Army National Guard's (ARNG) 2010 Logistics Management Seminar (LMS) Louisville, KY, May 10-14 Green Logistics and its Paradoxes: What Drives Supply Chain Management? Jean-Paul Rodrigue Associate Professor, Dept. of Global Studies & Geography, Hofstra University, New York, USA What Drives Supply Chain Management? A Paradigm and Its Externalities: The Environmental Vicious Circle of Logistics Paradigm Added value Efficiency Control More ton-km transported Less spatial constraints Energy consumption Pollutant emissions Network changes Space consumption Externalities Network Changes: Hub-and-Spoke Network and Externalities Rationalization Improvement of system-wide performance Concentration of externalities Local / regional pressures Increased vulnerability to disruptions Hub Feeder The Commercial Gateways of the Global Economy 39 Gateway Regions 90% of the World’s Freight Transport Pearl River Delta: 16.7% Land Requirements for Freight Distribution: A Form of Externalization Transportation Freight Village Terminals Networks Roads / lines Rights of way 1 1 Outdoor Storage 2 Port terminals Rail terminals Airports Inventory at terminal Storage Energy 2 Warehousing Distribution centers Cross-docking Inventory in transit Willow Springs Freight Distribution Center Site, Chicago N The Pitfalls of Green Logistics: Trying to be Green Leads to Being in the Red ■ Green Logistics • • • • • • The bulk of “greenness” is actually regulatory compliance. Asymmetric (impact more some than others). Arbitrary cost structure. May cost a lot of green… and put you in the red… Green plus red equals brown… Possibly unsustainable. Compliance Costs “Brown” Logistics Regulations Potential Impacts of Energy and Environmental Issues on Freight Distribution 1. Principle of “Demand Destruction” Quantity Q1 ΔQ Q2 ΔP P1 P2 Price Change in Vehicles-Miles Traveled and Nominal Spot Oil Prices (Crossing the Threshold) 8.0% 140 OS(1) OS(2) CS(1) YOY Change in Vehicle-Miles Traveled West Texas Intermediate, Monthly Nominal Spot Oil Price 120 6.0% 100 4.0% 80 2.0% CS(2) 0.0% 60 CS(3) 40 -2.0% -4.0% OS(3) CS(4) 20 0 Breaking the Comparative Advantages Threshold Costs of Shipping a 40 foot Container From China to the American East Coast $16,000 $14,000 From China From Mexico $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $0 2000 ($30 barrel) 2005 ($56 barrel) 2008 ($135 barrel) ($150 barrel) ($200 barrel) Containerization Growth Factors: Which Opportunities are Left? A Derived / Organic (A) Economic and income growth. Globalization (outsourcing and global sourcing). Fragmentation of production and consumption. Substitution (B) Functional and geographical diffusion. New niches (commodities and cold chain) Capture of bulk and break-bulk markets. Incidental (C) Trade imbalances. Repositioning of empty containers. Induced (D) Transshipment (hub, relay and interlining). B C D 2. Principles of Modal Shift Modal Share A/B ΔP (A/B)2 ΔQ(A/B) (A/B)1 P1 P2 Price Distance Travelled for One Ton of Cargo Using One kWh of Energy Post- Sovereign Class Containership Sovereing Class Containership (8,000 TEU) Rail (Electric) Rail (Diesel) Heavy Truck Boeing 747-400 0 10 20 30 40 KM 50 60 70 80 Logistics, Modal Shift and Intermodal Integration Freight Transport Costs in Cents per Ton-Mile 0.7 0.588 0.6 INTERMODAL INTEGRATION 0.5 0.4 Drayage 0.3 0.251 0.2 0.1 0 Domestic Rail Short Sea Shipping 0.007 Water 0.025 Rail Road Air Share of the Northeast Asia – U.S. East Coast Route by Option 100% 90% 3.0% 2.1% 11.3% 15.1% 2.0% 20.8% 80% 4.6% 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 23.6% 33.8% 38.2% 40.1% 42.0% 43.0% 70% 60% Suez Canal Panama Canal Intermodal 50% 40% 30% 85.7% 82.8% 77.2% 71.8% 64.6% 60.9% 58.1% 56.0% 55.0% 20% 10% 0% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 