Announcements No section this week, but we will have lecture on Friday • Invasive species writing assignment due at beginning of lecture this Wednesday • Problem set will be handed out in lecture this Wednesday • Problem set is due Wednesday, November 24th • • we will not have lecture that day • you can turn problem set into your TA’s box in the ES Program office • for on-time turn-in, put it in your TA’s box by 10am at the latest on November 24th Summary from Friday • Metapopulation Theory • • • • • subpopulations maintenance of genetic diversity source and sink populations controls on immigration Invasive Species • definition of terms • why invasive species are successful • problems with invasive species How can they be stopped? • Physical removal • slow and costly • leaves some to recolonize • Chemical eradication • can harm natives • expensive • Biocontrol • may not work • can create a bigger problem than you solve Global Change • What will the world be like in 100 years? • Population growth • Land use/cover change • Climate change With this kind of exponential growth, when will we reach carrying capacity? Human Population Growth • The maximum biological carrying capacity for humans = 50,000,000,000 • this figure assumes that all primary production is consumed by people…is this possible? Human Population Growth • The maximum biological carrying capacity for humans = 50,000,000,000 • this figure assumes that all primary production is consumed by people…is this possible? So, what is a more meaningful estimate of carrying capacity? Human Population Growth • The maximum biological carrying capacity for humans = 50,000,000,000 • this figure assumes that all primary production is consumed by people…is this possible? So, what is a more meaningful estimate of carrying capacity? 8 to 16 billion people Slowing the growth • What is the most effective way? • provide access to birth control • raise standard of living • education Why does population matter? • More people will need space, food, and other materials • land clearing • habitat destruction • increased emissions of greenhouse gasses • CO2 carbon dioxide • CH4 methane • N2O nitrous oxide Land use and land cover change • Deforestation • Desertification Greenhouse gases and global warming • industrialization = higher emissions CO2 • gases trap heat in the lower atmosphere Secondary effects of warming • Heat can alter hydrological cycles • melting of ice caps • rise in sea level • • • • evaporation cooling in certain areas movement of air: wind storms Human Population (size and resource use) Industry CO2 increase Agriculture Nitrogen cycle Global climate change Land use and cover change Loss of biological diversity Studying climate change • • Add CO2 Add heat What happens? Announcements Invasive species writing assignment due now • No section this week, but we will have lecture on Friday • Make sure to get the problem set today • Problem set is due Wednesday, November 24th • • we will not have lecture that day • you can turn problem set into your TA’s box in the ES Program office • for on-time turn-in, put it in your TA’s box by 10am at the latest on November 24th Summary from Monday • Global change • Population growth • why it matters • carrying capacity for humans • how to slow the growth • Land use and land cover change • deforestation • desertification • Climate change • increased CO2 emissions by human activity • studying climate change Global change community change • Different species have different responses • elevated CO2 and C4 vs. C3 plants Global change community change • Different species have different responses • elevated CO2 and C4 vs. C3 plants • water use and drought-tolerant plants • heat stress Success potential survival, but stressed intolerant potential survival, but stressed optimum Temperature intolerant Global change community change • Different species have different responses • elevated CO2 and C4 vs. C3 plants • water use and drought-tolerant plants • heat stress Global change community change • Different species have different responses • elevated CO2 and C4 vs. C3 plants • water use and drought-tolerant plants • heat stress • With a change in community, biodiversity may… • increase • decrease • stay the same What is biodiversity? Biodiversity = variation in living things • Genetic diversity • Species diversity • Species richness: # of species • Species evenness: how #’s are distributed • Growth-form diversity Community diversity • How is biodiversity measured? • Measuring Biodiversity • • • Count the # of species present Count the # of families represented Look for different “functional groups” Biodiversity Hotspots Distribution of Biodiversity • general increase from poles to equator Bird species in North America Diversity increases from pole to equator for many species. Why? Diversity in the Tropics • 50-80% of today’s species live in tropical rainforest • high temp. and rainfall in tropics • many species rely on trees • however, tropical forests in Africa not as diverse as those elsewhere other drivers of biodiversity aside from climate Distribution of Biodiversity • general increase from poles to equator Must also consider: • history • productivity of the system • habitat structure • specialization of species • survival of specialists History • • Most of Earth’s land mass was once