Member of 1st International Workshop to Push Forward Your Trolleybus System Session 1: Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Arnulf Schuchmann, Managing Partner Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 Management of Costs and Financing Content: Content General overview of financing regimes/principles Cost structures and mechanisms Differences between Trolley and Diesel-bus Trolleybus Working Group Cost modelling and simulation Summary and conclusion Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 2 General overview of financing principles/regimes Subsidies from General Tax Revenues • most common form of financing public transport infrastructure Financing principles/regimes • Germany: part of tax imposed on gasoline and oil products (in 2002 about 4%, 1,7 billion €), financing of up to 65% of investments, complementary subsidies from local governments • Japan: "Railway Development Fund" since 1972, financing of about 36% of construction cost for railway infrastructure; central and local governments also provide a subsidy by reimbursing interest payments above 5% p.a. Trolleybus Working Group Subsidies from earmarked Taxes • dedicated to investments into public transport infrastructure and to finance operating costs Management of Costs and Financing • Norway: money from toll systems for investments • France: "Versement Transport" as a special charge on salaries (between 1% and 2,2%); imposition and assignment is managed locally for more details consult for example the special edition of Regionale Schienen 2006/I Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 3 General overview of financing principles/regimes Value Capturing, absorption of enhancement in value • financial contribution of beneficiaries of public Financing principles/regimes transport (particularly by increase of property value) • Hongkong: extension of metro line 4 • prerequisites are difficult to establish: identification of real beneficiaries, calculation of real enhancement in value, legal and administrative framework Trolleybus Working Group Government property tax revenues for companies • Seoul: traffic tax on owners of commercial entities that generate excessive commuting traffic • Kobe: developers of land in station areas have to bear part of rail construction costs and to allocate land for rail use • Tokyo: property owners share the costs for walkways connecting stations to nearby buildings Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ for more details consult for example the special edition of Regionale Schienen 2006/I © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 4 General overview of financing principles/regimes Involvement of private investors (PPP) • London: reinvestment and operations of metro infrastructure for 30 years by private consortia Financing principles/regimes • Rostock: BOT-model for Warnow-tunnel • appropriate risk-sharing is essential for successful PPP-models Trolleybus Working Group Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ for more details consult for example the special edition of Regionale Schienen 2006/I © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 5 Aim: To objectify the discussions on the most cost effective bus-mode Comparison of cost structure and mechanisms of trolleybus versus diesel-bus systems Based on experiences from project work and real figures Cost structures and mechanisms • typically mixed systems (trolley- and diesel-bus) • data from Austria, Germany and Switzerland • in-depth analysis of cost and performance in order to - identify cost saving potentials - initiate restructuring processes Trolleybus Working Group - elaborate business strategies - carry out due diligences for M&A-processes - certify public subsidies as legally allowed Cost model was developed • • Management of Costs and Financing Presentation to evaluate economic effectiveness to indicate differences between bus-modes Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 6 Costs are structured along the value chain Customer Management driver costs marketing & sales training, education ticket inspection service clothing information & safety Traffic Management Overhead operational management, planning, driving school , ... commercial processes depot management, disposition management processes ... traffic control Infrastructure stations power supply & catenaries buildings and depots human resources capital cost (depreciation, interest) traction energy/diesel, lubricants maintenance & daily services external labour superior management of traffic Trolleybus Working Group Vehicles/Buses Management of subcontracted Driving Services subcontractor cost Cost structures and mechanisms internal labour Driver Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 7 While most of cost elements are equal, some differ substantially Total cost index = 100% Cost structures and mechanisms 100 1% 7% 80 60 Overhead Infrastructure 32% 26% Customer Management Traffic Management Trolleybus Working Group 40 Vehicles/Buses 20 Drivers • capital cost 0 • traction energy/ Diesel-bus Trolleybus diesel • maintenance & daily services detailed analysis of different cost elements evaluation of trade-offs Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 8 Trolleybuses should be used intensively in order to gain economic advantages Capital cost of vehicles Capital cost [1.000 €] Cost