3. Service Area Changes Cost ΔR(B) ΔB ΔA A B R2 R1 Range Optimal Location and Throughput by Number of Freight Distribution Centers 4. Gateway / Hub Selection A C B Transit Times from Shanghai and North American Routing Options (in Days) Prince Rupert 12 Vancouver 4 13 8 5 Seattle / Tacoma Toronto Oakland 13 5 Chicago 3 26 New York Los Angeles 25 Norfolk Atlanta 5 14 Dallas 5 Savannah/Charleston 25 28 Houston 8 19 Lazaro Cardenas 22 Panama Gateway and Hub Selection is Controlled by Private Commercial Interests Container Terminals of the World's Four Major Port Holdings, 2009 5. Network Configuration Rail Road Distribution based on RDCs Distribution based on tiered system Distribution based on two gateways Distribution based on local DCs BNSF Logistics Park, Chicago Distribution Centers BNSF Intermodal Yard Maersk Wal-Mart California Cartage 6. Supply Chain Propagation: Input Costs or Transport Costs? Input costs Transportation costs Raw Materials Manufacturing Reverse Distribution Costs Distribution Centers Retailers American Foreign Trade by Maritime Containers, 2008 (in TEUs): Reverse Distribution on Steroids Importers Exporters Whirlpool JC Penney Nike Red Bull Samsung Jarden General Electric Ashley Furniture Ikea Heineken Chiquita Philips LG Group Lowe's Costco Wholsale Dole Food Sears Holding Home Depot Target Wal-Mart Newport Chinternational Sims Metal Management CGB Enterprises Denison JC Horizon ExxonMobil Delong BASF Archer Daniels Midland Cedarwood-Young Meadwestvaco Procter & Gamble Potential Industries Dupont Dow Chemical International Paper Koch Industries Cargill Weyerhaeuser America Chung Nam 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 Logistical Strategies to Cope with Energy and Environmental Constraints Shipping less Demand responsive systems. Reduce returns. Changing suppliers Reassessing sourcing both at the global and domestic levels. Shipping scheduling Allow greater shipping time and outside rush periods. Efficient packaging Reduce the shipment size (volume) of the same load. Modal shift Use a mode or a route that is more energy and environmentally efficient. “Double Green” Logistics ■ The “double green” concept • Environmental endeavors that are not grounded in efficiency and productivity improvements are bound to fail, unless subsidized (which also leads to failure). • Green logistics is rife with unintended consequences (complex system). • Greenness, particularly if regulatory (compliance) based, may be unsustainable. Distributional Efficiency Environmental Performance Green Logistics The Paradoxes of Green Logistics Dimension Outcome Paradox Costs Reduction of costs through improvement in packaging and reduction of wastes. Benefits are derived by the distributors. Environmental costs are often externalized. Time / Flexibility Integrated supply chains. JIT and DTD provide flexible and efficient physical distribution systems. Extended production, distribution and retailing structures consuming more space, more energy and producing more emissions (CO2, particulates, NOx, etc.). Network Increasing system-wide efficiency of the distribution system through network changes (Hub-and-spoke structure). Concentration of environmental impacts next to major hubs and along corridors. Pressure on local communities. Reliability Reliable and on-time distribution of freight and passengers. Modes used, trucking and air transportation, are the least environmentally efficient. Warehousing Less warehousing per unit of freight. Inventory in circulation. Inventory shifted in part to public roads (or in containers), contributing to congestion and space consumption. E-commerce Increased business opportunities and diversification of the supply chains. Changes in physical distribution systems towards higher levels of energy consumption.