A Credit Analysis of Coach, Inc. Prepared by: Sarah Wagner FIN 467 April 10, 2015 TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION..........................................................................................................................1 LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS ..............................................................................................................1 Working Capital ...........................................................................................................................1 Operating Activities .....................................................................................................................2 Composition of Current Assets ....................................................................................................5 SOLVENCY ANALYSIS ..............................................................................................................6 Capital Structure ...........................................................................................................................6 Earnings Power ............................................................................................................................8 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................10 REFERENCES .............................................................................................................................11 APPENDIX – COACH, INC FINANCIAL STATEMENTS...................................................12 2012 Balance Sheet ....................................................................................................................12 2012 Income Statement ..............................................................................................................13 2013 Balance Sheet ....................................................................................................................14 2013 Income Statement ..............................................................................................................15 1 INTRODUCTION The objective of this report is to perform a credit analysis of Coach, Inc. Coach is a retailer in the luxury good industry, which sells handbags and accessories for men and women. The purpose of the analysis in this report is to determine the likelihood that lenders would grant credit to Coach and to measure the ability of Coach to be able to pay off its credit obligations. This will be accomplished by performing an in-depth analysis of the liquidity and solvency of the company by using various ratios based on Coach’s balance sheets and income statements from 2012 and 2013. LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS Liquidity is the ability of a company to meet its short-term obligations. It is a way to measure how easy it is for a company to generate cash from assets and operations. Lenders look at liquidity to determine how easy it is for a company to convert its assets into cash in times of financial hardship in order to determine a liquidity risk. The ratios used in this analysis of liquidity will deal with the working capital, operating activities, and asset composition of Coach (Subramanyam & Wild, 527-528). Working Capital Coach has sufficient working capital with $1,086,368,000 in 2012 and $1,348,437,000 in 2013. By using the cash to current assets ratio, which is calculated by dividing cash and cash equivalents by current assets, it can be found that about fifty percent of Coach’s current assets are made up of cash and cash equivalents in each year. Its current ratios for each year, found by dividing current assets by current liabilities, indicate that Coach has the ability to pay current liabilities. The current ratios for 2012 and 2013 were 2.51 and 2.87, respectively. This means that 2 Coach has between two-and-a-half and three times more assets than liabilities, suggesting that the company is financially sound. However, the current ratio has some limitations and cannot fully show the condition of a company by itself. The quality of current assets and liabilities must also be inspected along with their respective turnover rates. To achieve this, the operating activities of the company must be analyzed, which includes accounts receivable, inventory, and current liabilities (Subramanyam & Wild 530-534). Operating Activities To analyze accounts receivable, the accounts receivable turnover and days’ sales in receivables ratios must be calculated. The accounts receivable turnover ratio is used to measure the liquidity of receivables and the likelihood of collecting on those receivables. In 2012, Coach had an accounts receivable balance of $174,462,000 with an allowance of uncollectible accounts of $9,813,000. In 2013, the accounts receivable balance increased to $174,462,000, but the allowance of uncollectible accounts decreased to $1,138,000. Coach’s accounts receivable turnover ratios for 2012 and 2013 were 30.02 and 29.01, respectively. These ratios are pretty high, indicating that Coach either operates more on a cash basis or that their collection of accounts receivable is efficient (“Receivables Turnover Ratio Definition”). The financial statements do