: A theory of interest rate determination whereby the real interest rate on comparable financial assets should be the same in all economies with full access to world financial markets. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-38 Limitations to Interest Rate Parity The real interest rate in Canada is not always equal to the real interest rate in the rest of the world. Financial assets carry with them the possibility of default. Financial assets offered for sale in different countries are not necessarily perfect substitutes for one another. Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-39 Classroom Activity International Beer Consumption “I went to the bar the other night with two friends. We each ordered a beer: a Corona, a Beck’s, and a Budweiser. The bartender brought us our drinks. Then he said, ‘That’ll be 100 pesos, 3 marks, and 2 U.S. dollars.’ Luckily, we had it. “What could we have done if we didn’t have those currencies?” Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-40 THE END Chapter 12 Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd. 12-41