RADNOR HIGH SCHOOL Course Overview Statistic Course #: 472 General Information Credits: 1 Weighted: None Prerequisite: Advanced Algebra III or Trigonometry Length: Full Year Format: Meets Daily Grade: 12th Course Description Statistics is a College Prep course. A College Prep course follows a demanding curriculum prescribed by each department and to help students progress toward meeting the challenges of competitive college work. College Prep courses aim to develop higher-order thinking skills, using appropriate pace and content. Students enrolled in a College Prep course undertake a challenging workload that involves reading, writing, problem solving, and critical thinking; they will continue to develop independence both inside and outside the classroom. Students receive an unweighted grade in a College Prep course. The major themes of statistics – describing data through graphical and numerical methods, sampling, anticipating patterns and statistical inference - are explored, along with the basic concepts of probability. Common Core Standards S-ID.1, S-ID.2, S-ID.3, S-ID.4, S-ID.6, S-IC.1, S-IC.2, S-IC.3, S-IC.4, S-IC.5, S-CP.1, S-CP.2, S-CP.3, S-CP.4, SCP.5, S-CP.6, S-CP.7, S-CP.8, S-CP.9, S-MD.1, S-MD.2, S-MD.3, S-MD.4, S-MD.5, S-MD.6 Keystone Connections MARKING PERIOD ONE UNIT: 1—Introductioin to Statistics(Chapter 1) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: Identify a population, sample, parameter or statistic. Identify different types of data. Identify different levels of measurement Discuss and indentify abuses of statistics. Identify different types of experimental designs. Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments Modified 6/20/2011 1 ACTIVITIES 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Overview The Nature of Data Uses and Abuses of Statistics Design of Experiments ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology Population, census, sample, parameter, statistic, quantitative, qualitative, discrete, continuous, nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio, self-selected survey, observational study, experiment, placebo effect, experiment, placebo effect, blinding, confounding, random sample, systematic sampling , convenience sampling, stratified sampling, cluster sampling, sampling error, non-sampling error. Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator UNIT: 2—Describing , Exploring and Comparing Data (Chapter 2) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: Construct a complete frequency table from a set of data. Convert a frequency table into a cumulative and or relative frequency table. Construct and interpret (by hand and with calculator) from data and summary statistics graphical displays of data : histogram, frequency polygon, ogive, dotplots, stemplots, pareto charts, pie charts, boxplots. Compute and Interpret: arithmetic mean, median, mode, midrange, standard deviation, range, variance, z-scores, quartiles, percentiles, deciles, outliers using 1.5 IQR method and 5-number summaries . Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Modified 6/20/2011 2 Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 2.2 Summarizing Data with Frequency Tables 2.3 Pictures of Data 2.4 Measures of Center 2.5 Measures of Variation 2.6 Measures of Position 2.7 Exploratory Data Analysis ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology Descriptive statistics, inferential statistics, frequency table, class limits, class boundaries, class midpoints, relative frequency, cumulative frequcny, histogram, relative frequency histogram frequency polygon, ogive, dotplot, stemplot, pareto chart, pie charts, mean, median, mode, bimodal, multi-modal, midrange, skewed, symmetric, range, standard deviation, variance, standard score (z-score) quartile, deciles, percentiles, 5 –number summary, boxplot Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator UNIT: 3—Probability (Chapter 3) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: list a sample space compute simple probabilities determine odds in favor of and against an event compute probabilities using the addition rule compute probabilities using the multiplication rule identify independent/dependent events compute conditional probability Modified 6/20/2011 3 test for independence using conditional probability compute probability of "at least one" using conditional probability Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 3.2 Fundamentals of Probability 3.3 Addition Rule 3.4 Multiplication Rule 3.5 Multiplication Rule: Complements and Conditional Probability 3.6 Counting ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests MARKING PERIOD TWO UNIT: 4—Correlation and Regression (Chapter 9) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: construct and interpret scatterplots based on form, direction, and shape compute r given data match r values with certain graphs interpret r2 determine least squares regression line predict (y-hat) using least squares regression line identify and interpret influential points and outliers identify relationships between explanatory/response variables and confounded or affected by another variable Modified 6/20/2011 4 create and interpret residual plots Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology Scatterplot, response variables, explanatory variables, correlation, correlation coefficient (r), r2 least squares regression line, slope, prediction (y-hat), extrapolation, interpolation, influential points, outliers, causation, common response, confounding, lurking variable, residuals, residual plot, Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator UNIT: 5—Probability Distributions (Chapter 4) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: identify discrete and continuous random variables verify valid probability distributions create probability histograms compute mean of expected value, variance, standard deviation of a probability distribution determine if outcomes are "unusual" determine if an event is binomial compute probability of binomial events using the formula and technology Modified 