not specify the amount of sales that are on credit, so this is not a perfect analysis of accounts receivable, but it does tell that Coach collects on its accounts receivable quite often, making their receivables liquid. However, it appears that Coach’s accounts receivable ratio is declining, but only by a slight amount (Subramanyam & Wild 537). Next, the days’ sales in receivables is calculated by dividing the year’s accounts receivable balance by the average daily sales. This ratio measures how quickly a company collects on their accounts receivables. In 2012, the ratio was 13 days and in 2013, the ratio was 3 12 days. Coach is able to collect on their receivables quite quickly, but again, the ratio appears to be declining. However, as stated above, Coach drastically reduced their allowance for uncollectible accounts from $9,813,000 in 2012 to $1,138,000 in 2013. This could indicate that Coach experienced an improved collectability of their accounts receivable and did not see the need to have such a high allowance in 2013. The change in the allowance for uncollectible accounts could be the reason behind the slight decline in Coach’s accounts receivable ratios. Despite the decline, Coach appears very capable of collecting their receivables and turning them into liquid assets (Subramanyam & Wild 538-539). When assessing liquidity of a company, it is important to examine the liquidity of its inventories. While inventories are usually considered the least liquid asset that a company possesses, inventories make up a large percentage of current assets and are a large investment that a company makes in order to bring in profits through sales. It is important that a company has quality inventories that they can consistently turn into cash and working capital (Subramanyam & Wild 539). The inventory turnover ratio measures how quickly, on average, a company can move inventory out to customers. Inventory turnover is calculated by dividing the cost of goods sold by the average inventory for the year. Coach had inventory turnover ratios of 2.8 in 2012 and 2.68 in 2013. This means that, on average, Coach sold and replaced its inventory less than three times in each fiscal year. This seems somewhat low, and could indicate that Coach may have too much inventory on hand. Coach’s inventory makes up about a quarter of its total current assets, so it is a pretty large contributor to current assets. To get a better look on Coach’s ability to push out inventory, the days’ sales in inventory ratio must be calculated by dividing inventories by the cost of goods sold multiplied by 360. In 2012, the ratio was 140 days and in 2013, the ratio was 4 137 days, meaning that this is how long it took Coach to sell its ending inventory. Another way to look at this is to calculate the days to sell inventory ratio by dividing 360 by inventory turnover. By computing this ratio, it can be seen that it took Coach 129 days in 2012 and 134 days in 2013 to sell its average inventory. Coach’s results for these ratios seem normal. To put things into perspective a little more, the conversion period can be calculated, which will tell how long it takes to sell the inventory and collect on the receivables resulting from the sales. This is found by adding the days’ sales in receivables to the days’ sales in inventories. Coach’s conversion periods for 2012 and 2013 were 153 days and 149 days, which are, again, normal and no cause for concern. Even better for Coach, their conversion period improved between the two years, indicating a better ability to sell and collect on their inventories (Subramanyam & Wild 539-541). The quality of current liabilities must also be examined when analyzing operating activities for liquidity. There are a couple reasons for this, such as determining if a company has a sufficient margin of safety in case of unexpected expenses, and the fact that when calculating working capital, current liabilities are subtracted from current assets. Quality of current liabilities can be assessed by looking the accounts payable balance and calculating the average payable days outstanding. This is calculated by dividing accounts payable by cost of goods sold divided by 360. This ratio shows how many days, on average, a company takes to pay outstanding balances to its suppliers. In 2012, Coach’s payment period was 43 days and in 2013, it was about 47 days. Another ratio that can be used is accounts payable turnover, which measures how quickly a company pays for its purchases on account, and is calculated by dividing cost of goods sold by average accounts payable. In 2012, Coach’s accounts payable turnover ratio was 9 days, and in 2013, it was 8 days. This is interesting because it took Coach longer to pay its payables in 5 2013 than 2012, but its accounts payable turnover ratio was larger in 2012 than in 2013. One reason for this is that Coach had a slightly larger accounts payable balance in 2013 than in 2012, but had a larger increase in cost of goods sold, indicating that it owed suppliers more money for inventories. With the higher balance owed to suppliers, it took Coach a little bit longer to pay the suppliers what was owed. Overall, Coach appears able to pay its short-term obligations in a