BRAND MANAGEMENT AND NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT SECTION 6 Brand Management and the Firm New Product Development: Risk Assessment ALAN L. WHITEBREAD REASONS FOR NPD • Capitalize on existing market[s] • Capitalize on new technology • Erect competitive barriers • Establish a market presence • Expand the product offering • Improve the company’s image • Increase market penetration • Preemptive move in an emerging segment • Lower cost / higher value product • Offset a seasonal cycle • Utilize excess capacity • Customer demand • … HOW IMPORTANT ARE NEW PRODUCTS TO YOU FUTURE SUCCESS Business Week and BCG 2007-9 New to the world products – beware, they are using a very broad definition of this New products and services that allow expansion to new customers 65-73% 85% New products and services for existing customers 88-92% Minor changes to existing products and services 55-65% Cost reductions for existing products and services 64-73% NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT [NPD] • NPD is risky and expensive. – More than 9 out of 10 new products fail in the first year. • Food Industry 1997 first year failure rate – Top 20 firms success rate is 76% [failure rate is 24%!] – Food industry failure rate is nearly 80% – Large firm vs. small firm NPD performance • Medicines: Of 5,000 initial ideas – Only 5 make it to clinical trials – Only 1 is approved for patient use • U.S. 2007 Fortune 1000 firms – Spend more than $60 billion in new product failures each year. – Even if a product survives its first year, it is likely to fail in the second year [not meet its original business plan]. 18 MAJOR INVENTIONS SINCE WWII • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1946 Haloid license → Xerox copier [1949] IBM 1947 Raytheon microwave 1948 Bell Laboratories transistor 1948 Cable TV 1958 Integrated circuit [TI / Fairchild Semiconductor] INTEL 1958 Brookhaven National Laboratory “Tennis for Two” video game 1960 Hughes Research Laboratories laser 1964 Xerox Long Distance Xerography [fax machine] 1968 IBM DRAM 1971 Intel microprocessor 1973 ARPANET [internet] 1975 Altair 8800 1977 Cell phone, Apple II 8-bit computer Apple, Samsung 1992 Philips CD player 1995 Industry consortium DVD 2001 Apple iPod 2003 Treo cell phone/PDA/camera [2007 Apple iPhone] 2005 YouTube NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT [NPD] • New product development is crossfunctional – Marketing identifies unfilled customer needs – Marketing specifies the type of product that is needed – R&D [design engineering] develops conceptual alternatives for marketing to approve – R&D, engineering, and production develop the product with marketing’s guidance – Finance verifies the estimated cost and profitability MITIGATING RISK • Companies are faced with increasing levels of risk in today’s market. • Speed to market – You must develop and introduce products faster! – Competitors have speeded up their NPD cycles. – Customers demand new product faster to get ahead of their competitors. • Time – Product life cycles are shortening, increasing risk because: • more new products must continually be in development, and • there is less time to capture development costs and generate profits. • Cost – New product development is expensive. – A large percentage of all quality problems stem from poor design. – Most of a new product's cost is determined during the design stage. KEYS TO NEW PRODUCT SUCCESS “THE DIMENSIONS OF INDUSTRIAL NEW PRODUCT SUCCESS AND FAILURE”, R. G. Cooper, Journal of Marketing, Vol. 43 (Summer 1979), pp. 100-101. • Product uniqueness and [perceived] superiority – Bill Gates video • Market knowledge and marketing proficiency • Technical and production synergy and proficiency And never forget, there must be a real need in the marketplace! CRITICAL GENERAL SUCCESS FACTORS FOR NEW PRODUCTS • Differentiated products Steve Jobs Think Different video • Exceptional product quality – Quality leader • Superior to competitors perceived ability to meet a need or solve a problem • Unique benefits that are highly visible, easily understood, and useful to the customer • Solution perception + Unique benefits = Superior value CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS: PROJECT LEVEL • • • • Unique [perceived] superior products Market-driven, customer-focused orientation Market research Clear, early, and stable project and product definitions • Planning and resourcing the launch • Excellent execution from idea forward • Maximize speed to market CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS: PEOPLE AND THE ENVIRONMENT • Organizing the right project team • Strong team chemistry • Outstanding leadership – Howard Schultz – Innovation – founder of Starbucks video QUALITIES PROMOTING CREATIVITY “A MODEL OF CREATIVITY AND INNOVATION IN ORGANIZATIONS”, Teresa M. Amabile, Research in Organizational Behavior, Vol. 10, pp. 128-129. 