6/20/2011 5 Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 4.2 Random Variables 4.3 Binomial Probability Distributions 4.4 Mean, Variance and Standard Deviation for the Binomial Distribution ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology random variable, discrete, continuous, probability distribution, probability histogram, expected value, unusual events, binomial distribution Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator MARKING PERIOD THREE UNIT: 6—Normal Probability Distributions (Chapter 5) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: compute probability based on a given z-score and direction determine a z-score to a corresponding probability given data and an event, compute probabilities using z-scores and normal distributions given a percentage of probability, find its corresponding value using z-score and normal distribution compute standard error Modified 6/20/2011 6 compute sample mean compute probability of an event using the Central Limit Theorem compute value using Central Limit Theorem determine Rare Event Rule Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 5.2 Standard Normal Distribution 5.3 Normal Distribution: Finding Probabilities 5.4 Normal Distribution: Finding Values 5.5 The Central Limit Theorem ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology z-score, z-score equation, standard normal distribution, normal distribution, uniform distribution density curve, Central Limit Theorem, sampling distribution, standard error, sample mean, rare event rule Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator UNIT: 7—Estimates and Sample Sizes (Chapter 6) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: determine critical value for a given level of confidence Modified 6/20/2011 7 compute margin of error create confidence interval find point estimate and/or margin of error given a confidence interval interpret a confidence interval compare t- and normal distributions compute sample size for a given situation compute p-hat given x and y Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 6.2 Estimating Population Mean: Large Samples 6.3 Estimating Population Mean: Small Samples 6.4 Determining Sample Size Required to Estimate Population Mean 6.5 Estimating Population Proportion ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology point estimate, unbiased estimation, confidence interval, margin of error, critical value, student's t-distribution, degrees of freedom, define sample proportion (p-hat) Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator UNIT: 8—Hypothesis Testing (Chapter 7) Modified 6/20/2011 8 Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: write null and alternative hypotheses from a claim compute a test statistic state conclusions from a test identify Type I and Type II errors test claims using the p-value method Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 7.2 Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing 7.3 Testing a Claim about a Mean: Large Samples ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology Hypothesis, null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, left-, right-, and two-tailed test Type I and Type II errors, p-value Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator MARKING PERIOD FOUR UNIT: 8—Hypothesis Testing (Chapter 7) - Continued Modified 6/20/2011 9 Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: write null and alternative hypotheses from a claim compute a test statistic state conclusions from a test identify Type I and Type II errors test claims using the p-value method determine the appropriate method to test claims using the p-value method Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 7.4 Testing a Claim about a Mean: Small Samples 7.5 Testing a Claim about a Proportion ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology Hypothesis, null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, left-, right-, and two-tailed test Type I and Type II errors, p-value Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator UNIT: 9—Inference about Two Means (Chapter 8) Modified 6/20/2011 10 Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: write null and alternative hypotheses from a claim compute a test statistic state conclusions from a test identify Type I and Type II errors test claims using the p-value method determine the appropriate method to test claims using the p-value method Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 8.2 Inference about Two Means: Large Samples 8.3 Inference about Two Means: Matched Pairs 8.4 Inference about Two Proportions ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology Matched pairs. Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator UNIT: 10—Chi- Square (Chapter 10) Student Objectives: At the conclusion of this chapter, students should be able successfully complete the following skills: Modified 6/20/2011 11 compute observed and expected values compute Chi-square statistic value perform goodness-of-fit test perform test of independence Materials & Texts Triola, Mario F. (2002). Essential of Statistics. Evanston, Il: Addison-Wesley. Activities, Assignments, & Assessments ACTIVITIES 10.2 Multinomial Experiments: Goodness-of-Fit 10.3 Contingency Tables: Independence and Homogeneity ASSIGNMENTS Assignment sheets will be distributed periodically throughout the school year. Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Individual assignments for each chapter can be viewed on the Mathematics Department page of Radnor High School’s web site. ASSESSMENTS Homework will be assigned on a daily basis. Grades will be based on quizzes and tests. In addition, teachers may use homework, group activities, and/or projects for grading purposes. The Radnor High School grading system and scale will be used to determine letter grades. Lesson Assessments/Quizzes Chapter Tests Terminology Chi square test statistic, goodness-of-fit test, observed value, expected value, tests of independence, tests of homogeneity Media, Technology, Web Resources TI-83/84 Calculator Modified 6/20/2011 12