tropical Evolution of flowering plants in tropics increased diversity of: plants • insects mammals When Earth’s climate cooled, some species at high latitudes went extinct Productivity • • • Tropics are near the equator Sun’s rays are direct high productivity More energy at the bottom of the food chain means more species can be supported With more energy, 16 niches are possible With less energy, only 8 niches exist Habitat Structure • diverse structure more biodiversity • multi-aged stands of trees • epiphytes • gaps • physical structure provides • feeding surfaces • nesting sites • microclimates Specialization • • • constant presence of food in tropics migration not necessary in tropics certain specialized feeding strategies that are not possible in temperate regions work in the tropics Survival of Specialists • temperate regions have been glaciated several times in the past 2 million years Survival of Specialists • • • temperate regions have been glaciated several times in the past 2 million years with every ice age, glaciers scour temperate regions and primary succession must take place generalists are more successful than specialists in temperate zones Why is biodiversity important? Genetic diversity • Long term survival requires responsiveness to small changes in the environment • Prevent genetic bottleneck Population size Genetic diversity Time Conserving a viable population Goal of conservation: maintain a MVP MVP: minimum viable population • it is difficult to know what this number is With too few mating pairs: • inbreeding depression: lowered fitness of offspring • genetic drift: random loss of alleles from the genetic pool Why is biodiversity important? Species Diversity • Ethical Reasons • some believe in a universal right to exist • aesthetic, spiritual, or other intrinsic value • Practical Reasons • medicines • pest control • ecosystem services Announcements • • • Pick up the problem set from your TA if you don’t have it already Problem set is due Wednesday, November 24th by 10am in your TA’s box No section this week Summary from Wednesday Global change drives community change • Biodiversity • • increases from poles to equator • higher temp. and rainfall in tropics • other drivers: • • • • • • history productivity structure specialization survival of specialists Why is biodiversity important? Ecosystem Services • Primary production for food, forage, fiber Ecosystem Services • • Primary production for food, forage, fiber Control of water dynamics • flood control • water purification Ecosystem Services • • Primary production for food, forage, fiber Control of water dynamics • flood control • water purification • Pollination Ecosystem Services • • Primary production for food, forage, fiber Control of water dynamics • flood control • water purification • • • Pollination Regulation of nutrient distribution CO2 uptake and C sequestration but how does biodiversity matter? Control of ecosystem services Redundancy • more than one species has a similar “job” • if one goes extinct, the others compensate Atta sexdens Atta cephalotes Control of ecosystem services Redundancy • more than one species has a similar “job” • if one goes extinct, the others compensate Leaf-cutter ants are responsible for the decomposition of 20% of the leaves in South American rainforests! Control of ecosystem services • Keystone species • a single species with impacts on an ecosystem that are disproportionate to its biomass • if removed, the ecosystem changes a lot Keystone Species A healthy kelp forest with sea otters present When sea otters are eliminated, urchins take over Island Biogeography Islands are great for studying population ecology because: They are isolated • You can potentially quantify all occurring species • Patterns of Biodiversity on Islands • Large islands have more species than small islands Larger islands have more species Patterns of Biodiversity on Islands • Large islands have more species than small islands Why is this true? A larger area will support more species, and larger populations of a single species Patterns of Biodiversity on Islands • • Large islands have more species than small islands Islands close to the mainland have more species than islands further away Controls on immigration mainland Distance to source population Lots of immigration Little immigration Patterns of Biodiversity on Islands • • • Large islands have more species than small islands Islands close to the mainland have more species than islands further away With more physical diversity, and island will have more species • more habitats provide more niches Patterns of Biodiversity on Islands • • • Large islands have more species than small islands Islands close to the mainland have more species than islands further away With more physical diversity, and island will have more species • more habitats provide more niches • Small islands are unlikely to have top predators • not enough prey available as food Do islands have high diversity? • if biodiversity increases with area, how can islands be diverse? Patterns of Biodiversity on Islands Required for high biodiversity on islands: • evolution of new species requires isolation • long geologic time period • high temperature and rainfall • topographic complexity Designating a “biodiversity hotspot”: • many endemic plant species • impacted by humans