1988. • Personality traits – Persistence, curiosity, energy, and intellectual honesty • Self-motivation [3M intrapreneurship] – Self-driven and committed to the idea • Cognitive abilities – General problem-solving, tactics for creative thinking QUALITIES PROMOTING CREATIVITY “A MODEL OF CREATIVITY AND INNOVATION IN ORGANIZATIONS”, Teresa M. Amabile, Research in Organizational Behavior, Vol. 10, pp. 128-129. • Risk-orientation [Norm Dion, Dysan Corp.] – Unconventional, attracted to challenge, do things differently • Expertise in the area [Al Shugart, Finis Conner] – Talent, experience, and knowledge in a field • Qualities of the group – Synergy of intellectual, personal and social qualities of the group QUALITIES INHIBITING CREATIVITY “A MODEL OF CREATIVITY AND INNOVATION IN ORGANIZATIONS”, Teresa M. Amabile, Research in Organizational Behavior, Vol. 10, p. 129. • Unmotivated – Not challenged by the problem, pessimistic, complacent, lazy, do not believe in the idea • Unskilled – Lack of ability or experience in the problem area • Inflexible – Opinionated, unwilling to do things differently ENVIRONMENTS FOR CREATIVITY “A MODEL OF CREATIVITY AND INNOVATION IN ORGANIZATIONS”, Teresa M. Amabile, Research in Organizational Behavior, Vol. 10, pp. 146-147. • Freedom of what to do or how to do – #2 for inhibiting creativity • Good project management • Sufficient resources • Organizational characteristics – Cooperation and collaboration – Failure is not fatal • #1 for inhibiting creativity THE POWER OF VISUALIZATION • On the internet find any or all of the following to appreciate visualization. – Futurism • 1920’s What the Future Will Look Like video • DHL Five Visions of the World in 2050 video • http://futuretimeline.net/ CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS: PEOPLE AND THE ENVIRONMENT • • • • Organizing the right project team Strong team chemistry Outstanding leadership Provide a supportive corporate environment – Climate – Culture • Top management support STRATEGIC CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS • A product and technology innovation strategy for the firm • Leverage core competencies – • Excellent portfolio management – • Canon $40 billion 2012: Precision mechanics - fine optics – microelectronics Project selection, project focus, project decisions Provide all the necessary resources B2C TARGET MARKET SEGMENT CRITERIA 1. Measurable - Is it quantifiable ? 2. Substantial - Is it the right size for my firm? 3. Accessible - Does it use our existing channels of distribution? 4. Heterogeneous - Is it differentiable? Are there obvious customer benefits? 5. Actionable - Does my firm have a committed long-term desire to succeed? B2B TARGET MARKET SEGMENT CRITERIA 1. Measurable – The degree to which you can measure buyer characteristics 2. Accessible – The ability to focus on target market segments [sales] 3. Substantial – The degree to which target market segments are large enough and potentially profitable enough to pursue B2B TARGET MARKET SEGMENT CRITERIA 4. Compatible -The extent to which marketing and business strengths compare to current and expected competitive and technology states 5. Responsive -The extent to which target market segments respond to elements of the marketing mix WHAT IS A NEW PRODUCT? • Product improvements and modifications. – A different • • • • • • • • • Size Color Style Specifications Package A new product family or product line A new SBU Products that require a new technology … NPD TYPES • First generation – New to the firm – New to the world [rare] • Incremental product improvement – Improve product performance – Add needed features and benefits • Product redesign – Extend or add technology to address additional market needs NPD TYPES • Product improvement – Material changes to the product are required due to environmental and/or market factors • Competitive product improvement – Offset competitive product introductions • Cost reduction • Switch to another technology LARGE P R O FIVE TYPES OF DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS HARDEST R&D ADVANCED DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS: GENETIC ENGINEERING MORE C NEW CORE PRODUCT E S S ALLIANCES PARTNERSHIPS PROJECTS NEW CORE PROCESS R&D JOINT VENTURE NEXT GENERATION PROCESS PRODUCT CHANGE NEXT GENERATION PRODUCT ADDITION TO PRODUCT FAMILY LESS DERIVATIVES AND EXTENSIONS BREAKTHROUGH PROJECT: NEW FAMILY OF DRUGS C H A SINGLE DEPARTMENT UPGRADE N G PLATFORM PROJECT: APPLE iMAC: TRANSLUCENT PLASTIC COLORATION TECHNOLOGY INCREMENTAL CHANGE E SMALL For more information see Creating Project Plans to Focus Product Development, Harvard Business Review, Vol. 70, No. 2, p.74. DERIVATIVE PROJECT: SIMPLE SIZE CHANGE EASIEST NPD • New product development begins with the recognition of – an unmet customer need or want and – a potential market [segment] that is large enough to justify exploration. • NPD proceeds either in a sequential or concurrent fashion. – Sequential [completing one step before proceeding to the next] NPD is the traditional method. • It is time consuming, thus slow. • The lack of speed to market results in either not as much of a lead over competitors or it trails them further in the market. Either way, the firm does not realize as much profit from NPD as it could. NPD: A STAGE-GATE PROCESS 1. Fuzzy Front End [FFE] -Idea generation and screening 2. Gain project approval after -Conducting necessary research [discovery] -Determining the type of project [scoping] 3. 4. 5. Development activities Testing and validating Launch and commercialization The stage-gate process provides a series of checkpoints to verify the original goals and objectives can still be met. WHERE DO IDEAS COME FROM? • MARKET RESEARCH / CUSTOMERS / PROSPECTS / EMPLOYEES • SUPPLIERS • ACQUISITIONS • UNDERSTANDING TRENDS / ISSUES / … – – – – – Demographics Problems Competition Market research Technology NEW PRODUCT IDEA STRATEGIES Acquire Companies Original Products Acquire Patents Product Improvements Acquire Licenses Product Modifications New Brands METHODS OF IDEA GENERATION • METAPHOR BUILDING [Figurative or non-literal sense] TOP 10 METAPHORS OF 2005 – – – – – – – – – – "...political fallout from the scandal.“ "Unfolding the road map to peace.“ "A tidal wave of generosity.“ "A fusion of technology and personality.“ "New Orleans became filled with a toxic gumbo.“ "Sprite ReMix Aruba Jam.“ "The Gulf Coast is a catcher's mitt for hurricanes.“ "I've got a thousand songs in my iPod.“ "The housing bubble has burst.“ "A storm of controversy." METHODS OF IDEA GENERATION • METAPHOR BUILDING • FREE ASSOCIATION – Fruit → Banana → Yellow → ? + – Fruit → Banana → Orange → ? + • • • • • BRAINSTORMING CATALOG TECHNIQUE ATTRIBUTE LISTING THINKING OUT OF THE BOX Techniques for creative thinking – http://members.optusnet.com.au/~charles57/Creative/Techniques/ ANSOFF’S PRODUCT / MARKET EXPANSION GRID P R O D U C T S N E W E X I S T I N G EXISTING NEW MARKETS PRODUCT GENERATION MAP: HP PRINTERS DeskJet 560C Cost reduction DeskJet 300 DeskJet 550C DeskJet 500C DeskJet Plus Swap color and black cartridges Cost reduction DeskJet Quality improvement TIME One color and one black cartridge Portable with small footprint TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP Technology area Last year This year +1 year +2 years Weight/size 16-bit chip Micro controller Integrated unit Single chip Soft radio Ease of use 4 line screen 10 line screen VGA Touch screen Audio quality Video quality Vision Voice interface CONCEPT SCREENING • Sort and classify by type of project • Concept Screening: Does it fit with the portfolio? – Form, function, design, aesthetics –? • Risk analysis – Technological • Technology demands, engineering, operations, and quality – Business • Business analysis THREE KEY QUESTIONS 1. What does the market need or want? Who? What? Where? Why? When? How? How is it differentiated? THREE KEY QUESTIONS 2. Can we make it? Utilizing which core competency[ies]? Utilizing which key success factor[s]? Using which operating model? How will it be made? What are the key hurdles? THREE KEY QUESTIONS 3. Will it be profitable enough for my firm? Projected units Projected net revenue [including elasticity] Projected cost schedules Projected profitability Risk assessment – the potential to make considerably more or less than the projection[s]