Innovation Economics Class 1 Importance of Science and Technology Rate of economic growth and innovation Economists have recognized the central importance of technological innovation for economic progress Adam Smith “Wealth of Nations” Marx’s model of capitalist economy Marshall considers knowledge as chief engine in progress Earlier neglect of invention and innovation in the economic models. Treat innovation as exogenous. Economic growth problems treated technology as constant. The Research and Development System Research system Government and university, firms. 1870s: First specialized labs Schumpeter’s distnction between innovation and invention Invention: New idea, sketch, model for a new and improved device. Innovation: The whole process of developing a new product. Product innovation and process innovation. THE GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS REPORT Growth Competitiveness Index Technology Index Macroeconomic Environment Index Public Institutions Index Innovation Sub-Index Macroeconomic Stability Sub-Index Contracts and Law Sub-Index Technology Transfer Sub-Index Country Credit Rating Corruption SubIndex Information & Communications Technology Sub-Index Government Waste Kaynak: WEF, 2003 THE GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS REPORT Business Competitiveness Index Factor (Input) Conditions Company Operations & Strategy Demand Conditions Related and Supporting Industries Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry Kaynak: WEF, 2003 Business Competitiveness Rank Kaynak: WEF, 2003 Türkiye (65,52) Growth Competitiveness Turkey’s Position in Global Competitiveness Kaynak: IMD COMPETITIVE INDUSTRIAL PERFORMANCE INDEX 70 65 61 60 50 50 50 40 37 30 20 10 49 33 28 27 29 23 22 18 36 38 35 19 15 6 C hi na Br a M zil ex ic o So I u t nd h ia K Ar ore ge a nt in Ta a iw In an do ne s Tu i a Si rke ng y ap or e 0 Kaynak: UNIDO Rank 1985 1 Rank 1998 -2% Kaynak: US National Science Board 68 68 countries ÜLKE Total ÜLKELER tota GELİŞEN Developing 16% SANAYİLEŞMİ Industrialized Ş ÜLKELER Argentina ARJANTİN HHONG Kong KONG MEKSİKA Mexico Brazil BREZİLYA Singapore SİNGAPU R ÇİN China KORE Korea Taiwan TAYVAN France FRANSA Germany ALMANYA İNGİLTERE UK Japan JAPONY A USA ABD Growth Rates: High Technology and Total Manufacturing (1980-1998) Hihgh Hi-tech tech. 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Manufacturing Value Added Figure Shares of global MVAAdded (%) Share of 4.2: Manufacturing Value (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1980 Kaynak: UNIDO 1985 Sanayileşmiş 1990 Gelişen 1995 Geçiş 2000 Growth Rate of Manufacturing Value Added (1980-2000) Growth rates of manufacturing value added, 1980-2000 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Resource Based UNIDO Low tech Med. / High Tech Business Competitiveness index (2001) Kaynak: WEF, 2003 National Innovation Capacity Index (2001) GDP Per Capita (2001) (PPP) Kaynak: WEF, 2003 National Innovation Capacity Index (2001) Tecnnological Innovation in the Manufacturing Sector Percentage of technological innovation in manufacturing sector 30 29 28 27 29,4 26 25 24 23 22 24,6 1995-1997 Kaynak: DİE, İmalat Sanayii Teknolojik Yenilik Anketi Sonuçları, Ankara,2004. 1998-2000 Types of Technological Innovation Type of Technological Innovation 35,8 36,4 Process Innovation 1997 20,1 Product Innovation 26,3 Both product and process innovation Kaynak: DİE, İmalat Sanayii Teknolojik Yenilik Anketi Sonuçları, Ankara,2004. 2000 44,1 37,3 Types of Innovative Activities 26,1 16,1 20,2 20,7 16,9 Application of new or changed common strategies Application of advanced managerial techniques Application of new and changed organizational structures Changing market concepts and strategies Changing design or aesthetic view of at least one product Kaynak: DİE, İmalat Sanayii Teknolojik Yenilik Anketi Sonuçları, Ankara,2004. Collabortion / Knowledge Sharing National 52,3 62,2 European Community USA Japan Other 17,2 33,7 8,8 7,6 15,9 12,2 Kaynak: DİE, İmalat Sanayii Teknolojik Yenilik Anketi Sonuçları, Ankara,2004. 