Developments in Economics Education Conference MBA students and threshold concepts in Economics Dr Keith Gray, Peri Yavash & Dr Mark Bailey* Coventry University & *University of Ulster 1. Main Aims • Examine ‘economic awareness’ of MBA students • Identify most problematic threshold concepts • Design materials to enhance understanding and performance • Identify factors affecting student performance in general 2. Primary Research Tool Multiple–choice test devised which included the three categories of threshold concepts: • Discipline: economic systems, opportunity cost, gains from trade, the margin, welfare • Personal: profits, incentives, price/cost, economic definitions • Procedural: competition, externalities, elasticity, competition 2.1 Research Time Horizon (Cohort 1 Sept 2006 & Cohort 2 Feb 2007) Baseline Multi-choice test (week 1) End Multi-choice test (week 10) 2.2 Comparability of Cohorts Comparable re Minimum qualifications – Minimum graduate experience – Minimum English scores – Tutor – Kolmogorov-Smirnov test – 2.3 Data Collection • Cohort 1 - answered the same multiple choice questions at the beginning and end of their course • Most problematic threshold concepts identified • New teaching materials devised • Cohort 2 – answered the same multiple choice questions at the beginning and end of their course, but new teaching materials and learning environment included 18 84 80 -4.8 Margin 15 54 82 51.9 Opportunity Cost Opportunity Cost 10 11 52 76 58 88 11.5 15.8 Opportunity Cost 5 74 80 8.1 Welfare 3 72 60 -16.7 Gains from trade 1 92 94 2.2 Margin Gains from trade Question Beginning End % change (value added) Opportunity Cost Discipline Threshold Concepts Economic systems 2.4 Performance for different types of threshold concepts 19 90 86 -4.4 20 74 76 2.7 Ave 74 78 2.7 Table 2.1: Cohort 1 – Performance for Discipline Threshold Concepts ( % of students who achieved the correct answer). Incentives Price/Cost Economic Definitions 2 4 6 9 13 16 Ave % 86 78 84 82 66 44 73 70 90 90 30 92 82 75 -18.6 15.4 7.1 -63.4 39.4 86.8 5.4 Price/Cost Profit Question Number Beginning of course End of course % change (value added) Price/Cost Personal Threshold Concepts Table 2.2: Cohort 1 – Performance for Personal Threshold Concepts ( % of students who achieved the correct answer). Procedural Threshold Concepts Competition Externalities Elasticity Competition Competition Question 7 8 12 14 17 Ave % Beginning 16 56 76 80 50 56 End 80 58 46 20 78 57 % change (value added) 400 3.6 -39.5 -75 56 1.8 Table 2.3: Cohort 1 – Performance for Procedural Threshold Concepts ( % of students who achieved the correct answer). 2.5 The most problematic threshold concepts? Competition 19 -4.44 Elasticity 18 -4.8 Price/Cost 3 -16.7 Price/Cost Opportunity Cost Question % change (value added) Opportunity Cost Problem Threshold Concepts Opportunity Cost • Defined as all questions (concepts) which had negative value added 2 -18.6 9 -63.4 12 -39.5 14 -75 Table 2.4: Problematic threshold concepts (negative value added) Additional problem questions? • Questions which less than 40% of students answered correctly Q9 Price/Cost Q14 competition (both already included) • Questions which only 40-50% of students answered correctly Q12 Elasticity (already included) • Questions which only 50-60% of students answered correctly Q10 Margin Q8 Externalities For all other questions, 60-94% of students obtained the correct answer. Most Problematic Threshold Concepts • Opportunity Cost • Price/Cost • Competition • Margin • Elasticity • Externalities 3. Pedagogical Developments in teaching materials for Cohort 2 • Bespoke mini–cases in seminars, e.g. Pricing and Costs in Airline Industry • Integration of seamless video clips in lectures, e.g. Work/Leisure Balance (opportunity cost and margin) • Integration of more Q & A sessions in lectures, covering all “problematic” threshold Concepts 4. Comparison of