Revision Package H2 Economics 2014 2 Theme 1: Scarcity, Choice & Opportunity Cost, Resource Allocation in Competitive Markets Syllabus Objectives 1. Market System This theme provides an introduction to the nature of economics and examines the operation of markets for goods and services. It also focuses on how consumers and producers make decisions about the choices they face, recognising that in the market economy, both are motivated by selfinterest. Candidates should be able to understand the price mechanism as a means of allocating resources and be able to apply demand and supply analysis to real world situations. Syllabus Content 1.1 Scarcity, Choice and Opportunity Cost Scarcity, choice and resource allocation Concept of scarcity Inevitability of choices at all levels (individual, firm, government) and concept of opportunity cost Applications of concept of opportunity cost Production possibility curve: shape and shifts Comparative advantage and exchange Specialisation and division of labour Rational decision-making by consumers, firms and government 1.2 Resource Allocation in Competitive Markets Determinants of demand and supply for goods and services Determination of equilibrium market prices Role of price mechanism in resource allocation in a market based economy Applications of demand and supply analysis to various markets Concept of elasticity of demand and supply Factors influencing the elasticity of demand and supply in the short-run and long-run Candidates should be able to: Explain the problem of limited resources and unlimited wants Explain the concept of opportunity cost and the nature of trade-offs in the allocation of resources using production possibility curve analysis Apply the basic concept of comparative advantage in everyday living and explain its benefits in terms of specialisation, division of labour and exchange Explain that economic agents make decisions to arrive at the best alternative based on their objectives Understand that economic agents weigh the incremental benefits against incremental costs in decision-making [An awareness that equality between Price (P) and Marginal Cost (MC) may not hold in reality is required.] [A broad understanding of why demand curve is generally downward sloping and why supply curve is upward sloping is required. A brief description without numerical illustration will be sufficient.] Identify the main influences on demand and supply in product markets [Knowledge of the theoretical derivation of demand and supply curves is not required but the goals of consumers and producers in the market should be made explicit.] Understand that consumers and producers use the marginalist principle in decision-making Apply knowledge of basic model of demand and supply to various markets Understand the significance of demand and supply factors in influencing the price and quantities traded Explain elasticity concepts and its applications e.g. an understanding of why and how changes in prices of a product affect the business sales and revenue [Elasticity characteristics of straight line demand and supply curves are not required.] Raffles Institution Economics Department 3 Practice Questions 1 GCE ‘A’ Level 2011 Singapore is facing an ageing population issue. By 2030 senior citizens are expected to comprise almost 20% of the population. Using economic analysis, discuss the likely effects of this demographic change on product markets in Singapore. 2 [25] GCE ‘A’ Level 2010 The price of sugar, an ingredient in many canned soft drinks, dropped dramatically by 32% between July 2006 and October 2008. Healthy living campaigns meant consumers became more aware of the possible health dangers of consuming too much sugar and they switched to ‘diet’ drinks that do not contain sugar. Discuss how the combination of the fall in the price of sugar and the healthy living campaigns might affect expenditure by consumers on ‘non-diet’ and diet canned soft drinks. [25] 3 GCE ‘A’ Level 2009 There have been large changes in the prices of crude oil over the past few years. 4 5 Discuss what determines whether consumers or producers are more likely to bear the cost of these oil price changes. [25] AJC 2012 Assess the likely effects of a shift from direct tax to indirect tax on the markets for different type of goods and its impact on consumers and producers. [25] DHS 2012 Rising fertiliser prices are causing more farmers to switch from non-organic farming, which produces higher fields in a shorter time period through the use of chemical fertilisers, to organic farming. The media is also reporting that organic vegetables do not necessarily yield more health benefits than non-organic ones. (a) Explain the factors that would determine the extent to which non-organic vegetable farmers are able to pass their rising cost on to consumers. [10] (b) Discuss the overall impact of the above developments on consumer expenditure in [15] the markets for organic and non-organic vegetables. 6 7 IJC 2012 Discuss the likely effects of rising oil prices and the Eurozone debt crisis on tourism and its associated markets in Singapore. PJC 2012 To sustain our economic growth, Singapore could need more than 100,000 more foreign workers this year. However, this has also led to concerns about competition for jobs, houses and transport on MRT. (PM Lee’s National Day Speech, 30 Aug 2010) Raffles Institution Economics Department [25] 4 Using economic analysis, discuss the likely effects of the above scenario on various markets and the distribution of incomes and wealth in Singapore. 