The Project Schedule and Budget Chapter 7 7-1 Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Learning Objectives Describe the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK®) area called project cost management. Develop a Gantt chart. Develop a project network diagram using the activity on the node (AON) technique. Identify a project’s critical path and explain why it must be controlled and managed. Develop a PERT diagram. Describe the concept of precedence diagramming and identify finish-tostart, start-to-start, finish-to-finish, and start-to-finish activity relationships 7-2 The Importance of Project Cost Management IT projects have a poor track record for meeting budget goals A 2011 Harvard Business Review study reported an average cost overrun of 27 percent. The most important finding was the discovery of a large number of gigantic overages or “black swans” Examples of how not to mange costs The U.S. government (e.g. IRS) The United Kingdom’s National Health Service IT http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-15014288 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24130684 http://www.hsj.co.uk/news/technology/rising-cost-of-nhsit-fiasco/5063357.article#.UlbD8NKsh8E 4 Project Cost Management Processes Process Group Planning Monitoring and Controlling Cost Management Process Major Output CP1: Planning Cost Mgmt Cost Management Plan CP2: Estimating Costs Activity Cost Estimates CP3: Determining the Budget Cost Performance Baseline MC1: Controlling Costs Work Perf. Measurements Budget Forecasts 5 What is Cost and Project Cost Management? 6 Project Cost Management Processes Scope Baseline Schedule Baseline Estimate bases Determine Budget Estimate Costs Activity Cost Estimates Project Funding Req. Control Costs Cost Baseline PMBOK® Project Cost Management Estimate Costs Focuses on the processes to estimate the monetary resources needed to complete the project work or activities. Determine Budget Aggregating the individual cost for each of the project activities or work package components to determine the cost baseline or overall project budget. Control Costs Updating the project’s status while monitoring the project’s budget and managing any changes to the baseline plan. 7-8 The Project Planning Framework 7-9 Budget and Schedule Development 7-10 Developing the Project Schedule Project Management Tools 7-11 Gantt Chart for Planning 7-12 Gantt Chart Reporting: Project’s Progress 7-13 Project Network Diagram: Activity Analysis for AON Activity Description Estimated Duration (Days) Predecessor A Evaluate current technology platform 2 None B Define user requirements 5 A C Design Web page layouts 4 B D Set-up Server 3 B E Estimate Web traffic 1 B F Test Web pages and links 4 C,D G Move web pages to production environment 3 D,E H Write announcement of intranet for corp. newsletter 2 F,G I Train users 5 G J Write report to management 1 H,I 7-14 Activity on the Node (AON) Network Diagram 7-15 Possible Activity Paths Possible Paths Path Total Path 1 Path 2 Path 3 Path 4 Path 5 7-16 Critical Path 7-17 PERT 7-18 Activity Analysis for PERT Activity Predecessor Optimistic Estimates (Days) Most Likely Estimates (Days) Pessimistic Estimates (Days) A None 1 2 4 B A 3 5 8 C B 2 4 5 D B 2 3 6 E B 1 1 1 F C,D 2 4 6 G D,E 2 3 4 H F,G 1 2 5 I G 4 5 9 J H,I .5 1 3 Expected Duration 7-19 Activity Analysis for PERT 7-20 Possible PERT Activity Paths Possible Paths Path 1 Path 2 Path 3 Path 4 Path 5 Path Total Precedence Diagramming Method - PDM Based on 4 fundamental relationships 7-22 Lead and Lag times Lead is starting the next task before the first task is complete Lag (or negative lead) is the adding of a buffer of time before the next task begins 7-23 Critical Path Analysis (with slack time) 7-24