McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2014 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Key Concepts and Skills • Know how to determine: – A firm’s cost of equity capital – A firm’s cost of debt – A firm’s overall cost of capital • Understand pitfalls of overall cost of capital and how to manage them 12-2 Cost of Capital Basics • The cost to a firm for capital funding = the return to the providers of those funds – The return earned on assets depends on the risk of those assets – A firm’s cost of capital indicates how the market views the risk of the firm’s assets – A firm must earn at least the required return to compensate investors for the financing they have provided – The required return is the same as the appropriate discount rate 12-3 Cost of Equity • The cost of equity is the return required by equity investors given the risk of the cash flows from the firm • Two major methods for determining the cost of equity - Dividend growth model - SML or CAPM Return to Quick Quiz 12-4 The Dividend Growth Model Approach Start with the dividend growth model formula and rearrange to solve for RE D1 P0 RE g RE D1 g P0 12-5 Example: Dividend Growth Model • Your company is expected to pay a dividend of $4.40 per share next year. (D1) • Dividends have grown at a steady rate of 5.1% per year and the market expects that to continue. (g) • The current stock price is $50. (P0) • What is the cost of equity? 4.40 RE .051 .139 50 12-6 Example: Estimating the Dividend Growth Rate • One method for estimating the growth rate is to use the historical average Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Dividend Percent Change 1.23 (1.30 – 1.23) / 1.23 = 5.7% 1.30 (1.36 – 1.30) / 1.30 = 4.6% 1.36 (1.43 – 1.36) / 1.36 = 5.1% 1.43 (1.50 – 1.43) / 1.43 = 4.9% 1.50 Average = (5.7 + 4.6 + 5.1 + 4.9) / 4 = 5.1% 12-7 Advantages and Disadvantages of Dividend Growth Model • Advantage – easy to understand and use • Disadvantages – Only applicable to companies currently paying dividends – Not applicable if dividends aren’t growing at a reasonably constant rate – Extremely sensitive to the estimated growth rate – Does not explicitly consider risk 12-8 The SML Approach • Use the following information to compute the cost of equity – Risk-free rate, Rf – Market risk premium, E(RM) – Rf – Systematic risk of asset, RE Rf E ( E( RM ) Rf ) 12-9 Example: SML • • • • Company’s equity beta = 1.2 Current risk-free rate = 7% Expected market risk premium = 6% What is the cost of equity capital? RE 7 1.2( 6 ) 14.2% 12-10 Advantages and Disadvantages of SML • Advantages – Explicitly adjusts for systematic risk – Applicable to all companies, as long as beta is available • Disadvantages – Must estimate the expected market risk premium, which does vary over time – Must estimate beta, which also varies over time – Relies on the past to predict the future, which is not always reliable 12-11 Example: Cost of Equity • Data: – – – – – – Beta = 1.5 Market risk premium = 9% Current risk-free rate = 6%. Analysts’ estimates of growth = 6% per year Last dividend = $2. Currently stock price =$15.65 – Using SML: RE = 6% + 1.5(9%) = 19.5% – Using DGM: RE = [2(1.06) / 15.65] + .06 = 19.55% 12-12 Cost of Debt • The cost of debt = the required return on a company’s debt • Method 1 = Compute the yield to maturity on existing debt • Method 2 = Use estimates of current rates based on the bond rating expected on new debt • The cost of debt is NOT the coupon rate 12-13 Example: Cost of Debt Current bond issue: – – – – 30 -1253.72 1000 60 CPT I/Y N PV FV PMT 4.45% 15 years to maturity YTM = 4.45%*2 = 8.9% Coupon rate = 12% Coupons paid semiannually Currently bond price = $1,253.72 12-14 Component Cost of Debt • Use the YTM on the firm’s debt • Interest is tax deductible, so the after-tax (AT) cost of debt is: R D , AT R D ,BT ( 1 TC ) • If the corporate tax rate = 40%: RD , AT 8.9%( 1 .40 ) 5.34% Return to Quick Quiz 12-15 Cost of Preferred Stock • Preferred pays a constant dividend every period • Dividends expected to be paid forever • Preferred stock is a perpetuity D RP P0 • Example: – Preferred annual dividend = $10 – Current stock price = $111.10 RP = 10 / 111.10 = 9% 12-16 Weighted Average Cost of Capital • Use the individual costs of capital to compute a weighted “average” cost of capital for the firm • This “average” = the required return on the firm’s assets, based on the market’s perception of the risk of those assets • The weights are determined by how much of each type of financing is used Return to Quick Quiz 12-17 Determining the Weights for the WACC • Weights = percentages of the firm that will be financed by each component • Always use the target weights, if possible – If not available, use market values 12-18 Capital Structure Weights • Notation E = market value of equity = # outstanding shares times price per share D = market value of debt = # outstanding bonds times