8 (a) [25] TJC 2012 Explain why prices of some goods experience greater price fluctuations than others. [10] (b) The Thai government has committed to a rice pledging programme that pays farmers unconditionally up to 15,000 baht a tonne for white rice paddy. The World Trade Organisation has raised concerns about the excess stockpile of rice in Thailand. To what extent is it effective and desirable for governments to influence the price of rice? 9 VJC 2012 Food prices are set to rise as much as 40% over the coming decade amid growing demand from emerging markets and for biofuel production, according to a United Nations report today which warns of rising hunger and food insecurity. (a) Account for the sharp rise in the price of food. (b) Should the government intervene in the determination of food prices? 10 [10] [15] YJC 2012 Rising affluence raises the level of environmental awareness and health consciousness among consumers in Singapore. Many firms recognising this trend have introduced more environmentally-friendly products as well as health products. Using economic analysis, discuss the likely effects of these developments on product markets in Singapore. 11 [15] [25] ACJC 2011 Half of the world's population enjoys fuel subsidies. The cheapest petrol is in Venezuela, at 5 cents per litre. That makes China's subsidised pump price of 79 cents seem expensive, but even this is a bargain compared with $1.04 in the United States and $2.35 in Germany where fuel taxes are imposed. Explain the economic case for these two different approaches and assess whether the pricing of fuel should instead be left to market forces. [25] 12 VJC 2011 As the world experiences soaring international oil prices, countries like Malaysia and Indonesia have provided fuel subsidies while Singapore and Australia have not. Discuss the impact of soaring international oil prices and fuel subsidies on society. Raffles Institution Economics Department [25] 5 Theme 2: Firms and How They Operate (Market Structure) Syllabus Objectives 1.3 Firms and How They Operate Objectives of firms profit maximisation alternative objectives Costs of production short run vs long run fixed cost vs variable cost internal vs external economies of scale Understand the concept of profit as the difference between total revenue and total cost Understand that firms make price and output decisions based on the marginalist principle [An awareness of other possible objectives of firms is required.] [An understanding of the concepts of Average Revenue (AR), Marginal Revenue (MR), Average Total Spectrum of market competition Cost (ATC) and Marginal Cost (MC) will be sufficient. features of the different market Concepts on product curves and derivation of the cost structures curves are not required.] barriers to entry behaviour of firms [An understanding that total cost incorporates a price discrimination necessary minimum economic reward for firms to price vs non-price competition remain in the market is required.] collusion vs competition mutual interdependence in the [An understanding of the significance of variable costs case of oligopolies and irrelevance of fixed costs in the pricing and comparison on the basis of productive output decisions of firms is required. The diagram to and allocative efficiency, equity, explain short-run shut-down condition is not innovation and consumer choice required.] Explain the key features of each of the market structures Explain how firms compete in the respective market structures based on their features Understand the relevance of barriers to entry in explaining differences between market structures Apply these models in analysing and comparing markets and evaluate their usefulness as explanations of real world competitive behaviour Use the concept of profits to illustrate real world competitive behaviour of firms (in protecting their profits) [The geometrical explanation of the kinked demand curve is not required.] Raffles Institution Economics Department 6 Practice Questions 1 (a) GCE ‘A’ Level 2011 Explain how the different features of monopolistic competition and oligopoly affect price and output determination in these market structures. [10] (b) Recession will affect firms in different ways depending, for example, on what they produce and the market structure in which they operate. Discuss the likely effect of a recession on different firms. [15] 2 GCE ‘A’ Level 2009 A very popular band is due to play one concert at a 5000 capacity venue. The plan is to charge different prices according to the area in which the seat is located. (a) 3 Explain whether this pricing policy could be considered to be an example of price discrimination. [10] (b) Discuss the problems that are likely to be faced in determining the prices to be charged for the seats. [15] GCE ‘A’ Level 2008 (a) Firms’ pricing and output decisions depend on barriers to entry and the behavior of competitors. [10] (b) Explain why barriers to entry are a key determinant in firms’ pricing decisions. [10] Discuss the extent to which the behavior of firms depends in reality on the actions of their competitors. 4 (a) GCE ‘A’ Level 2009 Explain, how in economic theory, a monopolist would determine the price that would maximise profits. (b) Discuss whether firms in the real world set prices at profit-maximising levels. 5 [15] [8] [17] ACJC 2012 In the Adult Fares structure of train and bus services in Singapore, per-ride fares differ between the card and cash modes of payment. (a) Explain what is meant by price discrimination and consider whether the above situation is an example of price discrimination. (b) Discuss whether essential services such as the mass rapid transit should be run by public monopolies. 6 (a) DHS 2012 Explain the benefits of price discrimination. (b) The level of profits a firm can earn is dependent upon the strength of entry barriers in its industry. Assess the likely effects of a rise in steel prices on the profits of different firms. Raffles Institution Economics Department [10] [15] [10] [15] 7 7 (a) JJC 2012 Explain how and why an oligopolistic firm such as Golden Village, which provides cinema movies in Singapore, practices price discrimination. (b) Assess whether oligopoly is a better market structure than monopolistic competition in achieving efficiency, innovation and consumer welfare. 