results for Cohort 1 and Cohort 2 4.1 Overall comparison of value added for Cohort 1 and Cohort 2 12 10 8 Cohort 1 Cohort 2 6 4 2 0 Discipline Procedural Personal Graph 4.1: Comparison of Value Added for cohorts 1 and 2 Externalities Competition 3 18 19 2 9 12 14 10 8 -16.7 -4.8 -4.44 -18.6 -63.4 -39.5 -75 11.5% 3.6% Cohort 2 6.7% 3.6% 19.2% 10.7% 20% 10.7% 5.26% 5.26% 25% Margin Price/Cost Question Number % change (value added) Cohort 1 Elasticity Price/Cost Opportunity Cost Opportunity Cost Threshold Concepts Opportunity Cost 4.2 Comparison of results for problematic threshold concepts Table 4.2: Comparison of value added for Cohort 1 and Cohort 2 5. Performance Indicators and Models Table 5.1: Cohort 1 & Cohort 2: Pearson Correlations Baseline Multi –choice (mc) (week 1) End Multi – Formative choice Test (week 10) (week 5) Phase Test (week 8) Essay Cohort 1 Cohort 2 .589** .275 .460** .526** .229 .177 .022 .141 .170 .179 45 34 57 35 57 35 57 35 Cohort 1 Cohort 2 N= 50 N= 38 Mod Mark (week 10) Note: ** or ** = Highly significant at 99% confidence level Commentary: Baseline Correlations a) Relatively strong (+) correlation between Base & End mc for Cohort 1 Highly sig. relationship Base & End mc for Cohort 1 only b) Strong (+) correlation & highly sig. relationship re Base & Formative test for both cohorts c) No clear pattern re other assessments or statistically sig. relationships Table 5.2: Cohort 1 & 2: Pearson Correlations: N=50 N=38 Personal End Personal Baseline .506** .324* Discipline Baseline Procedural Baseline Discipline End Procedural End .470** .160 .312* .198 Note: ** = Highly significant at 99% confidence level * or * = Significant at 95% confidence level Other Comments on Table 5.2: Sig. relationship between Baseline & End mc for Personal categories only for Cohort 2 Notable that strength of correlation & sig. lower across the board for Cohort 2 Why? ....... performance models Performance Model Present a Tobit regression model Module mark as dependent variable General to specific approach Following table records a range of included variables/ results Coefficient t - value Gender 3.246 1.68 Econ education 9.005 3.18 Business Education 7.795 3.08 Science Education 11.829 4.23 Higher degree 4.776 2.11 Semester 1 - 1.999 -1.37 S. E. Asia - 5.694 -2.74 Baseline Personal -.001 -.02 Baseline Procedural . 061 1.65 Baseline Discipline .037 .91 Constant 43.039 9.45 Nos. observations Chi – squared 84 33.16 Pseudo – R2 0.3114 Table 5.3: Tobit Model Tobit Model Commentary: Highlights • • • • • Ceteris paribus, females score 3.24% higher than males Having a science degree raises scores by 11.8% Having an economics degree raises scores by 9% Notably, studying in Semester 1 lowers scores by 2% No threshold concept related variables significantly affected performance • Large constant may hide the effect of the teaching strategies used 6. Conclusions • Revised pedagogy focusing on the most problematic threshold concepts appears, ceteris paribus, to have had a positive impact on the understanding of these threshold concepts (re multi-choice test performance) • This finding may reflect the nature of Coventry University MBA students, limiting its general applicability • The weakness of threshold concept related variables in explaining overall performance may reflect the characteristics of the chosen dependent variable (module mark) • Available data will allow regression of threshold concept related variables and other independent variables against other dependent variables, e.g. summative components Short Bibliography • Davies, P. & Mangan, J. (2005) Embedding Threshold Concepts: from theory to pedagogical principles to learning activities, Working Paper 3, Embedding Threshold Concepts http://www.staffs.ac.uk/schools/business/iepr/info/Econo mics(2).html • Maddala, G.(1992), Limited Dependent & Qualitative Variables in Econometrics, Cambridge University Press