Farm Leasing Arrangements Tim Eggers Field Agricultural Economist teggers@iastate.edu 712-542-5171 www.extension.iastate.edu/feci Top Issues • • • • • • • • Land Values Cash Rental Rates Custom Rates Leasing Practices Crop-Share Leases Calculating a Cash Rent Lease Flexible Cash Leases Bio-economy Tools • ISU Extension Staff Resources • Ag Decision Maker – Decision Aids • Annual Surveys • Publications – Decision Tools • Agricultural Management e-School – Farm Leasing Arrangements course • Non ISUE resources December 2007 Corn Futures November 2007 Soybean Futures December 2008 Corn Futures November 2008 Soybean Futures What Should the Cash Rent Be? $9.80 $350 $8.80 $300 $7.80 November Soybeans Tenant’s Residual $250 $6.80 $5.80 $200 Crop Share $4.80 Share of Gross $150 2007 Futures 2008 Futures December Corn $3.80 $2.80 $100 Aug Sept Oct Shar e of Gr oss Nov Dec T enant 's Resi dual Jan Feb Cr op Shar e E qui val ent M ar Apr M ay December Cor n June July November B eans When did you run the numbers? Share o f Gro ss Tenant's Residual Cro p Share Equivalent $300 $250 $200 $150 2007 Futures 2008 Futures $100 Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb M ar Apr M ay June July With these prices? $8.80 $7.80 $6.80 December Co rn No vember B eans $5.80 2007 Futures $4.80 2008 Futures $3.80 $2.80 Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb M ar Apr M ay June July Northeast Northwest Ethanol Plants low high Ethanol Plants average Elevators low high average Elevators Oct 06 2.53 2.75 2.64 2.55 2.59 2.76 2.67 2.64 Nov 06 3.21 3.35 3.28 3.18 3.19 3.36 3.28 3.22 Dec 06 3.39 3.52 3.45 3.31 3.34 3.46 3.40 3.34 Jan 07 3.46 3.61 3.54 3.44 3.49 3.60 3.55 3.53 Feb 07 3.76 3.93 3.85 3.76 3.75 3.90 3.82 3.78 Mar 07 3.80 3.84 3.82 3.62 3.66 3.83 3.75 3.68 Apr 07 3.23 3.45 3.34 3.24 3.20 3.44 3.32 3.33 May 07 3.35 3.59 3.47 3.40 3.27 3.55 3.41 3.47 Jun 07 3.53 3.73 3.63 3.47 3.59 3.84 3.71 3.66 Corn Price Difference, Average Ethanol Bids Minus Elevator Bids, Northeast and Northwest Iowa $0.25 $0.20 $0.15 $0.10 $0.05 $$(0.05) Northeast Iowa Northwest Iowa $(0.10) Oct 06 Nov 06 Dec Jan 07 Feb 06 07 Mar Apr 07 May 07 07 Jun 07 www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm Iowa Farmland Value Surveys • Iowa State University Extension – – – – conducted annually around November 1st mailed survey sent to 1,100 licensed real estate brokers usually 500-600 responses released in mid-December • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago – quarterly survey of ag lenders by state – http://www.chicagofed.org/economic_research_and_data/ag_letter.cfm • Realtors Land Institute – semi-annual survey (March and September) – compares land classification by corn production – includes pasture and timber land – http://www.centralstatesland.com/csmlsdisplay.asp?id=ed01 Distribution of Iowa Farmland by Age of Owner and Year 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% < 25 25-34 35-44 1982 45-54 1992 55-64 2002 65-74 > 75 Positive Factors Affecting Land Values, 2003-2006 Recent Land Value Estimates • Chicago Fed – 7% increase in the 1st quarter – 16% increase April to April • Iowa Chapter of Realtors Land Institute – 13.6% increase from September 06 to March 07 • ISU Soil Management Conference – forecast a 20% increase from November 07 to November 08 Prior to September 15, 2006 • Record increases in land value for each of the prior three years • Drivers – poor overall economy – low interest rates – attractiveness of land investment • Investors have been a major factor Post September 15, 2006 • Bioeconomy boom • Newfound support for fourth year of record increases • Existing farmers are becoming more active participants • Land at 173% 2000 value