8 [15] NJC 2012 It is often argued that what is important in determining the performance of firms in a market is the level of competition that exists within it. (a) Explain why different levels of competition exist in different markets. [10] (b) Assess the validity of the view that the performance of firms in a market is determined by the level of competition. [15] 9 NYJC 2012 Explain how economies of scale determine the market structure in which a firm operates in the real world. [10] (b) Discuss whether monopolies should be disallowed on the basis that they exploit consumers. [15] (a) 10 11 (a) 12 [10] PJC 2012 Discuss the significance of costs in the pricing and output decisions of firms. [25] TPJC 2012 Using relevant examples in the Singapore context, explain how barriers to entry determine the degree of competition and market power in imperfect markets. [10] (b) ‘Increased market concentration in transport markets is always desirable’. Discuss. [15] VJC 2012 The model of monopolistic competition best explains firm behavior and performance in Singapore. Discuss. [25] 13 AJC 2011 ‘Monopolistic competition is the more prevalent market structure than oligopoly in an increasingly globalised world.’ Discuss. 14 [25] HCI 2011 With growing environmental awareness, large cosmetic companies advertise they have invested in research to ensure their products are environmentally friendly. The aim is to increase demand and profits. (a) Explain what might happen to the fixed and variable costs in the above companies and how any changes might affect their profit maximising prices and output. [10] (b) Discuss whether the profits of such companies will increase, and whether in the real world they will set prices and output at profit maximising levels. [15] Raffles Institution Economics Department 8 15 TJC 2011 A regulated natural monopoly achieves allocative and productive efficiency in an equitable manner, hence it is better than all other market structures. Discuss. 16 [25] IJC 2011 Explain the relevance of barriers to entry in determining the key differences between oligopolistic competition and monopolistic competition. [10] (b) Consider different retailers in Singapore and assess the extent to which barriers to entry may be detrimental to competition and economic welfare. [15] (a) 17 (a) MJC 2011 Explain whether it is always advantageous for a firm to grow in size. (b) Discuss how you would decide if a firm is exerting its monopoly power. 18 (a) [12] [13] NJC 2011 Explain the pricing decisions of firms in both collusive and competitive oligopolistic markets. [10] (b) Discuss the view that firms in the oligopolistic market structure are the most likely to differentiate their products from those of their rivals. [15] RVHS 2011 Explain how the existence of economies of scale can affect the behaviour and performance of firms. [10] (b) Discuss the extent to which economies of scale determines the types of market structure in Singapore. [15] 19 (a) 20 VJC 2011 Barriers to entry confer more market power on firms in their pricing and output decisions and behaviour. (a) Using examples, explain how barriers to entry will confer more market power on firms. [10] (b) Discuss whether greater competition should be introduced into markets in Singapore. [15] Raffles Institution Economics Department 9 Theme 3: Market Failure and Government Intervention Syllabus Objectives 2. Market Failure and Government Intervention This theme examines the nature of market failure, its causes and possible policy remedies. Candidates should be able to understand why markets may not allocate resources efficiently and the methods of dealing with market failure, together with an evaluation of their effectiveness. Syllabus Content 2.1 Market Failure Meaning of efficiency Candidates should be able to: Analyse why market dominance, imperfect market failure and information and immobility of factors of production can lead to inefficiency Understand that externalities exist when there is Why markets may not work efficiently a divergence between private and social Market imperfections costs/benefits Positive and negative externalities Illustrate positive and negative externalities in Public and merit goods both production and consumption using simple Inequalities in the distribution of demand and supply diagrams income and wealth [An understanding of what is meant by deadweight loss is necessary when discussing market failure. However, the analysis of deadweight loss using the concepts of consumer and producer surplus is not required.] 2.2 Government Intervention in the Market Rationale for government intervention Methods by which government intervene in markets and the impact on market outcomes Government failure Raffles Institution Economics Department Understand what is meant by a cost-benefit approach in the context of externalities [Knowledge of the technical methodology of CostBenefit Analysis (CBA), including discounting is not required.] Explain why governments intervene in the markets to correct market failures Examine the various methods by which governments intervene in markets Discuss how governments may create inefficiencies when they intervene in markets due to factors such as political objectives, administrative costs and lack of information 10 Practice Questions 1 GCE ‘A’ level 2011 Consumers and producers are generally assumed by economists to be motivated by self-interest. (a) Explain, how, according to economists, the pursuit of self-interest can help to address the problem of limited resources and unlimited wants. [10] (b) Assess whether the price mechanism will always allocate resources in the most efficient manner for all goods and services in a market economy. [15] 2 (a) GCE ‘A’ Level 2010 Explain why government intervention is advocated in the markets both for public goods and fro goods where externalities are present. [10] (b) In the UK, entry to national museums and art galleries is free of charge and tickets to see the opera are heavily subsidised. In contrast, in Japan, entry to national [10] museums and art galleries come at a high price and a ticket to see the opera is among the most expensive in the world. Assess the economic case for these two different approaches. 