Cash Flow Analysis Lindsay Dastrup Overview • • • • • Direct method Indirect method Cash flow patterns Cash flow ratios Free cash flow Categories of Cash Flow • Operating Activities – transactions that affect the determination of net income • Investing Activities – sale and purchase of property, buildings, and equipment • Financing Activities – transactions whereby cash is obtained from or repaid to owners Cash Flow from Operations TWO METHODS • Direct method – the reporting of the cash received or disbursed of each income statement item • Indirect method – the adjustment of the net income for items that do not affect cash flow Orchard Blossom Company End of the Year Balance Sheet Cash Accounts receivable Inventory Wages payble Income Statement Sales Cost of goods sold Wages expenses Depreciation expense Net income $25 60 75 10 150 -80 -25 -30 15 Beginning of year 15 40 100 7 Direct Method Sales and cash collected from customers Beginning accounts receivables +sales =cash available for collection -ending accounts receivable =cash collected from customers $ 40 150 $ 190 60 $ 130 Direct Method Cost of goods sold and cash paid for inventory Ending inventory +cost of goods sold =required inventory -beginning inventory =inventory purchased $ 75 80 $ 155 100 $ 55 Direct Method Wages expense and cash paid for wages Beginning wages payable +wage expense =total wages payable -ending wages payable =cash paid for wages $ 7 25 $ 32 10 $ 22 Cash from Operating Activities: Direct Method Cash collected from customers Cash paid for inventory Cash paid for wages Cash paid for depreciation Net cash from operating activities $ 130 -55 -22 0 $ 53 Indirect method Net income +depreciation -increase in accounts receivables +decrease in inventory +increase in wages payable = net cash from operating activities $ 15 30 -20 25 3 $ 53 Cash from Investing Long-term investments Book value of long term investments sold +gain (loss) on sale =cash proceeds Cash from Investing Buildings and Equipment Beginning buildings and equipment balance -original cost of buildings and equipment sold =ending balance Cash from Financing Dividends paid Beginning balance of retained earnings -dividends declared +net income =ending balance of retained earnings Cash from Financing Dividends paid Dividends declared -increase in dividends payable =cash paid for dividends Cash from Financing Issued common stock +borrowed short term debt +borrowed long term debt -dividends paid -treasury stock purchases =cash from financing activities Analysis of Cash flows • Cash flow patterns • Cash flow ratios Cash Flow Patterns Start-up, high growth company Large cash inflows from financing pays for • capital expansion • subsidized negative cash flow from operations Cash flow patterns Steady-state company Cash flow from operation is sufficient to • replenish long term assets • pay dividends Cash flow pattern Cash cow Large cash inflow from operations • capital expansion • repay loans • pay cash dividends • repurchase of company stock Cash flow ratios Cash flow–to-net income Cash from operations Net income • Measure of earnings quality • Tends to be greater than 1 • Should remain fairly stable for the years for a specific company Cash flow ratios Cash flow adequacy Cash from operations Cash required for investing activities • Measures relationship between investment spending and cash generated by operations • Indicate a company’s attitude towards reinvestment in long-lived production assets • When ratio is small it indicates that cash flows from operations fall short of funding growth Cash flow ratios Cash times interest earned (Cash from operations + Interest paid + Taxes paid) Interest expense • Measures ability to service debt • Generally, a higher ratio indicates more solvency Free cash flow Profit after tax +depreciation +investment in fixed assets +investment in working capital =free cash flow Tire City Corporation 1. Given the income statement and balance sheet, determine the operating cash flows, the investment cash flows, and the financing cash flows 2. Determine the value of the firm using the following assumptions: WACC (discount rate)= 15.06% Growth rate= 5.0% 1998 FCF= $759.24 Tire City Corporation For years ending 12/31 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 INCOME STATEMENT Net Sales Cost of sales Gross profit 16,230.00 9,430.00 6,800.00 20,355.00 11,898.00 8,457.00 23,505.00 13,612.00 9,893.00 28,206.00 16,334.40 11,871.60 33,847.20 19,601.28 14,245.92 Net income 5,195.00 160.00 1,445.00 119.00 1,326.00 546.00 780.00 6,352.00 180.00 1,925.00 106.00 1,819.00 822.00 997.00 7,471.00 213.00 2,209.00 94.00 2,115.00 925.00 1,190.00 8,965.20 313.00 2,593.40 87.50 2,505.90 1,002.36 1,503.54 10,758.24 313.00 3,174.68 104.72 3,069.96 1,227.99 1,841.98 155.00 200.00 240.00 300.71 368.40 Selling, general, and administrative expenses Depreciation EBIT Net interest expense Pre-tax income (EBT) Income taxes Dividends Tire City Corporation BALANCE SHEET Assets Cash Accounts receivable Inventories Total current assets 508.00 2,545.00 1,630.00 4,683.00 609.00 3,095.00 1,838.00 5,542.00 706.00 3,652.00 2,190.00 6,548.00 847.20 4,382.40 1,625.00 6,854.60 1,016.64 5,258.88 3,153.60 9,429.12 Net plant & equipment 3,232.00 1,335.00 1,897.00 563.00 3,795.00 1,515.00 2,280.00 368.00 4,163.00 1,728.00 2,435.00 2,000.00 6,163.00 2,041.00 4,122.00 400.00 6,563.00 2,354.00 4,209.00 Total assets 6,580.00 7,822.00 8,983.00 10,976.60 13,638.12 Total current liabilities 125.00 1,042.00 1,145.00 2,312.00 125.00 1,325.00 1,432.00 2,882.00 125.00 1,440.00 1,653.00 3,218.00 125.00 297.17 1,728.00 1,983.60 4,133.77 125.00 867.79 2,073.60 2,380.32 5,446.71 Long-term debt 1,000.00 875.00 750.00 625.00 500.00 Common stock Accumulated retained earnings Total shareholders' equity 1,135.00 2,133.00 3,268.00 1,135.00 2,930.00 4,065.00 1,135.00 3,880.00 5,015.00 1,135.00 5,082.83 6,217.83 1,135.00 6,556.41 7,691.41 Total liabilities and equity 6,580.00 7,822.00 8,983.00 10,976.60 13,638.12 CapEx Gross plant & equipment Accumulated depreciation Liabilities Current Debt Bank debt Accounts payable Accrued expenses Tire City Corporation 1993 Operating Cash flows ONWC Change in ONWC CAPEX UFCF 2,496.00 1994 1,335.00 2,785.00 289.00 563.00 483.00 1995 1,538.40 3,455.00 670.00 368.00 500.40 1996 1,869.04 3,143.00 (312.00) 2,000.00 181.04 1997 2,217.81 4,975.20 1,832.20 400.00 (14.39) Tire City Corporation Year UFCF Discounted CF years 1-2 SUM years 1-2) 1995 0 146.47 Terminal Cash Flow Discounted terminal value 7,547.14 5,700.77 Firm Value 5,847.25 1996 1 181.04 1997 2 (14.39) 157.34 (10.87) 1998 3 759.2424 Summary • Operating – Income statement and current assets and liabilities • Investing – Long-term assets • Financing – Long-term liabilities and owner’s equity Summary • Ratios – Cash flow to net income – Cash flow adequacy – Cash times interest earned Reading List • Intermediate Accounting by Stice, Stice, Skousen; 15th edition • Principles of Corporate Finance by Brealey, Myers, Allen; 8th edition