bond price V = market value of the firm = D + E • Weights E/V = percent financed with equity D/V = percent financed with debt Return to Quick Quiz 12-19 WACC WACC = (E/V) x RE + (P/V) x RP + (D/V) x RD x (1- TC) Where: (E/V) = % of common equity in capital structure Weights (P/V) = % of preferred stock in capital structure (D/V) = % of debt in capital structure Component costs RE = firm’s cost of equity RP = firm’s cost of preferred stock RD = firm’s cost of debt TC = firm’s corporate tax rate 12-20 Estimating Weights Given: • • • • • Component Values: • VE = $50 x (3 m) = $150m Stock price = $50 3m shares common stock • VP = $25m • VD = $75m $25m preferred stock • VF = $150+$25+$75=$250m $75m debt 40% Tax rate Weights: E/V = $150/$250 P/V = $25/$250 D/V = $75/$250 = 0.6 (60%) = 0.1 (10%) = 0.3 (30%) 12-21 WACC Component Debt (before tax) Preferred Stock Common equity W 0.30 0.10 0.60 R 10% 9% 14% WACC = E/V x RE + P/V x RP + D/V x RD (1 - TC) WACC = 0.6(14%) + 0.1(9%) + 0.3(10%)(1-.40) WACC = 8.4% + 0.9% + 1.8% = 11.1% 12-22 Table 12.1 12-23 Factors that Influence a Company’s WACC • Market conditions, especially interest rates, tax rates and the market risk premium • The firm’s capital structure and dividend policy • The firm’s investment policy – Firms with riskier projects generally have a higher WACC 12-24 Eastman Chemical – 1 Equity Data Source: http://finance.yahoo.com 12-25 Eastman Chemical – 2 Dividend Growth Source: http://finance.yahoo.com 12-26 Eastman Chemical 3 Beta and Shares Outstanding Source: http://finance.yahoo.com 12-27 Eastman Chemical 4 Dividends Source: http://finance.yahoo.com 12-28 Eastman Chemical - 5 Cost of Equity - SML • Beta: Yahoo Finance Value Line 2.31 1.25 (1.25 is a more reasonable value) • T-Bill rate = 0.05% (Yahoo Finance bonds section) • Market Risk Premium = 7% (assumed) • Cost of Equity (SML) = 0.05% + (7%)(1.25) = 8.80% RE Rf E ( E( RM ) Rf ) 12-29 Eastman Chemical - 6 Cost of Equity - DCF • Growth rate • Last dividend • Stock price • Cost of Equity (DCF) = 7.67% $1.04 $53.74 D1 RE g P0 $1.04(1.0767) .0767 53.74 RE 9.75% RE 12-30 Eastman Chemical - 7 Cost of Equity Cost of Equity Method Estimated Value SML 8.80% DCF 9.75% Average 9.28% 12-31 Eastman Chemical - 8 Bond Data Source: http://www.sec.gov 12-32 Eastman Chemical - 9 Cost of Debt • For Eastman, the cost of debt is similar when using either book values or market values. 12-33 Eastman Chemical - 10 WACC Capital structure weights (market values): E = 136.92 million x $53.74 = $7.358 billion D = 1.661 billion V = $7.358 + 1.661 = 9.019 billion E/V = 7.358 / 9.019 = .82 D/V = 1.661 / 9.019 = .18 Tax rate (assumed) = 35% WACC = .82(9.28%) + .18(3.81%)(1-.35) = 8.02% 12-34 Risk-Adjusted WACC • A firm’s WACC reflects the risk of an average project undertaken by the firm – “Average” risk = the firm’s current operations • Different divisions/projects may have different risks – The division’s or project’s WACC should be adjusted to reflect the appropriate risk and capital structure Return to Quick Quiz 12-35 Using WACC for All Projects • What would happen if we use the WACC for all projects regardless of risk? • Assume the WACC = 15% Project A B IRR 14% 16% Project Beta 0.60 1.20 WACC=15% Reject Accept 12-36 Using WACC for All Projects • Assume the WACC = 15% • A project’s required return is calculated using the SML and the project’s Beta • Adjusting for risk changes the decisions Project A B IRR 14% 16% Required Decision Return WACC=15% Risk Adj 11.8% Reject Accept 16.6% Accept Reject 12-37 Divisional Risk & the Cost of Capital 12-38 Pure Play Approach • Find one or more companies that specialize in the product or service being considered • Compute the beta for each company • Take an average • Use that beta along with the CAPM to find the appropriate return for a project of that risk • Pure play companies can be difficult to find Return to Quick Quiz 12-39 Subjective Approach • Consider the project’s risk relative to the firm overall – If the project is riskier than the firm, use a discount rate greater than the WACC – If the project is less risky than the firm, use a discount rate less than the WACC Return to Quick Quiz 12-40 Subjective Approach - Example Risk Level Very Low Risk Discount Rate WACC – 8% 6% Low Risk WACC – 4% 10% Same Risk as Firm WACC 14% High Risk Very High Risk WACC + 6% WACC + 10% 20% 24% 12-41 Quick Quiz • What are the two approaches for computing the cost of equity? (Slide 12.5) • How do you compute the cost of debt and the after tax cost of debt? (Slide 12.16) • How do you compute the capital structure weights required for the WACC? (Slide 12.20) • What is the WACC? (Slide 12.18) • What happens if we use the WACC as the discount rate for all projects? (Slide 12.36) • What are two methods that can be used to compute the appropriate discount rate when WACC isn’t appropriate? (Slide 12.40 and Slide 12.41) 12-42 Chapter 12 END 12-43