3 [15] GCE ‘A’ Level 2009 Governments around the world protect consumers against market failure due to market dominance. (a) Analyse, with supporting examples, how market dominance might lead to market failure. [10] (b) Assess the extent to which market dominance, rather than any other potential market failure is the major cause of government intervention in the markets for goods and services within Singapore. [15] 4 GCE ‘A’ Level 2007 With reference to examples, discuss whether there is need to change the current policies adopted by the Singapore government to deal with market failure caused by externalities. [25] 5 (a) CJC 2012 Explain how, according to economists, the market seeks to allocate resources to address the problem of scarcity. [10] (b) Discuss if government intervention in the free market will worsen, instead of solving the problem associated with merit goods. [15] 6 (a) DHS 2012 Explain the different causes of market failure in the Singapore economy. (b) Governments are able to create the conditions necessary for markets to work efficiently. It is therefore best if they intervene in markets as much as possible. Raffles Institution Economics Department [10] 11 Discuss whether you agree with this view. 7 [15] PJC 2012 Negative externalities arising from carbon emissions have caused governments worldwide to implement carbon taxes on producers and increase subsidies on the development of renewable energy. (a) Explain why the market fails in the presence of negative externalities. (b) Evaluate the use of the above two policies in correcting the market failure due to carbon emissions. 8 [8] [17] YJC 2012 Arts enthusiasts are lobbying for low ticket prices for plays and operas to bring the arts to the masses. (a) Explain the economic reasons why a theatre may charge different customers different prices for tickets to see a play. (b) Discuss the view that cultural events such as plays and operas should be subsidized by the government. 9 (a) AJC 2012 Using the concepts of production possibility curve, opportunity cost and choice, explain the problem of scarcity and whether a country should only produce only capital goods. [10] [15] [10] (b) Evaluate the current microeconomic policies adopted by the Singapore government to achieve a more efficient allocation of resources. [15] 11 HCI 2012 Economists like to think at the margin. They consider the incremental benefits versus the incremental cost in every decision they make. (a) Explain how ‘thinking at the margin’ aids decision making for consumers and producers. [8] (b) Discuss the extent to which ‘thinking at the margin’ would lead to the efficient allocation of resources. [17] 12 JJC 2012 (a) Explain how market dominance and externalities may lead to market failure. (b) Discuss whether there is a need to change the current policies adopted by the Singapore government to deal with market failure in public housing. 13 [10] [15] PJC 2011 Sometimes, prices fail to reflect costs fully. (a) Explain why the above would be of concern to a government. Raffles Institution Economics Department [10] 12 (b) Assess the use of taxation by the Singapore government to deal with the above problem. 14 [15] RVHS 2011 Public Utilities are privately owned in some countries while publicly owned in some others. (a) Explain how the provider of a good can be determined from the characteristics of the good. [10] [15] (b) Discuss whether electricity should be provided by the public or private sector. 15 2011 DHS The bottom 30% of working families in Singapore has now experienced stagnating real household incomes for eight to ten years. If wages continue to stagnate, there is a limit to poverty alleviation through working longer and harder, or driving the unemployment rate lower. (a) 16 Explain the case for government intervention in the market for vocational training. [10] (b) Discuss whether you agree that employment creation is no longer the best method to alleviate poverty in Singapore. [15] 2011 HCI Discuss the effectiveness of government intervention in resource allocation in the provision of merit goods and when market dominance exists. [25] Raffles Institution Economics Department 13 Theme 4: Key Economic Indicators Syllabus Objectives 3. National and International Economy This theme provides an introduction to the key indicators of economic performance, the basic AD/AS and AE-Income analysis, and the main objectives and instruments of government policy. Candidates should be able to acquire a good knowledge of recent economic trends and developments in Singapore and the international economy. Candidates should also be able to appreciate the possible underlying causes of these trends and developments and to evaluate the effectiveness of government policies in the light of these events. Syllabus Content Candidates should be able to: 3.1 Key Economic Indicators Understand the model of national income as a circular flow National Income Statistics involving households, firms, government and the foreign [Gross Domestic Product sector (GDP) and Gross National Explain the significance of each of the key economic Product (GNP)] indicators Interpret statistical data