timely manner and looks well equipped to handle unexpected expenses (Subramanyam & Wild 542). Composition of Current Assets The last step in evaluating the liquidity of a company is to look at the composition of current assets. A look at Coach’s common-size percentages is below (figures in thousands): Current assets Cash Accounts receivable Inventories Other current assets Total current assets 2012 $917,215 51% 174,462 10 504,490 28 208,361 11 $1,804,528 100% 2013 $1,062,785 51% 175,477 9 524,706 25 307,979 15 $2,070,947 100% According to these common-size percentages, Coach’s liquidity remained constant between the two years. Use of the acid-test ratio (cash and cash equivalents plus accounts receivable divided by current liabilities) can also test liquidity. Coach’s acid-test ratio in 2012 was 1.52 and in 2013 was 1.71, indicating that its current assets gained liquidity. This slight increase in liquidity is likely due to the slight reduction in the percentage of current assets consumed by inventories. A final ratio in relation to liquidity is the cash flow ratio, which is found by dividing operating cash flow by current liabilities. Coach’s cash flow ratio for 2012 was 1.70 and 2013 was 1.96. This ratio shows that Coach’s operating cash flow over the two years was, on average, 1.8 times more 6 than its current liabilities, meaning that Coach is bringing in sufficient cash to pay for its current liabilities (Subramanyam & Wild 543). A summary of Coach’s ratios related to liquidity is shown in the table below: Ratio Current 2012 2.51 2013 2.87 Ratio Cash to current liabilities Accounts receivable turnover Days’ sales in receivables 2012 1.28 2013 1.47 Acid-test 1.52 1.71 30.02 29.01 13.19 days 12.45 days 128.55 134.51 days days Inventory turnover 2.8 2.68 0.51 Days’ 140.02 sales in days inventories Collection 11.99 Period days Days to sell inventory Cash to current assets 12.41 days 0.51 137.15 days Ratio Days to sell inventories Conversion period 2012 129 days 2013 134 days 153 days 149 days Average payable days outstanding Accounts payable turnover Cash flow 43.13 days 46.75 days 9.47 8.24 1.70 1.96 By analyzing these ratios related to working capital, accounts receivable, inventories, current liabilities, and current asset composition, it can be concluded that Coach has sufficient ability to pay its short-term debt. It has adequate liquid assets, ability to collect on receivables, ability to turn inventory into liquid assets, and ability to pay current obligations. Based on this analysis, a creditor would most likely see Coach as a low risk for lending purposes. SOLVENCY ANALYSIS Solvency refers to a company’s ability to meet its long-term debt obligations. The components of solvency are capital structure, or the company’s sources of financing, and earnings power, which is the company’s ability to earn cash from its operations on a year-to-year 7 basis. Measuring these components gives lenders an idea of a company’s ability to pay back long-term debt, even in the event of financial distress (Subramanyam & Wild, 547). Capital Structure A look at Coach’s common-size statement shows that the company is primarily financed by additional paid-in capital, which makes up most of its stockholder’s equity. They did not issue any preferred stock and the balance of common stock barely made a dent in the stockholder’s equity section. On average, between 2012 and 2013, stockholder’s equity made up about 66 percent of the total liabilities and equity. Coach’s common-size analysis is below (all figures in thousands): Current liabilities Long-term debt Other liabilities Equity capital: Preferred stock Common stock Paid-in capital Retained earnings Other comp. income Total liabilities and equity 2012 $718,160 985 392,245 ---2,851 2,327,055 (387,450) 50,475 $3,104,321 23% 0 13 2013 $722,510 485 399,744 21% 0 11 -0 75 (12) 1 100% ---2,819 2,520,469 (101,884) (12,246) $3,531,897 -0 71 (3) 0 100% To get a better idea of Coach’s capital structure, a ratio analysis needs to be completed. One ratio that can be used is the total debt to total capital ratio (or total debt to total assets). Coach has very little debt compared to capital and its ratio was 0.17 in 2012 and 0.14 in 2013. The reason for the decrease is that Coach’s debt decreased in 2013 while capital increased. Another ratio is the total debt to equity capital ratio, which compares debt to only the stockholder’s equity section of the balance sheet. Coach’s ratios for this are just as low as the total debt to total capital ratio, with 0.21 in 2012 and 0.17 in 2013. A final ratio is the long-term debt to equity capital ratio, which measures only the long-term debt against stockholder’s equity. 