Welfare Reform – what does it mean for housing? Laura Shimili, Policy & Practice Officer, CIH Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org Expenditure on benefits Expenditure on key benefits 1991/92 - 2010/11 30 Mobility Allowance / Disability Living Allowance / Attendance Allowance / Carers Allowance 25 20 Income Support (lone parents, sick, disabled, other) 15 10 Unemployment Benefit / Income Support (unemployed) / Jobseekers Allowance 5 Housing Benefit / Council Tax Benefit / Discretionary Housing Payments /9 19 2 92 /9 19 3 93 /9 19 4 94 /9 19 5 95 /9 19 6 96 /9 19 7 97 /9 19 8 98 /9 19 9 99 /0 20 0 00 /0 20 1 01 /0 20 2 02 /0 20 3 03 /0 20 4 04 /0 20 5 05 /0 20 6 06 /0 20 7 07 /0 20 8 08 /0 20 9 09 /1 20 0 10 /1 1 0 19 91 £ billion, real (2009/10 prices) Sickness / Invalidity / Incapacity Benefits Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 3 Welfare is too expensive • “The explosion in welfare costs contributed to the growing structural budget deficit in the middle part of this decade... Costs are completely out of control. We now spend more on housing benefit than we do on the police and on universities combined” (June) Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 4 Aims of welfare reform Biggest shake up of the welfare system in a generation Brings together all earnings-related benefits and tax credits in one single payment the Universal credit Aims: • Cut costs • Make it fairer something for something • Simplify it • Use it to drive different behaviours Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 5 Welfare benefits: old & new HB ESA JSA Universal Credit HB IS Tax Credits PC PC Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 6 Key features • A new single payment - a ‘surrogate’ wage • Better off in work • Individual responsibility To make a claim and report changes Presumption of payment to claimant Monthly in arrears Payment exceptions are a temporary position • Automated system Mainly on-line claims but face-to-face and telephone support available (local Jobcentres/LAs internet access points) Exceptionally possible to make claim face to face or by telephone Universal Credit helpline for online claims Mon-Fri, 8am-6pm Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 7 The package of changes • Introduction of Universal Credit • Local Housing Allowance Reduced & capped • Non-dependent deductions Increased in 2011/12/13 after a freeze since 2001; by RPI thereafter Replaced by flat rate £65/m under UC • Shared Room Rate Age increased • Social sector size limits Introduced • Discretionary payments Increased • SMI (mortgages) • • • • Continues although time limited! IB claims to ESA or JSA Total benefit cap Tax Credit changes Council Tax Benefit localised And cut • Social Fund scrapped Local Welfare Assistance • Benefit uprating By 1% (less than RPI) • DLA becomes PIP Higher test for award Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 8 Impact model: assumptions XYZ Housing Association profile • Based East Midlands • General needs – one third elderly • 5,000 tenancies • Stock: • • 1Bed (24%) 2 Bed (34%) 3 Bed (37%) 4+ Bed (5%) Average weekly rent £72 Collection rates vary according to measure Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 9 Impact model: size criteria XYZ Housing Association: universal credit steady state • Estimated annual loss to tenants in HB • Number of losers 1 bed under • Number of losers 2 bed under • Average weekly loss 1 bed under • Average weekly loss 2 bed under • If 10% uncollectable Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org £538,000 658 165 £11 £23 £54,000 10 Impact model: direct payments XYZ Housing Association current • Total rent roll • Tenant payments as % rent roll • Rent roll covered by HB direct £18.72 million 40% £11.23 million XYZ Housing Association: universal credit steady state • Tenant payments as % of rent roll • Rent roll covered by HB direct (30% vulnerable) 70% £5.62 million Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 11 Banking transaction costs Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 12 The shifting timetable Original UC/PC plan • New claims universal credit (October 2013) • Pension credit housing credit (October 2014) Revised UC timetable? • Pilots (April 2013) • Non-HC only? Selected areas? (October 2013) • HC start? Selected areas? (April 2014) Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 13 Welfare reform – different pilots • Universal Credit pathfinder Ashton-under-Lyne’s jobcentre first to accept claims for Universal Credit from 29th April the rest of the pathfinder in Tameside, Warrington, Oldham and Wigan will start in July • The direct payment demonstration projects June 2012 – June 2013 testing out direct payment of housing benefit • Local authority-led pilots Autumn 2012 testing how local expertise can be used to support people to claim UC Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 14 Universal credit – local support services • Demand for support services from changes to HB and from UC Advice with opening bank accounts Debt and housing advice Online assistance for UC Money advice • But significant withdrawal of the state from provision of services Landlord run down of advice services? As a result from other costs Local authority run down of HB departments? Much slow as UC take up is less England, April 2013, Community Legal Service funding for welfare benefit advice withdrawn • Local support services framework published by DWP Sets partnership construct to deliver support services for UC claimants Based on a ‘single claimant journey’ from dependency to self-sufficiency and work readiness DWP, LAs, social landlords and Voluntary and Community Organisations aligned Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 15 Universal Credit – help with housing cost • HB included in UC paid directly to claimants Payment cycles (monthly vs weekly) Different payment methods (DD, SO, pre paid cards, jam jar accounts, cash, over the phone, cheque Tenants prefer to be in