Factors to Watch • Overall performance of the economy – interest rates – housing market • Recreational demand • Aging farmland owners and their heirs • Bioeconomy – corn based ethanol • Farm Program – more of the same/cuts/regional differences Audubon Guthrie Leasing Practices Crop Reporting District 7 Percent of Crop Acres Pottawattamie Cass Adair Owner operated 47% Custom farmed 3% Cash Rent 18% Crop Share 30% Other Lease 2% Total:Mills 100% Adams Montgomery Percent of: Leased Acres Leases Written lease 35% 38% Leased to relative 40% 22% Farm resident owner 35% 38% Fremont Taylor Professional ManagerPage 5% 4% Length of tenure (yrs.) 12 P O C C C O T Union W L F Ringgold P L Cash/Crop Share/Owner Operator 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1982 1992 Owner Operated 1997 Cash Rent 2002 Crop Share Southwest Other Crop Share Practices Crop Share 50-50 Lease Landlord Tenant Labor Land ½ inputs ½ inputs Machinery Management ½ income ½ income Crop Share 50-50 Lease Landlord Tenant Land $212 Labor $ 27 ½ inputs $114 ½ inputs $114 Machinery $ 63 Management $123 ½ income $327 ½ income $327 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 $ per acre Net Returns to Owner--Corn/Soybeans Rotation 160 140 120 100 Crop-share 80 Cash 60 Net Returns to Tenant--Corn/Soybeans Rotation Crop-share Cash 110 70 50 30 10 (10) 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 $ per acre 90 (30) Leasing Opportunity Soil Type: Acres: Percent: ---------- -------- -------T370B 61.47 23.2% 248 17.72 6.7% T368 16.70 6.3% 212 11.71 4.4% T369 87.78 33.1% 133 9.69 3.7% 220 60.11 22.7% ---------- --------------Totals 265.19 100.0% CSR ----85 60 90 91 85 80 85 ----83.73 Iowa Corn Suitability Rating based yield estimation: 179 bushels per acre Determining A “Fair” Cash Rent Value Supporting Information Location: Tillable Acres: Corn Yield: Soybean Yield: Corn Suitability Rating: Page County 265 Acres 179 bu/Acre 49 bu/A 84 CSR Calculating Cash Rent Values Cash Rent Market Approach ISU Extension Publication FM 1851 – Cash Rental Rates for Iowa 2007 Survey (released in May) Three Methods for Determining Cash Rent Values Typical Cash Rent Average Rent for Production Average Rent for Corn Suitability Rating (CSR) Calculating Cash Rent 1.Typical Cash Rent Select the Area of the State/County Area 10 County Page Determine Overall average $ 132 High Quality Third = $ 161 Middle Quality Third = $ 130 Low Quality Third = $ 104 Calculating Cash Rent 2 a. Average Rents Per Unit – Corn Yield Select the Area of the State/County Determine Average Rent for Corn Farm’s Average Corn Yield (bu/A) Times rent per bushel of Corn yield Equals the Average Rent for Corn Acre 179 $ .96 $ 172 Calculating Cash Rent 2 b. Average Rents Per Unit – Soybean Yield Select the Area of the State/County Determine Average Rent for Soybeans Farm’s Average Soybean Yield (bu/A) 49 Times rent per bushel of Soybean yield $ 3.08 Equals the Average Rent for Soybean Acres $151 Calculating Cash Rent 2. Average Rents Per Unit – Corn & Soybeans Add the Average Rent for Both Corn Average Rent Soybean Average Rent $ 172 $ 151 Average Rent Corn & Soybeans $ 161 Using Corn Suitability Rating (CSR) 3. Average Rents Per CSR Index Point Select the Area of the State/County Determine the Average Cash Rent using CSR Farm’s Average Corn Suitability Rating 84 Times rent per CSR index point $ 1.76 Equals the Average Rent for all Row Crop Acres $ 148 Source: ISU Extension Publication FM- 1851 Overall Average Average all 3 Methods Method 1: Typical Cash Rent $ 161 Method 2: Average Rents per Unit $ 161 Method 3: Average Rents per CSR Index Point $ 148 Total all Methods and divide by 3 $157 /A X 265 Tillable Acres = $157 /A $41,517 Split Payments of $20,758 and $20,758 Source: ISU Extension Publication FM- 1851 Cash Lease Calculations Gross Income Method Tenant Residual Method Crop Share Method Return on Investment Method Assumptions • • • • 265 crop acres 179 bushel corn yield 49 bushel Soybean yield Corn Market Price $3.50 / bu – December 2008 minus 50 cents • Soybean Market Price $8.70 / bu – November 2008 minus 50 cents • Direct Government Payments average $22.00 / acre Share of Gross Income CORN: (179 bu X $3.50) + $22 = $648.50 SOYBEANS: (49 bu X $8.70) + $22 = $448.30 Iowa cash rents typically are equal to about 30 to 40 percent of the gross income from producing corn, and 35 to 45 percent of the gross income from producing soybeans. Cash Rental Rate CORN: $648.50/ac X 35% = $ 227 SOYBEANS: $448.30/ac x 40% = $ 179 Average $ 203 Tenant Residual Method CORN: $648.50 – $368.47 = $280.03 SOYBEAN: $448.30 - $194.70 = $253.60 Average: 30% lower prices or lower yield 20% lower prices or lower yield 10% higher prices or lower yield $266.79 $109 $162 $319 Crop Share Method 50-50 Share Income: Corn: 50 % x 648.50 = $324.25 Soybeans: 50 % x $448.30 = $224.15 Expense: Corn: 50 % x $237.28 = $118.64 Soybeans: 50 % x $161.49 = $62.66 Equivalent Rent: Corn: $324.25 - $118.64 = $205.61 Soybean: $224.15 - $62.66 = $161.49 Average: $183.51 (1) The owner is assumed to pay 50 percent of the costs for seed, fertilizer, lime, pesticides, crop insurance, interest and miscellaneous, and drying and storage. Return on Investment Method Iowa farm estimated to have a market value of $3,700 per acre. Expected Rent: (5%) X $3,700 / acre = $185 / acre 5.66% Corn Soybeans Cash Rent Survey Per Bushel Yield Per CSR Point Gross Income Tenant Residual Crop Share Return on Investment $161 $172 $148 $229 $280 $206 $185 $161 $151 $148 $169 $254 $161 $185 Average $197 $176 All Average: $186 2006 Average: $130 43% increase Machinery costs Fixed costs Variable costs Depreciation Repairs Interest Labor Storage Fuel Insurance IFBA 2005 Machinery Costs FM 1789 Low Third $71 Mid Third $76 High Third $90 Iowa Farm Costs and Returns (updated in September) Power Mach Cost vs Invest. Cost (Per Acre) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 Mach & Power Cost 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Mach & Power Investment 2006 Direct Corn Expenses 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Seed Fertilizer & Lime Insecticide Drying & Storage Herbicide Direct Bean Expenses 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Seed Fertilizer & Lime Insecticide Drying & Storage Herbicide Flexible Cash Leases Desire: Terminated tenants want cash rent leases to be renewed by September 1 for the following year Current Reality: Prices and yields are very unpredictable Solution: Flexible lease contract Advantages Price and production risk shared as well as profit opportunities Actual rent adjusts as production or price change Owner does not have to be involved in decision making about inputs or marketing Disadvantages Owner and producer share in risks Not as well understood as traditional cash lease or crop share More difficult to calculate Owner benefits from tenant’s management skills Tenant loses windfall profit potential from high prices Types of Flexible Cash Leases • Rent varies with both price and yield – Matches tenant’s ability to pay • Rent varies with yield only – Could have high yields, low prices • Rent varies with price, only – Could have low yields, high prices Flexible Cash Lease is a Share Lease • Farm Service Agency says that if the actual rent depends on the farm yield, direct and counter cyclical payments must be shared with the landowner. • Considered to be a “share” lease • Does not apply to LDPs or marketing loan gains. Flexible Cash Lease is a Cash Lease • If the final rent does not depend on the farm yield, a flexible rent is still considered to be a cash rent. • Example: base rent on county average yield and actual price at harvest. • County yields are not published until March each year. Base plus Bonus • Paying a “flex bonus” when revenue is above expectations does not affect the split of payments if it is not based on the actual farm yield. • Provide a copy of your agreement to the FSA county office. 