-Distributed Generation - A Reliable Power Solution For The Digital Age? Dustin T. Smith Project Development Manager Sure Power Corporation 2002 Power System 2002 Conference Impact of Distributed Generation Clemson, SC March 13-15, 2002 Today Today: Key macro-economic trend – Everything is digital (digital economy) Components that have been addressed: IT (networks & software)/Telecommunications (networks & software)/Equipment Manufacturers (reliability of components). Components that have not been addressed: Power What Do We Want To Accomplish? Collectively have a better understanding of Applying DG to Mission Critical Facilities. Reinforce the definitions of common metrics. Challenge barriers to wide spread use of Distributed Generation. Encourage evaluating Distributed Generation as an option. Topic Items Appropriate Use Of Metrics – Reliability vs. Availability vs. Quality Power Issues Of The Digital Age Critical Elements Of DG High Availability Power – Mission Critical Applications Example Schematic - DG Mission Critical Application Summary - Concepts To Remember Power Issues Of The Digital Age Electric Utility Built for the Industrial Age (light bulbs and motors). Ability to support Mission Critical facilities is different in every location. Facilities Facilities supporting digital commerce are a critical component of the final product (Integrate the value of Availability into Marketing Plan). Demands – Volume, Availability & Quality Integration of Product Marketing and Facilitates Planning/Design Groups in conjunction with the Business Plan – Complex Project. Scaleable, High Availability (5 9s or greater), CBEMA grade (IEEE 4461987) power. Vulnerabilities - Complex systems are much weaker than their weakest link. Digital equipment power sensitivity (example: eight milliseconds outside voltage curve for microprocessors & more than a 20% voltage deviation for four cycles for semiconductor fabrication = SYSTEM FAILURE). Even short down times equals huge losses. On-Going operations & maintenance are crucial. Quality - CBEMA Curve Typical Design Goals of Power Conscious Equipment Manufacturers - CBEMA CURVE (IEEE 446-1987) 400% Voltage Excursions (%) Nominal = 100% 350% 300% 250% Half Cycle 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% 0.001 0.01 0.1 0.5 1 10 Time in electrical cycles - Logarithmic Scale 100 1000 Reliability Reliability The Probability that a system or even a component will operate for a given period of time. Quality is a component of this metric. Over time, reliability tends toward 0 (all components eventually fail). For complex systems: Mission length must be known and is most useful for analysis of missions during which equipment may not be repaired or down for maintenance (missions of shorter duration). R = 1 - Pf (Probability of Failure) Over Time - All Components Fail 1 Reliability 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Reliability Example Reliability of Emergency Diesel Generators 1 0.95 0.9 0.85 0.8 0.75 1/2 hour 8 hours 24 hours – Emergency Diesel Engine Generator Power System Reliability 1987-1993 Grant, G.M., et. al., Idaho National Engineering Laboratory, INEL-95/0035, February 1996 Availability Availability (Unavailability=Q=1-A) The probability that a system will function at a future instant in time. Quality and Reliability are components of this metric. Most useful in the analysis of complex, repairable systems with longer mission durations (does not necessarily require defined mission length). Probabilistic Risk Assessment – Most useful tool in defining Availability (Redundancy/Spare Parts Inventory/SLAs/Staffing). Utilizes historical performance data for individual components. Provides specific probability of system availability in the future. Over time, calculated results have been extremely accurate (I.e. nuclear industry). Availability is the most useful metric for identifying power performance parameters for mission critical applications. According to experts in the science of Probabilistic Risk Asseement1, achieving availability levels (in practice) above four 9s (99.99%), likely requires on-site distributed generation. [1] Steve Fairfax, President of Mtechnology, Saxonville, Massachusetts, USA Application of the Nines The PRA gives us an Availability Design Criteria. How do we apply it? In The Digital Economy, Unavailability (1-Availability) does not equal Down Time (Facility outage may be a magnitude longer than the original power outage). Nines "one nine" "two nines" "three nines" "four nines" "five nines" "six nines" Availability Unavailability 90% 99% 99.9% 99.99% 99.999% 99.9999% 10% 1% 1.0.E-3 1.0.E-4 1.0.E-5 1.0.E-6 Downtime 876 87.6 8.76 53 5.3 32 hours hours hours minutes minutes