control, use multiple payment methods rather than automated methods Has resource and cost implications for landlords Opening bank accounts can be difficult • Landlord reactions Payment strategy – prioritise DD, SO, rent officers, other? Attitude to arrears – suspend HB; provide intensive support Support strategy for UC claimants – triage based on need; referral • Payment figures from demonstration projects So far (Dec 13) 6,220 tenants paid HB directly Average arrear levels 8%; across different areas ranged from 12% to 3% Next figures published Oct 13 Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 16 Universal Credit - Scale of change Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 17 Universal Credit - Scale of change • DWP 8 million universal credit cases when fully implemented 20% increase on existing combined caseload (ignoring tax credit cases) • HMRC developing Real Time Information for collection of PAYE taxation employers to provide salaries info monthly online about Oct DWP use info from RTI to calculate UC • DWP under Universal Credit tax credits (moved from HMRC) – some staff expected to move to administer UC Help with housing cost (previously HB moved from LAs) • Future of LA staff not clear depends on arrangements for the local delivery and support of Universal Credit what impact from localised council tax support and localised discretionary Social Fund Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 18 Welfare reform - implications for claimants • Reduction in housing benefit from social size criteria, benefit cap, benefits up-rating • Shortfall between HB and rent • Financial hardship Other pressures on income • Unemployment • Underemployment • Food / fuel prices • Electricity / gas prices • Childcare costs • Reductions in public services Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 19 Welfare reform - implications for landlords Landlords Arrears Work harder to collect… A reduced income….. With increased costs Affects other aspects of business Impacts ability to develop and secure finance • Local authorities Families moving will put pressure on other services; education/social services high demand for discretionary housing payments, large number of queries higher numbers of appeals local knowledge of HB will be lost Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 20 What’s out there? • Pre-payment cards Not a credit card; no need for bank account; coupled with reward schemes • Mobile payment Deposit into an account stored in cell phone; branchless banking • Consumer reward schemes • Bulk purchase Which? / 38 Degrees - The Big Switch • Tenant products Consumer segmentation; Mosaic (Experian) used by local authorities • Consumer bundles Co-op Bank: payment card and bank account Co-op store reward scheme Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 21 So what are organisations going to do? • Need for strategic planning gather the data and assess impact customer engagement and clarity of communications support for tenants • The pressure on welfare spending is long-term so needs to be built into business plan assumptions • Manage risk Where is risk higher – bedroom tax; benefit cap; direct payment What strategies for income recovery - by far the biggest risk Evictions; how will criminal justice system respond? • Review policies and procedures • Rent arrears policy; lettings policy (difficult to let properties?) • Review local support services • Welfare advice / money management Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 22 So what are organisations going to do? • Need for an organisational strategy • • clarity on role, objectives and values to inform decisions grow or withdraw from some services in order to meet wider business objectives • Working in partnership • • • Other landlords (common lettings/ shared services) Financial institutions (banks credit unions) Payment card providers • There are some tried and tested approaches • Innovate… • Use and share the knowledge that is already out there • Adopt technology rather than self build Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 23 Housing organisations trends • Wider investment in housing - Increasingly moving towards relying on private finance than government grant Declining, but still sizeable govt grant - c.41% in 2008-11 Grant rates down - c15% 2011-2015 HAs borrow more – funded by higher rents • Organisational impacts Review purpose & mission Wider market vs core product • Greater commercial activity for cross subsidy? Increased focus on reducing costs and improving business processes/sharing services • New world regulation focusing on protecting assets • Source of finance crucial – debt and bonds, institutional investment, reserves, but unlimited capacity? Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 24 What does the future hold • Uncertainty continues but need to stay positive Spending review in summer General elections Slow recovery • Welfare reform adds to it Landlords and tenants • Personal, targeted, time limited subsidy vs long term capital subsidy • A new welfare settlement – whoever governs • Focus on Value for Money for public purse – additional outcomes, no extra resource • Use change as opportunity to innovate Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 25 Thank you Questions? laura.shimili@cih.org Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 26 Get the latest news & advice on welfare reform CIH Welfare Reform resources We have developed a range of resources on welfare reform in our website that keeps you up to date with • Essential information • News • Tools and briefings – • For the very latest policy news Welfare reform impact tool Events and trainings. @CIH_Policy We are developing a range of ‘Need to knows’ on various aspects of welfare reform. CIH administers and facilitates on behalf of DWP/DCLG the Direct payment learning network. to join email laura.shimili@cih.org or david.pipe@cih.org www.cih.org/welfarereform Learn with us. Improve with us. Influence with us | www.cih.org 27