89,0 83,7 2000 1997 R&D Intensity ARGE Yatırımları / GSMH ABD 2,70% Kore 2,68% Almanya 2,48% Fransa 2,15% İngiltere 1,86% Çek Cumhuriyeti 1,25% İtalya 1,04% İspanya 0,94% Macaristan 0,81% Portekiz 0,75% Polonya 0,70% Slovakya 0,69% Türkiye Meksika 0,00% 0,64% 0,40% 0,50% 1,00% 1,50% 2,00% 2,50% 3,00% Avrupa Birliği 1,88% Kaynak: OECD in Figures 2002 Report OECD 2,24% Private R&D Expenditures Per Capita (Country Rank) 50 46 46 44 45 46 45 41 41 40 37 36 34 35 32 31 28 30 27 23 25 19 20 20 1416 13 15 10 5 0 ey pore iwan ti na esi a orea Indi a x ic o raz il hi na k r n B C Tu i nga Me Ta rge ndon th K A I u S So Kaynak: UNIDO 1985 1998 Share of Capital Investment in GDP 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Kaynak: DİE Kaynak: G. Ulusoy. GÜNÜMÜZ TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİNDE ENDÜSTRİ MÜHENDİSLİĞİNİN YERİ, Sabanncı Üniversitesi. 2002 2003 FDI Flows Professionalization of R&D is Associated With 1. Increasing scientific character of technology 2. Growing complexity of technology 3. General trend towards division of labor Long Waves or Cycles 1780-1840: Industrial revolution 1840-1890: Age of steam power and railways 1890-1940: Age of electricity and steel 1940-1990: Age of mass production 1990 : Age of microelectronic and computer networks Successive industrial revolutions were based on the qualitative transformation of the economy by new technologies, rather than the simple quantitative growth of individual industries. Elements of the Innovation Process Basic research Applied research R&D Stages in the Innovation Process Invention Innovation Imitation Science push or market driven innovation Links, chains and feedbacks. Set of linked activities which may occur in a variety of sequences and sometimes simultaneously. Activities are linked. Recognizing the importance of science and technology for economic development.. Francis Bacon (1620): Printing, gunpowder and the compass ‘have changed the whole face and state of things throughout the world…’ Adam Smith (1776): ‘Improvements in machinery’ go hand in hand with the division of labour, and ‘very pretty machines . . . Facilitate and quicken production… Karl Marx (1848): ‘The bourgeoisie cannot exist without constantly revolutionizing the means of production’! Alfred Marshall (1897): ‘Knowledge’ is the chief engine of progress in the economy Joseph Schumpeter (1911): The entrepreneur and his search for ‘new combinations’ is the driving force in all economic development… Freeman & Soete (1997): ‘In the most fundamental sense the winning of new knowledge is the basis of human civilization’… • So, no one doubts that innovation is crucial for our modern economies... • ... but how can innovation be ’analysed’... • ... and how can it be ’managed’? Economics of change... • ’Production capacity’ = capital goods, knowledge and labour skills to PRODUCE • ’Technological (innovative) capabilities’ = skills, knowledge and institutions that make it possible to generate and manage CHANGE in technology (Bell & Pavitt 1997) Invention and Innovation Schumpeter’s distinction between ”Invention” and ”innovation” • An ’invention’ is an idea, a sketch or model for a new or improved device, product, process or system. It has not yet entered to economic system, and most inventions never do so. • An ’innovation’ is accomplished only with the first commercial transaction involving the new product, process, system or device. It is part of the economic system. What type of innovation? • ”product innovation” vs. ”process innovation” • ”goods” vs. ”services” • ”technological” vs. ”organizational” innovation • ”incremental” vs. ”radical” innovation • (”continuous” vs. ”discontinuous” innovation) • ”architectural” vs. ”modular” innovation • ”richness” vs. ”reach” • ”position” innovation • ”techno-economic paradigm change” • etc. Changes in techno-economic paradigm • Industrial revolutions, long waves, technoeconomic paradigms... • Freeman & Perez (1988): – 1780-1840 (early mechanization) – 1840-1890 (steam power and railways) – 1890-1940 (electrical and heavy engineering) – 1940-1990 (fordist mass production) – 1990-? (information and communication) Which type of innovation is most important??? ”...it is the perceived degree of novelty which matters; novelty is very much in the eye of the beholder. For example, in a giant, technologically advanced organization like Shell or IBM, advanced networked information systems are commonplace, but for a small car dealership or food processor even the use of a simple PC to connect to the Internet may still represent a major challenge”!