seconds We must convert the system Availability/Unavailability to a specific Probability of system failure! Availability & Probability of Failure Cumulative Probability of at least 1 Failure 100 90 Assumptions: 80 16 hour mean time to repair 70 60 20-year operating life 50 40 30 20 10 0 99% 99.9% 99.99% 10-2 10-3 10-4 99.999% 10-5 Availability Unavailability 99.9999% 10-6 The Traditional Approach Utility Substations Normal Load HVAC Systems Essential Load Standby Gensets Note: System availability 99.9% to 99.99% - Grid is prime source of power - Battery is short-term backup - Gensets are secondary source of power UPS System Battery Backup Critical Load High Availability DG System Chiller System Normal Load Utility ( if available ) On-Site Power System Note: Desirable System availability: 99.9999% - Prime source of power - Grid is secondary source of power Essential Load Critical Load Critical Elements Of DG High Availability Basic elements of a high availability power system: Redundancy Energy Storage Maintains power flow to the critical load while additional power sources are dispatched during prime mover failure. Switching Allows system to operate when individual components fail. Detects failures in components (or even subsystems), and connects replacements (very complex and difficult). All High Availability Designs must use these elements to achieve near-perfect operation with imperfect, real-world components. Probabilistic Risks Assessment is a proven tool for determining the best balance of these elements and effecting the real-world system performance. Mission Critical DG systems must be designed from the ground up with the goals, objectives and elements of High Availability in mind, not modified afterthe-fact (pound-to-fit). Additional Elements Of DG High Availability Additional system performance requirements include: Precise end user goals and objectives identified. No single Point of failure Independent redundant power paths All generation available to all of the load, all of the time without switching. No generation inter-dependencies Example: RAID (Redundant Array of Independent Devices) Eliminate all potential cascade failures Design must allow for maintenance and repair (both routine and emergency) without disruption of power to the critical loads. Benefits of DG In Mission Critical App. Benefits of Distributed Generation in Mission Critical Applications Dedicated operations and maintenance staff Allows End User to manage their overall operational risk by allowing experts to handle the on-going production and delivery of Mission Critical power True system High Availability Efficiency (CHP Process) Reduction in Environmental emissions Capitol management (paying for on-site assets, not the Utilities transmission lines Security Autonomy/Control Concepts To Remember “Availability” is the most useful metric for evaluating the application of Distributed Generation power systems with respect to Mission Critical Facilities. A formal, reviewable, rigorous design process such as Probabilistic Risk Assessment will dictate a design that ensures actual system performance meets the End Users long term system performance expectations (as well as meet business plan marketing objectives). Table Reference: A Technical and Market Assessment of Premium Power in the Haverhill Cyber-District, Prepared For: Massachusetts Collaborative, Prepared By Planet-TECH Associates, January 2002 Concepts To Remember Continued “Availability” - Continued These types of systems cost lest than the systems that do fail. Table Reference: A Technical and Market Assessment of Premium Power in the Haverhill Cyber-District, Prepared For: Massachusetts Collaborative, Prepared By Planet-TECH Associates, January 2002 Once a system achieves High Availability in design, real-world limits such as common cause failures can be addressed. First National Bank of Omaha [Only DG - Mission Critical Installation with 3rd Party PRA Certification (Availability Higher than Grid + Back-up] © Copyright First National Bank of Omaha 1999 The reliability of the ‘six 9s’ computer grade electricity that Sure Power delivers isn’t a luxury for us at First National Bank of Omaha, it’s a critical difference over existing power arrangements that will substantially increase our computer uptime. The result is a tremendous leap in our competitive advantage. With Sure Power, First National can raise our customer’s service expectations while generating higher revenues. United States Patent 6,288,456 B1 Date of Patent September 11, 2001 Dennis C. Hughes Director of Property Management First National Buildings, Inc. The End “Powering Mission Critical Enterprises” Sample Sure Power Solution Sure Power System Rendering