structures and mechanisms 80 index = 100% Investment 70 "long lifetime" 60 Trolleybus 50 150 40 30 100 Diesel-bus (lifetime=14 years) 20 engine, technology 10 Trolleybus Working Group 0 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 50 [€/km] body, interior 0 lifetime [years] 3,0 Trolleybus Diesel-bus Trolleybus 2,0 Management of Costs and Financing "heavy mileage" Presentation 1,0 0,0 Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 Diesel-bus 0,1 0,3 0,5 0,7 0,9 1,1 1,3 1,5 accumulated mileage [mill km] P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 9 Depending on lifetimes trade-offs within vehicle cost are positive for trolleybuses Vehicle cost - comparison Vehicle cost index = 100% 100 Capital and traction energy cost [1.000 €] traction energy, diesel 70 Trolleybus 50 40 Diesel-bus 30 capital cost 10 80.000 70.000 60.000 50.000 40.000 Trolleybus 30.000 Diesel-bus 10.000 0 0 0 Trolleybus Working Group 20 20.000 50 "intensive use" 80 60 maintenance & daily services Cost structures and mechanisms annual mileage [km] the more intensive the use of trolleybuses the cheaper they are advantage in traction energy dominates above threshold of approx. 55.000 km p.a. Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 10 Trolleybus systems profit from strong development of diesel-price Diesel-price development [€/hl] Cost structures and mechanisms 100 80 60 40 Trolleybus Working Group 20 0 year the higher the diesel-price the better economic situation for trolleybuses decreasing of diesel-price can not be Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 expected in future P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 11 Infrastructure investment has to be justified by intensive use, also Initial investment Total annual cost Share of capital overhead contact wire system 250 K€ p. km 17,0 K€ p. km 78% substation 430 K€ p.unit 23,6 K€ p. unit 82% Trolleybus infrastructure index = 100% infrastructure = 110 100 Cost structures and mechanisms infrastructure Trolleybus Working Group predominantly fixed costs vehicle and infra50 0 vehicles Diesel-bus Trolleybus structure cost are strongly correlated with the utilisation of the system Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 12 For vehicle maintenance the situation is still not clear index = 100% specialized work 110 ? 100 50 0 maintenance of vehicles forces for trolleybuses needed Cost structures and mechanisms since less than 100% of maintenance work depend on utilisation, intensive use of buses is meaningful Trolleybus Working Group Diesel-bus Trolleybus According to a new script of VDV (881) the trolleybus needs more maintenance attention than a diesel-bus Looking at the robust traction technology of trolleybuses Management of Costs and Financing Presentation this may amaze someone Real project data draws no clear picture between diesel- Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 and trolleybus P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 13 Looking at the cost mechanisms the do's and don'ts are getting obvious 30 [Mill. €] trolleybus with higher proportion of fixed costs than diesel-bus 25 20 variable cost 15 0 fixed cost 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 service provided [index=100] total cost 5,80 hence, stronger effect on fixed cost if services are increased 10 5 [€/km] in case of tight schedule and short headways, a trolley-bus can realise its advantages to fuel prices the economic situation gets better for trolleybuses 5,60 5,50 5,40 75 80 85 90 Trolleybus Working Group particularly with regard 5,70 5,30 Cost structures and mechanisms Management of Costs and Financing "intensive use" 5,20 Presentation 5,10 Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 95 100 105 110 115 service provided [index=100] 120 125 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 14 Summary and conclusion Trolleybus systems are not necessarily more expensive than diesel-bus systems A high utilisation in terms of services provided is essential for competitive unit cost (€/km) Summary and conclusion By this the high proportion of fixed costs due to capital costs of vehicles and infrastructure are distributed Cost advantage of a trolleybus system appears in traction energy in particular Trolleybus Working Group This will continue to be an advantage in future if dieselprices are increasing further From ecological point of view the trolleybus is the clear favourite Additionally experiences show that trolleybus systems generate more revenues due to higher ridership ("railway-bonus") Do not use diesel-buses driving under an existing overhead wire system (trolleybus infrastructure), because total costs of services will increase Management of Costs and Financing Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 15 If you have any questions or if you would like to receive further information, please do not hesitate to contact us. schuchmann@s2r-consulting.com Trolleybus Working Group www.s2r-consulting.com S2R Consulting GmbH & Co. KG Weidestrasse 120b D – 22083 Hamburg fon +49 (0)40 288 076 60 fax +49 (0)40 288 076 65 Management of Costs and Financing S2R Consulting GmbH Dreikoenigstrasse 31a CH – 8002 Zurich fon +41 (0)44 208 32 10 fax +41 (0)44 208 35 00 Presentation Salzburg, Austria 20 April 2006 P:/.../Contribution_Intern_Trolleybus_Salzburg_20042006_ © S2R Consulting 2006 Page 16