8 Coach’s ratios were, again, very low; in 2012 it was 0.0005 and in 2013 it was 0.0002 (Subramanyam & Wild 553-554). These ratios show that Coach does not use very much debt to finance its operations and that Coach’s capital structure is very low risk. A high proportion of debt is associated with the risk of insolvency and inability to pay back the debt and the associated interest expense in times of loss or hardship. A rule of thumb is that if the debt to stockholder’s equity ratio is ten percent or less, there is no risk associated with a company’s financial structure. Coach’s ratios were around the twenty percent mark, and although they fell above ten percent, there is not much reason to believe that the company would be unable to pay their debt (Subramanyam & Wild 555). Earnings Power Earnings power is defined as the ability of a company to bring in cash as a result of operations on a year-to-year basis. It is important to analyze long-term earnings during a solvency analysis because earnings is one of the most reliable indicators of a company’s financial strength or weakness. Measuring a company’s ability to generate cash is a good way to determine how that company would perform during financial distress. Lenders look at earnings power as a way to judge how likely it is that they would be able to collect on the loan if a company was to experience financial hardship (Subramanyam & Wild 547). The two ratios that are commonly used to measure earnings power are the return on assets and return on equity ratios. The return on assets ratio is a percentage ratio that measures how much earnings a company generates off of its assets. It is found by dividing the current year’s net income by average total assets (“Earnings Power Drives Stocks”). Coach’s return on 9 assets ratio for 2012 was 36.2 percent and for 2013 was 31.2 percent. Coach experienced a decline in its return on assets ratio mainly because net income decreased from 2012 to 2013. However, based on the ratios, Coach does generate a good amount of earnings off of its asset base. Return on equity is calculated by dividing net income by average stockholder’s equity, but a good way to understand this ratio is to break it down into its components. The DuPont identity theory breaks down the return on equity ratio into four components: The numerators and denominators cancel each other out, until the actual formula for return on equity is remaining, however, each component of the formula gives an indication of earnings power (“Earnings Power Drives Stocks”). The first component, EAT/EBIT, measures the burden of interest and tax on net income, where EAT is net income and EBIT is operating income. In 2012, Coach’s net income made up 68.7 percent of its operating income while in 2013, 67.8 percent of operating income was made up of net income. This means that interest and tax is not too much of a burden for Coach. The second component, EBIT/Sales, measures the operating margin, or revenues minus operating expenses. In 2012, operating income made up 31.7 of the amount of sales, meaning that Coach’s operating expenses took up about 68 percent of its revenue from sales. In 2013, the ratio was 30 percent. It is a good indication that Coach was able to retain about 30 percent of its sales revenues after operating expenses were paid. The third component, Sales/Average Assets, measures asset turnover, which is a company’s ability to generate revenue from its assets. Coach’s sales were greater than its total assets in both 10 2012 and 2013, so asset turnover was greater than 100 percent for both years. The fourth component, Average Assets/Average Equity, measures financial leverage. This ratio is generally higher for companies that have a lot of debt and lower for those that are more conservatively financed. Coach’s financial leverage in 2012 was 1.59 times and in 2013, it was 1.51 times. This is not surprising because Coach does not have a lot of debt. Finally, return on equity can be calculated by dividing net income by average equity. In 2012, the return on equity for Coach was 58 percent and in 2013, it was 47 percent. This is the amount of Coach’s net income that was available for shareholders. Breaking up the return on equity ratio is a good way to see exactly where the strengths and weaknesses of a company are. Coach appears to be strong in every component (“Earnings Power Drives Stocks”). After analyzing Coach’s capital structure and earnings power, it appears that Coach’s solvency is acceptable. Coach’s capital structure is made up of very little debt, making the company low risk to lenders. It has the ability to generate cash from operations, which was determined by measuring return on assets and return on equity. Coach seems to be well prepared to handle any financial hardship or distress. CONCLUSION After performing an in-depth ratio analysis of the liquidity and solvency of Coach, Inc., it can be concluded that creditors would view this company as low risk for lending and would grant the company a loan. Coach appears to be well equipped to pay its short- and long-term obligations. Coach keeps a good amount of liquid assets on hand, and is able to generate cash and convert its non-liquid assets into cash, while financing itself on operations rather than debt. It is these characteristics that make the company appear attractive and low-risk to lenders. 11 REFERENCES "Earnings Power Drives Stocks." Investopedia. 25 Feb. 2007. Web. 09 Apr. 2015. <http://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/07/earnings-power.asp>. "Receivables Turnover Ratio Definition." Investopedia. 25 Nov. 2003. Web. 09 Apr. 2015. <http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/receivableturnoverratio.asp>. "SEC Filings." COACH. Web. 09 Apr. 2015. <http://www.coach.com/sec-filings.html>. Subramanyam, K. R., and John J. Wild. Financial Statement Analysis. Boston: McGraw Hill Irwin, 2009. Print. 