Inflation rate Use the key indicators to assess the economic performance of an economy, including international comparisons Unemployment rate Analyse the limitations of using the indicators to measure economic performance as well as standard of living of an Balance of Payments (BOP) economy including international comparison [The construction of Consumer Price Index (CPI) is not required.] [A broad understanding of the role of foreign direct investment, as a component of BOP, in the Singapore economy is relevant.] [The construction and computation of BOP account is not necessary but candidates should have a broad understanding of the main accounts such as current and capital accounts, and reserves.] Practice Questions 1 HCI 2011 In 2009, Singapore experienced a negative growth of 1.3% and a current account surplus of US$32 billion while the United States had a negative growth of 2.6% and a current account deficit of US$378 billion. Discuss to what extent such economic data indicate that the standard of living for the average person in both countries had declined [25] 2 NJC 2011 “To attract investment, improve incomes and achieve a higher standard of living, Singapore targets to raise labour productivity by 2 to 3 percent each year for the next decade.” Discuss the extent to which an increase in labour productivity will lead to an increase in Singapore’s standard of living. Raffles Institution Economics Department [25] 14 Theme 5: How the Macroeconomy Works, Macroeconomic Aims, Issues and Policies Syllabus Objectives 3.2 How the Macroeconomy Works Income and Employment Determination Key determinants of aggregate demand (AD) and aggregate supply (AS) Determination of equilibrium level of output and price Meaning, components of Aggregate Expenditure (AE) and their determinants Income determination using AEIncome approach Macroeconomic Aims, Issues and Policies Aims and issues o Inflation o Unemployment o Economic growth o Balance of Payments Explain what is meant by equilibrium in the macroeconomy using the circular flow of income and how the equilibrium output is determined Explain the Multiplier Effect and recognise its limited effects in the Singapore economy Use AD/AS or AE-Income analysis to determine equilibrium level of output and price Explain government macroeconomic objectives in relation to inflation, employment, economic growth and the balance of payments Analyse the causes of economic problems in these areas, including the significance of cyclical fluctuations in the level of economic activity, and the economic consequences of failure to achieve these objectives Use AD/AS or AE-Income analysis to illustrate macroeconomic problems in an economy [Labour productivity should be discussed as one of the influences on macroeconomic outcomes.] Macroeconomic policies o Fiscal policy o Monetary Policy in the context of Singapore o Supply-side policies Explain how the AD/AS or AE-Income approach may be used to analyse the way fiscal, monetary and supply side policies, can affect the levels of employment, rate of inflation, economic growth and the balance of payments position Define monetary policy in a broader context whereby interest rates and exchange rates are alternative instruments Understand monetary policy framework in a small open economy such as Singapore (i.e. openness to trade and capital flows) Explain objectives of monetary policy (inflation versus growth) Explain Singapore’s choice of using exchange rates rather than interest rates as an instrument for its monetary policy Explain the causes and effects of changes in exchange rates and interest rates on the economy [An understanding of the exchange rate as a key indicator for a small open economy like Singapore is required. Introduce the concept of exchange rate as a price of foreign currency linked to balance of payments.] Raffles Institution Economics Department 15 Discuss the possible conflicts in government objectives and the links between macroeconomic problems and their inter-relatedness Evaluate the effectiveness of government’s macroeconomic policies using the AD/AS approach or AE-Income approach, especially with reference to the Singapore economy [Interest rate determination and graphical illustration of the transmission mechanism are not required. A descriptive explanation of how monetary policy works will be sufficient.] Practice Questions 1 GCE ‘A’ Level 2011 Explain the process whereby an increase in government expenditure can lead to a bigger change in national income. [10] (b) Discuss the extent to which conflicts in government macroeconomic objectives limit the scope for the use of fiscal policy in any economy. [15] (a) 2 GCE ‘A’ Level 2011 In the study of macroeconomics, investment can take many forms including foreign direct investment, fixed capital investment and investment in human capital. (a) Explain what is meant by these different types of investment. [10] (b) Discuss how far supply-side policies can be used to stimulate these different types of investments. [15] 3 GCE ‘A’ Level 2010 The recent worldwide recession caused many governments to re-assess their use of fiscal policy in order to stimulate their stagnating economies. (a) 4 Explain what would reduce the effectiveness of fiscal policy as a stimulus to the Singapore economy. [10] (b) Assess alternative policies that might be more appropriate in managing the Singapore economy when faced with a worldwide recession. [15] GCE ‘A’ Level 2010 When there are large increases in the prices of oil and other primary products, they are usually expected to lead to rising inflation throughout the world’s economies. Discuss the extent to which these factors are likely to affect the rate of inflation in Singapore. Raffles Institution Economics Department [25] 16 5 GCE ‘A’ Level 2009 The relative importance of the components flow of income for a small and open economy such as Singapore is likely to be different from a large and less open economy such as the USA. (a) Explain this statement. [10] (b) Assess whether a change in the external value of its currency is more likely to have a larger impact on Singapore or the USA. [15] 6 GCE ‘A’ Level 2008 Discuss the relative significance of the multiplier, the price elasticities of demand for exports and imports and crowding out in influencing macro-economic policy decisions. [25] 7 GCE ‘A’ Level 2006 In the fourth quarter of 004 Singapore’s unemployment rate rose to 3.7%. Discuss whether supply-side policies are the best way of achieving full employment in Singapore. 