Innovative Solutions in Shale Oil Production Indrek Aarna Head of R&D Department Eesti Energia AS April 27, 2010 Jõhvi Why to produce oil out of rock? 2 Historical crude oil production data (billion bbl/y) and forecast Peak Oil Many countries have already passed oil peak 3 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 jaan.09 In a long-term IEA is forecasting continuous growth in prices of crude oil 140 jaan.07 Over last 4 years oil price has been over $60/bbl 70% of the time, which is sufficient for wider utilization of unconventional oil resources 160 jaan.05 Crude Oil Price jaan.03 Pessimistic forecasts show that oil production peak has already been reached Optimistic forecasts predict that crude oil production will reach a plateau in 2020 and peak oil will occur in 2030 (IEA) jaan.01 jaan.99 jaan.97 jaan.95 In USA oil production peaked in 1971 In Europe peak oil occurred a couple of years ago In Russia second peak will be reached this year OPEC is keeping its reserve estimates in secret jaan.93 jaan.91 Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum extraction is reached, after which the rate of production enters terminal decline (Wikipedia). Peak oil has already been reached in many countries: Oil price [$/bbl] The Potential - Global Oil Shale Reserves The potential world resources of shale oil are huge – estimations range from 3 to 9 times higher than the proven conventional oil reserves. The biggest resource is located in the USA Global Oil Shale Resources (In-place Shale Oil Resources) North America bn bbl Europe 2,100 bn tonnes bn bbl 304 South America bn bbl 82 bn bbl bn tonnes 12 bn tonnes bn bbl bn tonnes 159 bn bbl 23 There is enough oil shale resource to replace crude oil until renewable energy has been developed to a next level Wider utilization of oil shale has been hindered by lack of efficient and environmentally friendly oil shale processing technology bn bbl 32 bn tonnes 46 7 Middle East Australia / NZ Total oil shale resources is estimated to be 2.8 billion barrels, more than 3 x conventional oil 53 Asia Total Africa 368 bn tonnes bn tonnes 5 38 6 Global Potential Hydrocarbon Resources Oil Shale is considered as top unconventional hydrocarbon resource for the future Shale Oil is currently produced in Estonia, China and Brazil, but studies are ongoing in several countries Shale Oil 29% Extra Heavy Oil 25% Bitumen 34% Source: World Energy Council (2007) 4 Crude Oil 12% Oil Shale is Competitive Oil shale is competitive with conventional resources Oil Production Cost Chart Oil Price Chart 200 100 Forward Actuals $90bbl $79bbl 80 $75bbl 143.57 150 $60bbl $60bbl $60bbl Brent (US$ / bbl) 60 40 97.37 100 Today 86,14 $25bbl 71.63 $20bbl 20 50 52.6 35.38 Source: CERA, Eesti Energia Oil Sands Source: Bloomberg 5 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 0 2005 Angola Deepwater Deepwater Gulf of Mexico Oil Shale Onshore US UK North Sea Russia Saudi Arabia 0 What is Enefit280 technology? 6 Eesti Energia Oil & Gas EE’s biggest competitive advantage is the existing commercial scale shale oil extraction technology Narva Oil Plant – 2 x Enefit140 units Enefit Oil & Gas Shale Oil Production by EE Oil&Gas põlevkiviõli (th. bbl) 1130 1200 Commissioned in 1980 Since its initial design, 70% of the equipment has been replaced and improved by the plant engineers Two unique production units of Enefit140 (140 t/h oil shale throughput each) Maximum capacity 820 t/d of oil (5,300 bbl/d) Retort gas production of 43 million Nm3/year (utilized for power production) Established as a limited company by EE in 2007 Sales numbers have increased by over 25% a year 1018 1000 900 Enefit technology is proven technology 820 800 655 600 490 390 400 270 200 Enefit has many years of operational history Successful results over last 25 years – successful industry in Estonia Enefit technology has potential to become leading technology 0 1990 1995 2000 2003 2005 2007 2008 2009 7 New Generation of Enefit Technology – Cooperation with Outotec To develop the new generation of Enefit technology a cooperation has been established with Outotec Oyj from Finland & Detailed design in progressconstruction started: • Enhanced heat recovery • Reduced mechanical equipment • Reduced emissions • Higher oil yields • Designed for highest availability Current Narva Oil Plant Future Enefit280 Current Production: Oil - 170,000 