12 COACH, INC. CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (amounts in thousands, except share data) For the Year Ended June 30, 2012 2012 2011 June 30, 2012 ASSETS July 2, 2011 Current Assets: Cash and cash equivalents $ 917,215 $ 699,782 — 2,256 Trade accounts receivable, less allowances of $9,813 and $9,544, respectively 174,462 142,898 Inventories 504,490 421,831 Deferred income taxes 95,419 93,902 Prepaid expenses 39,365 38,203 Other current assets 73,577 53,516 1,804,528 1,452,388 Property and equipment, net 644,449 582,348 Goodwill 376,035 331,004 9,788 9,788 95,223 103,657 174,298 155,931 Short-term investments Total current assets Intangible assets Deferred income taxes Other assets Total assets $ 3,104,321 $ 2,635,116 $ 155,387 $ 118,612 LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY Current Liabilities: Accounts payable Accrued liabilities 540,398 473,610 22,375 795 718,160 593,017 Long-term debt 985 23,360 Other liabilities 392,245 406,170 1,111,390 1,022,547 — — 2,851 2,886 2,327,055 2,000,426 Current portion of long-term debt Total current liabilities Total liabilities See note on commitments and contingencies Stockholders' Equity: Preferred stock: (authorized 25,000,000 shares; $0.01 par value) none issued Common stock: (authorized 1,000,000,000 shares; $0.01 par value) issued and outstanding – 285,118,488 and 288,514,529, respectively Additional paid-in-capital Accumulated deficit Accumulated other comprehensive income Total stockholders' equity Total liabilities and stockholders' equity $ (387,450) (445,654) 50,475 54,911 1,992,931 1,612,569 3,104,321 $ 2,635,116 13 COACH, INC. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (amounts in thousands, except per share data) For the Year Ended June 30, 2012 2012 2011 Net sales $ Cost of sales Gross profit Selling, general and administrative expenses Operating income Interest income, net Other expense $ Income before provision for income taxes July 2, 4,158,507 2011 $ July 3, 3,607,636 2010 1,297,102 1,134,966 973,945 3,466,078 3,023,541 2,633,691 1,954,089 1,718,617 1,483,520 1,511,989 1,304,924 1,150,171 720 1,031 7,961 (7,046) Provision for income taxes Net income June 30, 4,763,180 2012 2010 — (4,736) 1,505,663 1,301,219 1,158,132 466,753 420,419 423,192 $ 1,038,910 $ 880,800 $ 734,940 Basic $ 3.60 $ 2.99 $ 2.36 Diluted $ 3.53 $ 2.92 $ 2.33 Net income per share Shares used in computing net income per share Basic 288,284 294,877 311,413 Diluted 294,129 301,558 315,848 14 COACH, INC. CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (in thousands except per share data) For the Year Ended June 30, 2013 2013 2012 June 29, 2013 ASSETS June 30, 2012 Current Assets: Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,062,785 $ 917,215 72,106 — Trade accounts receivable, less allowances of $1,138 and $9,813, respectively 175,477 174,462 Inventories 524,706 504,490 Deferred income taxes 111,118 95,419 Prepaid expenses 37,956 39,365 Other current assets 86,799 73,577 Total current assets 2,070,947 1,804,528 Property and equipment, net 694,771 644,449 Long-term investments 197,340 6,000 Goodwill 345,039 376,035 9,788 9,788 84,845 95,223 129,167 168,298 Short-term investments Intangible assets Deferred income taxes Other assets Total assets $ 3,531,897 $ 3,104,321 $ 178,857 $ 155,387 LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY Current Liabilities: Accounts payable Accrued liabilities 543,153 540,398 500 22,375 722,510 718,160 Long-term debt 485 985 Other liabilities 399,744 392,245 1,122,739 1,111,390 — — 2,819 2,851 2,520,469 2,327,055 Current portion of long-term debt Total current liabilities Total liabilities See note on commitments and contingencies Stockholders’ Equity: Preferred stock: (authorized 25,000 shares; $0.01 par value) none issued Common stock: (authorized 1,000,000 shares; $0.01 par value) issued and outstanding – 281,902 and 285,118, respectively Additional paid-in-capital Accumulated deficit Accumulated other comprehensive income Total stockholders’ equity Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity (101,884) (387,450) (12,246) 50,475 1,992,931 2,409,158 $ 3,531,897 $ 3,104,321 15 COACH, INC. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (in thousands except per share data) For the Year Ended June 30, 2013 2013 Net sales $ Cost of sales 2012 June 29, 5,075,390 2013 $ 2011 June 30, 4,763,180 2012 $ July 2, 4,158,507 2011 1,377,242 1,297,102 1,134,966 3,698,148 3,466,078 3,023,541 2,173,607 1,954,089 1,718,617 1,524,541 1,511,989 1,304,924 Interest income 2,369 720 1,031 Other expense (6,384) Gross profit Selling, general and administrative expenses Operating income Income before provision for income taxes Provision for income taxes (7,046) (4,736) 1,520,526 1,505,663 1,301,219 486,106 466,753 420,419 $ 1,034,420 $ 1,038,910 $ 880,800 Basic $ 3.66 $ 3.60 $ 2.99 Diluted $ 3.61 $ 3.53 $ 2.92 Net income Net income per share Shares used in computing net income per share Basic 282,494 288,284 294,877 Diluted 286,307 294,129 301,558 Cash dividends declared per common share $ 1.24 $ 0.98 $ 0.68