8 [25] GCE ‘A’ Level 2007 (a) Explain the potential causes of a balance of payments deficit on current account. (b) Discuss which measures, if any, a government should adopt when confronted with a current account deficit. 9 [10] [15] GCE ‘A’ Level 2006 In October 2005 the Monetary Authority of Singapore stated that its policy of allowing the Singapore dollar to strengthen against a basket of currencies would be maintained. (a) Using a diagram, explain what might cause a country’s exchange rate to appreciate in a floating exchange rate system. [10] (b) Discuss the extent to which problems are likely to result from an appreciation from an appreciation of Singapore’s exchange rate. 10 (a) HCI 2012 Explain what is meant by the equilibrium level of national income. (b) To what extent do different savings rates between countries affect changes in national income, given an autonomous increase in autonomous expenditure? 11 [15] [10] [15] JJC 2012 Singapore experienced a quarterly growth rate of -0.7% from April to June 2012. However during the same period, inflation rate remained high at about 5%. (a) Explain why inflation can remain high despite a slowdown in economic growth in Singapore. Raffles Institution Economics Department [10] 17 (b) ‘Inflation is harmful to an economy and hence it should be the priority of the Singapore government to reduce inflation’. Discuss. 12 (a) DHS 2012 Explain the factors that would affect government’s fiscal position. [10] (b) Fiscal prudence is always desirable and governments should always strive to at least balance its budget. Discuss the validity of this assertion. 13 (a) IJC 2012 Explain what is meant by equilibrium in the macroeconomy using the circular flow of income. (b) Discuss the extent to which the Singapore government’s approach to fiscal policy could be used in reducing conflicts between economic objectives. 14 [15] [10] [15] [10] [15] NYJC 2012 The tight labour market and external factors, including potential shocks to global trade and commodity prices, posed considerable downside risks for Singapore’s very open economy. (a) In the light of the above statement, explain the challenges faced by the Singapore economy in recent years. [10] (b) Discuss the measures that the Singapore government can adopt to overcome these challenges. [15] 15 NJC 2012 Discuss the relative significance of interest rates, exchange rates and tax rates as instruments for economic policy in Singapore. [25] 16 SRJC 2012 Discuss the extent to which being a small and open economy affects the policy decisions to achieve price stability and full employment in Singapore. 17 [25] TPJC 2012 Falling prices in japan are likely to remain. Government borrowing at US$486 billion is forecasted to exceed tax revenue. It also means that the gross debt to GDP ratio, already the highest in the rich world at 190%, will continue to rise. (The Economist, 8 April 2010) (a) Explain whether monetary policy can help to alleviate the problem of falling aggregate demand. [10] (b) Discuss whether a government should be more concerned with deflation or fiscal budget deficit. [15] 18 (a) TPJC 2012 Explain the meaning of internal stability and external stability for an economy. (b) Discuss the policies that can be undertaken by Singapore to increase its economic Raffles Institution Economics Department [10] 18 19 20 (a) resilience. [15] TJC 2012 Discuss the view that supply side measures are more effective in managing an open economy like Singapore. [25] AJC 2011 Explain how the equilibrium level of national income is determined. [8] (b) Discuss the impact of an increase in the level of spending by households and firms on a country’s national income. 21 [17] DHS 2011 Whenever the government announces a rising trade deficit, the media routinely declare it "bad news" that the trade gap has "worsened" – no matter how good the accompanying economic news may be on inflation, employment, and growth. Cato Institute (a) Explain how a rising trade deficit could impact the circular flow of income. [10] (b) Discuss whether a government should actively pursue policies to correct a trade deficit. [15] 22 (a) IJC 2011 Analyse the impact of globalisation on Singapore’s balance of payments. (b) Assess whether exchange rate policy is the most effective policy in managing the balance of payments in the light of a rise in globalisation. 23 [10] [15] MJC 2011 Some economies have balance of payments deficits while others have balance of payments surpluses. (a) Explain the importance of a sound balance of payments to Singapore. [10] (b) In 2009, the government ran a budget deficit while the Monetary Authority of Singapore pursued a zero appreciation of the exchange rate to stimulate the stagnating economy. Discuss the factors that would affect the success of these two policy measures to boost economic growth in Singapore. 