tonnes/year New Plant adds: Oil - 290,000 tonnes/year Total Production 2012: Oil - 460,000 tonnes/year 8 How does Eesti Energia’s Enefit 280 process work? Unit size Drying • The Enefit280 has twice of the capacity of it's predecessor Enefit140 Availability Combustion • The availability of the unit has been increased from 75% to more than 90% Efficiency • The Enefit280 unit will recover heat from the ash and flue gases • The heat can be utilized for power production Retorting Lower environmental impact • 9 The lift pipe combustor has been replaced by CFB boiler which will result in a more complete combustion of the spent shale and cleaner flue gases Enefit’s Global Activities Enefit has been providing consulting services and is in early stage negotiations also with several countries Enefit worldwide oil shale projects for oil and power production Estonia USA Project: 50,000 bbl/d shale oil Enefit interest: technology sale Developer: OSEC, Mitsui, Project: Enefit 280 construction Developer: Eesti Energia (Enefit) Project status: construction ongoing China Petrobras Project status: conceptual study Projects: shale oil production performed Enefit interest: technology sale Developers: Longkou Mining Co. Fushun Mining Co. Project status: Morocco Project: shale oil + power Enefit interest: technology sale project development Project status: MoU signed negotiations ongoing Jordan Projects: 38,000 bbl/d shale oil 600-900 MW power MoU signed Enefit interest: project development technology sale Project status: concession terms agreed, waiting for cabinet approval 10 Is it possible to produce motor fuels out of shale oil? 11 EE is Expanding its Shale Oil Production Installation of shale oil upgrader will become feasible at higher volumes Today there is a limited market for raw shale oil: • Bunkering fuel • Boiler houses Commissioning of 20,000 BPD shale oil upgrader in 2016 7 mil. bbl of shale will be produced by EE Oil & Gas Specification of fuels will become stricter and it will more difficult to sell raw shale oil Forecast of EE’s shale oil production 8 Next 2 Enefit280 Raw shale oil Hydrotreated shale oil High density Low density 0.8 wt% sulfur “bottomless” 6.1 wt% oxygen Feasible >20,000 BPD Limited market (ships, boiler houses) Põlevkiviõli tootmisvõimsus (mbbl/aastas) Shale quality after hydrotreatment Product for refineries 7 Shale Oil Upgrader 6 5 4 New Enefit280 3 2 Today’s production 1 0 2009 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 12 Key Quality Challenges of Estonian Raw Shale Oil Pilot plant tests gave promising results Quality Raw Shale Oil Composite [C5 to 525°C] Hydrotreated Shale Oil Product [C5 to 525°C] Brent Crude Syn Crude Oil Analog [C5 To 565°C] Volumetrics Vol % 100 % In 107 % Out - API Gravity °API 15° 35° 42° Sulphur Wt% 0.8 0.015 0.3 Nitrogen Wt% 0.25 0.025 0.045 Oxygen Wt% 6.1 < 0.3 0.15 Hydrogen Wt% 9.8 12.9 13.3 CI(D976) ~ 28 ~ 47 ~ 49 ‘g Br2 45 1 <2 - 10.5± 11.7± 11.9± Diesel Cetane Bromine No. UOP/Watson K 13 Shale Oil Upgrader Plant EE’s shale oil upgrader plant do not need external hydrogen source ASU Oxygen Sweet Fuel Gas Hydrogen Plant Retort Gas Treaters Oil Shale 2×Enefit 140 Shale Oil Hydrotreater Unit New Trains 4×Enefit 280 Sales Naphtha Condensation Ash Hydrogen Recycle VGO Unique concept of EE’s shale oil upgrader: Low-Sulphur Diesel Gas Oil Low-Sulphur Vacuum Gas Oil In order to prove the concept, shale oil hydrotreatment tests were performed in 2008 Long-term pilot plant tests are currently ongoing EE has started basic design of shale oil upgrader Hydrogen is generated from retort gas generated by Enefit280 technology EE’s retorting units and upgrader do not need external energy sources Shale oil upgrader will produce feedstock for near-by refineries 14 Summary Oil shale resource is big enough to replace crude oil and crude oil price has been high enough to expand shale oil production around the world. EE in cooperation with Outotec has developed a new generation soild heat carrier technology, which: Higher thermal efficiency Lower environmental impact Higher availability Produces power as a byproduct Enefit Outotec Technology OÜ is developing new shale oil production technologies for processing of other shales EE is taking next steps in extracting more value out of shale oil – hydrotreatment of shale oil allows to produce refinery feedstock for nearby refineries 15 16