71 Plants 66Potential Planned +Iowa current in Iowa 63 11Just Just across across the borders 11 IA Borders * * * * * * HowardWinnesh Osceola * DickensonEmmet * Mitchell * WinnebagoWorth Allamakee iek * O’Brien Clay Palo * Kosuth Hancoc * Floyd Sioux* * * *Chickasaw Fayette C erroG ordo Alto * k Clayton Humbol Cherokee * BuenaV*ista Pocahontas dt* *Wright Franklin Butler Bremer Plymouth * * * * BlackHawk Buchana Delawa *a *Sac Calhoun Webster * Hamilton Woodbury Id * re ** Grundy Hardin n * * Lyon Tama * Monona Crawford Carroll Greene * * * * Shelby Audubon Guthrie *Pottawattamie Mills * Fremont Figure 1. Boone * Harrison * * Montgomery *Page Adair Cass * Adams * Story r * Dalla Polk s Madis on * Union Marshal l Jasper Benton n Jackson Jones * ** ** * Poweshiek Johnson Cedar Iowa * Mucatine * Warren Marion Mahask Keokuk a Clarke Linn Dubuque Lucas Monroe Taylor Ringgold Decatur Wayne Appanoose *Wapello Davis * Scott * Clinton n Washington Jefferson Louisa Henry * DesMoines VanBuren Lee Capacity: 142% 129% of Capacity: of 2006 2006crop Crop * corn processing & plants, current &&planned, 06 Iowa processing & ethanol ethanol plants, current planned, 10/26/06 Iowa Corn Processing Plants, Current & Actual Planned, 5/30/07 Iowa Corn Processing & Ethanol Plant Locations, Locations, Actual & & Planned Planned. , 11/20/ . 9/26/06 Total 11,693 mil. Bu. Hazards for 2008 • Lower crop insurance prices • Higher input costs – rent, fuel, fertilizer, seed, machinery, and drying • Yields – low or at insurance coverage levels • Price – average or below break even • Increased world supplies or low ethanol prices Other Resources • Materials from this meeting – • Online Courses – Ag Management e-School – • http://www.extension.iastate.edu/pubs/ Articles and spreadsheets – • http://dbs.extension.iastate.edu/calendar/ Publications – rental survey, land value survey, etc. – • http://www.extension.iastate.edu/ames Workshops, meetings, conferences – • http://www.extension.iastate.edu/feci/Leasing/vflm.html http://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/ Private Consultation – http://www.extension.iastate.edu/ag/fsfm/fsfarmmg.html Farm Lease Arrangements Land Leasing Confidence A.M.E.S. Agricultural Management e-school An ISU Extension Outreach Institute • • • • • • • • • • Introduction to Farm Leases Cash Rent Leases Crop Share Leases Custom Farming Renting Buildings Renting Hay and Pasture Land Legal and Tax Considerations Conservation and Environmental Considerations USDA Agencies and Programs Owner and Operator Relations Farmland Ownership Purchase Plan A.M.E.S. Agricultural Management e-school An ISU Extension Outreach Institute • • • • • Land Value Trends Using Soils Information Appraisal Techniques Financing Considerations Feasibility of a Land Purchase Thank You! Tim Eggers Field Ag Economist ISU Page County Extension 311 East Washington Clarinda, Iowa 51632 (712) 542-5171 teggers@iastate.edu www.extension.iastate.edu/feci Our Mission ISU Extension builds We believe in . . . partnerships and provides • Quality research-based learning • Access opportunities to improve • Diversity quality of life in Iowa • Accountability