24 [15] NJC 2011 “There are several potential risks to Asia’s outlook: Unrest in the Middle East has caused oil prices to soar and the weaker growth in advanced economies could potentially affect Asia through the trade channel.” (a) Explain how the events mentioned may have an impact on Singapore’s economy. [10] (b) Discuss the policy measures that the Singapore government can undertake to [15] address the impact of the above mentioned events. Raffles Institution Economics Department 19 25 PJC 2011 Assess the view that monetary policy centred on exchange rate is the most effective measure to overcome the main macroeconomic problems faced by Singapore in recent years. [25] 26 (a) RVHS 2011 Explain why maintaining domestic price stability is likely to be more important than other macroeconomic aims in small, open and resource-scarce economies. (b) Discuss the extent to which exchange rate policy is the most effective measure in maintaining domestic price stability in Singapore. 27 28 (a) [15] SAJC 2011 Discuss whether maintaining low unemployment rate will lead to an improvement in the standard of living in an economy. [25] SRJC 2011 Explain the main causes of a balance of payments deficit of a country. [10] (b) Discuss whether Singapore has the most to gain as a result of a depreciation of the Singapore dollar. 29 [10] [15] TJC 2011 In December 2010, Singapore’s inflation rate rose to the highest level in two years, adding pressure on MAS to dampen price gains by allowing the Singapore dollar to appreciate further. (a) Explain the likely causes of inflation in Singapore. (b) Discuss whether an appreciation of the exchange rate is the best way to achieve price stability in Singapore. 30 [10] [15] VJC 2011 Singapore’s real GDP growth was 13.9% and current account surplus growth was 32.8% in 2010. (Source: Department of Statistics, Singapore) (a) Explain why real GDP and current account balance are indicators of living standards in Singapore. [8] (b) Discuss the most appropriate policies that a government could adopt to achieve sustained economic growth. [17] 31 SAJC 2012 Many governments have used the exchange rate policy to achieve a low and stable inflation rate, but have not succeeded. (a) Explain then factors that would reduce the effectiveness of the exchange rate policy to achieve a low and stable inflation rate. (b) Assess alternative policies that might be more appropriate in helping an economy Raffles Institution Economics Department [10] 20 achieve a low and stable inflation rate. 32 (a) TJC 2012 Inflation is once again rearing its ugly head. But this recent round could yet be the hardest one to tame as experts pointed out that a large part of the problem is made here in Singapore. (The Straits Times, 27 April 2012) Explain the main causes of inflation. [10] (b) Discuss whether the Singapore government should change its policies for controlling inflation. 33 [15] [15] VJC 2012 A weakening of the external value of a country’s currency is always detrimental to its economy. With reference to the Singapore economy, how far do you agree with the above statement? 34 [25] YJC 2012 (a) Explain the causes of inflation in Singapore. [10] (b) To what extent is a gradual appreciation of the exchange rate sufficient to steer the Singapore economy ahead in the light of persistent inflationary pressures and slower global growth. [15] 35 (a) CJC 2012 Explain the effects of a capital and financial account deficit in the balance of payments of an economy. [10] (b) Discuss if an improvement in labour productivity would reduce a balance of payments deficit. 36 (a) SRJC 2012 Explain how a change in a country’s labour productivity can influence its balance of payments. (b) Assess whether a government should be concerned when faced with a deficit in the budget balance and the current account balance. Raffles Institution Economics Department [15] [8] [17] 21 Theme 6: International Economics Syllabus Objectives 3.3 International Economics Benefits from trade General pattern of trade between Singapore and the rest of the world. Free trade and barriers to trade Globalisation and capital flows [Theory of absolute advantage is not required.] • Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) Explain the gains from international trade using the concept of comparative advantage Use demand and supply analysis to explain pattern of trade between countries Explain Singapore’s pattern of trade with the rest of the world and recent developments (e.g. FTAs) Explain why protectionism exists Explain the trend towards globalisation and examine its impact on trade in goods, capital flows and international movement of labour [An awareness of the role of World Trade Organisation (WTO) in promoting free trade is required.] Practice Questions 1 GCE ‘A’ Level 2011 The Singapore economy is open to the world, in trade and investment. This is both a matter of policy and necessity because of our size and limited resources. In 2008, our trade to GDP ratio was 360%, the highest in the world. Ministry of Trade and Industry, Singapore 2009 Discuss whether the openness of the economy is beneficial or harmful to the standard of living in Singapore. 2 [25] GCE ‘A’ Level 2010 There is a general consensus among economists tat protectionism is a bad thing. (a) Explain why protectionism exits. [10] (b) Assess the extent to which the Singapore government’s approach to international trade may need to be adjusted to a growth in worldwide protectionism. [15] 3 (a) GCE ‘A’ Level 2008 Explain the determinants of the pattern of trade between Singapore and the rest of the world. [10] (b) Discuss whether the Singapore government should change its policies for managing the balance of payments. 4 ACJC 2012 Singapore is not without challenges and problems. One broader issue is a widening income gap. This is affecting many countries, under the impact of globalization, Raffles Institution Economics Department [15] 22 competition from emerging economies and new technology. (Prime Minister’s Office Singapore, 1 March 2011) Discuss whether Singapore should keep its economy open to foreign competition. 5 [25] HCI 2012 In order to improve international competitiveness in the areas of trade and foreign investment, Singapore is trying to shift towards improving labour productivity, instead of relying on foreign workers. Discuss whether a shift towards improving labour productivity will help Singapore improve international competitiveness. [25] 6 (a) HCI 2012 Explain the factors affecting import expenditure in an economy. (b) Discuss the impact of a worsening trade balance on different economies. 7 [10] [15] JJC 2012 Singapore was ranked 3rd in Ernst and Young’s Globalisation Index 2011 – a survey that measures the degree of globalization of 60 large economies relative to their GDP. Discuss the impact of globalisation on Singapore and the policy measures that the Singapore government could adopt in response to globalisation. [25] 8 NYJC 2012 The threat of losing comparative advantage due to the emergence of developing economies poses serious balance of payments problems to most developed nations. (a) Explain the causes of balance of payments deficit of a country. [10] (b) Discuss the extent to which protectionism can help developed nations correct the balance of payments problem arising from the emergence of developing nations. [15] 9 (a) PJC 2012 Use demand and supply analysis to explain the pattern of trade between countries. [10] (b) Free trade agreements aim to remove barriers to trade and investment. Discuss the view that the signing of FTAs with more trading partners can only be beneficial to the Singapore economy. 10 TPJC 2012 Protectionism is more desirable than globalisation. Discuss. 11 [15] [25] SRJC 2012 Economists forecast a world trade growth of 9.5% for 2010, with developing countries’ trade growing by 115 and developed countries’ trade growing by 7.5%. [10] (a) Explain why it is important for a country to attain its macroeconomic goals. Raffles Institution Economics Department 23 (b) Discuss whether developing countries have more to gain from globalisation than developed countries. 12 [15] TJC 2012 Non-tariff barriers such as physical and technical barriers have acquired growing importance as tariffs have come down through multilateral, preferential or unilateral actions. Countries are choosing to shield producers from import competition through more subtle means. (adapted from World Trade Report 2012) (a) Explain why trade occurs between Singapore and its partners. (b) In light of the above, assess whether the use of free trade agreements is sufficient in managing Singapore’s balance of payments. 13 [10] [15] VJC 2012 Weakening prices are not unique to Japan, Mr Sakakibara noted. ‘Look at the US, or even Europe. The US is experiencing what could be disinflation. Price inflation there is about 1 %; 10 years ago, it was 4-5%. Inflation in Europe is about 2%. Because of globalization, prices in the developed countries have come down. (Mr Eisuke Sakakibara, Japan’s former vice-finance minister for international affairs in the Business Times 29 Oct 2010) (a) Explain why inflation is a macro-economic objective of a government. (b) Discuss whether globalisation will always help to lower the inflation rate of a country. 14 [10] [15] YJC 2012 We are concerned about the global economic crisis and its impact on the developing countries and poor countries. We must at all cost avoid competitive devaluation and resist any resurgence of protectionism. (PM Manmohan Singh, addressing the Plenary Session of G20 Summit, 12 Nov 2010) (a) Explain how currency devaluation can address a worsening balance of payments position of a country. [10] (b) Discuss whether countries should resist the resurgence of protectionism at all cost. 15 [15] AJC 2011 In economics, globalisation broadens the free market to include many nations to which it had not previously reached. However, protectionism has recently been rearing its head in the form of tariff hikes by some countries in response to the global economic crisis. (a) Using demand and supply analysis, explain the pattern of trade between countries. (b) Discuss whether you agree that protectionism is the best approach to deal with the challenges posed by globalisation. Raffles Institution Economics Department [10] [15] 24 16 (a) HCI 2011 Explain how globalisation has affected Singapore’s pattern of trade with the rest of the world. [12] (b) Singapore should not continue to rely on an export-led growth strategy as it causes much volatility to economic growth. 17 (a) To what extent do you agree with the above statement. [13] JJC 2011 Explain the economic basis for embracing free trade in Singapore. [10] (b) In the light of the economic downturn, discuss the importance of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) in influencing trade patterns between Singapore and the rest of the world. [15] 18 PJC 2011 “Rapid globalisation has brought about greater market access and partners for development, but has also placed some economies in a more vulnerable position.” Discuss. [25] 19 (a) RVHS 2011 Explain how determinants of globalization have changed the pattern of trade among countries. [10] (b) Discuss the policies currently adopted by the Singapore government to deal with structural unemployment and widening income inequality as a result of globalization. [15] 20 SAJC 2011 Globalisation is a double-edged sword, as the increased interconnectedness not only creates opportunities but also presents risks. (Speech by Mrs. Lim Hwee Hua, Minister Of State For Finance And Transport At The CPA Forum, Aug 2007) (a) Explain how globalisation could bring opportunities and risks to an economy. (b) Discuss whether the Singapore government currently adopts appropriate policies to reduce the risks of globalization. ******END****** Raffles Institution Economics Department [12] [13]